Changes In Eddy Kinetic Energy Research Articles

Increases in the Local Eddy Energetics of the Extratropical Atmosphere over the Last Four Decades

Abstract Changes in the vertical and meridional temperature gradients of the atmosphere drive competing influences on storm-track activity. We apply local eddy energetics to the ERA5, JRA-55, MERRA-2, and NCEP-2 reanalyses during 1980–2020 to determine the locations, magnitudes, and trends of the energy transfer mechanisms for synoptic-scale eddies. Eddy kinetic energy (EKE) increases more rapidly in the Southern Hemisphere at all altitudes and seasons, with larger increases during austral winter and spring. In the Northern Hemisphere, increases occur within the Atlantic and Pacific storm tracks at pressures below 300 hPa but only during boreal winter and spring and confined within a narrow zonal band; EKE decreases during boreal summer and fall. Most EKE changes correspond with trends in baroclinic energy conversion upstream of storm tracks and appear to align with increases in the growth rate of the most unstable baroclinic mode. Barotropic energy conversion of EKE to the mean flow becomes locally more intense downstream of the storm tracks. Conversion of EKE to long-period eddies plays a minor role averaged over a hemisphere but can be important locally. The primary strengthening pathway for removal of EKE is a combination of surface friction and viscous dissipation. The increased baroclinic conversion in the Southern Hemisphere appears related to upper-level tropical temperature increases. In the Northern Hemisphere, increased baroclinic conversion is enabled by a combination of increased vertical heat fluxes and a region of temperature increases within 30°–60°N. Significance Statement Traveling atmospheric disturbances arrange into storm tracks that determine the weather in the midlatitudes. Storm tracks are evolving in time due to anthropogenic warming; however, the location and strength of temperature changes compete for influence on the storm tracks. A framework to quantify the mechanisms of generation of kinetic energy contained by eddies pinpoints the extent of storm-track evolution. Storm tracks generally strengthen across the planet but have increased the most in the Southern Hemisphere. Strengthening in the Northern Hemisphere is limited to the winter in a narrow latitudinal band, because of warming in the Arctic that reduces the primary instability that drives eddies. The locations of northern warming and storm-track strengthening suggest a role for tropical dynamics.

The Multi‐Scale Response of the Eddy Kinetic Energy and Transport to Strengthened Westerlies in an Idealized Antarctic Circumpolar Current

AbstractThe Southern Ocean's eddy response to changing climate remains unclear, with observations suggesting non‐monotonic changes in eddy kinetic energy (EKE) across scales. Here simulations reappear that smaller‐mesoscale EKE is suppressed while larger‐mesoscale EKE increases with strengthened winds. This change was linked to scale‐wise changes in the kinetic energy cycle, where a sensitive balance between the dominant mesoscale energy sinks—inverse KE cascade, and source—baroclinic energization. Such balance induced a strong (weak) mesoscale suppression in the flat (ridge) channel. Mechanistically, this mesoscale suppression is attributed to stronger zonal jets weakening smaller mesoscale eddies and promoting larger‐scale waves. These EKE multiscale changes lead to multiscale changes in meridional and vertical eddy transport, which can be parameterized using a scale‐dependent diffusivity linked to the EKE spectrum. This multiscale eddy response may have significant implications for understanding and modeling the Southern Ocean eddy activity and transport under a changing climate.

Future Changes in Eddy Kinetic Energy in the California Current System From Dynamically Downscaled Climate Projections

AbstractEddies in the California Current System (CCS) are generated via baroclinic instabilities of the upwelling jet and contribute to mesoscale variability. However, climate‐induced changes in mesoscale activity of the CCS remain poorly explored. We present future eddy kinetic energy (EKE) from an ensemble of three high‐resolution downscaled ocean projections covering 1980–2100. EKE is projected to increase throughout the CCS toward the end of the century (2071–2100) compared to a 1980–2010 reference period. Using measures of upper ocean stratification, we find an increasing EKE trend is highly correlated with a more stratified ocean. These findings support previous studies suggesting that mesoscale activity is modulated mainly by baroclinic instabilities, rather than changes in the wind components, which did not show a systematic change across the three projections. Enhanced eddy activity could lead to changes in the distribution and aggregation of biogenic material, having important implications for the CCS.

Regional Trends in Southern Ocean Eddy Kinetic Energy

AbstractPrevious model‐based studies and observation‐based studies suggest that increasing wind energy input into the Southern Ocean will primarily cause increases in eddy kinetic energy (EKE) with no significant change in the mean circulation, a result that has been named the “eddy‐saturation” hypothesis. However, due to the sparsity of the available observations, quantifying and understanding regional EKE changes in the Southern Ocean is challenging. In this study, we examine regional trends in the Southern Ocean EKE using altimetry crossover measurements and an ocean reanalysis product to quantify if undersampling by altimetry will bias EKE trend estimates and to test if previously observed EKE trends are homogenous throughout the Southern Ocean or concentrated in a few regions. To verify that the EKE computed from altimetry crossovers accurately represents yearly averaged EKE over the Southern Ocean, we first conduct a sampling experiment with the HYCOM Global Ocean Forecasting System 3.1 ocean reanalysis. We find that the crossover sampling is sufficient to represent the yearly averaged EKE when averaged over sectors of at least 30° of longitude. We find no coherent increase in EKE over the entire Southern Ocean from altimetry crossover measurements, but instead find significant EKE increase over only one region, primarily south of New Zealand and downstream of the Campbell Plateau. We conclude that the EKE change in the Southern Ocean is not as homogenous as implied by previous studies and more work is needed to understand if this is consistent with the “eddy‐saturation” hypothesis or related more to local dynamics.

ENSO diversity driving low-frequency change in mesoscale activity off Peru and Chile

Transient mesoscale oceanic eddies in Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems are thought to strongly affect key regional scale processes such as ocean heat transport, coastal upwelling and productivity. Understanding how these can be modulated at low-frequency is thus critical to infer their role in the climate system. Here we use 26 years of satellite altimeter data and regional oceanic modeling to investigate the modulation of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) off Peru and Chile by ENSO, the main mode of natural variability in the tropical Pacific. We show that EKE tends to increase during strong Eastern Pacific (EP) El Niño events along the Peruvian coast up to northern Chile and decreases off central Chile, while it is hardly changed during Central Pacific El Niño and La Niña events. However the magnitude of the EKE changes during strong EP El Niño events is not proportional to their strength, with in particular the 1972/1973 El Niño event standing out as an extreme event in terms of EKE increase off Peru reaching an amplitude three times as large as that during the 1997/1998 El Niño event, and the 2015/2016 El Niño having instead a weak impact on EKE. This produces decadal changes in EKE, with a similar pattern than that of strong EP El Niño events, resulting in a significant negative (positive) long-term trend off Peru (central Chile).

Eddy Activity Response to Global Warming–Like Temperature Changes

AbstractGlobal warming projections show an anomalous temperature increase both at the Arctic surface and at lower latitudes in the upper troposphere. The Arctic amplification decreases the meridional temperature gradient, and simultaneously decreases static stability. These changes in the meridional temperature gradient and in the static stability have opposing effects on baroclinicity. The temperature increase at the upper tropospheric lower latitudes tends to increase the meridional temperature gradient and simultaneously increase static stability, which have opposing effects on baroclinicity as well. In this study, a dry idealized general circulation model with a modified Newtonian cooling scheme, which allows any chosen zonally symmetric temperature distribution to be simulated, is used to study the effect of Arctic amplification and lower-latitude upper-level warming on eddy activity. Due to the interplay between the static stability and meridional temperature gradient on atmospheric baroclinicity changes, and their opposing effect on atmospheric baroclinicity, it is found that both the Arctic amplification and lower-latitude upper-level warming could potentially lead to both decreases and increases in eddy activity, depending on the exact prescribed temperature modifications. Therefore, to understand the effect of global warming–like temperature trends on eddy activity, the zonally symmetric global warming temperature projections from state-of-the-art models are simulated. It is found that the eddy kinetic energy changes are dominated by the lower-latitude upper-level warming, which tends to weaken the eddy kinetic energy due to increased static stability. On the other hand, the eddy heat flux changes are dominated by the Arctic amplification, which tends to weaken the eddy heat flux at the lower levels.

Changes in Winter North Atlantic Extratropical Cyclones in High-Resolution Regional Pseudo–Global Warming Simulations

The present study investigates changes in the location, frequency, intensity, and dynamical processes of North Atlantic extratropical cyclones with warming consistent with the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) representative concentration pathway 8.5 (RCP8.5) scenario. The modeling, analysis, and prediction (MAP) climatology of midlatitude storminess (MCMS) feature-tracking algorithm was utilized to analyze 10 cold-season high-resolution atmospheric simulations over the North Atlantic region in current and future climates. Enhanced extratropical cyclone activity is most evident in the northeast North Atlantic and off the U.S. East Coast. These changes in cyclone activity are offset from changes in eddy kinetic energy and eddy heat flux. Investigation of the minimum SLP reached at each grid point reveals a lack of correspondence between the strongest events in the current and future simulations, indicating the future simulations produced a different population of storms. Examination of the percent change of storms in the storm-track region shows a reduction in the number of strong storms (i.e., those reaching a minimum SLP perturbation of at least −51 hPa). Storm-relative composites of strong and moderate storms show an increase in precipitation, associated with enhanced latent heat release and strengthening of the 900–700-hPa layer-average potential vorticity (PV). Other structural changes found for cyclones in a future climate include weakened upper-level PV for strong storms and a weakened near-surface potential temperature anomaly for moderate storms, demonstrating a change in storm dynamics. Furthermore, the impacts associated with extratropical cyclones, such as strong near-surface winds and heavy precipitation, strengthen and become more frequent with warming.

Variability and trends in Southern Ocean eddy activity in 1/12° ocean model simulations

AbstractThe response of eddy kinetic energy (EKE) to the strengthening of Southern Hemisphere winds occurring since the 1950s is investigated with a global ocean model having a resolution of 1/12° in the Antarctic Circumpolar Current domain. The simulations expose regional differences in the relative importance of stochastic and wind‐related contributions to interannual EKE changes. In the Pacific and Indian sectors the model captures the EKE variability observed since 1993 and confirms previous hypotheses of a lagged response to regional wind stress anomalies. Here the multidecadal trend in wind stress is reflected in an increase in EKE typically exceeding 5 cm2 s−2 decade−1. In the western Atlantic, EKE variability is mostly stochastic, is weakly correlated with wind fluctuations, and its multidecadal trends are close to zero. The nonuniform distribution of wind‐related changes in the eddy activity could affect the regional patterns of ocean circulation and biogeochemical responses to future climate change.

Impact of the Warming Pattern on Global Energetics

Abstract The warming pattern due to higher greenhouse gas concentrations is expected to affect the global atmospheric energetics mainly via changes in the (i) meridional temperature gradient and (ii) mean static stability. Changes in surface meridional temperature gradients have been previously regarded as the determining feature for the energetics response, but recent studies suggest that changes in mean static stability may be more relevant than previously thought. This study aims to determine the relative importance of these two effects by comparing the energetics responses due to different warming patterns using a fully coupled atmosphere–ocean general circulation model. By means of an additional diabatic forcing, experiments with different warming patterns are obtained: one with a 2xCO2-like pattern that validates the method, one with only the tropical upper-tropospheric warming, and one with only the high-latitude surface warming. The study’s findings suggest that the dominant aspect of the warming pattern that alters the global atmospheric energetics is not its associated meridional temperature gradient changes, but the mean static stability changes. The tropical upper warming weakens the energetics by increasing the mean static stability, whereas the surface warming strengthens it by reducing the mean static stability. The combined 2xCO2-like response is dominated by the tropical upper-tropospheric warming effect, hence the weaker energetic activity. Eddy kinetic energy changes consistently, but the two opposite responses nearly cancel each other in the 2xCO2 case. Therefore, estimates of future changes in storminess may be particularly sensitive to the relative magnitude of the main features of the simulated warming pattern.

Energy of Midlatitude Transient Eddies in Idealized Simulations of Changed Climates

Abstract As the climate changes, changes in static stability, meridional temperature gradients, and availability of moisture for latent heat release may exert competing effects on the energy of midlatitude transient eddies. This paper examines how the eddy kinetic energy in midlatitude baroclinic zones responds to changes in radiative forcing in simulations with an idealized moist general circulation model. In a series of simulations in which the optical thickness of the longwave absorber is varied over a wide range, the eddy kinetic energy has a maximum for a climate with mean temperature similar to that of present-day earth, with significantly smaller values both for warmer and for colder climates. In a series of simulations in which the meridional insolation gradient is varied, the eddy kinetic energy increases monotonically with insolation gradient. In both series of simulations, the eddy kinetic energy scales approximately linearly with the dry mean available potential energy averaged over the baroclinic zones. Changes in eddy kinetic energy can therefore be related to the changes in the atmospheric thermal structure that affect the mean available potential energy.

Mass, heat, and salt transport in the southeastern Pacific: A Circumpolar Current inverse model

A box inverse model for the southeastern Pacific is used to combine hydrographic measurements with synoptic information from floats, acoustic Doppler surface velocity measurements, altimeter‐derived surface geostrophic velocities, and wind measurements. The southeastern Pacific is marked by substantial changes in eddy kinetic energy along the path of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC), associated with the Eltanin and Udintsev Fracture Zones in the East Pacific Rise. The results of the inverse model show that the heat and salt carried by the ACC are essentially unchanged as the current passes through regions of high eddy variability. Thus, within the error bars of the available measurements the ACC appears not to exchange significant water properties with its surroundings in the southeastern Pacific Ocean. (The system is geographically variable, and elsewhere in the Southern Ocean, meridional exchanges may be substantial.) Meridional flow through the north side of the inverse model domain is consistent with an overturning circulation that carries surface intermediate water northward and returns deep water southward into the ACC. Diapycnal fluxes identified in the inverse solution indicate that water mass transformation occurs predominantly in the outcropping upper layers of the ocean.