Cox Proportional Hazards Model Research Articles

Treatment Interruptions and Mortality among Puerto Rican Women with Gynecologic Cancers in Puerto Rico after Hurricanes Irma and María: A Retrospective Cohort Study.

Cancer patients are among the most vulnerable populations during and after a disaster. We evaluated the impact of treatment interruption on the survival of women with gynecologic cancer in Puerto Rico following hurricanes Irma and María. Retrospective cohort study among a clinic-based sample of women diagnosed between January 2016-September 2017 (n=112). Women were followed up from their diagnosis until December 2019, to assess vital status. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and Cox proportional hazards models were performed. Mean age was 56 (±12.3) years; corpus uteri (58.9%) was the most common gynecologic cancer. Predominant treatments were surgery (91.1%) and chemotherapy (44.6%). Overall, 75.9% were receiving treatment before the hurricanes, 16.1% experienced treatment interruptions and 8.9% died during the follow-up period. Factors associated with treatment interruption in bivariate analysis included younger age (≤55 years), having regional/distant disease, and receiving >1 cancer treatment (p<0.05). Crude analysis revealed an increased risk of death among women with treatment interruption (HR: 3.88, 95% CI=1.09-13.77), persisting after adjusting for age and cancer stage (HR: 2.49, 95% CI= 0.69-9.01). Findings underscore the detrimental impact of treatment interruption on cancer survival in the aftermath of hurricanes, emphasizing the need for emergency response plans for this vulnerable population.

Selenium intake in relation to all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in individuals with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A nationwide study in nutrition.

Limited evidence exists regarding the association of selenium with risk of death in individuals with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). This study was designed to investigate the relationship between dietary selenium intake with mortality in a nationally representative sample of United States adults with NAFLD. Dietary selenium intake was assessed in 2274 NAFLD adults younger than 60 years of age from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) III through a 24-hour dietary recall. NAFLD was diagnosed by liver ultrasound after excluding liver disease due to other causes. Cox proportional hazards models were utilized to assess the effect of dietary selenium intake on all-cause and cardiovascular mortality among individuals with NAFLD. At a median follow-up of 27.4 years, 577 deaths occurred in individuals with NAFLD, including 152 cardiovascular deaths. The U-shaped associations were discovered between selenium intake with all-cause (Pnolinear = 0.008) and cardiovascular mortality (Pnolinear < 0.001) in adults with NAFLD after multivariate adjustment, with the lowest risk around selenium intake of 121.7 or 125.9 μg/day, respectively. Selenium intake in the range of 104.1-142.4 μg/day was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality and, otherwise, an increased risk. Selenium intake in the range of 104.1-150.6 μg/day was associated with a reduced risk of cardiovascular death and, otherwise, an increased risk. Both high and low selenium intake increased the risk of all-cause and cardiovascular death in adults younger than 60 years of age with NAFLD, which may help guide dietary adjustments and improve outcomes in adults with NAFLD.

Air pollution, life’s essential 8, and risk of severe non-alcoholic fatty liver disease among individuals with type 2 diabetes

BackgroundThe impacts of long-term exposure to air pollution on the risk of subsequent non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) among participants with type 2 diabetes (T2D) is ambiguous. The modifying role of Life’s Essential 8 (LE8) remains unknown.MethodsThis study included 23,129 participants with T2D at baseline from the UK Biobank. Annual means of nitrogen dioxide (NO2), nitrogen oxides (NOX), and particulate matter (PM2.5, PM2.5–10, PM10) were estimated using the land-use regression model for each participant. The associations between exposure to air pollution and the risk of severe NAFLD were evaluated using Cox proportional hazard models. The effect modification of LE8 was assessed through stratified analyses.ResultsDuring a median 13.6 years of follow-up, a total of 1,123 severe NAFLD cases occurred. After fully adjusting for potential covariates, higher levels of PM2.5 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.12, 95%CI:1.02, 1.23 per interquartile range [IQR] increment), NO2 (HR = 1.15, 95%CI:1.04, 1.27), and NOX (HR = 1.08, 95%CI:1.01, 1.17) were associated with an elevated risk of severe NAFLD. In addition, LE8 score was negatively associated with the risk of NAFLD (HR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.97, 0.98 per point increment). Compared with those who had low air pollution and high LE8, participants with a high air pollution exposure and low LE8 had a significantly higher risk of severe NAFLD.ConclusionsOur findings suggest that long-term exposure to air pollution was associated with an elevated risk of severe NAFLD among participants with T2D. A lower LE8 may increase the adverse impacts of air pollution on NAFLD.

Survival and predictors of adult patients admitted to intensive care unit in Yekatit 12 Hospitals, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.

Background In hospitals, one of the main service components is an intensive care unit (ICU) that provides aggressive therapy for critically ill and high-risk patients. The availability of ICU beds has been progressively growing in Africa, but many studies show that the ICU mortality rate is very high. However, many of those studies are only descriptive and focus on medical or surgical patients. This study includes patients from all wards except pediatrics. Methods A retrospective cohort study was carried out in the intensive care unit at Yekatit 12 Hospital, Ethiopia. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to describe the probability of survival in ICU stay. The Cox proportional hazard model was used for the multivariate analysis to determine the possible associations of predictor variables and to obtain the adjusted hazard ratios. A statistically significant association was declared at p &lt;0.05 with a 95% confidence interval. Results The survival rate was 69.7% with a mortality rate of 30.3%. This study confirmed that the risk of mortality among ICU patients was the education status of the study participants, attending primary education was twice that of patients attending higher education with an adjusted hazard ratio (AHR) (AHR=2.097, 95% CI:1.081,4.067). Patients admitted to ICU because of shock were more than four times at risk of death compared to other causes (AHR= 4.51, 95% CI: 2.41, 8.45). The risk of mortality among ICU patients admitted because of brain injury was more than two times compared to other patients (AHR=2.77, 95% CI: 1.18, 6.47). Patients with respiratory failure were more than two times at risk of mortality (AHR=2.42, 95% CI: 1.19, 4.87). Conclusions The survival of ICU patients was low. Formal education level, patients admitted for shock, brain injury, and respiratory failure were found to be significantly associated with the survival of ICU patients.

The ratio of high aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase: an independent risk factor associated with poor prognosis in IgA nephropathy.

To investigate the relationship between the aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio (AAR) and the prognosis of IgA nephropathy (IgAN). Clinical, pathological and follow-up data of 271 patients with IgAN from January 1, 2013, to July 31, 2023, were collected. A 50% decrease in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or end-stage renal disease (ESRD) was used as renal composite end point events. A receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was plotted to predict the composite end point events by AAR. The optimal cutoff value of 1.24 was determined, and patients were allocated to high AAR and low AAR groups. Kaplan‒Meier (K‒M) curves and Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the predictive effect of AAR on renal composite end point events. After a mean follow-up of 29months, 39 patients achieved renal composite end point events. Among them, 9 and 30 patients in the low and high AAR groups achieved renal composite end point events, respectively, with a significant difference (P < 0.001). After adjustment for confounding factors, AAR was found to be an independent prognostic factor for renal composite end point events (HR = 3.283, 95% CI: 1.489-7.238, P = 0.003). Kaplan‒Meier analysis showed that high AAR was associated with achieving renal composite end point events in patients with IgAN. Moreover, the clinical features in the high AAR group were more severe. Further subgroup analysis showed that high AAR had a better predictive effect in patients with more severe clinicopathological manifestations. AAR is an independent prognostic factor in patients with IgAN.

Cumulative effect of metabolic syndrome on the risk of retinal vein occlusion in young patients: A nationwide population-based study.

This study aimed to investigate the impact of the cumulative burden of metabolic syndrome (MetS) on the incidence of retinal vein occlusion (RVO) in young adults. We included 1,408,093 subjects aged ≥20 and <40 years without a history of RVO who underwent four consecutive annual health examinations during 2009-2012 from the database of the Korean National Health Insurance Service. The metabolic burden was evaluated based on the cumulative number of MetS diagnoses at each health examination (0-4 times) and the cumulative number of each MetS component diagnosed at each health examination (0-4 times per MetS component). Cox proportional hazards models were used to estimate the risk of RVO according to metabolic burden. The risk of RVO was positively correlated with the cumulative number of MetS diagnoses over the four health examinations. All five MetS components were independently associated with an increased risk of RVO. Subgroup analysis for the impact of MetS on RVO occurrence revealed that MetS had a greater impact on female subjects (P <0.001). Prompt detection of metabolic derangements and their treatment might be important to decrease the risk of RVO in young adults, especially women.

Prognostic Factors after Surgical Treatment for Spinal Metastases.

A retrospective multicenter case series was conducted. This study aimed to investigate survival and prognostic factors after surgery for a metastatic spinal tumor. Prognostic factors after spinal metastasis surgery remain controversial. A retrospective multicenter study was conducted. The study participants included 345 patients who underwent surgery for spinal metastases from 2010 to 2020 at nine referral spine centers in Japan. Data for each patient were extracted from medical records. To identify the factors predicting survival prognosis after surgery, univariate analyses were performed using a Cox proportional hazards model. The mean age was 65.9 years. Common primary tumors were lung (n=72), prostate (n=61), and breast (n=39), and 67.8% (n=234) presented with osteolytic lesions. The epidural spinal cord compression scale score 2 or 3 was recognized in 79.0% (n=271). Frankel grade A paralysis accounted for 1.4% (n=5), and 73.3% (n=253) were categorized as intermediate or high risk according to the new Katagiri score. The overall survival rates were -71.0% at 6 months, 57.4% at 12, and 43.3% at 24. In the univariate analysis, Frankel grade A (hazard ratio [HR], 3.59; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-10.50; p<0.05), intermediate risk (HR, 3.34; 95% CI, 2.10-5.32; p<0.01), and high risk (HR, 7.77; 95% CI, 4.72-12.8; p<0.01) in the new Katagiri score were significantly associated with poor survival. On the contrary, postoperative chemotherapy (HR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.15-0.36; p<0.01), radiation therapy (HR, 0.43; 95% CI, 0.26-0.70; p<0.01), and both adjuvant therapy (HR, 0.21; 95% CI, 0.14-0.32; p<0.01) were suggested to improve survival. Surgical indications for patients with Frankel grade A or intermediate or high risk in the new Katagiri score should be carefully considered because of poor survival. Chemotherapy or radiation therapy should be considered after surgery for better survival.

Associations of Flavonoid Intakes with Mortality among Populations with Hypertension: A Prospective Cohort Study

Background: The effect of flavonoid consumption on all-cause and special-cause mortality remains unclear among populations with hypertension. Methods: A total of 6110 people with hypertension from three NHANES survey cycles (2007–2008, 2009–2010, and 2017–2018) were enrolled in this study. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted to estimate the association between the intake of total flavonoids and flavonoid subclasses and all-cause, cancer-related, and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality. Nonlinear relationships were identified using restricted cubic splines (RCS). Results: During 43,977 person-years of follow-up, 1155 participants died from any cause, 282 participants died from CVD, and 265 participants died from cancer. After adjusting for relevant confounders, including demographic, lifestyle, and dietary intake, a higher intake of total flavonoids was significantly associated with lower all-cause mortality but not CVD-related and cancer-related mortality among the population with hypertension. Compared with extreme quartiles, the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were 0.74 (0.56–0.97) for all-cause mortality, 0.77 (0.40–1.46) for CVD-related mortality, and 0.62 (0.35–1.08) for cancer-related mortality. In terms of all-cause mortality, this inverse association was optimized at total flavonoid consumption of approximately 375 mg/day. In addition, the negative association between total flavonoid consumption and all-cause mortality was more pronounced in non-obese (BMI &lt; 30 kg/m2) compared to obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2) populations. Higher intakes of anthocyanidin, flavan-3-ol, flavonol, and isoflavone were significantly associated with lower all-cause mortality (HR (95%CI): 0.70 (0.55–0.89); 0.76 (0.59–0.96); 0.66 (0.46–0.94); 0.79 (0.67–0.93), respectively). Higher intakes of anthocyanidin, flavan-3-ol, and flavonol were significantly associated with lower cancer-related mortality (HR (95%CI): 0.55 (0.32–0.93); 0.51 (0.31–0.82); 0.52 (0.28–0.96), respectively). Conclusion: This study suggests that a heightened consumption of total flavonoids and some flavonoid subclasses was linked to lower mortality, which supports the proposal of increasing flavonoid intake as part of healthy diets in patients with hypertension.

Risk/benefit trade-off of habitual physical activity and air pollution on mortality: A large-scale prospective analysis in the UK Biobank

BackgroundPrevious observational studies have indicated associations of physical activity (PA) and air pollution with mortality. A few studies have evaluated air pollution and PA interactions for health. Still, the trade-off between the harmful effects of air pollution exposure and the protective effects of PA remains controversial and unclear. ObjectiveThis study aimed to investigate the joint association of air pollution and PA with mortality risks. MethodsThis prospective cohort study included 322,092 participants from 2006 to 2010 and followed up to 2021 in the UK Biobank study. The concentrations of air pollutants (2006–2010), including particulate matter (PM) with diameters <=2.5 mm (PM2.5), <=10 mm (PM10), and between 2.5 and 10 mm (PM2.5–10), and nitrogen oxides (NO2 and NOx) were obtained. Information on PA measured by the International Physical Activity Questionnaire short form (2006–2010) and wrist-worn accelerometer (2013–2015) were collected. All-cause and cause-specific mortalities were recorded. Cox proportional hazard models were used to investigate the associations of air pollution exposure and PA with mortality risks. The additive and multiplicative interactions were also examined. ResultsDuring a mean follow-up of 11.83 years, 16629 deaths were recorded. Compared with participants reporting low PA, higher PA was negatively associated with all-cause [hazard ratio (HR), 0.74; 95% CI, 0.71–0.78], cancer (HR, 0.85; 95% CI, 0.80–0.90), CVD (HR, 0.79; 95% CI, 0.71–0.87), and respiratory disease-specific mortality (HR, 0.51; 95% CI, 0.44–0.60). Exposure to PM2.5 (HR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.00–1.09) and NOx (HR, 1.06; 95% CI, 1.02–1.10) was connected with increased all-cause mortality risk, and significant PM2.5-associated elevated risks for CVD mortality and NOx-associated elevated risks for respiratory disease mortality were observed. No obvious interaction between PA and PM2.5 or NOx exposure was detected. ConclusionsOur study provides additional evidence that higher PA and lower air pollutant levels are independently connected with reduced mortality risk. The benefits of PA are not significantly affected by long-term air pollution exposure, indicating PA can be recommended to prevent mortality regardless of air pollution levels. Our findings highlight the importance of public health policies and interventions facilitating PA and reducing air pollution in reducing mortality risks and maximizing health benefits. Future investigation is urgently needed to identify these findings in areas with severe air pollution conditions.

Revisiting Pre-Mortem Risk Factors for Mortality in Kittens Less Than 8 Weeks Old After Switching to a Foster Care-Based Kitten Rearing Model

The purpose of this study was to reassess predictors of mortality in underage kittens in a foster-care based kitten rearing model. The medical records of kittens &lt;8 weeks reared in a kitten nursery/foster-care based program in New York City during 2021 were examined. The data collected included signalment (estimated age and weight at intake, sex), physical findings (body condition score [BCS]), clinical signs (weight loss, anorexia, diarrhea, and upper respiratory tract infection [URI]), diagnoses (panleukopenia, trauma), how early in the feline breeding season the kitten entered (April-November), and whether the kitten had died or was euthanized. The data were analyzed using Cox proportional hazard modeling with 595 kittens to identify risk factors associated with any death or euthanasia. Elevated risk of dying was found for kittens in the lightest weight group (almost 12 times), exhibiting weight loss (6 times greater), exhibiting anorexia (15 times greater), diagnosed with trauma (5 times greater), and experiencing diarrhea (almost 3 times greater). These findings identify similar clinical signs that can serve as prognostic indicators for underage kitten survival in both a shelter/rescue setting and foster-care based setting and can aid in enhancing protocols for monitoring, intervention, and euthanasia decision-making.

Prognostic stratification of patients with pT4bN0M0 colorectal cancer following multivisceral resection: a multi-institutional case series analysis.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) patients with stage pT4b are a complex group as they show differences in tumor-infiltrated organs. Patients with the same stage often exhibit differences in prognosis after multivisceral resection (MVR). Thus far, some important prognostic factors have not been thoroughly investigated. Here, we identified the prognostic factors influencing CRC patients at pT4bN0M0 stage to better stratify the prognostic differences among patients. A retrospective analysis was conducted on patients diagnosed to have locally advanced CRC and who underwent MVR at three medical institutions from January 2010 to December 2021. The prognostic factors affecting the survival of CRC patients at pT4bN0M0 stage were identified by multivariate Cox proportional hazard models. We then classified the prognosis into different grades on the basis of these independent prognostic factors. We enrolled 690 patients with locally advanced CRC who underwent MVR; of these, 172 patients with pT4bN0M0 were finally included. Patients with digestive system (OS: hazard ratio [HR]=0.441; 95% confidence interval [CI]=0.217-0.900; P=0.024; DFS: HR=0.416; 95% CI=0.218-0.796; P=0.008) or genitourinary system invasion (OS: HR=0.405; 95% CI=0.193-0.851; P=0.017; DFS: HR=0.505; 95% CI=0.267-0.954; P=0.035) exhibited significantly better overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) as compared to those with gynecological system invasion, while the OS and DFS were similar between the diggestive system and genitourinary system invasion groups (OS: HR=0.941; 95% CI=0.434-2.042; P=0.878; DFS: HR=1.211; 95% CI=0.611-2.403; P=0.583). Multivariate analysis showed that age (OS: HR=2.121; 95% CI=1.157-3.886; P=0.015; DFS: HR=1.869; 95% CI=1.116-3.131; P=0.017) and type of organs invaded by CRC (OS: HR=3.107; 95% CI=1.121-8.609; P=0.029; DFS: HR=2.827; 95% CI=1.142-6.997; P=0.025) were the independent prognostic factors that influenced the overall survival (OS) and disease-free survival (DFS) of CRC patients with pT4bN0M0 disease. The OS and DFS of patients showing invasion of the gynecological system group were significantly worse (P=0.004 and P=0.003, respectively) than those of patients with invasion of non-gynecological system group. On the basis of the above-mentioned two independent prognostic factors, patients were assigned to high-, medium-, and low-risk groups. Subgroup analysis showed that the OS and DFS of the medium- and high-risk groups were significantly worse (P=0.001 and P=0.001, respectively) than those of the low-risk group. Patients with pT4bN0M0 CRC show significant differences in their prognosis. The type of organs invaded by CRC is a valuable indicator for prognostic stratification of CRC patients with pT4bN0M0.

Plasma trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO): associations with cognition, neuroimaging, and dementia

BackgroundThe gut-derived metabolite Trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO) and its precursors - betaine, carnitine, choline, and deoxycarnitine – have been associated with an increased risk of cardiovascular disease, but their relation to cognition, neuroimaging markers, and dementia remains uncertain.MethodsIn the population-based Rotterdam Study, we used multivariable regression models to study the associations between plasma TMAO, its precursors, and cognition in 3,143 participants. Subsequently, we examined their link to structural brain MRI markers in 2,047 participants, with a partial validation in the Leiden Longevity Study (n = 318). Among 2,517 participants, we assessed the risk of incident dementia using multivariable Cox proportional hazard models. Following this, we stratified the longitudinal associations by medication use and sex, after which we conducted a sensitivity analysis for individuals with impaired renal function.ResultsOverall, plasma TMAO was not associated with cognition, neuroimaging markers or incident dementia. Instead, higher plasma choline was significantly associated with poor cognition (adjusted mean difference: -0.170 [95% confidence interval (CI) -0.297;-0.043]), brain atrophy and more markers of cerebral small vessel disease, such as white matter hyperintensity volume (0.237 [95% CI: 0.076;0.397]). By contrast, higher carnitine concurred with lower white matter hyperintensity volume (-0.177 [95% CI: -0.343;-0.010]). Only among individuals with impaired renal function, TMAO appeared to increase risk of dementia (hazard ratio (HR): 1.73 [95% CI: 1.16;2.60]). No notable differences were observed in stratified analyses.ConclusionsPlasma choline, as opposed to TMAO, was found to be associated with cognitive decline, brain atrophy, and markers of cerebral small vessel disease. These findings illustrate the complexity of relationships between TMAO and its precursors, and emphasize the need for concurrent study to elucidate gut-brain mechanisms.

Apolipoprotein ɛ4 is associated with increased risk of fall- and fracture-related hospitalisation: the Perth Longitudinal Study of Ageing Women.

Apolipoprotein ɛ4 (APOE ɛ4) may be a genetic risk factor for reduced bone mineral density (BMD) and muscle function, which could have implications for fall and fracture risk. We examined the association between APOE ɛ4 status and long-term fall- and fracture-related hospitalisation risk in older women. 1276 community-dwelling women from the Perth Longitudinal Study of Ageing Women (mean age ± SD = 75.2 ± 2.7 years) were included. At baseline, women underwent APOE genotyping and detailed phenotyping for covariates including prevalent falls and fractures, as well as health and lifestyle factors. The association between APOE ɛ4 with fall-, any fracture-, and hip fracture-related hospitalisations, obtained over 14.5 years from linked health records, were examined using multivariable-adjusted Cox-proportional hazard models. Over 14.5 years, 507 (39.7%) women experienced a fall-related hospitalisation, 360 (28.2%) women experienced a fracture-related hospitalisation, including 143 (11.2%) attributed to a hip fracture. In multivariable-adjusted models, compared to non-carriers, APOE ɛ4 carriers (n=297, 23.3%) had greater risk for a fall- (HR 1.48 95%CI 1.22-1.81), fracture- (HR 1.28, 95%CI 1.01-1.63) or hip fracture-related hospitalisation (HR 1.83 95%CI 1.29-2.61). The estimates remained similar when specific fall and fracture risk factors (fear of falling, plasma 25-hydroxyvitamin D, grip strength, timed-up-and-go, hip BMD, vitamin K status, prevalent diabetes, HbA1c, cholesterol, abbreviated mental test score) were added to the multivariable model. In conclusion, APOE ɛ4 is a potential risk factor for fall- and fracture-related hospitalisation in community-dwelling older women. Screening for APOE ɛ4 could provide clinicians an opportunity to direct higher risk individuals to appropriate intervention strategies.

IgG and IgM responses to the Plasmodium falciparum asexual stage antigens reflect respectively protection against malaria during pregnancy and infanthood.

Plasmodium falciparum malaria is a public health issue mostly seen in tropical countries. Until now, there is no effective malaria vaccine against antigens specific to the blood-stage of P. falciparum infection. Because the pathogenesis of malarial disease results from blood-stage infection, it is essential to identify the most promising blood-stage vaccine candidate antigens under natural exposure to malaria infection. A cohort of 400 pregnant women and their infants was implemented in South Benin. An active and passive protocol of malaria surveillance was established during pregnancy and infancy to precisely ascertain malaria infections during the follow-up. Twenty-eight antibody (Ab) responses specific to seven malaria candidate vaccine antigens were repeatedly quantified during pregnancy (3 time points) and infancy (6 time points) in order to study the Ab kinetics and their protective role. Abs were quantified by ELISA and logistic, linear and cox-proportional hazard model were performed to analyse the associations between Ab responses and protection against malaria in mothers and infants, taking into account socio-economic factors and for infants an environmental risk of exposure. The levels of IgM against MSP1, MSP2 and MSP3 showed an early protective response against the onset of symptomatic malaria infections starting from the 18th month of life, whereas no association was found for IgG responses during infancy. In women, some IgG responses tend to be associated with a protection against malaria risk along pregnancy and at delivery, among them IgG3 against GLURP-R0 and IgG2 against MSP1. The main finding suggests that IgM should be considered in vaccine designs during infanthood. Investigation of the functional role played by IgM in malaria protection needs further attention.

Assessing mortality risk in Type 2 Diabetes patients with prolonged ASCVD risk factors: the inclusive Poh-Ai predictive scoring system with CAC Score integration

PurposeTo enhance the predictive risk model for all-cause mortality in individuals with Type 2 Diabetes (T2DM) and prolonged Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Disease (ASCVD) risk factors. Despite the utility of the Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) score in assessing cardiovascular risk, its capacity to predict all-cause mortality remains limited.MethodsA retrospective cohort study included 1929 asymptomatic T2DM patients with ASCVD risk factors, aged 40–80. Variables encompassed demographic attributes, clinical parameters, CAC scores, comorbidities, and medication usage. Factors predicting all-cause mortality were selected to create a predictive scoring system. By using stepwise selection in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we divided the patients into three risk groups.ResultsIn our analysis of all-cause mortality in T2DM patients with extended ASCVD risk factors over 5 years, we identified significant risk factors, their adjusted hazard ratios (aHR), and scores: e.g., CAC score > 1000 (aHR: 1.57, score: 2), CAC score 401–1000 (aHR: 2.05, score: 2), and more. These factors strongly predict all-cause mortality, with varying risk groups (e.g., very low-risk: 2.0%, very high-risk: 24.0%). Significant differences in 5-year overall survival rates were observed among these groups (log-rank test < 0.001).ConclusionThe Poh-Ai Predictive Scoring System excels in forecasting mortality and cardiovascular events in individuals with Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and extended ASCVD risk factors.

Index tumor location affected early biochemical recurrence after radical prostatectomy in patients with negative surgical margin: a retrospective study

BackgroundIndex tumors are the most aggressive tumors of the prostate. However, their clinical significance remains unclear. This study aimed to assess the incidence of index tumor location according to the zonal origin and whether these locations affect the prognosis after radical prostatectomy in patients with negative surgical margins.MethodsThis single-centered, retrospective study evaluated 1,109 consecutive patients who underwent radical prostatectomies. An index tumor was defined as the largest tumor in the prostate gland. We detected these locations based on McNeal's zonal origin using whole-mount sections. Biochemical recurrence (BCR) free survival curves were generated using the Kaplan–Meier method. Univariate and multivariate analyses using the Cox proportional hazards model were performed to determine the predictive factors for early BCR (within 1-year).ResultsA total of 621 patients with negative surgical margins who did not receive adjuvant therapy were included in this study. The index tumor were located in the transitional zone in 191 patients (30.8%), the peripheral zone in 399 patients (64.3%), and the central zone in 31 patients (5.0%). In total, 22 of 621 patients (3.5%) experienced early BCR and 70 patients (11.2%) experienced overall BCR at a median follow-up of 61.7 months. According to the index tumor location, the early BCR-free rates were 99.5%, 95.7 %, and 83.3% in the transitional, peripheral, and central zones, respectively. On multivariate analysis, the index tumor in the central zone was an independent predictor of early BCR with negative surgical margins following radical prostatectomy, followed by prostatectomy pathological grade, index tumor in the peripheral zone, and high prostate-specific antigen level.ConclusionsWe assessed the significance of index tumor location in patients with negative surgical margins following radical prostatectomy. Index tumors located in the central zone, although infrequent, were the strongest predictive factors for early BCR. Our results may allow urologists and patients to reconsider the therapeutic strategies for prostate cancer.

Cognition as mediator of pulmonary function and risk of sarcopenia among older adults

BackgroundThe relationship between lung function and sarcopenia remains ambiguous. The primary aim of this study was to investigate the potential association between lung function and sarcopenia in the older adults, as well as to examine the mediating role of cognitive function in this relationship.MethodsThe participants were selected from a nationally representative population-based cohort in China. The peak expiratory flow (PEF) measurement was used to evaluate the lung function in older persons. The sarcopenia was diagnosed using the guidelines of the Asian Working Group for Sarcopenia (AWGS) in 2019. The Cox proportional hazard model was utilized to perform primary analyses of the relationship between PEF and sarcopenia. The mediating effect of cognitive function was evaluated using the counterfactual mediation method.ResultsThis cohort study included 4,011 older adults (average age, 66.6 years; 53.3% males). During a follow-up period of 3.86 years, 349 individuals were diagnosed with sarcopenia. After adjusting for potential confounders, each one-standard-deviation increase in PEF was associated with a 28% reduction in the risk of sarcopenia (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.72; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.63, 0.80). There was a significant mediation of cognition for the association between PEF and incident sarcopenia, and the proportion mediated was 12.2% (95% CI: 4.5%, 23.1%).ConclusionsOlder adults with impaired lung function are more likely to develop sarcopenia. Nevertheless, cognition can explain only a small portion of this association. Thus, other potential pathways between lung function and sarcopenia must be elucidated.

Long-term Health Outcomes of New Persistent Opioid Use After Gastrointestinal Cancer Surgery.

New persistent opioid use (NPOU) after surgery has been identified as a common complication. This study sought to assess the long-term health outcomes among patients who experienced NPOU after gastrointestinal (GI) cancer surgery. Patients who underwent surgery for hepato-pancreato-biliary and colorectal cancer between 2007 and 2019 were identified using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-Medicare-linked database. Mixed-effect multivariable logistic regression and Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate the risk of mortality and hospital visits related to falls, respiratory events, or pain symptoms. Among 15,456 patients who underwent GI cancer surgery, 967(6.6%) experienced NPOU. Notably, the patients at risk for the development of NPOU were those with a history of substance abuse (odds ratio [OR], 1.45; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.14-1.84), moderate social vulnerability (OR, 1.26; 95% CI, 1.06-1.50), an advanced disease stage (OR, 4.42; 95% CI, 3.51-5.82), or perioperative opioid use (OR, 3.07; 95% CI, 2.59-3.63. After control for competing risk factors, patients who experienced NPOU were more likely to visit a hospital for falls, respiratory events, or pain symptoms (OR, 1.45, 95% CI 1.18-1.78). Moreover, patients who experienced NPOU had a greater risk of death at 1year (hazard ratio [HR], 2.15; 95% CI, 1.74-2.66). Approximately 1 in 15 patients experienced NPOU after GI cancer surgery. NPOU was associated with an increased risk of subsequent hospital visits and higher mortality. Targeted interventions for individuals at higher risk for NPOU after surgery should be used to help mitigate the harmful effects of NPOU.

Comparison of subarachnoid administration of low-dose bupivacaine and lidocaine in healthy goats.

This study aimed to compare the effects of low-dose subarachnoid injections of 2% lidocaine (LIDO) and 0.5% bupivacaine (BUPI) in goats. 6 healthy, privately owned female goats. In this randomized blind crossover clinical trial, each goat received 0.05 mL/kg-1 of LIDO, BUPI, or sterile saline solution into the lumbosacral subarachnoid space, with a seven-day washout. Cardiorespiratory variables, rectal temperature, and somatosensory (pinprick) and motor (ataxia) functions were recorded at baseline (time 0) and 2, 5, 10, 15, and 30 minutes after injection, then every 20 minutes until the goat was standing and able to walk. Time to regain somatosensory and motor functions was compared between treatments using Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the Cox proportional hazards model. Linear mixed-effects models were used to compare cardiorespiratory variables between treatments and over time. A P value ≤ .05 was considered significant. Somatosensory recovery was longer with BUPI, though not statistically significant. The median time to stand was 50 (50, 67) minutes after LIDO injection and 104 (101, 156) minutes after BUPI injection (P = .031). The median time to walk was 72 (54, 85) minutes after LIDO versus 225 (220, 245) minutes after BUPI injection (P = .031). Cardiovascular and respiratory variables showed no significant differences between treatments. Despite prolonged ataxia with BUPI, pinprick sensation recovery did not differ. At reduced doses, both LIDO and BUPI are deemed acceptable for short procedures of the flank, pelvic limb, or tail in healthy goats.

Associations of Long-Term Exposure to Fine Particulate Constituents With Cardiovascular Diseases and Underlying Metabolic Mediations: A Prospective Population-Based Cohort in Southwest China.

The health effects of particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter ≤2.5 μm (PM2.5) might differ depending on compositional variations. Little is known about the joint effect of PM2.5 constituents on metabolic syndrome and cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study aims to evaluate the combined associations of PM2.5 components with CVD, identify the most detrimental constituent, and further quantify the mediation effect of metabolic syndrome. A total of 14 427 adults were included in a cohort study in Sichuan, China, and were followed to obtain the diagnosis of CVD until 2021. Metabolic syndrome was defined by the simultaneous occurrence of multiple metabolic disorders measured at baseline. The concentrations of PM2.5 chemical constituents within a 1-km2 grid were derived based on satellite- and ground-based detection methods. Cox proportional hazard models showed that black carbon, organic matter (OM), nitrate, ammonium, chloride, and sulfate were positively associated with CVD risks, with hazard ratios (HRs) ranging from 1.24 to 2.11 (all P<0.05). Quantile g-computation showed positive associations with 4 types of CVD risks (HRs ranging from 1.48 to 2.25, all P<0.05). OM and chloride had maximum weights for CVD risks. Causal mediation analysis showed that the positive association of OM with total CVD was mediated by metabolic syndrome, with a mediation proportion of 1.3% (all P<0.05). Long-term exposure to PM2.5 chemical constituents is positively associated with CVD risks. OM and chloride appear to play the most responsible role in the positive associations between PM2.5 and CVD. OM is probably associated with CVD through metabolic-related pathways.