DALY Rates Research Articles

Global burden of drug use disorders by region and country, 1990-2021.

This study used data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) database to systematically assess the magnitude of drug use disorders (DUD) burden between 1990 and 2021. This study used GBD data to analyze the trends in ASIR, DALYs and other DUD indicators from 1990 to 2021, and compared them among different regions and countries. The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) and its 95% Confidence Interval (CI) were calculated to assess the temporal and geographical disparities. ASIR and DALYs were used to evaluate the burden of DUDs, and socio-demographic index (SDI) was used to measure the socio-economic development level of each country. The global ASIR of DUDs showed a slight downward trend (EAPC = -0.26). The age-standardized DALY rate (per 100,000) significantly declined from 1990 to 2021 (EAPC = -1.44). Among the regions, the high SDI region exhibited the most substantial increase in ASIR (EAPC = 0.65). On a regional level, the high-income North America region had the highest EAPC for both age-standardized DALYs and ASIR (EAPC = 4.82, 1.02, respectively). Nationally, the United States of America reported the largest increase in age-standardized DALY rates and EAPC for ASIR (EAPC of 4.88, 1.05, respectively), while South Africa had the most significant decrease in EAPC (EAPC of -3.62, -1.52, respectively). In 2021, the highest ASIR was observed in high-income North America at 520.07; Central Asia had the highest age-standardized DALY rate. Globally, age-standardized DALYs and ASIR for DUDs were generally higher in men than in women, and the burden of DUDs decreased with age. The global burden of DUDs has shown complex and changing trends over the last decades, with large differences in burden between regions and countries. This highlights the need for targeted public health policies and interventions in High income North America region and Eastern Europe.

8702 Age-Sex Differences in Global Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease Attributable to High LDL in the Last 3 Decades:Global, Regional, National Variations, Age Dynamics, and Implications for Global Health

Abstract Disclosure: V. Adedara: None. K. Maddineni: None. A. Dekhne: None. M. Chinthapalli: None. G. Potluri: None. A. Parisapogu: None. K. Markandu: None. H. Desai: None. Background: Ischemic Heart Disease (IHD) stands as the foremost cause of mortality globally, contributing to 9.6 million deaths. Elevated levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) consistently feature among the risk factors associated with IHD. Methods: Employing the Global Burden of Disease framework, we computed mortality and DALYs linked to IHD attributable to LDL-C, stratified by age-sex, year, and covering 204 countries and territories during the period from 1990 to 2019. Non-fatal health outcomes were estimated using DISMOD MR 2.1, Bayesian meta-regression tool for epidemiological modelling. Results were expressed in absolute counts and age-standardized rates (ASR) per 100,000 person-years. Results: The total number of deaths attributed to IHD due to elevated LDL-C increased from 2.5 million (95% Uncertainty Interval: 2-3.1 million) in 1990 to 3.7 million (95% UI: 2.8-4.8 million) in 2019. Concurrently, DALYs increased from 60.4 million (95% UI: 50.4-70.7 million) in 1990 to 84.9 million (95% UI: 69.5-101.3 million) in 2019. In terms of ASR, the annual percentage change (APC) in death rates decreased by 36%, and DALY rates decreased by 32% from 1990 to 2019. Regionally, East Asia exhibited the highest increase in APC in death counts by 191%, followed by Commonwealth Low-Income countries at 164%, and Oceania at 160% during the same period. Conversely, the Commonwealth High-Income region experienced the highest decrease at 41%. Males displayed higher APC in death (48% vs. 44%) and DALYs (42% vs. 38%) compared to females over the last three decades. In terms of ASR, males observed a higher decrease compared to females. In 2019, the age group 80-84 years had the highest number of deaths at 534,079 (264,177-813,898), while DALYs were most pronounced in the 55-59 year age group, reaching 10.6 million (8.9-12.3 million). Conclusion: IHD remains a significant global health challenge, with high LDL-C levels being a crucial modifiable risk factor. Age-sex disparities in the burden of IHD are evident, driven by variations in LDL-C metabolism, hormonal changes, and lifestyle factors. Recognizing and addressing these disparities is essential for developing effective prevention and treatment strategies tailored to different populations and age groups. Presentation: 6/2/2024

Funding priorities and health outcomes in Danish medical research

External research funding is an essential component of the infrastructure of modern, academic research. Priorities in funding decisions drive what knowledge is generated, and how scientists’ careers are shaped. For health research, it can ultimately have implications for health outcomes. The aim of this paper is to illustrate how funding information can be used to track priorities in health research, linking them to disease burdens and research outputs. Furthermore, funding concentrations are analysed from both researcher and disease perspectives, to estimate the influence of personal Matthew-effects on the distribution of health research funding. Denmark is used as the case, including funding information from all major public and private research foundations in the period 2004–2016. Grant information is linked to research outputs and disability-adjusted life-years (DALY rates), for 34,160 publications linked to 2630 grants, receiving DKK 4.8 billion in funding. Data show poor correlation between funding priorities, research activity and disease burdens, with several diseases receiving disproportionate amounts of funding. A research opportunity index is calculated to identify diseases with the highest potential for future investments from a burden-centred point of view. Funding is highly concentrated, both on people and on specific diseases. High funding concentrations on researchers can be a driving factor behind the observed funding-to-burden imbalances, and may risk knowledge stagnation through monopolisation of the market place of ideas. Results indicate that funders of clinical and translational research, as well as some types of biomedical research, need to supplement traditional considerations of scientific excellence with measures of societal challenges and relevance.

The disease burden of bladder cancer and its attributable risk factors in five Eastern Asian countries, 1990–2019: a population-based comparative study

BackgroundsThe study aimed to estimate bladder cancer burden and its attributable risk factors in China, Japan, South Korea, North Korea and Mongolia from 1990 to 2019, to discuss the potential causes of the disparities.MethodsData were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The annual percent change (APC) and average annual percent change (AAPC) were calculated by Joinpoint analysis, and the independent age, period and cohort effects were estimated by age-period-cohort analysis.ResultsIn 2019, the highest incidence (7.70 per 100,000) and prevalence (51.09 per 100,000) rates of bladder cancer were in Japan, while the highest mortality (2.31 per 100,000) and DALY rates (41.88 per 100,000) were in South Korea and China, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates increased in China, Japan and South Korea (AAPC > 0) and decreased in Mongolia (AAPC < 0), while mortality and DALY rates decreased in all five countries (AAPC < 0). Age effects showed increasing trends for incidence, mortality and DALY rates, while the prevalence rates increased first and then decreased in older groups. The cohort effects showed downward trends from 1914–1918 to 2004–2008. Smoking was the greatest contributor and males had the higher burden than females.ConclusionBladder cancer was still a major public health problem in East Asia. Male and older population suffered from higher risk, and smoking played an important role. It is recommended that more efficient preventions and interventions should be operated among high-risk populations, thereby reduce bladder cancer burden in East Asia.

Effect of the lack of access to handwashing facilities on the global burden of lower respiratory infections, 1990–2019: A systematic analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019

A lack of access to handwashing facilities is a significant risk factor for lower respiratory infections(LRIs). However, no studies have reported epidemiologic changes in the burden of LRIs attributed to the lack of access to handwashing facilities. We conducted an integrated assessment of the burden of LRIs attributable to the lack of handwashing facilities from 1990 to 2019 using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. In 2019, 270,000 deaths were attributed to LRIs due to a lack of access to handwashing facilities, with DALYs reaching 14.02 million. The age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) of LRIs caused by a lack of access to handwashing facilities was approximately 3.74, while the age-standardized DALY rate (ASDR) was reported to be 203.55 in 2019. Over the past 30 years, the burden of LRIs attributed to the lack of access to handwashing facilities has shown a global decline. In 2019, this burden was most pronounced in infants under 1 year of age and in those older than 95 years, reflecting the highest DALY (5591.83) and mortality rates (79.43), respectively. The burden of LRIs caused by the lack of access to handwashing facilities was found to be more severe in males and significantly more pronounced in regions with a low sociodemographic index (SDI), such as the Sahara African region. The development of targeted strategies to address the inadequate and unequal distribution of handwashing facilities holds important value in improving the disease burden of LRIs.

Estimation of the Global Disease Burden of Depression and Anxiety between 1990 and 2044: An Analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

(1) Background: Depression and anxiety are the most common and severe mental disorders. This research estimated the prevalence and disease burden of depression and anxiety from 1990 to 2044. (2) Methods: Data on disease burden, population, and risk factors were identified and gathered from the Global Health Data Exchange database. The time trends, sex and age differences, key factors, and regional variations in and predictions of depression and anxiety were analyzed based on the age-standardized incidence rate, prevalence rate, and DALY rate. (3) Results: Our findings revealed that the burden of depression and anxiety was heavy. Specifically, the age-standardized DALY rate of depression started to decrease compared with trends related to anxiety disorders. Meanwhile, females bear a heavier burden for both depression and anxiety. Seniors and the middle-aged population carry the highest burden regarding mental disorders. Both high- and low-socio-demographic-index countries were found to be high-risk regions for depressive disorders. The disease burden attributed to childhood sexual abuse, bullying victimization, and intimate partner violence has increased since 1990. Finally, projections regarding depression and anxiety revealed geographic and age variations. (4) Conclusions: Public health researchers, officers, and organizations should take effective age-, sex-, and location-oriented measures.

Trends in the burden of female infertility among adults aged 20–49 years during 1990–2019: an analysis of data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

ObjectivesThe aim of this analysis was to investigate the worldwide distribution and trends in the burden of female infertility (FI).Design and settingAnalysis of cross-sectional data from 1990 to 2019 from...

Global trends and projections of colorectal, esophageal and stomach cancer burden among youth associated with diet: A analysis of 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 and until 2040

BackgroundUnhealthy diets significantly contribute to stomach, colorectal and esophageal cancer burden globally. Western diets high in processed and red meats promote carcinogenesis in these gastrointestinal cancers. However, adolescent and young adult (AYA) patients' unique needs regarding these cancers have been neglected. MethodsData from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study was used to quantify stomach, colorectal and esophageal cancer burden among AYAs from 1990 to 2040 across 204 countries. Correlations between the burden of these cancers and the Socio-demographic Index were examined. ResultsHigh SDI locations experienced the largest reduction in cancer DALY rate change from 1990 to 2019 (-22% [-12 to -33]), compared to a small increase in low-middle SDI regions. Middle SDI areas saw the largest reduction in DALY rate change from 1990 to 2019 (-62% [-32 to -75]), compared to a small decrease in low-middle SDI locations (-9% [-27 to 10]) in esophageal cancer. From 1990–2019, stomach cancer deaths and DALYs declined across all SDI regions, with the largest reductions in high SDI locations (-61% [-57 to -69]) and smallest in low-middle SDI areas (-25% [-13 to -34]). Colorectal cancer deaths and DALYs rose across all SDI regions except high SDI locations, which showed a slight decrease. ConclusionThis study demonstrates the evolving global burden of stomach, colorectal and esophageal cancers among AYAs. The highest burden was in high-middle and high SDI regions, underscoring the need to prioritize initiatives targeting these gastrointestinal malignancies in youth.

Burden of Stroke Attributable to Nonoptimal Temperature in 204 Countries and Territories: A Population-Based Study, 1990-2019.

Stroke attributable to nonoptimal temperature needs more attention with dramatic climate change. The aim of this study was to estimate the global burden and distribution characteristics of the burden. In this ecological study, we collected data from the Climate Research Unit Gridded Time Series, the World Bank databases, and the Global Burden of Diseases study to estimate the distribution of burden. We used the joinpoint model, decomposition analysis, age-period-cohort model, panel data analysis, and health inequality analysis to assess the different types of stroke burden attributable to different climatic conditions. The burden of stroke attributable to nonoptimal temperature continued to grow, and aging was a key factor in this increase. In 2019, 521,031 (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 402,433-663,996) deaths and 9,423,649 (95% UI 7,207,660-12,055,172) disability-adjusted life years [DALYs] attributable to stroke due to nonoptimal temperature were recorded globally. Globally, men (age-standardized mortality rate [ASMR] 7.70, 95% UI 5.80-9.73; age-standardized DALY rate [ASDR] 139.69, 95% UI 102.96-178.54 in 2019) had a heavier burden than women (ASMR 5.89, 95% UI 4.50-7.60; ASDR 96.02, 95% UI 72.62-123.85 in 2019). Central Asia (ASMR 18.12, 95% UI 13.40-24.53; ASDR 327.35, 95% UI 240.24-440.61 in 2019) had the heaviest burden at the regional level. In the national level, North Macedonia (ASMR 32.97, 95% UI 20.57-47.44 in 2019) and Mongolia (ASDR 568.54, 95% UI 242.03-1,031.14 in 2019) had the highest ASMR/ASDR, respectively. Low temperature currently contributes to the main burden (deaths 474,002, 95% UI 355,077-606,537; DALYs 8,357,198, 95% UI 6,186,217-10,801,911 attributable to low temperature vs deaths 48,030, 95% UI 5,630-104,370; DALYs 1,089,329, 95% UI 112,690-2,375,345 attributable to high temperature in 2019). However, the burden due to high temperature has increased rapidly, especially among people aged older than 10 years, and was disproportionately concentrated in low sociodemographic index (SDI) regions such as Africa. In addition, the rapid increase in the stroke burden due to high temperature in Central Asia also requires special attention. This is the first study to assess the global stroke burden attributed to nonoptimal temperature. The dramatic increase in the burden due to high temperature requires special attention, especially in low-SDI countries.

Disease burden of Parkinson's disease in China and its provinces from 1990 to 2021: findings from the global burden of disease study 2021

Parkinson's disease (PD) has become a public health concern with global ageing. However, comprehensive assessments of the temporal and geographical trend of PD disease burden in China remain insufficient. This study aimed to examine the burden of PD by age, gender, and geographical region in China during 1990-2021. Using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021, we analysed the incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY burden of PD in 33 Chinese provinces/regions. We compared the national figure with the global average and the corresponding estimates from the G20 countries. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to quantify the temporal trends of PD burden during 1990-2021. We further assessed the PD burden by age and gender during 1990-2021. We used a decomposition analysis to investigate the changes in the number of new cases, patients, and deaths of PD during 1990-2021. In 2021, China recorded the highest age-standardised incidence and prevalence of PD among the G20 countries, at 24.3 per 100,000 and 245.7 per 100,000, respectively, figures that were much higher than the global average. During 1990-2021, the age-standardised incidence of PD in China increased by 89.7%, and the age-standardised prevalence by 167.8%, both marking the largest increases among the G20 countries. In contrast, the age-standardised mortality for PD has significantly decreased since 1990, whereas the age-standardised DALY rate for PD has remained relatively unchanged since 1990. The PD burden gradually increased with age, especially in the elderly population aged ≥65 years. During 1990-2021, the burden in males consistently surpassed that in females, with the gender difference widening over time. The increase in new cases and patients of PD was primarily driven by changes in age-specific rates, while the rise in PD-related deaths was largely attributable to population ageing. The disease burden of PD varied considerably across the Chinese provinces. In 2021, age-standardised incidence and prevalence of PD were generally higher in China's southeastern coastal regions than in the western regions, and age-standardised DALY rates were higher in the northern regions than in other regions. The disease burden of PD in China has consistently risen over the past three decades, particularly among elderly men. The increasing causative factors and population aging highlight the need for enhancing public health intervention and resource allocation, especially in etiological research, early diagnosis, preventive strategies, and region-specific management for PD. Ministry of Science and Technology of the People's Republic of China (2022YFC2304900, 2022YFC2505100); National Key R&D Program of China (2022YFC2505100, 2022YFC2505103, 2018YFC1315300); Outstanding Young Scholars Support Program (grant number: 3111500001); Epidemiology modeling and risk assessment (grant number: 20200344), and Xi'an Jiaotong University Young Scholar Support Grant (grant number: YX6J004).

Global burden of osteoarthritis from 1990 to 2019 attributable to high body mass index

IntroductionTo examine data from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 to determine the global burden of osteoarthritis (OA) from 1990 to 2019 that is attributable to high body mass index (BMI).Material and methodsDisability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and age-standardized DALY rates, and their corresponding estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs), were used to compare estimated OA burdens between countries and regions. Moreover, a comparative risk assessment framework was used to estimate the risks attributable to high BMI in terms of DALYs.ResultsFrom 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALY rate for OA attributable to high BMI increased significantly (EAPC = 1.45, 95% CI: 1.44, 1.47). Moreover, from 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALY rate and number of DALYs for OA attributable to high BMI increased less in women than in men. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALY rate for OA attributable to high BMI increased the most in South Asia (EAPC = 3.94). From 1990 to 2019, among 204 countries worldwide, the age-standardized DALY rate for OA attributable to high BMI increased the most in Equatorial Guinea (EAPC = 7.42). Also, the burden was higher in high-sociodemographic index (SDI) regions than in low-SDI regions.ConclusionsThe global burden of OA attributable to high BMI increased significantly from 1990 to 2019. In particular, this burden was higher in women than in men; primarily affected middle-aged and older adults; and was generally greater in high-SDI regions than in low-SDI regions.

Epidemiological study of pediatric nutritional deficiencies: an analysis from the global burden of disease study 2019

BackgroundNutritional deficiencies (ND) continue to threaten the lives of millions of people around the world, with children being the worst hit. Nevertheless, no systematic study of the epidemiological features of child ND has been conducted so far. Therefore, we aimed to comprehensively assess the burden of pediatric ND.MethodsWe analyzed data on pediatric ND between 1990 and 2019 from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) 2019 at the global, regional, and national levels. In addition, joinpoint regression models were used to assess temporal trends.ResultsIn 2019, the number of prevalent cases of childhood malnutrition increased to 435,071,628 globally. The global age-standardized incidence, prevalence, and DALY rates showed an increasing trend between 1990 and 2019. Meanwhile, the burden of child malnutrition was negatively correlated with sociodemographic index (SDI). Asia and Africa still carried the heaviest burden. The burden and trends of child malnutrition varied considerably across countries and regions. At the age level, we found that malnutrition was significantly more prevalent among children < 5 years of age.ConclusionPediatric ND remains a major public health challenge, especially in areas with low SDI. Therefore, primary healthcare services in developing countries should be improved, and effective measures, such as enhanced pre-school education, strengthened nutritional support, and early and aggressive treatment, need to be developed.

Global burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence and influencing factors study 1990–2019: analysis of the global burden of disease study

IntroductionWidespread concern exists in today’s world regarding self-harm and interpersonal violence. This study to analyze the changes in temporal trends and spatial patterns of risk factors and burdens of self-harm and interpersonal violence using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019.MethodsTemporal trends in self-harm and interpersonal violence were initially summarized using the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC). Data were compiled and visualized to delineate changes in disease burden and factors influencing self-harm and interpersonal violence from 1990 to 2019, stratified by gender, age and GBD region.ResultsIn 2019, the DALY rates of self-harm were 424.7(95% UI 383.25, 466.93). Over the period from 1999 to 2019, self-harm exhibited an overall decreasing trend, with the EAPC of -1.5351 (95% CI -1.6194, -1.4507), -2.0205 (95% CI -2.166, -1.8740) and -2.0605 (95% CI -2.2089, -1.9119), respectively. In contrast, the incidence rate of interpersonal violence was significantly higher than self-harm, with a rate of 413.44 (95% UI 329.88, 502.37) per 100,000 population. Mortality and DALYs of interpersonal violence were lower than those of self-harm, at 5.22 (95% UI 4.87, 5.63) and 342.43 (95% UI 316.61, 371.55). Disease burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence varied by gender, age groups and region. Specific risk factors showed that alcohol use, high temperature and drug use were the main risk factors for self-harm, while alcohol use, intimate partner violence and high temperature were associated with interpersonal violence. Low temperature was a common protective factor for both self-harm and interpersonal violence. The burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence was attributed to different factors influences in different SDI regions.ConclusionsThe study explored temporal trends and spatial distribution of the global disease burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence, emphasizing the significant impact of factors such as alcohol use, temperature, and drug use on disease burden. Further research and policy actions are needed to interpret recent changes of disease burden of self-harm and interpersonal violence, and dedicated efforts should be implemented to devise evidence-based interventions and policies to curtail risk factors and protect high-risk groups.

The burden of neurological conditions in north Africa and the Middle East, 1990–2019: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

The burden of neurological conditions in north Africa and the Middle East is increasing. We aimed to assess the changes in the burden of neurological conditions in this super-region to aid with future decision making. In this analysis of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2019 data, we examined temporal trends of disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; deaths and disabilities combined), deaths, incident cases, and prevalent cases of 14 major neurological conditions and eight subtypes in 21 countries in the north Africa and the Middle East super-region. Additionally, we assessed neurological DALYs due to 22 potentially modifiable risk factors, within four levels of classification, during the period 1990-2019. We used a Bayesian modelling estimation approach, and generated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for final estimates on the basis of the 2·5th and 97·5th percentiles of 1000 draws from the posterior distribution. In 2019, there were 441·1 thousand (95% UI 347·2-598·4) deaths and 17·6 million (12·5-24·7) neurological DALYs in north Africa and the Middle East. The leading causes of neurological DALYs were stroke, migraine, and Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (hereafter dementias). In north Africa and the Middle East in 2019, 85·8% (82·6-89·1) of stroke and 39·9% (26·4-54·7) of dementia age-standardised DALYs were attributable to modifiable risk factors. North Africa and the Middle East had the highest age-standardised DALY rates per 100 000 population due to dementia (387·0 [172·0-848·5]), Parkinson's disease (84·4 [74·7-103·2]), and migraine (601·4 [107·0-1371·8]) among the global super-regions. Between 1990 and 2019, there was a decrease in the age-standardised DALY rates related to meningitis (-75·8% [-81·1 to -69·5]), tetanus (-88·2% [-93·9 to -76·1]), stroke (-32·0% [-39·1 to -23·3]), intracerebral haemorrhage (-51·7% [-58·2 to -43·8]), idiopathic epilepsy (-26·2% [-43·6 to -1·1]), and subarachnoid haemorrhage (-62·8% [-71·6 to -41·0]), but for all other neurological conditions there was no change. During 1990-2019, the number of DALYs due to dementias, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, ischaemic stroke, and headache disorder (ie, migraine and tension-type headache) more than doubled in the super-region, and the burden of years lived with disability (YLDs), incidence, and prevalence of multiple sclerosis, motor neuron disease, Parkinson's disease, and ischaemic stroke increased both in age-standardised rate and count. During this period, the absolute burden of YLDs due to head and spinal injuries almost doubled. The increasing burden of neurological conditions in north Africa and the Middle East accompanies the increasing ageing population. Stroke and dementia are the primary causes of neurological disability and death, primarily attributable to common modifiable risk factors. Synergistic, systematic, lifetime, and multi-sectoral interventions aimed at preventing or mitigating the burden are needed. Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. For the Persian, Arabic and Turkish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

THE BURDEN OF PSORIASIS ACROSS UNITED STATES: FINDINGS FROM THE 2019 GLOBAL BURDEN OF DISEASES STUDY AND FORECASTS FROM 2025 TO 2035

Background. Psoriasis is a concerned public health problem across the world. Previous studies have often concentrated on the disease burden globally and in MENA areas. However, the epidemiological patterns and burden of psoriasis in the US are still lacking. This study aims to assess the incidence, prevalence, and DALYs of RA in the US between 1990 and 2019, with a pattern prediction for the next ten years addressing the lack of comprehensive research on the disease's epidemiological patterns. Moreover, correlations between incidence, prevalence, DALYs, and SDI will be examined.&#x0D; Methods. The incidence, prevalence, and DALYs in the US were investigated by age, gender, SDI, and state using the data from Global burden disease (GBD). All estimates were generated using age-standardized rates per 100,000 individuals and rate change, with 95% Uncertainty Intervals (UIs). Pearson correlation was used to analyze the relationships between incidence, prevalence, DALYs, and SDI. The forecast analysis was performed using R software, utilizing some of its packages.&#x0D; Results. The US experienced a decrease in psoriasis prevalence and incidence since 1990, with females experiencing a slightly higher decrease than men. However, US DALY rates have decreased, with males and females experiencing similar decreases. New York and Massachusetts had the highest rates, while Wyoming had the lowest. A significant positive correlation (modest power) was found between SDI and incidence, prevalence, and DALYs. The forecasting period (2025-2035) indicates that psoriasis incidence remains steady among young people of both ages, with a minor increase in elderly people. In terms of DALYs, both age groups expected a progressive decline in psoriasis.&#x0D; Conclusion. Psoriasis is still a major cause of health burden in the US with considerable differences extending between states. Updating accessible health data is required to provide more precise guidelines for the early identification and treatment of psoriasis.

Abstract P211: Burden and Temporal Trend of Peripheral Artery Disease in the United States and Its Attributable Risk Factors From 1990-2019: An Insights From the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

Background: Peripheral Artery Disease (PAD) ranks as the 10th primary cause of mortality and the 11th for disability among all cardiovascular diseases in the U.S. Method: We employed the Global Burden of Disease 2019 framework. PAD non-fatal health outcomes were analyzed using the DisMod MR 2.1 (Bayesian meta-regression tool) and determined fatal health outcome with the cause of death ensemble model (CODEm), segmented by age, gender, year, and location from 1990-2019 across the U.S. Results: The annual percentage change (APC) revealed a 26% (9.9-12.4 million) increase in overall prevalence and incidence, a significant 152% (5,757-14,527) rise in deaths, and a 98% (119,253-236,031) uptick in DALYs during 1990-2019. Notably, while the age-standardized incidence rate dipped by 28% (267-193), death and DALY rates climbed by 33% (1.7-2.27) and 11% (36-39) respectively. Delaware witnessed the highest APC in deaths 118% (2.33-5.08) per 100,000, trailed by Colorado with a 58% (35-55) rise in DALYs. Individuals under 70 experienced a 118% (1052-2294) surge in APC for deaths and a 28% (458,357-588,135) increase in incidence. In absolute numbers, males bore a heavier PAD burden, yet females exhibited elevated age-standardized rates from 1990-2019. Conclusion: The study underscores a concerning rise in PAD in the U.S. from 1990-2019, accounted for 1.52% deaths of all cardiovascular related casualties in 2019. Delaware and Colorado have notably high increases in PAD-related outcomes. From both a clinical and public health perspective, addressing high fasting plasma glucose and sodium-rich diets is crucial, as they stand as leading risk factors in PAD's burgeoning prevalence.

The incidence, prevalence, and health burden of hip fractures in China: Data from the global burden of disease study 2019

BackgroundHip fracture is commonly in the elderly as a consequence of osteoporsis. Currently, China is entering an aging society and there is a lack of studies about the epidemiology and health burden of hip fracturs there. MethodsWe used data from the Global Burden of Disease study 2019 (GBD 2019) to estimate the incidence, prevalence and disease burden of hip fractures in China and the temporal trends from 1990 to 2019. These estimates were produced by DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool. Estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) was used to represent the temporal trends. ResultsIn 2019, there was estimated to be 2.0 million incident and 2.6 million prevalent hip fracture cases in China. The age standardized incidence and prevalence rate were estimated to be 117.8 (95 % UI, 83.8 to 161.6) per 100,000 and 139.8 (95 % UI, 125.7 to 154.7) per 100,000, respectively. From 1990 to 2019, the incidence (EAPC, 1.06; 95 % CI, 0.6 to 1.52) and prevalence (EAPC, 1.41; 95 % CI, 1.02 to 1.8) rates have increased, while the age standardized DALY decreased (95 %CI, −1.8; 95 % CI, −2.3 to −1.2). The incidence and DALY rates of hip fractures increased with age, and female people have higher incidence rate and disease burden. Falls were the leading cause for hip fractures, followed by road injuries. ConclusionDue to population growth and ageing, the challenges from hip fractures are expected to increase in the future, and related measures are in need to reduce the related health and economic burden.

Global burden of non-optimal temperature attributable stroke: The long-term trends, population growth and aging effects

Since the 20th century, the world has undergone climate change, population growth and population aging, which may result in alterations in the epidemiology of non-optimal temperature-associated strokes. We employed multiple methodologies and data from the global burden of disease 2019 to unveil the long-term curvilinear trends in strokes attributed to non-optimal temperature and the impact of aging and population growth on its changing epidemiology. From 1990 to 2019, the age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) of strokes attributable to low temperature had been decreasing, but from 2016, the continued downward trend in ASDR disappeared and began to remain stable. On the contrary, the ASDR of strokes attributable to high temperature continued to increase. The high socio-demographic index (SDI) region experienced the fastest decreased trend. The disease burden of stroke attributable to low temperature is increased by aging in 178 countries (87.25%), compared with 130 (63.73%) for high temperature. After excluding aging and population growth, the DALY rate for strokes attributed to high temperature was increasing in 87 countries and territories (42.64%). The disease burden of strokes attributed to low temperature is far greater than that of high temperature in absolute figures. However, globally, there is a significant trend toward an increase in strokes attributed to high temperature. Social development has largely offset the burden of strokes attributed to low temperature, but most regions of the world are equally affected by strokes attributed to high temperature. Simultaneously, in the framework of climate change, aging is also largely hindering stroke prevention efforts.

Abstract 18097: The Burden of Ischemic Heart Disease in North Africa and Middle East Region From 1990-2019: Results From the GBD Study

BACKGROUND: Despite the substantial burden of IHD in North Africa and Middle East (NAME) region, temporal trends of the burden of IHD were not systematically evaluated in this region and its countries previously. Methods: We reported deaths, premature mortality, YLLs, YLDs, and DALYs of IHD in NAME region and its 21 countries during 1990-2019 using the results of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Premature IHD mortality was defined as IHD death in males &lt;55 and females &lt;65 years of age. Results: IHD accounted for 0.8 million deaths and 18 million DALYs in NAME in 2019. From 1990-2019, the age-standardized death rate of IHD significantly decreased by 29% (-37 to -22) and reached 219 (194 to 247) per 100,000 in NAME in 2019 (Fig A) compared with the global estimates of -31% (-35 to -27) and 118 (108 to 126), respectively. From 1990-2019, the age-standardized DALY rate of IHD significantly decreased by 33% (95% CI: -41 to -25) and reached 4159 (3651 to 4752) per 100,000 population in NAME in 2019 (Fig B) compared with the global estimates of -29% (-33 to -24) and 2243 (2099 to 2385), respectively. The reduction in age-standardized DALY was mostly derived from the reduction in YLL (-34%) rather than YLD (-4%) compared with worldwide estimates of -29% and -6%. While the decreasing pattern in the age-standardized DALY and death rate of IHD was consistently observed across all 21 NAME countries, it was not statistically significant for Egypt, Libya, Saudi Arabia, Syria, Tunisia, and Yemen (Fig C, D). In 2019, 27% of IHD deaths in females and 18% of IHD deaths in males were premature in NAME, which was higher than the worldwide estimates of 17% and 15%, respectively. Turkey, Iran, and Lebanon showed the greatest reduction in IHD premature mortality during 1990-2019. CONCLUSIONS: Despite the improvements, IHD still remains the leading cause of lost death and DALYs in NAME. People are more likely to die prematurely due to IHD with more pronounced sex disparities in NAME compared with the global average.

Burden of Other Musculoskeletal Disorders in Latin America and the Caribbean: Findings of Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

To describe the results from the Global Burden Disease (GBD) study 2019 on the burden of other musculoskeletal (MSK) disorders in Latin America and the Caribbean (LAC). In this cross-sectional study, we analyzed data from all LAC region in the GBD study from 1990 to 2019. Other MSK (other than rheumatoid arthritis, osteoarthritis, gout, low back pain, and neck pain) burden was measured as prevalence, mortality, years lived with disability (YLD), and disability-adjusted life (DALY), by year, sex, and country. We show the counts, rates, and 95% uncertainty intervals (95% UI). Joinpoint regression analysis was used to estimate the average annual percentage change (AAPC) from 1990 to 2019. A correlational analysis between the burden parameters and sociodemographic index (SDI) was performed. In 2019, there were 52.0 million (95% UI, 44.8-60.1 million) individuals with other MSK disorders in LAC. The age-standardized mortality rate in 2019 was 1.2 (95% UI, 0.8-1.6) per 100,000 inhabitants. The AAPC was estimated as 0.1% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1-0.2) and 0.2% (95% CI, 0.1-0.3) for prevalence and mortality rates, respectively. The age-standardized DALY rate was 685.4 (95% UI, 483.6-483.6) per 100,000 inhabitants, representing an AAPC of 0.2% (95% CI, 0.1-0.3). The burden was larger in women and the elderly. The SDI was positively correlated with the prevalence of YLD in 2019. LAC region has experienced a significant burden of other MSK disorders over the last three decades. To challenge this growing burden, population-based strategies designed to reduce the burden of other MSK and strengthen health systems to contribute effective and cost-efficient care are necessary.