Copenhagen General Population Study Research Articles

Type of Alcohol and Blood Pressure: the Copenhagen General Population Study

Type of Alcohol and Blood Pressure: the Copenhagen General Population Study

Aortic aneurysms in a general population cohort: prevalence and risk factors in men and women.

The prevalence and difference in risk factors for having thoracic and abdominal aortic aneurysms in men compared to women in the general population is not well-described. This study aimed to test the hypotheses i) that cardiovascular risk factors for thoracic and abdominal aortic aneurysms differ and ii) that the prevalence of thoracic and abdominal aortic aneurysms is sex specific. Aortic examination using computed tomography angiography was performed in 11,294 individuals (56% women), with a mean age of 62 [range 40-95] years participating in the Copenhagen General Population Study. Thoracic aortic aneurysms were defined as ascending aortic diameter ≥45 mm and descending aortic diameter ≥35 mm, abdominal aortic aneurysms were defined as abdominal aortic diameter ≥30 mm. Demographic data were obtained from questionnaires. Overall prevalence of aortic aneurysms in the study population included: total population 2.1%, men 4.0% and women 0.7% (p-test men vs. women p<0.001). Aortic aneurysms were independently associated with male sex, increasing age, and body surface area. While thoracic aortic aneurysms were associated with hypertension, odds ratio=2.0[95%CI:1.5-2.8], abdominal aortic aneurysms were associated with hypercholesterolemia and smoking, odds ratios=2.4[95%CI:1.6-3.6] and 3.2[95%CI:1.9-5.4]. Subclinical aortic aneurysms are four times more prevalent in men than women. In both sexes, increasing age and body surface area are risk factors for aortic aneurysms of any anatomical location. Whereas arterial hypertension is a risk factor for thoracic aortic aneurysms, hypercholesterolemia and smoking are risk factors for abdominal aortic aneurysms.

Remnant cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and apoB absolute mass changes explain results of the PROMINENT trial

Background and aimsThe PROMINENT trial, a cardiovascular outcome trial of the triglyceride- and remnant cholesterol-lowering agent pemafibrate, has shown neutral results despite reduction in plasma triglycerides and remnant cholesterol. We tested the hypothesis that absolute mass changes in remnant cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and apolipoprotein B explain the results of the PROMINENT trial. MethodsAmong 108,431 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study (CGPS), those who met the key inclusion criteria of the PROMINENT trial were analyzed to mimic the trial design. Endpoint atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) was cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and coronary revascularization as defined in PROMINENT. ResultsIn the PROMINENT trial, treatment with pemafibrate resulted in -7 mg/dL (−0.18 mmol/L; -18 %) change in remnant cholesterol, +10 mg/dL (+0.26 mmol/L; +12 %) LDL cholesterol, and +5 mg/dL (+0.05 g/L; +5 %) apolipoprotein B. In the CGPS mimicking PROMINENT, the estimated hazard ratios for ASCVD were 0.97 (95 % confidence interval: 0.94–0.99) for a -7 mg/dL (−0.18 mmol/L) change in remnant cholesterol, 1.04 (1.01–1.07) for a +10 mg/dL (+0.26 mmol/L) change in LDL cholesterol, and 1.02 (1.01–1.03) for a +5 mg/dL (+0.05 g/L) change in apolipoprotein B. When combining absolute changes in remnant cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and apolipoprotein B, the estimated hazard ratio for ASCVD was 1.05 (0.96–1.14) in the CGPS mimicking PROMINENT compared to 1.03 (0.91–1.15) in the PROMINENT trial. ConclusionsAbsolute mass changes in remnant cholesterol, LDL cholesterol, and apolipoprotein B can explain results of the PROMINENT trial. The 3 mg/dL (0.08 mmol/L) higher total atherogenic cholesterol together with 5 mg/dL (0.05 g/L) higher apolipoprotein B seem to explain the trend toward more ASCVD in the pemafibrate arm.

Prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism in liver transplant recipients and associated risk factors

The prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism and associated risk factors are unknown in liver transplant recipients. We aimed to determine the prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism and associated risk factors in liver transplant recipients and to compare it with controls from the general population. As part of the Danish Comorbidity in Liver Transplant Recipients (DACOLT) Study, all Danish liver transplant recipients over the age of 20 were invited for measurements of concentrations of thyrotropin and thyroid hormones. The prevalence of hyperthyroidism and hypothyroidism was compared to age- and sex-matched controls from the Copenhagen General Population Study. Using logistic regression adjusted for age, sex, smoking, and body-mass index, we investigated potential risk factors. We recruited 489 liver transplant recipients and 1808 controls. Among liver transplant recipients, 14 (2.9%) had hyperthyroidism compared with 21 (1.2%) of controls (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 2.24, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.05–4.75, P = 0.04), while 42 (5.7%) had hypothyroidism compared with 139 (7.7%) of controls (aOR 0.68, 95% CI 0.43–1.08, P = 0.10). Female sex, and autoimmune hepatitis and primary sclerosing cholangitis as causes of transplantation were associated with hyperthyroidism after adjustments. Age, female sex, and autoimmune liver diseases as cause of transplantation were associated with hypothyroidism after adjustments. DACOLT is registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT04777032).

Adherence to general national dietary guidelines and risk of psoriasis: results from a general population study of 105,332 individuals.

It is unknown if an unhealthy diet can affect the risk of developing psoriasis. We hypothesised that individuals with an unhealthy diet have increased risk of prevalent and incident psoriasis. We included 105,332 adults from the Copenhagen General Population Study, who were invited between 2003 and 2015. Response-rate was 43%. An unhealthy versus healthy diet was defined according to adherence to general national dietary guidelines. The participants were grouped into low, intermediate, and high adherence to general national dietary guidelines based on information from a food frequency questionnaire. Identification of psoriasis was made using ICD codes. Of the 105,332 individuals, 580 had a diagnosis of psoriasis at the time of enrolment and 640 received a diagnosis during the median follow-up of 9 years. Risk of prevalent psoriasis increased according to non-adherence to general national dietary guidelines in a stepwise manner with an age and sex adjusted odds ratio of 1.70 (95% confidence interval 1.26-2.30) in individuals with low vs. high adherence to dietary guidelines. Results were similar in a multivariable adjusted model. Prospective analyses adjusted for age and sex showed a weak association between non-adherence to dietary guidelines and risk of incident psoriasis (P for trend 0.04). This association disappeared, when adjusting for multiple confounders (P for trend 0.50). Although individuals with psoriasis have an unhealthier diet, diet alone does not appear to independently increase the risk of developing psoriasis.

Remnant Cholesterol, Not LDL Cholesterol, Explains Peripheral Artery Disease Risk Conferred by apoB: A Cohort Study.

Elevated apoB-containing lipoproteins (=remnants+LDLs [low-density lipoproteins]) are a major risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, including peripheral artery disease (PAD) and myocardial infarction. We tested the hypothesis that remnants and LDL both explain part of the increased risk of PAD conferred by elevated apoB-containing lipoproteins. For comparison, we also studied the risk of chronic limb-threatening ischemia and myocardial infarction. apoB, remnant cholesterol, and LDL cholesterol were measured in 93 461 individuals without statin use at baseline from the Copenhagen General Population Study (2003-2015). During up to 15 years of follow-up, 1207 had PAD, 552 had chronic limb-threatening ischemia, and 2022 had myocardial infarction in the Danish National Patient Registry. Remnant and LDL cholesterol were calculated from a standard lipid profile. Remnant and LDL particle counts were additionally measured with nuclear magnetic resonance spectroscopy in 25 347 of the individuals. Results were replicated in 302 167 individuals without statin use from the UK Biobank (2004-2010). In the Copenhagen General Population Study, multivariable adjusted hazard ratios for risk of PAD per 1 mmol/L (39 mg/dL) increment in remnant and LDL cholesterol were 1.9 (95% CI, 1.5-2.4) and 1.1 (95% CI, 1.0-1.2), respectively; corresponding results in the UK Biobank were 1.7 (95% CI, 1.4-2.1) and 0.9 (95% CI, 0.9-1.0), respectively. In the association from elevated apoB to increased risk of PAD, remnant and LDL cholesterol explained 73% (32%-100%) and 8% (0%-46%), respectively; corresponding results were 63% (30%-100%) and 0% (0%-33%) for risk of chronic limb-threatening ischemia and 41% (27%-55%) and 54% (38%-70%) for risk of myocardial infarction; results for remnant and LDL particle counts corroborated these findings. PAD risk conferred by elevated apoB-containing lipoproteins was explained mainly by elevated remnants, while myocardial infarction risk was explained by both elevated remnants and LDL.

Elevated plasma triglycerides increase risk of psoriasis: A cohort and Mendelian randomization study.

It is increasingly clear that triglyceride-rich lipoproteins are proinflammatory and cause low-grade systemic inflammation. However, it is currently unknown whether elevated plasma triglycerides are causally related to development of psoriasis, a skin disorder driven by chronic inflammation. To determine if elevated plasma triglycerides are associated with increased risk of psoriasis in observational and Mendelian randomization analysis. Consecutive individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study (CGPS) were included. We used plasma triglycerides (n = 108,043) and a weighted triglyceride allele score (n = 92,579) on nine known triglyceride-altering genetic variants. Genetic results were replicated in 337,159 individuals from the UK biobank. Psoriasis was ICD10-code hospital contact in main analyses, and prescription of topical antipsoriatics for mild psoriasis in sensitivity analysis. During a median 9.3 years (0.1-15.1) of follow-up (from 2003-2015 through 2018), 855 (1%) individuals were diagnosed with psoriasis by ICD-10 in observational analysis and 772 (1%) in Mendelian randomization analysis. In observational analysis, multivariable adjusted hazard ratio for psoriasis by ICD-10 were 1.26 (95% CI:1.15-1.39) per doubling in plasma triglycerides with a corresponding causal, genetic risk ratio of 2.10 (1.30-3.38). Causality was confirmed in the UK biobank. Results were similar but slightly attenuated when we used topical antipsoriatics prescription for mild psoriasis. Elevated plasma triglycerides are associated with increased risk of psoriasis in observational and Mendelian randomization analysis.

Susceptible Young Adults and Development of COPD Later in Life.

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has its origin in early life, and the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD) proposes a pre-disease state "pre-COPD". We tested the hypothesis that susceptible young adults identified with chronic bronchitis and subtle lung function impairment will develop COPD later in life. We followed random non-obstructive individuals aged 20-50years from two population-based cohorts from different smoking eras, the Copenhagen General Population Study from 2003(N=5497) and Copenhagen City Heart Study from 1976-78(N=2609), for 10 and 25years for development of COPD(forced expiratory volume in one second[FEV1]/forced vital capacity[FVC]<0.70) and COPD GOLD 2-4 (additionally FEV1<80% predicted). After 10 years follow-up, 28% developed COPD and 13% COPD GOLD 2-4 in individuals susceptible to COPD compared to 8% and 1% in those without any susceptibility to COPD. Correspondingly, after 25years, 22% versus 13% developed COPD and 20% versus 8% developed COPD GOLD 2-4. More than half of incident COPD cases developed from a susceptible state. Compared to those without susceptibility to COPD, multivariable adjusted odds ratios in those susceptible to COPD were 3.42(95% confidence interval:2.78-4.21) for COPD and 10.1(6.77-15.2) for COPD GOLD 2-4 after 10years, and 1.54(1.23-1.93) and 2.12(1.64-2.73) after 25years. The ability of a COPD risk score consisting of the susceptibility state to COPD with smoking and asthma as risk factors to predict COPD later in life was high. Our study suggests the existence of a pre-disease state of COPD, which can be used for early identification of susceptible individuals at risk for COPD later in life.

Correlation between allostatic load index and cumulative mortality: a register-based study of Danish municipalities

ObjectivesThe aim of this study was to examine population-based allostatic load (AL) indices as an indicator of community health across 14 municipalities in Denmark.DesignRegister-based study.SettingData derived from: the Lolland-Falster Health...

Fraction of exhaled nitric oxide is higher in liver transplant recipients than in controls from the general population: a cohort study.

Fraction of exhaled nitric oxide with an expiratory flow of 50 mL/s (FENO50) is a biomarker of eosinophilic airway inflammation. Liver transplant recipients have an increased risk of pulmonary infections, but little is known about the burden of chronic pulmonary diseases in this group. We aimed to assess the prevalence of elevated FENO50 in liver transplant recipients and compare it to controls from the general population. FENO50 was measured in 271 liver transplant recipients from The Danish Comorbidity in Liver Transplant Recipients (DACOLT) study and 1,018 age- and sex-matched controls from The Copenhagen General Population Study (CGPS). Elevated FENO50 was defined as ≥25 or ≥50 parts per billion (ppb). The analyses were adjusted for known and suspected confounders. The median age of the liver transplant recipients was 55 years (interquartile range (IQR) 46-64), and 58% were men. The liver transplant recipients had a higher median FENO50 than the controls [16 ppb (IQR 10-26) vs. 13 ppb (IQR 8-18.), p < 0.001]. Furthermore, the liver transplant recipients had a higher prevalence of elevated FENO50 (for FENO50 ≥25 ppb 27% vs. 11%, p < 0.001 and ≥50 ppb 4% vs. 2%, p = 0.02). The results were similar after adjusting for age, sex, smoking status, use of airway medication, and blood eosinophil counts [the adjusted odds ratio (OR) for FENO50 ≥25 ppb was 3.58 (95% CI: 2.50-5.15, p < 0.0001) and the adjusted OR for FENO50 ≥50 ppb was 3.14 (95% CI: 1.37-7.20, p = 0.007)]. The liver transplant recipients had elevated FENO50, implying increased eosinophilic airway inflammation. The clinical impact of this finding needs further investigation.

Elevated plasma apolipoprotein E levels in people living with HIV: Associations with biomarkers and HIV-specific risk factors

Background and aimsApolipoprotein E (apoE) plays a crucial role in cholesterol metabolism, and high levels of apoE in plasma are associated with cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality. We aimed to assess if HIV is independently associated with high plasma apoE and to determine HIV-related risk factors for high plasma apoE. MethodsWe included 661 people with HIV (PWH) from the Copenhagen Comorbidity in HIV (COCOMO) study with available measurement of plasma apoE. COCOMO participants were frequency matched 1:1 on age and sex with controls from the Copenhagen General Population Study. High plasma apoE was defined as levels above the 90th percentile (66.2 mg/L). The association between HIV and high plasma apoE was assessed using logistic regression models. Among PWH, both linear and logistic regression models were used to determine HIV-specific risk factors for high plasma apoE. ResultsMean age was 52 years and 89 % were male. Median plasma apoE was 49.0 mg/L in PWH and 43.3 mg/L in controls, p < 0.001. HIV was associated with higher plasma apoE after adjusting for potential confounders, including triglycerides (odds ratio 2.14 [95 % CI: 1.39–3.29], p < 0.001). In PWH, higher plasma apoE was associated with a previous AIDS-defining condition in linear models before adjustment for triglycerides and integrase strand transfer inhibitor use in fully adjusted linear models. ConclusionsPWH had higher plasma apoE than controls even after adjusting for triglycerides. Further studies are needed to elucidate the clinical impact of high plasma apoE in PWH.

Type-2 inflammation and lung function decline in chronic airway disease in the general population

BackgroundIt is unclear if type-2 inflammation is associated with accelerated lung function decline in individuals with asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). We tested the hypothesis that type-2 inflammation...

Chronic cough associated with COPD exacerbation, pneumonia and death in the general population

BackgroundChronic cough affects up to 10% of the general population and was previously perceived as a comorbidity of underlying conditions, but is nowadays classified as a disease in its own entity that could confer increased risk of morbidity and mortality. We tested the hypothesis that chronic cough is associated with increased risk of COPD exacerbation, pneumonia and all-cause mortality in the general population.MethodsWe identified 2801 individuals with chronic cough, defined as cough lasting &gt;8 weeks, among 44 756 randomly selected individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study, and recorded COPD exacerbations, pneumonia and all-cause mortality during follow-up.ResultsDuring up to 5.9 years of follow-up (median 3.4 years), 173 individuals experienced COPD exacerbation, 767 experienced pneumonia and 894 individuals died. Individuals with chronic coughversusthose without had cumulative incidences at age 80 years of 12%versus3% for COPD exacerbation, 30%versus15% for pneumonia, and 25%versus13% for death from all causes. After adjustment for age, sex and smoking, individuals with chronic coughversusthose without had adjusted hazard ratios of 4.6 (95% CI 2.9–7.2) for COPD exacerbation, 2.2 (1.7–2.7) for pneumonia and 1.7 (1.4–2.0) for all-cause mortality. Among current smokers aged &gt;60 years with airflow limitation, those withversuswithout chronic cough had an absolute 5-year risk of 10%versus4% for COPD exacerbation, 16%versus8% for pneumonia and 19%versus12% for all-cause mortality.ConclusionChronic cough is associated with higher risks of COPD exacerbation, pneumonia and death, independent of airflow limitation and smoking.

Hyperglycaemia, diabetes and risk of fragility fractures: observational and Mendelian randomisation studies

Aims/hypothesisFragility fractures may be a complication of diabetes, partly caused by chronic hyperglycaemia. We hypothesised that: (1) individuals with hyperglycaemia and diabetes have increased risk of fragility fracture; (2) hyperglycaemia is causally associated with increased risk of fragility fracture; and (3) diabetes and fragility fracture jointly associate with the highest risk of all-cause mortality.MethodsIn total, 117,054 individuals from the Copenhagen City Heart Study and the Copenhagen General Population Study (the Copenhagen studies) and 390,374 individuals from UK Biobank were included for observational and one-sample Mendelian randomisation (MR) analyses. Fragility fractures were defined as fractures at the hip, spine and arm (humerus/wrist), collected from national health registries. Summary data for fasting glucose and HbA1c concentrations from 196,743 individuals in the Meta-Analyses of Glucose and Insulin-related traits Consortium (MAGIC) were combined with data on fragility fractures from the Copenhagen studies in two-sample MR analyses.ResultsHigher fasting and non-fasting glucose and HbA1c concentrations were associated with higher risk of any fragility fracture (p<0.001). Individuals with vs without diabetes had HRs for fragility fracture of 1.50 (95% CI 1.19, 1.88) in type 1 diabetes and 1.22 (1.13, 1.32) in type 2 diabetes. One-sample MR supported a causal association between high non-fasting glucose concentrations and increased risk of arm fracture in the Copenhagen studies and UK Biobank combined (RR 1.41 [1.11, 1.79], p=0.004), with similar results for fasting glucose and HbA1c in two-sample MR analyses (ORs 1.50 [1.03, 2.18], p=0.03; and 2.79 [1.12, 6.93], p=0.03, respectively). The corresponding MR estimates for any fragility fracture were 1.18 (1.00, 1.41), p=0.06; 1.36 (0.89, 2.09), p=0.15; and 2.47 (0.95, 6.43), p=0.06, respectively. At age 80 years, cumulative death was 27% in individuals with fragility fracture only, 54% in those with diabetes only, 67% in individuals with both conditions and 17% in those with neither.Conclusions/interpretationHyperglycaemia and diabetes are risk factors for fragility fracture and one- and two-sample MR analyses supported a causal effect of hyperglycaemia on arm fractures. Diabetes and previous fragility fracture jointly conferred the highest risk of death in the general population.Graphical

Lipoprotein(a) and Risks of Peripheral Artery Disease, Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm, and Major Adverse LimbEvents.

Lp(a) (lipoprotein[a])-lowering therapy to reduce cardiovascular disease is under investigation in phase 3 clinical trials. High Lp(a) may be implicated in peripheral artery disease (PAD), abdominal aortic aneurysms (AAAs), and major adverse limb events (MALE). The authors investigated the association of high Lp(a) levels and corresponding LPA genotypes with risk of PAD, AAA, and MALE. The authors included 108,146 individuals from the Copenhagen General Population Study. During follow-up, 2,450 developed PAD, and 1,251 AAAs. Risk of MALE was assessed in individuals with PAD at baseline and replicated in the Copenhagen City Heart Study. Higher Lp(a) was associated with a stepwise increase in risk of PAD and AAA (P for trend<0.001). For individuals with Lp(a) levels≥99th (≥143mg/dL, ≥307nmol/L) vs<50th percentile (≤9mg/dL,≤17nmol/L), multivariable-adjusted HRs were 2.99 (95%CI: 2.09-4.30) for PAD and 2.22 (95%CI: 1.21-4.07) for AAA. For individuals with PAD, the corresponding incidence rate ratio for MALE was 3.04 (95%CI: 1.55-5.98). Per 50mg/dL (105nmol/L) genetically higher Lp(a) risk ratios were 1.39 (95%CI: 1.24-1.56) for PAD and 1.21 (95%CI: 1.01-1.44) for AAA, consistent with observational risk ratios of 1.33 (95%CI: 1.24-1.43) and 1.27 (95%CI: 1.15-1.41), respectively. In women smokers aged 70 to 79 years with Lp(a)<50th and≥99th percentile, absolute 10-year risks of PAD were 8% and 21%, and equivalent risks in men 11% and 29%, respectively. For AAA, corresponding risks were 2% and 4% in women, and 5% and 12% in men. High Lp(a) levels increased risk of PAD, AAA, and MALE by 2- to 3-fold in the general population, opening opportunities for prevention given future Lp(a)-lowering therapies.

Impact of the metabolic syndrome on cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality in individuals with lung function impairment: a prospective cohort study of the Danish general population.

Whether the metabolic syndrome plays a role for the prognosis of individuals with lung function impairment (preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) or airflow limitation) is unclear. We hypothesised that the metabolic syndrome in individuals with lung function impairment is associated with increased cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality. The Copenhagen General Population Study was initiated in 2003 based on a random sample of white men and women aged 20-100 years drawn from the Danish general population. The risk of ischemic heart disease/heart failure, respiratory disease, and all-cause mortality was analysed with Cox models adjusted for age, sex, current smoking, and asthma during 15 years of follow-up. Among 106,845 adults, 86,159 had normal lung function, 6126 had PRISm, and 14,560 had airflow limitation. We observed 10,448 hospital admissions for ischemic heart disease/heart failure, 21,140 for respiratory disease, and 11,125 deaths. Individuals with versus individuals without the metabolic syndrome generally had higher 5-year absolute risk of all outcomes, including within those with normal lung function, mild-moderate-severe PRISm, and very mild-mild-moderate-severe airflow limitation alike. Compared to individuals without the metabolic syndrome and with normal lung function, those with both the metabolic syndrome and severe PRISm had hazard ratios of 3.74 (95% CI: 2.53-5.55; p<0.0001) for ischemic heart disease/heart failure, 5.02 (3.85-6.55; p<0.0001) for respiratory disease, and 5.32 (3.76-7.54; p<0.0001) for all-cause mortality. Corresponding hazard ratios in those with both the metabolic syndrome and severe airflow limitation were 2.89 (2.34-3.58; p<0.0001) for ischemic heart disease/heart failure, 5.98 (5.28-6.78; p<0.0001) for respiratory disease, and 4.16 (3.50-4.95; p<0.0001) for all-cause mortality, respectively. The metabolic syndrome explained 13% and 27% of the influence of PRISm or airflow limitation on ischemic heart disease/heart failure and all-cause mortality. The metabolic syndrome conferred increased risk of cardiopulmonary morbidity and mortality at all levels of lung function impairment. Danish Lung Foundation, Danish Heart Foundation, Capital Region of Copenhagen, and Boehringer Ingelheim. JV is supported by the NIHR Manchester BRC.

Neutrophil counts and cardiovascular disease

Abstract Background and Aims Anti-inflammatory trials have shown considerable benefits for cardiovascular disease. High neutrophil counts, an easily accessible inflammation biomarker, are associated with atherosclerosis in experimental studies. This study aimed to investigate the associations between neutrophil counts and risk of nine cardiovascular endpoints using observational and genetic approaches. Methods Observational studies were conducted in the Copenhagen General Population Study (n = 101 730). Genetic studies were firstly performed using one-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) with individual-level data from the UK Biobank (n = 365 913); secondly, two-sample MR analyses were performed using summary-level data from the Blood Cell Consortium (n = 563 085). Outcomes included ischaemic heart disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral arterial disease, ischaemic cerebrovascular disease, ischaemic stroke, vascular-related dementia, vascular dementia, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Results Observational analyses showed associations between high neutrophil counts with high risks of all outcomes. In the UK Biobank, odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) per 1-SD higher genetically predicted neutrophil counts were 1.15 (1.08, 1.21) for ischaemic heart disease, 1.22 (1.12, 1.34) for myocardial infarction, and 1.19 (1.04, 1.36) for peripheral arterial disease; similar results were observed in men and women separately. In two-sample MR, corresponding estimates were 1.14 (1.05, 1.23) for ischaemic heart disease and 1.11 (1.02, 1.20) for myocardial infarction; multiple sensitivity analyses showed consistent results. No robust associations in two-sample MR analyses were found for other types of leucocytes. Conclusions Observational and genetically determined high neutrophil counts were associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, supporting that high blood neutrophil counts is a causal risk factor for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease.

Elevated remnant cholesterol in atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease in diabetes: a population-based prospective cohort study

Abstract Background Elevated remnant cholesterol is observationally and causally associated with increased risk of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) in the general population; the association in individuals with diabetes is not known. Purpose We tested the hypothesis that elevated remnant cholesterol is associated with increased risk of peripheral artery disease, myocardial infarction, ischemic stroke, and any ASCVD in individuals with diabetes. Methods We studied 4,569 individuals with diabetes and 102,674 individuals without diabetes from the Copenhagen General Population Study (2003-2015). In those with diabetes, during up to 15 years of follow-up, 236 were diagnosed with peripheral artery disease, 234 with myocardial infarction, 226 with ischemic stroke, and 498 with any ASCVD in national Danish health registries. Remnant cholesterol was calculated from a standard lipid-profile as total cholesterol minus HDL cholesterol minus LDL cholesterol. Results Individuals with diabetes had higher levels of remnant cholesterol, but lower levels of LDL cholesterol, compared to individuals without diabetes (Figure 1). Statin use could explain the lower levels of LDL cholesterol but did not associate with levels of remnant cholesterol. Multivariable adjusted hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) per doubling of remnant cholesterol and LDL cholesterol were 1.8 (1.2-2.5) and 0.9 (0.6-1.2) for peripheral artery disease, 1.8 (1.3-2.6) and 1.0 (0.7-1.4) for myocardial infarction, 1.6 (1.1-2.3) and 1.1 (0.8-1.6) for ischemic stroke, and 1.7 (1.4-2.2) and 0.9 (0.7-1.1) for any ASCVD, respectively. Excess risk conferred by diabetes was 2.5-fold for peripheral artery disease, 1.6-fold for myocardial infarction, 1.4-fold for ischemic stroke, and 1.6-fold for any ASCVD. Elevated remnant cholesterol explained 14% (95% confidence interval: 6-23%) of excess risk of PAD; corresponding numbers were 26% (10-41%) for myocardial infarction, 34% (5-64%) for ischemic stroke, and 24% (12-36%) for any ASCVD (Figure 2). LDL cholesterol was lower in individuals with diabetes than in individuals without diabetes and could therefore not explain excess risk. Conclusions Elevated remnant cholesterol was associated with increased risk of ASCVD in individuals with diabetes and explained 24% of their excess risk of ASCVD. Clinical trials should determine if remnant cholesterol lowering can prevent ASCVD in individuals with diabetes.

Elevated plasma adiponectin in risk of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction: observational and mendelian randomization studies

Abstract Background and purpose Adiponectin, an adipocyte-secreted protein-hormone, may play an important protective role in heart failure and associated cardiovascular diseases through insulin-sensitizing, anti-atherogenic, and anti-inflammatory properties. We hypothesized that plasma adiponectin is associated observationally and causal, genetically with risk of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction. Methods In the Copenhagen General Population Study (CGPS), we examined 30,045 individuals with plasma adiponectin measurements observationally and 96,903 individuals genetically in one-sample Mendelian randomization analyses using five genetic variants. In the HERMES, UK Biobank, The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), deCODE, the Michigan Genomics Initiative (MGI), DiscovEHR, and the AFGen consortia, we performed two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses in up to 1,030,836 individuals using 12 genetic variants. Results In observational analyses, a 1 unit log-transformed higher plasma adiponectin was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.51 (95% confidence interval: 1.37–1.66) for heart failure, 1.63 (1.50–1.78) for atrial fibrillation, 1.21 (1.03–1.41) for aortic valve stenosis, and 1.03 (0.93–1.14) for myocardial infarction; levels above the median was also associated with increased risk of myocardial infarction. Corresponding genetic, causal risk ratios were 0.92 (0.65–1.29), 0.87 (0.68–1.12), 1.55 (0.87–2.76), and 0.93 (0.67–1.30) in one-sample Mendelian randomization analyses, while corresponding causal risk ratios were 0.99 (0.89–1.09), 1.00 (0.92–1.08), 1.01 (0.79–1.28), and 0.99 (0.86–1.13) in two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses, respectively. Conclusion Elevated plasma adiponectin was associated with increased risk of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction. However, genetic evidence did not support causality for those associations.Observational associationObservational and genetic association

Plasma adiponectin levels and risk of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction: large-scale observational and Mendelian randomization evidence.

Adiponectin may play an important protective role in heart failure and associated cardiovascular diseases. We hypothesized that plasma adiponectin is associated observationally and causally, genetically with risk of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction. In the Copenhagen General Population Study, we examined 30 045 individuals with plasma adiponectin measurements observationally and 96 903 individuals genetically in one-sample Mendelian randomization analyses using five genetic variants explaining 3% of the variation in plasma adiponectin. In the HERMES, UK Biobank, The Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT), deCODE, the Michigan Genomics Initiative (MGI), DiscovEHR, and the AFGen consortia, we performed two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses in up to 1 030 836 individuals using 12 genetic variants explaining 14% of the variation in plasma adiponectin.In observational analyses modelled linearly, a 1 unit log-transformed higher plasma adiponectin was associated with a hazard ratio of 1.51 (95% confidence interval: 1.37-1.66) for heart failure, 1.63 (1.50-1.78) for atrial fibrillation, 1.21 (1.03-1.41) for aortic valve stenosis, and 1.03 (0.93-1.14) for myocardial infarction; levels above the median were also associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction, and non-linear U-shaped associations were more apparent for heart failure, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction in less-adjusted models. Corresponding genetic, causal risk ratios were 0.92 (0.65-1.29), 0.87 (0.68-1.12), 1.55 (0.87-2.76), and 0.93 (0.67-1.30) in one-sample Mendelian randomization analyses, and no significant associations were seen for non-linear one-sample Mendelian randomization analyses; corresponding causal risk ratios were 0.99 (0.89-1.09), 1.00 (0.92-1.08), 1.01 (0.79-1.28), and 0.99 (0.86-1.13) in two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses, respectively. Observationally, elevated plasma adiponectin was associated with an increased risk of heart failure, atrial fibrillation, aortic valve stenosis, and myocardial infarction. However, genetic evidence did not support causality for these associations.