Cross-price Elasticities Research Articles

Demand for milk and milk products in the rural household of Bangladesh: A panel data analysis

Milk is considered an essential source of protein for people of all ages. However, Bangladeshi people, particularly those living in rural areas, tend to consume less milk and milk products than necessary. Therefore, this study aims to investigate the demand for milk and milk products among rural consumers and the factors affecting their consumption habits. The study utilizes balanced panel data from three waves of the Bangladesh Integrated Household Survey: 2011–12, 2015, and 2018–19, collected by the International Food Policy Research Institute. Both the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS) and Fixed Effects Model were employed. The expenditure elasticity for liquid milk, powdered milk, and condensed milk was found to be 1.013, 1.856, and 1.060, respectively, indicating that these products are considered luxury goods in rural Bangladesh. Additionally, powdered milk is more price-sensitive than liquid or condensed milk in these areas. Milk and milk products exhibit a substitutable relationship based on the Slutsky and Cournot cross-price elasticities matrix. Consumption of liquid milk is significantly influenced, either positively or negatively, by several factors, including age, education, family size, ownership of dairy animals, income, expense of food, and year. Furthermore, while the consumption of powdered milk is increasing over time, factors such as family size and livestock ownership negatively impact its consumption. Similarly, the consumption of condensed milk is negatively affected by education and ownership of dairy animals. Based on our study results, we recommend increasing household income through on and off-farm job creation, promoting educational campaigns on the benefits of milk, and supporting livestock ownership to reduce reliance on processed milk products.

Exploring the substitution within clean energy: Evidence from China's top 14 hydropower provinces

This paper quantitatively examines the substitution effects within China's clean energy sector, focusing on the hydropower and new energy generation sectors across the top 14 hydropower-producing provinces, which collectively contribute to over 80 % of the country's total hydropower output. To provide a comprehensive analysis of regions that significantly influence national trends, the study utilizes the Cross-Price Elasticity (CPE) and Morishima Elasticity of Substitution (MES). CPE measures how the quantity demanded of one energy source responds to a change in the price of another, while MES assesses the sensitivity of the ratio between two energy inputs to price changes. A Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) model is employed to forecast energy substitution dynamics, offering robust predictive accuracy. The average MES between clean energy and thermal power is 0.663, indicating a moderate substitution relationship, with the effect more pronounced in summer. Additionally, the mean MES between hydropower and new energy generation is 2.067, reflecting a strong substitution effect between these two clean energy forms. Furthermore, the SARIMA model shows a mean squared error (MSE) as low as 0.0006 in some cases, demonstrating its robust predictive accuracy in forecasting energy substitution dynamics. These results offer empirical support for policies aimed at reducing reliance on thermal power and promoting clean energy development in key provinces.

Assessing the substitutability of mobile and fixed internet: The impact of 5G services on consumer valuation and price elasticity

In this study, we explore the dynamics of consumer choices in the Polish telecommunications market, focusing on preferences and valuations for home fixed, home mobile, and purely mobile Internet connections. Key attributes such as speed, latency, data limits, and cost are examined. Central to our research is the investigation of how the integration of 5G technology might influence demand elasticity. Using a detailed discrete choice experiment, we apply a mixed logit model with random parameters to analyze stated choice data, enabling us to unravel the complexities of demand elasticity, especially in terms of own and cross-price elasticities. This approach facilitates an assessment of the degree of substitutability between fixed and mobile Internet services.Our findings indicate a moderate substitution effect between fixed and mobile Internet services. Results from a Small but Significant and Non-transitory Increase in Price (SSNIP) test suggest that these markets should continue to be regulated separately, mirroring the distinct regulation observed in fixed and mobile telephony. Furthermore, simulations provide insights into potential future market shifts with the advent of 5G services. This paper contributes significantly to the discourse on fixed-mobile Internet substitution and offers vital insights for defining markets in antitrust discussions, competitive agreements, and potential mergers within the telecom sector.

AN EFFECTIVE PRAGMATIC ANALYSIS OF SOYBEAN IMPORTS DEMAND IN EGYPT: IMPACT OF PRICE AND EXPENDITURE

This study empirically analyses the demand for soybean imports from Argentina, the USA, and other countries to Egypt using the Almost Ideal Demand System (AIDS model) during the period (2001-2021). The model parameters used to calculate the Marshallian elasticities for which the own-price elasticities of soybean imports are 1.175, -0.857, and 0.101 for Argentina, the USA, and other countries, respectively. The cross-price elasticity of soybeans imported from Argentina and the USA are complementary relationships; and the soybeans imported from the USA have a substitutability relationship with other countries. Expenditure elasticities are elastic for soybeans imported from the USA and inelastic for soybeans imported from Argentina. If the expenditure on soybean imports increases by 10%, the soybeans imported from the USA and Argentina will increase by 11.23% and 7.36%, respectively. So, the research suggests that, in order to avoid becoming dependent on a small number of nations, Egypt must diversify the sources of its soybean imports. Additionally, it can lower imports in the future by boosting domestic manufacturing and using a variety of supply sources for goods That alludes to the primary innovation of the research, which is that soybeans imported from the USA have a substitutability relationship with other nations and a complementing cross-price elasticity with soybeans imported from Argentina. Keywords Soybeans, Demand system, AIDS model, Marshallian elasticities, expenditure elasticities.

Adaptation of commodity purchase tasks to identify substitutable substance-free alternative activities for alcohol use.

Behavioral economic frameworks emphasize the importance of contextual influences on alcohol use; therefore, identifying relative demand for alcohol versus other commodities is of importance. Cross-commodity purchase tasks allow participants to make choices across multiple concurrently available commodities and can thereby pinpoint interactions among those commodities. These tasks may help identify relevant substance-free alternative activities to target in alcohol treatment by determining whether the activity functions as a substitute for alcohol use. While substance-free activity promotion is a promising behavioral component of alcohol interventions, no research to-date has used behavioral economic methods to assess the substitutability of alternative activities for alcohol use. The present studies were preliminary assessments of novel single- and cross-commodity purchase tasks of various alternative activities (e.g., exercise, hobbies, civic involvement). Participants in Study 1 recruited from Amazon's Mechanical Turk (n = 110) were administered a series of novel activity purchase tasks and an alcohol purchase task. Results showed excellent fit of the exponential demand equation to activity purchase task data and provided initial support for adaptation of purchase task methodology to alternative activity demand. In Study 2, participants recruited from Amazon's Mechanical Turk (n = 108) were administered both single-commodity and cross-commodity purchase tasks of alcohol and exercise. While most participants demonstrate independent consumption of alcohol and exercise, a subset of participants substituted exercise for alcohol as indicated by quantitative cross-price elasticity indices. These response patterns highlight the importance of individual differences and hold implications for recovery efforts that promote alternative activity engagement and public policy. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2024 APA, all rights reserved).

Estimated reduction in obesity prevalence and costs of a 20% and 30% ad valorem excise tax to sugar-sweetened beverages in Brazil: A modeling study.

The consumption of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is associated with obesity, metabolic diseases, and incremental healthcare costs. Given their health consequences, the World Health Organization (WHO) recommended that countries implement taxes on SSB. Over the last 10 years, obesity prevalence has almost doubled in Brazil, yet, in 2016, the Brazilian government cut the existing federal SSB taxes to their current 4%. Since 2022, a bill to impose a 20% tax on SSB has been under discussion in the Brazilian Senate. To simulate the potential impact of increasing taxes on SSB in Brazil, we aimed to estimate the price-elasticity of SSB and the potential impact of a new 20% or 30% excise SSB tax on consumption, obesity prevalence, and cost savings. Using household purchases data from the Brazilian Household Budget Survey (POF) from 2017/2018, we estimated constant elasticity regressions. We used a log-log specification by income level for all beverage categories: (1) sugar-sweetened beverages; (2) alcoholic beverages; (3) unsweetened beverages; and (4) low-calorie or artificially sweetened beverages. We estimated the adult nationwide baseline intake for each beverage category using 24-h dietary recall data collected in 2017/2018. Taking group one as the taxed beverages, we applied the price and cross-price elasticities to the baseline intake data, we obtained changes in caloric intake. The caloric reduction was introduced into an individual dynamic model to estimate changes in weight and obesity prevalence. No benefits on cost savings were modeled during the first 3 years of intervention to account for the time lag in obesity cases to reduce costs. We multiplied the reduction in obesity cases during 7 years by the obesity costs per capita to predict the costs savings attributable to the sweetened beverage tax. SSB price elasticities were higher among the lowest tertile of income (-1.24) than in the highest income tertile (-1.13), and cross-price elasticities suggest SSB were weakly substituted by milk, water, and 100% fruit juices. We estimated a caloric change of -17.3 kcal/day/person under a 20% excise tax and -25.9 kcal/day/person under a 30% tax. Ten years after implementation, a 20% tax is expected to reduce obesity prevalence by 6.7%; 9.1% for a 30% tax. These reductions translate into a -2.8 million and -3.8 million obesity cases for a 20% and 30% tax, respectively, and a reduction of $US 13.3 billion and $US 17.9 billion in obesity costs over 10 years for a 20% and 30% tax, respectively. Study limitations include using a quantile distribution method to adjust self-reported baseline weight and height, which could be insufficient to correct for reporting bias; also, weight, height, and physical activity were assumed to be steady over time. Adding a 20% to 30% excise tax on top of Brazil's current federal tax could help to reduce the consumption of ultra-processed beverages, empty calories, and body weight while avoiding large health-related costs. Given the recent cuts to SSB taxes in Brazil, a program to revise and implement excise taxes could prove beneficial for the Brazilian population.

Analyzing per capita food consumption patterns in net food-importing developing countries

Net food-importing developing countries, which account for 30% of countries globally, and roughly 20% of the global population, must seek to reduce their vulnerabilities in food production trade shocks. This study investigates per capita food consumption patterns in 60 net food-importing developing countries using ICP 2017 data for eight food categories. Employing the linear approximate, almost ideal demand system model, the research derives marginal shares, income and price elasticities of demand, shedding light on consumption behaviors and responsiveness to changes in income and prices. Results highlight that additional expenditure on per capita food consumption is primarily allocated to fruits, vegetables, meat, and bread and cereals, with considerable variations among countries. At the same time, minimal allocation is observed for sugar and honey, as well as fats and oils. Income elasticities indicate varying degrees of responsiveness across food categories. In contrast, own-price elasticities underscore significant sensitivity to price fluctuations, notably for beverages, milk, cheese, and eggs, meat, fats and oils, and fish and seafood. Moreover, cross-price elasticities suggest predominantly substitution relationships between pairs of food categories, on average. Additionally, a visually informative map displaying estimated marginal shares, income elasticities, and own-price elasticities for the eight food categories was created. These findings offer valuable insights for policymakers and stakeholders in understanding consumption dynamics and formulating effective strategies to address food security and welfare concerns in net food-importing developing countries.

Tree nuts demand analysis using the LA-AIDS model: A case of the Indian economy paradox

India is one of the world's largest producers of tree nuts, yet it paradoxically remains a net importer of these commodities. This study aims to analyze the demand for imported tree nuts in India, motivated by the need to understand the factors contributing to this imbalance. The primary objective is to calculate income elasticities and own- and cross-price elasticities for five categories of imported tree nuts using the linear approximate almost ideal demand system model. Data is sourced from monthly import records from the United Nations Comtrade database covering 2014 to 2022. The tree nuts considered are almonds, cashews, pistachios, walnuts, and hazelnuts. Key findings reveal all imported tree nuts are normal goods. Cashews exhibit income elasticity (1.2), indicating a significant demand increase with rising incomes, while other nuts show income inelasticity. Cashews are price-elastic (−1.3), while other nuts are price-inelastic. Compensated cross-price elasticities indicate notable substitution effects, particularly between almonds and cashews. The study recommends enhancing domestic cashew production to meet growing demand and developing targeted marketing strategies to address competitive dynamics within the tree nut market. These strategies aim to reduce India's dependency on imports and promote a balanced, sustainable domestic market.

Structural Estimates of Supply and Demand Elasticity for Houses in Sydney

We report estimates of supply and demand elasticities for houses (i.e., non-strata properties) in three geographic locations of Sydney. In the Inner Ring of Local Government Areas (LGAs)—those closest to the Central Business District (CBD)—our estimates indicate that the supply curve for houses is perfectly inelastic. This finding allows us to condition on the stock of houses and estimate the corresponding Inner Ring demand curve using ordinary least squares. In the Middle and Outer Rings—where the supply curve for houses has positive elasticity—we use instrumental variables to estimate the demand curve for houses. For all three locations, we obtain theoretically reasonable point estimates of standard demand elasticities, although the degree of uncertainty surrounding the Outer Ring estimates is relatively large. Averaging across the three regions of Sydney, the price elasticity of demand for houses is −1.3, cross-price elasticity with units is 1.1, and income elasticity is 2.1. Based on our elasticity estimates, only in the Outer Ring are any of the direct burdens of stamp duty born by buyers (about 40 percent).

Estimating own-price and cross-price elasticity of cigarette consumption by price tiers in Bangladesh

ObjectivesThe overall price elasticity of cigarette consumption in Bangladesh has been studied extensively. The estimates of price elasticity by price tiers are not available in the existing literature.MethodsUsing cohort data...

Analysis of animal-based food consumption of farmer households in Girisubo Sub-district, Gunungkidul Regency

Abstract Food is one the basic necesssities that people must meet. One of the important needs for health is a source of protein. Sources of protein that are often consumed are fish, meat, eggs, and milk. The aim of this study was to identify the reasons that impact the amount of animal-based food consumed by households who engage in farming activities Girisubo Sub-district, Gunungkidul Regency. This study belongs to descriptive research. The research location was determined using the purposive method. The data samples include 100 respondents. The data were analyzed using multiple linear regression. The results showed that the average consumption of animal-based food of farmer households in Girisubo Sub-district, Gunungkidul Regency, was 1.31 kg/month of broiler chicken meat, 1.40 kg/month of broiler chicken eggs, and 1.54 kg/month of tuna. The education level and broiler chicken egg price have a positive effect on the consumption of broiler chicken meat, while cooking oil has a negative effect. The consumption of broiler chicken eggs is influenced by income and cooking oil price. Meanwhile, the factors affecting tuna consumption are income, egg price, tuna price, and cooking oil price. Income elasticity shows that broiler chicken eggs and tuna are categorized as normal goods. The price elasticity explains that tuna consumption is elastic. The cross-price elasticity indicates that broiler chicken eggs are substitute goods for broiler chicken meat and tuna while cooking oil is a complementary goods for broiler chicken meat, broiler chicken eggs, and tuna.

A Micro-perspective Analysis of the Demand for Greek and Non-Greek Yogurt in the United States Over Calendar Years 2018 to 2020

AbstractUsing the Heckman framework, we develop profiles of households who purchase Greek yogurt and non-Greek yogurt and estimate own-price, cross-price, and income elasticities of demand. Attention is centered on the impacts of age, race, education, and ethnicity of the household head, household income, household size, region, the presence of children, and prices of Greek yogurt and non-Greek yogurt. This analysis rests on data acquired from Nielsen pertaining to 164,484 households over calendar years 2018–2020. Own-price elasticities are estimated to be −1.36 for Greek yogurt and −0.70 for non-Greek yogurt. Additionally, these yogurt products are not only substitutes but also necessities.

Indonesia’s Pulp Export Performance In the China Market: An Analysis Using Almost Ideal Demand System Approach

Indonesia is one of the world's leading pulp producers. Both domestic consumption and global demand are increasing annually. As Indonesia seeks to meet the escalating global demand for pulp raw materials, China is emerging as a major destination for its exports, which underscores the strategic importance of this market. This study aims to evaluate the comparative advantage of Indonesian pulp exports and to identify the price, cross-price and expenditure elasticities of pulp demand in the Chinese market. Using the Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA) method and the Linear Approximation-Almost Ideal Demand System (LA/AIDS) model, this research analyzes annual time series data covering the period 2003-2022, focusing on the quantity and export value of chemical pulp (HS 470329). The results show that Indonesian pulp has a comparative advantage in the Chinese market, as indicated by Indonesia's RCA index greater than one. However, this comparative advantage is declining over time. At the same time, China's sustained increase in pulp consumption underscores the intensified competition among pulp-exporting countries for market share in China. Using the LA/AIDS model, the estimation results highlight a different dynamic in the Chinese pulp market: Japanese pulp emerges as a complementary product to Indonesian pulp, while Thailand and Brazilian pulp act as substitutes. These findings have valuable strategic implications for Indonesian policymakers and industry stakeholders in managing the complexities of global pulp trade dynamics

Analyzing Brand-Level Chips Demand in the United States Using the Multinomial Logit Model

This study estimates demand for 52 chip brands using IRI scanner data. The multinomial logit model addresses dimensionality and endogeneity issues in demand estimation. All brands exhibit elastic demand, with own-price elasticities between -5.0412 and -1.4251, indicating high consumer responsiveness to price changes. Notably, tortilla chip brands are less elastic than potato chip brands. Baked chip brands fall under the category of highly elastic brands. Funyuns has the most elastic demand, while Calidad Triangle has the least elastic demand. Cross-price elasticities (0.0010 to 0.0263), exhibiting the IIA property, indicate that consumers have brand loyalty, as seen by comparisons with own-price elasticities' magnitudes.

Game Analysis of Dual-channel Supply Chain Based on Different Rights Structure

Based on members' different bargaining power in a dual channels system, this paper discusses the impact ofthree games on channel pricing, demand and members' profits by building Manufacturer Stackelberg, Retailer Stackelberg and Vertical Nash game model.The study finds that:(1) When the coefficient of cross-price elasticity of demand is 0, the effects of the three game strategies on the competitive equilibrium solution of the two-channel supply chain are undifferentiated. (2) When the coefficient of cross-price elasticity of demand is not 0, under the Stackelberg game dominated by the retailer (manufacturer), the traditional channel (direct channel) has the highest pricing, and the demand of the traditional channel (direct channel) is the smallest, while the demand of the traditional channel (demand of the direct channel) is the largest in the Stackelberg game dominated by the manufacturer (retailer); both manufacturers and retailers are willing to choose to give up their power and do the Stackelberg game. Both manufacturers and retailers are willing to give up power in favor of being a follower of the Stackelberg game, and the Nash game is always a strict downside for the game participants. Finally, the validity of the conclusions is further tested by case studies.

Dynamic analysis of Caribbean food import demand

Short- and long-run price and income elasticities are generally unavailable at the regional level for major imported food groups for the Caribbean. These elasticity measures are needed to enhance policymaking. This paper therefore seeks to determine the income, own-price and cross-price elasticities of eight major imported food groups. This will show the relationships between income and price changes on the import quantities for the major food groups. This was done using an error-corrected linear approximate almost ideal demand system (EC-LA-AIDS) for the period 1961–2021, using annual data. The study found that the theoretical restrictions of homogeneity and symmetry did not hold in the static LA-AIDS model but did in the EC-LA-AIDS model. The speed of adjustment parameter in the EC-LA-AIDS model revealed that imported beverages had the slowest adjustment to long-run equilibrium while all other imported food categories had a moderate adjustment speed. The study also derived short- and long-run income and price elasticities of import demand for the eight imported food categories. In both time horizons, income elasticities revealed that all imported food categories were normal goods. In both time horizons, imported meat and seafood, and sugar and honey were the most responsive to changes in income, while spices and tea was the least responsive. Own-price elasticities revealed that all imported food categories were import price inelastic except for meat and seafood which was found to be import price elastic in both time horizons. Additionally, cross-price elasticities unveiled various substitution and complementary relationships between pairs of imported foods. The study not only contributed empirical insights into the import demand dynamics of the Caribbean, but also emphasized significant policy implications arising from the research findings.

Assessing the Substitutability of Mobile and Fixed Internet: The Impact of 5G Services on Consumer Valuation and Price Elasticity

In this study, we explore the dynamics of consumer choices in the Polish telecommunications market, focusing on preferences and valuations for home fixed, home mobile, and purely mobile internet connections. Key attributes such as speed, latency, data limits, and cost are examined. Central to our research is the investigation of how the integration of 5G technology might influence demand elasticity. Using a detailed discrete choice experiment, we apply a mixed logit model with random parameters to analyze stated choice data, enabling us to unravel the complexities of demand elasticity, especially in terms of own- and cross-price elasticities. This approach facilitates an assessment of the degree of substitutability between fixed and mobile internet services. Our findings indicate a moderate substitution effect between fixed and mobile internet services. Results from a Small but Significant and Non-transitory Increase in Price (SSNIP) test suggest that these markets should continue to be regulated separately, mirroring the distinct regulation observed in fixed and mobile telephony. Furthermore, simulations provide insights into potential future market shifts with the advent of 5G services. This paper contributes significantly to the discourse on fixed-mobile internet substitution and offers vital insights for defining markets in antitrust discussions, competitive agreements, and potential mergers within the telecom sector.

Estimating the Effects of Hypothetical Alcohol Minimum Unit Pricing Policies on Alcohol Use and Deaths: A State Example.

Alcohol minimum unit pricing (MUP) policies establish a floor price beneath which alcohol cannot be sold. The potential effectiveness of MUP policies for reducing alcohol-attributable deaths in the United States has not been quantitatively assessed. Therefore, this study estimated the effects of two hypothetical distilled spirits MUP policies on alcohol sales, consumption, and alcohol-attributable deaths in one state. The International Model of Alcohol Harms and Policies tool was used to estimate the effects of two hypothetical MUP per standard drink policies (40-cent and 45-cent) pertaining to distilled spirits products at off-premises alcohol outlets in Michigan during 2020. Prevalence estimates on drinking patterns among Michigan adults were calculated by sex and age group. Prices per standard drink and sales of 9,747 spirits products were analyzed using National Alcohol Beverage Control Association data. Analyses accounted for other alcoholic beverage type sales using cross-price elasticities. Increasing the MUP of the 3.5% of spirits with the lowest prices per standard drink to 40 cents could reduce total alcohol per capita consumption in Michigan by 2.6% and prevent 232 (5.3%) alcohol-attributable deaths annually. A 45-cent MUP would affect 8.0% of the spirits and reduce total alcohol per capita consumption by 3.9%, preventing 354 (8.1%) deaths. Modestly increasing the prices of the lowest-priced spirits with an MUP policy in a single state could save hundreds of lives annually. This suggests that alcohol MUP policies could be an effective strategy for improving public health in the United States, consistent with the World Health Organization's recommendation.

Household Demand Analyses in Uyo Metropolis: A Study of Selected Determinants Responsiveness

The study is an attempt to evaluate household demand analyses in Uyo metropolis: a study of selected determinants responsiveness. The research employed survey data obtained from 200 households via individual interviews utilizing a meticulously designed questionnaire. Information on income, age, sex of household head, household size, educational background was collected to capture household demography. The data were also collected on household expenditure on the selected food and nonfood item, their respective prices and the quantity consumed in a given month. The study adopted the quadratic almost ideal demand system (QUAIDS) as a model. The result indicated that factors that affect household food expenditure on Rice, Beans and Garri are the prices of the goods, income, household size, level of education and the prices of other goods. Similarly, the study found negative compensated and uncompensated own price elasticity of demand for the food items rice, beans and garri while beer has a positive own price effect. All the goods were found to be price inelastic as their own price elasticity lies between -1 and 1. Again, all food items were found to have negative cross price elasticity and which is less than one indicating that they are substitutes and price inelastic. On the other hand, the study found evidence of complementary relationship between beer and food items like garri and beans. The study recommends that the government subsidize food prices, lower taxes on these goods, provide cash transfers to the poor, or promote the production of these food items by giving preference to farmers who produce them in order to lessen the impact of such price increases on the demand for these commodities.

The equitable impact of sugary drink taxation structures on sugary drink consumption among Canadians: a modelling study using the 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Nutrition.

Estimate the impact of 20 % flat-rate and tiered sugary drink tax structures on the consumption of sugary drinks, sugar-sweetened beverages and 100 % juice by age, sex and socio-economic position. We modelled the impact of price changes - for each tax structure - on the demand for sugary drinks by applying own- and cross-price elasticities to self-report sugary drink consumption measured using single-day 24-h dietary recalls from the cross-sectional, nationally representative 2015 Canadian Community Health Survey-Nutrition. For both 20 % flat-rate and tiered sugary drink tax scenarios, we used linear regression to estimate differences in mean energy intake and proportion of energy intake from sugary drinks by age, sex, education, food security and income. Canada. 19 742 respondents aged 2 and over. In the 20 % flat-rate scenario, we estimated mean energy intake and proportion of daily energy intake from sugary drinks on a given day would be reduced by 29 kcal/d (95 % UI: 18, 41) and 1·3 % (95 % UI: 0·8, 1·8), respectively. Similarly, in the tiered tax scenario, additional small, but meaningful reductions were estimated in mean energy intake (40 kcal/d, 95 % UI: 24, 55) and proportion of daily energy intake (1·8 %, 95 % UI: 1·1, 2·5). Both tax structures reduced, but did not eliminate, inequities in mean energy intake from sugary drinks despite larger consumption reductions in children/adolescents, males and individuals with lower education, food security and income. Sugary drink taxation, including the additional benefit of taxing 100 % juice, could reduce overall and inequities in mean energy intake from sugary drinks in Canada.