Distribution Of Fitness Effects Research Articles

Fitness consequences of structural variation inferred from a House Finch pangenome

Genomic structural variants (SVs) play a crucial role in adaptive evolution, yet their average fitness effects and characterization with pangenome tools are understudied in wild animal populations. We constructed a pangenome for House Finches (Haemorhous mexicanus), a model for studies of host-pathogen coevolution, using long-read sequence data on 16 individuals (32 de novo-assembled haplotypes) and one outgroup. We identified 887,118 SVs larger than 50 base pairs, mostly (60%) involving repetitive elements, with reduced SV diversity in the eastern US as a result of its introduction by humans. The distribution of fitness effects of genome-wide SVs was estimated using maximum likelihood approaches and revealed that SVs in both coding and noncoding regions were on average more deleterious than smaller indels or single nucleotide polymorphisms. The reference-free pangenome facilitated identification of a > 10-My-old, 11-megabase-long pericentric inversion on chromosome 1. We found that the genotype frequencies of the inversion, estimated from 135 birds widely sampled temporally and geographically, increased steadily over the 25 y since House Finches were first exposed to the bacterial pathogen Mycoplasma gallisepticum and showed signatures of balancing selection, capturing genes related to immunity and telomerase activity. We also observed shorter telomeres in populations with a greater number of years exposure to Mycoplasma. Our study illustrates the utility of long-read sequencing and pangenome methods for understanding wild animal populations, estimating fitness effects of genome-wide SVs, and advancing our understanding of adaptive evolution through structural variation.

Population size rescaling significantly biases outcomes of forward-in-time population genetic simulations.

Simulations are an essential tool in all areas of population genetic research, used in tasks such as the validation of theoretical analysis and the study of complex evolutionary models. Forward-in-time simulations are especially flexible, allowing for various types of natural selection, complex genetic architectures, and non-Wright-Fisher dynamics. However, their intense computational requirements can be prohibitive to simulating large populations and genomes. A popular method to alleviate this burden is to scale down the population size by some scaling factor while scaling up the mutation rate, selection coefficients, and recombination rate by the same factor. However, this rescaling approach may in some cases bias simulation results. To investigate the manner and degree to which rescaling impacts simulation outcomes, we carried out simulations with different demographic histories and distributions of fitness effects using several values of the rescaling factor, Ǫ, and compared the deviation of key outcomes (fixation times, allele frequencies, linkage disequilibrium, and the fraction of mutations that fix during the simulation) between the scaled and unscaled simulations. Our results indicate that scaling introduces substantial biases to each of these measured outcomes, even at small values of Ʈ. Moreover, the nature of these effects depends on the evolutionary model and scaling factor being examined. While increasing the scaling factor tends to increase the observed biases, this relationship is not always straightforward, thus it may be difficult to know the impact of scaling on simulation outcomes a priori. However, it appears that for most models, only a small number of replicates was needed to accurately quantify the bias produced by rescaling for a given Ʈ. In summary, while rescaling forward-in-time simulations may be necessary in many cases, researchers should be aware of the rescaling procedure's impact on simulation outcomes and consider investigating its magnitude in smaller scale simulations of the desired model(s) before selecting an appropriate value of Ʈ.

Reconciling theories of dominance with the relative rates of adaptive substitution on sex chromosomes and autosomes.

The dominance of beneficial mutations is a key evolutionary parameter affecting the rate and genetic basis of adaptation, yet it is notoriously difficult to estimate. A leading method to infer it is to compare the relative rates of adaptive substitution for X-linked and autosomal genes, which-according to a classic model by Charlesworth et al. (1987)-is a simple function of the dominance of new beneficial mutations. Recent evidence that rates of adaptive substitution are faster for X-linked genes implies, accordingly, that beneficial mutations are usually recessive. However, this conclusion is incompatible with leading theories of dominance, which predict that beneficial mutations tend to be dominant or overdominant with respect to fitness. To address this incompatibility, we use Fisher's geometric model to predict the distribution of fitness effects of new mutations and the relative rates of positively selected substitution on the X and autosomes. Previous predictions of faster-X theory emerge as a special case of our model in which the phenotypic effects of mutations are small relative to the distance to the phenotypic optimum. But as mutational effects become large relative to the optimum, we observe an elevated tempo of positively selected substitutions on the X relative to the autosomes across a broader range of dominance conditions, including those predicted by theories of dominance. Our results imply that, contrary to previous models, dominant and overdominant beneficial mutations can plausibly generate patterns of faster-X adaptation. We discuss resulting implications for genomic studies of adaptation and inferences of dominance.

A fitness distribution law for amino-acid replacements.

The effect of replacing the amino acid at a given site in a protein is difficult to predict. Yet, evolutionary comparisons have revealed highly regular patterns of interchangeability between pairs of amino acids, and such patterns have proved enormously useful in a range of applications in bioinformatics, evolutionary inference, and protein design. Here we reconcile these apparently contradictory observations using fitness data from over 350,000 experimental amino acid replacements. Almost one-quarter of the 20 × 19 = 380 types of replacements have broad distributions of fitness effects (DFEs) that closely resemble the background DFE for random changes, indicating an overwhelming influence of protein context in determining mutational effects. However, we also observe that the 380 pair-specific DFEs closely follow a maximum entropy distribution, specifically a truncated exponential distribution. The shape of this distribution is determined entirely by its mean, which is equivalent to the chance that a replacement of the given type is fitter than a random replacement. In this type of distribution, modest deviations in the mean correspond to much larger changes in the probability of falling in the far right tail, so that modest differences in mean exchangeability may result in much larger differences in the chance of a highly fit mutation. Indeed, we show that under the assumption that purifying selection filters out the vast majority of mutations, the maximum entropy distributions of fitness effects inferred from deep mutational scanning experiments predict the characteristic patterns of amino acid change observed in molecular evolution. These maximum entropy distributions of mutational effects not only provide a tuneable model for molecular evolution, but also have implications for mutational effect prediction and protein engineering.

Effects of selection stringency on the outcomes of directed evolution.

Directed evolution makes mutant lineages compete in climbing complicated sequence-function landscapes. Given this underlying complexity it is unclear how selection stringency, a ubiquitous parameter of directed evolution, impacts the outcome. Here we approach this question in terms of the fitnesses of the candidate variants at each round and the heterogeneity of their distributions of fitness effects. We show that even if the fittest mutant is most likely to yield the fittest mutants in the next round of selection, diversification can improve outcomes by sampling a larger variety of fitness effects. We find that heterogeneity in fitness effects between variants, larger population sizes, and evolution over a greater number of rounds all encourage diversification.

Hill-Robertson interference may bias the inference of fitness effects of new mutations in highly selfing species.

The accurate estimation of the distribution of fitness effects (DFE) of new mutations is critical for population genetic inference but remains a challenging task. While various methods have been developed for DFE inference using the site frequency spectrum of putatively neutral and selected sites, their applicability in species with diverse life history traits and complex demographic scenarios is not well understood. Selfing is common among eukaryotic species and can lead to decreased effective recombination rates, increasing the effects of selection at linked sites, including interference between selected alleles. We employ forward simulations to investigate the limitations of current DFE estimation approaches in the presence of selfing and other model violations, such as linkage, departures from semidominance, population structure, and uneven sampling. We find that distortions of the site frequency spectrum due to Hill-Robertson interference in highly selfing populations lead to mis-inference of the deleterious DFE of new mutations. Specifically, when inferring the distribution of selection coefficients, there is an overestimation of nearly neutral and strongly deleterious mutations and an underestimation of mildly deleterious mutations when interference between selected alleles is pervasive. In addition, the presence of cryptic population structure with low rates of migration and uneven sampling across subpopulations leads to the false inference of a deleterious DFE skewed towards effectively neutral/mildly deleterious mutations. Finally, the proportion of adaptive substitutions estimated at high rates of selfing is substantially overestimated. Our observations apply broadly to species and genomic regions with little/no recombination and where interference might be pervasive.

Population size rescaling significantly biases outcomes of forward-in-time population genetic simulations.

Simulations are an essential tool in all areas of population genetic research, used in tasks such as the validation of theoretical analysis and the study of complex evolutionary models. Forward-in-time simulations are especially flexible, allowing for various types of natural selection, complex genetic architectures, and non-Wright-Fisher dynamics. However, their intense computational requirements can be prohibitive to simulating large populations and genomes. A popular method to alleviate this burden is to scale down the population size by some scaling factor while scaling up the mutation rate, selection coefficients, and recombination rate by the same factor. However, this rescaling approach may in some cases bias simulation results. To investigate the manner and degree to which rescaling impacts simulation outcomes, we carried out simulations with different demographic histories and distributions of fitness effects using several values of the rescaling factor, , and compared the deviation of key outcomes (fixation times, allele frequencies, linkage disequilibrium, and the fraction of mutations that fix during the simulation) between the scaled and unscaled simulations. Our results indicate that scaling introduces substantial biases to each of these measured outcomes, even at small values of . Moreover, the nature of these effects depends on the evolutionary model and scaling factor being examined. While increasing the scaling factor tends to increase the observed biases, this relationship is not always straightforward, thus it may be difficult to know the impact of scaling on simulation outcomes a priori. However, it appears that for most models, only a small number of replicates was needed to accurately quantify the bias produced by rescaling for a given . In summary, while rescaling forward-in-time simulations may be necessary in many cases, researchers should be aware of the rescaling procedure's impact on simulation outcomes and consider investigating its magnitude in smaller scale simulations of the desired model(s) before selecting an appropriate value of .

The genetic architecture of polygenic local adaptation and its role in shaping barriers to gene flow.

We consider how the genetic architecture underlying locally adaptive traits determines the strength of a barrier to gene flow in a mainland-island model. Assuming a general life cycle, we derive an expression for the effective migration rate when local adaptation is due to genetic variation at many loci under directional selection on the island, allowing for arbitrary fitness and dominance effects across loci. We show how the effective migration rate can be combined with classical single-locus diffusion theory to accurately predict multilocus differentiation between the mainland and island at migration-selection-drift equilibrium and determine the migration rate beyond which local adaptation collapses, while accounting for genetic drift and weak linkage. Using our efficient numerical tools, we then present a detailed study of the effects of dominance on barriers to gene flow, showing that when total selection is sufficiently strong, more recessive local adaptation generates stronger barriers to gene flow. We then study how heterogeneous genetic architectures of local adaptation affect barriers to gene flow, characterizing adaptive differentiation at migration-selection balance for different distributions of fitness effects. We find that a more heterogeneous genetic architecture generally yields a stronger genome-wide barrier to gene flow and that the detailed genetic architecture underlying locally adaptive traits can have an important effect on observable differentiation when divergence is not too large. Lastly, we study the limits of our approach as loci become more tightly linked, showing that our predictions remain accurate over a large biologically relevant domain.

Direct inference of the distribution of fitness effects of spontaneous mutations from recombinant inbred Caenorhabditis elegans mutation accumulation lines.

The distribution of fitness effects of new mutations plays a central role in evolutionary biology. Estimates of the distribution of fitness effect from experimental mutation accumulation lines are compromised by the complete linkage disequilibrium between mutations in different lines. To reduce the linkage disequilibrium, we constructed 2 sets of recombinant inbred lines from a cross of 2 Caenorhabditis elegans mutation accumulation lines. One set of lines ("RIAILs") was intercrossed for 10 generations prior to 10 generations of selfing; the second set of lines ("RILs") omitted the intercrossing. Residual linkage disequilibrium in the RIAILs is much less than in the RILs, which affects the inferred distribution of fitness effect when the sets of lines are analyzed separately. The best-fit model estimated from all lines (RIAILs + RILs) infers a large fraction of mutations with positive effects (∼40%); models that constrain mutations to have negative effects fit much worse. The conclusion is the same using only the RILs. For the RIAILs, however, models that constrain mutations to have negative effects fit nearly as well as models that allow positive effects. When mutations in high linkage disequilibrium are pooled into haplotypes, the inferred distribution of fitness effect becomes increasingly negative-skewed and leptokurtic. We conclude that the conventional wisdom-most mutations have effects near 0, a handful of mutations have effects that are substantially negative, and mutations with positive effects are very rare-is likely correct, and that unless it can be shown otherwise, estimates of the distribution of fitness effect that infer a substantial fraction of mutations with positive effects are likely confounded by linkage disequilibrium.

Spontaneous single-nucleotide substitutions and microsatellite mutations have distinct distributions of fitness effects.

The fitness effects of new mutations determine key properties of evolutionary processes. Beneficial mutations drive evolution, yet selection is also shaped by the frequency of small-effect deleterious mutations, whose combined effect can burden otherwise adaptive lineages and alter evolutionary trajectories and outcomes in clonally evolving organisms such as viruses, microbes, and tumors. The small effect sizes of these important mutations have made accurate measurements of their rates difficult. In microbes, assessing the effect of mutations on growth can be especially instructive, as this complex phenotype is closely linked to fitness in clonally evolving organisms. Here, we perform high-throughput time-lapse microscopy on cells from mutation-accumulation strains to precisely infer the distribution of mutational effects on growth rate in the budding yeast, Saccharomyces cerevisiae. We show that mutational effects on growth rate are overwhelmingly negative, highly skewed towards very small effect sizes, and frequent enough to suggest that deleterious hitchhikers may impose a significant burden on evolving lineages. By using lines that accumulated mutations in either wild-type or slippage repair-defective backgrounds, we further disentangle the effects of 2 common types of mutations, single-nucleotide substitutions and simple sequence repeat indels, and show that they have distinct effects on yeast growth rate. Although the average effect of a simple sequence repeat mutation is very small (approximately 0.3%), many do alter growth rate, implying that this class of frequent mutations has an important evolutionary impact.

Effects of selection stringency on the outcomes of directed evolution.

Directed evolution makes mutant lineages compete in climbing complicated sequence-function landscapes. Given this underlying complexity it is unclear how selection stringency, a ubiquitous parameter of directed evolution, impacts the outcome. Here we approach this question in terms of the fitnesses of the candidate variants at each round and the heterogeneity of their distributions of fitness effects. We show that even if the fittest mutant is most likely to yield the fittest mutants in the next round of selection, diversification can improve outcomes by sampling a larger variety of fitness effects. We find that heterogeneity in fitness effects between variants, larger population sizes, and evolution over a greater number of rounds all encourage diversification.

Increased Positive Selection in Highly Recombining Genes Does not Necessarily Reflect an Evolutionary Advantage of Recombination.

It is commonly thought that the long-term advantage of meiotic recombination is to dissipate genetic linkage, allowing natural selection to act independently on different loci. It is thus theoretically expected that genes with higher recombination rates evolve under more effective selection. On the other hand, recombination is often associated with GC-biased gene conversion (gBGC), which theoretically interferes with selection by promoting the fixation of deleterious GC alleles. To test these predictions, several studies assessed whether selection was more effective in highly recombining genes (due to dissipation of genetic linkage) or less effective (due to gBGC), assuming a fixed distribution of fitness effects (DFE) for all genes. In this study, I directly derive the DFE from a gene's evolutionary history (shaped by mutation, selection, drift, and gBGC) under empirical fitness landscapes. I show that genes that have experienced high levels of gBGC are less fit and thus have more opportunities for beneficial mutations. Only a small decrease in the genome-wide intensity of gBGC leads to the fixation of these beneficial mutations, particularly in highly recombining genes. This results in increased positive selection in highly recombining genes that is not caused by more effective selection. Additionally, I show that the death of a recombination hotspot can lead to a higher dN/dS than its birth, but with substitution patterns biased towards AT, and only at selected positions. This shows that controlling for a substitution bias towards GC is therefore not sufficient to rule out the contribution of gBGC to signatures of accelerated evolution. Finally, although gBGC does not affect the fixation probability of GC-conservative mutations, I show that by altering the DFE, gBGC can also significantly affect nonsynonymous GC-conservative substitution patterns.

The distribution of fitness effects during adaptive walks using a simple genetic network.

The tempo and mode of adaptation depends on the availability of beneficial alleles. Genetic interactions arising from gene networks can restrict this availability. However, the extent to which networks affect adaptation remains largely unknown. Current models of evolution consider additive genotype-phenotype relationships while often ignoring the contribution of gene interactions to phenotypic variance. In this study, we model a quantitative trait as the product of a simple gene regulatory network, the negative autoregulation motif. Using forward-time genetic simulations, we measure adaptive walks towards a phenotypic optimum in both additive and network models. A key expectation from adaptive walk theory is that the distribution of fitness effects of new beneficial mutations is exponential. We found that both models instead harbored distributions with fewer large-effect beneficial alleles than expected. The network model also had a complex and bimodal distribution of fitness effects among all mutations, with a considerable density at deleterious selection coefficients. This behavior is reminiscent of the cost of complexity, where correlations among traits constrain adaptation. Our results suggest that the interactions emerging from genetic networks can generate complex and multimodal distributions of fitness effects.

FastDFE: Fast and Flexible Inference of the Distribution ofFitness Effects.

Estimating the distribution of fitness effects (DFE) of new mutations is of fundamental importance in evolutionary biology, ecology, and conservation. However, existing methods for DFE estimation suffer from limitations, such as slow computation speed and limited scalability. To address these issues, we introduce fastDFE, a Python-based software package, offering fast, and flexible DFE inference from site-frequency spectrum (SFS) data. Apart from providing efficient joint inference of multiple DFEs that share parameters, it offers the feature of introducing genomic covariates that influence the DFEs and testing their significance. To further simplify usage, fastDFE is equipped with comprehensive VCF-to-SFS parsing utilities. These include options for site filtering and stratification, as well as site-degeneracy annotation and probabilistic ancestral-allele inference. fastDFE thereby covers the entire workflow of DFE inference from the moment of acquiring a raw VCF file. Despite its Python foundation, fastDFE incorporates a full R interface, including native R visualization capabilities. The package is comprehensively tested and documented at fastdfe.readthedocs.io.

Self-replicating artificial neural networks give rise to universal evolutionary dynamics.

In evolutionary models, mutations are exogenously introduced by the modeler, rather than endogenously introduced by the replicator itself. We present a new deep-learning based computational model, the self-replicating artificial neural network (SeRANN). We train it to (i) copy its own genotype, like a biological organism, which introduces endogenous spontaneous mutations; and (ii) simultaneously perform a classification task that determines its fertility. Evolving 1,000 SeRANNs for 6,000 generations, we observed various evolutionary phenomena such as adaptation, clonal interference, epistasis, and evolution of both the mutation rate and the distribution of fitness effects of new mutations. Our results demonstrate that universal evolutionary phenomena can naturally emerge in a self-replicator model when both selection and mutation are implicit and endogenous. We therefore suggest that SeRANN can be applied to explore and test various evolutionary dynamics and hypotheses.

A quantitative genetic model of background selection in humans.

Across the human genome, there are large-scale fluctuations in genetic diversity caused by the indirect effects of selection. This "linked selection signal" reflects the impact of selection according to the physical placement of functional regions and recombination rates along chromosomes. Previous work has shown that purifying selection acting against the steady influx of new deleterious mutations at functional portions of the genome shapes patterns of genomic variation. To date, statistical efforts to estimate purifying selection parameters from linked selection models have relied on classic Background Selection theory, which is only applicable when new mutations are so deleterious that they cannot fix in the population. Here, we develop a statistical method based on a quantitative genetics view of linked selection, that models how polygenic additive fitness variance distributed along the genome increases the rate of stochastic allele frequency change. By jointly predicting the equilibrium fitness variance and substitution rate due to both strong and weakly deleterious mutations, we estimate the distribution of fitness effects (DFE) and mutation rate across three geographically distinct human samples. While our model can accommodate weaker selection, we find evidence of strong selection operating similarly across all human samples. Although our quantitative genetic model of linked selection fits better than previous models, substitution rates of the most constrained sites disagree with observed divergence levels. We find that a model incorporating selective interference better predicts observed divergence in conserved regions, but overall our results suggest uncertainty remains about the processes generating fitness variation in humans.

Changing fitness effects of mutations through long-term bacterial evolution.

The distribution of fitness effects of new mutations shapes evolution, but it is challenging to observe how it changes as organisms adapt. Using Escherichia coli lineages spanning 50,000 generations of evolution, we quantify the fitness effects of insertion mutations in every gene. Macroscopically, the fraction of deleterious mutations changed little over time whereas the beneficial tail declined sharply, approaching an exponential distribution. Microscopically, changes in individual gene essentiality and deleterious effects often occurred in parallel; altered essentiality is only partly explained by structural variation. The identity and effect sizes of beneficial mutations changed rapidly over time, but many targets of selection remained predictable because of the importance of loss-of-function mutations. Taken together, these results reveal the dynamic-but statistically predictable-nature of mutational fitness effects.

The Effects of Mutation and Recombination Rate Heterogeneity on the Inference of Demography and the Distribution of Fitness Effects.

Disentangling the effects of demography and selection has remained a focal point of population genetic analysis. Knowledge about mutation and recombination is essential in this endeavor; however, despite clear evidence that both mutation and recombination rates vary across genomes, it is common practice to model both rates as fixed. In this study, we quantify how this unaccounted for rate heterogeneity may impact inference using common approaches for inferring selection (DFE-alpha, Grapes, and polyDFE) and/or demography (fastsimcoal2 and δaδi). We demonstrate that, if not properly modeled, this heterogeneity can increase uncertainty in the estimation of demographic and selective parameters and in some scenarios may result in mis-leading inference. These results highlight the importance of quantifying the fundamental evolutionary parameters of mutation and recombination before utilizing population genomic data to quantify the effects of genetic drift (i.e. as modulated by demographic history) and selection; or, at the least, that the effects of uncertainty in these parameters can and should be directly modeled in downstream inference.

A Simulation Framework for Modeling the Within-Patient Evolutionary Dynamics of SARS-CoV-2.

The global impact of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) has led to considerable interest in detecting novel beneficial mutations and other genomic changes that may signal the development of variants of concern (VOCs). The ability to accurately detect these changes within individual patient samples is important in enabling early detection of VOCs. Such genomic scans for rarely acting positive selection are best performed via comparison of empirical data with simulated data wherein commonly acting evolutionary factors, including mutation and recombination, reproductive and infection dynamics, and purifying and background selection, can be carefully accounted for and parameterized. Although there has been work to quantify these factors in SARS-CoV-2, they have yet to be integrated into a baseline model describing intrahost evolutionary dynamics. To construct such a baseline model, we develop a simulation framework that enables one to establish expectations for underlying levels and patterns of patient-level variation. By varying eight key parameters, we evaluated 12,096 different model-parameter combinations and compared them with existing empirical data. Of these, 592 models (∼5%) were plausible based on the resulting mean expected number of segregating variants. These plausible models shared several commonalities shedding light on intrahost SARS-CoV-2 evolutionary dynamics: severe infection bottlenecks, low levels of reproductive skew, and a distribution of fitness effects skewed toward strongly deleterious mutations. We also describe important areas of model uncertainty and highlight additional sequence data that may help to further refine a baseline model. This study lays the groundwork for the improved analysis of existing and future SARS-CoV-2 within-patient data.

Mutualism reduces the severity of gene disruptions in predictable ways across microbial communities

Predicting evolution in microbial communities is critical for problems from human health to global nutrient cycling. Understanding how species interactions impact the distribution of fitness effects for a focal population would enhance our ability to predict evolution. Specifically, does the type of ecological interaction, such as mutualism or competition, change the average effect of a mutation (i.e., the mean of the distribution of fitness effects)? Furthermore, how often does increasing community complexity alter the impact of species interactions on mutant fitness? To address these questions, we created a transposon mutant library in Salmonella enterica and measured the fitness of loss of function mutations in 3,550 genes when grown alone versus competitive co-culture or mutualistic co-culture with Escherichia coli and Methylorubrum extorquens. We found that mutualism reduces the average impact of mutations, while competition had no effect. Additionally, mutant fitness in the 3-species communities can be predicted by averaging the fitness in each 2-species community. Finally, we discovered that in the mutualism S. enterica obtained vitamins and more amino acids than previously known. Our results suggest that species interactions can predictably impact fitness effect distributions, in turn suggesting that evolution may ultimately be predictable in multi-species communities.