Abstract Background In Norway and most industrialized countries the mortality rates from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) increased after World War II, peaked in the 1960s – 1970s, and have since that time declined (Figure). Recent studies have suggested that the decline may have leveled off, and that the favourable trends do not include younger age groups, possibly due obesity and diabetes. Also, the relative contribution of a reduction in incidence and improved case-fatality rates (CFR) to the AMI mortality trends are not known with certainty. We examined mortality trends of AMI in Norway during 1951 – 2021, and the incidence and CFR of hospitalized and non-hospitalized AMI during 2013-2021. Methods Fatal AMI cases were identified in the National Causes of Death Registry. Norwegian hospitals are required by law to register all patients hospitalized for AMI in the Norwegian AMI Registry. Hospitalized cases not registered in the AMI registry were retrieved from the Norwegian Patient Registry which contains discharge diagnoses for hospitalized patients. The national unique 11-digit identification number allowed linkage of the registries and identification of transfers between hospitals and re-hospitalizations. An AMI (either hospitalization or death) was classified as incident if no hospitalization was found for that individual during the previous 5 years. We calculated age-adjusted rates with the Norwegian population in 2017 as standard. Results Norwegian AMI mortality rates increased from 1951, peaked in the late 1960s, and have since that time declined steadily, although steeper after around 1990 (Figure). Present AMI mortality rates are lower than in the 1950s, and are still declining. Incidence of AMI (hospitalized and non-hospitalized) fell from 391/100 000 in 2013 to 271/100 000 in 2021, corresponding to a mean reduction of 3.6 % per year (p<0.001). Incidence of out-of-hospital fatal AMI fell by 6.5 % per year, incidence of hospitalized ST-segment elevation AMI (STEMI) fell by 2.3 % per year, and incidence of non-ST-segment elevation AMI (NSTEMI) fell by 3.1 % per year (all p<0.001). 30-days CFR of hospitalized and non-hospitalized AMI fell from 21.3 % in 2013 to 17.5 % (3.6 % per year; p<0.001). CFR after NSTEMI fell from 8.2 % in 2013 to 6.4 % in 2021 (4.4 % per year; p<0.001), whereas there was no significant change in CFR after STEMI (13.3 % in 2013 and 12.0 % in 2021). The incidence and CFR trends were similar in men and women aged 20-49, 50-79 and 80+ years. Comments Declining incidence of out-of-hospital fatal AMI and declining incidence of hospitalized STEMI and NSTEMI were major contributors to the declining AMI mortality rates in Norway. Improved case-fatality rates among hospitalized patients have contributed to the declining mortality rates, but there was no improvement in case-fatality in STEMI during 2013-2021.
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