Nitrogen (N) is vital for plant growth, but its imbalance can negatively affect crop yields, the environment, and water quality. This is especially crucial for California’s almond orchards, which are the most N-hungry nut crop and require substantial N for high productivity. The current practices of uniform and extensive N application lead to N leaching into the groundwater, creating environmental hazards. Traditional remote sensing methods often rely on data-driven approaches that work well statistically (achieving a high R2 value) with one dataset but aren’t adaptable across different datasets. To create a more robust, data-driven model, one would typically need a vast and varied collection of datasets. Our goal, however, is to develop a more universally applicable model using smaller datasets, typical of commercial orchards, that can accurately estimate N content in tree canopies, regardless of differences in spatial, spectral, and temporal data. In this study, we investigate and evaluate multiple remote sensing approaches for estimating N concentration in Californian almonds, utilizing hyperspectral imaging at the canopy level. We assess various classical vegetation indices, machine learning models, and a physics-informed 3D radiative transfer model. While cross-validated results show comparable results for radiative transfer models and best-performing machine learning models, most single vegetation indices are not capable of exceeding the baseline model and thus had R2 value less than 0. Despite being less commonly used, 3D radiative transfer modeling shows promise as a strong and adaptable method, producing results that are comparable to the best machine learning models.
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