Economic Community Of West African States Region Research Articles

Can global health security frameworks measure One Health implementation in West Africa?A mixed-methods study

BackgroundThe 2014 outbreak of the Ebola virus disease highlighted the importance of overhauling and transforming healthcare systems in West Africa to improve the ability of individual countries to deal with infectious diseases. As part of this effort, in November 2016 the West African Health Organization (WAHO) began the process of institutionalizing the One Health (OH) approach to health security across the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). The lack of clear metrics and evaluation frameworks to measure the progress of OH implementation in West Africa has been reported as a challenge. Therefore, this study sought to assess and explore whether the existing metrics of global health security frameworks can measure the successful implementation of OH activities, evaluate the progress made since 2016, and identify key areas for improvement in the region.MethodThe study employed predetermined keywords to select indicators from the International Health Regulations (IHR) Monitoring Frameworks, specifically the State Party Self-Assessment Annual Report (SPAR) and Joint External Evaluation (JEE), deemed relevant to the OH approach. In addition, the COVID-19 performance index scores (severity and recovery) for June 2022 were extracted from the Global COVID-19 Index (GCI). The GCI Recovery Index evaluated the major recovery parameters reported daily to indicate how a country performed on the path to recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic compared to other countries. National documents were also analyzed using categorical variables to assess the performance status of OH platforms across implementing countries. A quantitative analysis of these indicators was conducted and supplemented with qualitative data gathered through interviews with key stakeholders. Between March and April 2022, we conducted 18 key informant interviews with purposively selected representatives from regional governmental agencies and international multilateral agencies, including ECOWAS member states. Interviews were conducted online, transcribed, and analysed following the tenets of thematic analysis.ResultsOur quantitative analysis revealed no significant association between the implementation status of OH activities and any of the selected indicators from SPAR and JEE. The descriptive analysis of the JEE scores at the country level revealed that countries with existing OH platforms scored relatively higher on the selected JEE indicators than other countries in the pre-implementation stage. OH implementation status did not significantly affect COVID-19 recovery and severity indices. The qualitative findings with relevant stakeholders revealed noteworthy challenges related to insufficient human capacity, inadequate coordination, and a lack of government funding for the sustainability of OH initiatives. Nonetheless, countries in the ECOWAS region are making progress toward the integration of OH into their health security systems.ConclusionStandardized metrics were used to assess the implementation and efficacy of OH systems in the ECOWAS region. Current indicators for monitoring global health security frameworks lack specificity and fail to comprehensively capture essential OH components, particularly at the sub-national level. To ensure consistency and effectiveness across countries, OH implementation metrics that align with global frameworks such as IHR should be developed.

Surveillance of Antimicrobial Resistance in the ECOWAS Region: Setting the Scene for Critical Interventions Needed.

Antimicrobial resistance poses a significant challenge to public health globally, leading to increased morbidity and mortality. AMR surveillance involves the systematic collection, analysis, and interpretation of data on the occurrence and distribution of AMR in humans, animals, and the environment for action. The West African Health Organization, part of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), is committed to addressing AMR in the region. This paper examines the status of AMR surveillance in ECOWAS countries using available WHO data from the TrACSS survey and GLASS enrollments. The analysis reveals that while progress has been made, significant challenges remain. Twelve of the fifteen ECOWAS countries are enrolled in GLASS, and ten have developed national action plans (NAPs) for AMR. However, there is a need to ensure all countries fully implement their NAPs, continue reporting to GLASS, and use the data for evidence-based actions and decision making. Surveillance systems for AMR and antimicrobial consumption/use vary across countries with some demonstrating limited capacity. All countries, except Cabo Verde, reported having a reference laboratory for AMR testing. Strengthening laboratory capabilities, data management and use, and multisectoral coordination are crucial for effective AMR surveillance and response. Based on the findings and the regional context, it is essential to prioritize capacity building, data utilization, and the adoption of standardized guidelines for AMR surveillance. Collaboration among ECOWAS countries, the WAHO, and international partners is essential to address AMR comprehensively. Ensuring a consistent supply of essential antimicrobial medications and reagents is vital.

Examining the impact of intra-industry trade on business cycle alignment within the ECOWAS

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of intra-industry trade on business cycle synchronization within the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). ECOWAS region is characterized by limited intracommunity trade and a low level of foreign direct investment. Design/methodology/approach First, this research uses the two-digit level harmonized system classification to measure intra-industry trade, which is straightforward to interpret and compute, making it suitable for countries with low trade intensity. Second, it uses the system generalized method of moments (system-GMM) to examine the dynamic relationship between variables and address endogeneity concerns. Findings The results obtained from the system-GMM estimation reveal a positive and significant correlation between intra-industry trade intensity and business cycle synchronization, as well as an inhibiting effect of economic freedom on the relationship between intra-industry trade and business cycle synchronization. These results highlight the need to implement policies aimed at reducing tariff barriers, improving financial integration and intensifying production. Originality/value This research analyze the link between intra-industry trade and business cycle synchronization within the ECOWAS. It also analyze the role of economic freedom on the link between intra-industry trade and business cycle synchronization.

The 15 West African countries as an optimum currency area and the role of labour mobility in the adjustment to asymmetric shocks

This paper assesses the nature and correlation of shocks in Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries and investigates the readiness of member countries for the formation of a monetary union. It also assesses the role of labour mobility as an adjustment mechanism to asymmetric shocks. Structural vector autoregression (SVAR) models are used in assessing the nature and correlation of shocks while cointegrated panel autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) models are employed to examine the role of labour mobility in the adjustment process to asymmetric shocks. The results show that the ECOWAS region is characterised by asymmetric shocks. The study also finds that most countries failed to consistently meet the convergence criteria for the formation of the monetary union and that labour mobility in the region is low to act as an efficient adjustment mechanism to asymmetric shocks. It takes about 2–5 years for member countries to adjust to asymmetric shocks through labour mobility.

Analysing Trade Creation and Trade Diversion effects in ECOWAS Regional Trade Agreement

Aim/Purpose – The study focuses on trade creation and trade diversion effect in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) regional trade agreement. It examines if the ECOWAS regional trade agreement has brought about trade creation and/or trade diversion before the period of ban on certain items of importation by the Nigerian government as against the terms of the agreement. 
 Methodology – The study uses augmented gravity model. Estimations were carried out on bilateral trade flows, trade creation and trade diversion within the region. Secondary data (2008-2018) were obtained from reliable sources. Ordinary least squares (OLS) and panel data regression was used to analyze the data. 
 Findings – It was found that the GDP (wealth), population and political stability of the exporting countries will significantly foster intra-regional bilateral trade flow while variables like land area, landlocked and distance will significantly reduce bilateral trade flow in the region. The population, landlocked, political stability and corruption perception variables of the importing countries are found not to be statistically significant. R2 being the coefficient of determination falls between 54.8% and 63.3% which implies that the independent variables have been able to explain 54.8% to 63.3% of the total variations in the dependent variable.
 Research implications – Membership of some of the ECOWAS members in Global System of Trade Preferences among developing countries (GSTP) was found to have resulted in trade diversion; whereas, participation of some of ECOWAS members in West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) has contributed to the level of trade creation in ECOWAS region.
 Originality/value/contribution – The level of trade creation in the ECOWAS region can be improved upon provided all member states adhere strictly to the terms of the agreement.

Environmental issues, economic growth, and fertility rate in developing regions: From theory to robust empirical policies

The researchers aim to examine the effects of environmental pollutants on the total fertility rate in developing regions and test the validity of an environmental theory. The researchers adopt countries in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA), the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS), and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) regions as case studies. Environmental issues are captured using carbon dioxide (CO2), nitrous oxide (NO2) and methane (CH4) emissions. The researchers anchored the environmental theory affecting fertility rate on the Environmental Kuznets Curve/Hypothesis (EKC), which explains the relationship between environmental pollution and economic growth through total fertility rate (TFR). A longitudinal survey method, otherwise known as panel regression analysis, covering a substantial period (1970–2019) is adopted. The empirical results show that environmental issues effects on fertility rate are relatively more severe in countries in the MENA region, followed by the ECOWAS region and less pronounced in the ASEAN region both in the current period and projected future. Based on the results, robust policies are recommended to mitigate environmental and fertility issues and thus stimulate growth and development in these focal regions.

Foreign direct investment and economic growth nexus in ECOWAS: The leveraging effect of anti-corruption

Purpose ― This paper sought to investigate the interactive effect of corruption and FDI on economic growth in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region empirically. Methods ― With panel data spanning 2000–2019 across 15 ECOWAS countries, this paper estimates its results by employing the system-GMM estimator, which combines a system of regressions in difference and in levels to resolve the problem of endogeneity. Findings ― Results reveal that while FDI independently spurs economic growth, control of corruption has no direct effect on growth in the region. The interactive effects reveal the complementarity between FDI and control of corruption in promoting economic growth in the ECOWAS region. The growth effect of FDI is larger and stronger given an improvement in the control of corruption across the 1st, 5th, 10th, and 25th percentiles. Implication ― To improve investor confidence, bolster FDI inflows and optimize its beneficial impacts on economic growth, this paper calls for measures to increase transparency and stronger political commitment to strictly investigate, prosecute and punish corruption in the ECOWAS region. Originality/value ― Although foreign direct investment (FDI) to host countries have been shown in the literature to be a crucial driver of economic growth, little is known about how anti-corruption measures affect the FDI-growth relationship. This paper contributes to policy by providing empirical evidence to bridge this gap.

Farmers’ Demand for Climate Information Services: A Systematic Review

The importance of climate information services (CIS) for farm decision-making is known worldwide. Its use is widely recommended by academics, governments, and development partners, especially in Africa. However, the supply of commercial CIS in Africa remains very low. Considering that the commercial CIS suppliers are business-oriented, the lack of supply is mainly due to the lack of evidence on the demand for it. The specific objectives of the review were to assess the demand for CIS, the key characteristics of the demanded CIS. and the key drivers for the demand for CIS in the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Through a systematic review, 123 articles were identified on the SCOPUS and Google Scholar databases and 52 papers were included in the study. The models of assessment done by the majority of authors were a simple description based on needs assessments and econometrics modelling to identify the key drivers. The results show that 68% of the farmers in ECOWAS demanded CIS. The average willingness to pay for CIS is estimated to be USD 2.01 for daily forecasts. The usability of CIS, daily forecasts and geolocalized CIS, and customized CIS are the key characteristics farmers are looking for in the ECOWAS region. The main drivers of CIS demand are price, income, vulnerability to climate variability, beliefs and religion, complementary services, gender, type of crops, and farm size. According to the consumer theory, information such as elasticity of price and income, ranked substitutes of CIS, which are still lacking, are key for understanding the CIS demand. However, the review showed that little research work has been conducted in this area. The review also shows the importance of determining among which type of goods CIS should be classified. Knowing whether CIS is a necessity good is vital for suppliers’ decision-making.

Monetary policy channels, sectoral outputs and sustainable growth in the ECOWAS region: a rigorous analysis and implications for policy

PurposeThe market-based monetary policy framework has been favoured by Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) economies. Hence, this study aims to investigate the effect of monetary policy channels on the sectoral value added and sustainable economic growth in ECOWAS. Data from the World Bank and International Monetary Fund over 2013–2019 were sourced for thirteen member countries. ECOWAS is found to have very high inflation level, interest and exchange rates.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopted the Driscoll–Kraay fixed-effects ordinary least squares regression (OLS) estimator.FindingsThe findings revealed that while the effect of monetary policy channels on the agricultural sector value added is largely heterogenous and significantly in-elastic, the one on the industrial and services sectors are overwhelmingly homogeneous and negative, but insignificant for the services sector. Moreover, the effect of monetary policy channels on sustainable economic growth is also homogeneously asymmetric, with imminent stagflation, while the interactive effects of monetary policy channels are heterogeneous on sustainable economic growth and economic sectors. Therefore, an inflation targeting monetary policy stance is generally recommended with prioritised exchange rate stabilisation amid sufficient fiscal space.Originality/valueThis is amongst the first studies to investigate monetary policy channels, sectoral outputs and sustainable growth in the ECOWAS region with a rigorous analysis and found implications for policy.

Financial Integration and Economic Performance: Comparative Evidence from SADC and ECOWAS Regions

This paper examined the impact of financial integration on economic growth in Southern African Development Community (SADC) and Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries over the period 1993–2013. Using the Panel ARDL PMG Model developed by Pesaran and Shin, other control variables (trade openness, inflation, government expenditure, and institutional quality) were captured in the model. It was found that there is a significant and positive impact of financial integration on economic growth in the ECOWAS region in the long run. Whereas, even after controlling for necessary variables, financial integration exacerbates negative and insignificant effects in determining economic growth in the SADC region, both in the short run and long run. The insignificant and negative impact of financial integration on the region’s economic growth was attributed to several possible factors, including the low level of financial development in the SADC region, which is unconnected with the poor level of governance, unstable and fragile financial stability, or low creditworthiness, that are prevalent in developing countries like those in SADC countries. The findings suggest, amongst others, that increasing financial integration could improve the productive capacity of the economy, including more investments and the efficient allocation of capital, thus enhancing economic growth in these regions. This paper sheds new insights on a better evaluation of the past and present theorizing on the subjects of financial integration and economic growth, especially in comparing the separate effects on the economies of the SADC and ECOWAS countries.

The (in)formality of mobility in the ECOWAS region: The paradoxes of free movement

ABSTRACT The free movement protocols of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) have never been fully implemented, yet within the region people have continued to move relatively freely. At the same time, the original aim to improve mobility appears to be changing to one of control over mobility. Drawing on fieldwork data as well as a collaborative, deliberative process of uncovering what free movement means in conversations with a group of West African scholars and activists, this article seeks to better understand free movement in the region, despite all its paradoxes. It shows how formal free movement is undermined by several regional and national impediments, including weak ECOWAS institutions, divergent national interests among individual member states and infrastructural challenges like accessing ID cards, as well as external influence from the EU. These however work in convergence with a practice of everyday mobility within socio-political spaces that cross borders.

Remittances, Financial Sector Development, Institutions and Economic Growth in the ECOWAS Region

We investigate the relationship between remittances, financial sector development, institutions, and economic growth in a panel of 15 Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) over the period 2000-2017. The empirical evidence is based on the Two-Stage Least Squares Instrumental Variable (2SLS-IV) estimator, which provided two main findings. First, measures of remittances themselves had negative and significant effects on economic growth in the ECOWAS sub-region. The interactive effects of remittances and measures of financial sector development promote growth in the sub-region, thus supporting the complementarity hypothesis. Second, measures of institutional quality had positive and significant effects on the growth of countries in the ECOWAS area. Meanwhile, the interactive terms of remittances and institutional quality show support for the substitutability hypothesis. Therefore, remittances substitute for the presence of weak institutions in the ECOWAS area. Based on the preceding, we suggest the need for ECOWAS countries to further broaden the roles of financial sector institutions inside the remitting process to enhance savings mobilisation and channel the remitted funds into productive and growth-enhancing activities. Moreover, policymakers in ECOWAS countries need to strengthen governance institutions, which could increase the developmental benefits of remittances.

Does renewable energy policy increase energy intensity? Evidence from the ECOWAS region

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to assess how the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) renewable energy policy (EREP) affects energy intensity using the difference-in-difference (DID) and the propensity score matching methods (PSM). Based on the current debates on renewable energy policies (REP) and due to the fact that energy efficiency has been a challenge for ECOWAS member states. The authors set up a framework to assess the EREP effect on energy intensity.Design/methodology/approachUsing the DID and PSM approaches the paper assesses the effect of EREP on energy intensity. The following three different paths are considered: Path 1 tests the EREP effect on electricity access. Path 2 tests the use of renewable energy sources as a factor to enhance the energy intensity. Path 3 tests whether or not use of renewable energy deployment has the potential to raise the total percentage of primary energy supply. The principle is to investigate if and to what extend the EREP increases the energy intensity.FindingsThe results indicate that EREP has a significantly positive effect on increasing the percentage of energy intensity in ECOWAS member states that has implemented the policy, resulting for a large percentage of the population to electricity access in treated groups. Empirical estimation results largely corroborate the three paths’ hypotheses. The result indicated that the EREP has increased the percentage of electricity access throughout the region.Originality/valueThe paper explores a more appropriate framework to examine the effect of EREP and enriches the literature on the impact of REP by combining a policy evaluation approach (PSM-DID) method. This paper is the first to the knowledge to estimate the EREP effect by using a non-parametric approach. The majority of previous studies have focused on using case studies, exploratory analysis approaches and econometric methods.

Organized crime, corruption and the challenges of economic growth in the economic community of West African states

PurposeThis study aims to examine organized crime, corruption and their challenges to the economic growth of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Organized crime and corruption can have a grossly negative impact on the economic growth process of every system, but the extent of damage they have needs to be measured to determine the policy implications to the region.Design/methodology/approachThe study uses the fixed effects model and the feasible generalized least square known also as the random-effects model with the pooled ordinary least square as a control on the defined objectives using secondary time series data that covers the period 2000 to 2019 for 11 countries in the ECOWAS region. The panel nature of the data set provides a rich degree of freedom with 220 (20 years for 11 countries – 20*11 = 220) observations.FindingsResults show among others that organized crime does not have a significant impact on economic growth, whereas corruption significantly reduces economic growth.Research limitations/implicationsUnavailability of data affected the scope of the study in the areas of a number of countries selected and years chosen for the study. The implication is that it would have given the study better degrees of freedom.Practical implicationsThe practical implication of this study has exposed corruption hinders economic growth in West Africa.Social implicationsThe social implication of the study is that it has exposed that though the organized crime was a bad phenomenon it does not retard economic growth significantly in West Africa.Originality/valueThis study is original and of immense importance as its the first study to focus on organized crime and corruption’s influence on economic growth among West African states.

Organized Crime, Corruption and the Challenges of Economic Growth in the Economic Community of West African States

This study examined organized crime, corruption, and their challenges to the economic growth of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). Organized crime and corruption can have a grossly negative impact on the economic growth process of every system, but the extent of damage they have needs to be measured to determine the policy implications to the region. The research is a panel study of 11 countries in the ECOWAS region. The study employs the Fixed Effects Model (FEM) and the Feasible Generalized Least Square (FGLS) known also as the random-effects model with the pooled OLS as a control on the defined objectives. Results show among others that organized crime does not have a significant impact on economic growth, whereas, corruption significantly reduces economic growth. The study concludes that organized crime does not significantly impact economic growth, but that Corruption significantly impacts economic growth in the ECOWAS region. Part of the policy implications and recommendations is that Domestic investment significantly contributes to economic growth. This is encouraging and should be greatly encouraged as it increases production, job creation and reduces dependency ratio and poverty.

Foreign capital inflows: a panacea to slow economic growth and infrastructure decay in Africa?

PurposeThe purpose of this study is to examine the effect of foreign capital inflows on economic growth in 15 Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) countries over the period 2008–2018. Specifically, this paper investigates whether selected foreign capital inflows, namely, foreign debt, foreign aid and foreign direct investments substitute or complement government spending in ECOWAS.Design/methodology/approachThe study adopts the two-step system generalized method of moments (GMM) method of estimation to address the problem of dynamic endogeneity inherent in the relationship.FindingsThe result shows that foreign capital inflows into ECOWAS region have not transmitted into economic growth in the region. Further, the findings reveal that foreign capital inflows to ECOWAS have substituted for government spending. The results might be as a result of the high level of corruption in ECOWAS. The results also show that when institutional quality is interacted with foreign capital inflows, the result shows a negative and statistically significant effect on economic growth.Originality/valueUnlike previous studies which pooled both developed and developing economies together, the authors investigate this relationship in a regional study, using ECOWAS to create a roughly optimum size. In addition, the authors adopt the GMM-system method of estimation to address the problem of dynamic endogeneity inherent in the relationship, which has largely been ignored in extant studies.

Economic Community of West African State’s (ECOWAS) Controversy: Wither a Need for Single Currency by 2021?

The business cycles in the West African Monetary Zone (WAMZ) as well as West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU) using real GDP growth within 1980-2019, detrended by Hodrick–Prescott filters were analyzed. The Pearson correlation analysis on the computed z-scores was employed to examine the level of synchronization of business cycles, the level of symmetry in macroeconomic policies and the level of symmetry in trade flows. It was evident that business cycles synchronization was on the whole increasing, but with higher intensity within WAEMU region than within WAMZ region where only Ghana-Guinea, Ghana-Nigeria, Guinea-Gambia as well as Guinea-Nigeria as pairs were significantly synchronized. Symmetry in macroeconomic policies was on the whole minimal within ECOWAS region. The flow of trade however within ECOWAS region was asymmetric between Cote d’Ivoire and other WAEMU countries and between Nigeria and other WAMZ countries, but was symmetric between other ECOWAS countries, indicating that these economies rely more on transaction with other developed economies. The empirical results provided a direction for countries with synchronized business cycles such as Ghana, Guinea, Gambia and Nigeria to consider proceeding in the creation of the second West African monetary union (SWAMU) while also creating an enabling environment for other countries within WAMZ to join in due course. The study recommended among others that any country under WAEMU without strong similarities with other countries as pairs should disengage from WAEMU. On the converse, countries with strong similarities as pairs should unilaterally realign their exchange rate.

COVID-19 pandemic in Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region: implication for capacity strengthening at Point of Entry.

Free movement between countries without a visa is allowed within the 15-country Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region. However, little information is available across the region on the International Health Regulation (IHR 2005) capacities at points of entry (PoE) to detect and respond appropriately to public health emergencies such as Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). ECOWAS and the member states can better tailor border health measures across the region by understanding public health strengths and priorities for improvement at PoEs. A comprehensive literature review was combined with a self-assessment of capacities at PoEs across the fifteen member states from February to July 2020. For the assessment, the member states completed an adapted World Health Organization (WHO) self-assessment checklist by classifying capacity for seven domains as fully, partially, or not implemented. The team implemented three focus group discussion (FGD) sessions and 13 key informant interviews (KII) with national-level border health stakeholders. Univariate analysis was used to summarize the assessment data and detailed content analysis was applied to evaluate FGD and KII results. Of the 15 member states, 3 (20%) are landlocked; 3 (20%) have more than one seaport. Eleven (73%) countries have 1 designated airport, 3 (20%) have two airports, and only one country (6.7%) has three airports. Two hundred and seventy-eight designated ground crossings were identified in 12 countries (80%). Strengths across the PoE were existence of decrees and ministerial acts in some ECOWAS countries and establishment of national taskforces for the COVID-19 response at PoE in ECOWAS. Major challenges were porous borders, poor intersectoral coordination, lack of harmonized traveler screening measures, shortage of staff, and inadequate financial resources. Despite all these challenges, there are opportunities such as leveraging the regional cross-border poliomyelitis coordination and control mechanism, and existence of networks of infection prevention and control specialists and field epidemiologists. However, political instabilities in some countries pose a threat to government commitments to PoE activities. The capacity to respond to public health emergencies at PoE in the ECOWAS region is still below IHR standard. Public health capacities at a majority of IHR-designated PoE in the 15-country region do not meet required core capacities standards.

Trade Facilitation and Its Impacts on the Economic Welfare and Sustainable Development of the ECOWAS Region

The facilitation of trade is a principal objective in the context of increasing regional trade integration for the achievement of sustainable development goals. The purpose of this study is to estimate the potential annual economic gain to be had from trade facilitation by the coastal countries of the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS). These measures would decrease border and documentary compliance time and costs of the administration of international trade. A partial equilibrium welfare economics framework is used that employs sets of export supply and import demand elasticities for each country that are derived using a general equilibrium estimation method. The annual economic welfare gains resulting from the reduction of excessive trade compliance costs for the region are estimated to between US$1.6 billion to US$2.7 billion (2019 prices). This is between 0.24% and 0.42% of the combined GDPs of these countries. The welfare gain is between 6% and 10% of the combined governments’ budgets assigned for education, and is between 33% and 58% of their budgets allocated for health. In the absence of reform, these inefficient practices waste an amount equal to between 15% and 26% of the annual net official development assistance these countries receive.

The China–US Trade Dispute: Economic Implications for the ECOWAS Region

The Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) region, which is highly dependent on bilateral trade with the United States and China, will be affected by the trade dispute between the two countries. We analysed the implications of the trade dispute on ECOWAS bilateral trade with the two countries with an emphasis on trade in agricultural raw materials, mineral products, and consumer goods. Using historical data of fifteen ECOWAS countries, the study employed Instrumental Variables, Poisson Pseudo Maximum Likelihood (PPML), pooled Ordinary Least Square (OLS) and Least Square Dummy Variable (LSDV). Techniques to show that trade dispute could lead to a fall in exports of agricultural raw materials and mineral products to the United States, but an increase in exports to China. In the case of exports of consumer goods, the trade dispute could lead to a reduction in the ECOWAS’ exports to both the United States and China. The region’s economic diplomacy should promote the interests of its Member States while responding to the needs of the two countries.