Consumption Planning Research Articles

Intelligent Energy Management across Smart Grids Deploying 6G IoT, AI, and Blockchain in Sustainable Smart Cities

In response to the growing need for enhanced energy management in smart grids in sustainable smart cities, this study addresses the critical need for grid stability and efficient integration of renewable energy sources, utilizing advanced technologies like 6G IoT, AI, and blockchain. By deploying a suite of machine learning models like decision trees, XGBoost, support vector machines, and optimally tuned artificial neural networks, grid load fluctuations are predicted, especially during peak demand periods, to prevent overloads and ensure consistent power delivery. Additionally, long short-term memory recurrent neural networks analyze weather data to forecast solar energy production accurately, enabling better energy consumption planning. For microgrid management within individual buildings or clusters, deep Q reinforcement learning dynamically manages and optimizes photovoltaic energy usage, enhancing overall efficiency. The integration of a sophisticated visualization dashboard provides real-time updates and facilitates strategic planning by making complex data accessible. Lastly, the use of blockchain technology in verifying energy consumption readings and transactions promotes transparency and trust, which is crucial for the broader adoption of renewable resources. The combined approach not only stabilizes grid operations but also fosters the reliability and sustainability of energy systems, supporting a more robust adoption of renewable energies.

A Generalised Additive Model and Deep Learning Method for Cross-Validating the North Atlantic Oscillation Index

This study introduces an innovative analytical methodology for examining the interconnections among the atmosphere, ocean, and society. The primary area of interest pertains to the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), a notable phenomenon characterised by daily to decadal fluctuations in atmospheric conditions over the Northern Hemisphere. The NAO has a prominent impact on winter weather patterns in North America, Europe, and to some extent, Asia. This impact has significant ramifications for civilization, as well as for marine, freshwater, and terrestrial ecosystems, and food chains. Accurate predictions of the surface NAO hold significant importance for society in terms of energy consumption planning and adaptation to severe winter conditions, such as winter wind and snowstorms, which can result in property damage and disruptions to transportation networks. Moreover, it is crucial to improve climate forecasts in order to bolster the resilience of food systems. This would enable producers to quickly respond to expected changes and make the required modifications, such as adjusting their food output or expanding their product range, in order to reduce potential hazards. The forecast centres prioritise and actively research the predictability and variability of the NAO. Nevertheless, it is increasingly evident that conventional analytical methods and prediction models that rely solely on scientific methodologies are inadequate in comprehensively addressing the transdisciplinary dimension of NAO variability. This includes a comprehensive view of research, forecasting, and social ramifications. This study introduces a new framework that combines sophisticated Big Data analytic techniques and forecasting tools using a generalised additive model to investigate the fluctuations of the NAO and the interplay between the ocean and atmosphere. Additionally, it explores innovative approaches to analyze the socio-economic response associated with these phenomena using text mining tools, specifically modern deep learning techniques. The analysis is conducted on an extensive corpora of free text information sourced from media outlets, public companies, government reports, and newspapers. Overall, the result shows that the NAO index has been reproduced well by the Deep-NAO model with a correlation coefficient of 0.74.

A Hybrid Deep Learning Model to Estimate the Future Electricity Demand of Sustainable Cities

Rapid population growth, economic growth, and technological developments in recent years have led to a significant increase in electricity consumption. Therefore, the estimation of electrical energy demand is crucial for the planning of electricity generation and consumption in cities. This study proposes a hybrid deep learning model that combines convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) techniques, both of which are deep learning techniques, to estimate electrical load demand. A hybrid deep learning model and LSTM model were applied to a dataset containing hourly electricity consumption and meteorological information of a city in Türkiye from 2017 to 2021. The results were evaluated using mean absolute percent error (MAPE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and coefficient of determination (R2) metrics. The proposed CNN-LSTM hybrid model was compared to the LSTM model, with lower MAPE, MAE, and RMSE values. Furthermore, the CNN-LSTM model exhibited superior prediction performance with an R2 value of 0.8599 compared to the LSTM model with an R2 value of 0.8086. These results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed deep learning model in accurately estimating future electrical load demand to plan electricity generation for sustainable cities.

Wind Power Station Efficiency Increase Methods Based on Wind Turbine Condition Process Mathematical Modelling when Distributing Electric Power Between the Consumers in Arctic and Far North Regions

The relevance of wind power plant efficient control method based on wind turbine condition process mathematical modeling is proved for electric power distribution between consumers, intended to minimize decision-making time on technological process redistribution of electric power production for another consumer by means of actual information on equipment failure time (wind turbine, electric power stocking system), that provides optimum power production and consumption planning in northern regions. The review of the basic mathematical modeling methods of electric power redistribution between consumers that showed there are certain problem statements with insufficient descriptions of mathematical models or the absence of ready and effective methods to solve them, in particular, wind turbine condition process mathematical modeling for electric power distribution to consumers in northern regions. As a result of the analysis of wind power plant efficient control method on the basis of wind turbine condition process mathematical modeling to distribute electric power to consumers in northern regions game theory and pulse system functioning mathematical methods application based on difference equations is expedient. The decision-making strategies stipulated by 'nature' (working capacity or wind turbine failure), the scheduler (repair or wind turbine redistribution) and a condition of phase co-ordinate (repair, idle, redistribution or operation wind turbine modes) are defined. On the basis of the accepted strategy and use of step function Heaviside F(t) for fixing of technological process time, the description of the wind turbine condition equation was made providing operative failure time information access on because due to idle time, redistribution or repair that provides optimum electric power production planning for a consumer.

Demand Management for Manufacturing Loads Considering Temperature Control under Dynamic Electricity Prices

Demand response (DR) can provide extra scheduling flexibility for power systems. Different from industrial and residential loads, the production process of manufacturing loads includes multiple production links, and complex material flow and energy flow are closely coupled, which can be seen as a typical nondeterministic polynomial-time (NP) hard problem. In addition, there is a coupling effect between the temperature-controlled loads (TCLs) and the manufacturing loads, which has often been ignored in previous research, resulting in conservative electricity consumption planning. This paper proposes an optimal demand management for the manufacturing industry. Firstly, the power consumption characteristics of manufacturing loads are analyzed in detail. A state task network (STN) is introduced to decouple the relationship between energy and material flow in each production link. Combining STN and production equipment parameters, a general MILP model is constructed to describe the whole production process of the manufacturing industry. Then, a mathematical model of the TCLs considering a comfortable human degree is established. Fully considering the electricity consumption behavior of equipment and TCLs, the model predictive control (MPC) method is adopted to generate the optimal scheduling plan. Finally, an actual seat production enterprise is used to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed demand management strategy.

Review about evaluation methods of recoverable reserves of deep water drive gas reservoirs in China

It has been widely accepted that China is one of the biggest natural gas consumers. Related to the imports of LNG, China stands in a very uncomfortable situation. Most domestic gas reservoirs fall within deep water drive gas reservoirs inordinately, which has entered the production depletion stage. Accurate estimation of SEC recoverable reserves of deep water drive gas reservoirs is of great significance for gas consumption planning and peak shaving. The existing calculation methods of recoverable reserves mainly consist of static methods and dynamic methods. In the early stage of exploration and development, the volumetric method has often been utilized to calculate the recoverable reserves. With the continuous development of gas reservoirs, the main methods for evaluation are dynamic methods, including the successive subtraction of production method, water drive curve method, prediction model method, attenuation curve method, improved virtual curve method, and material balance method for deep gas reservoirs.

Mathematical modeling of minimization of electricity consumption by industrial enterprises with continuous production

Relevance. Determined by the importance of minimizing electrical power consumption in industrial enterprises with continuous production, considering the specific characteristics of their technological processes and the requirements to maintain the output volume of their products. Aim. To solve the task of minimizing electrical power consumption based on a mathematical model and gradient method under optimal planning of the production volume of the industrial enterprises with continuous production; to develop a mathematical model for optimal distribution of production over a time cycle (month, quarter, year) across departments, taking into account both simple and functional constraints, derived from the condition of ensuring minimal electrical power consumption in industrial enterprises with continuous production. Methods. When developing the mathematical model for ensuring minimal electrical power consumption while preserving the production volume, classic Lagrange optimization methods were used. To ensure sufficient calculation accuracy, iterative methods were also applied. For the task under consideration, a calculation error margin of ε=0,1 was assumed and established. It is known that the choice of calculation error margin depends on the specifics of the problem at hand and the decision-maker. To verify the adequacy of the developed model, the method of finding the relative extremum of a function of several variables was used. Results. The use of the mathematical model, which takes into account the nature of the technological process and boundary conditions in both simple and integral forms, demonstrated the feasibility of optimal planning of electrical power consumption by the enterprise. The effectiveness of the developed approaches was verified using a metallurgical enterprise as an example of an industrial enterprise with continuous production, in solving the task of minimizing electrical power consumption for products produced during the reporting period. The use of the proposed model allowed for a reduction in annual electrical power consumption by 2.5% while maintaining the same production volume. One of the classic optimization methods – the method of finding the relative extremum of functions of several variables – showed almost identical results upon verification. This serves as further evidence of the adequacy of the proposed model.

Short-term Electricity Load Forecasting Based on Improved Seagull Algorithm Optimized Gated Recurrent Unit Neural Network

INTRODUCTION: The complexity of the power network, changes in weather conditions, diverse geographical locations, and holiday activities comprehensively affect the normal operation of power loads. Power load changes have characteristics such as non stationarity, randomness, seasonality, and high volatility. Therefore, how to construct accurate short-term power load forecasting models has become the key to the normal operation and maintenance of power.OBJECTIVES: Accurate short-term power load forecasting helps to arrange power consumption planning, optimize power usage and largely reduce power system losses and operating costs.METHODS: A hybrid decomposition-optimization-integration load forecasting method is proposed to address the problems of low accuracy of current short-term power load forecasting methods.RESULTS: The original power load time series is decomposed using the complete ensemble empirical modal decomposition method, while the correlation of power load influencing factors is analysed using Pearson correlation coefficients. The seagull optimisation algorithm is overcome to fall into local optimality by using the random adaptive non-linear adjustment strategy of manipulated variables and the differential variational Levy flight strategy, which improves the search efficiency of the algorithm. Then, the The gated cyclic unit hidden layer parameters are optimised by the improved seagull optimisation algorithm to construct a short-term electricity load forecasting model.The effectiveness of the proposed method is verified by simulation experimental analysis. The results show that the proposed method has improved the accuracy of the forecasting model.CONCLUSION: The CEEMD method is used to decompose the original load time series, which improves the accuracy of the measurement model. The GRU prediction model based on improved SOA optimization not only has better prediction accuracy than other prediction models, but also consumes the least amount of time compared to other prediction models.

Analysis of climate-meteorological and technological factors affecting electricity consumption of mining enterprises

Electricity consumption of mining enterprises depends on many factors. The influence of factors on the process of electricity consumption is complex and diverse, and it is impossible to describe it within the framework of deterministic methods, due to the uncertainty of the conditions that determine the influence of factors. These factors include mining geological, mining technological, climate-meteorological, energetic, organizational, operational and others. Energy consumption regimes of mining enterprises depend on many mining technological factors, most of which are insufficiently taken into account in the analysis and planning of electricity consumption.

Optimal trajectory planning of robot energy consumption based on improved sparrow search algorithm

In order to reduce the energy consumption of the welding robot and ensure the cooperative movement of the robot joints, a trajectory planning method with optimal energy consumption based on improved sparrow search algorithm is proposed. Firstly, the trajectory planning model with optimal energy consumption is established based on the joint torque and angular velocity of the robot. To make the velocity, acceleration and jerk of each joint of the robot be bounded and continuous, the joint space trajectory is constructed with seventh degree B-spline curve. The total energy consumption of the robot is calculated by combining kinematic and dynamic parameters. On the basis of improved sparrow search algorithm, the time series corresponding to the optimal energy consumption is solved by using elite reverse learning, non-dominated sorting and Gaussian-Cauchy variation strategy, and then the optimal continuous motion trajectory of energy consumption is planned. The simulation results show that the proposed method can not only achieve continuous smooth control objective, but also effectively reduce energy consumption.

A Dynamic Interrelationships among Clean Energy, Environmental Pollution, and Economic Growth in GCC Economies: A Panel ARDL Approach

The paper investigates the interplay between clean energy, environmental pollution reduction, and economic growth in the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries from 1980 to 2019, utilizing the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) method. The study underscores the global transition towards cleaner energy sources and its implications for the region. In assessing the determinants of economic growth, the findings reveal a positive and significant short- and long-term impact of energy production, with energy consumption exhibiting a positive and significant effect solely in the long term. The absence of a confirmed relationship in the short term is notable. Causality tests demonstrate a significant link from both energy consumption types to environmental pollution, alongside causal relationships from urbanization, energy production, and consumption to economic growth. Moreover, the results include the pivotal role of energy production in driving GDP growth, caution in short-term energy consumption effects, and significant causal links between energy consumption and environmental pollution. The recommendations to incentivize sustainable energy production, engage in long-term energy consumption planning, and adopt integrated urbanization policies provide actionable insights for policymakers. These suggestions are aimed at guiding the GCC countries in balancing the pursuit of economic growth with environmental sustainability—a delicate equilibrium that necessitates careful consideration of various factors.

Eco-Friendly Consumption and Sustainable Energy Investments: A Framework for Personal Wealth Accumulation and Consumption Planning

Eco-Friendly Consumption and Sustainable Energy Investments: A Framework for Personal Wealth Accumulation and Consumption Planning

DelayNet: Enhancing Temporal Feature Extraction for Electronic Consumption Forecasting with Delayed Dilated Convolution

In the face of increasing irregular temperature patterns and climate shifts, the need for accurate power consumption prediction is becoming increasingly important to ensure a steady supply of electricity. Existing deep learning models have sought to improve prediction accuracy but commonly require greater computational demands. In this research, on the other hand, we introduce DelayNet, a lightweight deep learning model that maintains model efficiency while accommodating extended time sequences. Our DelayNet is designed based on the observation that electronic series data exhibit recurring irregular patterns over time. Furthermore, we present two substantial datasets of electricity consumption records from South Korean buildings spanning nearly two years. Empirical findings demonstrate the model’s performance, achieving 21.23%, 43.60%, 17.05% and 21.71% improvement compared to recurrent neural networks, gated-recurrent units, temporal convolutional neural networks and ARIMA models, as well as greatly reducing model complexity and computational requirements. These findings indicate the potential for micro-level power consumption planning, as lightweight models can be implemented on edge devices.

Smart home adoption factors: A systematic literature review and research agenda.

Smart homes represent the complement of various automation technologies that together make up a network of devices facilitating the daily tasks of residents. These technologies are being studied for their application from different sectors, including the projection of their use to improve energy consumption planning and health care management. However, technology adoption depends on social awareness within the scope of cognitive advantages and innovations compared to perceived risk because although there are multiple benefits, potential users express fears related to the loss of autonomy and security. This study carries out a systematic literature review based on PRISMA in order to analyze research trends and literary evolution in the technological adoption of smart homes, considering the main theories and variables applied by the community. In proposing a research agenda in accordance with the identified gaps and the growing and emerging themes of the object of study, it is worth highlighting the growing interest in the subject, both for the present and its development in the future. Until now, adoption factors have been attributed more to the technological acceptance model and the diffusion of innovation theory, adopting components of the Theory of Planned Behavior; therefore, in several cases, the attributes of different theories are merged to adapt to the needs of each researcher, promoting the creation of empirical and extended models.

Reliable Long-Term Energy Load Trend Prediction Model for Smart Grid Using Hierarchical Decomposition Self-Attention Network

Extending the length of time series forecasting has a long-term impact on smart grid energy consumption planning, residential electricity monitoring, extreme weather warning, and other real applications. This article studies the reliable long-term load trend forecasting approaches in smart grid environment. In recent years, the improved neural networks models based on self-attention mechanism show good performances in many sequence tasks, but most studies focus on reducing the complexity of networks layer, and can not restrain the increase of calculation error in longer distance forecasting scenarios. Also, most models lack the ability to mine potential high-dimensional features of time series. Based on these problems, we design a reliable hierarchical self-attention model named as long-term stability network (LTSNet), which adopts a tree-shaped decomposition neural network architecture based on hierarchical residual self-attention blocks, to top-down incrementally mine high-dimensional features of temporal components. At the same time, the attention matrix is used for feature interaction at each layer, to reduce the distribution gap between time series fragments in different domains. Compared with existing study models, LTSNet maintains stable forecasting performance and speed in long-term forecasting services, achieved the most reliable multivariate and univariate forecasting results in multiple domain scenarios. Compared with the latest models, the forecasting accuracy of the proposed model is improved by 22.8% and 13.8%, respectively, covering three applications: energy consumption, residential electricity consumption, and weather forecasting. At the same time, our experiments verify that the hierarchical decomposition networks can be used as a backbone architecture to effectively extended to longer dimensional load trend forecasting scenarios.

Using a Novel Fractal-Time-Series Prediction Model to Predict Coal Consumption

Currently, coal is still the main energy source for China’s economic development, and the environmental issues caused by coal consumption have aroused widespread concern. Predicting and analyzing coal consumption will help to formulate a higher level of energy consumption planning and economic development strategy. The main purpose of this study is to develop a new fractal time-series prediction (FTSP) model to predict coal consumption, providing reference for formulating effective energy consumption planning and economic development strategies. Hurst index is an important indicator of whether time-series data have long memory and fractal characteristics. This paper uses the rescaled range (R/S) method to calculate Hurst index of the coal consumption per-10000-Yuan-GDP (CC/GDP). The Hurst index is 0.8025, exceeding 0.5, indicating that the time-series data CC/GDP has a long memory and fractal characteristic. Based on this, this paper uses the FTSP model to predict China’s coal consumption (CC/GDP). The prediction results show that the FTSP model accurately predicted China’s coal consumption with a relative error rate (RER) of less than 5% and a mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 6.62%. The model predicts a decrease in China’s coal consumption from 0.25 tons of standard coal in 2021 to 0.11 tons of standard coal in 2030, a decrease of 44%. To sum up, the FTSP model provides a new and accurate way to predict coal consumption, and the results suggest that China’s coal consumption is sustainable and will decrease significantly in the coming years. This study has important implications for energy consumption planning and economic development strategies.

Demand planning of a nearly zero energy building in a PV/grid-connected system

The energy consumption planning of smart homes connected to a grid with flexible power pricing, and complemented with a local PV installation, is studied. Advanced energy management is necessary to implement the Nearly Zero Energy Building (nZEB) concept in these smart homes. To do so, in the Energy Management System, it is essential to consider the flexibility provided by power pricing schemes, the distributed generation from renewable energies and the use of smart household appliances. This paper studies a novel formulation that depends on the comfort index required by the user, the PV power production, and the price variation of the grid energy. The study is performed on two levels: in the first, a metaheuristic multi-start, consisting of two steps, constructive heuristics and refinement heuristics (local search), is proposed to regulate the power demand of household appliances. The second level consists of determining the optimum PV installation that ensures the economic viability of the plant. The novelty of the paper is that the user defines a desired comfort level as input data, and the algorithm defines a demand plan that meets this comfort at the lowest possible cost. Six real case studies were carried out, considering the insertion of photovoltaic generation, to evaluate the performance of the proposed model from a technical and economic point of view. The results show that the proposed approach allows user requirements to be fulfilled and the energy production cost to be minimized. Without needing to reduce user comfort, the proposed demand planning algorithm can reduce the energy cost by 48.07 %. In this same scenario, combining the proposed method and the insertion of a photovoltaic system composed of 15 modules (Scenario 6), the total energy cost is reduced by 73.90 %.

The Use of the Imperialist Competitive Algorithm in Optimising the Setting of the Tram Speed Controller in the Development of a Matlab-Simulink Environment

Estimating the electric power used by railway vehicles is an important factor in the planning of future power consumption, looking for possibilities to reduce the use of electric power and therefore also reduce carbon emissions. To improve the estimation, we used the imperialist competitive algorithm in the optimisation process of a mathematical model of a tram vehicle. Specifically, in the setting of the proportional and summation constant of the vehicle speed controller which emulates the activity of the driver in the simulation. Our work presents a new approach to optimising the estimation of energy consumption in tram transport. The method used is based on mathematical modelling and simulation of social development in human society. To obtain the input data for the simulation, we performed a measurement of the reference speed by means of a GPS receiver located in a sample tram vehicle. Subsequently, to verify the model and energy calculation results, we measured the output currents and voltage from the traction converter station at the corresponding time. Our method achieved a 93 % match between the measured and simulated power consumption.

Selecting optimal power consumption patterns in the Republic of Altai local grid system based on renewable and alternative power sources

The authors develop a system of optimal planning of power consumption in the Republic of Altai local grid system based on a large proportion of renewable and alternative generating power sources. The studies were carried out using the linear programming method for power consumption patterns used by generating consumers. Power consumption charts by seasons and hourly retrospective rows of weather data by wind current velocity and solar insolation over 2021 were used as source data. Wind turbines, solar photovoltaic facilities, hydro-power plants, and energy accumulators were considered as local power consumption facilities to calculate electricity generation. The article provides calculation results for electricity generation in winter, since this is when a higher power deficiency is observed. It was shown that power consumers in the region under study can independently install additional generating power sources in the form of wind turbines, solar photovoltaic facilities, hydro-power plants, and energy accumulators due to electricity deficiency. Their combined generation mitigates the unpredictability of power generation by renewable sources. The authors propose a method that allows generating consumers to minimize their material and financial expenses and reduce the carbon footprint. The significance of the study consists in the substantiation of a hybrid power supply system with a high proportion of renewable and alternative power sources, which is implemented in the Republic of Altai and can be reproduced in other local energy systems with similar weather conditions.

Age–energy‐aware trajectory planning for UAV‐assisted data collection in Internet of Things

AbstractUnmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) are employed as mobile relay nodes to enable timely remote monitoring by collecting information from monitoring devices and transferring the collected information to base station. The freshness of delivered information is critical to system performance, which can be quantified by the concept of age of information (AoI). Nevertheless, the fresher information comes at the cost of higher energy consumption at UAVs. Considering the limited onboard energy, it is essential to strike a balance between the age of delivered information and the required energy budget. here, both straight trajectory and circular trajectory of UAV are considered, and study a problem with the goal of supporting timely data collection while minimizing the energy consumption at UAV. The problem is formulated as a multi‐criteria optimization problem by jointly considering the aging of collected information, the trajectory planning of UAV and energy consumption at UAV. To solve the formulated problem, a solution procedure to find a sequence of Pareto‐optimal points is proposed. Simulation results demonstrate the Pareto‐optimal curve, which yields the energy‐efficient UAV trajectory for timely data collection.