Contact Frequencies Research Articles

Simple Models of Influenza Progression Within a Heterogeneous Population

The focus of this “OR framing paper” is to introduce the operations research (OR) community to the need for new mathematical modeling of an influenza pandemic and its control. By reviewing relevant history and literature, one key concern that emerges relates to how a population’s heterogeneity may affect disease progression. Another is to explore within a modeling framework “social distancing” as a disease progression control method, where social distancing refers to steps aimed at reducing the frequency and intensity of daily human-to-human contacts. To depict social contact behavior of a heterogeneous population susceptible to infection, a nonhomogeneous probabilistic mixing model is developed. Partitioning the population of susceptibles into subgroups, based on frequency of daily human contacts and infection propensities, a stylistic difference equation model is then developed depicting the day-to-day evolution of the disease. This simple model is then used to develop a preliminary set of results. Two key findings are (1) early exponential growth of the disease may be dominated by susceptibles with high human contact frequencies and may not be indicative of the general population’s susceptibility to the disease, and (2) social distancing may be an effective nonmedical way to limit and perhaps even eradicate the disease. Much more decision-focused research needs to be done before any of these preliminary findings may be used in practice.

Two-phase structure above hot surfaces in jet impingement boiling

Jet impingement boiling is very efficient in cooling of hot surfaces as a part of the impinging liquid evaporates. Several studies have been carried out to measure and correlate the heat transfer to impinging jets as a function of global parameters such as jet subcooling, jet velocity, nozzle size and distance to the surface, etc. If physically based mechanistic models are to be developed, studies on the fundamentals of two-phase dynamics near the hot surface are required. In the present study the vapor–liquid structures underneath a subcooled (20 K) planar (1 mm × 9 mm) water jet, impinging the heated plate vertically with a velocity of 0.4 m/s, were analyzed by means of a miniaturized optical probe. It has a tip diameter of app. 1.5 μm and is moved toward the plate by a micrometer device. The temperature controlled experimental technique enabled steady-state experiments in all boiling regimes. The optical probe data provides information about the void fraction, the contact frequencies and the distribution of the vapor and liquid contact times as a function of the distance to the surface. The measured contact frequencies range from 40 Hz at the onset of nucleate boiling to nearly 20,000 Hz at the end of the transition boiling regime. Due to condensation in the subcooled jet vapor disappears at a distance to the surface of app. 1.2 mm in nucleate boiling. This vapor layer becomes smaller with increasing wall superheat. In film boiling a vapor film thickness of 8 ± 2 μm was found.

Striking variations in consultation rates with general practice reveal family influence

BackgroundThe reasons why patients decide to consult a general practitioner vary enormously. While there may be individual reasons for this variation, the family context has a significant and unique influence upon the frequency of individuals' visits. The objective of this study was to explore which family factors can explain the differences between strikingly high, and correspondingly low, family consultation rates in families with children aged up to 21.MethodsData were used from the second Dutch national survey of general practice. This survey extracted from the medical records of 96 practices in the Netherlands, information on all consultations with patients during 2001. We defined, through multilevel analysis, two groups of families. These had respectively, predominantly high, and low, contact frequencies due to a significant family influence upon the frequency of the individual's first contacts. Binomial logistic regression analyses were used to analyse which of the family factors, related to shared circumstances and socialisation conditions, can explain the differences in consultation rates between the two groups of families.ResultsIn almost 3% of all families, individual consultation rates decrease significantly due to family influence. In 11% of the families, individual consultation rates significantly increase due to family influence. While taking into account the health status of family members, family factors can explain family consultation rates. These factors include circumstances such as their economic status and number of children, as well as socialisation conditions such as specific health knowledge and family beliefs. The chance of significant low frequencies of contact due to family influences increases significantly with factors such as, paid employment of parents in the health care sector, low expectations of general practitioners' care for minor ailments and a western cultural background.ConclusionFamily circumstances can easily be identified and will add to the understanding of the health complaints of the individual patient in the consulting room. Family circumstances related to health risks often cannot be changed but they can illuminate the reasons for a visit, and mould strategies for prevention, treatment or recovery. Health beliefs, on the other hand, may be influenced by providing specific knowledge.

Contact frequencies between grandparents and grandchildren in a modern society: Estimates of the impact of paternity uncertainty

Evolutionary theory suggests that maternal grandparents will invest more in their grandchildren than paternal grandparents, due to the difference between the certainty of maternity and the uncertainty of paternity. Tests of this prediction have tended to use retrospective ratings by grandchildren rather than self-reported behaviour by grandparents. Using a large-scale dataset from the Netherlands, we show significant differences between maternal and paternal grandparents in terms of frequencies of contact with their grandchildren, while controlling for a wide range of other variables. Our results show biases consistent with the paternity uncertainty hypothesis.

Young children's hand contact activities: An observational study via videotaping in primarily outdoor residential settings

Microlevel activity time series (MLATS) data were gathered on hand contact activities of 38 children (1-6 years old) by videotaping in primarily outdoor residential environments. The videotape recordings were then translated into text files using a specialized software called VirtualTimingDevicetrade mark. Contact frequency (contacts/h), duration per contact (s/contact), and hourly contact duration (min/h) were summarized for outdoor hand contacts with 15 distinct object/surface categories ("Animal", "Body", "Clothes/Towels", "Fabric", "Floor", "Food", "Footwear", "Metal", "Non-dietary Water", "Paper/Wrapper", "Plastic", "Rock/Brick", "Toys", "Vegetation/Grass", and "Wood") and two aggregate object/surface categories ("Non-dietary objects/surfaces" and "Total objects/surfaces"). For outdoor both hand contacts with "Total objects/surfaces", contact frequencies ranged from 229.9 to 1517.7 contacts/h, median durations/contact ranged from < 1 to 5 s, and hourly contact durations ranged from 42.6 to 102.2 m/h. The data were analyzed for significant differences in hand contact activities as a function of (1) age, (2) location, (3) gender, and (4) hand. Significant differences (P < or = 0.05) were found for all four factors analyzed. Hourly contact durations with "Non-dietary objects/surfaces" and "Total objects/surfaces" increased with age (P = 0.01, rs = 0.42 and P = 0.005, rs = 0.46, respectively), while contact frequencies and hourly contact durations with "Wood" decreased with age (P = 0.02, rs = -0.38 and P = 0.05, rs = -0.32, respectively). Location was found to affect contact frequencies and hourly contact durations with certain objects/surfaces. For example, contact frequencies and hourly contact durations with "Fabric" were higher indoors (P = 0.02 for both), while contact frequencies and hourly contact durations with "Vegetation/Grass" were higher outdoors (P = 0.02 and P = 0.04, respectively). Girls had longer hourly contact durations with "Footwear" (P = 0.02), "Non-dietary objects/surfaces" (P = 0.03), and "Total objects/surfaces" (P = 0.01) than boys. The right hand had longer hourly contact durations with objects that are often manipulated with the hand (e.g., "Toys" (P = 0.0002)), while the left hand had longer hourly contact durations with passively touched objects/surfaces (e.g., "Clothes/Towels" (P = 0.003) and "Floor" (P = 0.04)).

Why does it run in families? Explaining family similarity in help-seeking behaviour by shared circumstances, socialisation and selection

Why do contact frequencies with general practice of family members resemble each other? Many aspects related to the clustering of health-care utilisation within families have been studied, but the underlying mechanisms have not been addressed. This article considers whether family similarity in contact frequency with general practice can be explained as (a) a result of shared circumstances, (b) through socialisation, and (c) through homogeneity of background characteristics. Data from the second Dutch national survey of general practice were used to test these mechanisms empirically. This survey recorded all consultations in 2001 for 104 general practices in the Netherlands, serving 385 461 patients. Information about socio-demographic characteristics was collected by means of a patient survey. In a random sample, an extended health interview took place ( n=12 699). Overall, we were able to show that having determinants in common through socialisation and shared circumstances can explain similarity in contact frequencies within families, but not all hypotheses could be confirmed. In specific terms, this study shows that resemblances in contact frequencies within families can be best explained by spending more time together (socialisation) and parents and children consulting a general practitioner simultaneously (circumstances of the moment). For general practitioners, the mechanisms identified can serve as a framework for a family case history. The importance of the mechanism of socialisation in explaining similarities in help-seeking behaviour between family members points to the significance of knowledge and health beliefs underlying consultation behaviour. An integrated framework including these aspects can help to better explain health behaviour.

Fundamental Frequencies of Turbine Blades With Geometry Mismatch in Fir-Tree Attachments

Geometry mismatch in a turbine blade root, which arose in manufacturing process or caused by wearing out during service, leads to contact conditions changed in fir-tree attachments. As a result, shifting of the fundamental frequencies and redistribution of stress in the blade base possibly cause failure of the blade. A three-dimensional finite element model of a blade and its fir-tree attachments have been constructed and analyzed by taking into account contact nonlinearity in the attachments and large deformation effect of the blade. The geometry mismatch was introduced into the finite element model by defining gaps between two contact surfaces in the attachments. The influence of gap configuration and gap size on contact and fundamental frequencies was investigated. Results showed that gap configuration has significant influence on fundamental frequencies of the blade, especially on its bending modes. Gap size has little influence on the frequencies but significant influence on the contact status and thus changes stress distribution in the attachments. The results also suggest that modeling contact behavior in fir-tree attachments is necessary to obtain more accurate fundamental frequencies.

Active tactile sensing for localization of objects by the cockroach antenna

Antennal movement during tactile orientation behavior was examined three-dimensionally in American cockroaches during tethered walking. When a wooden rod was presented to the tip of one antenna in an upright orientation at one of the three different horizontal positions (30 degrees , 60 degrees , or 90 degrees from the center of the head), the animal touched it repeatedly with the antenna, and tried to approach it (positive thigmotaxis). Positional shifts were also observed for the contralateral unstimulated antenna. The ipsilateral antenna tended to touch the object during inward movement (adduction) at all three test angles. The cumulative turn angle made during a continuous test period of 24 s clearly depended on the object's position; however, the contact frequencies were almost the same regardless of the position. The relationships between contact frequency and some locomotion parameters were also investigated on a shorter time scale of 3 s. The contact frequency positively correlated with the turn angle, with the accuracy of orientation at all three test angles, and with the translation velocity at test angles of 30 degrees and 60 degrees . It is concluded that the performance during tactile orientation can be represented effectively by the frequency with which the antennae touch the attractive objects.

YOUNG CHILDRENʼS HAND ACTIVITIES: AN OBSERVATIONAL STUDY VIA VIDEOTAPING IN A PRIMARILY OUTDOOR RESIDENTIAL SETTING

ISEE-361 Introduction: The dermal route is an important route of exposure for children because infants and children can incur a significant portion of their total pesticide exposure from dermal contacts with residential dust, soil, and dislodged surface residues. The micro-activity approach models dermal exposure and dose as a series of transfers and removals resulting from discrete contact events (e.g., right hand contacting toy for 10 seconds). The resulting exposure and dose profiles provide various metrics of toxicological interest (e.g., peaks, averages, and instantaneous values) and yield information on how exposures and doses occur and how they can be mitigated. Micro-activity data on hand contacts is a crucial input needed to implement the micro-activity approach for estimating dermal exposure and dose. This paper presents the results of an analysis on micro-activity data gathered on young children's hand-to-surface contact frequency, duration per contact, and hourly contact duration. Methods: Micro-activity data on 38 children aged 14 to 82 months were collected by videotaping the children during natural play in a primarily outdoor residential environment. The videotape recordings were then translated into ASCII computer files with second-by-second detail through the use of a specialized software called Virtual Timing Device. Results: Significant differences in contact behaviour (p<0.05) were found between the right and left hands, boys and girls, and indoor and outdoor environments. In addition, hourly contact durations for outdoor contacts with non-dietary objects were found to increase linearly with age (p=0.03) while outdoor contact frequencies with wood were found to decrease linearly with age (p=0.01). Furthermore, from studying children who had the highest contact frequencies, we found that children playing on play structures had the highest outdoor contact frequencies with wood, plastic, and metal. Discussion: While it is uncertain how variable hand activities are between different children or between the same child on different days, the results of this study provide valuable estimations of hand contact behaviours for dermal exposure and dose assessments. The results of this study also provide insights into how children's hand contact activities may differ between locations, genders, ages, and right/left hands.

Role of contact frequency on the wear rate of steel in discontinuous sliding contact conditions

This work presents a novel approach of sliding ball-on-disk wear tests where the disc material is investigated. Each part of the wear track on the disc is in discontinuous contact with the counterbody. The contact frequency at each part of the wear track on the disc with the counterbody is defined by the rotation frequency of the disc. The sliding speed is however a function of both the rotation frequency and wear track diameter. In this work, the effect of the contact frequency on friction and wear was investigated on carbon steel in discontinuous sliding contact with corundum balls. Various sliding speeds were used while maintaining the contact frequency at a fixed value, and various contact frequencies were applied at constant sliding speeds. The wear rate of the disk material is shown to depend not only on the usual wear test parameters, namely sliding speed and contact load, but also on contact frequency. Moreover, contact frequency is shown to be a key factor determining the wear mode even at constant sliding speed and load. At contact frequencies above 9 Hz, the dominant wear mechanism is oxidational wear, while at frequencies below 4 Hz the dominant wear mechanism is adhesive wear. This transition from adhesive to oxidational wear takes place together with a change in the type of debris generated and in the value of the coefficient of friction. The validity of the Garcia-Ramil-Celis model proposed earlier for discontinous sliding contact conditions, is demonstrated for the case of carbon steel disks sliding against a chemically inert counterbody.

An Atomic Environment Potential for use in Protein Structure Prediction

We describe the derivation and testing of a knowledge-based atomic environment potential for the modeling of protein structural energetics. An analysis of the probabilities of atomic interactions in a dataset of high-resolution protein structures shows that the probabilities of non-bonded inter-atomic contacts are not statistically independent events, and that the multi-body contact frequencies are poorly predicted from pairwise contact potentials. A pseudo-energy function is defined that measures the preferences for protein atoms to be in a given microenvironment defined by the number of contacting atoms in the environment and its atomic composition. This functional form is tested for its ability to recognize native protein structures amongst an ensemble of decoy structures and a detailed relative performance comparison is made with a number of common functions used in protein structure prediction.

Scaling Behavior and Structure of Denatured Proteins

An ensemble of random-coil conformations with no persistent structures has long been accepted as the classical model of denatured proteins due to its consistency with the experimentally determined scaling of protein sizes. However, recent NMR spectroscopy studies on proteins at high chemical denaturant concentrations suggest the presence of significant amounts of native-like structures, in contrast to the classical random-coil picture. To reconcile these seemingly controversial observations, we examine thermally denatured states of experimentally characterized proteins by using molecular dynamics simulations. For all studied proteins, we find that denatured states indeed have strong local conformational bias toward native states while a random-coil power law scaling of protein sizes is preserved. In addition, we explain why experimentally determined size of the protein creatine kinase does not follow general scaling. In simulations, we observe that this protein exhibits a stable intermediate state, the size of which is consistent with the reported experimental observation.

Shared help seeking behaviour within families: a retrospective cohort study

Objective To examine the extent to which the family influences individual use of general practitioner care.Design Retrospective cohort study of all consultations in one calendar year. Multilevel modelling was used...

Naive, Effector, and Memory T Lymphocytes Efficiently Scan Dendritic Cells In Vivo: Contact Frequency in T Cell Zones of Secondary Lymphoid Organs Does Not Depend on LFA-1 Expression and Facilitates Survival of Effector T Cells

Contact between T cells and dendritic cells (DCs) is required for their subsequent interaction leading to the induction of adaptive immune responses. Quantitative data regarding the contact frequencies of T cell subsets in different lymphoid organs and species are lacking. Therefore, naive, effector, and memory CD4 T cells were injected into rats in absence of the cognate Ag, and 0.5-96 h later, spleen, lymph nodes, and Peyer's patches were removed. Cryosections were analyzed for contact between donor T cells and endogenous DCs in the T cell zone, and donor cell proliferation. More than 60% of injected naive CD4 T cells were in contact with endogenous DCs at all time points and in all organs analyzed. Surprisingly, we were unable to detect any differences between naive, effector, and memory CD4 T cells despite different expression levels of surface molecules. In addition, contact frequency was similar for T cells in lymphoid organs of rats, mice, and humans; it was unaffected by the absence of LFA-1 (CD11a/CD18), and sustained effector T cells in an activated state. Thus, the architecture of the T cell zone rather than expression patterns of surface molecules determines the contact efficiency between T cells and DCs in vivo.

Patch testing with methyldibromo glutaronitrile, a multicentre study within the EECDRG

Contact allergy to and allergic contact dermatitis from methyldibromo glutaronitrile (MDBGN) have frequently been reported. As there has been no agreement on which MDBGN test preparation to use, a study was initiated to help determine the optimal patch test preparation for MDBGN. 2661 consecutively patch tested patients at 11 test clinics representing 9 European countries participated. Petrolatum preparations with MDBGN at 1.0%, 0.5%, 0.3% and 0.1% were inserted in the standard series. Contact allergy rates were noted in the range 4.4-1.1% following decreasing test concentrations. Reactions not fulfilling all criteria to be classified as allergic reactions could represent either weak allergic or irritant reactions, and such reactions were noted in the range 8.2-0.5% with decreasing concentrations. A significant number of these reactions represented weak allergic reactions, as allergic reactions were obtained to higher patch test concentrations in the same individual. Morphologically irritant reactions were noted only for the highest test concentrations. In summary, the contact allergy rates and frequencies of doubtful and irritant reactions vary with the patch test concentration. The final decision on patch test concentration for MDBGN should not only rely on these factors but also include information on patch test concentrations required to diagnose individual cases with allergic contact dermatitis from MDBGN as well as results of repeated open application tests.

Water dynamics simulation as a tool for probing proton transfer pathways in a heptahelical membrane protein

The proton transfer pathway in a heptahelical membrane protein, the light-driven proton pump bacteriorhodopsin (BR), is probed by a combined approach of structural analysis of recent X-ray models and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations that provide the diffusion pathways of internal and external water molecules. Analyzing the hydrogen-bond contact frequencies of the water molecules with protein groups, the complete proton pathway through the protein is probed. Beside the well-known proton binding sites in the protein interior-the protonated Schiff base, Asp85 and Asp96, and the H(5)O(2) (+) complex stabilized by Glu204 and Glu194-the proton release and uptake pathways to the protein surfaces are described in great detail. Further residues were identified, by mutation of which the proposed pathways can be verified. In addition the diffusion pathway of water 502 from Lys216 to Asp96 is shown to cover the positions of the intruding waters 503 and 504 in the N-intermediate. The transiently established water chain in the N-state provides a proton pathway from Asp96 to the Schiff base in the M- to N-transition in a Grotthus-like mechanism, as concluded earlier from time-resolved Fourier transform infrared experiments [le Coutre et al., Proc Nat Acad Sci USA 1995;92:4962-4966].

Molecular Simulations Suggest Protein Salt Bridges Are Uniquely Suited to Life at High Temperatures

A series of explicit solvent molecular dynamics simulations has been performed to investigate the temperature dependence of salt bridge interactions between two freely diffusing amino acids. The simulations, performed at 25, 50, 75, and 100 degrees C, allow a large number of distinct association and dissociation events to be directly observed, without the imposition of additional forces to drive association. Analysis of contact frequencies for atom pairs demonstrates that the number of salt bridge contacts between the two molecules is unaffected by temperature, whereas the numbers of hydrophobic and polar contacts are greatly diminished. A second, independent set of simulations-using rigid, prototypical molecule types-allows the differing temperature dependences of hydrophobic, polar, and salt bridge interactions to be unambiguously examined. In the prototype molecule simulations, the salt bridge interaction is found to substantially increase in stability at 100 degrees C relative to 25 degrees C. This difference in behavior between flexible amino acids and rigid prototype molecules is perhaps a direct manifestation of the effects of conformational entropy on association thermodynamics. Overall, the results demonstrate that salt bridge interactions are extremely resilient to temperature increases and, as such, are uniquely suited to promoting protein stability at high temperatures.

Flexibility of BIV TAR-Tat: Models of Peptide Binding

A new approach in determining local residue flexibility from base-amino acid contact frequencies is applied to the twelve million lattice chains modeling BIV Tat peptide binding to TAR RNA fragment. Many of the resulting key features in flexibility correspond to RMSD calculations derived from a set of five NMR derived structures (X. Ye, R. A. Kumar, and D. J. Patel, Protein Data Bank: Database of three-dimensional structures determined from NMR (1996)) and binding studies of mutants (L. Chen and A. D. Frankel, Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. USA 92, 5077–5081 (1995)). The lattice and RMSD calculations facilitate the identification of peptide hinge regions that can best utilize the introduction of Gly or other flexible residues. This approach for identifying potential sites amenable to substitution of more flexible residues to enhance peptide binding to RNA targets could be a useful design tool.

Diversity and guild structure of the Petit Saut bird community

Bird communities were sampled at different scales at Saint-Eugène and on the Petit Saut dam reservoir between 1993 and 1 996. Global bird species richness of the Petit Saut area (ca . 35 sq. km investigated) was estimated to be over 400 species, of which 342 were observed. Relationships between species richness and surveyed area, sampling pressure, and habitat diversity, are described. A majority of species showed low contact frequencies and low abundance. Numerically dominant species on the mainland were also abundant on islands, but islands had a different pool of dominant species. Migrants accounted for a very small proportion of the community and were mainly aquatic birds, but the frequency of migrants in primary rainforest may be underestimated. Community organization is described in terms of guilds, feeding habits, habitats and social systems. Sixteen guilds can be identified. Insectivores are dominant in the bird community. Most species inhabit terra firme forest, but some guilds are preferentially associated with damp or liana forests. Thirty percent of the bird species live in single-species or mixed-species groups, in particular in canopy-, understory-, or ant-following flocks. The ecological organization of the Petit Saut bird community is similar to that found in other Guianan or Amazonian forest sites. Flooding of the reservoir lead to a very slow increase of aquatic bird diversity and abundance, particularly of Sungrebe (Heliomis fulica), while sightings of banks-dwelling species became scarce.

The rapid and accurate determination of germ tube emergence site by Blumeria graminis conidia

The development of appressoria by germinating Blumeria graminis conidia depends on its germ tubes making contact with the host surface. Low angle, low temperature scanning electron microscopy showed that 80% or more of first-formed germ tubes of f. spp. hordei, tritici and avenae conidia emerged from close to the host leaf surface, and so made contact with it allowing them to become functional primary germ tubes. Light microscopy of f. sp.hordei confirmed this result and, in addition, showed that germ tubes frequently emerged close to, and contacted, various hydrophobic and hydrophilic artificial substrata. Geometric models of conidium-substratum interfaces were developed and a “surface point method” was derived to predict the frequency with which contact would result if germ tube emergence was a random phenomenon. However, observed contact frequencies were far higher (c. three to eight times) than predicted. Thus, the germ tube emergence site was determined as a response to substratum contact. In part, this appeared to be a non-specific response. Nevertheless, germ tube contact frequencies were greater on the curved surface of leaf epidermal cells than on planar surface, suggesting that specific recognition of leaf surface characteristics may promote directional emergence. The area of contact required to stimulate directional germ tube emergence was very small: contact with a microneedle tip or with a spiders’ suspension thread was sufficient for many conidia. Similarly, on leaves, the only contact is between the tips of a limited number of conidial wall projections and the edges of epicuticular leaf wax plates. Micromanipulation to roll conidia so that their original site of contact with a leaf was rotated away from it, led to the majority of first-formed germ tubes growing away from the leaf, i.e. emerging close to the site of original contact. The experiments indicated that the site of germ tube emergence is determined within 1 min of deposition. This implicated the release of conidial extracellular materials in recognition of the conidium-leaf surface contact site.