Changes In Aerosol Concentrations Research Articles

Impact of aerosol concentration changes on carbon sequestration potential of rice in a temperate monsoon climate zone during the COVID-19: a case study on the Sanjiang Plain, China.

The emission reduction of atmospheric pollutants during the COVID-19 caused the change in aerosol concentration. However, there is a lack of research on the impact of changes in aerosol concentration on carbon sequestration potential. To reveal the impact mechanism of aerosols on rice carbon sequestration, the spatial differentiation characteristics of aerosol optical depth (AOD), gross primary productivity (GPP), net primary productivity (NPP), leaf area index (LAI), fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR), and meteorological factors were compared in the Sanjiang Plain. Pearson correlation analysis and geographic detector were used to analyze the main driving factors affecting the spatial heterogeneity of GPP and NPP. The study showed that the spatial distribution pattern of AOD in the rice-growing area during the epidemic was gradually decreasing from northeast to southwest with an overall decrease of 29.76%. Under the synergistic effect of multiple driving factors, both GPP and NPP increased by more than 5.0%, and the carbon sequestration capacity was improved. LAI and FPAR were the main driving factors for the spatial differentiation of rice GPP and NPP during the epidemic, followed by potential evapotranspiration and AOD. All interaction detection results showed a double-factor enhancement, which indicated that the effects of atmospheric environmental changes on rice primary productivity were the synergistic effect result of multiple factors, and AOD was the key factor that indirectly affected rice primary productivity. The synergistic effects between aerosol-radiation-meteorological factor-rice primary productivity in a typical temperate monsoon climate zone suitable for rice growth were studied, and the effects of changes in aerosol concentration on carbon sequestration potential were analyzed. The study can provide important references for the assessment of carbon sequestration potential in this climate zone.

The impact of aerosols and model grid spacing on a supercell storm from Swabian MOSES 2021

AbstractThe supercell storm that occurred in southwestern Germany on June 23, 2021, had an exceptionally long lifetime of 7.5 hr, travelled a distance of nearly 190 km, and produced large amounts of hail. During that summer, the Swabian MOSES field campaign was held in that area, and several hydro‐meteorological measurements are available, as the storm passed directly over the main observation site. We present hindcasts of this event with the Icosahedral Non‐hydrostatic model using two horizontal grid spacings (i.e., 2 km, 1 km) with a single‐moment and an advanced double‐moment microphysics scheme. Numerical results show that all 2 km model realizations do not simulate convective precipitation at the correct location and time. For the 1 km grid spacing, changes in aerosol concentration resulted in large changes in convective precipitation. Only the 1 km run assuming a low cloud condensation nuclei (CCNs) concentration is able to realistically capture the storm, whereas no supercell is simulated in the more polluted scenarios. Observed aerosol particle concentrations indicate that CCNs values were the lowest of the month, which suggests that the low aerosol concentration is a reasonable assumption. The thermodynamic structure of the pre‐convective environment, as well as other observations, showed the best agreement to this model run as well, indicating that the good representation of the supercell was obtained for the right reason. The automatic tracking of individual clouds revealed that more convective cells with longer lifetimes are simulated at finer resolution. We also find a negative aerosol–precipitation effect that is not only due to a reduced collision–coalescence process, but also to weaker cold‐rain processes. These findings demonstrate the benefits of using an aerosol‐aware double‐moment microphysics scheme for convective‐scale predictability and that the use of different CCNs concentrations can determine whether a supercell is successfully simulated or not.

First results of the potential gradient variation in a tropical station in South America (Ica, Peru)

Measurements of the potential gradient (PG) under fair weather conditions at new locations are crucial for monitoring the global electric circuit. In this study, we analyzed the variations in PG recorded in Ica city, Peru, during the period from March 2018 to December 2022. Our analysis involved a detailed comparison of PG with various meteorological parameters such as rainfall, wind speed and direction, dust storms, dust devils and fog to establish the characteristic PG curve under fair weather conditions (referred to as the standard curve). We identified a significant threshold of 3.5 m/s for strong winds, which helps prevent the influence of sea breeze and dust lifting on PG. Our results showed the impact of 'Paracas' dust storms on PG, which aligns with patterns observed in other arid regions worldwide. Subsequently, we calculated monthly, seasonal, and annual averages of the standard curve which showed a response likely associated with local convective processes on the PG diurnal variation. Furthermore, the seasonal variation of PG reveals higher values during June, July, and August compared to December, January, and February. These differences are attributed to seasonal changes in aerosol concentrations, potentially influenced by biomass-burning activities in Peru. Additionally, we performed a wavelet transform analysis of PG hourly values. We found the periodicities of 1 day, ∼188 days, and 360 days which are related to the diurnal, semiannual and annual periods. During the months between January and March 2018 was found an intense period of ∼45-day likely associated with one of the strongest Madden-Julian Oscillation events. Through this comprehensive investigation, we deepen our understanding of the intricate relationships among meteorological conditions, sea breeze, dust storms, and the PG in arid regions like Ica.

Changes in Aerosol Concentration in a Meeting Room with a Portable Air Cleaner - Mapping Fine Particle Concentrations

Changes in Aerosol Concentration in a Meeting Room with a Portable Air Cleaner - Mapping Fine Particle Concentrations

Retrieval of aerosol optical properties from GOCI-II observations: Continuation of long-term geostationary aerosol monitoring over East Asia

Since the Geostationary Ocean Color Imager (GOCI) was successfully launched in 2010, the GOCI Yonsei aerosol retrieval (YAER) algorithm has been continuously updated to retrieve hourly aerosol optical properties. GOCI-II has 4 more channels including UV, finer spatial resolution (250 m), and daily full disk coverage as compared to GOCI, and was launched in February 2020, onboard the GEO-KOMPSAT-2B (GK-2B) satellite. In this study, we extended the YAER algorithm to GOCI-II data based on its improved performance in many aspects and present the first results of aerosol optical properties retrieved from GOCI-II data. Utilizing the overlapping period between the GOCI-II and GOCI in geostationary Earth orbit, we present GOCI-II aerosol retrievals for high aerosol-loading cases over East Asia and show that these have a consistent spatial distribution with those from GOCI. Furthermore, GOCI-II provides AOD at an even higher spatial resolution, revealing finer changes in aerosol concentrations. Validation results for one year data show that the GOCI-II AOD has a correlation coefficient of 0.83 and a ratio within the expected error (EE) of 59.4 % when compared with the aerosol robotic network (AERONET) data. We compared statistical metrics for the GOCI and GOCI-II AODs to assess the consistency between the two datasets. In addition, it was found that there is a strong correlation between the two datasets from the comparison of gridded GOCI and GOCI-II AOD products. It is expected that data from GOCI-II will continue long-term aerosol records with high accuracy that can be used to address air-quality issues over East Asia.

Aerosol measurement identifies SARS-CoV 2 PCR positive adults compared with healthy controls

BackgroundSARS-CoV-2 is spread primarily through droplets and aerosols. Exhaled aerosols are generated in the upper airways through shear stress and in the lung periphery by ‘reopening of collapsed airways’. Aerosol measuring may detect highly contagious individuals (“super spreaders or super-emitters”) and discriminate between SARS-CoV-2 infected and non-infected individuals. This is the first study comparing exhaled aerosols in SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals and healthy controls. DesignA prospective observational cohort study in 288 adults, comprising 64 patients testing positive by SARS CoV-2 PCR before enrollment, and 224 healthy adults testing negative (matched control sample) at the University Hospital Frankfurt, Germany, from February to June 2021. Study objective was to evaluate the concentration of exhaled aerosols during physiologic breathing in SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive and -negative subjects. Secondary outcome measures included correlation of aerosol concentration to SARS-CoV-2 PCR results, change in aerosol concentration due to confounders, and correlation between clinical symptoms and aerosol. ResultsThere was a highly significant difference in respiratory aerosol concentrations between SARS-CoV-2 PCR-positive (median 1490.5/L) and -negative subjects (median 252.0/L; p < 0.0001). There were no significant differences due to age, sex, smoking status, or body mass index. ROC analysis showed an AUC of 0.8918. ConclusionsMeasurements of respiratory aerosols were significantly elevated in SARS-CoV-2 positive individuals, which helps to understand the spread and course of respiratory viral infections, as well as the detection of highly infectious individuals.

Impacts of Suppressing Excessive Light Rain on Aerosol Radiative Effects and Health Risks

AbstractGlobal climate models (GCMs) have been used widely to study radiative forcing and health risks of aerosols. A recent study using two GCMs found that light rain plays a dominant role in controlling aerosol loading. However, “too much light rain and too little heavy rain” is a longstanding bias in GCMs. It is unclear how much light rain affects aerosol‐cloud‐radiation interactions and health risks from air pollution. Here we show that, with the correction of the rainfall intensity spectrum in the National Center for Atmospheric Research Community Atmosphere Model version 5.3 by introducing a stochastic deep convection scheme, the reduced frequency of light rain (1–20 mm d−1) results in changes of aerosol direct radiative effects (DRE) of up to −0.5 ± 0.03 W/m2 and aerosol cloud radiative effects (CRE) of up to −0.9 ± 0.03 W/m2. The total (CRE + DRE) radiative effects of light rain‐mediated aerosol changes exceed the present‐day anthropogenic forcing of aerosols relative to preindustrial levels from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5&amp;6) models. However, the correction of the rainfall intensity spectrum has little effect on anthropogenic aerosol forcing (defined as the radiative perturbation due to changes in aerosol concentrations between the industrial era and preindustrial levels). Due to increased exposure to fine particulates (PM2.5), the estimated global total premature mortality is much higher than previously estimated, by 300,000 ± 60,000 deaths per year, and is more severe in populous regions such as India and China. The findings in this study highlight the need to understand uncertainties in radiative effects and health risks of aerosols due to simulation biases of precipitation in GCMs.

A strong statistical link between aerosol indirect effects and the self-similarity of rainfall distributions

Abstract. We use convective-scale simulations of monsoonal clouds to reveal a self-similar probability density function that underpins surface rainfall statistics. This density is independent of cloud-droplet number concentration and is unchanged by aerosol perturbations. It therefore represents an invariant property of our model with respect to cloud–aerosol interactions. For a given aerosol concentration, if the dependence of at least one moment of the rainfall distribution on cloud-droplet number is a known input parameter, then the self-similar density can be used to reconstruct the entire rainfall distribution to a useful degree of accuracy. In particular, we present both single-moment and double-moment reconstructions that are able to predict the responses of the rainfall distributions to changes in aerosol concentration. In doing so, we show that the seemingly high-dimensional space of possible aerosol-induced rainfall-distribution transformations can be parameterised by surprisingly few (at most 3) independent “degrees of freedom”: the self-similar density and auxiliary information about two moments of the rainfall distribution. Comparisons to convection-permitting forecasts of mid-latitude weather and atmosphere-only global simulations show that the self-similar density is also independent of model physics and background meteorology. A theoretical explanation for this invariance is given, based on numerical results from a stochastic rainfall simulator. This suggests that, although aerosol indirect effects on any specific hydro-meteorological system may be multifarious in terms of rainfall changes and physical mechanisms, there may, nevertheless, be a universal constraint on the number of independent degrees of freedom needed to represent the dependencies of rainfall on aerosols.

The health impacts of aerosol-planetary boundary layer interactions on respiratory and circulatory mortality

Aerosols could affect the thermal radiation process of planetary boundary layer (PBL), thus changing its thermodynamic and circulation structure and further triggering changes in aerosol concentrations. However, previous studies mostly focused on the direct health impacts of aerosols and meteorological conditions in the boundary layer and little is known about the health impacts associated with aerosol-PBL interactions. We quantitatively estimate the impacts of PM2.5 and air temperature on mortality caused by aerosol-PBL interactions. Utilizing the WRF-Chem model, we conducted a one-month numerical simulation during December 2015 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region, one of the most polluted regions with the highest population density in China. We simulated PM2.5 concentrations and air temperature under two scenarios: with/without considering the aerosol-PBL interactions. Based on the simulation data, we adopted the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to establish the exposure-response associations of PM2.5 and temperature with mortality and calculated the population-weighted exposure levels of PM2.5 and temperature. During December 2015 in the BTH region, the additional PM2.5-related and temperature-related deaths were 312 due to respiratory and circulatory disease. Without considering the aerosol-PBL interactions, the population-weighted average levels of both PM2.5 and temperature increased compared with the average levels. However, after considering the aerosol-PBL interactions, the population-weighted average temperature was decreased, while the population-weighted average PM2.5 concentration was increased. In the BTH region, more people lived in areas with high PM2.5 concentrations where have strong aerosol-PBL interactions. The aerosol-PBL interactions could intensify the adverse health impacts of temperature and PM2.5, which should not be neglected when to assess the health effects of aerosol and meteorological conditions.

Changes in Atmospheric Electricity Characteristics in Different Geographic Regions during the Economic Activity Decline in the Spring of 2020

Changes in the atmospheric electricity characteristics (AECs) during the spring of 2020 in the urban, suburban, and very low human impact areas (Irkutsk, Irkutsk oblast; Voeikovo, Leningrad oblast; Tiksi, Republic of Sakha) are considered. Based on the AEC data, a theoretical assessment of the change in aerosol concentrations at these sites was carried out. Apparently, the decline in economic activity associated with the measures to prevent the expansion of COVID-19 significantly decreased the concentration of airborne particles in cities and suburban regions.

Detection and attribution of climate change: A deep learning and variational approach

Abstract Twelve climate models and observations are used to attribute the global mean surface temperature (GMST) changes from 1900 to 2014 to external climate forcings. The external forcings are decomposed into the effects of the well-mixed greenhouse gas concentration variation, the effects of anthropogenic aerosol concentration changes, and the effects of natural forcings. First, a convolutional neural network (CNN) is trained to estimate the simulated historical GMST from single-forcing experiments using outputs from the multi-model ensemble. We then use this CNN to solve the attribution problem using an original variational inversion approach. The variational inversion is first validated using historical climate simulations as pseudo-observations. Then we perform an inversion from observations. This provides a distribution of the GMST resulting from the three forcings. For 2014, inversions estimate that the greenhouse gases changes are responsible for a GMST anomaly within [0.8 $ {}^{\circ } $ C,1.9 $ {}^{\circ } $ C], while anthropogenic aerosols and natural forcings anomalies are within [−0.7 $ {}^{\circ } $ C,−0.1 $ {}^{\circ } $ C] and [−0.1 $ {}^{\circ } $ C,0.3 $ {}^{\circ } $ C], respectively. The method designed here can be adapted and extended to attribute the changes of other variables or to focus on the regional scale.

The role of anthropogenic aerosols in the anomalous cooling from 1960 to 1990 in the CMIP6 Earth system models

Abstract. The Earth system models (ESMs) that participated in the sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) tend to simulate excessive cooling in surface air temperature (TAS) between 1960 and 1990. The anomalous cooling is pronounced over the Northern Hemisphere (NH) midlatitudes, coinciding with the rapid growth of anthropogenic sulfur dioxide (SO2) emissions, the primary precursor of atmospheric sulfate aerosols. Structural uncertainties between ESMs have a larger impact on the anomalous cooling than internal variability. Historical simulations with and without anthropogenic aerosol emissions indicate that the anomalous cooling in the ESMs is attributed to the higher aerosol burden in these models. The aerosol forcing sensitivity, estimated as the outgoing shortwave radiation (OSR) response to aerosol concentration changes, cannot well explain the diversity of pothole cooling (PHC) biases in the ESMs. The relative contributions to aerosol forcing sensitivity from aerosol–radiation interactions (ARIs) and aerosol–cloud interactions (ACIs) can be estimated from CMIP6 simulations. We show that even when the aerosol forcing sensitivity is similar between ESMs, the relative contributions of ARI and ACI may be substantially different. The ACI accounts for between 64 % and 87 % of the aerosol forcing sensitivity in the models and is the main source of the aerosol forcing sensitivity differences between the ESMs. The ACI can be further decomposed into a cloud-amount term (which depends linearly on cloud fraction) and a cloud-albedo term (which is independent of cloud fraction, to the first order), with the cloud-amount term accounting for most of the inter-model differences.

Pathways of precipitation formation in different thermodynamic and aerosol environments over the Indian Peninsula

This study examines precipitation pathways in different thermodynamic and aerosol environments over the Indian peninsula. A three-dimensional idealized Large-Eddy Simulation (LES) model with spectral bin microphysics is used to simulate convective clouds growing under different monsoon environments. Numerical simulations were evaluated using in-situ measurements from the Cloud-Aerosol Interactions and Precipitation Enhancement Experiment (CAIPEEX). Sensitivity studies were carried out using varied combinations of water vapor mixing ratio (by ±10 and ± 20%) and cloud condensation nuclei number concentrations (100 and 3000 cm−3). The response of various microphysical process rates to the changes in moisture and aerosol is analyzed. The clouds developed in a moist environment have a greater cloud depth, more supercooled liquid, broader cloud drop spectra, earlier onset of mixed-phase regimes, and enhanced precipitation. The amount of moisture is an important factor in determining the aerosol effects on cloud phase and precipitation, with a more significant aerosol impact in the moist environment (+ 20%). An increase in aerosol number concentration results in an enhanced mixed-phase fraction, updraft velocity, and precipitation, mainly through enhancing deposition and aggregation rates. The overall change in moisture by ±20% in cloud properties and precipitation is much more significant than the ten-times change in aerosol concentrations. The secondary ice formation via the Hallet-Mossop (H-M) process plays a significant role in determining the total ice crystal concentration, and its importance increases with the increases of both moisture and aerosol number concentration. The impact of this process on precipitation is minimal. These results provide an important understanding of how co-varied moisture and aerosols over the Indian region would affect the monsoon clouds and precipitation.

On the drivers of droplet variability in alpine mixed-phase clouds

Abstract. Droplet formation provides a direct microphysical link between aerosols and clouds (liquid or mixed-phase), and its adequate description poses a major challenge for any atmospheric model. Observations are critical for evaluating and constraining the process. To this end, aerosol size distributions, cloud condensation nuclei (CCN), hygroscopicity, and lidar-derived vertical velocities were observed in alpine mixed-phase clouds during the Role of Aerosols and Clouds Enhanced by Topography on Snow (RACLETS) field campaign in the Davos, Switzerland, region during February and March 2019. Data from the mountain-top site of Weissfluhjoch (WFJ) and the valley site of Davos Wolfgang are studied. These observations are coupled with a state-of-the-art droplet activation parameterization to investigate the aerosol–cloud droplet link in mixed-phase clouds. The mean CCN-derived hygroscopicity parameter, κ, at WFJ ranges between 0.2–0.3, consistent with expectations for continental aerosols. κ tends to decrease with size, possibly from an enrichment in organic material associated with the vertical transport of fresh ultrafine particle emissions (likely from biomass burning) from the valley floor in Davos. The parameterization provides a droplet number that agrees with observations to within ∼ 25 %. We also find that the susceptibility of droplet formation to aerosol concentration and vertical velocity variations can be appropriately described as a function of the standard deviation of the distribution of updraft velocities, σw, as the droplet number never exceeds a characteristic limit, termed the “limiting droplet number”, of ∼ 150–550 cm−3, which depends solely on σw. We also show that high aerosol levels in the valley, most likely from anthropogenic activities, increase the cloud droplet number, reduce cloud supersaturation (&lt; 0.1 %), and shift the clouds to a state that is less susceptible to changes in aerosol concentrations and very sensitive to vertical velocity variations. The transition from an aerosol to velocity-limited regime depends on the ratio of cloud droplet number to the limiting droplet number, as droplet formation becomes velocity limited when this ratio exceeds 0.65. Under such conditions, droplet size tends to be minimal, reducing the likelihood that large drops are present that would otherwise promote glaciation through rime splintering and droplet shattering. Identifying regimes where droplet number variability is dominated by dynamical – rather than aerosol – changes is key for interpreting and constraining when and which types of aerosol effects on clouds are active.

Determination of the Concentration of Ultrafine Aerosol Using an Ionization Sensor.

As public awareness of the threats related to ultrafine aerosols increases, there is a growing need for inexpensive, real-time exposure assessment devices. In this work, the well-established technology used in the smoke detector with a radioactive source was tested in laboratory conditions to check its suitability for determining the number concentration of the ultrafine aerosol. It has been shown that the sensor output changes linearly with the change of diesel soot concentration in the range up to 8.3 × 105 particles cm−3. The sensor has also been shown to be able to detect rapid changes in aerosol concentration. Empirical equations describing the influence of air velocity, temperature, relative humidity, and pressure on the sensor output were determined. The collected results confirm that the ionization sensor can be used to assess ultrafine aerosol exposure, although additional engineering work is required to increase the resolution of the output signal measurement and to compensate for the effects of weather conditions. The presented method can be used for concentration monitoring and risk assessment in environmental engineering, materials engineering, cosmetics industry, textiles, sports, chemical, mining, energy, etc.

Assessment of the COVID-19 Lockdown Effects on Spectral Aerosol Scattering and Absorption Properties in Athens, Greece

COVID-19 is evolving into one of the worst pandemics in recent history, claiming a death toll of over 1.5 million as of December 2020. In an attempt to limit the expansion of the pandemic in its initial phase, nearly all countries imposed restriction measures, which resulted in an unprecedented reduction of air pollution. This study aims to assess the impact of the lockdown effects due to COVID-19 on in situ measured aerosol properties, namely spectral-scattering (bsca) and absorption (babs) coefficients, black carbon (BC) concentrations, single-scattering albedo (SSA), scattering and absorption Ångström exponents (SAE, AAE) in Athens, Greece. Moreover, a comparison is performed with the regional background site of Finokalia, Crete, for a better assessment of the urban impact on observed differences. The study examines pre-lockdown (1–22 March 2020), lockdown (23 March–3 May 2020) and post-lockdown (4–31 May 2020) periods, while the aerosol properties are also compared with a 3–4 year preceding period (2016/2017–2019). Comparison of meteorological parameters in Athens, between the lockdown period and respective days in previous years, showed only marginal variation, which is not deemed sufficient in order to justify the notable changes in aerosol concentrations and optical properties. The largest reduction during the lockdown period was observed for babs compared to the pre-lockdown (−39%) and to the same period in previous years (−36%). This was intensified during the morning traffic hours (−60%), reflecting the large decrease in vehicular emissions. Furthermore, AAE increased during the lockdown period due to reduced emissions from fossil-fuel combustion, while a smaller (−21%) decrease was observed for bsca along with slight increases (6%) in SAE and SSA values, indicating that scattering aerosol properties were less affected by the decrease in vehicular emissions, as they are more dependent on regional sources and atmospheric processing. Nighttime BC emissions related to residential wood-burning were slightly increased during the lockdown period, with respect to previous-year means. On the contrary, aerosol and pollution changes during the lockdown period at Finokalia were low and highly sensitive to natural sources and processes.

Rapid increase in summer surface ozone over the North China Plain during 2013–2019: a side effect of particulate matter reduction control?

Abstract. While the elevated ambient levels of particulate matters with aerodynamic diameter of 2.5 µm or less (PM2.5) are alleviated largely with the implementation of effective emission control measures, an opposite trend with a rapid increase has been seen in surface ozone (O3) in the North China Plain (NCP) region over the past several years. It is critical to determine the real culprit causing such a large increase in surface O3. In this study, 7-year surface observations and satellite retrieval data are analyzed to determine the long-term change in surface O3 as well as driving factors. Results indicate that anthropogenic emission control strategies and changes in aerosol concentrations as well as aerosol optical properties such as single-scattering albedo (SSA) are the most important factors driving such a large increase in surface O3. Numerical simulations with the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Master Mechanism (MM) model suggest that reduction of O3 precursor emissions and aerosol radiative effect accounted for 45 % and 23 % of the total change in surface O3 in summertime during 2013–2019, respectively. Planetary boundary layer (PBL) height with an increase of 0.21 km and surface air temperature with an increase of 2.1 ∘C contributed 18 % and 12 % to the total change in surface O3, respectively. The combined effect of these factors was responsible for the rest of the change. Decrease in SSA or strengthened absorption property of aerosols may offset the impact of aerosol optical depth (AOD) reduction on surface O3 substantially. While the MM model enables quantification of an individual factor's percentage contributions, it requires further refinement with aerosol chemistry included in the future investigation. The study indicates an important role of aerosol radiative effect in development of more effective emission control strategies on reduction of ambient levels of O3 as well as alleviation of national air quality standard exceedance events.

Spatiotemporal variability and trends in global solar radiation over Poland based on satellite‐derived data (1986–2015)

AbstractIncoming solar radiation is the most important factor shaping climate system on Earth and the main element of the surface heat balance. The main aim of this study was to investigate the changes in the amount of global solar radiation reaching the Earth's surface in Poland during the 30‐year period 1986–2015. Trends in changes and fluctuations in the size of global solar radiation over Poland were determined. The solar radiation was described based on satellite products originating from the Surface Incoming Shortwave Radiation product from the Surface Solar Radiation Data Set – Heliosat, Edition 2 (SARAH‐2). The average annual sum of global solar radiation over Poland amounted to 3,902 MJ·m−2. The average annual radiation sums were the smallest in northern Poland and mountain basins, while they were the largest in southern Poland. The average annual radiation sum over Poland increased by 7.16 MJ·m−2·year−1 on average. The areas with the largest increase in the amount of solar radiation had the smallest average radiation sums during the multi‐year period (Pomerania, Northern Poland), and those where the increase in radiation was moderate had the highest average radiation sums (Central and Southern Poland). This shows that the spatial differentiation of the amount of solar radiation over Poland was gradually decreasing during this period. A several‐year cycle (of 12–13 years) of annual fluctuations in global solar radiation sums was observed using wavelet analysis. The cycle was visible between the early 1990s and 2005. It resulted from the medium‐term cyclical component (an 11.3‐year cycle which was the strongest until 2010) that occurred in summer. In the long term, the occurrence of cycles in the time series of solar radiation may result from cyclical or quasi‐cyclical changes in aerosol concentration, but this requires a separate study and further in‐depth research based on much longer data series.

Atmospheric energy budget response to idealized aerosol perturbation in tropical cloud systems

Abstract. The atmospheric energy budget is analysed in numerical simulations of tropical cloud systems to better understand the physical processes behind aerosol effects on the atmospheric energy budget. The simulations include both shallow convective clouds and deep convective tropical clouds over the Atlantic Ocean. Two different sets of simulations, at different dates (10–12 and 16–18 August 2016), are simulated with different dominant cloud modes (shallow or deep). For each case, the cloud droplet number concentration (CDNC) is varied as a proxy for changes in aerosol concentrations without considering the temporal evolution of the aerosol concentration (for example due to wet scavenging, which may be more important under deep convective conditions). It is shown that the total column atmospheric radiative cooling is substantially reduced with CDNC in the deep-cloud-dominated case (by ∼10.0 W m−2), while a much smaller reduction (∼1.6 W m−2) is shown in the shallow-cloud-dominated case. This trend is caused by an increase in the ice and water vapour content at the upper troposphere that leads to a reduced outgoing longwave radiation, an effect which is stronger under deep-cloud-dominated conditions. A decrease in sensible heat flux (driven by an increase in the near-surface air temperature) reduces the warming by ∼1.4 W m−2 in both cases. It is also shown that the cloud fraction response behaves in opposite ways to an increase in CDNC, showing an increase in the deep-cloud-dominated case and a decrease in the shallow-cloud-dominated case. This demonstrates that under different environmental conditions the response to aerosol perturbation could be different.

Deconvolution of boundary layer depth and aerosol constraints on cloud water path in subtropical stratocumulus decks

Abstract. The liquid water path (LWP) adjustment due to aerosol–cloud interactions in marine stratocumulus remains a considerable source of uncertainty for climate sensitivity estimates. An unequivocal attribution of LWP adjustments to changes in aerosol concentration from climatology remains difficult due to the considerable covariance between meteorological conditions alongside changes in aerosol concentrations. We utilise the susceptibility framework to quantify the potential change in LWP adjustment with boundary layer (BL) depth in subtropical marine stratocumulus. We show that the LWP susceptibility, i.e. the relative change in LWP scaled by the relative change in cloud droplet number concentration, in marine BLs triples in magnitude from −0.1 to −0.31 as the BL deepens from 300 to 1200 m and deeper. We further find deep BLs to be underrepresented in pollution tracks, process modelling, and in situ studies of aerosol–cloud interactions in marine stratocumulus. Susceptibility estimates based on these approaches are skewed towards shallow BLs of moderate LWP susceptibility. Therefore, extrapolating LWP susceptibility estimates from shallow BLs to the entire cloud climatology may underestimate the true LWP adjustment within subtropical stratocumulus and thus overestimate the effective aerosol radiative forcing in this region. Meanwhile, LWP susceptibility estimates in deep BLs remain poorly constrained. While susceptibility estimates in shallow BLs are found to be consistent with process modelling studies, they overestimate pollution track estimates.