Determinants Of Stock Market Development Research Articles

Macroeconomic Factors of Stock Market Development (The Case of Saudi Arabia)

Most economists recognize that a healthy capital market can enhance economic growth. In 2016, Saudi Arabia launched Vision 2030, and the Financial Sector Development Program is part of the Vision. The program aims to achieve economic diversification, reduce oil dependence, and trigger economic growth. Capital market development has an integral part to play in achieving Vision 2030 goals. For this reason, it is essential to investigate the factors that could influence it. The literature on the impact of macroeconomic factors on the stock market development is inconclusive; thus, it is difficult to generalize the outcome of previous studies. This research investigates the macroeconomic and institutional determinants of stock market development in Saudi Arabia from 2008 to 2021 by using a multiple linear regression approach. Following previous research, our analysis explores the impact of several factors, including Global Trade Openness, Market Depth, Macroeconomic Stability, Control of Corruption, Income level, Private capital flows, Financial intermediary development, Economic Development, Domestic Savings and investment. Among the nine evaluated factors, only four were significant. We find that the determinants of stock market development in Saudi Arabia are Economic Development, Income level, Control of corruption, and Market Depth.

Macroeconomic Variables and Stock Market Development in Africa: Evidence from Nigeria

This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in the Nigerian economy. This was aimed at ascertaining how INF representing real interest rate, GDP representing gross domestic product per capita, and BMS representing broad money supply has stimulate the stock market development in Nigeria. Historical data was collated and estimated employing the ARDL form of Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) technique. The empirical results indicate that only inflation had a negative and significant impacts on stock market development while real output and money supply exerted positive but insignificant impacts. On the basis of the findings of this study, the following recommendations are made: The monetary authorities have to regularly review their monetary policy direction to bring inflation lower than it is; Regulatory authorities and policy makers should ensure that there is general stability in money supply and exchange rates, while trying to put the inflationary trends under control and at the same time maintain a stable interest rate regime in the economy in order to achieve improvements in stock market performance to bring about desired economic growth and national development.

Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development: A Systematic Literature Review

The objective of this study is to examine the various macroeconomic factors that influence the growth of the stock market, as well as to explore the techniques employed to establish a correlation between them. For this research, literature was sourced from databases such as Ebsco host, Web of Science, and JSTOR using the search terms "Macroeconomic determinants" and "Stock market". The data obtained was then analyzed using the PRISMA statement and presented in the report accordingly.The study revealed that economic growth has a positive effect on the growth of the stock market, while an increase in the inflation rate has a negative impact. The impact of trade openness, foreign investment, exchange rate, interest rate, and banking sector development was found to be mixed. The correlation between these macroeconomic determinants and stock market development was established by utilizing econometric techniques, including GARCH and ARCH models. This research aims to provide an understanding of the relationship between macroeconomic factors and the development of the stock market, as well as the impact of these factors. However, more in-depth exploration of this topic is needed, including the examination of additional databases and analysis on a country and sectoral level. This research will assist scholars and educators within the fields of economics and finance to gain insight into the macroeconomic factors that influence the growth of the stock market. As far as the researcher is aware, no systematic review using the PRISMA framework has been conducted on the relationship between "macroeconomic determinants" and "stock market development

Correlation-and-regression analysis of the influence of macroeconomic factors on capital structure of Russian corporations under crisis conditions

The study reveals the influence of macroeconomic factors on decisions about the optimal capital structure formation under financial globalization, in view of ever-changing factors of the external economic and geopolitical environment. The study is aimed at empirical testing of hypotheses on how the level of financial leverage of corporations depends on traditional determinants during and after the financial crisis under the emerging market conditions in Russia. The study deals with a large data set of 49 public joint stock companies from 7 leading Russian economic sectors for the period from 2011 to 2017. According to the correlation-and-regression analysis results (1) the use of traditional theories of capital structure under the conditions of current financial globalization in a country with a developing economy proves to be ineffective for the optimal capital structure formation (2) the corporate capital structure formation is strongly influenced by macroeconomic factors, which is most evidently manifested during and after the crisis (3) the financial crisis exerts a strong influence on the corporate capital structure (4) the determinant of stock market development has a significant influence on leverage and plays a prominent role in making financial decisions after the financial crisis.

The Effect of Key Macroeconomic Variables on Market Capitalization in Selected Emerging Markets: Post 2007-08 Crisis Era

Stock market developments are of high importance both for developed and developing countries. Determinants of stock market development are studied under two main approaches in the literature in terms of macroeconomics: institutional structure and key macroeconomic variables. While the studies regarding the first provided rather consistent results, the studies regarding the second have not come to a well-accepted consensus, at least for the majority of the key macroeconomic variables. This study aims to find out post-crisis determinants of stock market development in 2009-2017 for selected 31 emerging markets, using generalized method of moments (GMM) technique in two separate models. The estimation results show that for the countries in hand and for the period specified, the level of openness and the exchange rate have been the key macroeconomic determinants of market capitalization.

English

This article fills a gap of literature on the relationship between education and the stock market. We adopt the modified Calderon-Rossell model to estimate the effect of quality of human capital on Capital market. Four different techniques were used to check the robustness of the result. Of all the techniques adopted Newey-West to account for different characteristics of emerging economies turnout to be more efficient and appropriate. The article finds that the quality of human capital is an important determinant of stock market development in emerging market countries. Policy makers in emerging economies must seek to implement policies that would make education accessible and meaningful to the populace. By this Free Senior High School policy in Ghana is in the right direction for capital market development.   Key words: Human Capital, Stock Market, GDP.

Formation of optimal capital structure of domestic corporations in times of crisis: Econometric analysis of determinants

Subject. The article addresses building the optimal capital structure in the face of financial globalization, taking into account the ever-changing factors of external economic and geopolitical environment, including the financial crisis. Objectives. The purpose is to perform empirical tests of hypotheses about the nature of corporate financial leverage dependence on traditional determinants during and after the financial crisis in Russia's emerging market. I used a large data set on 49 public companies in seven leading sectors of the Russian economy from 2011 to 2017. Methods. The study employs the correlation and regression analysis. Results. The results of correlation and regression analysis show that the application of traditional theories of capital structure in the current conditions of financial globalization in a developing country is ineffective for forming an optimal capital structure; macroeconomic factors have a significant impact on the formation of corporate capital structures, which is particularly reflected during and after the crisis; the financial crisis has a considerable impact on the capital structure of companies; the determinant of stock market development has a real impact on leverage and plays an important role in financial decision-making after the financial crisis. Conclusions. I revealed inverse relationship between the leverage and variable size of companies after financial crisis, which contradicts to the trade-off theory and corresponds to the pecking order theory. This supports the hypothesis that macroeconomic factors are crucial, but the variable of stock market development has increased essentially as compared to the pre-crisis period.

Determinants of stock market development and price volatility in ASEAN plus three countries: The role of institutional quality

AbstractThe present study investigates the determinants of stock market development and price volatility in a sample of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) plus three countries. More specifically, the study explores the role of institutional quality indicators on stock market development and volatility. To achieve the objectives of the study, we use annual data from 1991 to 2014 and employ panel cointegration test, fully modified ordinary least square method, and heterogeneous noncausality test. Our empirical findings confirm the significant long‐run relationship among the variables. Similarly, our results of long‐run elasticities on stock market development and volatility indicate that the institutional freedom indicators such as regulation, size of the government, sound money, and trade freedom have significant positive effect on stock market development, and these indicators, along with legal system, have substantial negative impact on stock price volatility. We also find significant short‐run causalities of stock market development and price volatility with the macroeconomic variables. Given these results, our study suggests that the institutional freedom indicators not only promote stock market development, but they also effectively reduce stock price volatility in ASEAN plus three countries.

STOCK MARKET DEVELOPMENT: AN ASSESSMENT OF ITS MACROECONOMIC AND INSTITUTIONAL DETERMINANTS IN MAURITIUS

Stock market development is now well known for the role that it plays in generating gains in terms of economic growth. It has therefore become very important to now scrutinize the main driving forces which actually cause the expansion of stock market development. To do so, the paper scrutinizes the both the macroeconomic and institutional determinants of stock market development in Mauritius during the period 1989-2016 through a dynamic VECM. The results indicate that macroeconomic factors such as economic growth, banking sector development, stock market liquidity and gross fixed capital formation are important drivers of stock market development in the island. Additionally, political stability, rule of law, government effectiveness, voice accountability and control of corruption also play a key role in terms of enhancing stock market development.

Determinants of the Brazilian Stock Market Development

It has become well-known now that stock markets play a key role in stimulating economic growth process. As economists and politicians alike, battle in finding ways of growing economies, it becomes imperative to establish the drivers of stock market development as they have an ultimate bearing on the stimulants of economic growth. In recent years, studies on the stock market determinants have sprung up, however, with results far from being conclusive. What turned out to be determinants in one study may not be in another study. Therefore, in this paper, we examine the key determinants of stock market development in Brazil using annual time-series data spanning from 1980 to 2016. The study was motivated by the growing important role of stock market development in economic development, on the one hand, and the conflicting findings on the determinants of stock market development, on the other hand; coupled with little to no study coverage of the topic on Brazil. Unlike some previous studies that used cross-sectional data, the current study has used time-series techniques that take into consideration the Brazilian country-specific issues. Furthermore, the current study has also employed the ARDL bounds testing procedure to determine the determinants of stock market development in Brazil. This procedure is well known for its superior small sample properties; hence it is considered more suitable for this study. The results of the study reveal that the stock market development in Brazil is positively determined by trade openness, banking sector development and exchange rate, irrespective of whether the analysis is done in the long run or in the short run. Contrary to the results of some previous studies, investment and stock market liquidity are found to have a negative influence on the development of stock market in Brazil – both in the long run and in the short run. The study, therefore, recommends that policies that favour international trade, bank-based financial sector development and exchange rate stability should be pursued in Brazil, as this would translate into further stock market development.

The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis

This study examines the macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia during the period 1981 to 2015. Specifically, it investigates the impact of banking sector development, economic performance, the inflation rate, foreign direct investment and trade openness on the development of the Malaysian stock market. The results show that economic performance and trade openness have positive and significant long-run impacts, whereas banking sector development has a negative and significant long-run impact on stock market development. In the short run, the results indicate that the previous periods of banking sector development, as well as current and previous periods of trade openness, have had positive impacts on stock market development. These findings have practical policy implications.

The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis

The macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Malaysia: an empirical analysis

Macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in South Africa

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in South Africa during the period 1975–2015. Specifically, it examines the impact of banking sector development, economic growth, inflation rate, real interest rate and trade openness on the development of the South African stock market.Design/methodology/approachThe author employs autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing procedure that allows the author to empirically investigate both the short- and long-run relationships between the stock market development and its determinants in the context of South Africa. In addition, the author also conducts a sensitivity analysis by accounting for the presence of structural breaks in the underlying series to check for the robustness of the estimation.FindingsThis paper confirms the findings by other studies that banking sector development and economic growth promote stock market development, while inflation rate and real interest rate inhibit stock market development. In addition, this paper finds an interesting result in the fact that trade openness has a negative impact on stock market development, which is different from the findings of many other studies.Originality/valueCurrently, while the theoretical and empirical literature presents diverse views on the relationship between each determinant and stock market development, no study has focussed on the South African stock market. Given the significant role that the South African stock market plays in Africa as measured by its market capitalisation and market capitalisation ratio, there is a need for a better understanding of the macroeconomic factors influencing its development.

Investigating the Nexus between Institutional Quality and Stock Market Development in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Approach

AbstractThis study investigates the nexus between institutional quality and stock market development. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model (ARDL (1,1)) and ARDL bounds testing procedure (Pesaran et al., ) was adopted for the estimation. We used annual time series data that covers the periods 1985 to 2013. Institutional quality is measured with corruption control, democratic accountability and bureaucratic quality, while stock market development is measured with market capitalization ratio. The institutional quality captures the degree of transparency and the level of investors' confidence while market capitalization measures overall performance. In addition, we also accounted for the influence of the banking sector (proxy: ratio of credit to the private sector). We control for the influence of variables such as stock market liquidity and per capita income. The results of the bounds test suggest that institutional quality and market development move together in the long run. Further investigation also shows that corruption control and democratic accountability are key institutional measures that impact significantly on stock market development, suggesting that institutional quality promotes the degree of transparency and investors' confidence. Other variables such as stock market liquidity, bureaucratic quality and per capita income were also found to be important determinants of stock market development in Nigeria. Hence, given the above findings, the relevant authorities should increase their efforts to control the level of corruption through the enhancement of the regulatory framework that could ensure accountability and efficient monitoring of the market actors for the sustainability of investors' confidence and the promotion of stock market development in Nigeria.

Determinants of stock market development: a review of the literature

PurposeThis paper aims to provide a comprehensive review of the literature on the determinants of stock market development.Design/methodology/approachThe paper divides the existing studies into the theoretical and empirical literature. Then, it analyses these studies in turn.FindingsBased on the theoretical literature, the determinants of stock market development can be broadly classified into two groups: macroeconomic factors and institutional factors. The theory and the empirics predict different ways in which macroeconomic factors affect stock market development. The real income and its growth rate foster stock market development, while the banking sector, interest rate and private capital flows can foster or inhibit it. Inflation and exchange rates have adverse effects on stock market development. In terms of the institutional factors, the literature indicates that different legal origins and stock market integration can have a positive or negative impact on stock market development. In addition, factors such as legal protection of investors, corporate governance, financial liberalisation and trade openness contribute positively to the development of the stock market.Research limitations/implicationsFrom the survey, it is imperative that policies which aim at enhancing institutional quality, financial integration, real income growth, macroeconomic stability and capital inflows, among others, will certainly promote stock market development within and across countries. Although the empirical studies have incorporated a large set of variables in their models, the theoretical studies do not contain rich models of stock market development. It is understandable that a theoretical model which contains a large set of the determinants of stock market development may be difficult to solve. However, such a model seems very appealing and will provide a unification of the existing literature.Originality/valueThe originality of the paper lies in the fact that it is the first to undertake a survey of the determinants of stock market development in the literature. It is hoped that this paper will spur further theoretical and empirical research on the determinants of stock market development.

The Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development from an African Perspective

It is widely accepted that a well-functioning financial system is crucial for the development of the economy. As such, it becomes crucial to investigate what the determinants of stock market development are. This would enable policy makers to take the necessary steps to enhance stock market development, which will in turn trigger a much-needed economic growth. This paper therefore aims at identifying the main macroeconomic determinants of stock market by using a dynamic Panel Vector Error Correction Model within a sample of Sub Saharan African countries. The results suggest that economic growth, banking development, stock market liquidity, investment and macroeconomic stability are key determinants of stock market development in the region. Interestingly, the study finds that savings have a significant and detrimental impact on the growth of equity markets in the region. Moreover, results also indicate that economic growth indirectly stimulates stock market development in the short run.

Determinants of stock market development: The case of developing countries and Vietnam

Stock market is a key channel to the mobilization of long-term capi-tal in an economy, and determinants of stock market development in developing countries are still undecided. This paper aims to inves-tigate these determinants in Vietnam and other developing countries, whose differences are also pointed out by applying two-way Gener-alized Method of Moments to the panel data of 36 developing countries over the period of 2003–2014. Our findings are intriguing. First, in developing countries economic growth, domestic credit, and stock market liquidity are positive determinants of the development of stock market. While the effect of money supply is negative, insti-tutional factors such as government effectiveness and rule of law have significantly positive impacts, in contrast to corruption control and political stability (whose impacts are significant and negative). Second, regarding the development of the stock market in Vietnam, the effects of such macroeconomic factors as economic growth, domestic investment, foreign direct investment, domestic credit, broad money supply, stock market liquidity, and inflation are signif-icant and negative, whereas those of all institution variables, includ-ing control of corruption, government effectiveness, political stabil-ity, regulatory quality, rule of law, and voice and accountability, are significant and positive. This implies that well-established institutions are crucial for promoting a demand for stocks and stock market performance in Vietnam.

Determinants of stock market development: The case of developing countries and Vietnam

Determinants of stock market development: The case of developing countries and Vietnam

Macroeconomic Determinants of Stock Market Development in Ghana

Financial systems have been found to have a positive influence on the economic development of most countries. The stock market, which is also a component of the financial system is said to play an integral role in economic growth. This paper examines the macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in Ghana for the period 1992 to 2012 using annual secondary data from Bank of Ghana Quarterly Economic Bulletins, Ghana Statistical Service, Ghana Stock Exchange Market Statistics, the World Bank and IMF’s International Financial Statistics. The macroeconomic indicators such as the real income (GDP per capita income), domestic saving, stock market liquidity, financial intermediary growth, macroeconomic stability (inflation) and private capital flows with stock market capitalization used as a proxy for the study were collected and used for the analysis. These variables were examined to establish a relationship with stock market developments based on a linear regression model.The regression analysis found stock market liquidity to be statistically significant to stock market developments as opposed to the other determinants (such as macroeconomic stability (inflation) real income and domestic savings and private capital flows) which were found to be non-significant. This result suggests that macroeconomic stability (inflation), real income, domestic savings and private capital flows proved not to have any significant impact on stock market development, since their regression coefficients were not statically significant at the 5% level of significance.

Macroeconomic determinants of stock market capitalization in an emerging market: fresh evidence from cointegration with unknown structural breaks

This article explores the macroeconomic determinants of stock market development in an emerging market (Pakistan) over the period of 1974–2010. We have applied Zivot–Andrews unit root test for integrating properties of the variables and the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing for cointegration. The direction of causality between the variables is investigated by applying the vector error-correction model Granger causality approach. Our results revealed that variables are cointegrated for long run relationship. Economic growth, inflation, financial development and investment increase stock market development, but trade openness decreases it. The causality analysis confirms that stock market development is a Granger cause of economic growth, inflation, financial development, investment and trade openness. This article indicates the importance of trade openness while formulating a comprehensive financial policy.