Abstract Background: Women with benign breast disease are at elevated breast cancer risk. In order to accurately predict a woman's individual risk of breast cancer, a breast cancer risk-prediction model is needed that incorporates significant breast cancer risk factors. This report describes two factors: tissue based assessment of lobular involution, and radiological marker- mammographic density (MD). Lobular involution, or physiologic atrophy of the breast glandular epithelium, is inversely associated with breast cancer risk. MD is a strong positive risk factor for breast cancer. With increasing age, the extent of lobular involution increases while MD decreases. However, it is unclear whether involution and MD represent independent breast cancer risk factors. We examined breast cancer risk associated with lobular involution and MD in women with benign breast disease (BBD) to determine whether these features are independently associated with breast cancer risk.Methods: Using the Mayo Clinic Surgical and Pathology Indices, 9376 women ages 18 to 85 with benign excisional breast biopsy between January 1, 1967 and December 31, 1991 were identified and formed the Mayo BBD cohort. We studied a sub-cohort of women diagnosed with BBD between 1985 and 1991 (when MD was clinically assessed and recorded) who had a mammogram within 6 months of the BBD diagnosis. Breast cancer outcomes were determined through the Mayo medical records and a study-specific questionnaire. Lobular involution extent was assessed in background tissue as 'none' (0% lobules involuted), 'partial' (1-74% lobules involuted) or 'complete' (≥75% lobules involuted). MD was classified as Wolfe's parenchymal pattern (PP) as N1/ fatty; P1; P2; and DY/ homogenously dense. Hazard ratios and confidence intervals were calculated using Cox regression analyses, adjusting for confounders: age, parity, BMI, BBD histology, menopausal status, family history, PP and involution extent.Results: A total of 2666 women in the Mayo BBD cohort, with biopsies between 1985 and 1991, had a mammogram within 6 months of the breast biopsy. The mean age at biopsy was 54.6 years. After a mean follow-up of 13.3 years, 172 (6.5%) women developed breast cancer. After adjustment for PP and other confounders, women with no or partial involution had elevated risk compared to women with complete involution (HR 2.62 [95% CI 1.39, 4.94] for no involution and 1.61 [95% CI 1.03, 2.53] for partial involution; complete involution as reference group; p for trend 0.003). Moreover, women with dense breasts were at greater risk compared to women with nondense breasts (HR 1.67 [95% CI 1.0, 2.73] for DY pattern, 1.96 [95% CI 1.2 – 3.21] for P2, 1.23 [95% CI 0.67, 2.26] for P1; N1 category as reference group; p for trend 0.02). Multivariate analyses also showed that women with the combination of no involution and dense breasts had greater risk compared to those with complete involution and nondense breasts (HR 4.08 [95% CI 1.72, 9.68]).Conclusion: Lobular involution and MD are both risk factors for breast cancer; this report is the first to demonstrate that each provides unique information about breast cancer risk. These findings emphasize the potential for inclusion of both these factors in future breast cancer risk-prediction models. Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 6064.
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