Confirmed Disability Worsening Research Articles

Sustained Effectiveness and Safety Over Time of Teriflunomide in Chinese Patients with Relapsing Multiple Sclerosis in the Greater Bay Area of China: Insights from Real-World Data.

The real-world data on the medium- to long-term effectiveness and safety of teriflunomide in Chinese patients with relapsing multiple sclerosis (MS) is limited. Therefore, this study aims to assess the treatment outcomes of teriflunomide in Chinese patients with MS over a medium- to long-term period. This cohort study was carried out in three tertiary hospitals and regional MS centers located in the Greater Bay Area of China. We obtained the historical clinical data of patients who underwent teriflunomide treatment for at least 6months. The primary objective was to evaluate the proportion of patients achieving no evidence of disease activity (NEDA)-3 status, which is characterized by the absence of relapses, confirmed disability worsening, and new or enlarging MRI lesions, over time. Secondary objectives included assessing the proportion of patients meeting each NEDA-3 criterion, changes in motor and cognitive function, as well as the incidence of adverse events and treatment discontinuations. A total of 160 patients with MS were enrolled, including 125 patients treated with teriflunomide for at least 1year (≥ 1-year completers) and 71 patients treated for at least 2years (≥ 2-year completers). A total of 85.63% of the overall population achieved clinical NEDA-3 status at 6months of teriflunomide treatment, and 71.20% of ≥ 1-year completers achieved NEDA-3 status at 12months of teriflunomide treatment. The median timed 25-foot walk test (T25FW), nine-hole peg test (9-HPT), and paced auditory serial addition test (PASAT) results were relatively stable before and after treatment. Medium- to long-term MS disease activity, as indicated by NEDA-3 status, is well controlled in patients treated with continuous teriflunomide treatment in real-world settings.

Comparative Effectiveness of Natalizumab, Fingolimod, and Injectable Therapies in Pediatric-Onset Multiple Sclerosis: A Registry-Based Study.

Patients with pediatric-onset multiple sclerosis (POMS) typically experience higher levels of inflammation with more frequent relapses, and though patients with POMS usually recover from relapses better than adults, patients with POMS reach irreversible disability at a younger age than adult-onset patients. There have been few randomized, placebo-controlled clinical trials of multiple sclerosis (MS) disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) in patients with POMS, and most available data are based on observational studies of off-label use of DMTs approved for adults. We assessed the effectiveness of natalizumab compared with fingolimod using injectable platform therapies as a reference in pediatric patients in the global MSBase registry. This retrospective study included patients with POMS who initiated treatment with an injectable DMT, natalizumab, or fingolimod between January 1, 2006, and May 3, 2021. Patients were matched using inverse probability treatment weighting. The primary outcome was time to first relapse from index therapy initiation. Secondary study outcomes included annualized relapse rate; proportions of relapse-free patients at 1, 2, and 5 years; time to treatment discontinuation; and times to 24-week confirmed disability worsening and confirmed disability improvement. A total of 1,218 patients with POMS were included in this analysis. Patients treated with fingolimod had a significantly lower risk of relapse than patients treated with injectable DMTs (hazard ratio [HR], 0.49; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.29-0.83; p = 0.008). After adjustment for prior DMT experience in the unmatched sample, patients treated with natalizumab had a significantly lower risk of relapse than patients treated either with injectable DMTs (HR, 0.15; 95% CI 0.07-0.31; p < 0.001) or fingolimod (HR, 0.37; 95% CI 0.14-1.00; p = 0.049). The adjusted secondary study outcomes were generally consistent with the primary outcome or with previous observations. The findings in the inverse probability treatment weighting-adjusted patient populations were confirmed in multiple sensitivity analyses. Our analyses of relapse risk suggest that natalizumab is more effective than fingolimod in the control of relapses in this population with high rates of new inflammatory activity, consistent with previous studies of natalizumab and fingolimod in adult-onset patients and POMS. In addition, both fingolimod and natalizumab were more effective than first-line injectable therapies. This study provides Class II evidence that patients with POMS treated with natalizumab had a lower risk of relapse than those with fingolimod.

Association between sun exposure habits and disease progression in multiple sclerosis.

Higher latitude has been associated with increased occurrence of multiple sclerosis (MS) and with more severe disease. The aim was to study the impact of sun exposure habits on MS disease progression and health-related quality of life. Patients from a population-based case-control study were categorized based on sun exposure habits at diagnosis and were followed up to 15 years post-diagnosis through the Swedish MS registry (n = 3314) with regard to changes in Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS). Linear mixed models were used to analyse long-term changes, while Cox regression models, with 95% confidence intervals, were used to investigate outcomes, including 24-week confirmed diasability worsening, EDSS3, EDSS4, and physical worsening as measured by the physical component of the Multiple Sclerosis Impact Scale 29. Compared to average sun exposure (median value), low exposure to sunlight was associated with faster EDSS progression, increased risk of confirmed disability worsening (hazard ratio [HR] 1.48, 95% CI 1.21-1.81), increased risk of reaching EDSS 3 (HR 1.35, 95% CI 1.02-1.79), EDSS 4 (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.01-2.20) and self-reported physical worsening (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.00-1.62). Significant trends revealed a lower risk of unfavourable outcomes with increasing sun exposure. Very low levels of sun exposure are associated with worse disease progression and health-related quality of life in patients with MS.

Long-term clinical outcomes in patients with multiple sclerosis who are initiating disease-modifying therapy with natalizumab compared with BRACETD first-line therapies.

Aggressive disease control soon after multiple sclerosis (MS) diagnosis may prevent irreversible neurological damage, and therefore early initiation of a high-efficacy disease-modifying therapy (DMT) is of clinical relevance. Evaluate long-term clinical outcomes in patients with MS who initiated treatment with either natalizumab or a BRACETD therapy (interferon beta, glatiramer acetate, teriflunomide, or dimethyl fumarate). This retrospective analysis utilized data from MSBase to create a matched population allowing comparison of first-line natalizumab to first-line BRACETD. This study included patients who initiated treatment either with natalizumab or a BRACETD DMT within 1 year of MS diagnosis and continued treatment for ⩾6 months, after which patients could switch DMTs or discontinue treatment. Patients had a minimum follow-up time of ⩾60 months from initiation. A subgroup analysis compared the natalizumab group to patients in the BRACETD group who escalated therapy after 6 months. Outcomes included unadjusted annualized relapse rates (ARRs), time-to-first relapse, time-to-first confirmed disability improvement (CDI), and time-to-first confirmed disability worsening (CDW). After 1:1 propensity score matching, 355 BRACETD patients were matched to 355 natalizumab patients. Patients initiating natalizumab were less likely to experience a relapse over the duration of follow-up, with ARRs [95% confidence interval (CI)] of 0.080 (0.070-0.092) for natalizumab patients and 0.191 (0.178-0.205) for BRACETD patients (p < 0.0001). A Cox regression model of time-to-first relapse showed a reduced risk of relapse for natalizumab patients [hazard ratio (95% CI) of 0.52 (0.42-0.65); p < 0.001] and a more favorable time-to-first CDI. The risk of CDW was similar between groups. The subgroup analysis showed an increased relapse risk as well as a significantly higher risk of CDW for BRACETD patients. Early initiation of natalizumab produced long-term benefits in relapse outcomes in comparison with BRACETD, regardless of a subsequent escalation in therapy.

Comparative effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of natalizumab and fingolimod in rapidly evolving severe relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in the United Kingdom

Aim To evaluate the real-world comparative effectiveness and the cost-effectiveness, from a UK National Health Service perspective, of natalizumab versus fingolimod in patients with rapidly evolving severe relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RES-RRMS). Methods Real-world data from the MSBase Registry were obtained for patients with RES-RRMS who were previously either naive to disease-modifying therapies or had been treated with interferon-based therapies, glatiramer acetate, dimethyl fumarate, or teriflunomide (collectively known as BRACETD). Matched cohorts were selected by 3-way multinomial propensity score matching, and the annualized relapse rate (ARR) and 6-month–confirmed disability worsening (CDW6M) and improvement (CDI6M) were compared between treatment groups. Comparative effectiveness results were used in a cost-effectiveness model comparing natalizumab and fingolimod, using an established Markov structure over a lifetime horizon with health states based on the Expanded Disability Status Scale. Additional model data sources included the UK MS Survey 2015, published literature, and publicly available sources. Results In the comparative effectiveness analysis, we found a significantly lower ARR for patients starting natalizumab compared with fingolimod (rate ratio [RR] = 0.65; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.57–0.73) or BRACETD (RR = 0.46; 95% CI, 0.42–0.53). Similarly, CDI6M was higher for patients starting natalizumab compared with fingolimod (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.25; 95% CI, 1.01–1.55) and BRACETD (HR = 1.46; 95% CI, 1.16–1.85). In patients starting fingolimod, we found a lower ARR (RR = 0.72; 95% CI, 0.65–0.80) compared with starting BRACETD, but no difference in CDI6M (HR = 1.17; 95% CI, 0.91–1.50). Differences in CDW6M were not found between the treatment groups. In the base-case cost-effectiveness analysis, natalizumab dominated fingolimod (0.302 higher quality-adjusted life-years [QALYs] and £17,141 lower predicted lifetime costs). Similar cost-effectiveness results were observed across sensitivity analyses. Conclusions This MSBase Registry analysis suggests that natalizumab improves clinical outcomes when compared with fingolimod, which translates to higher QALYs and lower costs in UK patients with RES-RRMS.

Neurofilament Light Chain Elevation and Disability Progression in Multiple Sclerosis

Mechanisms contributing to disability accumulation in multiple sclerosis (MS) are poorly understood. Blood neurofilament light chain (NfL) level, a marker of neuroaxonal injury, correlates robustly with disease activity in people with MS (MS); however, data on the association between NfL level and disability accumulation have been conflicting. To determine whether and when NfL levels are elevated in the context of confirmed disability worsening (CDW). This study included 2 observational cohorts: results from the Expression, Proteomics, Imaging, Clinical (EPIC) study at the University of California San Francisco (since 2004) were confirmed in the Swiss Multiple Sclerosis Cohort (SMSC), a multicenter study in 8 centers since 2012. Data were extracted from EPIC in April 2022 (sampling July 1, 2004, to December 20, 2016) and SMSC in December 2022 (sampling June 6, 2012, to September 2, 2021). The study included 2 observational cohorts in tertiary MS centers. All participants of both cohorts with available NfL results were included in the study, and no eligible participants were excluded or declined to participate. Association between NfL z scores and CDW. CDW was defined as Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) worsening that was confirmed after 6 or more months and classified into CDW associated with clinical relapses (CDW-R) or independent of clinical relapses (CDW-NR). Visits were classified in relation to the disability worsening events into CDW(-2) for 2 visits preceding event, CDW(-1) for directly preceding event, CDW(event) for first diagnosis of EDSS increase, and the confirmation visit. Mixed linear and Cox regression models were used to evaluate NfL dynamics and to assess the association of NfL with future CDW, respectively. A total of 3906 EPIC visits (609 participants; median [IQR] age, 42.0 [35.0-50.0] years; 424 female [69.6%]) and 8901 SMSC visits (1290 participants; median [IQR] age, 41.2 [32.5-49.9] years; 850 female [65.9%]) were included. In CDW-R (EPIC, 36 events; SMSC, 93 events), NfL z scores were 0.71 (95% CI, 0.35-1.07; P < .001) units higher at CDW-R(-1) in EPIC and 0.32 (95% CI, 0.14-0.49; P < .001) in SMSC compared with stable MS samples. NfL elevation could be detected preceding CDW-NR (EPIC, 191 events; SMSC, 342 events) at CDW-NR(-2) (EPIC: 0.23; 95% CI, 0.01-0.45; P = .04; SMSC: 0.28; 95% CI, 0.18-0.37; P < .001) and at CDW-NR(-1) (EPIC: 0.27; 95% CI, 0.11-0.44; P < .001; SMSC: 0.09; 95% CI, 0-0.18; P = .06). Those findings were replicated in the subgroup with relapsing-remitting MS. Time-to-event analysis confirmed the association between NfL levels and future CDW-R within approximately 1 year and CDW-NR (in approximately 1-2 years). This cohort study documents the occurrence of NfL elevation in advance of clinical worsening and may hint to a potential window of ongoing dynamic central nervous system pathology that precedes the diagnosis of CDW.

Progression independent of relapses in aquaporin4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder, myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease, and multiple sclerosis

ObjectivesTo determine whether progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) is present in Aquaporin4-IgG-seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder (AQP4+NMOSD), Myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein antibody-associated disease (MOGAD) and relapsing remitting Multiple sclerosis (RRMS). MethodsWe retrospectively studied the change in EDSS, confirmed disability worsening (CDW) (i.e., PIRA), and new MRI lesions in AQP4+NMOSD, and MOGAD and MS patients. Linear mixed-effect regression model was used to compare the longitudinal changes in EDSS, and Cox regression was used to compare changes in MRI. ResultsThe estimated mean ΔEDSS in the AQP4+NMOSD and matched MS group were +0.06 (95%CI: -0.40, +0.52, p = 0.76), and +0.02 (95%CI: -0.05, +0.08, p = 0.6) respectively. The same estimate was -0.08 (95%CI: -0.18, +0.02, p = 0.12) in MOGAD and +0.05 (95%CI: -0.05, +0.15, p = 0.35) in matched MS group. Comparing groups for the presence of CDW (i.e., PIRA) showed that PIRA is more associated with MS compared to AQP4+NMOSD (p = 0.02) and MOGAD (p<0.001). Compared to their matched MS groups, the annualized rate of PIRA was significantly lower in AQP4 (0.08 vs 0.44; p<0.0001), and MOG groups (0.04 vs 0.13; p<0.0001). New T2 or enhancing lesions on brain MRI were higher in MS compared to AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD patients. ConclusionRelapse-independent changes in the EDSS, CDW, and MRI activity are not common in AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD, especially when compared with MS. Since our patients were on relapse prevention therapies at the time of EDSS measurements, our study supports the importance of preventing relapses in AQP4+NMOSD and MOGAD and suggests different pathologic mechanisms of relapse-free neurological damage between MS and AQP4+NMOSD/MOGAD.

Assessing treatment response to oral drugs for multiple sclerosis in real-world setting: a MAGNIMS Study

BackgroundThe assessment of treatment response is a crucial step for patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis on disease-modifying therapies (DMTs). We explored whether a scoring system developed within the MAGNIMS (MRI...

Association of MRI leptomeningeal enhancement with disability worsening in progressive multiple sclerosis: A clinical and post-mortem study

Background: Leptomeningeal enhancement (LME) has been described as a biomarker of meningeal inflammation in multiple sclerosis (MS). Objective: The aim of this study was to (1) assess if LME is predictive of disability worsening in progressive MS (pMS) patients and (2) investigate the pathological substrates of LME in an independent post-mortem MS series. Methods: In total, 115 pMS patients were imaged yearly with 1.5T MRI, using post-contrast CUBE 3D FLAIR for LME detection. Endpoint: to identify the baseline variables predictive of confirmed disability worsening (CDW) at 24 months follow-up. Post-mortem, inflammation, and structural changes of the leptomeninges were assessed in 12 MS/8 control brains. Results: LME (27% of patients at baseline) was associated with higher EDSS and lower brain volume (nBV). LME was unchanged in most patients over follow-up. LME at baseline MRI was independently associated with higher risk of 24 months CDW (HR 3.05, 95% CI 1.36–6.84, p = 0.007) in a Cox regression, including age, nBV, T2 lesion volume, high-efficacy treatments, and MRI disease activity. Post-mortem, focal structural changes (fibrosis) of the leptomeninges were observed in MS, usually associated with inflammation (Kendall’s Tau 0.315, p < 0.0001). Conclusions: LME is frequently detected in pMS patients using 1.5T MRI and is independently predictive of disability progression. LME could result from both focal leptomeningeal post-inflammatory fibrosis and inflammation.

A five-year observational prospective mono-center study of the efficacy of alemtuzumab in a real-world cohort of patients with multiple sclerosis.

Alemtuzumab (ALZ) is a pulsed immune reconstitution therapy for multiple sclerosis (MS). To assess basic characteristics, therapeutic effects, and prognostic biomarkers on clinical and imaging parameters of disease activity for relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) patients selected for ALZ, in a real-world long-term setting. Fifty-one RRMS patients [female = 31; mean age 36 (standard deviation 7.1) years; median expanded disability status scale (EDSS) 2 (interquartile range (IQR) 1.5)] initiating ALZ treatment, were consecutively included. Patients were assessed at baseline and thereafter annually for 5 years with clinical measures, symbol digit modality test (SDMT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Concentrations of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP), reflecting astrogliosis, and neurofilament light (NfL), reflecting axonal damage, were measured in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and serum samples collected at baseline and after 2 years in CSF, and annually in serum. Control subjects were symptomatic controls (SCs, n = 27), who were examined at baseline and after 5 years without evidence of neurological disease. While the mean annualized relapse rate was significantly reduced from baseline at each year of follow-up, disability was essentially maintained at a median EDSS of 1.5 and IQR between 1.13 and 2.25. New MRI activity was recorded in 26 patients (53%) over 5 years. The proportion of patients who achieved no evidence of disease activity (NEDA-3), 6-months confirmed disability worsening (CDW), and 6-months confirmed disability improvement (CDI) at 5 years were 33, 31, and 31%, respectively. The SDMT score was reduced for patients (p < 0.001), but unchanged for SCs. ALZ treatment did not change GFAP levels, whereas there was a significant decrease for RRMS patients in median CSF and serum NfL levels at follow-up [CSF month 24: 456 pg./mL (IQR 285.4) (p = 0.05); serum month 24: 6.7 pg/mL (IQR 4.7) (p < 0.01); serum month 60: 7.2 pg/mL (IQR 4.7) (p < 0.01)], compared to baseline [CSF: 1014 pg/mL (IQR 2832.5); serum 8.6 pg/mL (IQR 17.4)]. In this real-world mono-center population, we observed a progression-free survival of 69%, cumulative NEDA-3 of 33%, and reduced NfL levels, over a five-year follow-up. This confirms ALZ as an effective pulsed immune reconstitution therapy that significantly reduces neuro axonal loss, and therefore has the potential to reduce long-term neurological disability. ALZ did not appear to affect astrogliosis.

Efficacy and safety of four-year ofatumumab treatment in relapsing multiple sclerosis: The ALITHIOS open-label extension

Background: Ofatumumab has demonstrated superior efficacy and favorable safety for up to 2.5 years versus teriflunomide in relapsing multiple sclerosis (RMS). Objective: Further characterize efficacy and safety of ofatumumab in RMS. Methods: Efficacy set: patients randomized to ofatumumab/teriflunomide in ASCLEPIOS I/II (core). Safety set: patients who received ⩾ 1 dose of ofatumumab in ASCLEPIOS I/II, APLIOS, APOLITOS (all core), or ALITHIOS (umbrella open-label extension). Patients received continuous ofatumumab or were newly switched from teriflunomide. Data cut-off: 25 September 2021. Results: In the efficacy set (n = 1882), the continuous ofatumumab group had a low annualized relapse rate (ARR 0.05 (95% confidence interval: 0.04–0.07)), low numbers of gadolinium-enhancing (Gd+) T1 lesions (0.01 lesions/scan) and fewer new/enlarging T2 lesions (annualized rate 0.08). Overall, 78.8% met three-parameter “no evidence of disease activity” criteria through 4 years. Switching from teriflunomide led to reduced ARR, risk of confirmed disability worsening (CDW), new/enlarging T2 lesions, Gd+ T1 lesions, and serum neurofilament light chain. In the continuous and newly switched ofatumumab groups, cumulative 3- and 6-month CDW rates remained low. In the safety set (n = 1969), the most frequently reported adverse events were infections and infestations (58.35%). No new safety signals were identified. Conclusion: Ofatumumab has a favorable longer-term benefit–risk profile in RMS. Trial registry: ALITHIOS (NCT03650114): https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT03650114

Does initial high efficacy therapy in multiple sclerosis surpass escalation treatment strategy? A comparison of patients with relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis in the Czech and Swedish national multiple sclerosis registries.

In relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) the most common treatment strategy has been to start with low-moderate efficacy disease modifying therapy (LE-DMT) and to escalate to more efficacious treatments in cases of breakthrough disease activity. However, recent evidence suggests a better outcome in patients commencing with moderate-high efficacy DMT (HE-DMT) immediately after clinical onset. The aim of this study is to compare disease activity and disability outcomes in patients treated with the two alternative strategies using the Swedish and Czech national multiple sclerosis registries, taking advantage of the fact that the relative frequency of each strategy differs markedly between these two countries. Adult RRMS patients who initiated their first-ever DMT between 2013 and 2016 and were included in the Swedish MS register were compared with a similar cohort from the MS register of the Czech Republic using propensity score overlap weighting as a balancing method. The main outcomes of interest were time to confirmed disability worsening (CDW), time to achieve an expanded disability status scale (EDSS) value of 4, time to relapse, and time to confirmed disability improvement (CDI). To support the results, a sensitivity analysis focusing solely on patients from Sweden starting with HE-DMT and patients from the Czech Republic starting with LE-DMT was performed. In the Swedish cohort, 42% of patients received HE-DMT as initial therapy compared to 3.8% of patients in the Czech cohort. The time to CDW was not significantly different between the Swedish and Czech cohorts (p-value 0.2764), with hazard ratio (HR) of 0.89 and a 95% confidence interval (CI) of 0.77-1.03. Patients from the Swedish cohort exhibited better outcomes for all remaining variables. The risk of reaching EDSS 4 was reduced by 26% (HR 0.74, 95%CI 0.6-0.91, p-value 0.0327), the risk of relapse was reduced by 66% (HR 0.34, 95%CI 0.3-0.39, p-value <0.001), and the probability of CDI was three times higher (HR 3.04, 95%CI 2.37-3.9, p-value <0.001). The analysis of the Czech and the Swedish RRMS cohorts confirmed a better prognosis for patients in Sweden, where a significant proportion of patients received HE-DMT as initial treatment.

Effectiveness of multiple disease-modifying therapies in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: causal inference to emulate a multiarm randomised trial

BackgroundSimultaneous comparisons of multiple disease-modifying therapies for relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS) over an extended follow-up are lacking. Here we emulate a randomised trial simultaneously comparing the effectiveness of six commonly...

Progression independent of relapses in multiple sclerosis is associated with spinal cord and brain atrophy (P10-3.011)

Progression independent of relapses in multiple sclerosis is associated with spinal cord and brain atrophy (P10-3.011)

Effect of Longer-term Ofatumumab Treatment on Disability Progression and Brain Volume Change (S16.009)

Effect of Longer-term Ofatumumab Treatment on Disability Progression and Brain Volume Change (S16.009)

Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein compared with Neurofilament Light Chain as Biomarker for Multiple Sclerosis Disease Progression (P5-3.016)

Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein compared with Neurofilament Light Chain as Biomarker for Multiple Sclerosis Disease Progression (P5-3.016)

Baseline predictors of disability worsening among patients wth a Clinically Isolated Syndrome. (P5-3.015)

Baseline predictors of disability worsening among patients wth a Clinically Isolated Syndrome. (P5-3.015)

The impact of relapse definition and measures of durability on MS clinical trial outcomes

Background: Definitions of trial measures are consequential to accurately capturing outcomes and cross-trial comparability, particularly for derivative measures. Objective: Using CombiRx, examine the impact of relapse definition on endpoints and evaluate the durability of progression measures in Relapsing Remitting Multiple Sclerosis (RRMS). Methods: CombiRx relapse types were distinguished by the presence or timing of Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) increase. Using the broadest definition of relapse, progression endpoints were assessed in patients without relapses on trial. Durability compared EDSS at study end and time of worsening. Results: Broadening relapse definition to the most inclusive definition increased annualized relapse rate (ARR) threefold in all arms and decreased progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA), defined as 6-month confirmed disability worsening (6M CDW) without relapse, by 44%. Neither PIRA nor PIA (progression independent of any inflammatory activity) guaranteed durable worsening, with 43% and 40%, respectively, improving by end of study. Multivariate analysis showed two CDW events, not relapse, predicted durability among patients meeting 6M CDW. Conclusions: The stringency of relapse definition impacted absolute ARR and composite endpoints in RRMS. Despite the most generous relapse definition, 43% of patients meeting PIRA on trial did not have durable worsening suggesting that relapse definition and durability should be considered to avoid overestimating progression in RRMS trials.

Influence of oral tobacco versus smoking on multiple sclerosis disease activity and progression

We aimed to study the influence of smoking habits, exposure to passive smoking and snuff use on disease progression, cognitive performance and quality of life in patients with multiple sclerosis...

Serum Glial Fibrillary Acidic Protein Compared With Neurofilament Light Chain as a Biomarker for Disease Progression in Multiple Sclerosis

There is a lack of validated biomarkers for disability progression independent of relapse activity (PIRA) in multiple sclerosis (MS). To determine how serum glial fibrillary acidic protein (sGFAP) and serum neurofilament light chain (sNfL) correlate with features of disease progression vs acute focal inflammation in MS and how they can prognosticate disease progression. Data were acquired in the longitudinal Swiss MS cohort (SMSC; a consortium of tertiary referral hospitals) from January 1, 2012, to October 20, 2022. The SMSC is a prospective, multicenter study performed in 8 centers in Switzerland. For this nested study, participants had to meet the following inclusion criteria: cohort 1, patients with MS and either stable or worsening disability and similar baseline Expanded Disability Status Scale scores with no relapses during the entire follow-up; and cohort 2, all SMSC study patients who had initiated and continued B-cell-depleting treatment (ie, ocrelizumab or rituximab). Patients received standard immunotherapies or were untreated. In cohort 1, sGFAP and sNfL levels were measured longitudinally using Simoa assays. Healthy control samples served as the reference. In cohort 2, sGFAP and sNfL levels were determined cross-sectionally. This study included a total of 355 patients (103 [29.0%] in cohort 1: median [IQR] age, 42.1 [33.2-47.6] years; 73 female patients [70.9%]; and 252 [71.0%] in cohort 2: median [IQR] age, 44.3 [33.3-54.7] years; 156 female patients [61.9%]) and 259 healthy controls with a median [IQR] age of 44.3 [36.3-52.3] years and 177 female individuals (68.3%). sGFAP levels in controls increased as a function of age (1.5% per year; P < .001), were inversely correlated with BMI (-1.1% per BMI unit; P = .01), and were 14.9% higher in women than in men (P = .004). In cohort 1, patients with worsening progressive MS showed 50.9% higher sGFAP levels compared with those with stable MS after additional sNfL adjustment, whereas the 25% increase of sNfL disappeared after additional sGFAP adjustment. Higher sGFAP at baseline was associated with accelerated gray matter brain volume loss (per doubling: 0.24% per year; P < .001) but not white matter loss. sGFAP levels remained unchanged during disease exacerbations vs remission phases. In cohort 2, median (IQR) sGFAP z scores were higher in patients developing future confirmed disability worsening compared with those with stable disability (1.94 [0.36-2.23] vs 0.71 [-0.13 to 1.73]; P = .002); this was not significant for sNfL. However, the combined elevation of z scores of both biomarkers resulted in a 4- to 5-fold increased risk of confirmed disability worsening (hazard ratio [HR], 4.09; 95% CI, 2.04-8.18; P < .001) and PIRA (HR, 4.71; 95% CI, 2.05-9.77; P < .001). Results of this cohort study suggest that sGFAP is a prognostic biomarker for future PIRA and revealed its complementary potential next to sNfL. sGFAP may serve as a useful biomarker for disease progression in MS in individual patient management and drug development.