Continental Ice Research Articles

Geomorphic History Determined by a New Glacial History Paradigm and Topographic Map Interpretation, Towanda Creek Drainage Basin, PA (USA)

Pennsylvania’s Towanda Creek drainage basin geomorphic history is determined by using a recently proposed geology and glacial history paradigm (which predicts massive and prolonged southwest oriented continental ice sheet meltwater floods flowed across Pennsylvania) when interpreting previously unexplained topographic map drainage system and erosional landform evidence. The new paradigm explains most of the region’s erosional landforms including barbed tributaries, drainage divides, through valleys (valleys crossing drainage divides), water and wind gaps, valley orientations, entrenched meanders, through valley and gap floor elevations, regional ridge crest elevations, upland area elevations, and intervening lowland elevations. The new paradigm suggests the present-day northeast-oriented Towanda Creek drainage basin formed as immense and prolonged southwest-oriented floods first lowered a low relief surface (now preserved if preserved at all by the region’s highest elevations) in the area between the present-day northeast-trending Blossburg and Barclay synclinal uplands and also to the south of the Barclay synclinal upland. Those floodwaters after flowing across the present-day northeast-oriented Towanda Creek drainage basin flowed in a southwest direction through the now southwest-oriented Lycoming and Loyalsock Creek drainage basins and then to and along a now northeast oriented West Branch Susquehanna River valley segment before continuing in a southwest direction along what is now the Allegheny Front. Headward erosion of today’s southeast-oriented North Branch Susquehanna River valley segment between Pittston and Athens, Pennsylvania captured and reversed the beheaded southwest-oriented floodwaters to create the northeast-oriented Towanda Creek drainage system seen today.

Comprehensive susceptibility assessment of continental glacier ice avalanches: a case study of glaciers on the northwestern Tibetan Plateau

Comprehensive susceptibility assessment of continental glacier ice avalanches: a case study of glaciers on the northwestern Tibetan Plateau

Precariously Balanced Rocks in Northern New York and Vermont, U.S.A.: Ground-Motion Constraints and Implications for Fault Sources

ABSTRACT Precariously balanced rocks (PBRs) and other fragile geologic features have the potential to constrain the maximum intensity of earthquake ground shaking over millennia. Such constraints may be particularly useful in the eastern United States (U.S.), where few earthquake-source faults are reliably identified, and moderate earthquakes can be felt at great distances due to low seismic attenuation. We describe five PBRs in northern New York and Vermont—a region of elevated seismic hazard associated with historical seismicity. These boulders appear to be among the most fragile PBRs in the region, based on reports from hobbyists. The PBRs are glacial erratics, best evidenced by glacial striations on bedrock pedestals. The pedestals themselves are locally high knobs, often situated on regionally high topography; this setting limits soil development and indicates that any outwash deposits were likely ephemeral. As a result, PBR ages can be reliably established by the retreat of the last continental ice sheet, ∼15–13 ka. To quantify the fragility of the PBRs, we surveyed them with ground-based light detection and ranging and calculated geometric parameters from the point clouds, field observations, and seismic responses. Preliminary validation of the 2023 time-independent U.S. National Seismic Hazard Model (NSHM) shows that the existence of PBRs is generally consistent with the median site-specific hazard curves. Only the Blue Ridge Road site suggests a modest reduction in hazard. To visualize the ensemble of data, we mapped the minimum permissible distance to potential source faults around each PBR site as a function of source magnitude by using the ground-motion models from the 2023 NSHM. Viewed in this manner, our data are consistent with potential M∼6.5 earthquake-source faults in many parts of the Lake Champlain Valley and northern Adirondack Mountains. Our work illustrates a potential pathway for better constraining earthquake-source faults in regions of cryptic faults.

Ice-inhabiting species of Bdelloidea Rotifera reveal a pre-Quaternary ancestry in the Arctic cryosphere.

Historical climate data indicate that the Earth has passed through multiple geological periods with much warmer-than-present climates, including epochs of the Miocene (23-5.3 mya BP) with temperatures 3-4°C above present, and more recent interglacial stages of the Quaternary, for example, Marine Isotope Stage 11c (approx. 425-395 ka BP) and Middle Holocene thermal maximum (7.5-4.2 ka BP), during which continental glaciers may have melted entirely. Such warm periods would have severe consequences for ice-obligate fauna in terms of their distribution, biodiversity and population structure. To determine the impacts of these climatic events in the Nordic cryosphere, we surveyed ice habitats throughout mainland Norway and Svalbard ranging from maritime glaciers to continental ice patches (i.e. non-flowing, inland ice subjected to deep freezing overwinter), finding particularly widespread populations of ice-inhabiting bdelloid rotifers. Combined mitochondrial and nuclear DNA sequencing identified approx. 16 undescribed, species-level rotifer lineages that revealed an ancestry predating the Quaternary (> 2.58 mya). These rotifers also displayed robust freeze/thaw tolerance in laboratory experiments. Collectively, these data suggest that extensive ice refugia, comparable with stable ice patches across the contemporary Norwegian landscape, persisted in the cryosphere over geological time, and may have facilitated the long-term survival of ice-obligate Metazoa before and throughout the Quaternary.

A tipping point in stable isotope composition of Antarctic meteoric waters during Cenozoic glaciation.

Triple oxygen isotopes of Cenozoic intrusive rocks emplaced along the Ross Sea coastline in Antarctica, reveal that meteoric-hydrothermal waters imprinted their stable isotope composition on mineral phases, leaving a clear record of oxygen and hydrogen isotope variations during the establishment of the polar cap. Calculated O- and H-isotope compositions of meteoric waters vary from -9 ± 2‰ and -92 ± 5‰ at 40 ± 0.6 Ma, to -30 and -234 ± 5‰ at 34 ± 1.9 Ma, and intersect the modern Global Meteoric Water Line. These isotopic variations likely depict the combined variations in temperature, humidity, and moisture source regions, resulting from rearrangement of oceanic currents and atmospheric cooling during the onset of continental ice cap. Here, we report a paleo-climatic proxy based on triple oxygen geochemistry of crystalline rocks that reveals changes in the hydrological cycle. We discuss the magnitude of temperature changes at high latitudes during the Eocene-Oligocene climatic transition.

Asymmetry of hemispheric climate during MIS 16 versus MIS 12

Marine isotope stage (MIS) 16 (676-621 ka) and MIS 12 (478-424 ka) stand out as two significant glacial periods during the late Quaternary, demonstrating consistent continental ice volume or sea level, as discerned from benthic δ18O records. Intriguingly, the average sea surface temperature (SST) during MIS 16 surpasses that of MIS 12 by approximately 0.54–0.79 °C, while the atmospheric CO2 concentration during MIS 16 is approximately 16 ppmv lower than that of MIS 12. The underlying mechanism driving these discrepancies remains enigmatic. In this study, we present new high-resolution X-ray fluorescence (XRF) and grain size records covering the interval from 700 to 400 ka from Ocean Drilling Program (ODP) Site 1090 in the South Atlantic Ocean. We also integrated benthic δ13C, ice-rafted debris (IRD) and carbonate ion concentration ([CO32−]) records globally, to elucidate the distinct climate evolution during the MIS 16 versus MIS 12. Our findings suggest that MIS 12 is distinguished by a more substantial Antarctic ice-sheet, coupled with a weakened and/or equatorward displacement of southern westerly winds, and expansion of southern source water (SSW) alongside contractive northern source water (NSW). Conversely, the opposite climate state can be observed in MIS 16. The elevated atmospheric CO2 in MIS 12 and diminished atmospheric CO2 in MIS 16 may be attributed to reconfigurations in the ocean carbon reservoir regulated by the reorganization of deep-water masses and meridional ocean circulation, as a result of the divergent evolution of bipolar ice-sheets. Our study underscores the critical role of the interplay between the two polar regions in modulating deep-sea carbon storage on the orbital timescale and atmospheric CO2. This interplay is essential for a comprehensive understanding of past and future carbon cycle adjustments in response to climate change.

Relation between Central European Climate Change and Eifel Volcanism during the Last 130,000 Years: The ELSA-23-Tephra-Stack

The analysis of tephra layers in maar lake sediments of the Eifel shows 14 well-visible tephra during the last glacial cycle from the Holocene to the Eemian (0–130,000 yr b2k). These tephra were analyzed for their petrographic composition, which allows us to connect several tephra to eruption sites. All tephra were dated by application of the ELSA-20 chronology, developed using the late Pleistocene infilled maar lake of Auel and the Holocene lake Holzmaar (0–60,000 yr b2k). We extend the ELSA-20 chronology with this paper for the millennia of 60,000–130,000 yr b2k (ELSA-23 chronology), which is based on the infilled maar lake records from Dehner, Hoher List, and Jungferweiher. The evaluation of the tephra from the entire last glacial cycle shows that all 14 tephra were close to interstadial warming of the North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. In particular, phreatomagmatic maar eruptions were systematically associated with Heinrich events or C-events. These events represent times of warming of the Southern Hemisphere, global sea level rise, and CO2 increase, which predate the abrupt interstadial warming events of the Northern Hemisphere. This synchroneity indicates a physical relationship between endogenic and exogenic processes. Changes in the lithospheric stress field in response to changes in continental ice loads have already been suggested as a potential candidate to explain the exogenic forcing of endogenic processes. The chronology of volcanic activity in the Eifel demonstrates that intraplate mantle plumes are also affected by the exogenic forcing of endogenic processes.

Paleoenvironmental Controls on the Abundances of Magnetofossils in the Southwestern Iberian Margin

AbstractMagnetofossils are nanosized magnetic fossil remnants of magnetotactic bacteria (MTB) that are widely distributed in marine and freshwater sediments. Past studies have revealed that changes in the morphology and abundance of magnetofossils are linked with diverse paleoenvironmental changes, such as glacial‐interglacial variation, redox conditions associated with primary productivity and organic matter supply, chemical weathering and diagenesis. Besides, it has long been speculated that changes in geomagnetic field intensity could also affect the abundance of magnetofossils. However, it is not yet clear, how these environmental factors controlled past MTB populations in combination. To answer this question, we studied magnetofossils‐rich sediments from cores MD01‐2443 and 2444 off the Southwest Iberian Margin. The paleomagnetic records of our samples reveal geomagnetic excursions corresponding to the Laschamp, Blake, Iceland Basin, and Pringle Falls events. We estimated the relative abundance of magnetofossils in the samples based on isothermal remanent magnetization unmixing and found it to increase during warmer periods and decrease during colder periods, while not covary with changes in the geomagnetic field intensity. To further distinguish the role of different paleoenvironmental factors, we compared magnetofossil abundance with planktonic δ18O, δ13C of organic matter, K/Al and Si/Al, which indicate continental ice volume (paleotemperature), organic matter origin, run‐off intensity and productivity, respectively. The results indicate that less continental ice volume (higher paleotemperature), enhanced productivity and run‐off intensity are closely related and jointly promoted magnetofossil production and preservation. Our study offers a comprehensive approach to understanding how magnetofossil assemblages relate to paleoenvironmental changes off the SW Iberian Margin.

On greenhouse and icehouse climate regimes over the Phanerozoic

AbstractThroughout the Phanerozoic and more, the Earth has experienced cold and hot periods, which are typically associated with long‐lasting (hundreds of million years, Ma) greenhouse and icehouse climate regimes. Now, most published sea‐level curves report two main maxima in the Cretaceous and Ordovician superimposed on a multitude of short‐term fluctuations. The big humps are shown to be predominantly the results of the plate tectonic configuration, not icehouse and greenhouse regimes, suggesting that the small oscillations are related to continental ice variations. From this point of view, it can be inferred that polar ice caps are present almost all the time, and climate regime changes appear much more frequent and shorter than usually considered and are not well‐documented from glaciogenic deposits. Relying on short‐term oscillations, the volume of continental ice can be retrieved over the Phanerozoic.

Quantitative palaeogeographical reconstruction of the North China Block during the Carboniferous and Permian transition: Implications for coal accumulation and source rock development

The Carboniferous-Permian strata of the North China Block (NCB) contain significant economic reserves of coal and gas. In this paper, a comprehensive dataset comprising 401 stratigraphic sections encompassing the Carboniferous-Permian transition in the NCB is compiled from the OneStratigraphy and Geobiodiversity databases. We conducted quantitative analyses of this dataset using ArcGIS and GPlates software, and utilized an up to date plate motion model, to perform a dynamic palaeogeographical reconstruction. The spatio-temporal distribution of depositional facies were also analysed, including basement terranes, fluvio-lacustrine settings, swamps, shorelines, tidal flats, and carbonate platforms. Our reconstructions reveal that the NCB was flanked by basement areas of the Yinshan-Yanshan landmass in the north and the Qinling-Dabie landmass in the south. Peat (coal) deposition occurred across a range of terrestrial to coastal environments, including fluvio-lacustrine settings, deltas, shorelines and tidal flats. Carbonaceous and organic-rich clastic rocks also developed in these areas while organic-rich carbonate rocks were primarily deposited in carbonate platform. The conditions conducive to peat (coal) formation were intricately connected to eustatic fluctuations, which resulted in frequent transgressions and regressions. The sea-level fluctuations during the Pennsylvanian might be, in part, a response to both the waxing and waning of continental ice sheets and tectonic process in the northern margin of the NCB. In contrast, sea-level changes during the early Permian were probably controlled by the tectonic process only. This paper provides a state-of-the-art review of palaeogeographical evolution of the NCB during the Carboniferous and Permian transition, in response to eustatic and palaeoclimate change, and sheds light on resource accumulation based on quantitative analyses.

Simulated dust activity in typical time periods of the past 250 million years

The dust cycle in three typical time periods of the past 250 Myr, namely 240 Ma, 130 Ma and 80 Ma, is studied using the climate model CESM1.2.2 combined with the vegetation model BIOME4 and compared with that of the present day. The atmospheric dust loading obtained for these three periods is 35.9, 9.7 and 3.2 Tg, respectively. In comparison, the present-day dust loading is ∼24 Tg. It is found that the area of subtropical land is the major controlling factor in the variation of dust loading; the climate and the land plant evolution play a relatively minor role in these experiments where continental ice sheets are not considered and the reliability of BIOME4 in simulating vegetation of deep time is still uncertain. Although the simulated atmospheric dust loading in 240 Ma was much higher than that simulated for today, the fraction of dust deposited into the ocean (26%) was much lower due to its supercontinental configuration. Dust was able to cool the local annual mean surface temperature by a maximum of 2 °C in 240 Ma. A warming is obtained in the northern polar region in both 240 Ma and 130 Ma, likely due to strengthened meridional oceanic heat transport rather than due to snow darkening.

Global Mean and Relative Sea-Level Changes Over the Past 66 Myr: Implications for Early Eocene Ice Sheets

We estimate ice-volume driven (barystatic; BSL) sea-level changes for the Cenozoic using new Mg/Ca data from 58 to 48 Ma and a revised analysis of Mg/Ca trends over the past 66 Myr. We combine records of BSL, temperature-driven sea level, and long-term ocean basin volume variations to derive a new global mean geocentric sea level (GMGSL; “eustatic”) estimate. Bayesian analysis with Gaussian process priors shows that our BSL estimate shares a component that covaries on the Myr scale with “backstripped” relative sea-level (RSL) estimates (accounting for compaction, loading, and thermal subsidence) from the US Mid-Atlantic Coastal Plain, validating our method and estimates with errors of ±10 m. Peak warmth, elevated GMGSL and BSL, high CO2, and ice-free conditions occurred at times in the Paleocene to Eocene (ca. 64, 57.5, 35 Ma) and in much of the Early Eocene (55–48 Ma). However, our new results show that the Early Eocene was punctuated at specific times by several Myr-scale sea level lowerings (∼20–40 m) that require growth and decay of significant continental ice sheets even in the supposedly “ice-free” world. Continental-scale ice sheets waxed and waned beginning ca. 34 Ma (>50 m BSL changes), with near complete collapse during the Miocene Climate Optimum (17–14.8 Ma). Both the BSL and RSL estimates have markedly higher Oligocene to Early Miocene Myr-scale amplitudes (20–60 m) than recently published δ18O-based estimates (<20 m) and much lower estimates than those of Exxon Production Research (>100 m), leading us to reject those estimates. The US Mid-Atlantic margin RSL was dominated by GMGSL but was overprinted by changes in mantle dynamic topography on the several Myr scale, showing approximately 50 m higher Eocene estimates and regionally propagating Miocene RSL changes.

Equilibrium line altitudes of alpine glaciers in Alaska suggest Last Glacial Maximum summer temperature was 2–5 °C lower than during the pre-industrial

Abstract. The lack of continental ice sheets in Alaska during the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM; 26–19 ka) has long been attributed to extensive aridity in the western Arctic. More recently, climate model outputs, a few isolated paleoclimate studies, and global paleoclimate synthesis products show mild summer temperature depressions in Alaska compared to much of the high northern latitudes. This suggests the importance of limited summer temperature depressions in controlling the relatively limited glacier growth during the LGM. To explore this further, we present a new statewide map of LGM alpine glacier equilibrium line altitudes (ELAs), LGM ΔELAs (LGM ELA anomalies relative to the Little Ice Age, LIA), and ΔELA-based estimates of temperature depressions across Alaska to assess paleoclimate conditions. We reconstructed paleoglacier surfaces in ArcGIS to calculate ELAs using an accumulation area ratio (AAR) of 0.58 and an area–altitude balance ratio (AABR) of 1.56. We calculated LGM ELAs (n= 480) in glaciated massifs in the state, excluding areas in southern Alaska that were covered by the Cordilleran Ice Sheet. The data show a trend of increasing ELAs from the southwest to the northeast during both the LGM and the LIA, indicating a consistent southern Bering Sea and northernmost Pacific Ocean precipitation source. Our LGM–LIA ΔELAs from the Alaska Range, supported with limited LGM–LIA ΔELAs from the Brooks Range and the Kigluaik Mountains, average to −355 ± 176 m. This value is much greater than the global LGM average of ca. −1000 m. Using a range of atmospheric lapse rates, LGM–LIA ΔELAs in Alaska translate to summer cooling of < 2–5 ∘C. Our results are consistent with a growing number of local climate proxy reconstructions and global data assimilation syntheses that indicate mild summer temperature across Beringia during the LGM. Limited LGM summer temperature depressions could be explained by the influence of Northern Hemisphere ice sheets on atmospheric circulation.

Eastern Continental Divide Origin in the Blacksburg, Virginia Area Determined by Topographic Map Interpretation, USA

Published geology literature addresses only a small fraction of the Blacksburg, Virginia region topographic map drainage divide evidence. This situation probably arises because the accepted geology and glacial history paradigm (accepted paradigm) does not explain most topographic map drainage divide evidence (anywhere). A new and fundamentally different geology and glacial history paradigm (new paradigm) which appears to explain most topographic map drainage divide evidence sees the Eastern Continental Divide in the Blacksburg area as being located along the rim of a continental ice sheet created and occupied deep “hole” with the rim being uplifted as immense and prolonged southwest-oriented meltwater floods flowed across the region. From the new paradigm perspective northwest-oriented New River valley headward erosion into the rising deep “hole” rim (from the deep “hole”) upon reaching the Blacksburg region beheaded and reversed southwest-oriented floodwaters (probably aided by deep “hole” rim uplift) to create today’s northeast- and northwest-oriented New River. Headward erosion of the southeast-oriented Roanoke River valley and subsequently the southeast-oriented James River valley (both from the Atlantic Ocean) then created the Roanoke River-New River and James River-New River drainage divides (both are Eastern Continental Divide segments) and the James River-Roanoke River drainage divide by beheading and reversing southwest-oriented floodwaters which had been flowing in diverging and converging channels (which had been eroded headward in northeast directions along less resistant bedrock units from the New River valley). This scenario explains most through valleys (valleys crossed by drainage divides), barbed tributaries, river direction changes, and water gaps seen on Blacksburg area detailed topographic maps and does not see significant changes taking place since the southwest-oriented floods ended. The accepted and new paradigms are incommensurable which according to Thomas Kuhn means one paradigm should not be used to judge the other.

Constraining the end of the Last Interglacial (MIS 5e) relative sea-level highstand in central Mediterranean: New data from Grotta delle Capre, central Italy

The current rapid change of the Earth's climate has resulted in an increasing interest for the past warm periods as potential long-term scenarios of the effects of the present global warming. The last such a period occurred 129–116 ka, known as the Last Interglacial (LIG), when the continental ice volume was significantly smaller than present, leading to a global sea-level (GSL) higher than present one. Detailed morpho-stratigraphic data, supported by a robust U/Th chronology, from Grotta delle Capre, central Italy, provided new chronological insights on the relative sea-level (RSL) dynamic during the LIG in the Mediterranean region. Our results indicate that, on Tyrrhenian Sea coasts of the central Italy, after having stationed at ∼9 m a.s.l., the LIG RSL fell at an elevation <3 m a.s.l. as early as before 123 ka, and then no longer rose above this elevation either during the later stages of the LIG or afterwards. The results match previous studies based on U/Th dating of terrestrial limiting points from Grotta Infreschi, ∼200 km SE from Grotta delle Capre along the same Tyrrhenian Sea coasts, and are in agreement with the Red Sea RLS and GSL records and the probabilistic LIG sea level assessments based on globally distributed records. On the other hand, our reconstruction is not supported by implications of U/Th dating of corals and phreatic overgrowth on speleothems from the Balearic Island of Mallorca. Such an inconsistency in the overall knowledge around the LIG RSL reconstruction results in a high uncertainty in modelling the ice and sea-level dynamic during this warm period, which needs to be reduced through more and more high-resolution, stratigraphic and chronological investigations of the morphological and sedimentary sea-level records.

External Forcings Caused the Tripole Trend of Asian Precipitation During the Holocene

AbstractTo investigate the evolution of precipitation over Asian continent in the Holocene and the associated mechanisms, we used a set of simulations of the transient climate evolution over the past 21,000 years (TraCE‐21ka), multimodel results from the Paleoclimate Modeling Intercomparison Project Phase 4 (PMIP4), and proxy records in Asia. The TraCE‐21ka results showed a tripole pattern in suborbital‐scale precipitation trends over the Asian continent during the Holocene, with a trend of increase over southern parts of the monsoon regions and arid Central Asia (ACA), and a trend of decline over northern parts of the monsoon regions and their areas of transition with ACA. This tripole pattern was corroborated by proxy records from multiple regions and multimodel results from the PMIP4. Further analysis based on single‐forcing simulations of TraCE‐21ka indicated that influences from different external forcings were different on the Asian precipitation in the main rainy seasons in the Holocene and that their combined effects shaped the tripole pattern. In summer, orbital forcing, by reducing solar radiation in mid‐to‐high latitudes and weakening the land‐sea thermal contrast, has been the dominant factor in the long‐term evolution of precipitation in the monsoon region and West Asia. In winter and spring, changes in meltwater flux played dominant roles in intensifying local water cycle and horizontal moisture advection, which drove the trend of increase in precipitation in ACA. Additionally, changes in greenhouse gas concentration and continental ice sheet forcings both also contribute to the increase in precipitation in ACA.

Unraveling the complexities of the Last Glacial Maximum climate: the role of individual boundary conditions and forcings

Abstract. In order to quantify the relative importance of individual boundary conditions and forcings, including greenhouse gases, ice sheets, and Earth's orbital parameters, on determining Last Glacial Maximum (LGM) climate, we have performed a series of LGM experiments using a state-of-the-art climate model AWI-ESM, in which different combinations of boundary conditions and forcings have been applied following the protocol of Paleoclimate Modelling Intercomparison Project phase 4 (PMIP4). In good agreement with observational proxy records, a general colder and drier climate is simulated in our full-forced LGM experiment as compared to the present-day simulation. Our simulated results from non-full-forced sensitivity simulations reveal that both the greenhouse gases and ice sheets play a major role in defining the anomalous LGM surface temperature compared to today. Decreased greenhouse gases in LGM as compared to present day leads to a non-uniform global cooling with polar amplification effect. The presence of LGM ice sheets favors a warming over the Arctic and northern Atlantic oceans in boreal winter, as well as a cooling over regions with the presence of ice sheets. The former is induced by a strengthening in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) transporting more heat to high latitudes, whilst the latter is due to the increased surface albedo and elevation of ice sheets. We find that the Northern Hemisphere monsoon precipitation is influenced by the opposing effects of LGM greenhouse gases and ice sheets. Specifically, the presence of ice sheets leads to significant drying in the Northern Hemisphere monsoon regions, while a reduction in greenhouse gases results in increased monsoon rainfall. Based on our model results, continental ice sheets exert a major control on atmospheric dynamics and the variability of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Moreover, our analysis also implies a nonlinearity in climate response to LGM boundary conditions and forcings.

Applying two methodologies of an integrated coastal vulnerability index (ICVI) to future sea-level rise

Climate change is an issue of concern and is expected to cause various adverse impacts on human societies in the near and long-term future. Sea-level rise, which is caused by global warming and melting continental ice sheets, in combination with the rising global population and evolution of human activities in coastal areas, tends to make coastal societies more prone to coastal hazards. The Gulf of Corinth in Greece with its diverse coastal landforms and tectonic complexity makes the region unique when considering an assessment of coastal vulnerability. In this study we apply an Integrated Coastal Vulnerability Index (ICVI) to a potential sea-level rise for the southern coastline of the Gulf of Corinth (Greece) consisting of physical and socio-economic parameters. Among multiple different methodologies that have been developed over the recent years, we decided to apply two of the mathematical approaches we believe are best suited for the protection of human activities in our study area. The first one, ICVI_1, is based on the Coastal Vulnerability Index (CVI) by Thieler and Hammar-Klose (1999) with variables of equal relative importance, whereas the second one, ICVI_2, uses the Analytic Hierarchic Process (AHP) with the assignment of relative weight values to each parameter. The parameters were identified and ranked into a vulnerability index with a scale from 1 to 5. The results reveal that both approaches depict more or less the same coastal sections of high or very high vulnerability, but differ in the distribution of extreme values. ICVI_1 shows that 18.3% of the total coastline features very high vulnerability (score 5), while ICVI_2 shows 9.1%. The coastal sections with the highest scores of vulnerability are mostly represented in the eastern part of the studied coastline with low-lying regions of gentle slope and concentrated human activity.

Systematics, biogeography and phylogenomics of northern bog lemmings (Cricetidae), cold-temperate rodents of conservation concern under global change

Northern bog lemmings, Mictomys (Synaptomys) borealis, are currently being assessed for protections under the U.S. Endangered Species Act. A major impediment to comprehensive evaluation is a deficiency of data towards understanding the biology of these rodents. Inherent rarity and scarce specimen sampling, despite a continent-wide distribution, has precluded our ability to implement modern methods for resolving taxonomy, evolutionary history, and investigating multiple other species traits. Here we use a maternally inherited locus (mitochondrial cytochrome b) and between 5939 and 11 513 nuclear loci from reduced representation sequencing (ddRADseq) to investigate the evolutionary history of northern bog lemmings. We (1) qualify evidence based on morphological and early molecular studies for the genus assignment of Mictomys, (2) test the validity of multiple sub-species designations, (3) provide spatial and temporal historical biogeographic perspectives, and (4) discuss how incomplete sampling might influence conservation efforts. Both mitochondrial and nuclear datasets exhibit deep divergence and paraphyly between two recognized species, the northern (Mictomys borealis) and southern (Synaptomys cooperi) bog lemmings. Based on mtDNA, the geographically isolated subspecies (M. b. sphagnicola) was found to be divergent from all other specimens. The remainder of the species exhibited shallow intra-specific differentiation in mtDNA, however, nuclear data supports genetic distinction consistent with four geographic subspecies. Recent coalescence of all northern bog lemmings (except for M. b. sphagnicola) reflects divergence in multiple refugia through the last glacial cycle, including a well-known coastal center of endemism and multiple regions south of continental ice sheets. Regional lineages across North America suggest strong latitudinal displacement with global climate change, coupled with isolation-reconnection dynamics. This taxon suffers from a lack of modern samples through most of its distribution, severely limiting the interpretation of ongoing evolutionary processes, particularly in southern portions of the species’ range. Limited voucher specimen sampling of vulnerable populations could aid in rigorous conservation decision-making.

Transient Deep Ocean Cooling in the Eastern Equatorial Pacific Ocean at the Eocene‐Oligocene Transition

AbstractAt the Eocene‐Oligocene Transition (EOT), approximately 34 million years ago, Earth abruptly transitioned to a climate state sufficiently cool for Antarctica to sustain large ice sheets for the first time in tens to hundreds of millions of years. Oxygen isotope records from deep‐sea benthic foraminifera (δ18Ob) provide the foundation of our understanding of this pivot point in Cenozoic climate history. A deeper insight, however, is hindered by the paucity of independent deep‐sea temperature reconstructions and the ongoing challenge of deconvolving the temperature and continental ice volume signals embedded in δ18Ob records. Here we present records of deep‐sea temperature change from the eastern equatorial Pacific for the EOT using clumped isotope thermometry, which permits explicit temperature reconstructions independent of seawater chemistry and continental ice volume. Our records suggest that the deep Pacific Ocean cooled markedly at the EOT by 4.7 ± 0.9°C. This decrease in temperature represents the first direct and robust evidence of deep‐sea cooling associated with the inception of major Cenozoic glaciation. However, our data also indicate that this major cooling of the deep Pacific Ocean at the EOT was short‐lived (∼200 kyrs), with temperatures rebounding to values close to pre‐EOT levels by 33.6 Ma. Our calculated record of seawater δ18O suggests that this rebound in ocean temperature occurred despite the continued presence of a large‐scale Antarctic ice sheet. This finding suggests a degree of decoupling between deep ocean temperatures in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean and the behavior of the newly established Antarctic ice sheet.