Arctic Environmental Change Research Articles

Isotopic seasonality of fluvial-derived greenhouse gases implies active layer deepening

Abstract Climate change in the northern circumpolar regions is rapidly thawing organic-rich permafrost soils, releasing substantial dissolved CO2 and CH4 into fluvial systems. This mobilization impacts local ecosystems and global climate feedback loops, playing a crucial role in the Arctic carbon cycle. Here, we analyze the stable carbon (δ13C) and radiocarbon (F14C) isotopic composition of dissolved CO2 and CH4 in the Sagavanirktok and Kuparuk River watersheds on the North Slope, Alaska. By examining spatial and seasonal variations in these isotopic signatures, we identify patterns of carbon release and transport along the river continuum. We find consistent CO2 isotopic signatures across the fluvial continuum, reflecting a mixture of geogenic and biogenic sources integrated throughout the watershed. Bayesian mixing models further demonstrate a systematic depletion in 13C and 14C signatures of dissolved CO2 sources from spring to fall, indicating increasing contributions of aged carbon as the active layer deepens seasonally. This seasonal deepening allows percolating groundwater to access deeper, older soil horizons, transporting CO2 produced by aerobic and anaerobic soil respiration to streams and rivers. In contrast, we observe no clear relationships between the 13C and 14C compositions of dissolved CH4 and landscape properties. Given the reduced solubility of CH4, which facilitates outgassing and limits its transport in aquatic systems, the isotopic signatures are likely indicative of localized contributions from streambeds, adjacent water saturated soils, and lake outflows. Our study demonstrates that dissolved greenhouse gases are sensitive indicators of the release of old carbon from thawing permafrost and serve as early warning signals for permafrost carbon feedback. It establishes a crucial baseline for understanding their role in regional carbon cycling and Arctic environmental change.

Characterizing fluvial impact on the biochemical composition of particulate organic matter in the Laptev Sea and Western East Siberian Sea during the late summer of 2018

The Laptev Sea (LS) and Western East Siberian Sea (W-ESS) are paradigmatic examples of seas dominated by terrestrial organic matter, attributed to substantial Siberian River discharges and coastal erosion. The influx of terrestrial organic matter significantly alters the biochemical composition of particulate organic matter (POM) in these Arctic coastal regions, potentially reducing the nutritional quality available to higher trophic levels. This study investigated the origin and qualitative characteristics of POM in the LS and W-ESS during the late summer of 2018 by analyzing elemental ratios (C/N ratio), stable carbon isotopes (δ13C), and biochemical compositions (biomolecular and amino acid (AA) compositions). The conspicuously depleted δ13C values (mean ± standard deviation (SD) = −30.2 ± 0.5 ‰) and alongside elevated molar C/N ratios (mean ± SD = 18.1 ± 6.2) suggest that terrestrial organic matter is the predominant source of POM in the study area. Although carbohydrates (CHO) were the dominant biomolecules, their prevalence was higher in the river-influenced W-ESS region (67.7 ± 6.6 %) than in the LS region (58.6 ± 13.9 %; p < 0.05). Furthermore, the CHO composition was closely associated with freshwater content and river fraction, suggesting that the heightened contribution of CHO may stem from terrestrial organic matter delivered by river inputs. Lower concentrations of particulate hydrolyzable AA (PAA) and carbon and nitrogen normalized yields of AAs (AA-POC% and AA-PON%) along with reduced contribution of glycine suggested a substantial contribution of terrestrial POM to both LS and W-ESS POM. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the terrestrial influence on POM composition in Arctic marine ecosystems, emphasizing the need for continued monitoring of the consequences of terrestrial carbon inputs in the changing Arctic environment.

Arctic Alaska deepwater organic carbon burial and environmental changes during the late Albian–early Campanian (103–82 Ma)

The middle Cretaceous greenhouse period experienced profound environmental change including episodes of enhanced global burial of organic carbon marked by carbon isotopic excursions (CIEs). However, the role and response of polar regions like the newly formed, partially enclosed Arctic Ocean Basin during middle Cretaceous carbon burial remains enigmatic. We present the first Arctic deepwater CIE record that characterizes conditions offshore of the Alaska margin north of 75°N paleolatitude. Organic carbon isotopes (δ13Corg) and 103–82 Ma ash zircon U-Pb dates from the distal Hue Shale record multiple Albian–Campanian CIEs during slow ∼3–15 m/Myr sediment accumulation rates. Average total organic carbon (TOC) increased substantially during large 2–3 ‰ CIEs of the ∼101 Ma Albian-Cenomanian boundary event (from 7 to 18 % TOC) and ∼94 Ma Cenomanian-Turonian boundary event (5 to 10 % TOC). Turonian TOC remained elevated (8–13 %) during high global sea levels and temperatures of the Cretaceous Thermal Maximum, followed by an increase from 7 to 11 % TOC during the ∼90 Ma late Turonian event 1.5 ‰ CIE. Average TOC subsequently decreased in the Coniacian–Campanian, but relative maxima occurred during subtle 0.5–1 ‰ CIEs interpreted as the ∼87 Ma late Coniacian event (increase from 4 to 7 % TOC), ∼85 Ma Horseshoe Bay event (3.5 to 4.5 % TOC), and ∼84 Ma Santonian-Campanian boundary event (3.5 to 5 % TOC). Increases in hydrogen index and productivity proxies (P, Ba, Nd) that accompanied each CIE episode with enhanced TOC suggest a strong link between marine productivity and organic carbon burial at short-term CIE timescales. However, long-term (>5–8 Myr) changes in trace metal redox (Mo, Fe, V) and salinity (B/Ga) proxies suggest shifts in prevailing environmental conditions at timescales longer than the CIEs. Late Albian–middle Turonian marine salinity occurred during euxinic (103–98 Ma) and suboxic (98–90 Ma) conditions with deposition interpreted to have occurred within and beneath an oxygen minimum zone, respectively. In contrast, late Turonian–early Campanian (90–82 Ma) freshening and restricted euxinic basin conditions may signal the start of widespread restriction known to characterize the Paleogene Arctic. Overall, these results highlight that middle Cretaceous Arctic deepwater remained a productive marine carbon sink coupled to the global carbon cycle despite evolving Arctic greenhouse conditions.

Climate warming impacts on ringed seal breeding habitat in Svalbard

Global warming is occurring at an accelerated rate in the Arctic compared to other parts of the planet with sea-ice declines being among the most striking manifestations of Arctic climate-related changes. Impacts of ongoing Arctic environmental change have been documented for biota throughout marine ecosystems from protists to top predators. Ice-dependent species with specific habitat needs are particularly vulnerable to the ongoing changes. The ringed seal (Pusa hispida) is an ice-associated Arctic endemic species that gives birth and rests in snow caves built in drifts of snow over holes in the sea ice created and maintained by these seals. In this study we create a snow-on-sea-ice reproductive lair habitat model for ringed seals in the Svalbard Archipelago (Norway), a hot-spot of Arctic warming. We use SnowModel, a physics-based snow distribution and evolution simulation system, as the core for a lair habitat model. The model quantifies snow depth and blowing snow fluxes and also relates these variables to snow availability for seal lair habitat. This was accomplished by developing an ecologically informed snow variable that quantifies potential seal lair habitat availability as a function of blowing snow fluxes. Model simulations were performed for the period September 1987 – August 2021 (34 years) on a 500 m × 500 m grid using a daily time-step. Field observations of snow depth and gridded analyses of sea-ice concentration and near-surface (+10 m) atmospheric forcing (air temperature, relative humidity, precipitation, and wind speed and direction) were incorporated within the model simulations. The results show that both snow depth and potential seal lair habitat have been decreasing in Svalbard for the last two decades. If current trends continue, as expected, ringed seal lair habitat will cease to exist across much of the Svalbard Archipelago in the next decade, putting this important Arctic species at risk of regional extirpation.

A Review of Circumpolar Arctic Marine Mammal Health-A Call to Action in a Time of Rapid Environmental Change.

The impacts of climate change on the health of marine mammals are increasingly being recognised. Given the rapid rate of environmental change in the Arctic, the potential ramifications on the health of marine mammals in this region are a particular concern. There are eleven endemic Arctic marine mammal species (AMMs) comprising three cetaceans, seven pinnipeds, and the polar bear (Ursus maritimus). All of these species are dependent on sea ice for survival, particularly those requiring ice for breeding. As air and water temperatures increase, additional species previously non-resident in Arctic waters are extending their ranges northward, leading to greater species overlaps and a concomitant increased risk of disease transmission. In this study, we review the literature documenting disease presence in Arctic marine mammals to understand the current causes of morbidity and mortality in these species and forecast future disease issues. Our review highlights potential pathogen occurrence in a changing Arctic environment, discussing surveillance methods for 35 specific pathogens, identifying risk factors associated with these diseases, as well as making recommendations for future monitoring for emerging pathogens. Several of the pathogens discussed have the potential to cause unusual mortality events in AMMs. Brucella, morbillivirus, influenza A virus, and Toxoplasma gondii are all of concern, particularly with the relative naivety of the immune systems of endemic Arctic species. There is a clear need for increased surveillance to understand baseline disease levels and address the gravity of the predicted impacts of climate change on marine mammal species.

Improving snow depth simulations on Arctic Sea ice by assimilating a passive microwave-derived record

The snow depth can modulate sea ice changes and is a necessary input parameter to obtain altimeter-derived sea ice thickness values. First, we determine the optimal model parameters for simulating snow depth based on a two-layer snow depth model. Then, we use the particle filter (PF) approach to assimilate satellite-derived snow depth observations to improve the snow depth simulations. Next, we generate daily snow depth estimates from 2012 to 2020 at a 50-km resolution. With the use of three airborne Operation IceBridge (OIB) datasets (i.e., the NSIDC OIB quick look product, NSIDC OIB L4 product and NOAA OIB product), this work reveals that compared to the original simulated snow depths, the snow depth estimates are improved, with root mean square error (RMSE) decreases of 0.8 cm (12%), 1.3 cm (22%) and 1.1 cm (15%), respectively, corresponding to the three OIB products. With the use of Multidisciplinary Drifting Observatory for the Study of Arctic Climate (MOSAiC) snow buoy and Snow and Ice Mass Balance Array (SIMBA) buoy data, it can be verified that the application of PF improves snow depth simulations in the Central Arctic. The variations in the monthly and seasonal snow depth estimates retrieved from the proposed method agree well with those in the estimates retrieved from two other existing algorithms. Based on the presented snow depth estimates, we can perform long-term snow depth and sea ice analysis. Snow depth estimates improve the understanding of Arctic environmental change and promote the future development of sea ice models.

Estimating Arctic Ocean Acoustic Travel Times Using an Earth System Model

AbstractThe hydroacoustic environment of a rapidly warming Arctic Ocean will be impacted by interconnected changes in the physical environment and increased human activity. Previous acoustic calculations will need to be updated to reflect current and future conditions. Earth System Models are important tools for making projections of changes in a wide range of physical processes under future climates. We present a comparison of Arctic acoustic travel times based on output from the Department of Energy's Energy Exascale Earth System Model with measured travel times from the 2016–2017 Canada Basin Acoustic Propagation Experiment and with travel times predicted by empirical temperature and salinity observations. This comparison allows us to test the impact of changes in Arctic sound speed profiles on acoustic travel times and connects Arctic hydroacoustics with the changing Arctic environment as described by a climate model.

Progress and prospects of the research on the impact of Arctic climate and environmental changes on the tertiary sector

Progress and prospects of the research on the impact of Arctic climate and environmental changes on the tertiary sector

Permafrost and Climate Change: Carbon Cycle Feedbacks From the Warming Arctic

Rapid Arctic environmental change affects the entire Earth system as thawing permafrost ecosystems release greenhouse gases to the atmosphere. Understanding how much permafrost carbon will be released, over what time frame, and what the relative emissions of carbon dioxide and methane will be is key for understanding the impact on global climate. In addition, the response of vegetation in a warming climate has the potential to offset at least some of the accelerating feedback to the climate from permafrost carbon. Temperature, organic carbon, and ground ice are key regulators for determining the impact of permafrost ecosystems on the global carbon cycle. Together, these encompass services of permafrost relevant to global society as well as to the people living in the region and help to determine the landscape-level response of this region to a changing climate.

Alaskan children’s perspectives of environmental stewardship in a changing Arctic environment

ABSTRACT This chapter magnifies the voices of Alaskan children in considering education for sustainability in the Arctic. The collaborative research explored how children understood and enacted environmental stewardship in three distinct Alaskan locations: Interior Alaska, the Kenai peninsula, and a rural southwest Alaska Native village. Honoring children’s agency, the study involved child-centered research methods, including children’s drawings and descriptions, role-playing, class discussions, and video tours utilizing wearable cameras. Findings revealed common themes of environmental stewardship, yet the way children perceived and enacted stewardship varied according to the social, cultural, and geographical contexts. Cleaning up litter was perceived as immediate and important for children from Kenai and the southwest Alaskan village, yet it was scarcely mentioned by Interior Alaskan children. Interior Alaskan children emphasized pet care, while children from Kenai and the southwest Alaskan village discussed animal care in relation to hunting and fishing ethics. Care for plants was less common than care for snow. Children’s spatial autonomy, sense of belonging and personal connection with place, plays an important role in the development of competencies to live more sustainably on the land. Findings point towards contextualized and child-centered approaches to promote children’s agency to act in and for their environments.

Scotland: A Touchstone for Security in the High North?

Scotland’s geostrategic significance to the High North is being overlooked in debates about the potential impacts of ‘Scexit’, as well as wider discussions about the changing Arctic security environment. Duncan Depledge and Andreas Østhagen address this oversight by drawing attention to Scotland’s historic role in contributing to the defence of NATO’s ‘northern flank’ and analysing how this is being resurrected in response to new challenges emerging in the High North. They conclude that there are some specific challenges that policymakers should address as the independence debate continues: most importantly, the potential for a ‘gap’ to be created in the regional security architecture of the High North.◼

Direct photogrammetry with multispectral imagery for UAV-based snow depth estimation

More accurate snow quality predictions are needed to economically and socially support communities in a changing Arctic environment. This contrasts with the current availability of affordable and efficient snow monitoring methods. In this study, a novel approach is presented to determine spatial snow depth distribution in challenging alpine terrain that was tested during a field campaign performed in the Tarfala valley, Kebnekaise mountains, northern Sweden, in April 2019. The combination of a multispectral camera and an Unmanned Aerial Vehicle (UAV) was used to derive three-dimensional (3D) snow surface models via Structure from Motion (SfM) with direct georeferencing. The main advantage over conventional photogrammetric surveys is the utilization of accurate Real-Time Kinematic (RTK) positioning which enables direct georeferencing of the images, and therefore eliminates the need for ground control points. The proposed method is capable of producing high-resolution 3D snow-covered surface models (<7 cm/pixel) of alpine areas up to eight hectares in a fast, reliable and affordable way. The test sites’ average snow depth was 160 cm with an average standard deviation of 78 cm. The overall Root-Mean-Square Errors (RMSE) of the snow depth range from 11.52 cm for data acquired in ideal surveying conditions to 41.03 cm in aggravated light and wind conditions. Results of this study suggest that the red components in the electromagnetic spectrum, i.e., the red, red edge, and near-infrared (NIR) band, contain the majority of information used in photogrammetric processing. The experiments highlighted a significant influence of the multi-spectral imagery on the quality of the final snow depth estimation as well as a strong potential to reduce processing times and computational resources by limiting the dimensionality of the imagery through the application of a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) before the photogrammetric 3D reconstruction. The proposed method is part of closing the scale gap between discrete point measurements and regional-scale remote sensing and complements large-scale remote sensing data and snow model output with an adequate validation source.

Climate change influence on the levels and trends of persistent organic pollutants (POPs) and chemicals of emerging Arctic concern (CEACs) in the Arctic physical environment - a review.

Climate change brings about significant changes in the physical environment in the Arctic. Increasing temperatures, sea ice retreat, slumping permafrost, changing sea ice regimes, glacial loss and changes in precipitation patterns can all affect how contaminants distribute within the Arctic environment and subsequently impact the Arctic ecosystems. In this review, we summarized observed evidence of the influence of climate change on contaminant circulation and transport among various Arctic environment media, including air, ice, snow, permafrost, fresh water and the marine environment. We have also drawn on parallel examples observed in Antarctica and the Tibetan Plateau, to broaden the discussion on how climate change may influence contaminant fate in similar cold-climate ecosystems. Significant knowledge gaps on indirect effects of climate change on contaminants in the Arctic environment, including those of extreme weather events, increase in forests fires, and enhanced human activities leading to new local contaminant emissions, have been identified. Enhanced mobilization of contaminants to marine and freshwater ecosystems has been observed as a result of climate change, but better linkages need to be made between these observed effects with subsequent exposure and accumulation of contaminants in biota. Emerging issues include those of Arctic contamination by microplastics and higher molecular weight halogenated natural products (hHNPs) and the implications of such contamination in a changing Arctic environment is explored.

Research Networking Activities Support Sustained Coordinated Observations of Arctic Change

Rapid Arctic environmental change requires improved collaboration across observing activities that support adaptation and response from local to pan-Arctic scales. The Research Networking Activities in Support of Sustained Coordinated Observations of Arctic Change (RNA CoOBs), in partnership with the Food Security Working Group (FSWG), supports an Indigenous-led project on food security. These efforts tie into the broader goals of the Sustaining Arctic Observing Networks (SAON) Roadmap for Arctic Observing and Data Systems (ROADS). SAON is an open initiative of the International Arctic Science Committee and the Arctic Council, uniting Arctic and non-Arctic countries and Indigenous, regional, and global organizations that support improved observing network development and integration. SAON has been advancing a partnership development framework under ROADS that adds value to different observing activities by providing common context and identifying shared goals.

Nitrogen restricts future sub-arctic treeline advance in an individual-based dynamic vegetation model

Abstract. Arctic environmental change induces shifts in high-latitude plant community composition and stature with implications for Arctic carbon cycling and energy exchange. Two major components of change in high-latitude ecosystems are the advancement of trees into tundra and the increased abundance and size of shrubs. How future changes in key climatic and environmental drivers will affect distributions of major ecosystem types is an active area of research. Dynamic vegetation models (DVMs) offer a way to investigate multiple and interacting drivers of vegetation distribution and ecosystem function. We employed the LPJ-GUESS tree-individual-based DVM over the Torneträsk area, a sub-arctic landscape in northern Sweden. Using a highly resolved climate dataset to downscale CMIP5 climate data from three global climate models and two 21st-century future scenarios (RCP2.6 and RCP8.5), we investigated future impacts of climate change on these ecosystems. We also performed model experiments where we factorially varied drivers (climate, nitrogen deposition and [CO2]) to disentangle the effects of each on ecosystem properties and functions. Our model predicted that treelines could advance by between 45 and 195 elevational metres by 2100, depending on the scenario. Temperature was a strong driver of vegetation change, with nitrogen availability identified as an important modulator of treeline advance. While increased CO2 fertilisation drove productivity increases, it did not result in range shifts of trees. Treeline advance was realistically simulated without any temperature dependence on growth, but biomass was overestimated. Our finding that nitrogen cycling could modulate treeline advance underlines the importance of representing plant–soil interactions in models to project future Arctic vegetation change.

Can a key boreal Calanus copepod species now complete its life-cycle in the Arctic? Evidence and implications for Arctic food-webs

The changing Arctic environment is affecting zooplankton that support its abundant wildlife. We examined how these changes are influencing a key zooplankton species, Calanus finmarchicus, principally found in the North Atlantic but expatriated to the Arctic. Close to the ice-edge in the Fram Strait, we identified areas that, since the 1980s, are increasingly favourable to C. finmarchicus. Field-sampling revealed part of the population there to be capable of amassing enough reserves to overwinter. Early developmental stages were also present in early summer, suggesting successful local recruitment. This extension to suitable C. finmarchicus habitat is most likely facilitated by the long-term retreat of the ice-edge, allowing phytoplankton to bloom earlier and for longer and through higher temperatures increasing copepod developmental rates. The increased capacity for this species to complete its life-cycle and prosper in the Fram Strait can change community structure, with large consequences to regional food-webs.

The immune response and diving: conservation considerations for belugas (Delphinapterus leucas) in a changing Arctic environment

Diving is a critical behaviour of marine mammals, including belugas, which dive to forage and travel under Arctic sea ice. While the limitations of dive behaviour and physiological dive adaptations have been the focus of several studies, cellular adaptations, particularly those of the immune system, have been little considered. However, diving itself presents several challenges that can impact immune responses, leading to disease or injury. As beluga dive their behaviour changes in response to human activity or environmental shifts. It is necessary to better understand how the beluga’s immune system functions during diving. This review provides a brief overview of what is known about beluga’s diving behaviour and physiology and discusses the first efforts to understand the link between diving and health via immune function in belugas. This new area of research is an important consideration regarding potential sub-lethal impacts of a rapidly changing Arctic environment on beluga’s diving behaviour, health and disease susceptibility.

Controls on Riverine Dissolved Organic Matter Composition Across an Arctic‐Boreal Latitudinal Gradient

AbstractClimatic changes are transforming northern high‐latitude watersheds as permafrost thaws and vegetation and hydrology shift. These changes have implications for the source and reactivity of riverine dissolved organic matter (DOM), and thus biogeochemical cycling, across northern high‐latitude systems. In this study, we use a latitudinal gradient from the interior to the North Slope of Alaska to evaluate seasonal and landscape drivers of DOM composition in this changing Arctic environment. To assess DOM source and composition, we used absorbance and fluorescence spectroscopy to measure DOM optical properties, lignin biomarker analyses to evaluate vascular plant contribution to the DOM pool, and Fourier transform ion cyclotron resonance mass spectrometry (FT‐ICR MS) to assess DOM compositional changes. We found that seasonal inputs of DOM at elevated discharge during the freshet were typically more aromatic in nature with higher lignin concentrations and carbon‐normalized yields. Landscape characteristics were a major control on dissolved organic carbon (DOC) yields and DOM composition. More northern watersheds, which were steeper, underlain by continuous permafrost, and exhibited a mix of barren and lichen/moss vegetation cover, exported less DOC with relatively more aliphatic DOM compared to more southern basins. Watersheds with deeper active layers exported DOM that was more aromatic with higher polyphenolic and condensed aromatic relative abundances and lignin yields, likely sourced from shallow subsurface flow during high discharge periods. However, contributions from deeper groundwater to streamflow is expected to increase, which would increase interactions of groundwater with mineral soils and decrease aromatic DOM contributions during periods of low discharge.

N2O dynamics in the western Arctic Ocean during the summer of 2017

The western Arctic Ocean (WAO) has experienced increased heat transport into the region, sea-ice reduction, and changes to the WAO nitrous oxide (N2O) cycles from greenhouse gases. We investigated WAO N2O dynamics through an intensive and precise N2O survey during the open-water season of summer 2017. The effects of physical processes (i.e., solubility and advection) were dominant in both the surface (0–50 m) and deep layers (200–2200 m) of the northern Chukchi Sea with an under-saturation of N2O. By contrast, both the surface layer (0–50 m) of the southern Chukchi Sea and the intermediate (50–200 m) layer of the northern Chukchi Sea were significantly influenced by biogeochemically derived N2O production (i.e., through nitrification), with N2O over-saturation. During summer 2017, the southern region acted as a source of atmospheric N2O (mean: + 2.3 ± 2.7 μmol N2O m−2 day−1), whereas the northern region acted as a sink (mean − 1.3 ± 1.5 μmol N2O m−2 day−1). If Arctic environmental changes continue to accelerate and consequently drive the productivity of the Arctic Ocean, the WAO may become a N2O “hot spot”, and therefore, a key region requiring continued observations to both understand N2O dynamics and possibly predict their future changes.

China-Russian cooperation in the Arctic: A cause for concern for the Western Arctic States?

ABSTRACT Increasing cooperation between China and Russia does not imply the development of an anti-Western pact and a coordinated revisionist strategy pursued by them in the Arctic. The Western Arctic States should monitor China-Russian regional cooperation but refrain from adopting strategies premised on the assumption both are, or will become, deeply aligned with each other. Russia and China should continue to be treated as distinct regional challenges requiring specific strategies towards each. Strengthening strategic solidarity between the Western Arctic States, including the United States (US) as a reinvigorated regional actor, in tackling specific challenges posed by these powers and adapting to a changing Arctic geopolitical environment is necessary. If American regional strategies, however, are solely about confrontation and exclusion against these powers, and pressuring across the board policy conformity onto its allies in these pursuits, these will be insufficient in addressing regional issues and risk marginalizing the autonomy and interests of smaller states like Canada. Facing such possibilities, Canada must continue to develop its own regional capabilities, become more forward leaning in addressing security and economic matters, and increase collaboration with the other smaller Arctic states to avoid the ongoing structuring of the region from becoming entirely dominated by great powers.