Case-mix Factors Research Articles

Variation in Excess Mortality Across Nursing Homes in the Netherlands During the COVID-19 Pandemic

ObjectivesNursing home residents constituted a vulnerable population during the COVID-19 pandemic, and half of all cause-attributed COVID-19 deaths occurred within nursing homes. Yet, given the low life expectancy of nursing home residents, it is unclear to what extent COVID-19 mortality increased overall mortality within this population. Moreover, there might have been differences between nursing homes in their ability to protect residents against excess mortality. This article estimates the number of excess deaths among Dutch nursing home residents during the pandemic, the variation in excess deaths across nursing homes, and its relationship with nursing home characteristics. DesignRetrospective, use of administrative register data. Setting and ParticipantsAll residents (N = 194,432) of Dutch nursing homes (n = 1463) in 2016-2021. MethodsWe estimated the difference between actual and predicted mortality, pooled at the nursing home level, which provided an estimate of nursing home–specific excess mortality corrected for resident case-mix differences. We show the variation in excess mortality across nursing homes and relate this to nursing home characteristics. ResultsIn 2020 and 2021, the mortality probability among nursing home residents was 4.0 and 1.6 per 100 residents higher than expected. There was considerable variation in excess deaths across nursing homes, even after correcting for differences in resident case mix and regional factors. This variation was substantially larger than prepandemic mortality and was in 2020 related to prepandemic spending on external personnel and satisfaction with the building, and in 2021 to prepandemic staff absenteeism. Conclusions and ImplicationsThe variation in excess mortality across nursing homes was considerable during the COVID-19 pandemic, and larger compared with prepandemic years. The association of excess mortality with the quality of the building and spending on external personnel indicates the importance of considering differences across nursing home providers when designing policies and guidelines related to pandemic preparedness.

Unexpected variation in outcomes following total (procto)colectomies for ulcerative colitis in New South Wales, Australia: a population-based 19-year linked-data study.

Total (procto)colectomy for ulcerative colitis (UC) is associated with significant morbidity, which is increased in the emergency setting. This study aimed to evaluate the outcomes following total (procto)colectomies at a population level within New South Wales (NSW), Australia, and identify case mix and hospital factors associated with these outcomes. A retrospective data linkage study of patients undergoing total (procto)colectomy for UC in NSW over a 19-year period (2001-2020) was performed. The primary outcome was 90-day mortality. The influence of hospital level factors (including annual volume) and patient demographic variables on outcomes was assessed using logistic regression. Temporal trends in annual volume and evidence for centralization were assessed. In all, 1418 patients (mean 47.0 years [SD 18.7], 58.7% male) underwent total (procto)colectomy during the study period. The overall 90-day mortality rate was 3.2% (emergency 8.6% and elective 0.8%). After adjusting for confounding, increasing age at total (procto)colectomy, higher comorbidity burden, public health insurance (Medicare) status, emergency operation and living outside a major city were significantly associated with increased mortality. Hospital volume was significantly associated with mortality at a univariate level, but this did not persist on multivariate modelling. Outcomes of UC patients undergoing total (procto)colectomy in NSW Australia are comparable to international experience. Whilst higher mortality rates are observed in low volume and public hospitals, this appears attributable to case mix and acuity rather than surgical volume alone. However, as inflammatory bowel disease surgery is not centralized in Australia, only one NSW hospital performed >10 UC total (procto)colectomies annually. Variation in mortality according to insurance status and across regional/remote areas may indicate inequality in the availability of specialist inflammatory bowel disease treatment, which warrants further research.

Effect of surgical volume on short-term outcomes of cytoreductive surgery for advanced-stage ovarian cancer: A population-based study from the Dutch Gynecological Oncology Audit

ObjectiveDespite lacking clinical data, the Dutch government is considering increasing the minimum annual surgical volume per center from twenty to fifty cytoreductive surgeries (CRS) for advanced-stage ovarian cancer (OC). This study aims to evaluate whether this increase is warranted. MethodsThis population-based study included all CRS for FIGO-stage IIB-IVB OC registered in eighteen Dutch hospitals between 2019 and 2022. Short-term outcomes included result of CRS, length of stay, severe complications, 30-day mortality, time to adjuvant chemotherapy, and textbook outcome. Patients were stratified by annual volume: low-volume (nine hospitals, <25), medium-volume (four hospitals, 29–37), and high-volume (five hospitals, 54–84). Descriptive statistics and multilevel logistic regressions were used to assess the (case-mix adjusted) associations of surgical volume and outcomes. ResultsA total of 1646 interval CRS (iCRS) and 789 primary CRS (pCRS) were included. No associations were found between surgical volume and different outcomes in the iCRS cohort. In the pCRS cohort, high-volume was associated with increased complete CRS rates (aOR 1.9, 95%-CI 1.2–3.1, p = 0.010). Furthermore, high-volume was associated with increased severe complication rates (aOR 2.3, 1.1–4.6, 95%-CI 1.3–4.2, p = 0.022) and prolonged length of stay (aOR 2.3, 95%-CI 1.3–4.2, p = 0.005). 30-day mortality, time to adjuvant chemotherapy, and textbook outcome were not associated with surgical volume in the pCRS cohort. Subgroup analyses (FIGO-stage IIIC-IVB) showed similar results. Various case-mix factors significantly impacted outcomes, warranting case-mix adjustment. ConclusionsOur analyses do not support further centralization of iCRS for advanced-stage OC. High-volume was associated with higher complete pCRS, suggesting either a more accurate selection in these hospitals or a more aggressive approach. The higher completeness rates were at the expense of higher severe complications and prolonged admissions.

Variation in hospital performances after colorectal cancer surgery: A case-mix adjusted Dutch population based study

BackgroundThis study aimed to investigate hospital variability in postoperative mortality and anastomotic leakage (AL) after colorectal cancer surgery, as well as the association with hospital volume and teaching status. Materials and methodsThis nationwide population based study derived data from CRC patients who underwent a surgical resection with primary anastomosis from the Netherlands Cancer Registry between 2015 and 2020. Primary outcomes were 90-day mortality and AL for colon cancer (CC) patients, and AL for rectal cancer (RC) patients. Logistic regression modelling was used to evaluate the association between case-mix factors and hospital volume. Variability in outcomes between hospitals was analysed with Poisson regression. ResultsThis study included 44,101 CRC patients, comprising 35,164 CC patients, and 8937 RC patients. In the CC cohort, the unadjusted rates of AL ranged from 2.6 % to 14.4 %, and the unadjusted 90-day mortality rates ranged from 0.0 % to 6.7 %. In the RC cohort, the unadjusted rates of AL ranged from 0.0 % to 28.6 %. After case-mix adjustment, two hospitals performed significantly worse than expected regarding 90-day mortality in the CC cohort, and in both CC and RC cohorts, significant outliers were observed concerning AL. Amongst CC patients, low case volume (OR 1.26 95%CI 1.08–1.46) was significantly associated with AL. ConclusionStatistically significant variations in hospital performance were observed among Dutch hospitals after CRC surgery, but this effect could not be entirely attributed to hospitals’ teaching status. Nevertheless, concentrating care has the potential to improve outcomes by enhancing individual surgical performance and optimizing care pathways.

Survival with primary lung cancer in Northern Ireland: 1991–1992

Lung cancer is a major cause of death in Western countries, but survival had never been studied in Northern Ireland (NI) on a population basis prior to this study.AimsThe primary aims were to describe the survival of patients with primary lung cancer, evaluate the effect of treatment, identify patient characteristics influencing survival and treatment and describe current trends in survival.MethodsA population-based study identified all incident cases of primary lung cancer in NI during 1991–2 and followed them for 21 months. Their clinical notes were traced and relevant details abstracted. Survival status was monitored via the Registrar General’s Office, and ascertainment is thought to be near-complete. Appropriate statistical methods were used to analyse the survival data.ResultsSome 855 incident cases were studied. Their 1-year survival was 24.5% with a median survival time of 4.7 months. Surgical patients had the best 1-year survival, 76.8%; however, adjustment suggested that about half of the benefit could be attributed to case-mix factors. Factors influencing treatment allocation were also identified, and a screening test showed the discordance between ‘model’ and ‘medic’: 210 patients were misclassified. Finally, the current trend in 1-year survival observed in the Republic of Ireland was best in the British Isles.ConclusionsOverall, survival remains poor. The better survival of surgical patients is due, in part, to their superior case-mix profiles. Survival with other therapies is less good suggesting that the criteria for treatment might be relaxed with advantage using a treatment model to aid decision-making.

Racial Differences in Nursing Home Quality of Life Among Residents Living With Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias.

ObjectivesAmong nursing home (NH) residents with Alzheimer's disease (AD) and AD-related dementias (AD/ADRD), racial/ethnic disparities in quality of care exist. However, little is known about quality of life (QoL). This study examines racial/ethnic differences in self-reported QoL among NH residents with AD/ADRD. Methods: Validated, in-person QoL surveys from 12,562 long-stay NH residents with AD/ADRD in Minnesota (2012-2015) were linked to Minimum Data Set assessments and facility characteristics. Hierarchical linear models assessed disparities in resident-reported mean QoL score (range, 0-100 points), adjusting for case-mix and facility factors. Results: Compared to White residents, racially/ethnically minoritized residents reported significantly lower total mean QoL scores (75.53 points vs. 80.34 points, p < .001). After adjustment for resident- and facility-level characteristics, significant racial/ethnic differences remained, with large disparities in food enjoyment, attention from staff, and engagement domains. Discussion: Policy changes and practice guidelines are needed to address racial/ethnic disparities in QoL of NH residents with AD/ADRD.

Weekend effect on 30-day mortality for ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke analyzed using severity index and staffing level.

Previous studies on the weekend effect-a phenomenon where stroke outcomes differ depending on whether the stroke occurred on a weekend-mostly targeted ischemic stroke and showed inconsistent results. Thus, we investigated the weekend effect on 30-day mortality in patients with ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke considering the confounding effect of stroke severity and staffing level. We retrospectively analyzed data of patients hospitalized for ischemic or hemorrhagic stroke between January 1, 2015, and December 31, 2018, which were extracted from the claims database of the National Health Insurance System and the Medical Resource Report by the Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service. The primary outcome measure was 30-day all-cause mortality. In total, 278,632 patients were included, among whom 84,240 and 194,392 had a hemorrhagic and ischemic stroke, respectively, with 25.8% and 25.1% of patients, respectively, being hospitalized during the weekend. Patients admitted on weekends had significantly higher 30-day mortality rates (hemorrhagic stroke 16.84%>15.55%, p<0.0001; ischemic stroke 5.06%>4.92%, p<0.0001). However, in the multi-level logistic regression analysis adjusted for case-mix, pre-hospital, and hospital level factors, the weekend effect remained consistent in patients with hemorrhagic stroke (odds ratio [OR] 1.05, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.00-1.10), while the association was no longer evident in patients with ischemic stroke (OR 1.01, 95% CI 0.96-1.06). Weekend admission for hemorrhagic stroke was significantly associated with a higher mortality rate after adjusting for confounding factors. Further studies are required to understand factors contributing to mortality during weekend admission.

Survival of patients with colorectal liver metastases treated with and without preoperative chemotherapy: Nationwide propensity score-matched study

IntroductionRoutine treatment with preoperative systemic chemotherapy (CTx) in patients with colorectal liver metastases (CRLM) remains controversial due to lack of consistent evidence demonstrating associated survival benefits. This study aimed to determine the effect of preoperative CTx on overall survival (OS) compared to surgery alone and to assess hospital and oncological network variation in 5-year OS. MethodsThis was a population-based study of all patients who underwent liver resection for CRLM between 2014 and 2017 in the Netherlands. After 1:1 propensity score matching (PSM), OS was compared between patients treated with and without preoperative CTx. Hospital and oncological network variation in 5-year OS corrected for case-mix factors was calculated using an observed/expected ratio. ResultsOf 2820 patients included, 852 (30.2%) and 1968 (69.8%) patients were treated with preoperative CTx and surgery alone, respectively. After PSM, 537 patients remained in each group, median number of CRLM; 3 [IQR 2–4], median size of CRLM; 28 mm [IQR 18–44], synchronous CLRM (71.1%). Median follow-up was 80.8 months. Five-year OS rates after PSM for patients treated with and without preoperative chemotherapy were 40.2% versus 38.3% (log-rank P = 0.734). After stratification for low, medium, and high tumour burden based on the tumour burden score (TBS) OS was similar for preoperative chemotherapy vs. surgery alone (log-rank P = 0.486, P = 0.914, and P = 0.744, respectively). After correction for non-modifiable patient and tumour characteristics, no relevant hospital or oncological network variation in five-year OS was observed. ConclusionIn patients eligible for surgical resection, preoperative chemotherapy does not provide an overall survival benefit compared to surgery alone.

Textbook outcome as a composite outcome measure to compare hospital performances regarding cytoreductive surgery for ovarian cancer: A nationwide population-based study

ObjectiveTextbook outcome (TO) is a composite outcome measure used in surgical oncology to compare hospital outcomes using multiple quality indicators. This study aimed to develop TO as an outcome measure to assess healthcare quality for patients undergoing cytoreductive surgery (CRS) for advanced-stage ovarian cancer. MethodsThis population-based study included all CRS for FIGO IIIC-IVB primary ovarian cancer registered in the Netherlands between 2017 and 2020. The primary outcome was TO, defined as a complete CRS, combined with the absence of 30-day mortality, severe complications, and prolonged length of admission (≥ten days). Delayed start of adjuvant chemotherapy (≥six weeks) was not included in TO because of missing data. Logistic regressions were used to assess the association of case-mix factors with TO. Hospital variation was displayed using funnel plots. ResultsA total of 1909 CRS were included, of which 1434 were interval CRS and 475 were primary CRS. TO was achieved in 54% of the interval CRS cohort and 47% of the primary CRS cohort. Macroscopic residual disease after CRS was the most important factor for not achieving TO. Age ≥ 70 was associated with lower TO rates in multivariable logistic regressions. TO rates ranged from 40% to 69% between hospitals in the interval CRS cohort and 22% to 100% in the primary CRS cohort. In both analyses, one hospital had significantly lower TO rates (different hospitals). Case-mix adjustment significantly affected TO rates in the primary CRS analysis. ConclusionsTO is a suitable composite outcome measure to detect hospital variation in healthcare quality for patients with advanced-stage ovarian cancer undergoing CRS. Case-mix adjustment improves the accuracy of the hospital comparison.

Patient and hospital-level factors associated with time to surgery after hip fracture in Ireland: Analysis of national audit data 2016–2020

IntroductionIn hip fracture care, time to surgery (TTS) is a commonly used quality indicator associated with patient outcomes including mortality. This study aimed to identify patient and hospital-level characteristics associated with TTS in Ireland. MethodsNational data from the Irish Hip Fracture Database (IHFD) (2016–2020) were analysed along with hospital-level characteristics obtained from a 2020 organisational survey. Generalised linear model regression was used to explore the association of TTS with case-mix, surgical details, hospital-level staffing and specific protocols recommended to expedite surgery. ResultsA total of 14,951 patients with surgically treated hip fracture from 16 hospitals were included (Mean age= 80.6 years (SD=8.8), 70.4% female). Mean TTS was 40.9 h (SD=60.3 h). Case-mix factors associated with longer TTS were male sex and higher American Society of Anaesthesiologists (ASA) grade. Other factors found to be associated with longer TTS included low pre-morbid mobility, inter-hospital transfer, weekday presentation, pre-operative medical physician assessment, intracapsular fracture type, arthroplasty surgery, general anaesthesia, consultant grade of surgeon and lower hospital-level orthopaedic surgical capacity. The oldest age-group and pre-fracture nursing home residence were associated with shorter TTS when adjusted for other case-mix factors. None of four explored protocols for expediting surgery were associated with TTS. ConclusionPatients with more comorbidity experience longer surgical delay after hip fracture in Ireland, in line with international research. Low availability of senior orthopaedic surgeons in Ireland may be delaying hip fracture surgery. Pathway of presentation, including via inter-hospital transfer or hospital bypass, is an important factor that requires further exploration. Further research is required to identify successful system-level protocols and interventions that may expedite hip fracture surgery within this setting.

One-year patient-reported outcomes following primary arthroscopic rotator cuff repair vary little by surgeon

This study's purpose was to investigate the extent to which differences among operating surgeons may influence 1-year patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) in patients undergoing rotator cuff repair (RCR) surgery, after controlling for general and disease-specific patient factors. We hypothesized that surgeon would be additionally associated with 1-year PROMs, specifically the baseline to 1-year improvement in Penn Shoulder Score (PSS). We used mixed multivariable statistical modeling to assess the influence of surgeon (and alternatively surgical case volume) on 1-year PSS improvement in patients undergoing RCR at a single health system in 2018, controlling for eight patient- and six disease-specific preoperative factors as possible confounders. Contributions of predictors to explaining variation in 1-year PSS improvement were measured and compared using Akaike's Information Criterion. 518 cases performed by 28 surgeons met inclusion criteria, with median (quartiles) baseline PSS of 41.9 (31.9, 53.9) and 1-year PSS improvement of 42 (29.1, 55.3) points. Contrary to expectation, surgeon and surgical case volume were neither statistically significantly nor clinically meaningfully associated with 1-year PSS improvement. Baseline PSS and mental health status (VR-12 MCS) were the dominant and only statistically significant predictors of 1-year PSS improvement, with lower baseline PSS and higher VR-12 MCS predicting larger 1-year PSS improvement. Patients generally reported excellent 1-year outcomes following primary RCR. This study did not find evidence that the individual surgeon or surgeon case volume influences 1-year PROMs, independently of case-mix factors, following primary RCR in a large employed hospital system.

Case-mix adjustment to compare hospital performances regarding complications after cytoreductive surgery for ovarian cancer: a nationwide population-based study

ObjectiveComplication rates after cytoreductive surgery are important quality indicators for hospitals that treat patients with advanced-stage ovarian cancer. Case-mix factors are patient and tumor characteristics that may influence hospital outcomes...

Sources of Postacute Care Episode Payment Variation After Traumatic Hip Fracture Repair Among Medicare Beneficiaries: Cross-Sectional Retrospective Study.

Traumatic hip fracture is a common and costly event. This is particularly relevant given our aging population and that a substantial proportion of these patients are discharged to PAC settings. It is a cross-sectional retrospective study. In a retrospective review using Medicare claims data between 2014 and 2019, we identified PAC payments within 90 days of hospitalization discharges and grouped hospitals into quintiles of PAC spending. The degree of variation present in PAC spending across hospital quintiles was evaluated after accounting for patient case-mix factors and hospital characteristics using multivariable regression models, adjusting for PAC setting choice by fixing the proportion of PAC discharge disposition across hospital quintiles, and adjusting for PAC intensity by fixing the amount of PAC spending across hospital quintiles. The study pool included 125,745 Medicare beneficiaries who underwent operative management for traumatic hip fracture in 2078 hospitals. The primary outcome was PAC spending within 90 days of discharge following hospitalization for traumatic hip fracture. Mean PAC spending varied widely between top versus bottom spending hospital quintiles ($31,831 vs $17,681). After price standardization, the difference between top versus bottom spending hospital quintiles was $8,964. Variation between hospitals decreased substantially after adjustment for PAC setting ($25,392 vs $21,274) or for PAC intensity ($25,082 vs $21,292) with little variation explained by patient or hospital factors. There was significant variation in PAC payments after a traumatic hip fracture between the highest- and lowest-spending hospital quintiles. Most of this variation was explained by choice of PAC discharge setting and intensity of PAC spending, not patient or hospital characteristics. These findings suggest potential systems-level inefficiencies that can be targeted for intervention to improve the appropriateness and value of healthcare spending.

Development of an updated, standardized, patient-centered outcome set for lung cancer

BackgroundIn 2016, the International Consortium for Health Outcomes Measurement (ICHOM) defined an international consensus recommendation of the most important outcomes for lung cancer patients. The European Health Outcomes Observatory (H2O) initiative aimed to develop an updated patient-centered core outcome set (COS) for lung cancer, to capture the patient perspective of the impact of lung cancer and (novel) treatments using a combination of patient-reported outcome (PRO) instruments and clinical data as a means to drive value-based health-care. Material and methodsAn international, expert team of patient representatives, multidisciplinary healthcare professionals, academic researchers and pharmaceutical industry representatives (n = 17) reviewed potential outcomes generated through literature review. A broader group of patients/patient representatives (n = 31), healthcare professionals / academic researchers (n = 83), pharmaceutical industry representatives (n = 26), and health authority representatives (n = 6) participated in a Delphi study. In two survey rounds, participants scored the relevance of outcomes from a preliminary list. The threshold for consensus was defined as ≥ 70 % of participants scoring an outcome as ‘highly relevant’. In concluding consensus-meeting rounds, the expert multidisciplinary team finalized the COS. ResultsThe preliminary list defined by the core group consisted of 102 outcomes and was prioritized in the Delphi procedure to 64. The final lung cancer COS includes: 1) case-mix factors (n = 27); 2) PROs related to health-related quality of life (HRQoL) (n = 25); 3) clinical outcomes (n = 12). Patient-reported symptoms beyond domains included in the ICHOM lung cancer set in 2016 were insomnia, nausea, vomiting, anxiety, depression, lack of appetite, gastric problems, constipation, diarrhoea, dysphagia, and haemoptysis. ConclusionsWe will implement the lung cancer COS in Europe within the H2O initiative by collecting the outcomes through a combination of clinician-reported measures and PRO measures. The COS will support the adoption and reporting of lung cancer measures in a standardized way across Europe and empower patients with lung cancer to better manage their health care.

Prolonged postoperative length of stay may be a valuable marker for susceptibility to relapse beyond established risk factors in patients with stage III colon cancer

BackgroundDelay from surgery to adjuvant chemotherapy causes impaired survival among patients undergoing radical resection for stage III colon cancer, and the underlying mechanism for this is incompletely clarified. It is established that prolonged postoperative hospital length of stay (LOS) is associated with delayed initiation of the adjuvant treatment driving the assumption that prolonged LOS is prognostically unfavorable due to this fact and case mix factors. We hypothesize that prolonged LOS after surgery is a valuable marker for susceptibility to relapse that is not detected in established prognostic factors and, alone, associated with a shorter disease-free survival (DFS).Materials and methodsA total of 690 consecutive patients undergoing elective radical resection for stage III colon cancer in 2000–2015 were identified in a prospective detailed facility database. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed using Cox proportional hazards model in the evaluation of LOS as an independent prognostic factor.ResultsShort postoperative LOS, low comorbidity, and few complications were associated with longer DFS (p < 0.01). Fewer patients in the short and intermediate LOS groups had a relapse in their disease (28% and 33%, respectively), compared to the patients with longer LOS (40%, p < 0.05). LOS was a prognostic factor for DFS in the unadjusted univariate model (HR 1.04 per unit change) and remained statistically significant in the adjusted multivariate analysis, with a HR of 1.03 per hospital day (p < 0.01).ConclusionsPostoperative LOS independently correlates with the risk of recurrence and DFS, regardless of if adjuvant chemotherapy is given, along with the factors such as age, comorbidity, complications, and tumor features. We propose a further investigation into the causal mechanisms based on tumor and host biology linking LOS to DFS beyond established risk factors.

Neonatal mortality in NHS maternity units by timing of birth and method of delivery: a retrospective linked cohort study.

ObjectivesPotential ‘weekend effects’ in healthcare prompt concerns that care could be of lower quality during non-working hours, but may reflect differences in case mix or other factors This research aimed to compare neonatal mortality in English hospitals from 2005 to 2014 by time of day and day of the week.&#x0D; ApproachWe analysed data from a retrospective cohort of 6,054,536 singleton births in England 2005—2014, created by linking ONS birth and death registration and birth notification data with Hospital Episode Statistics.&#x0D; Working hours were defined as 07:00—19:00 on weekdays, and non-working hours were all other times on weekdays and all weekends and public holidays.&#x0D; The primary outcome was all-cause neonatal mortality unattributed to congenital anomaly. We also modelled cause-specific neonatal mortality attributed to asphyxia, anoxia or trauma (AAT). On advice through our public involvement and strategy, analysis was stratified by mode of onset of labour and method of delivery.&#x0D; ResultsAfter adjustment for confounders, the odds of all-cause neonatal mortality outside of working hours were similar to those during working hours for spontaneous births, instrumental births and emergency caesareans. Planned caesareans occurring in non-working hours had a high crude risk compared to planned caesareans in working hours, but were considered to be unreliably recorded and likely to reflect emergency caesarean delivery of babies originally scheduled for planned caesarean birth.&#x0D; Further stratification of emergency caesareans by onset of labour showed higher odds of cause-specific neonatal mortality (AAT) during non-working compared with working hours for emergency caesareans without labour recorded but not for emergency caesareans after spontaneous or induced onset of labour.&#x0D; ConclusionIt may be that the apparent ‘weekend effect’ is caused by deaths among the relatively small number of babies who were born by caesarean section apparently without labour outside normal working hours. Obstetric staffing should be planned to allow for these relatively unusual emergencies.

The potential risk of using historic claims to set bundled payment prices: the case of physical therapy after lower extremity joint replacement

BackgroundOne of the most significant challenges of implementing a multi-provider bundled payment contract is to determine an appropriate, casemix-adjusted total bundle price. The most frequently used approach is to leverage historic care utilization based on claims data. However, those claims data may not accurately reflect appropriate care (e.g. due to supplier induced demand and moral hazard effects). This study aims to examine variation in claims-based costs of post-discharge primary care physical therapy (PT) utilization after total knee and hip arthroplasties (TKA/THA) for osteoarthritis patients.MethodsThis retrospective cohort study used multilevel linear regression analyses to predict the factors that explain the variation in the utilization of post-discharge PT after TKA or THA for osteoarthritis patients, based on the historic (2015–2018) claims data of a large Dutch health insurer. The factors were structured as predisposing, enabling or need factors according to the behavioral model of Andersen.ResultsThe 15,309 TKA and 14,325 THA patients included in this study received an average of 20.7 (SD 11.3) and 16.7 (SD 10.1) post-discharge PT sessions, respectively. Results showed that the enabling factor ‘presence of supplementary insurance’ was the strongest predictor for post-discharge PT utilization in both groups (TKA: β = 7.46, SE = 0.498, p-value< 0.001; THA: β = 5.72, SE = 0.515, p-value< 0.001). There were also some statistically significant predisposing and need factors, but their effects were smaller.ConclusionsThis study shows that if enabling factors (such as supplementary insurance coverage or co-payments) are not taken into account in risk-adjustment of the bundle price, they may cause historic claims-based pricing methods to over- or underestimate appropriate post-discharge primary care PT use, which would result in a bundle price that is either too high or too low. Not adjusting bundle prices for all relevant casemix factors is a risk because it can hamper the successful implementation of bundled payment contracts and the desired changes in care delivery it aims to support.

Drivers of paediatric inpatient experience: retrospective analysis of casemix factors for the Alberta Paediatric Inpatient Experience Survey in Alberta, Canada

ObjectiveIn Alberta, the Alberta Paediatric Inpatient Experience Survey (APIES) is used as a proxy-reported measure of paediatric experience. To our knowledge, the influence of casemix factors on patient experience as...

Development of a data-driven case-mix adjustment model for comparison of hospital performance in hip fracture care

SummaryTo compare hospitals’ hip fracture patient mortality in a quality of care registry, correction for patient characteristics is needed. This study evaluates in 39,374 patients which characteristics are associated with 30 and 90-day mortality, and showed how using these characteristics in a case mix-model changes hospital comparisons within the Netherlands.PurposeMortality rates after hip fracture surgery are considerable and may be influenced by patient characteristics. This study aims to evaluate hospital variation regarding patient demographics and disease burden, to develop a case-mix adjustment model to analyse differences in hip fracture patients’ mortality to calculate case-mix adjusted hospital-specific mortality rates.MethodsData were derived from 64 hospitals participating in the Dutch Hip Fracture Audit (DHFA). Adult hip fracture patients registered in 2017–2019 were included. Variation of case-mix factors between hospitals was analysed, and the association between case-mix factors and mortality at 30 and 90 days was determined through regression models.ResultsThere were 39,374 patients included. Significant variation in case-mix factors amongst hospitals was found for age ≥ 80 (range 25.8–72.1% p < 0.001), male gender (12.0–52.9% p < 0.001), nursing home residents (42.0–57.9% p < 0.001), pre-fracture mobility aid use (9.9–86.7% p < 0,001), daily living dependency (27.5–96.5% p < 0,001), ASA-class ≥ 3 (25.8–83.3% p < 0.001), dementia (3.6–28.6% p < 0.001), osteoporosis (0.0–57.1% p < 0.001), risk of malnutrition (0.0–29.2% p < 0.001) and fracture types (all p < 0.001). All factors were associated with 30- and 90-day mortality. Eight hospitals showed higher and six showed lower 30-day mortality than expected based on their case-mix. Six hospitals showed higher and seven lower 90-day mortality than expected. The specific outlier hospitals changed when correcting for case-mix factors.ConclusionsDutch hospitals show significant case-mix variation regarding hip fracture patients. Case-mix adjustment is a prerequisite when comparing hospitals’ 30-day and 90-day hip fracture patients’ mortality. Adjusted mortality may serve as a starting point for improving hip fracture care.

Resistance to Erythropoiesis-Stimulating Agents among Patients on Hemodialysis Is Typically Transient

Introduction: This study examines factors associated with erythropoiesis-stimulating agent (ESA) hyporesponsiveness, the duration of ESA hyporesponsiveness, the frequency of new episodes, and variation across countries. Methods: We used international Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study data from 2015 to 2018 (N = 26,656) to investigate changes in ESA Resistance Index (ERI), calculated as epoetin dose divided by [hemoglobin × body weight] in patients on hemodialysis. We illustrated the proportion of patients who moved to other ERI quintiles over 12 months, and we studied the incidence and duration of ESA resistance. We examined case-mix factors associated with quintiles of ERI. Results: Most patients migrated out of their original ERI quintile within 4 months. Only 22% of patients in the top quintile of ERI at baseline (4.4% of all patients) remained in the top quintile during all 12 months of follow-up. A total of 42% of patients manifested an upper-quintile ERI during at least 1 month. Median duration of a new episode of ESA resistance was 2 months. Catheter hemoaccess, elevated C-reactive protein, lower transferrin saturation, lower serum albumin concentration, and recent hospitalization occurred more frequently among patients in the highest ERI quintile at baseline. ERI values were highest in the USA, Italy, and Mideastern nations and lowest in Russia and Japan. Discussion/Conclusion: It is a misconception to envision a sizable, fixed segment of the population with permanent resistance to ESA – resistance fluctuates frequently. The implications of these findings for prescription of ESAs and of hypoxia-inducible factor-prolyl hydroxylase inhibitors are discussed.