ABSTRACT Total suspended matter is one of the crucial water quality parameters for both inland and marine environments, and a key role in evaluating the water quality of estuaries and offshore areas. Each year, the Yellow River carries a significant amount of sediment into the semi-enclosed Bohai Sea, results in a prolonged high concentration of total suspended matter in the offshore areas of the Yellow River Estuary. This study focuses on the offshore region of the Yellow River Estuary in China. Utilizing Sentinel-2 satellite imagery data from 2020 to 2023 and in-situ measured data from August 2020 to August 2022, to address the lack of physical mechanisms currently studied in machine learning retrieval methods, a model that integrates the physics-driven Quasi-Analytical Algorithm (QAA) and data-driven Random Forest (RF) is employed for the retrieval of total suspended matter concentration in the study area. The fused model (QAA-RF) is compared and analysed against regression models and standalone machine learning models. The results indicate that the accuracy of machine learning retrieval models is consistently higher than that regression models. The QAA-RF model demonstrates the highest accuracy (R 2 = 0.87, MAE = 5.01 mg L−1, RMSE = 6.39 mg L−1). Based on the QAA-RF model and the imagery data, monthly total suspended matter concentration is conducted in the study area. The retrieval results indicates that: (1) the total suspended matter concentrations is primarily concentrated in the near estuary region, with concentrations decreasing as distance from the estuary increases. (2) the total suspended matter concentration exhibits a distribution pattern with higher values in spring and winter, and lower values in summer and autumn. (3) the concentration of total suspended matter shows relatively small fluctuations at the annual scale from 2020 to 2023.