<h3>Purpose/Objective(s)</h3> A secondary analysis of RTOG 0129 established 10 pack-years of smoking as a threshold of risk stratification for survival among patients treated with chemoradiation for oropharyngeal cancer. We performed a single-institution, observational cohort study to evaluate the optimal threshold of pack-years of smoking and validate 10 pack-years as a prognostic factor. <h3>Materials/Methods</h3> A single-institution, retrospective database was queried for patients with non-metastatic head and neck cancer who underwent definitive-intent chemoradiation from January 2005 to April 2021. An optimal threshold of pack-years of smoking was evaluated based on maximizing log-rank test statistic, and heavy smokers were defined as those with above the threshold. Cox multivariable analysis (MVA) and Kaplan-Meier method were performed to analyze overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Multivariable Fine-Gray competing risk analysis was performed for locoregional (LRF) and distant failure (DF) outcomes with death as a competing event. Propensity score matching was performed to construct matched pairs based on nearest neighbor method in a 1:1 ratio with no replacement. Multivariable analyses were repeated using 10 pack-years of smoking as a threshold. <h3>Results</h3> A total of 518 patients were identified for analysis. Median follow up was 44.1 months (interquartile range 22.3-72.8). The threshold of smoking in pack-years was determined to be 22. On Cox MVA, heavy smokers were associated with worse OS (adjusted hazards ratio [aHR] 1.64, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.17-2.30, p=0.004) and PFS (aHR 1.42, 95% CI 1.04-1.93, p=0.03). On multivariable Fine-Gray competing risk model, heavy smokers were associated with worse DF (aHR 1.70, 95% CI 1.03-2.83, p=0.04), but not LRF (aHR 1.03, 95% CI 0.59-1.78, p=0.92). Similar findings were noted among 141 matched pairs (OS: HR 1.93, 95% CI 1.29-2.88, p=0.001; PFS: HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.04-2.16, p=0.03; LRF: HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.49-1.71, p=0.78; DF: HR 1.94, 95% CI 1.02-3.68, p=0.04). However, heavy smokers defined using 10 pack-years of smoking as a threshold were not associated with OS (aHR 1.41, 95% CI 0.97-2.06, p=0.07), PFS (aHR 1.21, 95% CI 0.87-1.70, p=0.26), LRF (aHR 1.19, 95% CI 0.66-2.16, p=0.56), or DF (aHR 1.51, 95% CI 0.88-2.58, p=0.13). <h3>Conclusion</h3> In our study, heavy smoking based on 22 pack-years of smoking as a threshold was an independent adverse prognostic factor for survival and distant metastasis. However, using 10 pack-year of smoking as a threshold was not associated with such outcomes. Further studies are warranted to optimize the role of smoking in pack-years for risk stratification.