Development Of Arthritis In Patients Research Articles

Differential risks of psoriatic arthritis development in patients with varied psoriasis manifestations: a sex- and ethnicity-specific analysis

Differential risks of psoriatic arthritis development in patients with varied psoriasis manifestations: a sex- and ethnicity-specific analysis

Prognostic value of serum protein electrophoresis constituents for arthritis development in anti-citrullinated protein antibody-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain

Objective Predictors of arthritis development in patients with anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) and musculoskeletal symptoms are needed for risk stratification and to improve clinical outcomes. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between serum protein electrophoresis (SPE) constituents and the development of clinical arthritis in ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain. Method We prospectively followed 82 ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain but no baseline arthritis during a median of 72 months (interquartile range 57–81 months). The primary outcome was arthritis development, as judged by clinical examination. SPE constituents were evaluated in baseline sera by immunoturbidimetric methods. Serum levels of the analysed proteins (albumin, orosomucoid, α1-anti-trypsin, haptoglobin, and immunoglobulins IgA, IgG, and IgM) were related to arthritis development by Cox regression analyses. Results During the follow-up period, 39/82 patients (48%) progressed to arthritis. Median baseline levels of orosomucoid and α1-anti-trypsin were higher in patients who developed arthritis than in those who did not (p = 0.04), while median albumin levels were significantly lower (p = 0.03). Immunoglobulin levels did not differ between the groups. Univariable analysis demonstrated a significantly increased risk of arthritis with elevated baseline haptoglobin [hazard ratio (HR) 2.53, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.32–4.85, p = 0.005] and orosomucoid levels (HR 2.63, 95% CI 1.09–6.31, p = 0.03). However, neither remained significant in multivariable analysis adjusting for elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) levels. Conclusion SPE does not add prognostic value for arthritis development in ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain.

Impact of barrier tissue inflammation and physical activity on joint homeostasis in mice.

To investigate whether physical activity interferes with joint homeostasis in the presence of distant inflammation originating at barrier tissues such as skin or gut. Eight-week-old male C57/Bl6 mice were treated with imiquimod cream on a shaved area of the back skin or with dextran sodium sulphate dissolved in the drinking water to induce psoriasis-like skin or inflammatory bowel disease-like gut inflammation. Afterwards, one group of mice was subjected to a 4-week forced running routine (n = 10 per group). Severity of cutaneous or intestinal inflammation was assessed clinically, by histology and by quantitative PCR. Knees and paws were analysed by micro-CT, histology, immunohistochemistry, second-harmonic generation microscopy and quantitative PCR. Local induction of inflammation triggered a systemic response with splenomegaly, loss of bone mass and bone marrow changes. Psoriasis- but not inflammatory bowel disease-like inflammation led to synovial lining layer hyperplasia, an increase in infiltrating CD45+ synovial cells, and suppressed entheseal extracellular matrix gene expression levels. Mechanical loading decreased the amount of F4/80+ synovial macrophages in untreated mice only and led to morphological alterations in the collagen fibres of the enthesis. Systemic inflammation and mechanical loading act independently of each other. The former, originating from distant sites, can trigger mild synovial inflammation in mice, a propensity that may also impact the development of arthritis in patients; the latter has no impact on the severity of systemic inflammation, but independently affects joint homeostasis.

Circulating anti-citrullinated protein antibodies containing secretory component are prognostic for arthritis onset in at-risk patients.

SummaryAutoantibodies related to rheumatoid arthritis (RA), such as anti‐citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA), are often detectable in the preclinical period years before arthritis onset. However, events triggering arthritis development remain incompletely known. We aimed to determine whether ACPA isotype levels are prognostic for arthritis development in patients presenting with immunoglobulin (Ig)G ACPA and musculoskeletal pain. Study participants (n = 82) had musculoskeletal pain of any sort and duration and a positive IgG ACPA test. None of the patients had arthritis upon clinical examination at baseline, but during follow‐up (mean = 6 years), 48% developed at least one arthritic joint. IgG, IgA, IgM and secretory component (SC)‐containing ACPA was measured in longitudinally collected serum samples. Cox regression analysis was performed to test the prognostic value of baseline antibody levels and changes over time. All analysed ACPA isotype levels were associated with arthritis development in univariable Cox regression analysis. In multivariable analysis, baseline SC ACPA levels were independently prognostic for arthritis development in multivariable analysis [hazard ratio (HR) = 1·006, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1·001–1·010, P = 0·012]. There were no significant changes in ACPA isotype levels over time, and no significant association between changes over time and arthritis development. In this prospective longitudinal study, baseline serum SC ACPA levels, but neither IgG, IgA nor IgM ACPA are prognostic for future arthritis development. Repeated measurement of ACPA isotypes do not bring additional prognostic value. The results reinforce a mucosal connection in RA development and encourage further exploration of the mechanisms underlying secretory ACPA formation as a trigger for arthritis development.

Bone Erosions Detected by Ultrasound Are Prognostic for Clinical Arthritis Development in Patients With ACPA and Musculoskeletal Pain.

Anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPA) often precede onset of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) by years, and there is an urgent clinical need for predictors of arthritis development among such at-risk patients. This study assesses the prognostic value of ultrasound for arthritis development among ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain. We prospectively followed 82 ACPA-positive patients without clinical signs of arthritis at baseline. Ultrasound at baseline assessed synovial hypertrophy, inflammatory activity by power Doppler, and erosions in small joints of hands and feet. We applied Cox regression analyses to examine associations with clinical arthritis development during follow-up (median, 69 months; range, 24–90 months). We also compared the ultrasound findings among the patients to a control group of 100 blood donors without musculoskeletal pain. Clinical arthritis developed in 39/82 patients (48%) after a median of 6 months (range, 1–71 months). One or more ultrasound erosions occurred in 13/82 patients (16%), with none in control subjects (p < 0.001). Clinical arthritis development was more common among patients with baseline ultrasound erosions than those without (77 vs. 42%, p = 0.032), and remained significant in a multivariable Cox regression analysis that included previously described prognostic factors (HR 3.9, 95% CI 1.6–9.4, p = 0.003). Ultrasound-detected tenosynovitis was more frequent among the patients and associated with clinical arthritis development in a univariable analysis (HR 2.5, 95% CI 1.1–5.7, p = 0.031), but did not remain statistically significant in multivariable analysis. Thus, bone erosions detected by ultrasound are independent predictors of clinical arthritis development in an ACPA-positive at-risk population.Trial Registration: Regional Ethics Committee in Linköping, Sweden, Dnr M220-09. Registered 16 December 2009, https://etikprovningsmyndigheten.se/.

Protective effect of Bacteroides fragilis LPS on Escherichia coli LPS-induced inflammatory changes in human monocytic cells and in a rheumatoid arthritis mouse model

It has been reported that patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) have significantly less bacteria belonging to the Bacteroides group in their microbiota. We speculate that inhibition of cytokine production is impaired in patients with RA owing to their low levels of intestinal bacteria belonging to the Bacteroidetes group. Here we investigated the effect of Bacteroides fragilis lipopolysaccharide (B-LPS) on cytokine production in vitro and on the development of collagen antibody-induced arthritis (CAIA) in DBA/1 mice, an animal model of RA. in vitro culture experiments showed that Escherichia coli LPS (E-LPS)-induced cytokine production from THP-1 monocytic cells and peripheral blood mononuclear cells was significantly suppressed by B-LPS in a dose-dependent manner. A decrease in TNF-α and IL-1β production was also observed in LPS-tolerized macrophages induced by B-LPS at concentrations equal to and higher than that of E-LPS. Similar results were obtained when autoclaved feces were used to induce cytokine production instead of E-LPS. In in vivo experiments using CAIA models, B-LPS had no adverse effects even when administered at 10 times the concentration of E-LPS, which elicits severe arthritis. In addition, simultaneous administration of high dose B-LPS with E-LPS or administration of B-LPS prior to E-LPS significantly suppressed arthritis development in CAIA model animals when compared with administration of E-LPS alone. These results suggest that increasing certain bacterial groups such as Bacteroides is an effective strategy for preventing arthritis development in patients with RA.

Autoantibodies are major predictors of arthritis development in patients with anti-citrullinated protein antibodies and musculoskeletal pain

Objectives: Predictors of arthritis development are highly warranted among patients with anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) and musculoskeletal symptoms to optimize clinical management. We aimed to identify clinical and laboratory predictors of arthritis development, including biochemically assessed alcohol consumption, among ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain. Method: 82 ACPA-positive individuals with musculoskeletal pain but no clinical arthritis were followed for a median of 72 months (interquartile range 57–81 months). We evaluated the prognostic value of baseline clinical and laboratory factors including smoking, symptom duration, age, gender, shared epitope, rheumatoid factor (RF), anti-carbamylated protein antibodies, ACPA levels, erythrocyte sedimentation rate, C-reactive protein levels, tender joint count, patient-reported general well-being, 28-joint Disease Activity Score, and alcohol consumption as measured by phosphatidyl ethanol (PEth) levels in whole blood. Results: During follow-up, 48% developed at least one arthritis. Multivariable analysis revealed an increased risk of arthritis development with RF positivity [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.3, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1–4.8, p = 0.028] and higher ACPA levels (HR = 1.0, 95% CI 1.000–1.001, p = 0.002). High levels of RF (HR = 4.4, 95% CI 1.7–11) entailed the highest HR in this ACPA-positive population. Neither clinical characteristics nor alcohol consumption measured by PEth conferred significant prognostic value. Conclusions: ACPA levels and concurrent presence of RF are independent predictors of arthritis development among ACPA-positive patients with musculoskeletal pain. The results are compatible with a dose–response relationship between RA-related autoantibodies and risk of arthritis development.

Declining levels of CXCL10 over time as a marker for arthritis development in patients with psoriasis

Psoriasis is a common skin condition that is found in about 2‐3% of the population. About 30% of these individuals also develop a specific form of arthritis called psoriatic arthritis (PsA).

Identification of Clinically and Pathophysiologically Relevant Rheumatoid Factor Epitopes by Engineered IgG Targets.

Rheumatoid factors (RFs), which are anti-IgG autoantibodies strongly associated with rheumatoid arthritis (RA), are also found in other diseases and in healthy individuals. RFs bind to various epitopes in the constant (Fc-) domain of IgG. Therefore, disease-specific reactivity patterns may exist. This study was undertaken in order to develop a new approach to dissecting RF epitope binding patterns across different diseases. We analyzed RF reactivity patterns in serum from patients with seropositive arthralgia, patients with RA, and patients with primary Sjögren's syndrome (SS) using bioengineered, natively folded IgG-Fc targets that demonstrated selective RF binding toward several distinct regions of the IgG-Fc domain. Rheumatoid factor responses primarily bound the Fc Elbow region, with a smaller number of RFs binding the Fc Tail region, while the Fc receptor binding region was hardly targeted. A restricted reactivity against the IgG-Fc Tail region was associated with less positivity for anti-citrullinated protein antibodies (ACPAs) and less arthritis development in arthralgia, whereas combined reactivity toward IgG-Fc Tail and Elbow regions was associated with more arthritis development. Reactivity toward the IgG-Fc Tail region was observed far more frequently in RA than in primary SS. Bioengineered IgG targets enable serologic characterization of RF reactivity patterns, and use of this approach appears to reveal patterns associated with ACPA detection and arthritis development in patients with arthralgia. These patterns are able to distinguish RA patients from primary SS patients. This new methodology improves the clinical value of RFs and our understanding of their pathophysiologic processes.

Effects of Diabetes Mellitus on the Disposition of Tofacitinib, a Janus Kinase Inhibitor, in Rats.

Tofacitinib, a Janus kinase inhibitor, was developed for the treatment of rheumatoid arthritis. Recently, it has been associated with an increased change in arthritis development in patients with diabetes. Herein, we evaluated the pharmacokinetics of tofacitinib after intravenous (10 mg/kg) and oral (20 mg/kg) administration to rats with streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus and control rats. Following intravenous administration of tofacitinib to rats with streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus, area under the plasma concentration-time curve from time zero to infinity of tofacitinib was significantly smaller (33.6%) than that of control rats. This might be due to the faster hepatic intrinsic clearance (112%) caused by an increase in the hepatic cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A1(23) and the faster hepatic blood flow rate in rats with streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus than in control rats. Following oral administration, area under the plasma concentration-time curve from time zero to infinity of tofacitinib was also significantly smaller (55.5%) in rats with streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus than that in control rats. This might be due to decreased absorption caused by the higher expression of P-glycoprotein and the faster intestinal metabolism caused by the higher expression of intestinal CYP3A1(23), which resulted in the decreased bioavailability of tofacitinib (33.0%) in rats with streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus. In summary, our findings indicate that diabetes mellitus affects the absorption and metabolism of tofacitinib, causing faster metabolism and decreased intestinal absorption in rats with streptozotocin-induced diabetes mellitus.

Elevated free secretory component in early rheumatoid arthritis and prior to arthritis development in patients at increased risk.

ObjectivesConsidering growing evidence of mucosal involvement in RA induction, this study investigated circulating free secretory component (SC) in patients with either recent-onset RA or with ACPA and musculoskeletal pain.MethodsTwo prospective cohorts were studied: TIRA-2 comprising 452 recent-onset RA patients with 3 years of clinical and radiological follow-up, and TIRx patients (n = 104) with ACPA IgG and musculoskeletal pain followed for 290 weeks (median). Blood donors and three different chronic inflammatory diseases served as controls. Free SC was analysed by sandwich ELISA.ResultsSerum levels of free SC were significantly higher in TIRA-2 patients compared with TIRx and all control groups (P < 0.01). Among TIRx patients who subsequently developed arthritis, free SC levels were higher compared with all control groups (P < 0.05) except ankylosing spondylitis (P = 0.74). In TIRA-2, patients with ACPA had higher baseline levels of free SC compared with ACPA negative patients (P < 0.001). Free SC status at baseline did not predict radiographic joint damage or disease activity over time. In TIRx, elevated free SC at baseline trendwise associated with arthritis development during follow-up (P = 0.066) but this disappeared when adjusting for confounders (P = 0.72). Cigarette smoking was associated with higher levels of free SC in both cohorts.ConclusionSerum free SC levels are increased in recent-onset RA compared with other inflammatory diseases, and associate with ACPA and smoking. Free SC is elevated before arthritis development among ACPA positive patients with musculoskeletal pain, but does not predict arthritis development. These findings support mucosal engagement in RA development.

Определение риска развития ювенильного ревматоидного артрита у пациентов с суставным синдромом

Определение риска развития ювенильного ревматоидного артрита у пациентов с суставным синдромом

Depressive mood and low social support are not associated with arthritis development in patients with seropositive arthralgia, although they predict increased musculoskeletal symptoms

ObjectiveStudies on the role of psychosocial vulnerability in the development of arthritis must be performed early in the disease course to exclude the reverse explanation that arthritis leads to psychological...

Disease Characteristics and Rheumatoid Arthritis Development in Patients with Early Undifferentiated Arthritis: A 2-year Followup Study.

To examine the 2-year disease course in patients with undifferentiated arthritis (UA) focusing on fulfillment of the 2010 American College of Rheumatology/European League Against Rheumatism (ACR/EULAR) rheumatoid arthritis (RA) classification criteria. Data were provided by the Norwegian Very Early Arthritis Clinic study, which included patients presenting with ≥ 1 swollen joint of ≤ 16 weeks' duration. UA was defined as patients not fulfilling the 2010 ACR/EULAR RA criteria and who did not have a clinical diagnosis other than RA at baseline. The main outcome was fulfillment of the 2010 RA criteria. Secondary outcomes were disease-modifying antirheumatic drug (DMARD) use, resolution of synovitis without use of DMARD during followup, and final clinical diagnosis. We included 477 patients with UA of whom 47 fulfilled the 2010 ACR/EULAR RA criteria during followup (UA-RA) and 430 did not (UA-non-RA). Of the UA-RA patients, 70% fulfilled the criteria within the first 6 months. UA-RA patients were older, more often positive for rheumatoid factor and anticitrullinated protein antibodies, female, and ever smokers, and they more often presented with polyarticular arthritis, small joint involvement, and a swollen shoulder joint. During followup, 53% of UA-RA patients vs 13% of UA-non-RA patients used DMARD (p < 0.001). Overall, 71% of patients with UA achieved absence of clinical synovitis at final followup without use of DMARD. The most frequent final clinical diagnosis was UA (61%). Only 9.8% of patients with UA fulfilled the 2010 RA criteria during 2-year followup. Small joint involvement and swollen shoulder joint were among the factors associated with RA development. In two-thirds of patients with UA, the arthritis resolved without use of DMARD.

Changes in peripheral blood lymphocyte subsets during arthritis development in arthralgia patients

BackgroundMultiple lymphocyte subsets like T and B cells have been connected to joint infiltration and inflammation in rheumatoid arthritis (RA). Identification of leucocyte subsets that are dysregulated in arthritis development could provide insight into the aetiology of RA. This study aimed to investigate the composition of the peripheral blood components, i.e. CD14+ monocytes, CD4+ and CD8+ T lymphocytes (CD3+), CD80+, C-X-C chemokine receptor 3 (CXCR3)+ and CD27+ B lymphocytes (CD19+), CD16+CD56+CD3− natural killer (NK) cells and activated CD56+CD3+ T cells, for association with arthritis development in patients with arthralgia.MethodsPeripheral blood was collected from 89 patients with early RA (disease duration <6 months), 37 healthy controls (HC) and 113 patients with arthralgia (22 developed arthritis within ≤1 year, 18 developed arthritis after >1 year and 73 did not develop arthritis). Absolute numbers of monocytes and lymphocyte subsets in whole heparinized blood were determined with flow cytometry using quantification beads in combination with fluorescent labelled antibodies for T cells, B cells, monocytes, NK cells and activated T cells.ResultsIn patients with early RA, significant decreases in numbers of (activated) T cells, CD80+ and memory B cells and a trend towards smaller numbers of CD8+ T cells was observed compared to HC. Similar differences were seen in patients with arthralgia who developed or did not develop arthritis (non-converters), with significantly decreased CD8+ T cells and memory B cells. Patients with arthralgia who developed arthritis were split into groups that developed arthritis within 1 year (early converters) or after 1 year (late converters). Late converters had a significantly decreased number of CD8+ T cells compared to non-converters; early converters had a decreased number of memory B cells. Longitudinal analysis of converters showed a significant relative increase in CD80+ B cells towards the conversion time point compared to 24 months prior to conversion.ConclusionsThis study revealed that patients with arthralgia who develop arthritis demonstrate a change in cellular immune parameters apparent in the periphery, starting with a decrease in cytotoxic T cells 24 months prior to arthritis development, followed by a decrease in the number of memory B cells 12 months prior to disease onset.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s13075-016-1102-2) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Septic Arthritis and Osteomyelitis

Septic arthritis is an inflammatory condition within the joint in reaction to bacterial infection in the joint space. Emergent diagnosis and initiation of therapy are necessary to prevent joint destruction and, in some cases, serious systemic illness. This review covers the epidemiology, assessment and stabilization, diagnosis, treatment and disposition, and outcomes of septic arthritis. Figures show the pathophysiology of bone infection; an algorithm for the initial evaluation and management of a suspected septic joint; a magnetic resonance image of vertebral body osteomyelitis; a cutaneous sinus in a patient with underlying chronic posttraumatic osteomyelitis at the site of a previous tibial fracture; the probe-to-bone test for diagnosing osteomyelitis in the diabetic foot; an algorithm for the initial evaluation and management of suspected vertebral body osteomyelitis; nonsurgical treatment of osteomyelitis of the foot in a patient with diabetes; and algorithms for the evaluation and management of osteomyelitis in diabetic patients with neuropathic ulcers and no or mild foot infection, osteomyelitis in diabetic patients with neuropathic ulcers and moderate or severe foot infection, and chronic posttraumatic osteomyelitis. Tables list supportive findings for diagnosis of chronic osteomyelitis, risk factors for the development of septic arthritis in patients with underlying joint disease, microbiology in septic arthritis, empirical antibiotic therapy for septic arthritis, microbiology in vertebral osteomyelitis, antibiotic therapy for vertebral osteomyelitis awaiting culture results, representative studies with likelihood ratios for diagnostic tests used in the evaluation of native joint septic arthritis, antibiotic therapy for vertebral osteomyelitis with unknown or established microbiology, and antibiotic therapy for diabetic pedal osteomyelitis with unknown or established microbiology. Key words: osteomyelitis, probe-to-bone test, septic arthritis, septic joint, vertebral osteomyelitis This review contains 10 highly rendered figures, 9 tables, and 110 references.

Early therapeutic intervention with methotrexate prevents the development of rheumatoid arthritis in patients with recent-onset undifferentiated arthritis: A prospective cohort study

Objectives. To examine whether or not earlier therapeutic intervention with methotrexate (MTX) prevents the development of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) in patients with recent-onset undifferentiated arthritis (UA) showing high anti-citrullinated peptide antibody (ACPA) titers.Methods. The patients were divided into two groups, one was treated with MTX (MTX+ group, n = 29), and the other was treated without MTX (MTX− group, n = 19), and other disease-modifying anti-rheumatic drugs were not permitted in the two groups before the primary endpoint was met. The primary endpoint is the occurrence of definite RA, and it was compared in the two groups after 1 year.Results. The percentage of patients who developed definite RA in the MTX+ group (17.2%) was significantly lower than that in the MTX− group (78.9%) (log-rank test, P < 0.001, n = 48); adjusted hazards ratio: 0.028 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.003–0.250, P = 0.001, n = 39]. Treatment effectiveness was not decreased by major risk factors of RA onset such as smoking habits and human leukocyte antigen-DRB1 shared epitope (SE) (smoking habit, odds ratio [OR]: 0.041 [95% CI: 0.007–0.246] P < 0.001; SE, OR: 0.022 [95% CI: 0.002–0.204] P < 0.001). The safety issues were comparable between the two groups.Conclusions. This suggests that early therapeutic intervention with MTX could safely prevent the development of RA in patients with recent-onset UA showing high ACPA titers.

The Prevalence and Characteristics of Psoriatic Arthritis in Patients With Psoriasis in a Tertiary Hospital

Objectives: This study aims to investigate psoriatic arthritis (PsA) prevalence in patients with psoriasis (Ps), and compare clinical and laboratory characteristics of patients with or without PsA. Patients and methods: A total of 126 patients (59 males, 67 females; mean age 45.6±13.8 years; range 18 to 82 years) with Ps who applied to Dermatology Outpatient Clinic between October 2009 and September 2010 were included in this study. The patients were screened for PsA using Classification of Psoriatic Arthritis criteria. The patients classified as PsA were grouped according to Moll and Wright criteria. Enthesopathy was evaluated according to Maastricht Ankylosing Spondylitis Enthesis score. Psoriasis Area and Severity Index scores were calculated by the same dermatologist. Results: The prevalence of PsA was 25.4%. Ps duration was significantly longer in the group with PsA. The most common type was asymmetrical oligoarticular type (53.1%). Compared to previous studies, the rate of isolated spondyloarthropahty was higher in our study (21.9%). Nail involvement, Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score, mean erythrocyte sedimentation rate, and C-reactive protein values were significantly higher in the group with PsA. Conclusion: High rate of isolated spondyloarthropahty in patients with PsA indicates that PsA must be kept in mind in the differential diagnosis of seronegative spondyloarthropathies. The fact that nail involvement is seen more frequently in patients with arthritis may assist in screening of PsA in patients with Ps. In addition, our results showing a higher probability of PsA development in patients with more severe skin lesions and a higher probability of arthritis development in patients with long lasting Ps may guide clinicians in terms of the probability of arthritis development in patients with Ps.

Risk of rheumatoid arthritis development in patients with unclassified arthritis according to the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria for rheumatoid arthritis

Risk of rheumatoid arthritis development in patients with unclassified arthritis according to the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria for rheumatoid arthritis

Risk of rheumatoid arthritis development in patients with unclassified arthritis according to the 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria for rheumatoid arthritis

Early recognition and treatment of RA is associated with an improved outcome. The 2010 ACR/EULAR criteria for RA identify RA patients earlier than the 1987 ACR criteria. Nevertheless, we recently observed that 24% of the 2010 unclassified arthritis (UA) patients develop RA during follow-up. Here we studied this frequency in other cohorts and evaluated the prognostic accuracy of ACPA and the Leiden prediction rule in 2010 UA patients. The 2010 UA patients from three Early Arthritis Clinics were studied: 776 from Leiden, 121 from Birmingham and 322 from Amsterdam. Fulfilment of the 1987 ACR criteria during follow-up was studied as the primary outcome. DMARD prescription during the year and having a persistent course of arthritis over 7 years were studied as secondary outcomes in one cohort. The presence of ACPA and the prediction score at baseline were evaluated in relation to these outcomes. In the three cohorts, 24%, 26% and 12%, respectively, of the 2010 UA patients fulfilled the 1987 criteria after 1 year. However, some of these patients already fulfilled the 1987 criteria at baseline. In 1987 and 2010 UA patients, 15%, 21% and 9%, respectively, developed RA (1987) at 1 year. In these patients, 0-6% of the patients were ACPA positive and 0-1% had high prediction scores. Consequently a large majority of the UA patients with an unfavourable outcome was not recognized by these prognostic tools. A proportion of 2010 UA patients progress to RA. ACPA and the Leiden prediction rule are not useful in identifying these patients. These results imply that other predictive markers should be developed for 2010 UA patients.