Impact Of Changes Research Articles

Impact of climate changes on agroresources of Ukrainian Polissia based on geospatial data

Aim. To determine the patterns of the climate change impact on the transformation of agricultural production and the ecosystem of Ukrainian Polissia in terms of time and space. Methods. Satellite and statistical data for the last 40 years (1982–2022) were used. The mean temperature for the vegetation period was defined by the sum of radiation temperatures of the terrestrial surface, calculated using the data of the infrared range (10.3–11.3; 11.4–12.4 μm) of the high-precision AVHRR radiometer of artificial meteorological Earth's satellites, NOAA, and the precipitation dynamics – using the data of ERA5 ECMWF/Copernicus Climate Change Service. The impact of climate change on the vegetation state and phenological parameters, including the beginning, end, and duration of the vegetation season, was determined by the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), obtained using the data of the infrared (0.72–1.1 μm) and red (0.58–0.68 μm) ranges of the AVHRR radiometer on the website of STAR NESDIS NOAA. Crop yields and the dynamics of sown areas were determined by the data from the State Statistics Service of Ukraine. The information about the dynamics of the forest cover was obtained using the Global Forest Watch satellite data. To evaluate the impact of climate change on Ukraine's forests, the investigation was conducted on burnt forest areas, using the MCD64A1 6.1 index, developed on the basis of the MODIS satellite data. Results. According to the satellite data, the radiation temperature of the terrestrial surface during the growing period increased by 2.2 ºС on average in the territory of Ukrainian Polissia over the last 40 years. There is a regional difference in the temperature regime observed in the direction from west to east. In the territory of western Polissia, the increase in the temperature of the terrestrial surface in recent decades was within the range of 1.2–1.6, and in the central and eastern parts – within 2.3–2.9 ºС. Due to the warming, the duration of the growing period was extended by 21–35 days, mostly because of earlier spring onset. There is a descending trend in the average annual precipitation amount down to 20–30 mm, which is especially notable for central and eastern Polissia. The warming was the reason for the introduction of the crops, new for this region, into the structure of sown areas, especially corn and sunflower, which had a generally positive effect on the vegetation state by the NDVI index, which increased from 0.30 in 1982–1992 to 0.36 in 2012–2022 on average. The crop yield increased accordingly, and according to the statistical data for the recent years, amounted to: corn – 7.0–9.5 t/ha, winter wheat – 4.5–5.0, and sunflower – 1.5–2.0 t/ha, which is close to the level of their yield on chornozem. At the same time, due to climate change and the transformation of agricultural activity, there has been a higher risk of deterioration in the ecological state of typical Polissia landscapes, droughts, and soil degradation. According to the results of the analysis of twenty-two years of the dynamics in forest fires, the largest areas of burnt forests were registered in 2012 (694.30 sq.km), 2015 (1,078.81 sq.km), and 2020 (776.27 sq.km), which demonstrated the increase in fires during the recent decade along with the tendency towards longer fire hazard period. Conclusions. The increase in the temperature of the terrestrial surface of the Ukrainian Polissia during the growing period and the lengthening of the growing period created the conditions for corn and sunflower to be introduced into the arable areas, which had a positive impact on the vegetation state index, NDVI. As a result of these transformations both in the sown area of these crops and their yield, Polissia is becoming a new grain-oil belt of Ukraine. Concurrently, there are higher risks associated with maintaining high performance of agroecosystems and the increase in the risks for soil degradation processes, the deterioration of the ecological state of wetlands and forests, as well as drying-out of small rivers and lakes. Balancing the high yield of modern agroecosystems and safe nature management requires systemic measures in adapting the agricultural activity and nature management to new climatic conditions, which requires implementing the management of soil, water, and bio-resources, achieving optimal parameters of fertility for mineral and peaty-swampy soils. Reconstructing current land reclamation systems to optimize water regimes for the agricultural lands and protect typical Polissia ecosystem is needed.

The impact of logo change on brand loyalty with the mediating role of brand attitude

PurposeThis research examines the impact of logo changes within rebranding strategies, with a focus on the recent logo transformation of Burger King. Redesigns of logos often reflect shifts in brand strategies and consumer preferences. This study aims to evaluate the effects of logo changes on brand loyalty with the mediating role of brand attitude.Design/methodology/approachThis study investigates the influence of Burger King’s logo change on consumer behavior, specifically regarding brand loyalty. The research involves an analysis of the appropriateness and familiarity of the old and new Burger King logos, based on data collected from 468 Egyptian consumers. Statistical analysis is conducted using Partial Least Squares Structural Equation Modeling (PLS-SEM) to assess the impact of logo changes on consumer loyalty.FindingsThe findings indicate that a change in logo can positively affect brand loyalty, particularly when the new logo is perceived as both appropriate and familiar to consumers. Additionally, the study highlights the mediating role of brand attitude, suggesting that favorable brand perceptions enhance the relationship between logo changes and consumer loyalty.Practical implicationsThe practical implications of this study highlight key strategies for brand managers involved in rebranding efforts and the associated risks of such processes. Ensuring logo appropriateness and maintaining elements of familiarity are crucial to fostering consumer acceptance and loyalty.Originality/valueThis study highlights the important role of logo change “logo appropriateness and familiarity,” offering a new perspective on how aligning logos with brand identity and retaining familiar elements can enhance consumer acceptance and loyalty with the presence of brand attitude as a mediator in this relationship.

Impacts of changes in climate extremes on maize yields over Mainland China

Impacts of changes in climate extremes on maize yields over Mainland China

What a forest’s glow can reveal about the impact of environmental change

What a forest’s glow can reveal about the impact of environmental change

The Impact of Storm Sewer Network Simplification and Rainfall Runoff Methods on Urban Flood Analysis

Due to the impact of climate change, the importance of urban flood analysis is increasing. One of the biggest challenges in urban flood simulations is the complexity of storm sewer networks, which significantly affects both computational time and accuracy. This study aimed to analyze and evaluate the impact of sewer network simplification on the accuracy and computational performance of urban flood prediction by comparing different rainfall runoff methods. Using the hyper-connected solution for urban flood (HC-SURF) model, two rainfall runoff methods, the SWMM Runoff method and the Surface Runoff method, were compared. The sewer network simplification was applied based on manhole catchment areas ranging from 10 m2 to 10,000 m2. The analysis showed that the computation time could be reduced by up to 54.5% through simplification, though some accuracy loss may occur depending on the chosen runoff method. Overall, both methods produced excellent results in terms of mass balance, but the SWMM Runoff method minimized the reduction in analytical performance due to simplification. This study provides important insights into balancing computational efficiency and model accuracy in urban flood analysis.

Excess mortality of infected ectotherms induced by warming depends on pathogen kingdom and evolutionary history

Climate change is causing extreme heating events and leading to more infectious disease outbreaks, putting species persistence at risk. The extent to which warming temperatures and infection may together impair host health is unclear. Using a meta-analysis of >190 effect sizes representing 101 ectothermic animal host–pathogen systems, we demonstrate that warming significantly increased the mortality of hosts infected by bacterial pathogens. Pathogens that have been evolutionarily established within the host species showed higher virulence under warmer temperatures, too. Conversely, the effect of warming on novel infections—from pathogens without a shared evolutionary history with the host species—were more pronounced with larger differences between compared temperatures. We found that compared to established infections, novel infections were more deadly at lower/baseline temperatures. Moreover, we revealed that the virulence of fungal pathogens increased only when temperatures were shifted upwards towards the pathogen thermal optimum. The magnitude of all these significant effects was not impacted by host life-stage, immune complexity, pathogen inoculation methods, or exposure time. Overall, our findings reveal distinct patterns in changes of pathogen virulence during warming. We highlight the importance of pathogen taxa, thermal optima, and evolutionary history in determining the impact of global change on infection outcomes.

Publisher Correction: Internet image search outputs propagate climate change sentiment and impact policy support

Publisher Correction: Internet image search outputs propagate climate change sentiment and impact policy support

The impact of orientation changes in kindergarten activity rooms in different light climate zones of China on indoor daylighting environment

The impact of orientation changes in kindergarten activity rooms in different light climate zones of China on indoor daylighting environment

Abstract C028: Decreased heterogeneity in immune interactions in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma patients with recurrence

Abstract There have been improvements in clinical risk stratifications for oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) with the AJCC 8th edition staging system. Other studies suggest the addition of a metric of specific immune interactions in and around the tumor may be helpful to further stratify patients, with mixed findings. The advent of spatial imaging has allowed a global view for assessing tumor features in the context of all surrounding cell interactions. We hypothesize that the lack of architectural information could contribute to varied clinical outcomes in previous studies, such as tumor recurrence. This highlights how spatial technologies could aid in understanding the role of tissue architecture and its influence on biology and medicine. To study tissue remodeling spatially, we focused on multiplexed-ion beam imaging (MIBI), a spatial proteomics platform to visualize 40 immuno-onco proteins simultaneously. Our banked patient cohort consists of 20 recurrent and 49 non-recurrent OSCC primary surgery samples. Clinical metadata capturing pathologic stage, alcohol use, smoking history, survival data, and more were also collected. With our pathologist, we curated 290 field-of-views (FOVs) of matched primary tumors, uninvolved lymph nodes, and metastatic lymph nodes (if any). Downstream computational analysis using existing MIBI codebases augmented with in-house spatial analytics has revealed a robust spatial dataset. After using machine-learning algorithms to cell segment our images, we validated these assigned cells and marker staining to further annotate cell populations. When we analyzed direct cell interactions, there was a decrease in heterogeneity in immune interactions within recurrent patients compared to non-recurrent patients. To ascertain how the loss of these interactions affected recurrence prognosis, we investigated their prevalence within the tumor border vicinity. We hypothesize that the proximity and cell-cell interactions near the border will promote a tumor-suppressive environment. Utilizing centroid-to-centroid distance measurements, we distilled the top 30 cell-cell interactions within a 100-micron distance from the tumor border. Cell pairs involving macrophage tissue-resident memory cells and CD8 T memory resident cells were more abundant in recurrent patients, while pairs involving CD4 T regulatory and CD8 cells were found in non-recurrent patients. Reassuringly, cell pairings involving myeloid cells were upregulated in the recurrent cohort as expected. Interestingly, cancer-associated fibroblast cell pairings were upregulated indiscriminately in both patient sub- cohorts. This suggests that the impact of certain known immunosuppressive changes may contribute in varying amounts to disease control. Our data demonstrates differences in the architecture of tumors with known divergent outcomes, which suggests global tissue-level changes could be a predictive factor. Clinically, interrogating these interactions of interest could guide treatment escalation or de-escalation in the future. Citation Format: Connie J. Zhou, Jane Lee, Rebecca Jaszczak, Steven R. Long, Patrick K. Ha, Matthew H. Spitzer. Decreased heterogeneity in immune interactions in oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma patients with recurrence [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference in Cancer Research: Tumor-body Interactions: The Roles of Micro- and Macroenvironment in Cancer; 2024 Nov 17-20; Boston, MA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2024;84(22_Suppl):Abstract nr C028.

The Effect of Climate Change on Spatio-Temporal Activity in Burrowing Frogs of the Smilisca Group

Measuring the potential effects of future climate changes on the spatio-temporal variance of optimal conditions for seasonal species is a key conservation issue. This study assesses the impact of climate change on the spatial and temporal patterns of optimal conditions for activity in two burrowing frogs, Smilisca fodiens and S. dentata. Ecological Niche Modeling was used to implement niche seasonality models, with calibration performed during the peak activity (July). These models were then transferred to current and future conditions for the remainder of the year, predicting future scenarios up to 2070 with an intermediate trajectory greenhouse gas concentration of 4.5 W/m2. Climate change transferability was assessed for four potential scenarios: 1) high precipitation and low temperature, 2) high precipitation and high temperature, 3) low precipitation and low temperature, and 4) low precipitation and high temperature. We examined the impact across future projected areas and analyzed geographic change trends based on latitude, longitude, and elevation. For both species, the best scenario would involve increased precipitation in the future. However, the worst-case would be a combination of reduced precipitation and higher temperatures. Due to large area loss, northern populations of S. fodiens may be highly vulnerable. Concerning S. dentata, the outlook is worrisome, with all known populations experiencing losses in most months. Area gains may not help either species since they tend to occur at elevations above their known ranges. Using a seasonal approach in spatio-temporal analysis enhances comprehension of the behavioral adaptations of seasonal species and their vulnerability to current and future climatic variations

Seasonal Variation of Physicochemical Properties in the Lower River Benue, Nigeria

The study investigates the impact of seasonal changes on water quality in the River Benue, Nigeria. Conducted over eighteen months from January 2020 to June 2021, the research focuses on three locations: Ibi, Lau, and Mayo-Ranewo. Key physicochemical parameters such as temperature, pH, turbidity, conductivity, Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD), hardness, dissolved oxygen (DO), fluoride, and nitrate were measured to assess water quality. The findings reveal significant seasonal variations in these parameters, influenced by rainfall patterns, land use, and anthropogenic activities. Temperature ranged from 25.56°C to 30.70°C, remaining within acceptable limits for tropical waters, supporting stable biological processes. However, turbidity levels exceeded recommended values, indicating the presence of suspended solids that could impair water quality and harm aquatic life. Total dissolved solids (TDS) and conductivity showed potential contamination risks, likely due to agricultural runoff and urban discharges. Dissolved oxygen (DO) levels were generally adequate, especially during the wet season, enhancing oxygen content through increased photosynthetic activity and water inflows. However, BOD spiked with rainfall, signalling organic pollution and potential eutrophication risks. Seasonal shifts in pH and water hardness reflected changes in runoff and photosynthesis, with values largely within acceptable ranges for aquatic life. Fluoride and nitrate concentrations increased in the wet season, primarily due to agricultural runoff, highlighting the influence of land-based activities on water quality.

Small Farmers’ Agricultural Practices and Adaptation Strategies to Perceived Soil Changes in the Lagoon of Venice, Italy

Farmers have a pivotal responsibility in soil conservation: they can either preserve or deplete it through their choices. The responsibility of agriculture increases when practised in delicate ecosystems, such as lagoonal ones. The Venetian Lagoon islands, which are increasingly subjected to natural and anthropic subsidence, occasional flooding events (acqua alta), and eustatic sea level rise, are constantly exposed to erosive processes that challenge farmers to play with their adaptive capability. This research was carried out on the islands of Sant’Erasmo and Vignole, the most representative of island agriculture in the Venetian Lagoon: they almost exclusively rely on agriculture, which is non-existent in the other islands. This empirical research aimed to explore farmers’ agricultural practices, perceptions of soil changes, and how they adapt to them. It was fundamental for this study that the field research involved direct human contact with farmers (through semi-structured interviews) for data collection and using qualitative methods for data analysis, integrating scientific and non-scientific forms of knowledge and actors. The final purpose was to demonstrate the sustainability (valued on the potential depletion or regeneration capability) of agricultural practices and adaptation strategies on a theoretical basis. Despite their polycultural landscape (maintained by low-input farming systems), escaped from the predominant landscape oversimplification, Sant’Erasmo and Vignole are also subjected to unsustainable agricultural practices, including heavy mechanisation and synthetic inputs. Coupled with natural soil salinity that is exacerbated by increasing drought periods, these practices can contribute to soil degradation and increased salinity. The reported adaptation strategies, such as zeroed, reduced, or more conscious use of machines, were guided by the need to reduce the negative impact of soil changes on productivity. Our research revealed some of them as sustainable and others as unsustainable (such as increasing irrigation to contrast soil salinity). Participatory action research is needed to support farmers in designing effective sustainable agricultural practices and adaptation strategies.

Examining the Influence of Socio-Economic and Demographic Transformation on Employment In the Informal Sector From 2017 To 2020

This study explored the impact of socio-demographic changes on informal sector employment in South Africa from 2017 to 2020. Utilizing data from the Quarterly Labour Force Survey (QLFS), descriptive statistics and logistic regression were employed to analyze relationships between age, gender, ethnicity, marital status, and education within the informal workforce. The results revealed significant shifts in employment patterns, particularly affecting youth and marginalized groups. The findings emphasize the vital role of socio-demographic factors in shaping the informal sector and highlight the need for targeted policies to support vulnerable populations and improve their economic opportunities in a fluctuating labor market.

Reliability and validity of the Turkish version of the Aging Voice Index

Purpose The Ageing Voice Index is a valid and reliable tool for assessing the impact of changes in the voice of older adults. Our aim is to adapt the Aging Voice Index with Turkish older adults and test its reliability and validity to create the Turkish Aging Voice Index. Method A total of 206 participants were included in the study. Construct validity, criterion validity, test-retest reliability, internal consistency, and confirmatory factor analysis were investigated. Finally, the sensitivity and specificity of the Turkish Aging Voice Index were calculated using receiver operating characteristics curve analysis. Result The Turkish Aging Voice Index has excellent internal consistency (Cronbach’s alpha= 0.971). A high intraclass correlation for test-retest reliability was found (ICC = 0.953, p < 0.001). Construct validity of the Turkish Aging Voice Index was found to be statistically significant (p < 0.001) by comparing the mean Turkish Aging Voice Index scores between the study and control groups. For criterion validity, a statistically positive high correlation was found between the mean scores of the Turkish Aging Voice Index and the Turkish version of the Voice Handicap Index-10 (r = 0.854, p < 0.001). The cut-off value of the Turkish Aging Voice Index was 15.50 with a sensitivity of 85.01% and a specificity of 84.8%. Conclusion The Turkish Aging Voice Index is a valid and reliable tool for elderly patients with voice disorders. A score >15.50 is an indicator of voice problems in the older population.

Climate variability links to changes in Rioja wine (Spain).

This study investigates the impact of regional climate changes on the production, quality, chemical composition, and phenological patterns of Rioja wine in Spain from 1993 to 2017. Data from DOCa Rioja and the Marqués de Riscal winery were analyzed in conjunction with meteorological and remote sensing data to provide a comprehensive evaluation. The findings reveal an increase in alcohol content and pH, coupled with a decrease in acidity, correlative to phenological shifts such as earlier grape ripening and reduced leaf canopy. Additionally, a thorough examination of monthly climate anomalies highlights the significance of May in determining harvest outcomes, influenced by the Eastern Atlantic (EA) mode of low-frequency variability. The potential connection between springtime weather conditions and tropical climate variability is also explored.

Prediction of the potentially suitable areas of Eucommia ulmoides Oliver in China under climate change based on optimized Biomod2 and MaxEnt models

Eucommia ulmoides Oliver is a medicinal plant of significant economic importance. Its cortex has been employed for centuries to alleviate various conditions such as lumbar pain, knee pain, and osteoporosis. Additionally, E. ulmoides possesses substantial industrial value. With the growing demand for this medicinal herb, ensuring its sustainable supply has become imperative. Climate change has caused habitat restrictions or migration of medicinal plants. Therefore, predicting the impact of climate change on the distribution of E. ulmoides is crucial for its conservation and sustainable use. This study evaluated the potential distribution of E. ulmoides across China under various climate change scenarios since the last interglacial period by modeling suitable areas based on 257 distribution records and 19 major environmental factors related to E. ulmoides. The model selection process initially identified the MaxEnt model as the most suitable. The optimized MaxEnt model, with RM = 2.0 and FC = LQHPT settings, generated the most precise predictions. Results indicate that the minimum temperature of the coldest month, annual mean temperature, and annual precipitation significantly affect the distribution of E. ulmoides. Under current environmental conditions, highly suitable areas for E. ulmoides are found in Southwest and Southeast China, with a total suitable habitat area of 23.12 × 104 km2. However, the range of suitable habitat has shifted due to global warming’s negative impact. Under different climate scenarios, suitable areas for E. ulmoides have either increased or decreased, with expansions primarily in high-latitude regions. Future climate scenarios predict shifts in the centroid of suitable E. ulmoides habitat towards Yichang City in Hubei Province. The findings of this study support the development, artificial cultivation, and conservation of E. ulmoides resources.

Impact of Climate Change on the Prevalence of Climate-Sensitive Diseases in Bolori 2 Ward of Maiduguri Metropolitan Council of Borno State, Northeast Nigeria

Impact of Climate Change on the Prevalence of Climate-Sensitive Diseases in Bolori 2 Ward of Maiduguri Metropolitan Council of Borno State, Northeast Nigeria

Climate Change and Mental Health in Bhutan

Bhutan remains a largely non-industrialized country, making minimal contributions to global warming and climate change. Yet, the country suffers from the clutches of the adverse effects of climate change. Among them, the impact of climate change on mental health including psychological distress, acute stress disorder, post-traumatic stress disorder, major depressive disorder and anxiety disorder is well known. In this article, we aim to describe the various mental health issues that the country is facing or is likely to face in the future as a result of climate change.

The impact of preoperative treatment on mismatch repair protein and HER2 expression in colorectal cancer: an analysis of paired samples.

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality, highlighting the necessity for multifaceted treatment strategies, including preoperative treatment (PT), which can enhance surgical outcomes and provide prognostic insights. This study aims to clarify the impact of PT-induced changes in mismatch repair (MMR) and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) expression, potentially informing tailored treatment strategies and improving clinical outcomes for CRC patients. This retrospective study analyzed 120 paired samples from CRC patients who underwent preoperative treatment, comparing pre- and post-treatment specimens. A control group of 60 untreated surgical specimens was also included. Immunohistochemistry assessed MMR proteins (MSH6, MSH2, MLH1, PMS2) and HER2 expression. MSI status was determined in samples with low MMR expression. Compared to pre-treatment samples, post-treatment samples exhibited lower levels of MSH6, MSH2, and total MMR expression, along with higher levels of HER2 expression. However, when compared to the untreated control group, there were no significant differences in the expression of MSH6, total MMR, and HER2. All samples that exhibited weak MMR expression and those that shifted to deficient mismatch repair (dMMR) status following treatment had stable microsatellite status. No clear clinicopathological characteristics or prognostic factors were found to be associated with changes in MMR and HER2 expression, except for the use of fluorouracil or capecitabine, which was related to changes in total MMR scores. ypTNM stage and TRG scores were identified as independent factors affecting disease progression in our study. PT is associated with a reduction in MMR expression, notably for the MSH2 protein, while it does not appear to influence HER2 expression.

Impacts of Climate Change: Examining Precipitation, Temperature Anomalies, and Effects on Water Resources in Turkey

Climate change is a significant global issue that affects our everyday lives and water resources. One of the most critical impacts of climate change is on our water resources, which are vital for sustaining life and supporting various ecosystems. Understanding the complex relationship between climate change and water resources is crucial for developing effective mitigation and adaptation strategies. This study aims to investigate the impact of climate change on water resources and to shed light on the importance of addressing this issue. Water is a limited resource, and its availability and quality directly affect human well-being, agriculture, energy production, and ecosystem health. However, climate change alters the patterns and dynamics of precipitation, temperature, and evaporation, leading to significant changes in water availability and distribution. Increasing global temperatures cause glaciers and ice caps to melt, progressively depleting freshwater resources. Moreover, changing precipitation patterns are leading to more frequent and severe droughts in some regions, while others experience increased rainfall and flooding events. The effects of these changes are profound. As water scarcity becomes more widespread, competition for limited resources intensifies, potentially leading to conflicts and social unrest. Given the importance of water resources and the undeniable impact of climate change on their availability and quality, it is imperative that we deepen our understanding of this complex relationship. This study aims to assess the socio-economic and environmental impacts of climate change on water resources. By doing so, it seeks to provide policymakers, scientists, and communities with information that will guide decision-making processes and direct effective climate change adaptation and mitigation strategies. In conclusion, the impact of climate change on water resources cannot be overstated. This study aims to contribute to our understanding of this critical issue by highlighting the urgency of addressing climate change and its consequences on water resources and sustainability. This study examines the effects of changing precipitation patterns and increasing temperatures due to climate change on underground and surface water resources in Turkey. By conducting this research, we hope to pave the way for informed decision-making and encourage collective responsibility to protect our water resources for future generations.