Seismic intensity measures (IMs) can directly affect the seismic risk assessment and the response characteristics of underground structures, especially when considering the key variable of burial depth. This means that the optimal seismic IMs must be selected to match the underground structure under different buried depth conditions. In the field of seismic engineering design, peak ground acceleration (PGA) is widely recognized as the optimal IM, especially in the seismic design code for aboveground structures. However, for the seismic evaluation of underground structures, the applicability and effectiveness still face certain doubts and discussions. In addition, the adverse effects of earthquakes on tunnels in soft soil are particularly prominent. This study aims to determine the optimal IMs applicable to different burial depths for horseshoe-shaped tunnels in soft soil using a nonlinear dynamic time history analysis method, and based on this, establish the seismic fragility curves that can accurately predict the probability of tunnel damage. The nonlinear finite element analysis model for the soil–tunnel interaction system was established. The effects of different burial depths on damage to horseshoe-shaped tunnels in soft soil were systematically studied. By adopting the incremental dynamic analysis (IDA) method and assessing the correlation, efficiency, practicality, and proficiency of the potential IMs, the optimal IMs were determined. The analysis indicates that PGA emerges as the optimal IM for shallow tunnels, whereas peak ground velocity (PGV) stands as the optimal IM for medium-depth tunnels. Furthermore, for deep tunnels, velocity spectral intensity (VSI) emerges as the optimal IM. Finally, the seismic fragility curves for horseshoe-shaped tunnels in soft soil were built. The proposed fragility curves can provide a quantitative tool for evaluating seismic disaster risk, and are of great significance for improving the overall seismic resistance and disaster resilience of society.
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