ABSTRACT Water scarcity is one of the major critical affecting arid climate countries. In addition, population growth and climate change are threatening the sustainable development of water resources in the upcoming decades. Therefore, managing groundwater can solve water scarcity such that sustainable development is ensured for future generations. Hence, it is crucial to assess the current quantity of groundwater by analyzing groundwater variables. Thus, natural groundwater recharge could be utilized as an indicator to assess groundwater quantity conditions. This study aims to estimate natural groundwater recharge in an arid unconfined aquifer. El-Qaa plain in Sinai, Egypt was chosen as a case study. Recharge was estimated taking into consideration spatial and temporal variability. To accomplish this, the WetSpass (Water and Energy Transfer between Soil, Plants, and Atmosphere under quasi-Steady State) model was applied. The model was run using morphological, landuse – land cover and climate data from 1986 to 2015 with a monthly time step. To calibrate the model, the isotope signature of δ18O and δ2 H of water was analyzed to determine the natural groundwater recharge of the aquifer. The obtained recharge value was utilized as a reference value for the calibration process. The results were validated using a finite-difference groundwater flow model (MODFLOW). The recharge values were imported to MODFLOW followed via a transient run from 2000 to 2011. The validation was conducted by comparing the simulated groundwater level with the observed ones. After validation process, the inter-annual and seasonal variability of recharge were determined, and a relationship between recharge and other hydrological parameters was deduced. In addition, the recharge distribution was mapped to depict the recharge spatial variability. The results show that the current recharge rate ranges from approximately 8.10 to 16.62 mm/yr, with a mean annual recharge rate of nearly 12.36 mm/yr. The study might be useful for hydrogeologists for determining potential recharge in the study area, groundwater modelers for developing a reliable groundwater flow model, and decision-makers for planning appropriate future sustainable development through water resources management.
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