We compared outcomes in two well-defined, population based cohorts of HPV+ oropharynx cancer (OPC) patients (pts) treated with curative (chemo) RT. All non-metastatic HPV+ OPC treated between 2007 –2015 with definitive IMRT ± chemotherapy in two distinct cohorts were included: one was nationwide (C1) and the other institutional (C2), the latter representing one of two cancer centers within a population district and received 80% of the region’s referrals. HPV status was determined using p16-IHC staining. Outcomes were compared between the two cohorts. Actuarial rates of locoregional control (LRC), ultimate LRC (including surgical salvage), and distant control (DC), were estimated by competing risk method. Disease free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were estimated using Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable analyses (MVA) with Cox regression calculated hazard ratio (HR) adjusted for age, gender, performance status (PS), T- and N-category (8th Edition TNM), treatment schedule, and smoking. A total of 1875 pts were included. C1 pts (n=1174) were treated according to nationwide guidelines: all received moderately accelerated fractionation (6fx/week), 96% (1129) received Nimorazole (a hypoxia modifier) and 73% (856) concurrent weekly Cisplatin. C2 pts (n=701) were treated according to institutional protocols: 69% (481) received concurrent bolus Cisplatin with 5 fx/week RT, while 9% (60) and 23% (160) received 5 fx/week and 6 fx/week RT alone, respectively. No C2 pts received Nimorazole. Median follow-up was 4.8 years. Age and PS did not differ between cohorts. Compared to C2, more C1 pts were female (24% vs 16%, p<0.001), had lower T-category (T1-2: 77% vs 56%, p<0.001), N-category (N0-N1: 77% vs 66%, p<0.001), and stage group (stage I: 63% vs 44%, p<0.001), and were heavier smokers (p<0.001). Compared to C2, C1 pts had reduced actuarial probability of 5-year LRC (87% vs 93%, with adjusted HR by MVA=0.47 [95% CI: 0.33-0.67]) and Ultimate LRC (94% vs 96%, HR=0.52 [0.33-0.82]). DC (93% vs 88%, HR=1.31 [0.95-1.82]) and DFS (81% vs 77%, HR=1.17 [0.93-1.48]) did not differ significantly between C1 and C2 cohorts, whereas OS (85% vs 80%, HR=1.29 [1.0-1.67], p=0.054) approached statistical significance. T- and N-category and chemotherapy retained independent prognostic impact for all outcomes, and heavy smoking negatively impacted LRC (HR=1.57[1.07-2.31]), DFS (HR=1.62[1.22-2.16]) and OS (HR=1.89[1.36-2.62]). This pooled analysis of two population based cohorts confirms the good outcome and survival of HPV+ OPC following definitive (chemo) RT. The observed differences in RT outcomes between the cohorts probably reflect differences in treatment strategies as well as tumor and patient characteristics (including smoking status), although DFS and OS remained comparable.
Read full abstract