Comorbid Alcohol Research Articles

Factors associated with severity and length of hospital stay in patients with acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding: insights from two Ethiopian hospitals

BackgroundUpper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a critical emergency with substantial morbidity and mortality. Outcomes depend on bleeding severity, patient risk factors, and comorbidities. This study evaluated clinical patterns and factors influencing disease severity and hospital stay among patients present with UGIB symptoms at two major Ethiopian hospitals.MethodsA retrospective, cross-sectional review was conducted on 199 UGIB patients admitted to Yekatit 12 Hospital Medical College (Y12HMC) and Tikur Anbesa Specialized Hospital (TASH) from September 2022 to September 2023. Data on demographics, clinical presentations, endoscopic findings, and outcomes were analyzed using SPSS version 26. Binary logistic regression assessed associations, with statistical significance set at P < 0.05.ResultsOf 199 patients, 70.9% were male, predominantly aged 18–40. Hematemesis (63.8%) and hematemesis with melena (27.6%) were common presentations. Endoscopy was not performed on more than half of the participants, with 116 patients (58.3%) not undergoing this procedure. Among the 83 cases who did have endoscopy, esophageal varices emerged as the most common condition, observed in 43.3% (36 cases. Smoking (AOR = 1.77), alcohol intake (AOR = 1.89), and drug use (AOR = 1.34) were linked to higher severity scores. Alcohol use, comorbidities, liver disease, and previous drug use correlated with prolonged hospital stays.ConclusionUGIB predominantly affects younger males, with hematemesis as the primary presentation. Key factors like smoking, alcohol intake, and drug use were associated with greater disease severity and longer hospital stays. These findings suggest the importance of lifestyle interventions, particularly in resource-limited settings.

Understanding Psychological Symptoms Among Chinese College Students During the COVID-19 Omicron Pandemic: Findings from a National Cross-Sectional Survey in 2023

During the Omicron pandemic in late 2022, this study surveyed Chinese students via an online questionnaire to assess their mental health status, prevalence of psychological symptoms, and associated factors. A nationwide cross-sectional survey of 4254 participants was conducted in seven regions of China from January 5 to February 9, 2023. Scales were utilized respectively to measure depressive symptoms, anxiety symptoms, post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) symptoms, and perceived social support. Descriptive, univariate, and multivariable analyses were performed to identify associated factors. Protective factors against depressive symptoms include regular exercise and robust social support networks, while risk factors involve excessive alcohol consumption, comorbidities, Omicron infection, and irregular sleep patterns. Risk factors for anxiety symptoms include comorbidities, Omicron infection, living alone, and irregular sleep patterns, while social support emerges as a protective factor. For PTSD symptoms, regular exercise and strong social support systems are identified as protective measures, with risks associated with comorbidities, Omicron infection, and poor sleep quality. Students are particularly vulnerable during the pandemic due to their lifestyle and academic pressures. It's essential to bolster their social support and promote healthier habits

Prior fragility fractures are associated with a higher risk of 8-year complications following total shoulder arthroplasty.

As the population ages, more patients with osteoporosis are undergoing total shoulder arthroplasty (TSA), including those who have sustained a prior fragility fracture. Sustaining a fragility fracture before TSA has been associated with increased risk of short-term revision rates, periprosthetic fracture (PPF), and secondary fragility fractures but long-term implant survivorship in this patient population is unknown. Therefore, the purpose of this study was to characterize the association of prior fragility fractures with 8-year risks of revision TSA, periprosthetic fracture, and secondary fragility fracture. Patients aged 50years and older who underwent TSA were identified in a large national database. Patients were stratified based on whether they sustained a fragility fracture within 3years prior to TSA. Patients who had a prior fragility fracture (7631) were matched 1:1 to patients who did not based on age, gender, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), smoking, obesity, diabetes mellitus, and alcohol use. Kaplan-Meier and Cox Proportional Hazards analyses were used to observe the cumulative incidences of all-cause revision, periprosthetic fracture, and secondary fragility fracture within 8years of index surgery. The 8-year cumulative incidence of revision TSA (5.7% vs. 4.1%), periprosthetic fracture (3.8% vs. 1.4%), and secondary fragility fracture (46.5% vs. 10.1%) were significantly higher for those who had a prior fragility fracture when compared to those who did not. On multivariable analysis, a prior fragility fracture was associated with higher risks of revision (hazard ratio [HR], 1.48; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.24-1.74; p < 0.001), periprosthetic fracture (HR, 2.98; 95% CI, 2.18-4.07; p < 0.001) and secondary fragility fracture (HR, 8.39; 95% CI, 7.62-9.24; p < 0.001). Prior fragility fracture was a significant risk factor for revision, periprosthetic fracture, and secondary fragility fracture within 8years of primary TSA. Identification of these high-risk patients with an emphasis on preoperative and postoperative bone health optimization may help minimize these complications. III.

Development of Comorbid Alcohol Use and Depressive Symptoms During Late Adolescence: Examining the Roles of Emotion Regulation and Gender Differences.

Depression and alcohol use are highly comorbid, and often emerge during adolescence. Depressive symptoms may precede alcohol use, via the self-medication pathway, or alcohol use may precede depressive symptoms, via the alcohol induced disruption pathway. Yet little is known about other risks for developing comorbidity via either path. The present study hypothesized that poor cognitive and physiological emotion regulation (ER) are risk factors implicated in the development of comorbid depression and alcohol use during late adolescence. Participants were 229 (113 girls) Mexican-origin youth who reported on depressive symptoms and alcohol use at ages 17 (Time 1) and 19years (Time 2). At age 17, cognitive reappraisal (CR), an adaptive ER strategy, and baseline respiratory sinus arrhythmia (RSA), a physiological index of ER capacity, were assessed. CR, RSA and gender were examined as predictors and moderators of the developing comorbidity of alcohol use and depression in cross-lagged panel models. Lower use of CR was concurrently associated with more depressive symptoms at age 17 and predicted greater depression at age 19. Age 17 alcohol use predicted age 19 depressive symptoms for boys. Lower RSA at age 17 also predicted more depressive symptoms at age 19 for boys. Neither CR nor RSA moderated the predicted relations between depression and alcohol use. Findings supported the alcohol induced disruption model of comorbidity for boys, and showed that poor cognitive and physiological ER increased risk for exacerbating depressive symptoms in late adolescence.

Voucher-based contingency management to promote treatment engagement in comorbid alcohol use disorder and alcohol-related liver disease: A pilot theory-informed qualitative study with service users.

Effective interventions for the management of alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) remain a gap in clinical practice, and patients' engagement with alcohol services is suboptimal. Based upon the principles of operant conditioning, contingency management (CM) is a psychosocial intervention th at involves gradual, increasing incentives upon completion of treatment-related goals such as treatment attendance. A pilot feasibility trial was conducted with 30 adult patients recruited from an inpatient clinical setting. Consecutive sampling was used to recruit patients presenting comorbid alcohol use disorder (AUD) and ARLD. Participants were randomized to integrated liver care (ILC), receiving hepatology and AUD care, or ILC with a voucher-based CM intervention (intervention arm). A longitudinal qualitative approach was adopted to explore anticipated (Stage 1) and experienced acceptability (Stage 2). The Theoretical Framework of Acceptability (TFA) guided semi-structured in-depth interviews and deductive analysis. Thirty participants were enrolled in the pilot trial, and interviews were conducted with 24 participants at Stage 1 and seven at Stage 2. Over half of the cohort (54.2%, n = 13) presented decompensated liver disease, and an average of 179 units of alcohol were consumed per week. Overall positive views toward voucher-based CM were noted, and explanatory data emerged across five TFA domains (intervention coherence, ethicality, self-efficacy, perceived effectiveness, and affective attitude). The core aspects of the voucher-based CM intervention matched participants' preferences and needs. Participants regarded CM as having a symbolic value and strengthening the therapeutic alliance with healthcare providers. The data support the scope of voucher-based CM intervention to promote engagement with treatment services, and its potential to address the gaps in the care continuum in ARLD. The findings are of practical significance for developing person-centered, tailored interventions for this clinical population. The outcomes of this investigation can inform decision-making among stakeholders and healthcare providers and improve health outcomes for this clinical population.

Impaired mitochondrial function in bipolar disorder and alcohol use disorder: a case study using 18F-BCPP-EF PET imaging of mitochondrial Complex I.

With bipolar disorder (BD) having a lifetime prevalence of 4.4% and a significant portion of patients being chronically burdened by symptoms, there has been an increased focus on uncovering new targets for intervention in BD. One area that has shown early promise is the mitochondrial hypothesis. However, at the time of publication no studies have utilized positron emission tomography (PET) imaging to assess mitochondrial function in the setting of BD. Our participant is a 58 year-old male with a past medical history notable for alcohol use disorder and BD (unspecified type) who underwent PET imaging with the mitochondrial complex I PET ligand 18F-BCPP-EF. The resulting images demonstrated significant overlap between areas of dysfunction identified with the 18F-BCPP-EF PET ligand and prior functional magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) techniques in the setting of BD. That overlap was seen in both affective and cognitive circuits, with mitochondrial dysfunction in the fronto-limbic, ventral affective, and dorsal cognitive circuits showing particularly significant differences. Despite mounting evidence implicating mitochondria in BD, this study represents the first PET imaging study to investigate this mechanistic connection. There were key limitations in the form of comorbid alcohol use disorder, limited statistical power inherent to a case study, no sex matched controls, and the absence of a comprehensive psychiatric history. However, even with these limitations in mind, the significant overlap between dysfunction previously demonstrated on functional MRI and this imaging provides compelling preliminary evidence that strengthens the mechanistic link between mitochondrial dysfunction and BD.

The effect of intranasal (R,S)-ketamine on symptoms of fatigue in severe major depressive disorder or bipolar depression with and without comorbid alcohol use disorder: Results from a randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled trial

BackgroundFatigue is a multidimensional condition that may overlap with depression. Initial studies found that fatigue responds in only a limited way to standard monoaminergic antidepressants and mood stabilizers but does respond positively to intravenous (IV) racemic (R,S)-ketamine (ketamine). However, IV ketamine's use is limited by cost and access barriers. To date, no study has evaluated intranasal (IN) ketamine in individuals with fatigue. This study sought to evaluate the anti-fatigue effects of a single 50 mg dose of IN ketamine in individuals with major depressive disorder (MDD) or bipolar depression (BDep), both with and without comorbid alcohol use disorder (AUD). MethodsTwenty-eight individuals with primary diagnoses of MDD or BDep I/II currently experiencing a depressive episode with active suicidality were enrolled; approximately 60 % had comorbid AUD. Changes in the NIH-Brief Fatigue Inventory (NIH-BFI) were assessed at baseline and at 4, 24, and 48 h post-treatment. ResultsThe group x time interaction for NIH-BFI score was significant (F = 3.44, p = 0.022), favoring IN ketamine over placebo. IN ketamine was well-tolerated with minimal adverse effects. LimitationsLimitations include the limited sample size, short duration, and single, fixed dose. ConclusionsIN ketamine appears to induce rapid anti-fatigue effects in individuals with severe MDD and BDep both with and without comorbid AUD. This suggests that IN ketamine holds potential as an alternative, rapid-acting, anti-fatigue option for different medical conditions.

Treatment engagement in comorbid alcohol use disorder and alcohol-related liver disease: A qualitative exploration of barriers and facilitators with service users.

Effective interventions to improve patient outcomes in comorbid alcohol use disorder (AUD) and alcohol-related liver disease (ARLD) remain a clinical unmet need. While the choice of abstinence is the cornerstone for the prevention of disease progression and mortality, evidence suggests a suboptimal engagement with treatment supporting recovery. This qualitative investigation aims to understand barriers and facilitators to treatment as experienced by this clinical population by applying a multidimensional adherence model proposed by the World Health Organization. Twenty-four participants with comorbid AUD and ARLD were recruited from an inpatient clinical setting. Data for this study were collected through semistructured, in-depth interviews. Deductive analysis was organized by the Framework method, and theory-driven themes were identified according to the multidimensional adherence model. This included factors across the social and economic, patient, condition, treatment, and healthcare system levels. The findings in this study indicate systematic challenges in maintaining continuity between primary, secondary, and community care. Aspects related to social and economic context, treatment, and healthcare systems were found to hinder engagement. Identified facilitators to engagement included the participatory role of family, shared lived experience of addiction/recovery, and therapeutic alliance with healthcare providers. The understanding of these barriers and facilitators from a service user's perspective can bridge the treatment gap for this clinical population. This can provide an opportunity for the implementation of effective interventions and inform the development of policies promoting accessible care. Government and public health bodies have fundamental roles in shifting treatment paradigms in comorbid AUDand ARLD.

Alcohol Use Disorders in Patients Suffering from Obsessive–Compulsive Disorder: A Cross-sectional Study

Background: Comorbidity in obsessive–compulsive disorder (OCD) is known, especially alcohol use disorders (AUDs) in OCD. Data are lacking regarding the prevalence, the obsessions and compulsions in people with OCD with comorbid alcohol use. Aims and Objectives: The aim was to study the prevalence of AUDs in people with OCD. The primary objective was to study the prevalence of AUDs in 100 people with OCD. Secondary objective was to study the clinical characteristics, obsessions, and compulsions of people with OCD and comorbid alcohol use. Settings and Designs: The study design was a cross-sectional study. Materials and Methods: 100 patients of Asha Hospital diagnosed with OCD were screened and included in the study after a written informed consent. YBOCS checklist and scoring were done. People satisfying the criteria for AUD were further assessed with SADQ questionnaire. SPSS software was used for statistical analysis. Results and Conclusions: The lifetime prevalence of substance use disorders was found 18%. Point prevalence of any substance use was 13%, out of which 7% had AUDs. 2% had a dependence pattern and 5% had an abuse pattern. When comparing people with alcohol versus non-alcohol use, there was a significant difference in the proportion of males in the alcohol group (P = 0.0011). Nicotine was used in higher proportion in the alcohol group (P = 0.0001). Alcohol users were not regular with medications (P = 0.01). Miscellaneous obsessions are more common in them (P = 0.002). Alcohol users had a higher proportion of nil compulsions (P = 0.057) implying that obsessions were more prominent than compulsions in them. Mean scores of OCD in both groups were around moderate severity, with no significant difference between the two.

Associations of Adult ADHD symptoms with binge eating spectrum conditions, psychiatric and somatic comorbidity, and healthcare utilization in a metropolitan Brazilian city.

To investigate the associations among symptoms of attention deficit hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) with binge eating spectrum conditions - BESC - [binge eating disorder (BED), bulimia nervosa (BN), and recurrent binge eating (RBE)], and psychiatric and somatic comorbidity and healthcare utilization in a representative sample of a Brazilian city. A household survey with 2,297 adults and residents in Rio de Janeiro was conducted. The Adult Self-Rating Scale Screener was used to assess ADHD symptoms. BESC was assessed using the Questionnaire of Eating and Weight Patterns 5 and confirmed by telephone interview. Standardized questionnaires were used to assess psychiatric comorbidity. Close-ended questions investigated somatic comorbidity and healthcare utilization. ADHD symptoms were highly associated with BESC [BED, OR=13.2, 95%CI= 4.3-40.6; BN, OR=27.5, 95%CI= 5.9-128.7; RBE, OR=5.8, 95%CI= 2.9-11.4). However, with further adjustment for psychiatric comorbidity (depression, anxiety, alcohol use and impulsivity), the ORs were no longer significant. Healthcare resource utilization was significantly higher in participants with ADHD and BESC but lost significance after controlling for the psychiatric comorbidity. ADHD was associated with an increased prevalence of BESC, and healthcare utilization. Nonetheless, there was an essential interplay among psychiatric comorbidity in the associations of ADHD and BESC.

Telehealth Availability for Mental Health Care During and After the COVID-19 Public Health Emergency

Telehealth services expanded rapidly during the COVID-19 public health emergency (PHE). To evaluate changes in availability of telehealth services at outpatient mental health treatment facilities (MHTFs) throughout the US during and after the COVID-19 PHE. In this cohort study, callers posing as prospective clients contacted a random sample of 1404 MHTFs drawn from the Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration's Behavioral Health Treatment Locator from December 2022 to March 2023 (wave 1 [W1]; during PHE). From September to November 2023 (wave 2 [W2]; after PHE), callers recontacted W1 participants. Analyses were conducted in January 2024. Callers inquired whether MHTFs offered telehealth (yes vs no), and, if yes, whether they offered (1) audio-only telehealth (vs audio and video); (2) telehealth for therapy, medication management, and/or diagnostic services; and (3) telehealth for comorbid alcohol use disorder (AUD). Sustainers (offered telehealth in both waves), late adopters (did not offer telehealth in W1 but did in W2), nonadopters (did not offer telehealth in W1 or W2), and discontinuers (offered telehealth in W1 but not W2) were all compared. During W2, 1001 MHTFs (86.1%) were successfully recontacted. A total of 713 (71.2%) were located in a metropolitan county, 151 (15.1%) were publicly operated, and 935 (93.4%) accepted Medicaid as payment. The percentage offering telehealth declined from 799 (81.6%) to 765 (79.0%) (odds ratio [OR], 0.84; 95% CI, 0.72-1.00; P < .05). Among MHTFs offering telehealth, a smaller percentage in W2 offered audio-only telehealth (369 [49.3%] vs 244 [34.1%]; OR, 0.53; 95% CI, 0.44-0.64; P < .001) and telehealth for comorbid AUD (559 [76.3%] vs 457 [66.5%]; OR, 0.62; 95% CI, 0.50-0.76; P < .001) compared with W1. In W2, MHTFs were more likely to report telehealth was only available under certain conditions for therapy (141 facilities [18.0%] vs 276 [36.4%]; OR, 2.62; 95% CI, 1.10-3.26; P < .001) and medication management (216 facilities [28.0%] vs 304 [41.3%]; OR, 1.81; 95% CI, 1.48-2.21; P < .001). A total of 684 MHTFs (72.0%) constituted sustainers, 94 (9.9%) were discontinuers, 106 (11.2%) were nonadopters, and 66 (7.0%) were late adopters. Compared with sustainers, discontinuers were less likely to be private for-profit (adjusted OR [aOR], 0.28; 95% CI, 0.11-0.68) or private not-for-profit (aOR, 0.26; 95% CI, 0.14-0.48) after adjustment for facility and area characteristics. Based on this longitudinal cohort study of 1001 MHTFs, telehealth availability has declined since the PHE end with respect to scope and modality of services, suggesting targeted policies may be necessary to sustain telehealth access.

W145 - Rates of Medication Prescription, Mental Health Disorder, and HCV Diagnoses Among Patients With Comorbid Alcohol and Opioid Use Disorder in Rural Primary Care Clinics

W145 - Rates of Medication Prescription, Mental Health Disorder, and HCV Diagnoses Among Patients With Comorbid Alcohol and Opioid Use Disorder in Rural Primary Care Clinics

T140 - The Effect of Mental Illness on High-Risk Opioid Prescribing for Clients With Comorbid Pain and Alcohol Use Disorder in New York State

T140 - The Effect of Mental Illness on High-Risk Opioid Prescribing for Clients With Comorbid Pain and Alcohol Use Disorder in New York State

Coping-strategies as a mediator between emotional disorders and problematic alcohol use

BackgroundEpidemiological studies reveal a high prevalence of alcohol use and comorbidity rates with emotional disorders. This study aims to explore the possible mediational effect of stress-coping strategies on the relationship between symptoms of emotional disorders and problematic alcohol use. MethodsThe sample included 1014 participants (33.82% male, 66.17% female) aged 18 to 75 years (M = 33.0, SD = 15.15). Three mediation analyzes were carried out, for depressive, anxious and somatization symptomatology measured with the LSB-50 in which they acted as an independent variable, the coping strategies of the CSQ as a mediating variable and the problematic alcohol use, measured with AUDIT, as a dependent variable. Additionally, sex, age, educational level, and socioeconomic status were entered as covariates. ResultsIn all the models, problematic alcohol use was mediated by Problem-Solving Focus and Open Emotional Expression. However, while in depressive symptoms was a fully mediation, in anxious and somatization symptomatology was partially mediated. ConclusionsThe similarities found may be due to shared variance between emotional disorders. Interventions focused on Problem-Solving Focus could improve the emotional symptoms and the problematic alcohol use.

Racial Comparisons Of Postmenopausal Osteoporosis Between African American And Caucasian Women

Background: Osteoporosis is a chronic degenerative metabolic disease of the skeletal system characterized by decreased bone mineral density (BMD), leading to fragile bones prone to fractures. Postmenopausal osteoporosis is particularly prevalent due to the decline in estrogen levels, a hormone essential for maintaining bone health. This study aims to compare the incidence and risk factors of postmenopausal osteoporosis between African American and Caucasian women, focusing on differences in BMD, risk factors, and the effectiveness of screening and treatment methods. Methods and Materials: This research was conducted at the Southeastern Medical Center, Texas, involving 1,000 postmenopausal women aged 60 or older, with equal representation of 500 African American and 500 Caucasian women. Data collection included demographic information, medical history, and BMD measurements using the General Electric LUNAR DPXIQ Model 2288 DEXA device. Statistical analysis was performed using Chi-square and Fisher's assessment tests to evaluate risk factors such as alcohol intake, smoking, medication usage, and comorbidities. BMI and age evaluations were systematized, and the World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines were used to classify osteoporosis and osteopenia. Results: The study revealed that Caucasian women had higher alcohol intake, family history of fractures, and greater use of vitamins, calcium, and hormonal treatments compared to African American women. Conversely, African American women exhibited higher rates of comorbidities like diabetes mellitus, hyperthyroidism, kidney diseases, and rheumatoid arthritis. Despite starting menopause with higher BMD levels, African American women were less likely to be prescribed medication for low BMD. Screening rates and adherence to recommended treatments also varied significantly between the two groups. Conclusion: The findings highlight significant racial disparities in the incidence, risk factors, and management of postmenopausal osteoporosis. Increasing awareness about osteoporosis and promoting lifestyle modifications such as diet, exercise, and cessation of smoking and alcohol consumption can help mitigate these disparities. Future research should focus on developing targeted interventions to improve screening and treatment adherence among African American women, addressing the specific challenges they face in managing bone health.

Heart rate variability: A primer for alcohol researchers

Problem alcohol drinking remains a major cost and burden for society. Also, rates of problem drinking in women have dramatically increased in recent decades, and women are at risk for more alcohol problems and comorbidities. The purpose of this commentary is to discuss the potential utility of cardiac measures, including heart rate (HR) and HR variability (HRV), as markers of individual and sex differences in the drive to drink alcohol. We recently used cardiac telemetry in female and male adult rats to determine whether different cardiac markers, including HR and HRV, would differently predict alcohol and anxiety-like behavior across the sexes. Indeed, female behaviors related to HRV measures that indicate more parasympathetic (PNS) influence (the “rest and digest” system). In contrast, male behaviors are associated more with sympathetic (SNS) indicators (the activation system). Remarkably, similar sex differences in PNS versus SNS engagement under challenge are seen in several human studies, suggesting strong cross-species convergence in differential autonomic regulation in females and males. Here, we describe the larger challenges that alcohol addiction presents, and how HRV measures may provide new biomarkers to help enhance development of more individualized and sex-specific treatments. We briefly explain the physiological systems underlying cardiac PNS and SNS states, and how specific HRV metrics are defined and validated, especially why particular HRV measures are considered to reflect more PNS versus SNS influence. Finally, we describe hormonal influences and sex differences in brain circuits related to cardiac autonomic regulation. Together, these findings show that HR and HRV have potential for uncovering key underlying mechanisms of sex and individual differences in autonomic drivers, which could guide more personalized treatment.

1050-P: Comorbid Alcohol Use Disorder Is Associated with Increased Acute Care Utilization in Patients with Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease

1050-P: Comorbid Alcohol Use Disorder Is Associated with Increased Acute Care Utilization in Patients with Diabetes and Chronic Kidney Disease

Mortality and COVID Infection: Predictors of Mortality 10 Months after Discharge.

The long-term survival of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 and the factors associated with poorer survival months after infection are not well understood. The aims of the present study were to analyze the overall mortality 10 months after admission. 762 patients with COVID-19 disease were included. Patients underwent a complete clinical evaluation, routine laboratory analysis and chest X-ray. Data collected included demographic and clinical data, such as vascular risk factors, tobacco or alcohol use, comorbidity, and institutionalization. Ten-month mortality was 25.6%: 108 deaths occurred in-hospital, while 87 patients died after discharge. In-hospital mortality was independently related to NT-proBNP values > 503.5 pg/mL [OR = 4.67 (2.38-9.20)], urea > 37 mg/dL [3.21 (1.86-7.31)] and age older than 71 years [OR = 1.93 (1.05-3.54)]. NT-proBNP values > 503.5 pg/mL [OR = 5.00 (3.06-8.19)], urea > 37 mg/dL [3.51 (1.97-6.27)], cognitive impairment [OR = 1.96 (1.30-2.95), cancer [OR = 2.23 (1.36-3.68), and leukocytes > 6330/mm3 [OR = 1.64 (1.08-2.50)], were independently associated with long-term mortality. the risk of death remains high even months after COVID-19 infection. Overall mortality of COVID-19 patients during 10 months after hospital discharge is nearly as high as that observed during hospital admission. Comorbidities such as cancer or cognitive impairment, organ dysfunction and inflammatory reaction are independent prognostic markers of long-term mortality.

Do Substances Used in Adolescence Predict the Persistence of Substance Use Disorders in Adulthood? A 15-Year Study of Youth After Detention

PurposeInvestigate if the type of substance use disorder (SUD) in adolescence predicts SUDs in adulthood and examine sex and racial/ethnic differences in the persistence of SUDs. MethodsData are from the Northwestern Juvenile Project, a 15-year longitudinal study of 1829 youth randomly sampled from detention in Chicago, IL (1995–1998). Interviewers assessed SUDs using structured diagnostic interviews. ResultsCompared with females without an SUD at detention, females with cannabis alone, comorbid alcohol and cannabis, or SUDs other than alcohol and cannabis at detention had higher odds of having an SUD 5 years later (25%, 32%, and 36% vs. 15%, adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11–3.40; AOR = 2.76, 95% CI 1.58–4.83; AOR = 3.46, 95% CI 1.56–7.66, respectively). Males and females with SUDs other than alcohol and cannabis at detention had greater odds of having an SUD 15 years later, compared with those without an SUD at detention (males: 36% vs. 14%, AOR = 2.98, 95% CI 1.14–7.83; females: 29% vs. 8%, AOR = 4.77, 95% CI 1.85–12.30). Among youth with an SUD at detention, males were more likely than females to have an SUD 15 years later (AOR = 1.84, 95% CI 1.03–3.29); non-Hispanic White and Hispanic males were more likely to persist than Black males (AOR = 3.32, 95% CI 1.50–7.35; AOR = 2.32, 95% CI 1.04–5.18, respectively). DiscussionThe type of SUD during adolescence matters. Youth with SUDs such as cocaine and opioids fared the worst. Healthcare providers must collaborate with correctional officials to increase service provision.

Validation of a prognostic nomogram for locally advanced oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) treated with intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) ± systemic therapy (ST).

6088 Background: The interplay among prognosticators in OPC patients (pts) may be influenced by sociodemographic, geographic, epidemiologic and genetic features. We aimed to validate an existing prognostic nomogram (PN) (Fakhry et al 2017) in a large, independent, geographically homogeneous pt cohort. Methods: We retrospectively collected data on consecutive OPC pts treated with definitive IMRT (66-72 Gy) ± systemic therapy (ST) in 14 South-European Centres from 2007 to 2019. We analysed the role of the nomogram prognostic factors (PF) (T and N stage, age, p16 status, smoking, performance status, weight loss, anemia, education, and marital status) with respect to overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS), and we also evaluated alcohol abuse, comorbidities according to ACE-27 and the presence of a caregiver as added PF. The PN was evaluated in terms of discrimination performance (Harrel C-index) and calibration (ratio O/E and calibration line). Model was recalibrated evaluated via optimism adjusted C-index. Results: We considered 786 pts, with a median follow-up of 63 months (0-189). The table reports pts characteristics. The PN showed a good discrimination for OS and PFS both at 2- and 5-years, not dissimilar from original external validation, with a C-index of 0.75 (CI 95% 0.70-0.79,) and 0.68 (0.64-0.72), respectively. Adding alcohol abuse, comorbidities and caregiver presence did not change the PN. Regarding OS, the model estimated risk was slightly higher than the observed, with an O/E ratio of 0.73 (CI 95% 0.57-0.93) and 0.60 (0.49-0.74) at 2- and 5- years and calibration slope of 1.07 (0.83-1.31). For PFS, the O/E ratio was 0.48 (0.40-0.58) at 2 years and 0.50 (0.42-0.58) at 5 years, and a calibration slope of 0.89 (0.66-1.12). Both for OS and PFS rescaling of baseline hazard and model coefficients resulted in a better calibrated model. Model was validated also after missing data imputation, via MCE (m=5) showing consistent estimates. Conclusions: We validated the prognostic nomogram developed by Fakhry et al. in a large independent European cohort, demonstrating its applicability. These real-life data may represent the benchmark for the design of new prospective clinical trials.[Table: see text]