Surface Water Storage Changes Research Articles

A copula-supported Bayesian framework for spatial downscaling of GRACE-derived terrestrial water storage flux

The GRACE and GRACE-FO satellite missions provide mass variations as a fundamentally new observation type for a broad spectrum of novel applications in Earth science disciplines, including oceanography, geophysics, hydrology, and hydrometeorology. Despite all the key findings in hydrology, the utility of GRACE-derived Terrestrial Water Storage Anomaly (TWSA) and its time derivative Terrestrial Water Storage Flux (TWSF) have mainly been limited to large catchments due to their coarse spatial resolution. Here, we propose a method to downscale TWSF by incorporating available finer-resolution data. We determine the downscaled TWSF and its uncertainty within a proposed Bayesian framework by incorporating the fine-scale data of TWSF and Soil Moisture Change (SMC) from different available sources. For the Bayesian ingredients, we rely on GRACE data to obtain the prior and rely on copula models to obtain nonparametric likelihood functions based on the statistical relationship between GRACE TWSF with fine-scale TWSF data and SMC. We apply our method to the Amazon Basin and assess the performances of our products from various fine-scale input datasets of TWSFs and SMCs. Given the lack of ground truth for TWSF, we validate our results against space-based Surface Water Storage Change (SWSC) in the Amazon river system and also against the Vertical Crustal Displacements Rate (VCDR) observed by the Global Positioning System (GPS). Overall, the results show that the proposed method is able to estimate a downscaled TWSF, which is informed by GRACE and fine-scale data. Validation shows that our downscaled products are better anticorrelated with VCDR (−0.81) than fine-scale TWSF (−0.73) and show a mean relative RMSE of 26% with SWSC versus 70% for fine-scale TWSF. The proposed methodology can be extended to other coarse scale datasets, which are crucial for hydrological application at regional and local scales.

Impacts of Water Resources Management on Land Water Storage in the Lower Lancang River Basin: Insights from Multi-Mission Earth Observations

Climate change and heavy reservoir regulation in the lower Lancang River basin (LLRB) have caused significant impacts on terrestrial water storage (TWS) in several ways, including changes in surface water storage (SWS), soil moisture storage (SMS), and groundwater storage (GWS). Understanding these impacts is crucial for promoting comprehensive cooperation in managing and utilizing water resources within the basin. This study utilized multi-mission Earth observation (EO) datasets, i.e., gravimetry (GRACE/-FO), altimetry (Jason-2, Sentinel-3, and Cryosat-2), imagery (Sentinel-1/2), and microwave sensors (IMERG), as well as gauged meteorological, hydrological data and reanalysis products, to investigate the spatial-temporal variation of water resources in the LLRB. The study shows that the fluctuations in precipitation and the construction of reservoirs are the primary drivers of changes in the TWS anomaly (TWSA) in the region. Precipitation decreased significantly from 2010 to 2019 (−34.68 cm/yr), but the TWSA showed a significant increase (8.96 cm/yr) due to enhanced water storage capacity in the Xiaowan and Nuozhadu reservoirs. SWS and GWS were also analyzed, with SWS showing a decrease (−5.48 cm/yr) from 2010 to 2019 due to declining precipitation and increasing evaporation. GWS exhibited a steady rise (9.73 cm/yr) due to the maintenance of groundwater levels by the reservoirs. This study provides valuable insights into the potential of EO data for monitoring water resources at a regional scale.

Methods for Estimating Surface Water Storage Changes and Their Evaluations

Abstract Developing effective methods for estimating regional-scale surface water storage change (ΔSW) has become increasingly important for water resources studies and environmental impact assessment. Three methods for estimating monthly ΔSW are proposed in this study, of which one is based on land surface runoff and two that use water body water budgets. Water areas observed by Landsat satellites for Canada’s entire landmass are used for evaluation of the results. The surface runoff method achieved the least satisfactory results, with large errors in the cold season or dry regions. The two water-budget methods demonstrated significant improvements, particularly when water area dynamics is considered in the estimation of the water body water budget. The three methods performed consistently across different climate regions in the country and showed better correlations with observations over wet climate regions than over dry regions with poorly connected hydrological system. The results also showed the impact of glacier and permanent snow melts over the Rocky Mountains on basin-scale surface water dynamics. The methods and outputs from this study can be used for calibrating and validating hydrological and climate models, assessing climate change and human disturbance impacts on regional water resources, and filling the ΔSW data gaps in GRACE-based total water storage decompositions studies. Significance Statement The purpose of this study is to develop and evaluate methods for estimating regional-scale surface water storage change. This is important because information on surface water dynamics is limited for water resources studies and environmental impact assessment. Our study makes available two new methods which significantly improve on surface water storage estimation from the traditional runoff model. A guide on controls of surface water dynamics is provided for regions under various hydroclimate and physiographic–hydraulic conditions and reveals the influence of glacier melt on surface water variations.

Surface Water Storage in Rivers and Wetlands Derived from Satellite Observations: A Review of Current Advances and Future Opportunities for Hydrological Sciences

Surface water storage (SWS), the amount of freshwater stored in rivers/wetlands/floodplains/lakes, and its variations are key components of the water cycle and land surface hydrology, with strong feedback and linkages with climate variability. They are also very important for water resources management. However, it is still very challenging to measure and to obtain accurate estimates of SWS variations for large river basins at adequate time/space sampling. Satellite observations offer great opportunities to measure SWS changes, and several methods have been developed combining multisource observations for different environments worldwide. With the upcoming launch in 2022 of the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission, which will provide, for the first time, direct estimates of SWS variations with an unprecedented spatial resolution (~100 m), it is timely to summarize the recent advances in the estimates of SWS from satellite observations and how they contribute to a better understanding of large-scale hydrological processes. Here, we review the scientific literature and present major results regarding the dynamic of surface freshwater in large rivers, floodplains, and wetlands. We show how recent efforts have helped to characterize the variations in SWS change across large river basins, including during extreme climatic events, leading to an overall better understanding of the continental water cycle. In the context of SWOT and forthcoming SWS estimates at the global scale, we further discuss new opportunities for hydrological and multidisciplinary sciences. We recommend that, in the near future, SWS should be considered as an essential water variable to ensure its long-term monitoring.

Estimation of daily hydrological mass changes using continuous GNSS measurements in mainland China

Surface displacements measured by the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) integrate the elastic response of the solid Earth to regional and local hydrologic loading signals and provide an opportunity for near-real-time monitoring of terrestrial water storage variations. Here, we estimate the spectral information of hydrology-induced vertical surface deformation based on spherical Slepian basis functions and recover the daily changes in continental water storage over mainland China from January 2010 to December 2019. Our inversion results, depending on a sparsely-distributed GNSS network, indicate the largest seasonal fluctuation of hydrological mass loads in southwestern China. The GNSS-inferred equivalent water height has an annual amplitude of up to 314 mm, which is greater than 243 mm from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) and 150 mm from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS). We also find notable seasonal water oscillations of 153–166 mm in the middle and lower Yangtze River Basin. This feature appears in the GNSS inversion model and GRACE Mascon solutions but is invisible in the GLDAS model, mostly indicating the existence of significant changes in surface water storage that is unmodeled in the GLDAS model. There is board agreement in the water estimates derived from multiple data sets in South China, in contrast to weak temporal coherence of various water estimates in North China. We also demonstrate the ability of GNSS for tracking the drought and wet periods, which can serve as an independent means to characterize hydrological extremes. Our study emphasizes that a sparse GNSS network can still be considered as a complementary tool to map large-scale spatiotemporal variations of water storage and benefit the hydrological community for assessing water storage changes and hydrological dynamics.

Human alteration of global surface water storage variability.

Knowing the extent of human influence on the global hydrological cycle is essential for the sustainability of freshwater resources on Earth1,2. However, a lack of water level observations for the world's ponds, lakes and reservoirs has limited the quantification of human-managed (reservoir) changes in surface water storage compared to its natural variability3. The global storage variability in surface water bodies and the extent to which it is altered by humans therefore remain unknown. Here we show that 57percent of the Earth's seasonal surface water storage variability occurs in human-managed reservoirs. Using measurements from NASA's ICESat-2 satellite laser altimeter, which was launched in late 2018, we assemble an extensive global water level dataset that quantifies water level variability for 227,386 water bodies from October2018 to July2020. We find that seasonal variability in human-managed reservoirs averages 0.86metres, whereas natural water bodies vary by only 0.22metres. Natural variability in surface water storage is greatest in tropical basins, whereas human-managed variability is greatest in the Middle East, southern Africa and the western USA. Strong regional patterns are also found, with human influence driving 67percent of surface water storage variability south of 45degreesnorth and nearly 100percent in certain arid and semi-arid regions. As economic development, population growth and climate change continue to pressure global water resources4, our approach provides a useful baseline from which ICESat-2 and future satellite missions will be able to track human modifications to the global hydrologic cycle.

Potential and Limitations of Satellite Altimetry Constellations for Monitoring Surface Water Storage Changes—A Case Study in the Mississippi Basin

Remote sensing data are essential for monitoring the Earth’s surface waters, especially since the amount of publicly available in-situ data is declining. Satellite altimetry provides valuable information on the water levels and variations of lakes, reservoirs and rivers. In combination with satellite imagery, the derived time series allow the monitoring of lake storage changes and river discharge. However, satellite altimetry is limited in terms of its spatial resolution due to its measurement geometry, only providing information in the nadir direction beneath the satellite’s orbit. In a case study in the Mississippi River Basin (MRB), this study investigates the potential and limitations of past and current satellite missions for the monitoring of basin-wide storage changes. For that purpose, an automated target detection is developed and the extracted lake surfaces are merged with the satellites’ tracks. This reveals that the current altimeter configuration misses about 80% of all lakes larger than 0.1 km2 in the MRB and 20% of lakes larger than 10 km2, corresponding to 30% and 7% of the total water area, respectively. Past altimetry configurations perform even more poorly. From the larger water bodies represented by a global hydrology model, at least 91% of targets and 98% of storage changes are captured by the current altimeter configuration. This will improve significantly with the launch of the planned Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission.

Altimetry-derived surface water data assimilation over the Nile Basin

Global hydrological models facilitate studying of water resources and their variations over time. The accuracies of these models are enhanced when combined with ever-increasing satellite remotely sensed data. Traditionally, these combinations are done via data assimilation approach, which permits the use of improved hydrological outputs to study regions with limited in-situ measurements such as the Nile Basin. This study aims at using the state-of-art satellite radar altimetry data to enhance a land-based hydrological model for studying water storage changes over the Nile Basin. Altimetry-derived surface water storage, for the first time, is assimilated into the model using the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for the period of 2003 to 2016. Multiple datasets from ground measurements, as well as space observations, are used to evaluate the performance of the assimilated satellite altimetry data. Results indicate that the assimilation successfully improves model outputs, especially the surface water component. The process increases the correlation between surface water storage changes and water level variations from satellite radar altimetry by 0.44 and reduces the surface water discharge root-mean-square errors (RMSE) by approximately 33%.

Satellite-based remote sensing data set of global surface water storage change from 1992 to 2018

Abstract. The recent availability of freely and openly available satellite remote sensing products has enabled the implementation of global surface water monitoring at a level not previously possible. Here we present a global set of satellite-derived time series of surface water storage variations for lakes and reservoirs for a period that covers the satellite altimetry era. Our goals are to promote the use of satellite-derived products for the study of large inland water bodies and to set the stage for the expected availability of products from the Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) mission, which will vastly expand the spatial coverage of such products, expected from 2021 on. Our general strategy is to estimate global surface water storage changes (ΔV) in large lakes and reservoirs using a combination of paired water surface elevation (WSE) and water surface area (WSA) extent products. Specifically, we use data produced by multiple satellite altimetry missions (TOPEX/Poseidon, Jason-1, Jason-2, Jason-3, and Envisat) from 1992 on, with surface extent estimated from Terra/Aqua Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) from 2000 on. We leverage relationships between elevation and surface area (i.e., hypsometry) to produce estimates of ΔV even during periods when either of the variables was not available. This approach is successful provided that there are strong relationships between the two variables during an overlapping period. Our target is to produce time series of ΔV as well as of WSE and WSA for a set of 347 lakes and reservoirs globally for the 1992–2018 period. The data sets presented and their respective algorithm theoretical basis documents are publicly available and distributed via the Physical Oceanography Distributed Active Archive Center (PO DAAC; https://podaac.jpl.nasa.gov/, last access: 13 May 2020) of NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. Specifically, the WSE data set is available at https://doi.org/10.5067/UCLRS-GREV2 (Birkett et al., 2019), the WSA data set is available at https://doi.org/10.5067/UCLRS-AREV2 (Khandelwal and Kumar, 2019), and the ΔV data set is available at https://doi.org/10.5067/UCLRS-STOV2 (Tortini et al., 2019). The records we describe represent the most complete global surface water time series available from the launch of TOPEX/Poseidon in 1992 (beginning of the satellite altimetry era) to the near present. The production of long-term, consistent, and calibrated records of surface water cycle variables such as in the data set presented here is of fundamental importance to baseline future SWOT products.

Anthropogenic and Climate Contributions on the Changes in Terrestrial Water Storage in India

AbstractDespite the rapid depletion of groundwater and significant changes in surface water storage, the role of anthropogenic and climatic factors on terrestrial water storage (TWS) in India remains largely unexplored. Here, we provide a hydrologic framework based on the Variable Infiltration Capacity‐SIMple Groundwater Model (VIC‐SIMGM) and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) data sets to estimate the contribution of climate variability and anthropogenic groundwater pumping on TWS in the Indian basins. The VIC‐SIMGM model was satisfactorily calibrated and evaluated against observed monthly streamflow and groundwater anomalies for the 17 river basins in India. The modeling setup combined with the GRACE data can be used for understanding the role of climate variability on surface and groundwater (shallow) storage in India. A significantly high correlation between TWS anomaly from GRACE (TWSAGRACE) and the VIC‐SIMGM (TWSAVIC) was found in the majority of India except in northwest India. The negative correlation in northwest India is primarily due to considerable groundwater pumping for irrigation. Groundwater storage anomaly explains a significant variability of GRACETWSA in India, indicating the influence of anthropogenic groundwater pumping for irrigation. However, in the absence of anthropogenic influence, soil moisture is the major contributor to TWSA in the majority of India. The net anthropogenic depletion of TWS in north India is considerably higher than that estimated from the GRACE as the increase in precipitation has, during the recent decades, contributed to slowing down the declining rate of TWS.

A Transfer Function Between Line‐of‐Sight Gravity Difference and GRACE Intersatellite Ranging Data and an Application to Hydrological Surface Mass Variation

AbstractWe develop a transfer function to determine in situ line‐of‐sight gravity difference (LGD) directly from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) range‐acceleration measurements. We first reduce GRACE data to form residual range‐acceleration referenced to dynamic orbit computed with a reference gravity field and nonconservative force data. Thus, the residuals and the corresponding LGD data reflect time‐variable gravity signals. A transfer function is designed based on correlation‐admittance spectral analysis. The correlation spectrum shows that residual range‐acceleration and LGD are near‐perfectly correlated for frequencies >5 cycles‐per‐revolution. The admittance spectrum quantifies that the LGD response to range‐acceleration is systematically larger at lower frequencies, due to the increased contribution of centrifugal acceleration. We find that the correlation and admittance spectra are stationary (i.e., are independent of time, satellite altitude, and gravity strength) and, therefore, can be determined a priori with high fidelity. We determine the spectral transfer function and the equivalent time domain filter. Using both synthetic and actual GRACE data, we demonstrate that in situ LGD can be estimated via the transfer function with an estimation error of 0.15 nm/s2, whereas the actual GRACE data error is around 1.0 nm/s2. We present an application of LGD data to surface water storage changes in large basins such as Amazon, Congo, Parana, and Mississippi by processing 11 years of GRACE data. Runoff routing models are calibrated directly using LGD data. Our technique demonstrates a new way of using GRACE data by forward modeling of various geophysical models and in‐orbit comparison with such GRACE in situ data.

Understanding the association between climate variability and the Nile's water level fluctuations and water storage changes during 1992–2016

With the construction of the largest dam in Africa, the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) along the Blue Nile, the Nile is back in the news. This, combined with Bujagali Dam on the White Nile are expected to bring ramification to the downstream countries. A comprehensive analysis of the Nile's waters (surface, soil moisture and groundwater) is, therefore, essential to inform its management. Owing to its shear size, however, obtaining in-situ data from “boots on the ground” is practically impossible, paving way to the use of satellite remotely sensed and models' products. The present study employs multi-mission satellites and surface models' products to provide, for the first time, a comprehensive analysis of the changes in Nile's stored waters' compartments; surface, soil moisture and groundwater, and their association to climate variability (El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD)) over the period 1992–2016. In this regard, remotely sensed altimetry data from TOPEX/Poseidon (T/P), Jason-1, and Jason-2 satellites along with the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission, and the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission Project (TRMM) rainfall products are applied to analyze the compartmental changes over the Nile River Basin (NRB). This is achieved through the creation of 62 virtual gauge stations distributed throughout the Nile River that generate water levels, which are used to compute surface water storage changes. Using GRACE total water storage (TWS), soil moisture data from multi-models based on the Triple Collocation Analysis (TCA) method, and altimetry derived surface water storage, Nile basin's groundwater variations are estimated. The impacts of climate variability on the compartmental changes are examined using TRMM precipitation and large-scale ocean-atmosphere ENSO and IOD indices. The results indicate a strong correlation between the river level variations and precipitation changes in the central part of the basin (0.77 on average) in comparison to the northern (0.64 on average) and southern parts (0.72 on average). Larger water storages and rainfall variations are observed in the Upper Nile in contrast to the Lower Nile. A negative groundwater trend is also found over the Lower Nile, which could be attributed to a significantly lower amount of rainfall in the last decade and extensive irrigation over the region.

Automated Generation of Lakes and Reservoirs Water Elevation Changes From Satellite Radar Altimetry

Limited access to in-situ water level data for lakes and reservoirs have been a major setback for regional and global studies of reservoirs, surface water storage changes, and monitoring the hydrologic cycle. Processing satellite radar altimetry data over inland water bodies on a large scale has been a cumbersome task primarily due to the removal of contaminated measurements as a result of surrounding land. In this study, we proposed a new algorithm to automatically generate time series from raw satellite radar altimetry data without user intervention. With this method, users with a little knowledge on the field can now independently process radar altimetry for diverse applications. The method is based on K-means clustering, interquartile range, and statistical analysis of the dataset for outlier detection. Jason-2 and Envisat radar altimetry data were used to demonstrate the capability of this algorithm. A total of 37 satellite crossings over 30 lakes and reservoirs located in the U.S., Brazil, and Nigeria were used based on the availability of in-situ data. We compared the results against in-situ data and root-mean-square error values ranged from 0.09 to 1.20 m. We also confirmed the potential of this algorithm over rivers and wetlands using the southern Congo River and Everglades wetlands in Florida, respectively. Finally, the different retracking algorithms in Envisat; Ice-1, Ice-2, Ocean, and Sea-Ice were compared using the proposed algorithm. Ice-1 performed best for generating water level time series for in-land water bodies and the result is consistent with previous studies.

Groundwater depletion in Central Mexico: Use of GRACE and InSAR to support water resources management

AbstractGroundwater deficits occur in several areas of Central Mexico, where water resource assessment is limited by the availability and reliability of field data. In this context, GRACE and InSAR are used to remotely assess groundwater storage loss in one of Mexico's most important watersheds in terms of size and economic activity: the Lerma‐Santiago‐Pacifico (LSP). In situ data and Land Surface Models are used to subtract soil moisture and surface water storage changes from the total water storage change measured by GRACE satellites. As a result, groundwater mass change time‐series are obtained for a 12 years period. ALOS‐PALSAR images acquired from 2007 to 2011 were processed using the SBAS‐InSAR algorithm to reveal areas subject to ground motion related to groundwater over‐exploitation. In the perspective of providing guidance for groundwater management, GRACE and InSAR observations are compared with official water budgets and field observations. InSAR‐derived subsidence mapping generally agrees well with official water budgets, and shows that deficits occur mainly in cities and irrigated agricultural areas. GRACE does not entirely detect the significant groundwater losses largely reported by official water budgets, literature and InSAR observations. The difference is interpreted as returns of wastewater to the groundwater flow systems, which limits the watershed scale groundwater depletion but suggests major impacts on groundwater quality. This phenomenon is enhanced by ground fracturing as noticed in the field. Studying the fate of the extracted groundwater is essential when comparing GRACE data with higher resolution observations, and particularly in the perspective of further InSAR/GRACE combination in hydrogeology.

Three-parameter-based streamflow elasticity model: application to MOPEX basins in the USA at annual and seasonal scales

Abstract. We present a three-parameter streamflow elasticity model as a function of precipitation, potential evaporation, and change in groundwater storage applicable at both seasonal and annual scales. The model was applied to 245 Model Parameter Estimation Experiment (MOPEX) basins spread across the continental USA. The analysis of the modified equation at annual and seasonal scales indicated that the groundwater and surface water storage change contributes significantly to the streamflow elasticity. Overall, in case of annual as well as seasonal water balances, precipitation has higher elasticity values when compared to both potential evapotranspiration and storage changes. The streamflow elasticities show significant nonlinear associations with the climate conditions of the catchments indicating a complex interplay between elasticities and climate variables with substantial seasonal variations.

The SWOT Mission and Its Capabilities for Land Hydrology

Surface water storage and fluxes in rivers, lakes, reservoirs and wetlands are currently poorly observed at the global scale, even though they represent major components of the water cycle and deeply impact human societies. In situ networks are heterogeneously distributed in space, and many river basins and most lakes—especially in the developing world and in sparsely populated regions—remain unmonitored. Satellite remote sensing has provided useful complementary observations, but no past or current satellite mission has yet been specifically designed to observe, at the global scale, surface water storage change and fluxes. This is the purpose of the planned Surface Water and Ocean Topography (SWOT) satellite mission. SWOT is a collaboration between the (US) National Aeronautics and Space Administration, Centre National d’Etudes Spatiales (the French Spatial Agency), the Canadian Space Agency and the United Kingdom Space Agency, with launch planned in late 2020. SWOT is both a continental hydrology and oceanography mission. However, only the hydrology capabilities of SWOT are discussed here. After a description of the SWOT mission requirements and measurement capabilities, we review the SWOT-related studies concerning land hydrology published to date. Beginning in 2007, studies demonstrated the benefits of SWOT data for river hydrology, both through discharge estimation directly from SWOT measurements and through assimilation of SWOT data into hydrodynamic and hydrology models. A smaller number of studies have also addressed methods for computation of lake and reservoir storage change or have quantified improvements expected from SWOT compared with current knowledge of lake water storage variability. We also briefly review other land hydrology capabilities of SWOT, including those related to transboundary river basins, human water withdrawals and wetland environments. Finally, we discuss additional studies needed before and after the launch of the mission, along with perspectives on a potential successor to SWOT.

Deriving scaling factors using a global hydrological model to restore GRACE total water storage changes for China's Yangtze River Basin

This study used a global hydrological model (GHM), PCR-GLOBWB, which simulates surface water storage changes, natural and human induced groundwater storage changes, and the interactions between surface water and subsurface water, to generate scaling factors by mimicking low-pass filtering of GRACE signals. Signal losses in GRACE data were subsequently restored by the scaling factors from PCR-GLOBWB. Results indicate greater spatial heterogeneity in scaling factor from PCR-GLOBWB and CLM4.0 than that from GLDAS-1 Noah due to comprehensive simulation of surface and subsurface water storage changes for PCR-GLOBWB and CLM4.0. Filtered GRACE total water storage (TWS) changes applied with PCR-GLOBWB scaling factors show closer agreement with water budget estimates of TWS changes than those with scaling factors from other land surface models (LSMs) in China's Yangtze River basin. Results of this study develop a further understanding of the behavior of scaling factors from different LSMs or GHMs over hydrologically complex basins, and could be valuable in providing more accurate TWS changes for hydrological applications (e.g., monitoring drought and groundwater storage depletion) over regions where human-induced interactions between surface water and subsurface water are intensive.

Evidence of Land-use Controlled Water Storage Depletion in Hai River Basin, North China

Although critical for human sustenance, irrational land use could cause land resources depletion, environmental degradation, food insecurity and social instability. This study uses Landsat images (06/09/1979 and 12/08/2009) with historical precipitation data (1955–2012) to analyze land use change in relation to surface water storage change in Hai River Basin, North China. Based on analysis in ENVI (Environment for Visualizing Images) and ArcMap, land area under water in 1979 is 1.8 % and that in 2009 is 0.6 % of the 23 826 km2 study area. Although the rate of precipitation decline in 1955–2012 is 4.41 mm/year, it is almost the same for 1979 (582 mm) and 2009 (564 mm). This suggests that drought or flooding has no significant effect on the water storage change. For 1979–2009, land area under forest and grass decreases respectively by 54.2 % and 70.7 %. Then that under settlement, farmland and others increases respectively by 64.8 %, 56.0 % and 63.6 %. The loss of land area under water is 64.6 %, which is more the effect of land use change and the related water use in the region. Irrespectively, more water-efficient land use measures could ensure the sustainability and availability of water resources for future use in the predominantly agrarian semiarid region.

Seasonal variation in total water storage in California inferred from GPS observations of vertical land motion

GPS is accurately recording vertical motion of Earth's surface in elastic response to seasonal changes in surface water storage in California. California's mountains subside up to 12 mm in the fall and winter due to the load of snow and rain and then rise an identical amount in the spring and summer when the snow melts, the rain runs off, and soil moisture evaporates. We invert the GPS observations of seasonal vertical motions to infer changes in equivalent water thickness. GPS resolves the distribution of change in total water across California's physiographic provinces at a resolution of 50 km, compared to 200 km resolution from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment. The seasonal surface water thickness change is 0.6 m in the Sierra Nevada, Klamath, and southern Cascade Mountains and decreases sharply to about 0.1 m east into the Great Basin and west toward the Pacific coast. GPS provides an independent inference of change in total surface water, indicating water storage to be on average 50% larger than in the NLDAS-Noah hydrology model, likely due to larger changes in snow and reservoir water than in the model.

Separation of large scale water storage patterns over Iran using GRACE, altimetry and hydrological data

Extracting large scale water storage (WS) patterns is essential for understanding the hydrological cycle and improving the water resource management of Iran, a country that is facing challenges of limited water resources. The Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission offers a unique possibility of monitoring total water storage (TWS) changes. An accurate estimation of terrestrial and surface WS changes from GRACE-TWS products, however, requires a proper signal separation procedure. To perform this separation, this study proposes a statistical approach that uses a priori spatial patterns of terrestrial and surface WS changes from a hydrological model and altimetry data. The patterns are then adjusted to GRACE-TWS products using a least squares adjustment (LSA) procedure, thereby making the best use of the available data. For the period of October 2002 to March 2011, monthly GRACE-TWS changes were derived over a broad region encompassing Iran. A priori patterns were derived by decomposing the following auxiliary data into statistically independent components: (i) terrestrial WS change outputs of the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS); (ii) steric-corrected surface WS changes of the Caspian Sea; (iii) that of the Persian and Oman Gulfs; (iv) WS changes of the Aral Sea; and (v) that of small lakes of the selected region. Finally, the patterns of (i) to (v) were adjusted to GRACE-TWS maps so that their contributions were estimated and GRACE-TWS signals separated. After separation, our results indicated that the annual amplitude of WS changes over the Caspian Sea was 152mm, 101mm over both the Persian and Oman Gulfs, and 71mm for the Aral Sea. Since January 2005, terrestrial WS in most parts of Iran, specifically over the center and northwestern parts, exhibited a mass decrease with an average linear rate of ~15mm/yr. The estimated linear trends of groundwater storage for the drought period of 2005 to March 2011, corresponding to the six main basins of Iran: Khazar, Persian and Oman Gulfs, Urmia, Markazi, Hamoon, and Srakhs were −6.7, −6.1, −11.2, −9.1, −3.1, and −4.2mm/yr, respectively. The estimated results after separation agree fairly well with 256 in-situ piezometric observations.