AbstractThis study investigates the optimal precursor (OPR) triggering Kuroshio large meander (LM) decay using a conditional nonlinear optimal perturbation (CNOP) approach and a regional ocean modeling system (ROMS). The results show that the large amplitudes of the OPR are mainly concentrated at 1,000–2,500 m in the LM upstream region (west of 137°E), and their propagation downstream along the Kuroshio axis contributes to triggering the transition from the LM path to the nonlarge meander (NLM) path. Using the growth of the OPR, it is found that baroclinic instability contributes to the fast vertical development of the perturbations in the early stage of the LM decay, while barotropic processes play a leading role during the cyclonic ring shedding of the LM decay. In particular, the LM decay process is evaluated by the depth‐integrated vorticity equation, implying that the advection term dominates over the beta effect in the LM decay. Furthermore, the vorticity balance associated with the cyclonic eddy indicates that the advection and divergence terms represent a main balance in the spin‐down process of the cyclonic eddy. Under the effects of both, high potential vorticity water flows out from the LM meander tip and then the amplitude of the LM experiences a remarkable decrease. With the detachment of a cyclonic ring, a transition from the LM path to the NLM path occurs. This study further deepens our understanding of the LM decay and provides us some useful hints about designing the observation system of the LM.
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