Canada thistle (Cirsium arvense (L.) Scop., CT) is one of the worst weeds threatening temperate regions of the world. A host-specific rust fungus, Puccinia punctiformis (F. Strauss) Rohl., is known to cause systemic disease of CT, ultimately killing individuals and reducing stand densities. In 2013, it was demonstrated that fall inoculation of rosettes with coarsely ground leaves bearing P. punctiformis telia can successfully initiate epiphytotics. In the same year, a cooperative project between the Colorado Department of Agriculture and United States Department of Agriculture was initiated, in which CT patches across the state of Colorado (USA) were inoculated and tracked over subsequent years for changes in stem density. Here, we report our findings from 8 years (2014–2021) of monitoring effort. At most sites (N = 87), CT stem densities declined, from a mean (±SE) of 87.9 (±6.5) stems to 44.7 (±4.2). These declines however were spatially-autocorrelated, and likely attributable to local growing conditions, as mean annual daily maximum temperature and standard deviation of elevation, as well as climatic conditions around the times of both treatment and monitoring, were found to be important predictors of CT decline. Further, we observed that the amount of inoculum deployed, timing since last release, and method in which it was spread locally at a site were also associated with the magnitude of CT stem decline. These results are indicative of the value of P. punctiformis as a CT biological control agent.
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