Occupant behavior is considered a vital factor influencing housing energy consumption by adjusting the indoor thermal environment and the use of service system. Multi-family housing is popular in the hot summer and cold winter (HSCW) zone of China, where residents typically adopt a “partial time, partial space” approach to environmental control. Therefore, the behavioral differences among families pose challenges for predicting hourly energy consumption at community scale. Taking Changsha, a typical city in the HSCW zone, as an example, this study investigates and summarizes the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of multi-family occupants, analyzing their impact on air conditioning (AC) load under ideal environmental control conditions (i.e., AC is on where is occupied). Hourly AC load modified equations and multi-family occupancy modified coefficients are introduced to construct a method for estimating hourly AC load of residential communities that comprehensively considers the spatiotemporal distribution of multi-family occupants. The results show that the proposed method achieves fitting degrees of 87%-92.4% for predicting heating load and 77.9%-84.9% for predicting cooling load. This method not only dramatically reduces the workload and time required for physical modeling of residential communities, but also enables fast and refined simulation of the hourly AC load.
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