Elevated Heat Pump Research Articles

Changes in the mechanism of the South-Asian summer monsoon onset propagation induced by the pre-monsoon aerosol dust storm

A modeling effort is considered to understand the effect of dust aerosol storms in the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) onset propagation over the Indian subcontinent. The study found how the dust aerosol loading during the pre-monsoon period over the Indian subcontinent positively impacts the advancing ISM onset. The heavy loading of dust aerosol from middle east Asia to the northwest (NW) Indian region boosts the temperature gradient over the mid-troposphere. This sudden rise in the mid-tropospheric atmospheric temperature triggers the low-pressure belt over the monsoon trough. It amplifies the Elevated Heat Pump mechanism and loads enough dust for the dust storm over north India. The formation of the monsoon trough over the Indo-Gangetic Plain (IGP) pulls the moisture-loaded wind towards the Indian subcontinent and the IGP, followed by the onset of monsoon over Kerala within a week. Due to this storm, the intense heat gradient in the troposphere also induces the monsoon propagation and the monsoon advancement from Kerala to BoB within a short time. However, it makes up for the naturally delayed monsoon on time. Plain language summaryStudy shows how the pre-monsoon dust storm modulates the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) propagation over the Indian region. The onset of the monsoon was delayed in a particular year, and the pre-monsoon dust storm over northwest India changed the regular monsoon mechanism and generated an entirely different mechanism. The elevated heat pump theory applies that pushes the monsoon advancement faster than usual. A dust storm over north India causes a sudden rise in the mid-tropospheric temperature gradient and more rapid monsoon advancement than usual.

Impacts of Anthropogenic Emissions over South Asia on East Asian Spring Climate: Two Possible Dynamical Pathways

Abstract Both South Asia and East Asia are the most polluted regions of the world. Unlike East Asia, the aerosol optical depth (AOD) over South Asia keeps increasing for all recent years, which calls for more attention. This study investigates the impacts of anthropogenic emissions over South Asia on the downstream regional climate during spring with the Community Earth System Model 2 (CESM2). The model results suggest that South Asian pollutants have significant impacts on East Asian spring climate, and the impacts could be even larger than locally emitted aerosols. Two possible dynamical pathways (i.e., the northern and the southern pathways) bridging South Asian aerosol forcing and East Asian climate are proposed, and both ways are associated with the black carbon (BC)-induced climate feedbacks surrounding the Tibetan Plateau (TP). The northern pathway is mainly due to the TP warming induced by the BC snow darkening effect (SDE), which significantly reduces the surface air temperature (SAT) over northern East Asia. BC-induced TP warming increases the meridional thermal gradient and accelerates the midlatitude jet stream, which favors the cold-air advection over northern East Asia. The southern pathway is associated with the BC “elevated heat pump” hypothesis, which mainly affects the precipitation in southern East Asia. BC from South Asia accumulates near the south slope of TP, inducing an abnormal ascending motion near the Bay of Bengal. A compensating anomalous sinking motion is then forced in South China, which suppresses the precipitation there. A primary observational analysis is also performed to verify both dynamical pathways. Significance Statement The intensified air pollution over South Asia and its impacts on local climate have been extensively investigated, but its impacts on the climate of remote regions have not been well recognized. Two possible dynamical pathways bridging South Asian air pollutants and East Asian spring climate are proposed, and the black carbon (BC)-induced climate feedbacks surrounding the Tibetan Plateau (TP) are emphasized for both pathways. The findings of this study favor the projection of East Asian future climate under the background of Third Pole/TP warming.

Regional and tele-connected impacts of the Tibetan Plateau surface darkening

Despite knowledge of the presence of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) in reorganizing large-scale atmospheric circulation, it remains unclear how surface albedo darkening over TP will impact local glaciers and remote Asian monsoon systems. Here, we use a coupled land-atmosphere global climate model and a glacier model to address these questions. Under a high-emission scenario, TP surface albedo darkening will increase local temperature by 0.24 K by the end of this century. This warming will strengthen the elevated heat pump of TP, increasing South Asian monsoon precipitation while exacerbating the current “South Flood-North Drought” pattern over East Asia. The albedo darkening-induced climate change also leads to an accompanying TP glacier volume loss of 6.9%, which further increases to 25.2% at the equilibrium, with a notable loss in western TP. Our findings emphasize the importance of land-surface change responses in projecting future water resource availability, with important implications for water management policies.

The Tibetan Plateau as dust aerosol transit station in middle troposphere over northern East Asia: A case study

In the process of dust transport, the Tibetan Plateau (TP) plays a significant role because of its high topography. A dust event occurred from 2 to 5 April 2018 was chosen to study the role of TP in middle troposphere using Weather Research and Forecasting Model coupled with chemistry (WRF-Chem) model. The model reproduced the meteorological parameters, spatiotemporal distribution of dust reasonably. This study found that the dust originated from Taklimakan Desert (TD) was rose to 7 km under the influence of strong updraft flow and dust elevated heat pump, then transported eastward under the guidance of flat westerly flow. Subsequently, a trough passing the TD region carried the raised dust southward to the TP, leading to a thick dust belt with the concentration >200 μg m−3 suspended over the TP. After that, the dust are entrained to upper troposphere by the TP and then continue to transport eastward to the northeast of East Asia (NE). The TP acted as a transit station that lifted dust aerosol to the upper level. Moreover, the cold vortex over Siberia was stronger compared with the climatologic mean value. Consequently, cold air separated from the vortex enhanced the East Asian trough and triggered the dust emission. The above anomaly was conducive to the TD-TP-NE transport of dust. The dust-induced heating rate over NE peaked at 1.0 K/day at 7.5 km, which was comparable to TP. The dust layer over NE may further affect atmospheric circulation, clouds properties and precipitation.

Impact of middle east dust on subseasonal-to-seasonal variability of the Asian summer monsoon

We investigated the effect of increased spring (April–May) dust aerosol over the Arabian Peninsula (AP) on the subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) variability of the Asian summer monsoon (ASM) using MERRA-2 re-analysis data (1980–2018). Result shows that abundant AP spring dust leads to more dust covering the AP and Pakistan northwestern India (PNWI) during May–June, causing a cooler land surface and a warmer lower and middle atmosphere with enhanced local atmospheric stability. However, the warmer atmosphere increases the meridional temperature gradient, boosting moisture transport from the Arabian Sea to PNWI, causing increased convective potential energy in PNWI region. As season advances, the accumulated convection potential energy eventually breaks through the local stability, via the elevated heat pump (EHP) effect, increasing precipitation over PNWI. In July and August, cloud radiation-circulation feedback further enhances the warming of the upper troposphere, strengthening precipitation in PNWI. Dynamical adjustments of large-scale circulations induced by the feedback strongly modulate ASM precipitation. Over southern and central China, precipitation is reduced, in conjunction with a contraction of South Asian High, and the development of an anomalous east-to-west oriented upper-level wavetrain in July. In August, the upper level wavetrain undergoes strong wave-mean flow interaction, culminating in the development of an anticyclonic center with drought conditions over northeast China, Korea and Japan. Over the Indian subcontinent, increased precipitation in PNWI plays an important role in initiating the EHP feedback leading to increased precipitation over the Indian subcontinent, and in modulating the jetstream-wave interaction in downstream East Asian regions in July–August.

A synergy of linear model and wavelet analysis towards space-time characterization of aerosol optical depth (AOD) during pre-monsoon season (2007–2016) over Indian sub-continent

The pre-monsoon aerosol concentration plays a significant role in modifying precipitation amount over the Indian sub-continent. A large variety of aerosol from different sources produces a complex radiative and climate response through the interaction with the hydrometeorological parameters. In this study, we analyzed the space-time dynamics of aerosol optical depth (AOD) in relation to the meteorological and surface parameters over Indian sub-continent during pre-monsoon season from 2007 to 2016. The level-3 daily aerosol products from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Multi-angle Imaging Spectroradiometer (MISR) were used. The IMD gridded rainfall and temperature, ECMWF derived RH and wind velocity, and GLADS derived soil moisture data were also used at daily time scale. For the space-time model, the Mann-Kendall trend test and a pixel-based multiple linear regression were used, while, wavelet transformation was used on these daily observations for analyzing periodicities of AOD. The time-series average shows moderate to high AOD (0.4–0.8), including a consistent positive anomaly in the Indo-Gangetic basin (IGP) in north India. A significant inter-annual variation is also observed both in MODIS and MISR datasets. The trend statistics shows an increasing trend of aerosol concentration in the eastern and southern India. The linear regression shows a variable response of AOD with changing magnitude of meteorological factors. However, a substantial spatial coverage of significantly decreased AOD is observed with increasing soil moisture content (β < −0.04). The wavelet analysis manifests the abundances of 32–128 days of cycle with a periodic interjection of 8–32 days of cycle suggesting occurrence of fine and coarse mode aerosols events, respectively. The coherency of time series AOD and other covariates shows varying leading and lagging dynamics in these two principal periodicities. The findings, however, evidenced a notable difference in the space-time patterns of AOD in MODIS and MISR datasets. The analyzed AOD cycles are coincided with the Madden-Julian-Oscillation (MJO) that recurs every 30–60 days interval. The findings also support the theoretical proposition of elevated heat pump theory (EHP) driven by fine mode aerosols for occurring pre-monsoon and monsoon precipitation over the Indian sub-continent. The analyzed periodicity of AOD can provide useful insights in studying the short/long term variability of precipitation over polluted environments during the pre-monsoon season.

Impact of Dust-Cloud-Radiation-Precipitation Dynamical Feedback on Subseasonal-to-Seasonal Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon in Global Variable-Resolution Simulations With MPAS-CAM5

In this study, we investigate the effects of increased dust emission from the Middle East deserts on subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) variability of the Asian summer monsoon (ASM). Numerical experiments are performed using the Model for Prediction Across Scales (MPAS) coupled with the Community Atmosphere Model (CAM5) physics, with regional refinement at 30 km grid resolution over South Asia and the surrounding regions. Result shows that increased dust emission and transport from the Middle East/West Asia region induces a strong dust-cloud-radiation-precipitation-circulation feedback, resulting in a colder surface over the desert regions and the western Tibetan Plateau, but warmer and moister troposphere with enhanced cloudiness and precipitation over the Pakistan/Northwest India (PNWI) region. The latter changes are amplified by the dust aerosol induced Elevated Heat Pump (EHP) mechanism along the West Himalayas/Iranian Plateau foothill regions, most pronounced during May-June. During July-August, cloud radiation feedback further enhances the warming of the upper troposphere, and cooling of the land surface over the PNWI and adjacent regions over West Asia. The upper tropospheric heating and increased precipitation over PNWI spur a large-scale anomalous Rossby wavetrain and a northward displacement of the subtropical jetstream, manifesting in a contraction of the South Asian High and westward shift of the Western Pacific Subtropical High. As a result, the entire ASM precipitation-cloud system is displaced westward. Precipitation and cloudiness are intensified over northwest and western India and west Asia, but suppressed over southern and central East Asia. Analyses of the S2S variability of the upper level vorticity balance suggests that heating by Middle East dust plays an important role in exciting, and anchoring a teleconnection pattern through interactions among dust-cloud radiation, precipitation heating over the PNWI, the development of an upper level Rossby wavetrain and the northward shift of the boreal summer jetstream over Eurasia.

Redistribution of Indian summer monsoon by dust aerosol forcing

Previous studies based on models and observations show that dust aerosols have an impact on the timing and distribution of the Indian summer monsoon but the transition of various Indian summer monsoon‐associated atmospheric features which unfolds in the process is still not clear. Through regional climate simulations, this study identifies the different phases of the change in the mean distribution of monsoon related characteristics in response to local dust forcing. The deposition of dust along the slopes of the Tibetan Plateau results in a heated atmospheric column (elevated heat pump) over there starting from May. This drags the monsoonal flow towards the foothills of the Himalayas before the conventional monsoon onset over India, which tends to decrease the rainfall over central India and increase it along the foothills of the Himalayas during May and June. July is the period of transition during which the reversal of various atmospheric conditions takes place. The elevated heat pump completely vanishes with the wet deposition of dust, which reduces the vertical wind over the Tibetan Plateau. The removal of dust increases the temperature over the Indo‐Gangetic plain, which efficiently drags the moisture carrying southwesterly towards central India. Meanwhile, stronger horizontal divergence of moisture towards the Bay of Bengal reduces the rainfall over central India and these atmospheric conditions further intensify during August. These results provide strong evidence of the role of dust aerosols in shaping the Indian summer monsoon distribution over India.

Impact of snow-darkening by deposition of light-absorbing aerosols on snow cover in the Himalaya-Tibetan-Plateau and influence on the Asian Summer monsoon: A possible mechanism for the Blanford Hypothesis.

The impact of snow darkening by deposition of light absorbing aerosols (LAAs) on snow cover over the Himalaya-Tibetan-Plateau (HTP) and influence on the Asian summer monsoon are investigated using the NASA Goddard Earth Observing System Model Version 5 (GEOS-5). We find that during April-May-June, deposition of LAAs on snow leads to a reduction in surface albedo, initiating a sequence of feedback processes, starting with increased net surface solar radiation, rapid snowmelt in HTP and warming of the surface and upper troposphere, followed by enhanced low-level southwesterlies and increased dust loading over the Himalayas-Indo-Gangetic Plain. The warming is amplified by increased dust aerosol heating, and subsequently amplified by latent heating from enhanced precipitation over the Himalaya foothills and northern India, via the Elevated Heat Pump (EHP) effect during June-July-August. The reduced snow cover in the HTP anchors the enhanced heating over the Tibetan Plateau and its southern slopes, in conjunction with an enhancement of the Tibetan Anticyclone, and the development of an anomalous Rossby wavetrain over East Asia, leading to weakening of the subtropical westerly jet, and northward displacement and intensification of the Mei-Yu rainbelt. Our results suggest that atmosphere-land heating induced by LAAs, particularly desert dust play a fundamental role in physical processes underpinning the snow-monsoon relationship proposed by Blanford more than a century ago.

Elevated heat pump effects of dust aerosol over Northwestern China during summer

The Elevated Heat Pump (EHP) effect demonstrates a significant interaction between the aerosol climatic effect and the monsoon, both are important for climate research. In Northwestern China, the influence of EHP mechanism is still lacking in research. In this study, the EHP effects in Northwestern China are investigated by three sensitivity tests using a WRF-Chem model coupled with the Shao dust emission scheme. Results show that: 1) the anomalous circulation caused by dust aerosols are proved to the existence of EHP effect in Northwestern China; 2) three updrafts over the desert are transported eastward at high altitude and subside in Northeastern China, forming a complete secondary circulation with low-level easterly flow from Badain Jaran and Tengger to Taklimakan; 3) a northeasternerly anomaly flow from Northeastern China can affect the intensity of East Asian summer monsoon (EASM), and increase precipitation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River and decrease precipitation in Northeastern China. 4) We present a conceptual model of EHP in Northwestern China to provide a better understanding of the climatic effects of dust aerosols.

Declining pre-monsoon dust loading over South Asia: Signature of a changing regional climate

Desert dust over the Indian region during pre-monsoon season is known to strengthen monsoon circulation, by modulating rainfall through the elevated heat pump (EHP) mechanism. In this context, an insight into long term trends of dust loading over this region is of significant importance in understanding monsoon variability. In this study, using long term (2000 to 2015) aerosol measurements from multiple satellites, ground stations and model based reanalysis, we show that dust loading in the atmosphere has decreased by 10 to 20% during the pre-monsoon season with respect to start of this century. Our analysis reveals that this decrease is a result of increasing pre-monsoon rainfall that in turn increases (decreases) wet scavenging (dust emissions) and slowing circulation pattern over the Northwestern part of the sub-continent.

Local and Remote Impacts of Aerosol Species on Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall in a GCM

Abstract The HadGEM2 AGCM is used to determine the most important anthropogenic aerosols in the Indian monsoon using experiments in which observed trends in individual aerosol species are imposed. Sulfur dioxide (SD) emissions are shown to impact rainfall more strongly than black carbon (BC) aerosols, causing reduced rainfall especially over northern India. Significant perturbations due to BC are not noted until its emissions are scaled up in a sensitivity test, resulting in rainfall increases over northern India due to the elevated heat pump mechanism, enhancing convection during the premonsoon, and bringing forward the monsoon onset. Second, the impact of anthropogenic aerosols is compared to that of increasing greenhouse-gas concentrations and observed sea surface temperature (SST) warming. The tropospheric temperature gradient driving the monsoon shows weakening when forced by either SD or imposed SST trends. However, the observed SST trend is dominated by warming in the deep tropics; when the component of SST trend related to aerosol emissions is removed, further warming is found in the extratropical Northern Hemisphere that tends to offset monsoon weakening. This suggests caution is needed when using SST forcing as a proxy for greenhouse warming. Finally, aerosol emissions are decomposed into those from the Indian region and those elsewhere in pairs of experiments with SD and BC. Both local and remote aerosol emissions are found to lead to rainfall changes over India; for SD, remote aerosols contribute around 75% of the rainfall decrease over India, while for BC the remote forcing is even more dominant.

Mineral dust impacts on regional precipitation and summer circulation in East Asia using a regional coupled climate system model

AbstractThe climatic impacts of dust on East Asian precipitation, summer monsoon, and sea surface temperature (SST) were investigated by a regional coupled atmosphere‐ocean‐land model. The regional and annual mean dust clear‐sky (all‐sky) direct radiative forcings were predicted to be −6.65 W m−2 (−1.78 W m−2) at the surface and 3.79 W m−2 (8.65 W m−2) at the top of atmosphere. The climatic effects of dust include a cooling effect below 700 hPa and a warming effect above, leading to more stabilized lower troposphere and anomalously cyclonic wind over Japan and surrounding oceans. Sensitivity tests show that the “surface cooling” effect by dust could reduce evaporation over land and enhance stability of the lower atmosphere, leading to reduced vapor content and precipitation in China in the spring. However, the upward movements by the “elevated heat pump” effect of dust over northern China or by the atmospheric convergence over southern China, and the downward movement by the secondary circulation over central China, along with the enhanced evaporation and the weakened lapse rate over Chinese continent, lead to increased precipitation in downwind areas of dust source regions and southern China and to decreased precipitation in central China in summer. Results from this simulation also show that dust aerosol tends to weaken the East Asia summer monsoon by reducing the land‐sea‐temperature contrast. In addition, dust could also perturb SST by the local net heat flux rebalance as well as the northward heat transport from surrounding oceans. The anomalous northward surface wind contributes even larger on SST in June, July, and August.

Amplification of ENSO effects on Indian summer monsoon by absorbing aerosols

In this study, we present observational evidence, based on satellite aerosol measurements and MERRA reanalysis data for the period 1979–2011, indicating that absorbing aerosols can have strong influence on seasonal-to-interannual variability of the Indian summer monsoon rainfall, including amplification of ENSO effects. We find a significant correlation between ENSO (El Nino Southern Oscillation) and aerosol loading in April–May, with La Nina (El Nino) conditions favoring increased (decreased) aerosol accumulation over northern India, with maximum aerosol optical depth over the Arabian Sea and Northwestern India, indicative of strong concentration of dust aerosols transported from West Asia and Middle East deserts. Composite analyses based on a normalized aerosol index (NAI) show that high concentration of aerosol over northern India in April–May is associated with increased moisture transport, enhanced dynamically induced warming of the upper troposphere over the Tibetan Plateau, and enhanced rainfall over northern India and the Himalayan foothills during May–June, followed by a subsequent suppressed monsoon rainfall over all India, consistent with the elevated heat pump (EHP) hypothesis (Lau et al. in Clim Dyn 26:855–864, 2006. doi:10.1007/s00382-006-0114-z). Further analyses from sub-sampling of ENSO years, with normal (<1-σ), and abnormal (>1-σ) NAI over northern India respectively show that the EHP may lead to an amplification of the Indian summer monsoon response to ENSO forcing, particularly with respect to the increased rainfall over the Himalayan foothills, and the warming of the upper troposphere over the Tibetan Plateau. Our results suggest that absorbing aerosol, particular desert dusts can strongly modulate ENSO influence, and possibly play important roles as a feedback agent in climate change in Asian monsoon regions.

Spatial distributions and seasonal cycles of aerosol climate effects in India seen in a global climate–aerosol model

Abstract. Climate–aerosol interactions in India are studied by employing the global climate–aerosol model ECHAM5-HAM and the GAINS inventory for anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Model validation is done for black carbon surface concentrations in Mukteshwar and for features of the monsoon circulation. Seasonal cycles and spatial distributions of radiative forcing and the temperature and rainfall responses are presented for different model setups. While total aerosol radiative forcing is strongest in the summer, anthropogenic forcing is considerably stronger in winter than in summer. Local seasonal temperature anomalies caused by aerosols are mostly negative with some exceptions, e.g., parts of northern India in March–May. Rainfall increases due to the elevated heat pump (EHP) mechanism and decreases due to solar dimming mechanisms (SDMs) and the relative strengths of these effects during different seasons and for different model setups are studied. Aerosol light absorption does increase rainfall in northern India, but effects due to solar dimming and circulation work to cancel the increase. The total aerosol effect on rainfall is negative for northern India in the months of June–August, but during March–May the effect is positive for most model setups. These differences between responses in different seasons might help converge the ongoing debate on the EHPs and SDMs. Due to the complexity of the problem and known or potential sources for error and bias, the results should be interpreted cautiously as they are completely dependent on how realistic the model is. Aerosol–rainfall correlations and anticorrelations are shown not to be a reliable sole argument for deducing causality.

Investigation of the &amp;quot;elevated heat pump&amp;quot; hypothesis of the Asian monsoon using satellite observations

Abstract. The "elevated heat pump" (EHP) hypothesis has been a topic of intensive research and controversy. It postulates that aerosol-induced anomalous mid- and upper-tropospheric warming in the Himalayan foothills and above the Tibetan Plateau leads to an early onset and intensification of Asian monsoon rainfall. This finding is primarily based on results from a NASA finite-volume general circulation model run with and without radiative forcing from different types of aerosols. In particular, black carbon emissions from sources in northern India and dust from Western China, Afghanistan, Pakistan, the Thar Desert, and the Arabian Peninsula drive the modeled anomalous heating. Since the initial discussion of the EHP hypothesis in 2006, the aerosol–monsoon relationship has been investigated using various modeling and observational techniques. The current study takes a novel observational approach to detect signatures of the "elevated heat pump" effect on convection, precipitation, and temperature for contrasting aerosol content years during the period of 2000–2012. The analysis benefits from unique high-resolution convection information inferred from Meteosat-5 observations as available through 2005. Additional data sources include temperature data from the NCEP/NCAR Reanalysis and the European Reanalysis (ERA-Interim) precipitation data from the Global Precipitation Climatology Project (GPCP), aerosol optical depth from the Multi-angle Imaging Spectroradiometer (MISR) and the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and aerosol optical properties from the Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications (MERRA) aerosol reanalysis. Anomalous upper-tropospheric warming and the early onset and intensification of the Indian monsoon were not consistently observed during the years with high loads of absorbing aerosols. Possibly, model assumptions and/or unaccounted semi-direct aerosol effects caused the disagreement between observed and hypothesized behavior.

Comment on “‘Elevated heat pump’ hypothesis for the aerosol-monsoon hydroclimate link: ‘Grounded’ in observations?” by S. Nigam and M. Bollasina

In their recent paper, Nigam and Bollasina [2010] (hereinafter NB) claimed to have found observational evidences that are at variance with the elevated heat pump (EHP) hypothesis regarding the possible impacts of absorbing aerosols on the South Asian summer monsoon [Lau et al., 2006; Lau and Kim, 2006]. We found NB's arguments and inferences against the EHP hypothesis flawed, stemming from their own out of context interpretation of the hypothesis. NB argued that the simultaneous negative correlation of aerosol with rainfall, and correlations with other quantities in May, are evidence against the EHP hypothesis. Their argument cannot be justified. First, Lau and Kim [2006] (hereinafter LK06) never stated that the main rainfall response to EHP is in May. Second, the EHP is about responses of the entire Indian monsoon system that are nonlocal in space and time with respect to the aerosol forcing. As shown in Figure 4 of LK06, while the aerosol anomalies are strongest in April-May, the strongest rainfall response is in June-July, with the enhanced rainfall fed by an induced thermally driven circulation which brings additional moisture from the ocean to the Indian subcontinent. Third, the increased rainfall over the Bay of Bengal as shown in Figure 1a of NB and the increased low-level convergence in Figure 1f of NB do not necessarily reflect responses associated with EHP but rather the large ]scale circulation that provides the buildup of the aerosols before the onset of the monsoon rainfall over India. Because aerosol can only accumulate where there is little or no washout by rain, the negative correlation is a necessary condition for increased atmospheric loading of aerosols. For the same reason, the spatial distributions of rainfall and aerosol generally are offset with each other, i.e., high aerosol in regions of low rainfall. This is evident in Figure 1, which shows the climatological mean of the MODIS aerosol optical depth (AOD), and TRMM rainfall over India in May. The maximum AOD is found over the Indo-Gangetic Plain and the desert regions of northwest India and Pakistan

Reply to comment by K. M. Lau and K. M. Kim on “‘Elevated heat pump’ hypothesis for the aerosol–monsoon hydroclimate link: ‘Grounded’ in observations?”

Reply to comment by K. M. Lau and K. M. Kim on “‘Elevated heat pump’ hypothesis for the aerosol–monsoon hydroclimate link: ‘Grounded’ in observations?”

Simulation of the direct and semidirect aerosol effects on the southern Africa regional climate during the biomass burning season

The regional climate model RegCM3 was used to simulate the direct and semidirect radiative effects of biomass burning and dust aerosol over southern Africa during the austral winter season. Simulated aerosols were found to induce changes in the regional surface fluxes and atmospheric dynamics. Clear‐sky surface radiative forcing decreased by up to −60 W/m2 in the main biomass burning region, resulting in decreased surface turbulent fluxes and PBL height as well as reduced surface temperatures. The positive temperature bias over the western half of the subcontinent was thus reduced. Radiative absorption by biomass burning aerosols resulted in diabatic warming of the atmosphere, peaking near 700 hPa at a rate of up to 1°C/d. Simulated surface cooling and heating at altitude stabilized the lower troposphere below 700 hPa. Above 700 hPa, stability was reduced in the equatorial region between 5°N and 5°S through an elevated heat pump mechanism, enhancing deep convection and precipitation. The southern branch of the African Easterly Jet was enhanced and shifted southward, likely as a result of the changes in the surface temperature gradient induced by both the reduction in solar radiation reaching the surface and through precipitation‐induced surface cooling in the equatorial region. Daily‐scale aerosol outflow events to the southwest Indian Ocean were also investigated, these events occurring with the passage of a westerly wave. It was found that the aerosol loading enhanced baroclinicity along the leading edge of the frontal system, thus intensifying and narrowing the band of precipitation in this zone.

“Elevated heat pump” hypothesis for the aerosol‐monsoon hydroclimate link: “Grounded” in observations?

The viability of the elevated heat pump hypothesis, a mechanism proposed by Lau and Kim (2006) for absorbing aerosols' impact on South Asian summer monsoon hydroclimate, is assessed from a careful review of these authors' own analysis and others since then. The lack of appreciation of the spatial distribution of the aerosol‐related precipitation signal over the Indian subcontinent, its east–west asymmetric structure, in particular, apparently led to the development of this hypothesis. Its key elements have little observational support, and the hypothesis is thus deemed untenable. Quite telling is the observation that local precipitation signal over the core aerosol region is negative, i.e., increased loadings are linked with suppressed precipitation and not more as claimed by the hypothesis. Finally, motivated by the need to address causality, the analysis of contemporaneous aerosol‐monsoon links by Bollasina et al. (2008) is extended by examining the structure of hydroclimate lagged regressions on aerosols. It is shown that findings obtained from contemporaneous analysis can be safely interpreted as representing the impact of aerosols on precipitation, not vice versa. The possibility that both are shaped by a slowly evolving, large‐scale circulation pattern cannot however be ruled out.