Background: Recent research has revealed a correlation between serum bilirubin levels and cancer risk and mortality. This study explored the potential of bilirubin as a significant predictor of the therapeutic efficacy of EGFR tyrosine kinase inhibitors (EGFR-TKIs) in patients with EGFR-mutated non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Methods: This multicenter cohort study included patients diagnosed with EGFR-mutated NSCLC and treated with EGFR-TKIs (discovery cohort, n = 113; validation cohort, n = 53). Serum direct bilirubin (DBIL) was measured before and 3–4 months after treatment. Patients were categorized into DBILlow and DBILhigh groups around the median DBIL and DBILin or DBILde groups according to whether DBIL increased or decreased after treatment. Results: Multivariate Cox regression analysis of the discovery cohort revealed that smoking (HR, 1.4357; 95% CI, 1.0459–10.9709; p = 0.0253) and DBIL (HR, 1.3006; 95% CI, 1.0054–1.6824; p = 0.0454) were independent risk factors for overall survival (OS). Kaplan–Meier analysis revealed significantly shorter OS in the DBILhigh (p = 0.0273) and Smoking+ (p < 0.001) groups. When these factors were combined, the DBILhigh Smoking+ group had the shortest OS, whereas the DBILlow Smoking− group had the longest OS (p = 0.0011). This trend was consistent with that in the validation cohort (p = 0.0449). Additionally, the DBIL level did not significantly change in the survival group (p = 0.3208, p = 0.1204), whereas the post-treatment DBIL level significantly increased in the nonsurviving group (p = 0.0457, p = 0.0297) in both cohorts. The DBILin group demonstrated shorter OS in both cohorts (p = 0.0229 and p = 0.0424, respectively). Conclusions: Serum DBIL and smoking status were significant biomarkers for prognosis in EGFR-mutated NSCLC patients receiving EGFR-TKI therapy.
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