CIN1 Diagnosis Research Articles

Menstrual Blood as a Diagnostic Specimen for Human Papillomavirus Genotyping and Genital Tract Infection Using Next-Generation Sequencing as a Novel Diagnostic Tool.

Menstrual blood (MB) is a convenient specimen type that can be self-collected easily and non-invasively by women. This study assessed the potential application of MB as a diagnostic specimen to detect genital tract infections (GTIs) and human papillomavirus (HPV) infections in women. Genomic DNA was extracted from MB samples. Pacific Bioscience (Pacbio) 16S ribosomal DNA (rDNA) high-fidelity (HiFi) long-read sequencing and HPV PCR were performed. MB samples were collected from women with a pathological diagnosis of CIN1, CIN2, CIN3 or HPV infection. The sensitivity and positive predictive value (PPV) of high-risk HPV detection using MB were found to be 66.7%. A shift in vaginal flora and a significant depletion in Lactobacillus spp. in the vaginal microbiota communities were observed in the MB samples using 16S rDNA sequencing. In this study, we demonstrated that MB is a proper diagnostic specimen of consideration for non-invasive detection of HPV DNA and genotyping using PCR and the diagnosis of GTIs using metagenomic next-generation sequencing (mNGS). MB testing is suitable for all women who menstruate and this study has opened up the possibility of the use of MB as a diagnostic specimen to maintain women's health.

Spontaneous regression of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 3 in women with a biopsy—cone interval of greater than 11 weeks

BackgroundAlthough there is broad consensus that only a subset of CIN3 will progress to cancer, there is currently no surefire way to predict which CIN3 will regress. Understanding the natural history of CIN3 is important, and finding markers for progression or regression could improve treatment strategies. According to the guidelines of the American Society for Colposcopy and Cervical Pathology of 2006, positive CIN3 p16 in women should be managed with excisional treatment (LEEP). For ethical reasons we cannot fail to treat women with CIN3 in order to study their regression capacity so we conducted a retrospective study to evaluate the regression rate of CIN3 diagnosed with a biopsy by studying the histological result of the cone removed by LEEP. We also investigated age, HPV genotypes and biopsy-cone interval distance as possible regression factors.MethodsWe selected 171 women with a histological diagnosis of positive CIN3 p16 as an entry criterion. All patients underwent LEEP / biopsy. A histological diagnosis of the cone of CIN3 or higher was considered as persistence or progression, the diagnosis of CIN1 or lower was considered as regression of the lesion.We used out a logistic model to study the probability of spontaneous regression of CIN3 as a function of the patient’s age, the time elapsed between the biopsy and the cone (in weeks) and the HPV genotype.ResultsWe found that the spontaneous regression rate of CIN3 was 15,8%, which was strongly associated with the biopsy-cone interval > 11 weeks. Genotype 16, the most represented, was present both in cases of regression (77.8%) and in persistence (83.3%). Regarding age, the estimated odds ratio of the probability of observing a regression in women over 25 years of age was 0.0045 times that of women under 25 years of age (CI: 0.00020, 0.036). Neither age nor viral genotype are significant as predictors of regression.ConclusionTo wait at least 11 weeks from the biopsy before subjecting the woman to LEEP could prevent unnecessary LEEP procedures, considering also that from CIN3 to carcinoma it takes years before the neoplastic transformation takes place.

B7-H4 Expression in Precancerous Lesions of the Uterine Cervix.

Over 10% of patients diagnosed with cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) have no lesions detected in their cervical conization specimens. The purpose of this study was to determine the factors related to the absence of such lesions. We particularly sought to investigate whether the expression of B7-H4 in precancerous lesions and cancer of the uterine cervix plays a role in the presence or absence of residual lesions in conization specimens and whether this protein is associated with T cells (i.e., Foxp3+ regulatory T cells, CD4+, and CD8+) and interferon-γ production. Of the 807 patients with CIN treated by conization, 104 (12.9%) had no lesions in their conization specimens. Seventy-five of these patients were deemed the study group and were matched with 75 patients who did have CIN detected in their conization specimens (the control group). Immunohistochemistry and immunofluorescence staining were used to detect B7-H4, Foxp3, CD4, CD8, and interferon-γ in the 75 pairs of specimens obtained via biopsy; 20 samples were found to have chronic cervicitis, and another 20 had squamous cell carcinoma of the cervix. Menopause, the absence of human papillomavirus, low-grade histological findings, and a diagnosis of CIN1 and CIN2 on biopsy correlated with a low probability of lesions on conization specimens. B7-H4 expression was detected in 11.1% of CIN2, 46.6% of CIN3, and 70% of cervical cancer samples, but not in tissues representing chronic cervicitis or CIN1. B7-H4 expression was associated with the presence of lesions on conization specimens, increased regulatory T cells, decreased CD8+ T cells, and lower interferon-γ production. These data suggest that close follow-up and thorough reevaluation should be considered for patients diagnosed with CIN2 who are negative for B7-H4 expression on biopsy before proceeding with cervical conization.

Plasma expression of miRNA-21, \u2212\u2009214, \u221234a, and -200a in patients with persistent HPV infection and cervical lesions

BackgroundTo examine differences in the plasma levels of miRNA-21, − 214, −34a, and -200a in patients with persistent high-risk human papillomavirus (hr-HPV) infection or with cervical lesions of different grades.MethodsVenous blood was collected from 232 individuals to measure the plasma expression levels of miRNA-21, − 214, −34a, and -200a. The subjects included normal controls and patients with persistent hr-HPV infection, CIN1, CIN2, CIN3, or cervical cancer (n = 42, 31, 19, 54, 71, and 15 patients, respectively). Cervical conization specimens were collected from all the women. To ensure the accuracy of histopathology, three consecutive tissue sections with an identical diagnosis were selected, and dissection samples were taken from them for miRNA detection. Eligible cases met the inclusion criteria based on sample observation using the middle slice of sandwich tissue sections from the pathological tissue in accordance with the diagnosis of CIN1, CIN2 and CIN3 in 8, 29, and 26 cases, respectively. The miRNA-21, − 214, −34a, and -200a expression levels in the paraffin-embedded tissue samples were determined. The percentage of patients with a CIN2+ diagnosis at 30–49 years old was significantly different from that of those diagnosed with CIN1. The incidence of CIN2+ patients exposed to passive smoking was significantly different from that of CIN1- patients. The percentage of CIN2+ patients with three pregnancies was significantly different from that of those with CIN1, and the percentage of CIN2+ subjects with ≥4 pregnancies was significantly different from that of CIN1- patients. The number of CIN2+ patients with two or more induced abortions was significantly different from that of patients with CIN1. The percentage of CIN2+ patients who underwent a caesarean section was significantly different from that of patients with CIN. The percentage of CIN2+ patients with first-degree relatives with cancer was significantly different from that of those with CIN1. Among CIN2+ patients, the percentage with a first sexual encounter at ≤20 years old was significantly different from that of those with CIN1. The percentage of CIN2+ patients with ≥2 sexual partners was significantly different from that of CIN1- patients.ResultsThe plasma miRNA-214, −34a, and -200a expression levels were decreased in patients with more severe cervical lesions. Plasma miRNA levels in CIN1- patients were significantly different from those in CIN2+ patients. The kappa values for miRNA-21, − 214, −34a and -200a in tissue versus plasma were 0.7122, 0.9998, 0.8986 and 0.7458, respectively. The sensitivity of each biomarker for detecting CIN2 was calculated, and ROC curves of the four miRNA biomarkers were drawn. The AUC of the four plasma miRNAs was greater than 0.5, with the AUC of miRNA-21 being the largest at 0.703. The plasma miRNA expression levels exhibited at least one tie between CIN1 and CIN2. The AUCs for miRNA-21, −34a, −200a and − 214 were 0.613, 0.508, 0.615 and 0.505, respectively.ConclusionsChanges in plasma miRNA-21, − 214, −34a and -200a levels were associated with cervical lesion severity. The plasma miRNA levels in CIN1- subjects were significantly different from those in CIN2+ subjects. This analysis may help in detection of high-grade cervical lesions.

Management of ASC-US/HPV positive post-menopausal woman

BackgroundThe aim of our study was to determine which diagnostic course is best to identify women at risk of CIN2+ among post-menopausal women with cytological diagnosis of ASCUSMethodsWe selected women who had been post-menopausal for at least one year , and who had completed the entire diagnostic-therapeutic course that they had undertaken. The sample was divided into two arms: in the first arm, we considered 146 ASCUS positive women who had undergone the HPV test, colposcopy and then underwent more detailed diagnostics by means of LEEP or a scraping of the cervical canal. The second arm was made up of 124 ASCUS positive women who had undergone a vaginal administration of estriolo, the HPV test and colposcopy. Estriol was administered for 5 weeks: the first week one vaginal suppository every evening, the other four weeks the administration was twice a week. Then, the patients underwent colposcopy. In cases of positivity a biopsy was carried out, the patients positive for CIN2+ at the biopsy underwent excisional therapy using LEEP and were followed up. The patients, who were negative at colposcopy or with histological diagnosis of CIN1, were examined again at 1 year.ResultsIn the first arm the HPV test had an SE of 94%, an SP of 68%, NPV of 99%, and PPV of 28%. The PPV is very low because of the elevated percentage of false positives that the HPV test gave (71%). In the second arm the HPV test maintained its high SE (100%), an SP of 74%, a NPV of 100%, and a PPV of 43%. The use of estrogen increased the specificity of the test.ConclusionIt is important to say that the second arm indicates the use of local estrogen therapy only for ASCUS/HPV positive postmenopausal women. Therefore, the HPV test should be used as the first diagnostic possibility in cases of ASCUS in post-menopausal women, associating local estrogen therapy only with HPV positive women.

Clinical management and risk reduction in women with low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion cytology: A population-based cohort study.

We analyzed the management and risk of subsequent cervical intraepithelial neoplasm 3 (CIN3) and invasive cervical cancer in women with low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion (LSIL) cytology. A total of 53,293 women with a new diagnosis of cytologic LSIL were identified in Taiwan’s national cervical screening registration database. Based on the retrieved clinical management data, the incidence of subsequent CIN3+ lesions was determined, and the hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model. The average follow-up was 5.02 years. A total of 988 women developed CIN3+ lesions during this period, with an overall incidence of 369.3 women per 100,000 person-years. Cryotherapy and conization/loop electrosurgical excision procedure (LEEP) decreased the subsequent risk of CIN3+ lesions in women younger than 50 years (HR 0.49, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.37–0.64, p<0.0001 for cryotherapy; HR 0.39, 95% CI 0.27–0.55, p<0.0001 for LEEP). Cryotherapy and conization/LEEP were two significant protective factors for developing CIN3+ lesions, especially in women with biopsy-proven CIN1 (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.37–0.82, p = 0.003 for cryotherapy; HR 0.43, 95% CI 0.24–0.77, p = 0.005 for LEEP). These results suggest that when women are first screened LSIL and lack prior abnormal cervical cytology, cryotherapy should be one of the treatment options. Younger women with a histological biopsy diagnosis of CIN1 were most likely to benefit from cryotherapy.

Risk of high-grade precancerous lesions and invasive cancers in high-risk HPV-positive women with normal cervix or CIN 1 at baseline-A population-based cohort study.

Infection with high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) is transient and clears on its own in majority of the women. Only a few women who have persistent infection may finally develop cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) or cervical cancer in later years. The risk of progression in the HR-HPV-positive women with normal cervix or low-grade lesion on colposcopy and histopathology at baseline is less studied. We performed a longitudinal study on 650 HR-HPV-positive women with colposcopy and/or histopathology-proved normal or CIN1 diagnosis at baseline to assess the cumulative risk of development of high-grade CIN. After a mean follow-up of 2.1 person years of observation (PYO) (range 0.1-5.1), the cumulative incidence of CIN2+ (6.4%; 3.0/100 PYO) was significantly higher in women who had persistent HR-HPV infection compared to those who cleared the infection (adjusted HR 6.28; 95% CI 2.87-13.73). The risk of viral persistence in women aged 50-60 years was two times higher compared to women aged 40-49 years and three times higher compared to women aged 30-39 years. The probability of having persistent infection increased progressively with higher viral load at baseline (adjusted HR 3.29, 95% CI 2.21-4.90 for RLU ≥100; adjusted HR 2.69, 95% CI 1.71-4.22 for RLU 10-100). Women with increasing viral load at follow-up had four times higher risk of developing CIN2 or worse lesions as compared to those with decreasing load (20.9% vs 4.8%; p < 0.001). In the context of developing countries where cytology or genotyping triaging is not feasible, colposcopy referral of HR-HPV-positive women with advancing age, viral persistence, and increasing viral load may be considered.

P16(INK) (4a) expression as a potential marker of low-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia progression.

To evaluate p16(INK) (4a) immunoexpression in CIN1 lesions looking for differences between cases that progress to CIN2/3 maintain CIN1 diagnosis, or spontaneously regress. Seventy-four CIN1 biopsies were studied. In the follow-up, a second biopsy was performed and 28.7% showed no lesion (regression), 37.9% maintained CIN1, and 33.4% progressed to CIN2/3. Immunostaining for p16(INK) (4a) was performed in the first biopsy and it was considered positive when there was strong and diffuse staining of the basal and parabasal layers. Pearson's chi-square was used to compare the groups (p≤0.05). The age of the patients was similar. There was no significant difference in p16(INK) (4a) immunoexpression in the groups, however, statistical analyses showed a significant association when only the progression and regression groups were compared (p=0.042). Considering p16(INK) (4a) positivity and the progression to CIN2/3, the sensitivity, specificity, positive, and negative predictive values in our cohort were 45%, 75%, 47%, and 94%, respectively. We emphasize that CIN1 with p16(INK) (4a) staining was associated with lesion progression, but the sensitivity was not high. However, the negative predictive value was more reliable (94%) and p16(INK) (4a) may represent a useful biomarker that can identify CIN1 lesions that need particular attention, complementing morphology.

Value of high risk human papillomavirus viral load in predicting cervical lesions and triaging for high risk (HR)-HPV-positive women

To evaluate the value of high risk (HR)-HPV viral load in predicting cervical lesions and triaging for HR-HPV positive women. The study cohort came from a multicenter cervical cancer screening program. HR-HPV was detected by hybrid capture 2 (HC-2) assay, and viral load was measured by the ratio of relative light units to cut off (RLU/CO). Women were divided into 4 groups according to the RLU/CO value, and CIN diagnostic system was used to describe the severity of cervical lesions. Chi-square trend test was used to analyze the association between viral load and CIN. The absolute and relative risks of CIN2+ in different viral load groups were calculated, and the clinical performance to detect CIN2+ at follow-up by different cut-off values of baseline RLU/CO was also calculated. 2 725 women with complete results of both baseline and follow-up were included in this analysis. The severity of cervical lesions increased with the increasing viral load (P < 0.001). In women with normal or CIN1 diagnosis at baseline, the absolute risk of one-year accumulative CIN2+ was 0.11% in the HR-HPV-negative group, compared with 3.14% in the moderate viral load group and 6.09% in the high viral load group, and the relative risk of 29.05 (95%CI: 6.07-138.99) in the moderate viral load group and 56.34 (95%CI: 12.89-246.30) in the high viral load group. Raising cut-off value of baseline HR-HPV viral load to 15.00, RLU/CO decreased the number of women who need to be followed up at one-year from 774 to 412, with the sensitivity of 91.30% and specificity of 47.94% in detecting CIN2+ at follow-up. The risk of cervical cancer and precancerous lesions increases with the increasing HR-HPV viral load. Raising the cut-off value of HR-HPV viral load can triage for HR-HPV-positive women, therefore help to allocate the health resources more effectively.

The majority of metachronous CIN1 and CIN3 lesions are caused by different human papillomavirus genotypes, indicating that the presence of CIN1 seems not to determine the risk for subsequent detection of CIN3

Cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) is historically viewed as a progressive biologic continuum leading to cervical cancer. However, it has been questioned whether CIN1 lesions ever progress. To this end, we evaluated the number of patients with a CIN3 and a previous CIN1 diagnosis. Subsequently, metachronous CIN1 and CIN3 lesions were reviewed and human papillomavirus (HPV) genotyping was performed to evaluate whether CIN1 lesions do progress. The medical records of 1819 patients diagnosed with a CIN3 lesion were retrieved from the archives, and prior Pap smear surveillance was available for 1474 patients. Forty-four CIN3 patients (3.0%) had a previous CIN1 lesion, and review of the biopsies confirmed 43 out of 44 CIN3 lesions and 37 out of 44 CIN1 lesions (78%). Three cases were not available for analysis, and in another three cases the quality of the isolated DNA was insufficient for further analysis. Out of the 30 remaining patients, 19 patients had different HPV genotypes in their CIN1 and CIN3 lesion. The cytological diagnosis leading to the CIN1 biopsy showed high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion in 11 out of 19 patients with a different HPV genotype in the metachronous CIN1 and CIN3 lesions. High-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion was detected in 7 out of 11 patients with the same HPV genotype. Our results show that CIN3 lesions are rarely preceded by a CIN1 lesion. The majority of metachronous CIN1 and CIN3 lesions are caused by different HPV genotypes, indicating that the presence of CIN1 seems not to determine the risk for subsequent detection of CIN3.

Analyse der Konisationen im Zeitraum von 2005-2009 in Rostock

PURPOSE: Aim of the study was to examine the rate of correctly indicated conizations and to evaluate the accuracy of conventional cervical smears. MATERIAL AND METHODS: The correlation between cytology and histology was analyzed in 1244 cases in whom conization with biopsy (PE) was performed. The reasons for conization, age distribution, resection margin status, necessity for re-conization, lesion site and method of operation were examined. RESULTS: In around 99 % the reason for conization was an abnormal cervical smear. Conization was usually performed after a PAP IV a result (53 %). 21 % of cases were classified as CIN2, 66 % as CIN3 and a carcinoma was present in 3 %. 71 % of patients under the age of 25 years were diagnosed as CIN3. No abnormal histology could be confirmed in 1.8 % of cases with abnormal cytology results (false-positive results). In 1 % of the positive histological cases no abnormal cervical smear could be confirmed in advance (false-negative). The accuracy of biopsy was 67 %. The peak age range for CIN3 was between 25-29 years. 43 % of women with a CIN3 were ≤ 29 years. 8 % of the women who underwent conization had only CIN1. Over half of the women with a CIN1 diagnosis (54 %) were older than 40. Women who underwent reconization were most likely to have a CIN3 result. Up to 87 % of lesions were located in the transformation zone. The pathologist made an average of 114 sectional cuts per cone and conizations were predominantly carried using a snare. CONCLUSION: The most important target group for cancer screening is young women under the age of 30. The PAP IV a group had the highest predictive value with 98 % histologically confirmed as CIN2+. Individual assessment after abnormal cytology is important to avoid unnecessary conizations. Colposcopy, HPV test, biomolecular screening or biopsy should be considered.

Feasibility Study of a Human Papillomavirus E6 Oncoprotein Test for Diagnosis of Cervical Precancer and Cancer

In a feasibility study using a prototype, lateral-flow test for human papillomavirus type 16, 18, and/or 45 (HPV16/18/45) E6 oncoproteins, 51 of 75 (68%; 95% confidence interval [95% CI] of 56 to 78%) of HPV16/18/45 DNA-positive specimens from women with a diagnosis of CIN3+ (cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3+ or cervical cancer) tested positive for HPV16/18/45 E6 oncoprotein. None of 16 (95% CI of 0 to 37%) HPV16/18/45 DNA-positive cervical specimens from women with a negative or CIN1 diagnosis tested positive for HPV16/18/45 E6 oncoprotein.

Chromosomal Biomarkers for Detection of Human Papillomavirus Associated Genomic Instability in Epithelial Cells of Cervical Cytology Specimens

The goal of this study was to compare how accumulation of chromosomal aberrations in human papillomavirus (HPV)-infected cells correlates with the severity of cervical dysplastic lesions. We assessed the frequency of genomic alterations for 35 different loci in a pilot biopsy study and selected two loci (3q26 and 8q24) with the highest frequency of copy number gains found in high-grade dysplasia and cancer. These probes were labeled with gold and red fluorophores and combined with HPV biotin-labeled probes for subsequent detection using a tyramide signal amplification system with a green fluorophore. Cells that were both HPV positive and chromosomally abnormal were designated as "double-positive cells." Cervical cytology specimens from 235 patients were used for this blinded study. The average number of double-positive cells increased from two cells in patients with a cytological interpretation of atypical squamous cells of undetermined significance to 22 cells in low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion and 99 cells in high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion, reflecting an accumulation of chromosomal abnormality with disease progression. Using a cutoff of four or more double-positive cells as the criterion for the presence of a cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2 or 3 lesion, we demonstrated that low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion and high-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion cytology specimens with underlying cervical intraepithelial neoplasia 2/3 histology showed positive test results in more than 80% of cases. Correlation of 3q26 and 8q24 aneusomy with concurrent HPV infection may thus serve as a biomarker of genetic instability in HPV-infected cells.

Independent determinants of inaccuracy of colposcopically directed punch biopsy of the cervix

Objective The goal of this study was to determine the clinical factors independently associated with inaccuracy of colposcopically directed punch biopsy in defining extent and severity of epithelial lesions of the cervix. Methods The study was conducted in a colposcopy clinic devoted to the management of patients with abnormal Pap smear and/or histology diagnosis of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) on punch biopsy or endocervical curettage. Seven hundred and thirty-nine patients (median age, 33 years; range, 18–83 years) referred with a punch biopsy diagnosis of CIN2–3 and treated with electrosurgical conization were evaluated. Cone histology diagnosis was assumed to supply the correct diagnosis. Two types of deviation of biopsy diagnosis were considered: (1) unconfirmed high-grade CIN diagnosis, defined as a cone diagnosis of CIN1 and reactive/reparative changes, and (2) nondiagnosis of carcinoma, defined as a cone diagnosis of microinvasive and invasive squamous carcinoma. Multinomial logistic regression analysis was used to assess the determinants of the probability of each type of deviation. Results The probability of unconfirmed high-grade CIN diagnosis ( n = 190, 25.7%) was inversely related to number of quadrants involved, severity of referral Pap smear, and grade of biopsy. The probability of nondiagnosis of carcinoma ( n = 43, 5.8%) was positively related to patient age, invisibility of the squamocolumnar junction, number of quadrants involved, and cone width. Endo-ectocervical location, cone depth, and time period had no effect whatsoever. Conclusions The study confirmed previous observations regarding the positive association of patient age and invisibility of squamocolumnar junction with the probability of nondiagnosis of carcinoma. The concomitant positive effects of number of quadrants involved and cone width were suggested to mirror the effect of circumferential development and, respectively, surface area of CIN. Severity of referral Pap smear and grade of biopsy were shown to be inversely related to the probability of a cone diagnosis of CIN1 and benign changes.

Clinical and economic implications of adding HPV tests to the routine cytology follow-up and management of patients with histologically defined cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1.

The objective of this study was to evaluate the clinical and economic implications of adding human papillomavirus (HPV) testing to the follow-up and management protocol of women with a histological diagnosis of low-grade cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN1). The study cohort consisted of 314 women with histological diagnosis of CIN1 and who met the inclusion criteria. They were followed-up by pap smears and samples for HPV tests that were obtained and analyzed on the first visit after referral. HPV assessment was carried out later. Colposcopy and biopsies were performed when there were two consecutive abnormal pap results or positive HPV tests. Women with any degree of CIN underwent cone biopsies. The positive predictive value (PPV) of low-grade squamous intraepithelial lesion and high-grade squamous epithelial lesion to identify high-grade lesions (CIN2-3) were 48.9 and 95%, respectively. The PPV of low-risk HPV type for CIN1 and that of high-risk HPV type for CIN2-3 were both 97%. Of the 314 study participants, 68 (21.6%) patients were positive for HPV analysis, and 67 of these (98.5%) had either CIN1 or CIN2-3 on the cone biopsy, with an overall PPV of 95%. The cost effectiveness ratio was $1457 per additional case detected by the "HPV approach." Testing for the presence of high-risk HPV types is both clinically and economically more beneficial than cytology in the follow-up and management of patients with a diagnosis of CIN 1 because of its better sensitivity, specificity, and PPV reports.

A prospective study of biopsy-confirmed cervical intraepithelial neoplasia grade 1: colposcopic, cytological, and virological risk factors for progression.

The objective of this prospective study of histologically confirmed cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN) (including equivocal CIN1) was to determine risk factors for progression to histologically confirmed CIN3, particularly human papillomavirus (HPV) types and cofactors. We postulated that HPV DNA positivity would be a strong, prospective risk factor for progression. Possible participants were referred with an abnormal cytological diagnosis of CIN1 or lower-grade disease or external genital warts. Women with histologically confirmed CIN1 (including koilocytotic atypia) or equivocal CIN1 were eligible for follow-up. Of these, 163 women were assessed every 3 months (if a lesion were present) or every 6 months (if a lesion regressed colposcopically during the course of the study), for up to 52 months. Progression was defined histologically, whereas persistence and regression were defined by combined cytological, colposcopic, and histological assessments. Subjects who progressed to a biopsy-confirmed CIN3 or who developed a lesion that was clinically unsafe to follow up (i.e., because of movement into the endocervical canal), were removed from the study and were treated. A total of 237 patients were evaluated as possible participants. The 74 exclusions at enrollment included 33 patients who had an entry diagnosis of CIN2 to CIN3 or who had lesions that were otherwise already unsafe to follow up, 39 who did not have a lesion on colposcopically directed biopsy, and 2 who were immediately noncompliant. Among the remaining 163 participants, the overall progression rate to histologically confirmed CIN3 was 8%, the persistence rate was 49%, and the regression rate was 43%. All progressions occurred among women who were HPV DNA-positive and had colposcopically immature abnormal transformation zones.