Current Warm Period Research Articles

Industrially induced warming triggered synchronous intensity changes in the East Asian summer and winter monsoons

Anomalies in the East Asian monsoon system significantly disrupt the densely populated East Asian region, underscoring the importance of understanding such changes and improving current predictive abilities. On the basis of instrumental records, previous studies have shown that the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) and summer monsoon (EASM) interact with each other. However, owing to the lack of long-term high-resolution EAWM records, it remains unclear how and whether human activity has affected the phase relationship between the EASM and EAWM since the Industrial Revolution. In this study, we present a precisely dated high-resolution EAWM record for the last 300 years from a crater lake in northeastern China. Our results indicate that the EAWM intensity was relatively weak and fluctuated significantly between 1700 and 1850 CE. After 1850 CE, the EAWM strengthened rapidly and exceeded its intensity observed at the end of the Little Ice Age. In addition, a comparison of our reconstructed EAWM record with the published EASM record clearly shows in-phase variations during the Current Warm Period. We concluded that the climatic effects of industrially induced warming enhance the EAWM by slowing the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and increasing the meridional temperature gradient, while also strengthening the EASM by increasing hemispheric meridional gradients and affecting other large-scale processes. Under the sustained intensification of human activity, the EASM and EAWM are likely to continue exhibiting synchronous variations in the future.

Late Holocene vegetation history and monsoonal climate change from the Core Monsoon Zone of India

To understand the vegetation response to climate change and the Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall (ISMR) variability during the Late Holocene (approx. 2.5 ka), pollen analysis was conducted on a 1.2-m-long lacustrine sediment profile from the Korba District of Chhattisgarh, central India, within the core monsoon zone (CMZ). The pollen evidence suggest that between approx. 2500 and 1950 cal yr BP, open tropical deciduous forest vegetation occupied the landscape under a warm and relatively less humid climate, coupled with decreased ISMR. Between approx. 1950 and 1035 cal yr BP, a warm and relatively more humid climate prevailed, along with moderate ISMR, leading to the transition of the existing vegetation to an open mixed tropical deciduous forest. Between approx.1035 and 220 cal yr BP (CE 915–1730), the mixed tropical deciduous forest became established under a warm and humid climate with increased ISMR, coinciding globally with the Medieval Climatic Anomaly (MCA). Mixed tropical deciduous forest expanded and transformed into a dense mixed tropical deciduous forest between approx. 220 cal yr BP to the present (CE 1730 onwards). This transformation occurred under a warm and relatively more humid climate, accompanied by intensified ISMR, aligning with the Current Warm Period (CWP). Gradual forest transformation from open vegetation to dense mixed tropical deciduous forests, as well as in the ISMR has been observed since the last approx. 2.5 ka in central India. Cereal-based agricultural practices and other anthropogenic activities have been documented in the study area since approx. 2.5 ka, with an accelerated pace observed from 1035 cal yr BP to the present.

Vegetation Changes and Dynamics of the Climate Variables in Southern Thailand over the Past 1500 Years

The Indo-Pacific, a vast biogeographic of Earth, is influenced by both the Indian and East Asian monsoons. Despite its geographical importance, this region has been less studied compared to East Asia and India. Here, we present speleothem records from southern Thailand that cover the last 1500 years, including a hiatus during the Little Ice Age, providing insights into the interactions among climate dynamics, human influences, and ecological responses to climate change. Notably, our records lack the characteristic cold and warm periods observed in other regions, such as the Dark Ages Cold Period and Medieval Warm Period, which may reflect the complexity of the tropical climate system or the region’s unique topography. The analysis reveals a link between ENSO multi-decadal variability and hydroclimate conditions in southern Thailand, as evidenced by speleothem δ18O. Furthermore, a comparison between speleothem δ13C and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) indicates significant vegetation changes in the last three decades, corresponding with increased atmospheric CO2 levels and expansion of agricultural land due to human activities during the Current Warm Period. Additionally, our study suggests that an abrupt increase in sea surface temperatures may enhance vegetation growth in the Indo-Pacific by influencing atmospheric circulation and increasing precipitation.

Climatic and anthropogenic forcing of vegetation change at different altitudes on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau over the past millennium

The alpine grasslands and meadows of the Tibetan Plateau are critical for maintaining biodiversity, carbon storage, and regional ecological balance. However, the ecological response of the Tibetan Plateau to climate change and anthropogenic activity is poorly understood. We selected two alpine lakes at different altitudes on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau and used n-alkanes from lacustrine sediments to probe the process of ecological response to climate change (temperature and precipitation) during typical climatic periods of the past millennium, as well as impacts on the ecosystem caused by anthropogenic activities. Our results showed that mid- and long-chain n-alkanes in Lake Dalzong and Lake Bihu sediments, which could be used to evaluate plant biomass variations, were mainly derived from terrestrial plants around the watershed. For both the low-altitude Lake Dalzong (3120 m above sea level (a.s.l.)) and the high-altitude Lake Bihu (4360 m a.s.l.), plant biomass of the watershed increased with enhanced temperature and precipitation during the Medieval Warm Period (MWP), whereas they decreased during the Little Ice Age (LIA), under conditions of lower temperature and precipitation. A further comparison with regional climatic records indicates that temperature and precipitation may have played a more important role in plant biomass changes in the low- and high-altitude regions in the northeastern Tibetan Plateau, respectively. In addition, during the Current Warm Period (CWP), when temperature and precipitation were higher than that in the MWP, plant biomass was lower than that in the MWP in both the Lake Dalzong and Lake Bihu watersheds. The intensification of regional grazing activities and the increase in religious rituals were the primary factors contributing to CWP vegetation degradation. This study highlights the fact that a progressively warmer and wetter climate will not offset the negative impacts of anthropogenic activities on vegetation.

Coherent response of zoo‐ and phytoplankton assemblages to global warming since the Last Glacial Maximum

AbstractAimWe are using the fossil record of different marine plankton groups to determine how their biodiversity has changed during past climate warming comparable to projected future warming.LocationNorth Atlantic Ocean and adjacent seas. Time series cover a latitudinal range from 75° N to 6° S.Time periodPast 24,000 years, from the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) to the current warm period covering the last deglaciation.Major taxa studiedPlanktonic foraminifera, dinoflagellates and coccolithophores.MethodsWe analyse time series of fossil plankton communities using principal component analysis and generalized additive models to estimate the overall trend of temporal compositional change in each plankton group and to identify periods of significant change. We further analyse local biodiversity change by analysing species richness, species gains and losses, and the effective number of species in each sample, and compare alpha diversity to the LGM mean.ResultsAll plankton groups show remarkably similar trends in the rates and spatio‐temporal dynamics of local biodiversity change and a pronounced non‐linearity with climate change in the current warm period. Assemblages of planktonic foraminifera and dinoflagellates started to change significantly with the onset of global warming around 15,500 to 17,000 years ago and continued to change at the same rate during the current warm period until at least 5000 years ago, while coccolithophore assemblages changed at a constant rate throughout the past 24,000 years, seemingly irrespective of the prevailing temperature change.Main conclusionsClimate change during the transition from the LGM to the current warm period led to a long‐lasting reshuffling of zoo‐ and phytoplankton assemblages, likely associated with the emergence of new ecological interactions and possibly a shift in the dominant drivers of plankton assemblage change from more abiotic‐dominated causes during the last deglaciation to more biotic‐dominated causes with the onset of the Holocene.

One catastrophic flood every millennium: Synchronicity of extreme floods and global warm periods in the multi-archive record of the Roman theatre of Guadix (Granada, SE Spain)

Past global changes are typically registered in both natural (e.g., geologic-geomorphological, atmospheric-climatic, hydrologic-glacial and biological) and cultural records (e.g., archaeological, historical and documentary sources). Nevertheless, there are few sites in the world where sedimentary and archaeological evidence combine to provide information about two or more past millennial climate changes. In this regard, the Roman city of Guadix (Granada, SE Spain) represents a singular location, whose Roman theatre (1st century CE), recently discovered in 2007, contains palaeo-flood evidences that can be related to the two latest global warm periods: the Roman and Medieval epochs.In this research, detailed geological analyses are carried out. These analyses consisted in careful descriptions of vertical stratigraphic sections (lithology, structures…) and lateral correlation panels; as well as fluvial facies models to interpret the sedimentary environments for each sequence. This sedimentological information was combined with the study of archaeological remains, radiocarbon dating and optically stimulated luminescence, and three major flood events have been identified: two of them dating back to the beginning of the 1st century CE (period of the Pax Romana Empire); and the other occurring at the end of the 12th century (Islamic Almohad period). Such extreme hydrological events were synchronous with two warm periods: the Roman Climatic Optimum and the Medieval Warm Period. This seems to suggest that the meteorological fluctuations associated to climate changes during warming periods (such as the current one associated with present-day climate change) very likely produce such extraordinary or extreme events, which can mobilise large amounts of solid load (sands, silts and clays) and trigger sudden changes in the configuration of the river system (channel avulsions, meander cut-offs and captures among tributaries) and alluvial fans (at tributary mouths).We believe that the documented observations provide an analogy for the current warming period. In this regard, flood risk management in the current city of Guadix, whose hazard and risk maps were drawn up according to the criteria of the European Flood Directive, should take into account: (i) the millennial recurrent character of catastrophic floods in Guadix, well above the 500-year return period officially considered; (ii) the importance of the mobilisation of solid load in flood hazard and risk, which can obstruct drains and reduce the capacity of channels and bridges; (iii) the geomorphological dynamics, capable of modifying the position of the channels and thus the delimitation of hazard and risk zones; (iv) the role of non-permanent tributaries of the Guadix River during storms and heavy rain, related to quasi-stationary convective cells. Only in this way, will flood hazard and risk maps be useful in territorial and urban planning, civil protection during emergencies and the reduction of damage from future catastrophic floods. The present study highlights how geoarchaeological and palaeo-environmental records can be a highly valuable source of data for the improvement of flood hazard assessments in the 21st Century.

Early onset of aridity in the past millennium: Insights from vegetation dynamics and climate change in the alpine, cold-desert region of Trans Himalaya, India.

Palynological analysis of surface soil and sub-surface sediments from the outwash plain of Hamtah Glacier, Lahaul-Spiti, India, has brought out the vegetation and climatic changes in the area during the last 1580 years. The arboreal and non-arboreal pollen ratio (AP/NAP) has been used to demarcate the different vegetation and climatic zones, complemented by the frequencies of the broad-leaved taxa. Lower values of thermophilous, broad-leaved arboreal taxa, indicate that the region experienced cold-arid conditions between 1580 and 1330 yr BP (AD 370-620); which can be related to the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP). Thereafter, between 1330 and 950 yr BP (AD 620-1000), a rejuvenation of the broad-leaved elements reflects the initiation of a comparatively warm and moist phase, marking the Medieval Climatic Anomaly (MCA) in the region. The warm-moist phase was, however, short-lived, and from 950 yr BP to the Present (AD 1000 onwards), the region saw a return to cold-arid conditions, as evidenced by a sharp fall in the AP/NAP ratio. This cold-arid phase was, nevertheless, punctuated by a warm-moist period during 790 to 680 yr BP (AD 1160-1270), which marks the terminal phase of the MCA. After the termination of the MCA, the Little Ice Age (LIA) is well-marked in the area. The culmination of the long cold-arid regime is characterized by warmer conditions over the last 160 years, which is the manifestation of the Current Warm Period (CWP). Magnetic susceptibility (χlf) and sediment geochemistry (Weathering Index of Parker) were also attempted to have a multi-proxy approach, and show a general compatibility with the palynological data. The palaeoclimatic evidences suggest shorter warm periods and extended colder phases during the last 1580 years; in this high-altitude, cold-desert, Trans Himalayan region.

Changes of bottom water oxygenation during the last half millennium in the Gulf of Tehuantepec (Eastern Tropical North Pacific): A multiproxy approach

The Gulf of Tehuantepec (GoT), in the Eastern Tropical North Pacific Ocean, is home to one of the largest and more intense Oxygen Minimum Zones (OMZ). To identify the OMZ variability during the last five hundred years in the GoT, we analyzed the temporal variations of benthic foraminiferal (BF) assemblages, enrichment of redox-sensitive elements (Mo, V, Cd, U, and Re) and δ15Nsed, on a laminated sediment core. During the Little Ice Age (LIA; ∼1500 to ∼1860 CE), the BF assemblages showed high dominance, and the most abundant BF species in the sediments were Epistominella sandiegoensis, Takayanagia delicata, and Buliminella tenuata. This assemblage can withstand the lowest dissolved oxygen conditions, indicating an intensified OMZ consistent with the enrichment of Mo, Re, Cd, U, and enhanced denitrification. During the Current Warm Period (CWP; ∼1860 CE to present), the BF assemblages were more diverse, and the most abundant species were Bolivina seminuda, Epistominella sp.1, Gyroidina nitidula, and Suggrunda eckisi, an assemblage less tolerant to low dissolved oxygen conditions, together with lower concentrations of redox-sensitive elements and δ15Nsed, suggest weakening of the reducing conditions within the OMZ. Additionally, our BF data showed evidence of the influence of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation on bottom-water oxygenation. Bottom-water oxygenation changes appear to respond to increased solar forcing caused by Intertropical Convergence Zone migration and strengthened Pacific Walker Circulation, which in turn modulated productivity, organic matter flux to the seabed, and oxygen consumption in the bottom water. Our findings agree with previous studies further north from the study site, indicating these changes' regional scale.

A 1000-year record of paleoclimate and paleoenvironment change inferred from sedimentary organic matter in Lake Azuei, Haiti

We studied sediment organic matter (OM) to reconstruct the environment over the last millennium using a sediment core from Lake Azuei, Haiti, also known as “Etang Saumatre.” Chronology for the 84-cm-long core was established with 11 14C dates and 210Pb analysis. Total organic carbon (TOC) concentrations in the sediment were low (0.58 ‐ 4.89%), as were total nitrogen (TN) values (0.06 ‐ 0.40%). Carbon isotopic ratio (δ13C) values were relatively negative and C/N ratios were low, suggesting that algae and terrestrial C3 plants were the primary sources of OM in the lake sediment. The inverse relationship between the nitrogen isotopic ratio (δ15N) and TOC is related to denitrification in the sediment. We identified five stratigraphic zones using a δ13C vs. C/N cross diagram: 1) Medieval Climate Anomaly 1 (MCA1) (1000–1050 CE), 2) Medieval Climate Anomaly 2 (MCA2) (1050–1100 CE), 3) Transition period between Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age (MCA-LIA) (1150–1400 CE) 4) Little Ice Age (LIA) (1400–1800 CE), 5) Current Warm Period (CWP) (1800–2000 CE). These stratigraphic zones correspond to three climate episodes. The first was applied MCA1 and LIA periods, when there was a decrease in TOC and TN as well as in plankton-derived OM. This was accompanied by an increase in δ15N, which suggests denitrification due to suboxic conditions, likely caused by an increase in lake water temperature and dry conditions. The second climate episode was the MCA-LIA transition period and was characterized by high variability of TOC, δ13C and δ15N. The organic matter deposited during this period appeared to be a mixture of material originating from both autochthonous phytoplankton and allochthonous C3 plants. There was climate instability during this period, with alternations between wet and dry conditions, and thus likely variations in lake level. The third climate episode, the MCA2 and CWP periods, was characterized by an increase in TOC and TN values, and decrease in δ13C and δ15N values. This was chiefly attributable to more organic material input which was derived from C3 terrestrial vegetation growing around the lake. A decrease in δ15N indicated a reduction in denitrification, further suggesting an increase in the input of organic matter. Sedimentation during these periods occurred when there was more transport related to wet conditions.

Paleoenvironmental changes on the central Tibetan Plateau over the last two millennia inferred from sedimentological proxies and brGDGTs in Bamu Co

Understanding multi-centennial climate variations and their impact on lake catchment productivity over the last 2000 years (the Common Era), is crucial for assessing the role of natural climatic factors in driving productivity changes, and for predicting productivity changes under recent global warming scenarios. However, the climate patterns on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), including temperature and hydrological variations, during the Common Era, and their possible links with productivity, are poorly understood. We present a quantitative reconstruction of mean annual air temperature (MAAT), together with grain size and other sedimentary records, from a non-glacial lake sediment archive on the central TP, with the objective of tracking changes in climate and lake catchment productivity over the past two millennia. Our results reveal an overall cooling trend in temperature reconstructed from branched glycerol dialkyl glycerol tetraethers (brGDGTs), with multi-centennial-scale fluctuations superimposed. These fluctuations include relatively warm periods during 200 BCE–400 CE and the Medieval Climate Anomaly (1050–1400 CE), and cold periods centered on ∼500–1000 CE and the Little Ice Age (∼1500–1900 CE). A rapid warming trend since 1900 CE corresponds to the Current Warm Period. The variations in sedimentary grain size reflect lake level changes associated with changes in the summer monsoon. Paleoproductivity inferred from total organic carbon (TOC) shows a similar pattern to the paleoclimate records, suggesting that millennial-scale productivity was influenced by both temperature and the catchment hydrology. In recent decades, human activities exerted a more substantial influence on lake productivity. Additionally, we suggest that the use of brGDGTs for temperature reconstruction necessitates the investigation of the temperature relationship of various fractions of brGDGTs, specifically tetramethyl-brGDGTs; and that careful selection of the temperature calibration equation is needed to minimize inaccuracies in paleotemperature reconstruction.

Hydroclimate variations in the past 1000 years over Eastern China

AbstractHydroclimate variations over eastern China are affected by the Asian monsoon, exhibiting great variability and frequent extreme events occurrence. However, the driving mechanisms of their spatial and temporal variabilities are not fully understood due to the short period of available climate observation data. Here we used interpolated dry/wet grades dataset derived from Chinese historical documents and method of regional division to reconstruct a new annual hydroclimatic variation dataset dating back 1000 years, including nine regions of eastern China. This dataset reveals the spatial coverage and trend of long‐lasting extreme drought and flood events, and discloses the spatial patterns and similarities of interannual (2–7‐year) and interdecadal (15–35‐year) hydroclimate variations under the different temperature backgrounds of the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), Little Ice Age (LIA) and Current Warm Period. Although no obvious drying or wetting trends were detected in the past 1000 years, the frequencies of extreme flood and drought events during the two warm periods of 960–1300 and 1901–2000 were higher than those during the cold period of 1301–1900. There are 17 long‐lasting and even severe than 1637–1641 large spatial scale extreme drought events during the past 1000 years. The observed spatial dipole pattern of flooding in the south and drought in the north, or the opposite pattern, was rare during the historical period. However, it was the second leading mode explaining the low variances in the principal component analysis for 2–7‐year hydroclimatic variations, which were not related to temperature change. Moreover, the stability of the teleconnection between the hydroclimate over eastern China and the climatic modes of Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation was further discussed.

Lake sediment DNA reveals the response of phytoplankton to warming

Phytoplankton can be used as an indicator of aquatic ecological health and to monitor nutrient levels, which are the basis of formulating lake management strategies. However, long-term phytoplankton succession and their response to environmental changes remain poorly understood due to the paucity of ecological monitoring data and the limitation of the traditional paleolimnological indicators used to identify non-fossilized phytoplankton groups (e.g. Cyanobacteria). In this study, we used both paleolimnological and 23S rRNA gene metabarcoding analyses of phytoplankton (eukaryotic algae and cyanobacteria) to probe the impacts of environmental changes on the phytoplankton dynamics over the past millennium in this deep, fault-bounded, eutrophic Lake Chenghai on the Yunnan–Kweichow Plateau, southwest China. The phytoplankton community succession was observed in four periods, including the Medieval Warm Periods (1000s–1400s), the Little Ice Age (1400s–1800s), the early Current Warm Period (1800s–1950s) and the Anthropocene (1950s–present). Specifically, Cyanobacteria dominated during the warm periods, whereas Chlorophyta was abundant during the cold period. Bloom-forming or cyanotoxin-producing taxa (e.g., Aphanizomenon) have mainly occurred in recent decades. Co-occurrence network analysis indicated that the community structure became complex and that the diversity has increased markedly during the Anthropocene. Multiple statistical analyses demonstrated that temperature was a key driver controlling phytoplankton succession on the decadal time scales and that anthropogenic warming may have led to an increase in the relative abundance of bloom-forming cyanobacterial taxa in recent decades. These findings further suggest that any efforts to reduce nutrients—and the effects of these efforts—will be offset, and that cyanobacterial blooms may continue to increase in Lake Chenghai if anthropogenic warming conditions continue.

Spatial pattern and cause of centennial-scale hydroclimatic variability over eastern China during the last millennium

Instrumental and historic records have shown that the hydroclimatic variability on interannual- to decadal-timescales over eastern China is spatially different, with a meridional dipole or even tripole pattern. Yet, how this spatial pattern of hydroclimate change on centennial timescales looks like is still unclear due to the lack of well-reconstructed climate records from South China. Here, we present a precisely-dated, high-resolution δ18O record of stalagmite (JL2) from Jiuluo Cave, Guilin, South China, to elucidate the hydroclimatic variability in South China over the last millennium and thus explore the spatial pattern and cause of centennial-scale hydroclimatic variability across eastern China. Based on the previous results of modern cave monitoring carried out in the Guilin region, the δ18O of JL2 is carefully interpreted as a robust proxy for summer monsoonal rainfall change. It clearly shows that a decrease in monsoonal rainfall over South China occurred during the periods of 941–1250 CE (i.e. the Medieval Warm Period (MWP)) and 1550–1850 CE (late Little Ice Age (LIA)), while intensification of monsoonal rainfall occurred during 1250–1550 CE (early LIA) and since 1850 CE (the Current Warm Period). Comparison of the JL2 record with other well-reconstructed proxy records from different zones along the trajectory of the East Asia summer monsoon (EASM) allows us to depict the spatial variation in centennial-scale monsoonal rainfall over eastern China. We confirmed that a “wet northern and dry southern” pattern existed for the rainfall regime of eastern China during the MWP, and a “dry northern and wet southern” pattern during the early LIA. Furthermore, there was a tripole pattern showing dry conditions in both North and South China but wet condition in the Jianghuai area, central China during the late LIA. These spatial patterns of centennial-scale monsoonal rainfall variability were principally linked to changes in summer monsoon intensity and the long-live state of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). We also found that solar activity could influence the monsoonal rainfall to some degrees, and reduced monsoonal rainfall often occurred during intervals of solar minimum. Nevertheless, the monsoonal rainfall change during the 14th century was ascribed to great shift in oceanic and atmospheric circulation rather than to variations in solar activity.

Diatom-based paleoproductivity and climate change record of the Gulf of Tehuantepec (Eastern Tropical Pacific) during the last ~500 years

Changes in marine productivity of the last five centuries in the Gulf of Tehuantepec were investigated using a high-resolution record of diatoms, organic carbon (Corg), total nitrogen (TN), Ni/Al, and Cu/Al. The laminated sediments were dated by using 210Pb and 14C, with a bayesian age model providing a new Δ R = 247 ± 30 years for the bulk sediment. The Little Ice Age (LIA) (~1500 to ~1858 CE) was characterized by the predominance of cold-water and high productivity diatoms ( Chaetoceros spores, Thalassionema nitzschioides, Lioloma pacificum, Thalassiosira nanolineata, and Rhizossolenia setigera) and high values of geochemical productivity proxies. A transition period (~1860 to ~1919 CE) toward warmer conditions related to the end of the LIA and the beginning of the Current Warm Period (CWP), was indicated by the appearance of warm-water diatoms ( Neodelphineis pelagica, Thalassiosira tenera, and Rhizossolenia bergonii), as well as lower values of Corg, TN, Ni/Al, and Cu/Al. The most recent period of the CWP (~1920 CE to today) was characterized by the increased abundance warm-water taxa ( N. pelagica, Cymatodiscus planetophorus, T. tenera, Plagiogramma minus, Nitzschia interruptestriata, and R. bergonii), and by the prevalence of low values of Corg, TN, Ni/Al, and Cu/Al. These changes in productivity during the LIA and CWP were likely driven by changes in solar irradiance and the migration of the Intertropical Convergence Zone. This study highlights the spatial extent of the LIA in the Eastern Tropical North Pacific and contributes to the knowledge of the productivity response to climate in tropical regions.

Hydroclimate reconstruction during the last 1000 years inferred from the mineralogical and geochemical composition of a sediment core from Lake-Azuei (Haiti)

This study aims to reconstruct the hydro-climatic variations over the last 1000 years in Haiti using mineralogical and geochemical composition of well dated lacustrine sediment core retrieved from Lake Azuei. The results show changes in sedimentological processes linked to environmental and climatic variations. The general pattern suggests a wetter Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA), drier Little Ice Age (LIA), high climate variability during the MCA-LIA transition and more anthropogenic impacts that dominate natural climate during the Current Warm Period (CWP). The MCA period (~1000–1100 CE) thus appears marked by increase sedimentation rate supported by higher terrigenous input linked to erosive events particularly increases in precipitation. During the LIA, particularly from ~1450 to 1600 CE, there is a great variation toward a decrease of terrigenous input, which is related to a decrease on sedimentation rate and increase Mg-calcite precipitation, suggesting less precipitation and high evaporation respectively during dry climate conditions. The MCA-LIA transition (~1200–1400 CE) is characterized by variations between terrigenous input, Mg-calcite formation and organic matter deposition, which indicate succession of dry and humid conditions. The CWP (1800–2000 CE) shows a progressive increase on sedimentation rate and decrease of gray level, which indicate more organic matter sedimentation as consequence of anthropogenic activities in the surrounding basin of the lake. High-resolution gray level analysis, which reflects principally variations in terrigenous input, carbonate mineral formation and organic matter deposition, shows that the AMO, NAO, PDO and ENSO are the principal modes affecting the hydro-climatic changes in Haiti during the last millennium. In addition, temporal correlation of other Caribbean paleoclimate records with our geochemical and mineralogical data, suggests that trends observed in Lake Azuei were controlled by regional climate, likely associated with shifts in the position of the ITCZ.

Paleoclimatic reconstruction of northwest Himalaya since CE 475 using lake sediments from Tadag Taal, Kumaun, India

The Kumaun region of India in the northwestern Himalaya experiences complex rainfall patterns, receiving precipitation both during the summer monsoon (June to September) as well as during winter months dominated by westerlies (October to March). In this paper, we present a multi-proxy palaeoclimate record spanning the last ∼1500 years from Tadag Taal, an intermontane lake in Kumaun, India. Our dataset (stable isotope ratios, grain size, trace element ratios) suggests the occurrence of four long-term precipitation cycles of high and low rainfall coinciding with the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP, ∼475–850 CE), Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA ∼900–1300 CE), Little Ice Age (LIA, ∼1450–1800 CE) and Current Warm Period (CWP, ∼1850 CE to Present). We infer multi-decadal to centennial-scale shifts in the Indian summer monsoon co-varying with changes in El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) activity superimposed by changes in solar insolation. To correlate our time-series from the northwestern Himalaya with the Core Monsoon Zone and understand coherency in precipitation between the two regions, we applied the Wavelength Coherency Test. Our data suggest wet conditions during the early phase of the LIA (∼1450–1640 CE) and dry conditions in the later phase of the LIA from ∼1640–1800 CE. The wet conditions in the early LIA were perhaps driven by increased winter precipitation. This is in contrast to Central India that witnessed dry conditions during the entire duration of the LIA. This study thus suggests that monsoon strength was different during earlier and later phase of the LIA. Further, the LIA did not witness uniform climate variability through its duration as has been reported in some European and Chinese proxy records.

High‐Resolution Records of Millennial‐Scale East Asian Winter Monsoon in the Shelf Sea of Eastern China

AbstractThe evolution of the East Asian winter monsoon (EAWM) during the Holocene remains controversial because of the lack of reliable proxies. In this study, a link between cross‐front transport and the EAWM was found in the North Yellow Sea, and the EAWM intensity could be imprinted in the leaked sediment, which permits reliable reconstruction of the EAWM on well‐preserved offshore deposition. By comparison with instrumental data, the wind speed of the EAWM since 4.4 ka was quantitatively reconstructed for the first time at high resolution (∼5 yr). The results show that the EAWM gradually weakened in the mid‐to‐late Holocene, which was likely controlled by solar insolation, and that there has been a negative relationship between the EAWM and temperature on the centennial scale since ∼2.0 ka; this relationship was reversed by increasing CO2 emissions during the Current Warm Period.

The mean state of the tropical Pacific Ocean differed between the Medieval Warm Period and the Industrial Era

Changes in the El Niño Southern Oscillation over the last few decades have been linked to anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions; however, the sign, magnitude, and drivers of these variations during the Common Era are not yet well constrained. Here, we present an 1800-year reconstruction of the El Niño Southern Oscillation mean-state derived from precipitation reconstructions based on lake sediments in East Asia and examine the long-term changes in the mean state and variance of the tropical Pacific. We find that the Medieval Warm Period was characterized by La Niña-like states with low variance, whereas El Niño-like states prevailed during the Little Ice Age and the Current Warm Period with high variance. Temperature changes caused by effective radiative forcing were probably the drivers of this response during the pre-industrial period, whereas greenhouse gas forcing likely accounts for the variations in the tropical Pacific mean-state during the industrial period.

Current anthropogenic warming threatens shallow Lake ecosystems on the Tibetan plateau: A palaeolimnological study covering the past 1,600 years in Genggahai Lake

Abstract The Tibetan Plateau has ∼1,200 lakes larger than 1 km2 with a total area of ~46,000 km2. The annual mean air temperature of the Tibetan Plateau has increased 2.5°C over the past 60 years. Lakes in this region are extremely responsive to climate changes as a result of their low biodiversity and simple food webs. However, it is unclear whether the current anthropogenic warming will benefit or threaten the aquatic ecosystems in this region. We assessed patterns of change associated with climate change in a shallow, freshwater lake (Genggahai Lake) on the NE Tibetan Plateau over the past ~1,600 years based on diverse aquatic fossils (macrophytes, molluscs, cladocerans and diatoms), total organic carbon (TOC) and total nitrogen (TN) of a sediment core. The abundances of macrophytes, molluscs and cladocerans, and the concentrations of TOC and TN in the sediments were high during the Mediaeval Warm Period (MWP, ~940–1,410 CE) but low during the Dark Ages Cold Period (DACP, ~390–940 CE) and the Little Ice Age (LIA, ~1,410–1970 CE), suggesting that modest natural warming was associated with the biomass of macrophytes and consumers in the food web. By contrast, low abundance of macrophytes and high abundance of planktonic diatoms were recorded in the sediments during the Current Warm Period (CWP, ~1970–2020 CE). Current anthropogenic warming has resulted in significantly higher temperatures than during the MWP, associated with the development of planktonic algae rather than macrophytes. Our findings show that the current anthropogenic warming, coupled with increased atmospheric nitrogen deposition and activated nutrients from thawed permafrost, is associated with phytoplankton dominance in lakes on the Tibetan Plateau, and may lead to significant reductions in ecosystem services provided by the lakes.

Satellite remote sensing of regional and seasonal Arctic cooling showing a multi-decadal trend towards brighter and more liquid clouds

Abstract. Two decades of measurements of spectral reflectance of solar radiation at the top of the atmosphere and a complementary record of cloud properties from satellite passive remote sensing have been analyzed for their pan-Arctic, regional, and seasonal changes. The pan-Arctic loss of brightness, which is explained by the retreat of sea ice during the current warming period, is not compensated by a corresponding increase in cloud cover. A systematic change in the thermodynamic phase of clouds has taken place, shifting towards the liquid phase at the expense of the ice phase. Without significantly changing the total cloud optical thickness or the mass of condensed water in the atmosphere, liquid water content has increased, resulting in positive trends in liquid cloud optical thickness and albedo. This leads to a cooling trend by clouds being superimposed on top of the pan-Arctic amplified warming, induced by the anthropogenic release of greenhouse gases, the ice–albedo feedback, and related effects. Except over the permanent and parts of the marginal sea ice zone around the Arctic Circle, the rate of surface cooling by clouds has increased, both in spring (−32 % in total radiative forcing for the whole Arctic) and in summer (−14 %). The magnitude of this effect depends on both the underlying surface type and changes in the regional Arctic climate.