This paper aimed to predict the mechanical composition of machine-picked fresh tea leaves (MPFTLs) using near-infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) rapidly and non-destructively. Samples of MPFTL with different mechanical composition ratios were collected and subjected to NIRS analysis. Subsequently, various preprocessing methods were employed to eliminate extraneous noise information. Next, characteristic spectral information was extracted using the backward interval partial least squares (biPLS) method, which was subsequently subjected to principal component analysis (PCA). Finally, a predictive model was constructed by applying the back propagation artificial neural network (BP-ANN) method, which was tested by external samples to assess its predictive efficacy, and the results were expressed as root mean square error and determination coefficient of prediction (Rp2). The optimal spectral pretreatment method was the following: (standard normal variate (SNV) + second derivative (SD)). Four characteristic spectral subintervals of ([2, 3, 7, 10]) were screened out, and the cumulative contribution rate of 95.20%, attributable to the first three principal components, was determined. When the tanh transfer function was applied to construct the BP-ANN-NIRS model, the results demonstrated optimal performance, exhibiting a root mean square error and a determination coefficient of prediction (Rp2) of 0.976 and 0.027, respectively. The absolute values of prediction deviation for all prediction set samples were found to be less than 0.04. The results of the best BP-ANN model for external samples were found to be in close agreement with those of the prediction set model. NIRS technology has successfully achieved the forecasting of the mechanical composition of machine-picked fresh tea leaves rapidly and accurately, providing a fair and convenient new method for purchasing fresh tea raw materials by machines, according to their quality, and promoting the sustainable high-quality and healthy development of the tea industry.
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