Abstract Background Guidelines recognize the role of exercise stress testing in evaluating functional capacity in patients with asymptomatic severe aortic stenosis (AS). The study aimed to identify the prognostic role of exercise stress echocardiography (ESE) in asymptomatic severe AS. Methods We enrolled 153 asymptomatic patients (70±13 years; 88 male, 57%) with severe AS, aortic valve area (AVA) <1.0 cm2, mean aortic gradient ≥ 40 mmHg, ejection fraction (EF) ≥55%. All were referred for ESE in 7 quality-controlled centers from 5 countries. Rest and ESE assessment also included global longitudinal strain (GLS) and left atrial volume index (LAVI). B-lines were assessed by LUS with the 4-site simplified scan of the third intercostal space. A 4-point ESE score was based on 4 parameters (0 for normal, 1 for abnormal), with the following pre-determined cutoffs of abnormality: ∆-maximal aortic gradient (MAG) ≥20 mmHg; GLS at peak ≤ 19%, according to receiver operating characteristics curve analysis, stress B-lines ≥2; stress LAVI ≥ 34 mL/m2. Follow-up was completed in 142/153 patients (92%). Results At rest, AVA was 0.85±0.14 cm2, maximal aortic gradient: 79±14 mmHg, and peak aortic velocity: 4.42 ± 0.41 m/s. Mean EF at rest: 63.4±5.3% During a median follow-up of 1802 days (IQ range 651-2302), 41 events occurred in 39 patients: 15 all-cause deaths, 17 acute HF, 1 stroke, 1 myocardial infarction, and 7 coronary revascularization. Patients experiencing events displayed a greater increase in MAG during peak ESE, more B-lines with exercise, greater degree of LAVI dilation with exercise and slightly lower GLS compared to those without events (Table). Increase in ESE score was associated with a significant rise (p=0.001) in event incidence from score 0 (n=0/13, 0%) to score 1 (n=2/21, 9.5%), score 2 (n=10/42, 23.8%), and ≥3 (n=27/66, 40.9%), see figure. Conclusions In asymptomatic severe AS cases with preserved LV EF, comprehensive ESE provides early marker of potential cardiac decompensation at follow-up. The composite ESE index, including MAG, GLS, LAVI, and B-lines, holds promise as a prognostic predictor.TableFigure
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