Distribution Of Incoming Solar Radiation Research Articles

Precession and obliquity forcing of the South African monsoon revealed by sub-tropical fires

While the influence of precession on monsoon at low latitudes through insolation forcing is well-known, the role of obliquity is still debated since its influence on the distribution of incoming solar radiation is small in these regions. In southern Africa, long marine and terrestrial sedimentary records attest of a precessional influence on the South African monsoon at orbital time scale. The obliquity signal is occasionally observed in the geological records although modeling results suggest an influence of precession and obliquity on summer monsoon. Here, we present a record of microscopic charcoal from core MD96-2098 located off Namibia covering the past 184,000 years. Our record of fire activity reveals cyclic changes at frequencies of 23, 58 and 12 kyr−1 and lacks the obliquity signal at 41 kyr−1. Changes in fire over southern Africa are interpreted as shifts in large and intense fires spreading in open-grassland savanna as a result of orbitally-driven changes in rainfall intensity associated with the South African monsoon. We show that, despite the absence of a 41 kyr obliquity imprint, the presence of 23, 58 and 12 kyr−1 frequencies likely stems from a nonlinear response of fire to precipitation controlled by a combination of precession and obliquity frequencies, supporting the influence of obliquity on the South African monsoon.

Large‐eddy simulation of soil moisture heterogeneity‐induced secondary circulation with ambient winds

AbstractLand surface heterogeneity in conjunction with ambient winds influences the convective atmospheric boundary layer by affecting the distribution of incoming solar radiation and forming secondary circulations. This study performed coupled large‐eddy simulation (ICON‐LEM) with a land surface model (TERRA‐ML) over a flat river corridor mimicked by soil moisture heterogeneity to investigate the impact of ambient winds on secondary circulations. The coupled model employed double‐periodic boundary conditions with a spatial scale of 4.8 km. All simulations used the same idealized initial atmospheric conditions with constant incident radiation of 700 W⋅m−2 and various ambient winds with different speeds (0 to 16 m⋅s−1) and directions (e.g., cross‐river, parallel‐river, and mixed). The atmospheric states are decomposed into ensemble‐averaged, mesoscale, and turbulence. The results show that the secondary circulation structure persists under the parallel‐river wind conditions independently of the wind speed but is destroyed when the cross‐river wind is stronger than 2 m⋅s−1. The soil moisture and wind speed determine the influence on the surface energy distribution independent of the wind direction. However, secondary circulations increase advection and dispersive heat flux while decreasing turbulent energy flux. The vertical profiles of the wind variance reflect the secondary circulation, and the maximum value of the mesoscale vertical wind variance indicates the secondary circulation strength. The secondary circulation strength positively scales with the Bowen ratio, stability parameter (−Zi/L), and thermal heterogeneity parameter under cross‐river wind and mixed wind conditions. The proposed similarity analyses and scaling approach provide a new quantitative perspective on the impact of the ambient wind under heteronomous soil moisture conditions on secondary circulation.

Analysis of Influence Mechanism of Spatial Distribution of Incoming Solar Radiation Based on DEM

Analysis of Influence Mechanism of Spatial Distribution of Incoming Solar Radiation Based on DEM

Ground surface temperature variability and permafrost distribution over mountainous terrain in northern Mongolia

ABSTRACT Permafrost plays an important role in numerous environmental processes at high latitudes and in high mountain areas. The identification of mountain permafrost, particularly in the discontinuous permafrost regions, is challenging due to limited data availability and the high spatial variability of controlling factors. This study focuses on mountain permafrost in a data-scarce environment of northern Mongolia, at the interface between the boreal forest and the dry steppe mid-latitudes. In this region, the ground temperature has been increasing continuously since 2011 and has a high spatial variability due to the distribution of incoming solar radiation, as well as seasonal snow and vegetation cover. We analyzed the effect of these controlling factors to understand the climate–permafrost relationship based on in situ observations. Furthermore, mean ground surface temperature (MGST) was calculated at 30-m resolution to predict permafrost distribution. The calculated MGST, with a root mean square error of ±1.4°C, shows permafrost occurrence on north-facing slopes and at higher elevations and absence on south-facing slopes. Borehole temperature data indicate a serious wildfire-induced permafrost degradation in the region; therefore, special attention should be paid to further investigations on ecosystem resilience and climate change mitigation in this region.

Incorporating leaf chlorophyll content into a two-leaf terrestrial biosphere model for estimating carbon and water fluxes at a forest site

Chlorophyll is the main light-harvesting pigment in leaves, facilitating photosynthesis and indicating the supply of nitrogen for photosynthetic enzymes. In this study, we explore the feasibility of integrating leaf chlorophyll content (Chlleaf) into a Terrestrial Biosphere Model (TBM), as a proxy for the leaf maximum carboxylation rate at 25°C (Vmax25), for the purpose of improving carbon and water flux estimation. Measurements of Chlleaf and Vmax25 were made in a deciduous forest stand at the Borden Forest Research Station in southern Ontario, Canada, where carbon and water fluxes were measured by the eddy covariance method. The use of Chlleaf-based Vmax25 in the TBM significantly reduces the bias of estimated gross primary productivity (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET) and improves the temporal correlations between the simulated and the measured fluxes, relative to the commonly employed cases of using specified constant Vmax25, leaf area index (LAI)-based Vmax25 or specific leaf area (SLA)-based Vmax25. The biggest improvements are found in spring and fall, when the mean absolute errors (MAEs) between modelled and measured GPP are reduced from between 2.2–3.2 to 1.8gCm−2d−1 in spring and from between 2.1–2.8 to 1.8gCm−2 d−1 in fall. The MAEs in ET estimates are reduced from 0.7–0.8mmd−1 to 0.6mmd−1 in spring, but no significant improvement is noted in autumn. A two-leaf upscaling scheme is used to account for the uneven distribution of incoming solar radiation inside canopies and the associated physiological differences between leaves. We found that modelled Vmax25 in sunlit leaves is 34% larger than in the shaded leaves of the same Chlleaf, which echoes previous physiological studies on light acclimation of plants. This study represents the first case of the incorporation of chlorophyll as a proxy for Vmax25 in a two-leaf TBM at a forest stand and demonstrates the efficacy of using chlorophyll to constrain Vmax25 and reduce the uncertainties in GPP and ET simulations.

Global energy budgets and ‘Trenberth diagrams’ for the climates of terrestrial and gas giant planets

The climate on Earth is generally determined by the amount and distribution of incoming solar radiation, which must be balanced in equilibrium by the emission of thermal radiation from the surface and atmosphere. The precise routes by which incoming energy is transferred from the surface and within the atmosphere and back out to space, however, are important features that characterize the current climate. This has been analyzed in the past by several groups over the years, based on combinations of numerical model simulations and direct observations of the Earth's climate system. The results are often presented in schematic form to show the main routes for the transfer of energy into, out of and within the climate system. Although relatively simple in concept, such diagrams convey a great deal of information about the climate system in a compact form. Such an approach has not so far been widely adopted in any systematic way for other planets of the Solar System, let alone beyond, although quite detailed climate models of several planets are now available, constrained by many new observations and measurements. Here we present an analysis of the global transfers of energy within the climate systems of a range of planets within the Solar System, including Mars, Titan, Venus and Jupiter, as modelled by relatively comprehensive radiative transfer and (in some cases) numerical circulation models. These results are presented in schematic form for comparison with the classical global energy budget analyses for the Earth, highlighting important similarities and differences. We also take the first steps towards extending this approach to other Solar System and extrasolar planets, including Mars, Venus, Titan, Jupiter and the ‘hot Jupiter’ exoplanet HD 189733b, presenting a synthesis of both previously published and new calculations for all of these planets.

A procedure for testing the significance of orbital tuning of the martian polar layered deposits

Layered deposits of dusty ice in the martian polar caps have been hypothesized to record climate changes driven by orbitally induced variations in the distribution of incoming solar radiation. Attempts to identify such an orbital signal by tuning a stratigraphic sequence of polar layered deposits (PLDs) to match an assumed forcing introduce a risk of identifying spurious matches between unrelated records. We present an approach for evaluating the significance of matches obtained by orbital tuning, and investigate the utility of this approach for identifying orbital signals in the Mars PLDs. Using a set of simple models for ice and dust accumulation driven by insolation, we generate synthetic PLD stratigraphic sequences with nonlinear time–depth relationships. We then use a dynamic time warping algorithm to attempt to identify an orbital signal in the modeled sequences, and apply a Monte Carlo procedure to determine whether this match is significantly better than a match to a random sequence that contains no orbital signal. For simple deposition mechanisms in which dust deposition rate is constant and ice deposition rate varies linearly with insolation, we find that an orbital signal can be confidently identified if at least 10% of the accumulation time interval is preserved as strata. Addition of noise to our models raises this minimum preservation requirement, and we expect that more complex deposition functions would generally also make identification more difficult. In light of these results, we consider the prospects for identifying an orbital signal in the actual PLD stratigraphy, and conclude that this is feasible even with a strongly nonlinear relationship between stratigraphic depth and time, provided that a sufficient fraction of time is preserved in the record and that ice and dust deposition rates vary predictably with insolation. Independent age constraints from other techniques may be necessary, for example, if an insufficient amount of time is preserved in the stratigraphy.

The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model version 1.0 – Part 2: Response to external forcings

Abstract. The CSIRO Mk3L climate system model is a coupled general circulation model, designed primarily for millennial-scale climate simulation and palaeoclimate research. Mk3L includes components which describe the atmosphere, ocean, sea ice and land surface, and combines computational efficiency with a stable and realistic control climatology. It is freely available to the research community. This paper evaluates the response of the model to external forcings which correspond to past and future changes in the climate system. A simulation of the mid-Holocene climate is performed, in which changes in the seasonal and meridional distribution of incoming solar radiation are imposed. Mk3L correctly simulates increased summer temperatures at northern mid-latitudes and cooling in the tropics. However, it is unable to capture some of the regional-scale features of the mid-Holocene climate, with the precipitation over Northern Africa being deficient. The model simulates a reduction of between 7 and 15% in the amplitude of El Niño-Southern Oscillation, a smaller decrease than that implied by the palaeoclimate record. However, the realism of the simulated ENSO is limited by the model's relatively coarse spatial resolution. Transient simulations of the late Holocene climate are then performed. The evolving distribution of insolation is imposed, and an acceleration technique is applied and assessed. The model successfully captures the temperature changes in each hemisphere and the upward trend in ENSO variability. However, the lack of a dynamic vegetation scheme does not allow it to simulate an abrupt desertification of the Sahara. To assess the response of Mk3L to other forcings, transient simulations of the last millennium are performed. Changes in solar irradiance, atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations and volcanic emissions are applied to the model. The model is again broadly successful at simulating larger-scale changes in the climate system. Both the magnitude and the spatial pattern of the simulated 20th century warming are consistent with observations. However, the model underestimates the magnitude of the relative warmth associated with the Mediaeval Climate Anomaly. Finally, three transient simulations are performed, in which the atmospheric CO2 concentration is stabilised at two, three and four times the pre-industrial value. All three simulations exhibit ongoing surface warming, reduced sea ice cover, and a reduction in the rate of North Atlantic Deep Water formation followed by its gradual recovery. Antarctic Bottom Water formation ceases, with the shutdown being permanent for a trebling and quadrupling of the CO2 concentration. The transient and equilibrium climate sensitivities of the model are determined. The short-term transient response to a doubling of the CO2 concentration at 1% per year is a warming of 1.59 ± 0.08 K, while the long-term equilibrium response is a warming of at least 3.85 ± 0.02 K.

Meridional energy transport in the coupled atmosphere–ocean system: scaling and numerical experiments

AbstractWe explore meridional energy transfer in the coupled atmosphere–ocean system, with a focus on the extratropics. We present various elementary scaling arguments for the partitioning of the energy transfer between atmosphere and ocean, and illustrate those arguments by numerical experimentation. The numerical experiments are designed to explore the effects of changing various properties of the ocean (its size, geometry and diapycnal diffusivity), the atmosphere (its water vapour content) and the forcing of the system (the distribution of incoming solar radiation and the rotation rate of the planet). We find that the energy transport associated with wind‐driven ocean gyres is closely coupled to the energy transport of the midlatitude atmosphere so that, for example, the heat transport of both systems scales in approximately the same way with the meridional temperature gradient in midlatitudes. On the other hand, the deep circulation of the ocean is not tightly coupled with the atmosphere and its energy transport varies in a different fashion.Although for present‐day conditions the atmosphere transports more energy polewards than does the ocean, we find that a wider or more diffusive ocean is able to transport more energy than the atmosphere. The polewards energy transport of the ocean is smaller in the Southern Hemisphere than in the Northern Hemisphere; this arises because of the effects of a circumpolar channel on the deep overturning circulation. The atmosphere is able to compensate for changes in oceanic heat transport due to changes in diapycnal diffusivity or geometry, but we find that the compensation is not perfect. We also find that the transports of both atmosphere and ocean decrease if the planetary rotation rate increases substantially, indicating that there is no a priori constraint on the total meridional heat transport in the coupled system. Copyright © 2009 Royal Meteorological Society

Florida Straits density structure and transport over the last 8000 years

The density structure across the Florida Straits is reconstructed for the last 8000 years from oxygen isotope measurements on foraminifera in sediment cores. The oxygen isotope measurements suggest that the density contrast across the Florida Current increased over this time period. The magnitude of this change corresponds to an increase in the geostrophic transport referenced to 800 m water depth of 4 sverdrups (Sv) over the last 8000 years. The spatial and seasonal distribution of incoming solar radiation due to changes in the Earth's orbit has caused systematic changes in the atmospheric circulation, including a southward migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone over the last 8000 years. These changes in atmospheric circulation and the associated wind‐driven currents of the upper ocean could readily account for a 4 Sv increase in the strength of the Florida Current. We see no evidence in our data for dramatic changes in the strength of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation over this time period.

Explorations of Atmosphere–Ocean–Ice Climates on an Aquaplanet and Their Meridional Energy Transports

Abstract The degree to which total meridional heat transport is sensitive to the details of its atmospheric and oceanic components is explored. A coupled atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice model of an aquaplanet is employed to simulate very different climates—some with polar ice caps, some without—even though they are driven by the same incoming solar flux. Differences arise due to varying geometrical constraints on ocean circulation influencing its ability to transport heat meridionally. Without complex land configurations, the results prove easier to diagnose and compare to theory and simple models and, hence, provide a useful test bed for ideas about heat transport and its partition within the climate system. In particular, the results are discussed in the context of a 1978 study by Stone, who argued that for a planet with Earth’s astronomical parameters and rotation rate, the total meridional heat transport would be independent of the detailed dynamical processes responsible for that transport and depend primarily on the distribution of incoming solar radiation and the mean planetary albedo. The authors find that in warm climates in which there is no ice, Stone’s result is a useful guide. In cold climates with significant polar ice caps, however, meridional gradients in albedo significantly affect the absorption of solar radiation and need to be included in any detailed calculation or discussion of total heat transport. Since the meridional extent of polar ice caps is sensitive to details of atmospheric and oceanic circulation, these cannot be ignored. Finally, what has been learned is applied to a study of the total heat transport estimated from the Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) data.

Calculation of the distribution of incoming solar radiation in enclosures

Solar heat gains are an important factor in the calculation of cooling loads for buildings. This paper aims at introducing an improved methodology to calculate the distribution of incoming solar energy on the internal surfaces of closed spaces with multiple openings. The independent numerical methodology is based on the view factor theory and in order to justify and prove its functionality, it has been linked to the commercial software of TRNSYS, which normally uses a surface area ratio based algorithm for the same process. For the simplified building structures that have been examined, there are noticeable differences in the spatial and temporal distribution of the absorbed solar energy. The proposed approach is indeed an improvement over the surface area ratio method, having a strong physical basis with relatively little extra computational effort.

Evaluation of the impact of climate change on hydrology and water resources in Swaziland: Part I

It has been identified that, long-term climatic changes (Pleistocene ice ages) have been caused by periodic changes in the distribution of incoming solar radiation due to the variations in the earth’s orbital geometry, that is the tilt, precision of equinoxes and eccentricity which take place with periodicity ranging from 41 to 9508 thousand years. However, it has been considered that the major potential mechanism of climate change over the next few hundred years will be anthropogenic green house gas warming up. A number of gases that occur naturally in the atmosphere in small quantities are known as ”greenhouse gases. Water vapour, carbon dioxide, ozone, methane, and nitrous oxide trap solar energy in much the same way as do the glass panes of a greenhouse or a closed automobile. This natural greenhouse gases effect has kept the earth’s atmosphere some 30 °C hotter, than it would otherwise be, making it possible for humans to exist on earth. Human activities, however, are now raising the concentrations of these gases in the atmosphere and thus increasing their ability to trap energy. The enhanced greenhouse gas effect is expected to cause high temperature increase globally (1–3.5 °C) and this will lead to an increase in precipitation in some regions while other regions will experience reduced precipitation (±20%). The impact of expected climate change will affect almost all the sectors of the human endeavor. However, the major purpose of this project is to evaluate the impact of climate change on hydrology and water resources and establish the appropriate adaptation strategies for Swaziland. The impact of climate change on hydrology and water resources will be evaluated using General Circulation Model results (rainfall, potential evapotranspiration, air temperature, etc.) as inputs to a rainfall runoff model. Water use in all the sectors of the human endeavor will be determined in order to establish the water availability given different climate change scenarios. Three catchments have been selected for this exercise. This paper therefore, presents the background information, objectives and significance of the study, literature review, methodology, data collection and processing.

One-dimensional daisyworld: spatial interactions and pattern formation

The zero-dimensional daisyworld model of Watson and Lovelock (1983) demonstrates that life can unconsciously regulate a global environment. Here that model is extended to one dimension, incorporating a distribution of incoming solar radiation and diffusion of heat consistent with a spherical planet. Global regulatory properties of the original model are retained. The daisy populations are initially restricted to hospitable regions of the surface but exert both global and local feedback to increase this habitable area, eventually colonizing the whole surface. The introduction of heat diffusion destabilizes the coexistence equilibrium of the two daisy types. In response, a striped pattern consisting of blocks of all black or all white daisies emerges. There are two mechanisms behind this pattern formation. Both are connected to the stability of the system and an overview of the mathematics involved is presented. Numerical experiments show that this pattern is globally determined. Perturbations in one region have an impact over the whole surface but the regulatory properties of the system are not compromised by transient perturbations. The relevance of these results to the Earth and the wider climate modelling field is discussed.

Global climate models: past, present, and future.

Global climate is a result of the complex interactions between the atmosphere, cryosphere (ice), hydrosphere (oceans), lithosphere (land), and biosphere (life), fueled by the nonuniform spatial distribution of incoming solar radiation. We know from climate reconstructions using recorders such as ice cores, ocean and lake sediment cores, tree rings, corals, cave deposits, and ground water that the Earth's climate has seen major changes over its history. An analysis of the temperature variations patched together from all these data reveals that climate change occurs in cycles with characteristic periods, for example 200 million, 100,000, or 4–7 years. For some of these cycles, particular mechanisms have been identified, for example forcing by changes in the Earth's orbital parameters or internal oscillations of the coupled ocean-atmosphere system. However, major uncertainties remain in our understanding of the interplay of the components of the climate system. Paleoclimate reconstructions, in particular from ice cores (1) also have shown that climate can change (e.g., ΔT = 5°C) over extremely short periods of time such as a few years. Over the last century, humans have altered the Earth's surface and the composition of its atmosphere to the extent that these factors measurably affect current climate conditions. There is concern that perhaps during one human generation we will gradually change climate conditions or even trigger a rapid and much more dramatic shift. We might be “poking an angry beast” (2).

The Effects of Mountains on the General Circulation of the Atmosphere as Identified by Numerical Experiments

Abstract In order to identify the effects of mountains upon the general circulation of the atmosphere, a set of numerical experiments is performed by use of a general circulation model developed at the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory of NOAA. The numerical time integrations of the model are performed with and without the effects of mountains. By comparing the structure of the model atmospheres that emerged from these two numerical experiments, it is possible to discuss the role of mountains in maintaining the stationary and transient disturbances in the atmosphere. The model adopted for this study has a global computational domain and covers both the troposphere and stratosphere. For the computation of radiative transfer, the distribution of incoming solar radiation in January is assumed. Over the ocean, the observed distribution of the sea surface temperature of February is assumed as a lower boundary condition of the model. Over the continental surface, temperature is determined such that the cond...

Studies related to satellite thermal control: Measurements of earth-reflected sunlight and stability of thermal-control coatings

As part of a study of satellite thermal control, data were obtained on earth-reflected solar radiation and on the stability of thermal-control coatings. The intensity distribution of incoming solar radiation to earth was found to be shifted toward the ultraviolet region upon reflection by the atmosphere. As a result of the shift, the intensity of reflected radiation reaches a maximum in the near ultraviolet. At shorter wavelengths in the ultraviolet region, the intensity drops sharply to zero as a result of absorption of incoming radiation by ozone in the upper atmosphere. Comparisons of calculated intensity distributions with measured distributions for two different atmospheric conditions gave good agreement, except at the shorter ultraviolet wavelengths where the calculations did not adequately include the effect of ozone absorption. Measurements of stability of thermal-control coatings showed a lower degradation rate of white paints than was obtained on other flight experiments flown outside of the protective influence of earth's magnetosphere. The differences in degradation rate were much larger than expected, indicating that further study is required in the development of white coatings for spacecraft thermal control.