In order to achieve the optimal level of effectiveness and safety of drugs, it is necessary to control the drug release rate. Therefore, it is important to discover the factors affecting release profile from a drug delivery system. Geometry is one of these effective factors for a tablet-shaped drug delivery system. In this study, an attempt has been made to answer a general question of how the geometry of a tablet can affect the drug release profile. For this purpose, the drug release process of theophylline from two hundred HPMC-based tablets, which are categorized into eight groups of common geometries in the production of oral tablets, was simulated using finite element analysis. The analysis of the results of these simulations was carried out using statistical methods including partial least squares regression and ANOVA tests. The results showed that it is possible to predict the drug release profile by knowing the geometry type and dimensions of a tablet without performing numerous dissolution tests. Another result was that, although in many previous studies the difference in the drug release profile from several tablets with different geometries was interpreted only by variables related to the surface, the results showed that regardless of the type of geometry and its dimensions, it is not possible to have an accurate prediction of the drug release profile. Also, the results showed that without any change in the dose of the drug and the ingredients of the tablet and only because of the difference in geometry type, the tablets significantly differ in release profile. This occurred in such a way that, for example, the release time of the entire drug mass from two tablets with the same mass and materials but different geometries can be different by about seven times.
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