Disability Progression In Multiple Sclerosis Research Articles

Higher effect sizes for the detection of accelerated brain volume loss and disability progression in multiple sclerosis using deep-learning

PurposeClinical validation of “BrainLossNet”, a deep learning-based method for fast and robust estimation of brain volume loss (BVL) from longitudinal T1-weighted MRI, for the detection of accelerated BVL in multiple sclerosis (MS) and for the discrimination between MS patients with versus without disability progression. Materials and MethodsA longitudinal normative database of healthy controls (n=563), two mono-scanner MS cohorts (n=414, 156) and a mixed-scanner cohort acquired for various indications (n=216) were included retrospectively. Mean observation period from the baseline (BL) to the last follow-up (FU) MRI scan was 2-3 years. Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) at BL and FU was available in 149 MS patients. Annual BVL was computed using BrainLossNet and Siena and then adjusted for age. Repeated-measures ANOVA and Cohen’s effect size were used to compare BrainLossNet and Siena regarding the detection of accelerated BVL and the differentiation between MS patients with versus without EDSS progression. ResultsCohen’s effect size for the differentiation of patients from healthy controls based on the age-adjusted annual BVL was larger with BrainLossNet than with Siena (MS cohort 1: 0.927 versus 0.495, MS cohort 2: 0.671 versus 0.456, mixed-scanner cohort: 0.918 versus 0.730, all p<0.001). Cohen’s effect size for the discrimination between MS patients with (n=51) versus without (n=98) EDSS progression was larger with BrainLossNet (0.503 versus 0.400, p=0.048). ConclusionBrainLossNet can provide added value in clinical routine and MS therapy trials regarding the detection of accelerated BVL in MS and the differentiation between MS patients with versus without disability progression.

The effects of the MTHFR 677C>T (rs1801133) genetic variant on susceptibility and disability worsening in multiple sclerosis patients are mediated by homocysteine

BackgroundInteractions between genetic and environmental variables contribute to the autoimmune inflammatory process in multiple sclerosis (MS). Elevated homocysteine levels, and vitamin D, vitamin B12, and folate deficiencies are some of the environmental factors associated with the pathogenesis of MS. Considering that the relationship between MTHFR 677C>T (rs1801133) genetic variant, homocysteine, and folate in patients with MS remains unclear and that their role were not extensively explored in the clinical course of the disease, we investigated whether this variant and plasma homocysteine and folate levels are associated with MS susceptibility, disability, disability progression, and inflammatory biomarkers. MethodsThe case-control study included 163 patients with MS categorized using the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) as mild (EDSS<3) and moderate/high (EDSS≥3) disability, and 226 healthy controls (HC). Disability progression was evaluated using Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) and the MTHFR 677C>T variant was genotyped using real time polymerase chain reaction. The plasma levels of some inflammatory biomarkers were determined. Two new composed scores were proposed: the first, namely as inflammatory activity index (IAI), was entered as a latent vector extracted from the macrophage M1 + T helper (Th)1 + Th17 + Th2 + T regulatory (Treg) cytokines, + tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-α+ soluble TNF receptor (sTNFR)-1 + sTNFR2. The second score, namely MS-severity index was entered as a latent vector extracted from the EDSS + MSSS scores + MS diagnosis. ResultsPatients with MS showed higher homocysteine and folate than controls (p < 0.001); homocysteine, and the M1, Th1, Th17, and Th2 Treg cytokine values were different between the three study groups and increased from HC to MS patients with mild disability and to MS patients with moderate/high disability (p < 0.0001). The levels of TNF-α and their soluble receptors sTNFR1 and sTNFR2 were higher in MS patients with EDSS≥3 than in the two other groups (EDSS<3 and HC) (p < 0.001). There was no association between the MTHFR 677 C > T genotypes and MS susceptibility, disability and disability progression (p > 0.05). Moreover, 21.8 % of the disability variance was explained by age, IAI and C-reactive protein (CRP) (all positively associated); 10.9 % of the disability progression variance was predicted by IAI and CRP (both positively) and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (negatively), whereas 54.4 % of the severity index (MS-EDSS-MSSS) was explained by the regression on age, IAI, homocysteine, folate, and CRP (all positively), and adiponectin, body mass index, and 25-hydroxyvitamin D (all negatively), female sex, and the MTHFR 677 TT genotype. In patients and controls, 16.6 % of the variance in the homocysteine was explained by the MTHFR 677 TT genotype and age (both positively), folate (negatively) and male sex. ConclusionThe MTHFR 677C>T variant has an indirect effect on the increase in disability in patients with MS, which also depends on factors such as age, sex, ad folate status.

The Prevalence of Comorbidities and Their Association With Disability Progression in Individuals With Multiple Sclerosis: A Study From Brazil.

Comorbidities negatively impact the course of multiple sclerosis (MS). Identifying them is essential, as they represent potentially modifiable prognostic factors that can adversely influence the disease course. However, comorbidity prevalence remains underexplored in certain populations, including in individuals in Brazil. In this cross-sectional study, we describe the frequency of comorbidities and their correlation with MS disability progression in a Brazilian population by reviewing the medical records of patients from a single MS center in Brazil. Preexisting comorbidities and those present at the time of MS diagnosis were screened. We assessed the prevalence of comorbidities, their prevalence ratios (PR) and the association between them, their number, and the confirmed disability worsening (CDW) that emerged during the follow-up visits. Comorbidities were present in 68.9% of individuals. The most prevalent comorbidities included cardiovascular diseases (19.3%), migraine (13.3%), psychiatric disorders (12.4%), smoking (12.4%), autoimmune diseases (12.0%), respiratory diseases (10.3%), and neoplasms (5.6%). Patients with 1 comorbidity and those with multiple comorbidities (≥ 3) had a significant PR for CDW (2.67, P = .01; 1.25, P = .03, respectively). Cardiovascular and autoimmune diseases presented significant PR for CDW (2.28, P = .03; 4.2, P = .004, respectively). Comorbidities are more prevalent among Brazilian individuals with MS than in the general population and are associated with disease progression. Identifying and managing them may mitigate their adverse effects on disease course.

Long-term disability trajectories in multiple sclerosis: a group-based trajectory analysis of the AusLong cohort

BackgroundPrevious natural history studies highlighted a consistent heterogeneity of disability trajectories among individuals with primary or secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). However, evidence on disability progression in relapsing onset MS...

Disability independent of cerebral white matter demyelination in progressive multiple sclerosis

The pathogenic mechanisms contributing to neurological disability in progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS) are poorly understood. Cortical neuronal loss independent of cerebral white matter (WM) demyelination in myelocortical MS (MCMS) and identification of MS patients with widespread cortical atrophy and disability progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) support pathogenic mechanisms other than cerebral WM demyelination. The three-dimensional distribution and underlying pathology of myelinated T2 lesions were investigated in postmortem MCMS brains. Postmortem brain slices from previously characterized MCMS (10 cases) and typical MS (TMS) cases (12 cases) were co-registered with in situ postmortem T2 hyperintensities and T1 hypointensities. T1 intensity thresholds were used to establish a classifier that differentiates MCMS from TMS. The classifier was validated in 36 uncharacterized postmortem brains and applied to baseline MRIs from 255 living PMS participants enrolled in SPRINT-MS. Myelinated T2 hyperintensities in postmortem MCMS brains have a contiguous periventricular distribution that expands at the occipital poles of the lateral ventricles where a surface-in gradient of myelinated axonal degeneration was observed. The MRI classifier distinguished pathologically confirmed postmortem MCMS and TMS cases with an accuracy of 94%. For SPRINT-MS patients, the MRI classifier identified 78% as TMS, 10% as MCMS, and 12% with a paucity of cerebral T1 and T2 intensities. In SPRINT-MS, expanded disability status scale and brain atrophy measures were similar in MCMS and TMS cohorts. A paucity of cerebral WM demyelination in 22% of living PMS patients raises questions regarding a primary role for cerebral WM demyelination in disability progression in all MS patients and has implications for clinical management of MS patients and clinical trial outcomes in PMS. Periventricular myelinated fiber degeneration provides additional support for surface-in gradients of neurodegeneration in MS.

Machine-learning-based prediction of disability progression in multiple sclerosis: An observational, international, multi-center study.

Disability progression is a key milestone in the disease evolution of people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS). Prediction models of the probability of disability progression have not yet reached the level of trust needed to be adopted in the clinic. A common benchmark to assess model development in multiple sclerosis is also currently lacking. Data of adult PwMS with a follow-up of at least three years from 146 MS centers, spread over 40 countries and collected by the MSBase consortium was used. With basic inclusion criteria for quality requirements, it represents a total of 15, 240 PwMS. External validation was performed and repeated five times to assess the significance of the results. Transparent Reporting for Individual Prognosis Or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) guidelines were followed. Confirmed disability progression after two years was predicted, with a confirmation window of six months. Only routinely collected variables were used such as the expanded disability status scale, treatment, relapse information, and MS course. To learn the probability of disability progression, state-of-the-art machine learning models were investigated. The discrimination performance of the models is evaluated with the area under the receiver operator curve (ROC-AUC) and under the precision recall curve (AUC-PR), and their calibration via the Brier score and the expected calibration error. All our preprocessing and model code are available at https://gitlab.com/edebrouwer/ms_benchmark, making this task an ideal benchmark for predicting disability progression in MS. Machine learning models achieved a ROC-AUC of 0⋅71 ± 0⋅01, an AUC-PR of 0⋅26 ± 0⋅02, a Brier score of 0⋅1 ± 0⋅01 and an expected calibration error of 0⋅07 ± 0⋅04. The history of disability progression was identified as being more predictive for future disability progression than the treatment or relapses history. Good discrimination and calibration performance on an external validation set is achieved, using only routinely collected variables. This suggests machine-learning models can reliably inform clinicians about the future occurrence of progression and are mature for a clinical impact study.

Effectiveness of autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation versus natalizumab in progressive multiple sclerosis

BackgroundNatalizumab was not shown to modify disability in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). This matched observational study compared the effectiveness of autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (AHSCT) with natalizumab in progressive...

Comorbid onset of cardiovascular diagnosis and long-term confirmed disability progression in multiple sclerosis: A 15-year follow-up study

BackgroundPeople with multiple sclerosis (pwMS) have greater prevalence of comorbid cardiovascular diseases (CVD) when compared to the general population despite similar frequency of CV risk factors. ObjectiveDetermine the impact of comorbid-onset of CVD diagnosis on long-term confirmed disability progression (CDP). Methods276 pwMS (29 clinically isolated syndrome, 130 relapsing-remitting and 117 progressive) were clinically followed an average of 14.9 years, with a mean of 14.4 clinical visits. Retrospective electronic medical records (EMR) review determined CVD diagnoses (hypertension, hyperlipidemia, diabetes, and heart disease) at baseline and over the follow-up. CDP was determined with ≥1.0 point Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) increase from EDSS <5.5, or ≥ 0.5-point increase from ≥5.5, and was sustained on next clinical visit. ResultsA significantly shorter time to overall CDP was detected in 213 pwMS who had an existing (28 pwMS) or developed new onset (185 pwMS) of CVD, compared to 63 CVD-healthy pwMS over the follow-up (13.4 vs 15.9 years, Mantel-Cox p < 0.001), independent of baseline age and EDSS score. The CVD diagnosis preceded the CDP in 103 pwMS (55.7%), occurred after CDP in 71 pwMS (38.4%) and was concurrent in 11 pwMS (5.9%). Using mixed-effect models adjusted for significant age (F = 56.5, p < 0.001) and time effects (F = 67.8, p < 0.001), the CVD-onset diagnosis was associated with greater accrual of disability, as measured by longitudinal increase in EDSS score (F = 4.207, p = 0.04). Sex was not significant predictor of future disability in our cohort. ConclusionPwMS with an existing or new onset of comorbid CVD diagnosis showed accelerated disability worsening over long-term. There was no temporal relationship between the onset of CVD and CDP within the group that had CVD-onset diagnosis.

Cost and Quality of Life of Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis Beyond EDSS: Impact of Cognition, Fatigue, and Limb Impairment.

Understanding the socioeconomic burden of multiple sclerosis (MS) is essential to inform policymakers and payers. Real-world studies have associated increasing costs and worsening quality of life (QoL) with disability progression. This study aims to further evaluate the impact of cognition, fatigue, upper and lower limb function (ULF, LLF) impairments, and disease progression per Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) level, on costs and QoL. This was a cross-sectional cohort study including 20,988 patients from the German NeuroTransData MS registry from 2009 to 2019. QoL analyses were based on EQ-5D-5L. Cost analyses included indirect/direct medical and non-medical costs. Eight subgroups, ranging from 439 to 1812 patients were created based on presence of measures for disease progression (EDSS), cognition (Symbol Digit Modalities Test [SDMT]), fatigue (Modified Fatigue Impact 5-Item Scale [MFIS-5]), ULF (Nine-Hole Peg Test [9HPT]), and LLF (Timed 25-Foot Walk [T25FW]). Multivariable linear regression assessed the independent effect of each test's score on QoL and costs, while adjusting for EDSS and 12 other confounders. Lower QoL was associated with decreasing cognition (p<0.001), worsening ULF (p=0.025), and increasing fatigue (p<0.0001); however, the negative impact of LLF worsening on QoL was not statistically significant (p=0.54). Higher costs were associated with decreasing cognition (p<0.001), worsening of ULF (p=0.0058) and LLF (p=0.049), and increasing fatigue (p<0.0001). Each 1-scale-step worsening function of SDMT, MFIS-5, 9HPT, and T25FW scores resulted in €170, €790, €330, and €520 higher costs, respectively. Modeling disability progression based on SDMT, MFIS-5, 9HPT, and T25FW scores as an interaction with EDSS strata found associations with lower QoL and higher costs at variable EDSS ranges. Disease progression in MS measured by 9HPT, SDMT, and MFIS-5 had a significant negative impact on QoL and broad socioeconomic costs independent of EDSS. T25FW had a significant negative association with costs. Cognition, fatigue, ULF, and LLF have stronger impact on costs and QoL in patients with higher EDSS scores. Additional determinants of MS disability status, including SDMT, MFIS-5, 9HPT, and T25FW, should be considered for assessing cost effectiveness of novel therapeutics for MS.

Glial cell injury and atrophied lesion volume as measures of chronic multiple sclerosis inflammation

BackgroundAtrophied lesion volume (aLV), a proposed biomarker of disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) and transition into progressive MS (PMS), depicts chronic periventricular white matter (WM) pathology. Meningeal infiltrates, imaged as leptomeningeal contrast enhancement (LMCE), are linked with greater cortical pathology. ObjectivesTo determine the relationship between serum-derived proteomic data with the development of aLV and LMCE in a heterogeneous group of people with MS (pwMS). MethodsProteomic and MRI data for 202 pwMS (148 clinically isolated syndrome /relapsing-remitting MS and 54 progressive MS (PMS)) were acquired at baseline and at 5.4-year follow-up. The concentrations of 21 proteins related to multiple MS pathophysiology pathways were derived using a custom-developed Proximity Extension Assay on the Olink™ platform. The accrual of aLV was determined as the volume of baseline T2-weighted lesions that were replaced by cerebrospinal fluid over the follow-up. Regression models and age-adjusted analysis of covariance (ANCOVA) were used. ResultsOlder age (standardized beta = 0.176, p = 0.022), higher glial fibrillary acidic protein (standardized beta = 0.312, p = 0.001), and lower myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein levels (standardized beta = −0.271, p = 0.002) were associated with accrual of aLV over follow-up. This relationship was driven by the pwPMS population. The presence of LMCE at the follow-up visit was not predicted by any baseline proteomic biomarker nor cross-sectionally associated with any protein concentration. ConclusionProteomic markers of glial activation are associated with chronic lesional WM pathology (measured as aLV) and may be specific to the progressive MS phenotype. LMCE presence in MS does not appear to relate to proteomic measures.

Waist Circumference and Body Mass Index as Predictors of Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.

Background: While obesity has been shown to elevate the risk of developing multiple sclerosis (MS), there is a lack of strong evidence regarding its role in the disability progression and status of MS patients. Methods: This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to provide comparative estimates of WC and BMI in patients with MS (PwMS) and to investigate potential associations between the waist circumference (WC) and body mass index (BMI) and demographic and specific MS characteristics. Adhering to PRISMA guidelines, a detailed search of the MEDLINE PubMed, Cochrane Library, and Scopus databases was conducted. Results: A total of 16 studies were included. The pooled mean WC and BMI among PwMS was estimated to be 87.27 cm (95%CI [84.07; 90.47]) and 25.73 (95%CI [25.15; 26.31]), respectively. Meta-regression models established a significant bidirectional relationship between WC and the Expanded Disability Scale (EDSS) (p < 0.001) but not between BMI and EDSS (p = 0.45). Sensitivity analyses showed no association between WC and age (p = 0.48) and a tendency between WC and disease duration (p = 0.08). Conclusions: Although WC measurements classify PwMS as normal weight, BMI measurements classify them as overweight. Therefore, WC should complement BMI evaluations in clinical practice. Additionally, our findings highlight the significant association between abdominal fat, as indicated by WC, and disease progression. Considering the heightened risk of cardiovascular comorbidity and mortality among PwMS, we recommend integrating both WC and BMI as standard anthropometric measurements in routine clinical examinations and targeted prevention strategies for PwMS.

The prevalence and topography of spinal cord demyelination in multiple sclerosis: a retrospective study

Spinal cord pathology is a major determinant of irreversible disability in progressive multiple sclerosis. The demyelinated lesion is a cardinal feature. The well-characterised anatomy of the spinal cord and new analytic approaches allows the systematic study of lesion topography and its extent of inflammatory activity unveiling new insights into disease pathogenesis. We studied cervical, thoracic, and lumbar spinal cord tissue from 119 pathologically confirmed multiple sclerosis cases. Immunohistochemistry was used to detect demyelination (PLP) and classify lesional inflammatory activity (CD68). Prevalence and distribution of demyelination, staged by lesion activity, was determined and topographical maps were created to identify patterns of lesion prevalence and distribution using mixed models and permutation-based voxelwise analysis. 460 lesions were observed throughout the spinal cord with 76.5% of cases demonstrating at least 1 lesion. The cervical level was preferentially affected by lesions. 58.3% of lesions were inflammatory with 87.9% of cases harbouring at least 1 inflammatory lesion. Topographically, lesions consistently affected the dorsal and lateral columns with relative sparing of subpial areas in a distribution mirroring the vascular network. The presence of spinal cord lesions and the proportion of active lesions related strongly with clinical disease milestones, including time from onset to wheelchair and onset to death. We demonstrate that spinal cord demyelination is common, highly inflammatory, has a predilection for the cervical level, and relates to clinical disability. The topography of lesions in the dorsal and lateral columns and relative sparing of subpial areas points to a role of the vasculature in lesion pathogenesis, suggesting short-range cell infiltration from the blood and signaling molecules circulating in the perivascular space incite lesion development. These findings challenge the notion that end-stage progressive multiple sclerosis is ‘burnt out’ and an outside-in lesional gradient predominates in the spinal cord. Taken together, this study provides support for long-term targeting of inflammatory demyelination in the spinal cord and nominates vascular dysfunction as a potential target for new therapeutic approaches to limit irreversible disability.

Association between active and passive smoking and the clinical course of multiple sclerosis and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder

&lt;i&gt;Objective&lt;/i&gt;: Active and passive smoking are common environmental risk factors, but there is no definite conclusion about their effects on relapse and disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) and neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (NMOSD). &lt;i&gt;Methods&lt;/i&gt;: This was a retrospective cohort study. Patients were included from four centers. Demographic and clinical data were extracted from the clinical database, while data involving environmental exposures during daily life, relapse, and disability progression were obtained through telephone follow-up interviews. Determinants of relapse were assessed by Cox proportional models, and disability progression was assessed by linear regression. Kaplan‒Meier survival was used to estimate relapse within five years after the first attack. &lt;i&gt;Results&lt;/i&gt;: A total of 130 MS patients and 318 NMOSD patients were included in this study, and females accounted for 60% and 79.6%, respectively. MS patients with an active smoking history had a higher risk of relapse, for which the association became borderline significant after accounting for covariates (aHR=1.52, 95% CI=1.00, 2.31; &lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt;=0.052). The relapse risk between ever-smokers who smoked more than 10 cigarettes per day and smokers who smoked less than 10 cigarettes per day was not significantly different (aHR=0.96, 95% CI=0.63, 1.47; &lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt;=0.859). However, exposure to passive smoking was associated with a reduced risk of MS relapse (aHR=0.75, 95% CI=0.56, 1.00; &lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt;=0.044) compared with never-exposed patients. No associations were observed between active smoking/passive smoking and the risk of NMOSD relapse, but patients with a history of smoking were associated with a lower annual progression rate by Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) (aβ=−0.20, 95% CI=−0.38, −0.01; &lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt;=0.036) and Multiple Sclerosis Severity Score (MSSS) (aβ=−0.23, 95% CI=−0.44, −0.03; &lt;i&gt;p&lt;/i&gt;=0.028). &lt;i&gt;Conclusion&lt;/i&gt;: Our research shows that active smoking increases the relapse risk of MS and has a negative impact on disability progression; thus, smoking cessation should be encouraged.

A wearable device perspective on the standard definitions of disability progression in multiple sclerosis

Introduction: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a leading cause of disability among young adults, but standard clinical scales may not accurately detect subtle changes in disability occurring between visits. This study aims to explore whether wearable device data provides more granular and objective measures of disability progression in MS. Methods: Remote Assessment of Disease and Relapse in Central Nervous System Disorders (RADAR-CNS) is a longitudinal multicenter observational study in which 400 MS patients have been recruited since June 2018 and prospectively followed up for 24 months. Monitoring of patients included standard clinical visits with assessment of disability through use of the Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), 6-minute walking test (6MWT) and timed 25-foot walk (T25FW), as well as remote monitoring through the use of a Fitbit. Results: Among the 306 patients who completed the study (mean age, 45.6 years; females 67%), confirmed disability progression defined by the EDSS was observed in 74 patients, who had approximately 1392 fewer daily steps than patients without disability progression. However, the decrease in the number of steps experienced over time by patients with EDSS progression and stable patients was not significantly different. Similar results were obtained with disability progression defined by the 6MWT and the T25FW. Conclusion: The use of continuous activity monitoring holds great promise as a sensitive and ecologically valid measure of disability progression in MS.

High throughput method for detecting murine brain atrophy using a clinical 3T MRI

BackgroundThere is a lack of understanding of the mechanisms by which the CNS is injured in multiple sclerosis (MS). Since Theiler’s murine encephalomyelitis virus (TMEV) infection in SJL/J mice is an established model of progressive disability in MS, and CNS atrophy correlates with progressive disability in MS, we used in vivo MRI to quantify total ventricular volume in TMEV infection. We then sought to identify immunological and virological biomarkers that correlated with increased ventricular size.MethodsMice, both infected and control, were followed for 6 months. Cerebral ventricular volumes were determined by MRI, and disability was assessed by Rotarod. A range of immunological and virological measures was obtained using standard techniques.ResultsDisability was present in infected mice with enlarged ventricles, while infected mice without enlarged ventricles had Rotarod performance similar to sham mice. Ventricular enlargement was detected as soon as 1 month after infection. None of the immunological and virological measures correlated with the development of ventricular enlargement.ConclusionsThese results support TMEV infection with brain MRI monitoring as a useful model for exploring the biology of disability progression in MS, but they did not identify an immunological or virological correlate with ventricular enlargement.

The effect of ibudilast on thalamic volume in progressive multiple sclerosis

Background: Thalamic volume loss is known to be associated with clinical and cognitive disability in progressive multiple sclerosis (PMS). Objective: To investigate the treatment effect of ibudilast on thalamic atrophy more than 96 weeks in the phase 2 trial in progressive(MS Secondary and Primary Progressive Ibudilast NeuroNEXT Trial in Multiple Sclerosis [SPRINT-MS]). Methods: A total of 231 participants were randomized to either ibudilast (n = 114) or placebo (n = 117). Thalamic volume change was computed using Bayesian Sequence Adaptive Multimodal Segmentation tool (SAMseg) incorporating T1, fluid-attenuated inversion recovery (FLAIR), and fractional anisotropy maps and analyzed with a mixed-effects repeated-measures model. Results: There was no significant difference in thalamic volumes between treatment groups. On exploratory analysis, participants with primary progressive multiple sclerosis (PPMS) on placebo had a 0.004% greater rate of thalamic atrophy than PPMS participants on ibudilast (p = 0.058, 95% confidence interval (CI) = −0.008 to <0.001). Greater reductions in thalamic volumes at more than 96 weeks were associated with worsening multiple sclerosis functional composite (MSFC-4) scores (p = 0.002) and worsening performance on the symbol digit modality test (SDMT) (p < 0.001). Conclusion: In a phase 2 trial evaluating ibudilast in PMS, no treatment effect was demonstrated in preventing thalamic atrophy. Participants with PPMS exhibited a treatment effect that trended toward significance. Longitudinal changes in thalamic volume were related to worsening of physical and cognitive disability, highlighting this outcome’s clinical importance.

Neurofilament Light Chain Elevation and Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis

Mechanisms contributing to disability accumulation in multiple sclerosis (MS) are poorly understood. Blood neurofilament light chain (NfL) level, a marker of neuroaxonal injury, correlates robustly with disease activity in people with MS (MS); however, data on the association between NfL level and disability accumulation have been conflicting. To determine whether and when NfL levels are elevated in the context of confirmed disability worsening (CDW). This study included 2 observational cohorts: results from the Expression, Proteomics, Imaging, Clinical (EPIC) study at the University of California San Francisco (since 2004) were confirmed in the Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort (SMSC), a multicenter study in 8 centers since 2012. Data were extracted from EPIC in April 2022 (sampling July 1, 2004, to December 20, 2016) and SMSC in December 2022 (sampling June 6, 2012, to September 2, 2021). The study included 2 observational cohorts in tertiary MS centers. All participants of both cohorts with available NfL results were included in the study, and no eligible participants were excluded or declined to participate. Association between NfL z scores and CDW. CDW was defined as Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) worsening that was confirmed after 6 or more months and classified into CDW associated with clinical relapses (CDW-R) or independent of clinical relapses (CDW-NR). Visits were classified in relation to the disability worsening events into CDW(-2) for 2 visits preceding event, CDW(-1) for directly preceding event, CDW(event) for first diagnosis of EDSS increase, and the confirmation visit. Mixed linear and Cox regression models were used to evaluate NfL dynamics and to assess the association of NfL with future CDW, respectively. A total of 3906 EPIC visits (609 participants; median [IQR] age, 42.0 [35.0-50.0] years; 424 female [69.6%]) and 8901 SMSC visits (1290 participants; median [IQR] age, 41.2 [32.5-49.9] years; 850 female [65.9%]) were included. In CDW-R (EPIC, 36 events; SMSC, 93 events), NfL z scores were 0.71 (95% CI, 0.35-1.07; P < .001) units higher at CDW-R(-1) in EPIC and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.14-0.49; P < .001) in SMSC compared with stable MS samples. NfL elevation could be detected preceding CDW-NR (EPIC, 191 events; SMSC, 342 events) at CDW-NR(-2) (EPIC: 0.23; 95% CI, 0.01-0.45; P = .04; SMSC: 0.28; 95% CI, 0.18-0.37; P < .001) and at CDW-NR(-1) (EPIC: 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11-0.44; P < .001; SMSC: 0.09; 95% CI, 0-0.18; P = .06). Those findings were replicated in the subgroup with relapsing-remitting MS. Time-to-event analysis confirmed the association between NfL levels and future CDW-R within approximately 1 year and CDW-NR (in approximately 1-2 years). This cohort study documents the occurrence of NfL elevation in advance of clinical worsening and may hint to a potential window of ongoing dynamic central nervous system pathology that precedes the diagnosis of CDW.

Treatment Patterns and Unmet Need for Patients with Progressive Multiple Sclerosis in the United States: Survey Results from 2016 to 2021.

Much of the current literature on treatment patterns and disability progression in multiple sclerosis (MS) does not distinguish between the relapsing-remitting and progressive subtypes (including primary [PPMS] and secondary progressive MS [SPMS]), or between active/nonactive disease. Current treatment options for progressive MS are limited, with only one approved product for PPMS and none specifically for nonactive SPMS. Here we report treatment patterns, disability progression, and unmet needs among patients with active and nonactive PPMS and SPMS. The annual, cross-sectional survey from the Adelphi Disease Specific Program was used to collect physician-reported data on US adult patients with PPMS and SPMS, including active and nonactive disease. Treatment patterns (including the proportion of patients who were untreated with a disease-modifying therapy [DMT]), disability progression, and unmet need are described from 2016 to 2021. Data were collected for 2067 patients with progressive MS (PPMS, 1583; SPMS, 484). A substantial proportion of patients were untreated across all groups, and this was highest for nonactive PPMS (~ 43%). The proportion of untreated patients generally declined over time but remained high in 2018-2021 (~ 10-38%). Among treated patients, the proportion receiving infusions increased over time to ~ 34-46%, largely driven by ocrelizumab use after approval. Disability progression was reported for most patients (> 50%), including many who were receiving a DMT. Across all disease subtypes, when physicians were asked about the greatest unmet need with current DMTs, they most frequently cited effectiveness (~ 63-87%), and specifically slowing disease progression (~ 32-59%). This analysis of physician-reported data reveals that patients with progressive MS, particularly those with nonactive disease, frequently remain untreated or continue to decline despite treatment with available DMTs. Thus there is an enduring need for safe and effective treatments for this underserved population.

The association between disability progression, relapses, and treatment in early relapse onset MS: an observational, multi-centre, longitudinal cohort study

The indirect contribution of multiple sclerosis (MS) relapses to disability worsening outcomes, and vice-versa, remains unclear. Disease modifying therapies (DMTs) are potential modulators of this association. Understanding how these endo-phenotypes interact may provide insights into disease pathogenesis and treatment practice in relapse-onset MS (ROMS). Utilising a unique, prospectively collected clinical data from a longitudinal cohort of 279 first demyelinating event cases followed for up to 15 years post-onset, we examined indirect associations between relapses and treatment and the risk of disability worsening, and vice-versa. Indirect association parameters were estimated using joint models for longitudinal and survival data. Early relapses within 2.5 years of MS onset predicted early disability worsening outcomes (HR = 3.45, C.I 2.29–3.61) per relapse, but did not contribute to long-term disability worsening thereinafter (HR = 0.21, C.I 0.15–0.28). Conversely, disability worsening outcomes significantly contributed to relapse risk each year (HR = 2.96, C.I 2.91–3.02), and persisted over time (HR = 3.34, C.I 2.90–3.86), regardless of DMT treatments. The duration of DMTs significantly reduced the hazards of relapses (1st-line DMTs: HR = 0.68, C.I 0.58–0.79; 3rd-line DMTs: HR = 0.37, C.I 0.32–0.44) and disability worsening events (1st-line DMTs: HR = 0.74, C.I 0.69–0.79; 3rd-line DMTs: HR = 0.90, C.I 0.85–0.95), respectively. Results from time-dynamic survival probabilities further revealed individuals having higher risk of future relapses and disability worsening outcomes, respectively. The study provided evidence that in ROMS, relapses accrued within 2.5 years of MS onset are strong indicators of disability worsening outcomes, but late relapses accrued 2.5 years post onset are not overt risk factors for further disability worsening. In contrast, disability worsening outcomes are strong positive predictors of current and subsequent relapse risk. Long-term DMT use and older age strongly influence the individual outcomes and their associations.

The socioeconomic impact of disability progression in multiple sclerosis: A retrospective cohort study of the German NeuroTransData (NTD) registry.

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a progressively debilitating neurologic disease that poses significant costs to the healthcare system and workforce. To evaluate the impact of MS disease progression on societal costs and quality of life (QoL) using data from the German NeuroTransData (NTD) MS registry. Cross-sectional cohort study. The cost cohort included patients with MS disability assessed using Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) in 2019 while the QoL cohort included patients assessed using EDSS and EuroQol-5 Dimension 5-Levels between 2009 and 2019. Direct and indirect medical, and non-medical resource use was quantified and costs derived from public sources. Within the QoL cohort (n = 9821), QoL worsened with increasing EDSS. Within the cost cohort (n = 7286), increasing resource use with increasing EDSS was observed. Societal costs per patient, excluding or including disease-modifying therapies, increased from €5694 or €19,315 at EDSS 0 to 3.5 to €25,419 or €36,499 at EDSS 4 to 6.5, and €52,883 or €58,576 at EDSS 7 to 9.5. In multivariate modeling, each 0.5-step increase in EDSS was significantly associated with increasing costs, and worsening QoL. This study confirms the major socioeconomic burden associated with MS disability progression. From a socioeconomic perspective, delaying disability progression may benefit patients and society.