Cox Proportional Risk Regression Model Research Articles

A clinical tool to predict overall survival of elderly patients with soft tissue sarcoma after surgical resection

With the aging world population, the incidence of soft tissue sarcoma (STS) in the elderly gradually increases and the prognosis is poor. The primary goal of this research was to analyze the relevant risk factors affecting the postoperative overall survival in elderly STS patients and to provide some guidance and assistance in clinical treatment. The study included 2,353 elderly STS patients from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. To find independent predictive variables, we employed the Cox proportional risk regression model. R software was used to develop and validate the nomogram model to predict postoperative overall survival. The performance and practical value of the nomogram were evaluated using calibration curves, the area under the curve, and decision curve analysis. Age, tumor primary site, disease stage, tumor size, tumor grade, N stage, and marital status, are the risk variables of postoperative overall survival, and the prognostic model was constructed on this basis. In the two sets, both calibration curves and receiver operating characteristic curves showed that the nomogram had high predictive accuracy and discriminative power, while decision curve analysis demonstrated that the model had good clinical usefulness. A predictive nomogram was designed and tested to evaluate postoperative overall survival in elderly STS patients. The nomogram allows clinical practitioners to more accurately evaluate the prognosis of individual patients, facilitates the progress of individualized treatment, and provides clinical guidance.

Constructing a prognostic model for colorectal cancer with synchronous liver metastases after preoperative chemotherapy: a study based on SEER and an external validation cohort.

The combination of preoperative chemotherapy and surgical treatment has been shown to significantly enhance the prognosis of colorectal cancer with liver metastases (CRLM) patients. Nevertheless, as a result of variations in clinicopathological parameters, the prognosis of this particular group of patients differs considerably. This study aimed to develop and evaluate Cox proportional risk regression model and competing risk regression model using two patient cohorts. The goal was to provide a more precise and personalized prognostic evaluation system. We collected information on individuals who had a pathological diagnosis of colorectal cancer between 2000 and 2019 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Database. We obtained data from patients who underwent pathological diagnosis of colorectal cancer and got comprehensive therapy at the hospital between January 1, 2010, and June 1, 2022. The SEER data collected after screening according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria were separated into two cohorts: a training cohort (training cohort) and an internal validation cohort (internal validation cohort), using a random 1:1 split. Subgroup Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival analyses were conducted on each of the three groups. The data that received following screening from the hospital were designated as the external validation cohort. The subsequent variables were chosen for additional examination: age, gender, marital status, race, tumor site, pretreatment carcinoembryonic antigen level, tumor size, T stage, N stage, pathological grade, number of tumor deposits, perineural invasion, number of regional lymph nodes examined, and number of positive regional lymph nodes. The primary endpoint was median overall survival (mOS). In the training cohort, we conducted univariate Cox regression analysis and utilized a stepwise regression approach, employing the Akaike information criterion (AIC) to select variables and create Cox proportional risk regression models. We evaluated the accuracy of the model using calibration curve, receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), and area under curve (AUC). The effectiveness of the models was assessed using decision curve analysis (DCA). To evaluate the non-cancer-related outcomes, we analyzed variables that had significant impacts using subgroup cumulative incidence function (CIF) and Gray's test. These analyses were used to create competing risk regression models. Nomograms of the two models were constructed separately and prognostic predictions were made for the same patients in SEER database. This study comprised a total of 735 individuals. The mOS of the training cohort, internal validation cohort, and QDU cohort was 55.00months (95%CI 46.97-63.03), 48.00months (95%CI 40.65-55.35), and 68.00months (95%CI 54.91-81.08), respectively. The multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age, N stage, presence of perineural infiltration, number of tumor deposits and number of positive regional lymph nodes were identified as independent prognostic risk variables (p < 0.05). In comparison to the conventional TNM staging model, the Cox proportional risk regression model exhibited a higher C-index. After controlling for competing risk events, age, N stage, presence of perineural infiltration, number of tumor deposits, number of regional lymph nodes examined, and number of positive regional lymph nodes were independent predictors of the risk of cancer-specific mortality (p < 0.05). We have developed a prognostic model to predict the survival of patients with synchronous CRLM who undergo preoperative chemotherapy and surgery. This model has been tested internally and externally, confirming its accuracy and reliability.

The combined effect of handgrip strength and obesity phenotype on the risk of stroke in Chinese middle-aged and elderly: A cohort study

ObjectiveThe aim of this study was to investigate the combined effect of handgrip strength (HGS) and obesity phenotype on the risk of stroke in Chinese middle-aged and elderly people. MethodsThe data was used from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). Middle-aged and older adults who participated in surveys between 2011 and 2018 were included in the study. They were divided into 4 different types of obesity phenotypes based on obesity and metabolic status: metabolically healthy non-overweight/obesity (MHNO), metabolically healthy overweight/obesity (MHO), metabolically abnormal non-overweight/obesity (MANO), and metabolically abnormal overweight/obesity (MAO). The HGS level was divided into low and high groups according to the median values. Cox proportional risk regression model was used to analyze the joint effect of HGS and obesity phenotype on the risk of stroke among participants. ResultsA total of 7904 participants aged 58.89±9.08 years were included in this study. After adjusting for potential confounders, high HGS&MHO (HR=1.86, 95 % CI=1.12–3.09), high HGS&MANO (HR=2.01, 95 %CI=1.42–2.86), high HGS&MAO (HR=2.01, 95 % CI=1.37–2.93), low HGS&MHNO (HR=1.57, 95 % CI=1.00–2.46), low HGS&MHO (HR=2.09, 95 % CI=1.29–3.38), low HGS&MANO (HR=2.02, 95 % CI=1.35–3.03), and low HGS&MAO (HR=2.48, 95 % CI=1.72–3.58) group had significantly higher risks of stroke than the high HGS&MHNO group. ConclusionThe coexistence of metabolically unhealthy and low HGS can synergistically increase the risk of stroke in Chinese middle-aged and elderly people.

Associations of onset age, diabetes duration and glycated hemoglobin level with ischemic stroke risk in type 2 diabetes patients: a prospective cohort study

Objective: To investigate the associations of onset age, diabetes duration, and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels with ischemic stroke risk in type 2 diabetes patients. Methods: The participants were from Comprehensive Research on the Prevention and Control of the Diabetes in Jiangsu Province. The study used data from baseline survey from December 2013 to January 2014 and follow-up until December 31, 2021. After excluding the participants who had been diagnosed with stroke at baseline survey and those with incomplete information on onset age, diabetes duration, and HbA1c level, a total of 17 576 type 2 diabetes patients were included. Cox proportional hazard model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95%CI of onset age, diabetes duration, and HbA1c level for ischemic stroke. Results: During the median follow-up time of 8.02 years, 2 622 ischemic stroke cases were registered. Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model showed that a 5-year increase in type 2 diabetes onset age was significantly associated with a 5% decreased risk for ischemic stroke (HR=0.95, 95%CI: 0.92-0.99). A 5-year increase in diabetes duration was associated with a 5% increased risk for ischemic stroke (HR=1.05, 95%CI: 1.02-1.10). Higher HbA1c (per 1 standard deviation increase:HR=1.17, 95%CI: 1.13-1.21) was associated with an increased risk for ischemic stroke. Conclusion: The earlier onset age of diabetes, longer diabetes duration, and high levels of HbA1c are associated with an increased risk for ischemic stroke in type 2 diabetes patients.

Immune reconstitution and influencing factors in HIV infected men who have sex with men with access to antiviral therapy in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region from 2005 to 2021

Objective: To analyze immune reconstitution and influencing factors in HIV infected men who have sex with men (MSM) with access to antiviral therapy (ART) in Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region (Guangxi) during 2005-2021. Methods: The data were collected from Chinese Disease Prevention and Control Information System. The study subjects were HIV infected MSM with access to the initial ART for ≥24 weeks in Guangxi from 2005 to 2021 and HIV RNA lower than the detection limit within 24 months. The proportion of infected MSM who had immune reconstitution after ART was calculated. Cox proportional hazard regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors of immune reconstitution. Software SPSS 24.0 was used for statistical analysis. Results: A total of 3 200 HIV infected MSM were enrolled, in whom 15.56 % (498/3 200) had no immune reconstitution, 14.78% (473/3 200) had moderate immune reconstitution, and the rate of complete immune reconstitution was 69.66% (2 229/3 200). The M (Q1, Q3) of ART time for immune reconstitution was 12 (5, 27) months. Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model analysis results showed that compared with those with initial ART at age ≥30 years, WHO clinical stage Ⅲ/Ⅳ illness, baseline BMI <18.50 kg/m2 and baseline CD4+T lymphocyte (CD4) counts <200 cells/µl, HIV infected MSM with initial ART at age <30 years, WHO clinical stageⅠ/Ⅱ illness, baseline BMI≥24.00 kg/m2 and baseline CD4 counts ≥200 cells/µl were more likely to have complete immune reconstitution. Conclusions: In the HIV infected MSM in Guangxi, failures to achieve moderate and complete immune reconstitution were observed. Surveillance and ART regimen should be improved for key populations, such as those with older age and low baseline CD4 counts.

The prognostic value and model construction of inflammatory markers for patients with non-small cell lung cancer

The aim of this study was to investigate and analyse the predictive value of systemic inflammatory markers based on peripheral blood biomarkers for the prognosis of non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients. Based on a retrospective monitoring cohort of 973 NSCLC patients from an Affiliated Tumor Hospital from 2012 to 2023. The log-rank test and Cox proportional risk regression model were used to identify independent prognostic inflammatory markers. Subsequently, a nomogram prediction model was constructed and evaluated. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that patients with high NLR group (HR = 1.238, 95% CI 1.015–1.510, P = 0.035), and high CAR group (HR = 1.729, 95% CI 1.408–2.124, P < 0.001) were risk factors affecting the prognosis of NSCLC patients. The nomogram that includes age, tumor stage, smoking history, BMI, NLR, and CAR can effectively predict the prognosis of NSCLC patients.The inflammatory markers NLR and CAR, which combine inflammatory and nutritional status, are effective predictors of the prognosis of NSCLC patients. The combination of clinical information and these easily accessible inflammatory markers has significant research value for prognostic assessment, clinical treatment, and follow-up monitoring of NSCLC patients.

Association between dietary flavonol intake and mortality risk in the U.S. adults from NHANES database

Using updated National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) follow-up data, and a large nationwide representative sample of adult U.S. citizens, the aim of this study was to explore the relationship between dietary flavonol intake, all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks. In this prospective cohort study based on NHANES (2007–2008, 2009–2010, and 2017–2018), a total of 11,679 participants aged 20 years and above were evaluated. The amount and type of food taken during a 24-h dietary recall were used to estimate dietary flavonol intake, which includes total flavonol, isorhamnetin, kaempferol, myricetin, and quercetin. Each analysis of the weighted data was dealt with in accordance with the NHANES reporting requirements' intricate stratification design. The Cox proportional risk regression model or Fine and Gray competing risks regression model were applied to evaluate all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks, respectively. The follow-up period was calculated using the time interval between the baseline and the death date or December 31, 2019 (whichever occurs first). Each data analysis was performed between October 1, 2023, and October 22, 2023. Dietary flavonol intake included total flavonol, isorhamnetin, kaempferol, myricetin, and quercetin. Up to December 31, 2019, National Death Index (NDI) mortality data were used to calculate mortality from all causes as well as cause-specific causes. A total of 11,679 individuals, which represents 44,189,487 U.S. non-hospitalized citizens, were included in the study; of these participants, 49.78% were male (n = 5816), 50.22% were female (n = 5, 863); 47.56% were Non-Hispanic White (n = 5554), 18.91% were Non-Hispanic Black (n = 2209), 16.23% were Mexican American (n = 1895), and 17.30% were other ethnicity (n = 2021); The mean [SE] age of the sample was 46.93 [0.36] years, with a median follow-up of 7.80 years (interquartile range, 7.55–8.07 years). After adjusting covariates, Cox proportional hazards models and fine and gray competing risks regression models for specific-cause mortality demonstrated that total flavonol intake was associated with all-cause (HR 0.64, 95% CI 0.54–0.75), cancer-specific (HR 0.45, 95% CI 0.28–0.70) and CVD-specific (HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.47–0.96) mortality risks; isorhamnetin intake was associated with all-cause (HR 0.72, 95% CI 0.60–0.86), and cancer-specific (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.46–0.83) mortality risks; kaempferol intake was associated with all-cause (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.63–0.86), and cancer-specific (HR 0.62, 95% CI 0.40–0.97) mortality risks; myricetin intake was associated with all-cause (HR 0.77, 95% CI 0.67–0.88), AD-specific (HR 0.34, 95% CI 0.14–0.85), and CVD-specific (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.47–0.80) mortality risks; quercetin intake was associated with all-cause (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.54–0.81), cancer-specific (HR 0.54, 95% CI 0.35–0.84), and CVD-specific (HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.40–0.93) mortality risks; there was no correlation observed between dietary flavonol intake and DM-specific mortality. According to the current study, all-cause, AD, cancer, and CVD mortality risks declined with increased dietary flavonoid intake in the U.S. adults. This finding may be related to the anti-tumor, anti-inflammatory, and anti-oxidative stress properties of flavonol.

Association between different corticosteroid regimens used in severe SARS-CoV-2 infection and short-term mortality: retrospective cohort study

IntroductionDuring the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, several corticosteroid regimens have been used in the treatment of the disease, with disparate results according to drug and regimen used. For this reason, we wanted to analyze differences in early mortality derived from the use of different regimens of dexamethasone and methylprednisolone in SARS-CoV-2 infection in critically ill patients requiring admission to an ICU. MethodObservational, analytical and retrospective study, in an intensive care unit of a third-level university hospital, (March 2020 and June 2021). Adult patients (>18 years old) who were admitted consecutively for proven SARS-CoV-2 infection were included. The association with mortality in ICU at 28 days, different corticosteroid regimens used, was analyzed using a Cox proportional risk regression model. ResultsData from a cohort of 539 patients were studied. Patient age (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02–1.10; P=<0.01) showed a significant association with 28-day mortality in the ICU. In the comparison of the different corticosteroid regimens analyzed, taking as a reference those patients who did not receive corticosteroid treatment, the dose of dexamethasone of 6mg/day showed a clear trend towards statistical significance as a protector of mortality at 28 days in the ICU (RR: 0.40, 95% CI: 0.15–1.02, p=0.05). The dose of dexamethasone of 6mg/day and low doses of methylprednisolone show a similar association with survival at 28 days (OR: 1.19; 95% CI: 0.63–2.26). ConclusionsThe use of corticosteroids has been associated with better mortality outcomes in severe cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, the therapeutic benefits of corticosteroids are not limited to dexamethasone alone.

Survival analysis on HIV/AIDS cases newly received antiretroviral therapy who coinfected with hepatitis B virus in Jiangsu Province, 2005-2020

Objective: To analyze the incidence of co-infection of HIV and HBV and death in HIV/AIDS cases who newly received antiretroviral therapy (ART) from 2005-2020 in Jiangsu Province. Methods: According to the baseline and follow-up data of HIV/AIDS cases on ART enrolled between January 2005 and December 2020, the last follow-up clinical visit was up until December 31, 2022, the national information system was retrospectively collected for HIV/AIDS cases from Chinese System Disease for Control and Prevention. Excel database was established, and statistical analysis was performed using the SPSS 16.0 software. Kaplan-Meier method was used to draw the survival curves, the log rank test was used to compare the survival curves, and Cox proportional hazards modeling was used to assess the mortality and potential risk factors. Results: There were 33 322 HIV/AIDS cases that newly received ART during 2005-2020.The rate of HBsAg test was 57.3%(19 098/33 322). Among HIV/AIDS cases tested HBsAg, the ratio of male to female was 7.1∶1 (16 745∶2 353), the average age was (39.4±14.0) years old, 49.5% (9 446/19 098) of the HIV/AIDS cases were married, 57.8% (11 048/19 098) were infected with HIV through homosexual contact and 36.6% (6 990/19 098) were through heterosexual contact. The M (Q1, Q3) of CD4+T lymphocytes (CD4) counts at ART initiation was 297 (166, 445) cells/μl. A total of 8.2% (1 566/19 098, 95%CI:7.8%-8.6%) were HBsAg positive. There were 1 062 HIV/AIDS died by December 31, 2022. The log rank test showed that there were differences in survival curves between HIV/AIDS co-infected with HBV or not (χ2=28.07, P<0.001). Multivariate analysis of the Cox proportional risk regression model showed that enrollment year, age, marital status, route of HIV infection, baseline CD4 counts before ART, and co-HBV infection were the influencing factors for HIV/AIDS death (all P<0.05), compared with those enrolled in 2015 and before, age ≥45 years, and those who were unmarried. Those enrolled in treatment from 2016 to 2020, those younger than 45 years, and married/cohabitation had a lower risk of death. Compared with baseline CD4 counts ≥201 cells/μl, other routes of infection, and HIV infection alone, baseline CD4 counts ≤200 cells/μl, injecting drug use, and co-HBV infection were associated with a higher risk of death. Conclusion: Effective treatment for coinfection with HBV and HBV vaccination for HBV-negative people with HIV should be integrated into HIV treatment programs to reduce HIV-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, 2005-2020.

Asociación entre diferentes pautas de corticoides empleadas en la infección grave por SARS-CoV-2 y la mortalidad a corto plazo: estudio de cohortes retrospectivo

IntroductionDuring the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, several corticosteroid regimens have been used in the treatment of the disease, with disparate results according to drug and regimen used. For this reason, we wanted to analyze differences in early mortality derived from the use of different regimens of dexamethasone and methylprednisolone in SARS-CoV-2 infection in critically ill patients requiring admission to an ICU. MethodObservational, analytical and retrospective study, in an intensive care unit of a third-level university hospital (March 2020 and June 2021). Adult patients (>18 years old) who were admitted consecutively for proven SARS-CoV-2 infection were included. The association with mortality in ICU at 28 days, different corticosteroid regimens used, was analyzed using a Cox proportional risk regression model. ResultsData from a cohort of 539 patients were studied. Patient age (RR: 1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.10; P≤0.01) showed a significant association with 28-day mortality in the ICU. In the comparison of the different corticosteroid regimens analyzed, taking as a reference those patients who did not receive corticosteroid treatment, the dose of dexamethasone of 6mg/day showed a clear trend towards statistical significance as a protector of mortality at 28 days in the ICU (RR: 0.40; 95% CI: 0.15-1.02; p=.05). The dose of dexamethasone of 6 mg/day and low doses of methylprednisolone show a similar association with survival at 28 days (OR: 1.19; 95% CI: 0.63-2.26). ConclusionsThe use of corticosteroids has been associated with better mortality outcomes in severe cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection. However, the therapeutic benefits of corticosteroids are not limited to dexamethasone alone.

Construction of a prognostic model of lung adenocarcinoma based on machine learning

In order to more accurately predict the prognosis and survival of lung adenocarcinoma patients, this paper used the gene expression and clinical information data of lung adenocarcinoma patients in the open database of TCGA to jointly construct a prognosis model of lung adenocarcinoma. Three difference analysis methods and univariate cox regression analysis were used as the preliminary screening method. By comparing the variable selection ability of lasso regression and random survival forest, comparing the performance of cox proportional risk regression model and random survival forest model, and integrating clinical data, a model that can more accurately predict the prognosis of lung adenocarcinoma patients was constructed. After comparison and selection, lasso regression was used to select variables and cox proportional risk model was used as the prediction model. The consistency index of the model reached 0.712. The AUC for 1-year, 3-year and 5-year survival of lung adenocarcinoma patients in the validation set were 0.808, 0.816 and 0.754, respectively. After the fusion of clinical data, the 1-year, 3-year and 5-year survival prediction AUC in the validation set were 0.840, 0.836 and 0.865, respectively, indicating that the model had good predictive performance.

Hypertension combined with atherosclerosis increases the risk of heart failure in patients with diabetes.

The increase in heart failure risk in the diabetic population when hypertension and atherosclerosis are both present is still inconclusive. The aim of this study was to explore the effects of hypertension combined with atherosclerosis in diabetic population on the risk of heart failure. We selected 10,711 patients with diabetes who participated in the Kailuan study and completed brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity (baPWV) testing for statistical analysis. The subjects were divided into the non-hypertensive non-atherosclerotic, hypertensive, atherosclerotic, and hypertensive atherosclerotic groups based on their history of hypertension and atherosclerosis. At a median follow-up of 4.15 years, 227 cases of heart failure occurred. Compared with the non-hypertensive non-atherosclerotic group, the multifactorial Cox proportional risk regression model showed that the hazard ratio (HR) for heart failure in the hypertensive atherosclerotic group was 3.08 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.32-7.16), whereas the HR decreased to 2.38 (95% CI: 1.01-5.63) after gradual correction of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and antihypertensive drugs. The subgroup analysis and sensitivity analysis were consistent with that of total population. In conclusion, patients with diabetes exposed to both hypertension and atherosclerosis had an increased heart failure risk, which was attenuated by the use of lipid-lowering, glucose-lowering, and antihypertensive drugs.

Association between hair trace element and all-cause death in elderly people in Hainan

Objective: To explore the association between hair trace element and all-cause death in the elderly in Hainan Province. Methods: The subjects of the study were elderly people from China Hainan Centenarian Cohort Study, a total of 163 elderly were included. The association between hair trace element level and all-cause death was analyzed by using Cox proportional risk regression model. Results: After fully adjusting the covariates, the multiple Cox proportional hazards regression analyses showed that selenium (Se), manganese (Mn), strontium (Sr) concentrations in hair were significantly associated with all-cause mortality, the hazard ratio (HR) were 0.72 (95%CI: 0.54-0.98, P=0.035), 1.50 (95%CI: 1.07-2.11, P=0.020) and 0.54 (95%CI: 0.37-0.79, P=0.001), respectively. Subgroup and cross analysis showed that hair copper (Cu) were significant association with death in the people with anemia, the HR were 1.81 (95%CI: 1.13-2.88, P=0.013). And, hair Mn interacted with anemia, the HR was 0.46 (95%CI: 0.22-0.94, P=0.033). Conclusions: Se, Mn and Sr concentrations in hair were associated with the elevated risk for all-cause death in the elderly in Hainan. Se, Mn and Sr concentrations in hair can be used as a reference index for the prediction of the death risk of long-lived elderly in community, suggesting that the daily diet of elderly people are rich and diverse, in order to maintain normal and balanced trace element content in the body.

Marital Status as an Independent Prognostic Factor in Patients with Glioblastoma: A Population-Based Study

BackgroundThis study was aimed to investigate the effects of marital status on overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) in patients with glioblastoma (GBM) and to develop nomograms for predicting prognosis in GBM patients. MethodsAll patients were selected from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry program. We used propensity score matching to balance the baseline characteristics of married and unmarried patients. The effects of marital status on OS and CSS were then assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and Cox proportional hazard regression, and the magnitude of each factor was visualized in the form of forest maps. The impact of marriage on the survival of GBM patients was further explored by stratifying several demographic factors. Finally, the nomograms were constructed and verified based on Cox proportional risk regression model. Results17,517 patients with GBM (11,818 married patients, 67.5%) were enrolled in the study cohort. After PSM, there were 5699 patients in both the married and unmarried groups. Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that both married and single patients had better OS (Married: HR 0.824, 95% CI: 0.788-0.862, P <0.001; Single: HR 0.764, 95% CI: 0.722-0.808, P <0.001) and CSS (Married: HR 0.833, 95% CI: 0.796-0.872, P <0.001; Single: HR 0.761, 95% CI: 0.718-0.806, P <0.001) than divorced, separated, and widowed (DSW) patients. ConclusionsMarital status was an independent prognostic factor in patients with GBM. The nomograms constructed in this study could help medical professionals to provide personalized prognostic assessment and treatment decisions for patients with GBM.

Efficacy and safety of endoscopic submucosal dissection with additional radiotherapy for T1a-MM/T1b-SM esophageal squamous cell carcinoma

Objective: To clarify the efficacy and safety of endoscopic submucosal dissection (ESD) with additional radiotherapy in T1a-MM/T1b-SM esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on 71 patients with T1a-MM/T1b-SM ESCC admitted to Southeast University Affiliated Zhongda Hospital from January 2015 to December 2019. The patients were divided into two groups based on the treatment method: the ESD group (ESD therapy alone) and the ESD-radiotherapy group (ESD combined radiotherapy). The follow-up duration after ESD was (44±17) months. The difference of disease-free survival (DFS) rate and overall survival (OS) rate between the two groups was compared by survival analysis, and the occurrence of complications was compared. Baseline variables of the two groups were compared and the influencing factors of DFS rate were analyzed by Cox proportional risk regression model. Results: There were 44 patients in the ESD-radiotherapy group [28 males, 16 females, aged (65±7) years] and 27 patients in the ESD group [18 males, 9 females, aged (67±9) years]. The results of survival analysis show that the 1, 3 and 5-year DFS rates of ESD-radiotherapy group were 95.5%, 92.9% and 77.4%, respectively, which were higher than those of ESD group 85.2%, 73.2% and 62.7% (all P<0.05). The 1, 3 and 5-year OS rates of the ESD-radiotherapy group were 100%, 94.7% and 94.7%, while those of the ESD group were 96.3%, 96.3% and 79.4%, respectively. The difference was not statistically significant (all P>0.05). Cox proportional hazard regression model analysis showed that ESD combined with radiotherapy (HR=0.19, 95%CI: 0.04-0.90, P=0.037), complete tumor resection (HR=0.25, 95%CI: 0.07-0.86, P=0.027), and vascular invasion (HR=12.06, 95%CI: 1.61-90.26, P=0.015) were the influencing factors of DFS rates. The most common complication of ESD was esophageal stenosis, and no grade 3 or higher radiation adverse reactions occurred after combined radiotherapy. Conclusion: ESD combined radiotherapy is an effective and safe therapeutic strategy for patients with T1a-MM/T1b-SM ESCC.

Association Between Medication Compliance and Various Risky Behaviors in Patients With Schizophrenia

To investigate the status of medication adherence and various types of risky behaviors of schizophrenia patients in a certain area of western China and to explore accordingly the correlation between the two. A total of 292 667 patients with schizophrenia were enrolled in a follow-up survey between 2006 and 2018. In addition, based on the outcome-wide analysis strategy, a multivariate Cox proportional risk regression model was used to estimate and compare the impact of medication adherence on different types of risky behaviors in schizophrenia patients. In this 13-year prospective cohort, 65 175 patients (31.4%) showed good medication adherence, while 142 394 patients (68.6%) showed poor medication adherence. The incidence rates of various risky behaviors during the follow-up period were as follows, minor nuisances, 12.25%, violation of the Law of the People's Republic of China on Penalties for Administration of Public Security (APS law), 3.82%, violation of criminal law, 0.94%, suicide completed, 0.28%, self-harm, 1.42%, and attempted suicide, 0.82%. Schizophrenia patients who had poor medication adherence had higher risks of committing violence against others and self-inflicted injury compared to patients with good medication adherence did, with the associated effects being minor nuisances (hazard ratio [HR]=1.31, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.27-1.35), violation of APS law (HR=1.47, 95% CI: 1.38-1.56), violation of criminal law (HR=1.17, 95% CI: 1.05-1.31), and self-harm (HR=1.43, 95% CI: 1.32-1.56), respectively, while the risk of suicide completed is lower in schizophrenia patients with poor medication adherence than that in patients with good medication adherence (HR=0.56, 95% CI: 0.47-0.66). There was no statistically significant association between attempted suicide and medication adherence. There are variations in the direction and strength of the association between medication adherence and different types of risky behaviors and further research is needed to elucidate the mechanisms of the association.

Prognostic value of the left ventricular mass index by magnetic resonance imaging in patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy undergoing septal myectomy

Abstract Research background Traditional risk factors for hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) have limited ability to predict poor survival outcomes in the medium to long term after surgical septal myectomy (septal myectomy) in patients with hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy (HOCM) undergoing septal myectomy. Additionally, there is a lack of studies reporting the relationship between left ventricular mass index (LVMI), an index of ventricular remodeling in hypertrophic obstructive cardiomyopathy, and medium to long-term prognostic outcomes after septal myectomy. Research methods: From June 2011 to July 2016, 490 patients with HOCM who completed preoperative cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) were retrospectively enrolled for mid- to long-term follow-up. The study's primary endpoint included all-cause death. Secondary endpoints included cardiac death and adverse cardiovascular events. Furthermore, CMR measures were applied to study the risk factors for mid- and long-term adverse endpoint events after septal myectomy treatment. Study results: 486 patients with HOCM completed follow-up and were included in the final analysis. Twenty-one patients (4.3%) died during follow-up (median 73.6, maximum 105.6 months), and 66 patients (16.3%) had an adverse cardiovascular event during follow-up. In the Cox proportional risk regression model, the most significant predictor of all-cause mortality after septal myectomy was CMR-LVMI (risk ratio 1.009, 95% confidence interval 1.003-1.015, P=0.018). In receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, LVMI &amp;gt; Cutoffpredicted all-cause death analyzed separately by male and female subgruop(P&amp;lt;0.05). In Cox proportional risk regression models (incorporating age, maximum septal thickness, left atrial diameter, left ventricular end-diastolic dimension, left ventricular ejection fraction, LV outflow tract peak pressure, pulmonary hypertension, LGE positive and LVMI), the most significant predictor after surgical septal resection was LVMI measured by CMR (hazard ratio 1.025, 95% confidence interval 1.009-1.040, P=0.002). From ROC analysis, LVMI &amp;gt;cutoff accurately predicted the occurrence of all-cause mortality analysed separately by male and female (P&amp;lt;0.05). Additionally, K-M survival curve plots suggested that patients with HOCM above the LVMI threshold group had lower all-cause mortality-free survival (Log-rank: P=0.0.025), hear failure related mortality-free survival (Log-rank: P=0.0.014) in the medium to long term after septal myectomy. Conclusions An elevated preoperative left ventricular myocardial mass index suggests adverse ventricular remodeling and is an independent predictor of poor survival outcomes in patients with HOCM in the medium to long term after septal myectomy.ROC analysis of LVMI for all cause deathK-M survival curve devided by LVMI level

Clinical Characteristics and Prognosis of Acute Myeloid Leukemia Patients with Protein Tyrosine Phosphatase Non-Receptor Type 11 Gene Mutation.

The purpose of our study was to investigate the clinical characteristics, molecular biological characteristics and prognosis of acute myeloid leukemia (AML) patients with protein tyrosine phosphatase non-receptor type 11 (PTPN11) gene mutation. The clinical data of 30 newly diagnosed adult AML patients with PTPN11 gene mutation were analyzed retrospectively. Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional risk regression model were examined for prognostic analysis and prognostic factor screening. High-frequency mutation sites of PTPN11 gene are located in exon 3 of chromosome 12, which are D61 and A72 (16.7%), followed by E76 (13.3%). The median variant allele frequency (VAF) of PTPN11 mutant gene is 18.4%. The patients were divided into two groups according to PTPN11 VAF 35.3% (upper quartile). We observed that the peripheral blood leukocyte count in patients with VAF ≥35.3% was significantly higher than patients with VAF < 35.3% (p = 0.019) and also closely related to M5 (p = 0.016) and internal tandem duplication (ITD) of FMS-like tyrosine kinase 3 (FLT3) (FLT3-ITD) mutation (p = 0.048). Taking PTPN11 VAF 20% and 35.3% as the cutoff value, the patients were divided into two groups, and the overall survival and event-free survival (EFS) of the two groups were not significant. Multivariate analysis of Cox risk ratio model showed that white blood cell count and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group (ECOG) physical status score were independent risk factors affecting the EFS. Our study observed that PTPN11 VAF may not be a prognostic factor in patients with PTPN11mut AML. Newly diagnosed high white blood cell count and poor performance status were independent risk factors for EFS in PTPN11mut AML.

The high expression of FOXE1 in colorectal cancer predicts a promising prognosis: a retrospective study.

Purpose Forkhead box (FOX) family proteins regulate transcription and DNA repair and are involved in cell growth, differentiation, embryogenesis, and lifespan. The transcription factor FOXE1 is a member of the FOX family. The relationship between the expression level of FOXE1 and colorectal cancer (CRC) prognosis remains controversial. It is vital to verify the relationship between FOXE1 expression and the prognosis of patients with CRC. Methods We constructed a tissue microarray containing 879 primary colorectal cancer tissues and 203 normal mucosa samples. The tumor and normal mucosa tissues were stained with FOXE1 by immunohistochemistry, and the staining results were divided into two groups: high expression group and low expression group. Chi-square test was performed for the classification variable of the difference between FOXE1 expression levels and clinicopathological parameters. The survival curve was calculated according to the Kaplan-Meier method and the logarithmic rank test. The Cox proportional risk regression model was used for multivariate analysis of prognostic factors in patients with CRC.Results The expression level of FOXE1 in colorectal cancer was higher than that in the normal mucosa adjacent to cancer, although the difference was not significant. However, the expression of FOXE1 was correlated with tumor size, T stage, N stage, M stage, and pTNM stage. Univariate and multivariate analyses suggested that FOXE1 could be used as an independent prognostic factor in patients with CRC. Conclusions FOXE1 may be a potential independent prognostic factor for colorectal cancer patients.

Analysis of the efficacy and factors influencing survival of adjuvant radiotherapy for stage II-III biliary tract carcinoma

BackgroundTo determine the efficacy of adjuvant radiotherapy for stage II–III biliary tract carcinoma.MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the data of 37 patients who underwent radical resection of biliary tract carcinomas at the Affiliated Hospital of Inner Mongolia Medical University between 2016 and 2020. We analyzed survival differences between patients who did (n = 17) and did not (n = 20) receive postoperative adjuvant radiotherapy by using Kaplan–Meier analysis. The log-rank test and Cox univariate analysis were used. The Cox proportional risk regression model was used for the multifactorial analysis of factors influencing prognosis.ResultsThe median survival time (28.9 vs. 14.5 months) and the 1-year (82.40% vs. 55.0%) and 2-year survival rates (58.8% vs. 25.0%) were significantly higher among patients who received adjuvant radiotherapy than among those who did not (χ2 = 6.381, p = 0.012). Multifactorial analysis showed that pathological tumor type (p = 0.004), disease stage (p = 0.021), and adjuvant radiotherapy (p = 0.001) were independent prognostic factors in biliary tract carcinoma. Subgroup analyses showed that compared to no radiotherapy, adjuvant radiotherapy significantly improved median survival time in patients with stage III disease (21.6 vs. 12.7 months; p = 0.017), positive margins (28.9 vs. 10.5 months; p = 0.012), and T3 or T4 tumors (26.8 vs. 16.8 months; p = 0.037).ConclusionAdjuvant radiotherapy significantly improved the survival of patients with biliary tract carcinoma, and is recommended especially for patients with stage III disease, positive surgical margins, or ≥ T3.