Stroke Case Fatality Research Articles

Alternative Scenarios for Projected Prevalence of Stroke and Post-Stroke Dementia to 2046 in Ireland: A Model-Based Analysis

Abstract Background Understanding future population need is key for informing stroke service planning. This study aims to evaluate alternative scenarios for future trends in stroke age-specific incidence and case-fatality and estimate impact on projected stroke and post-stroke dementia prevalence in Ireland. Methods We used a probabilistic Markov model to project and track incidence and prevalence of stroke and post-stroke dementia in the Irish population aged 40-89 years to 2046. Using systematic review and observational evidence, we extrapolated trends in stroke age-specific incidence and case-fatality from 1990-2019 to 2016-2046. We defined optimistic, realistic and pessimistic scenarios, including scenarios where trends decelerated over time. Results The stable (pessimistic) scenario indicates a projected 95,278 stroke survivors in 2046 (95% uncertainty interval, UI = 91,404-99,487) (30.1 per 1000 pop), an increase of 53% from 2022 to 2046. The most optimistic scenario would involve a 3.2% increase from 2022 to 2046, to a projected 61,000 survivors. More realistic scenarios based on lower rates of incidence/case-fatality decline, or rates of decline slowing over time, imply an increase ranging between 22.9% and 37.2%. There will be a projected 19,430 with post-stroke dementia in 2046 (95% UI 17,182-21,904), an increase of 69.2% from 2022. In the most optimistic scenario, the increase would be 22.6%, with realistic scenarios implying an increase ranging between 38.9% and 53.2%. Conclusion Future stroke healthcare needs will vary substantially depending on epidemiological trends. A large increase in post-stroke dementia is projected across scenarios. Further work is needed to identify optimal policies to promote continuing decline in stroke incidence.

Seasonal Variations in Stroke Occurrence.

Understanding seasonal variations in stroke can help stakeholders identify underlying causes in seasonal trends, and tailor resources appropriately to times of highest needs. We sought to evaluate the seasonal occurrence of stroke and its subtypes. We conducted a retrospective cohort study using administrative data from January 1st, 2003, to December 31st, 2017, in Ontario, Canada's most populous province. We evaluated seasonal variations in stroke occurrence by subtype, via age/sex standardized rates and adjusted rate ratios using Poisson regressions. In those with stroke, we evaluated 30-day case fatality risks by season, adjusted for age, sex, stroke type, and comorbid conditions, and then used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the effect of season on the fatality. The administrative data used in this study were from the Canadian Institute for Health Information's Discharge Abstract Database, the National Ambulatory Care Reporting System Database, the Ontario Registered Persons Database, and the 2006 and 2011 Canada Census and linked administrative databases. During our study period, we observed 394,145 strokes or TIA events, with a decrease in monthly hospitalization/emergency department visits per 100,000 people between January 2003 and December 2017 from 24.22 to 17.43. Compared to the summer, overall stroke occurrence was similar in the spring but slightly lower in the fall (adjusted rate ratio [aRR] 0.97, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.96-0.98) and winter (aRR 0.94, 95% CI: 0.94-0.95). There were minor variations by stroke subtype. Winter was associated with the highest risk of stroke case fatality compared to the summer (12.4% vs. 11.4%, adjusted hazard ratio 1.10, 95% CI: 1.07-1.13). We found seasonal variations in stroke occurrence and case fatality, although the absolute differences were small. Further work is needed to better understand how environmental or meteorological factors might affect stroke risk.

Stroke prevention strategies in Africa: a scoping review protocol.

The objective of this scoping review is to map the existing strategies on methods and interventions for primary and secondary stroke prevention in Africa. Stroke is among the leading causes of disability globally. African nations have higher stroke mortality and case fatality rates than the industrialized world, leading to significant social and financial costs, which necessitates efficient preventative methods. Despite the high prevalence of stroke in Africa, the scope of stroke-prevention strategies in Africa is unknown. Consequently, mapping diverse approaches to preventing stroke in Africa could provide direction for future research into stroke prevention in Africa. This review will incorporate studies that report methods or strategies used for stroke prevention in Africa. All primary and gray literature will be considered for inclusion. No language or date restrictions will be applied. The JBI methodological framework for scoping reviews will be adopted for this scoping review. A 3-step search strategy consisting of an initial limited search, a full search, and a screening of the reference lists of all included articles will be undertaken. Databases such as CINAHL, Scopus, PubMed, PEDRo, DORIS, Global Health, Web of Science, and Open Access Thesis and Dissertations will be searched. All search results will be screened, and relevant data extracted by 2 independent reviewers. The findings will be presented in the final scoping review and illustrated in a Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) flow diagram. Figshare https://doi.org/10.6084/m9.figshare.21679904.v1.

A 2-year review of stroke admissions and short term out-come predictors in a teaching hospital, Southeast, Nigeria.

Stroke is a common neurological disorder with a huge global burden in terms of mortality and morbidity. Epidemiological evidence has shown that modifiable risk factors are responsible for more than 90% of all strokes. Stroke outcome in hospitalized patients is influenced by several variables, such as socio-demographic factors, stroke subtype, and admission severity. The interaction between stroke outcomes and these parameters is often complex. The study is aimed to profile hospitalized stroke patients and determine outcome predictors. A descriptive retrospective study of 100 patients hospitalized for acute stroke. Their medical records were reviewed for demographic and clinical variables and relevant data were retrieved and analysed using appropriate statistical methods. Of the 100 acute stroke patients studied, 36% were men and 64% were women. The mean age was 65.16±15.72. About 78%had ischemic stroke while 21% had haemorrhagic strokes. The commonest risk factor was hypertension (71.2%). On multivariate analysis, stroke subtype and admission duration were significantly linked to stroke outcome. Ischemic stroke comprises more than two-thirds of stroke admissions, with hypertension being the most common risk factor and stroke case fatality of 23%. Stroke subtype and admission duration significantly predicted stroke outcomes. The need to step up measures aimed at improving acute stroke care in hospitalized patients is imperative as this will hopefully improve overall outcomes in resource constraint settings such as Nigeria.

30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality and significant risk factors in sub-Saharan-Africa: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Existing studies investigating 30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality rates in sub-Saharan Africa have produced varying results, underscoring the significance of obtaining precise and reliable estimations for this indicator. Consequently, this study aimed to conduct a systematic review and update of the current scientific evidence regarding 30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality and associated risk factors in sub-Saharan Africa. Medline/PubMed, Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature (CINAHL), APA PsycNet (encompassing PsycINFO and PsychArticle), Google Scholar, and Africa Journal Online (AJOL) were systematically searched to identify potentially relevant articles. Two independent assessors extracted the data from the eligible studies using a pre-tested and standardized excel spreadsheet. Outcomes were 30-day in-hospital stroke case fatality and associated risk factors. Data was pooled using random effects model. Ninety-three (93) studies involving 42,057 participants were included. The overall stroke case fatality rate was 27% [25%-29%]. Subgroup analysis revealed 24% [21%-28%], 25% [21%-28%], 29% [25%-32%] and 31% [20%-43%] stroke case fatality rates in East Africa, Southern Africa, West Africa, and Central Africa respectively. Stroke severity, stroke type, untyped stroke, and post-stroke complications were identified as risk factors. The most prevalent risk factors were low (<8) Glasgow Coma Scale score, high (≥10) National Institute Health Stroke Scale score, aspiration pneumonia, hemorrhagic stroke, brain edema/intra-cranial pressure, hyperglycemia, untyped stroke (stroke diagnosis not confirmed by neuroimaging), recurrent stroke and fever. The findings indicate that one in every four in-hospital people with stroke in sub-Saharan Africa dies within 30 days of admission. Importantly, the identified risk factors are mostly modifiable and preventable, highlighting the need for context-driven health policies, clinical guidelines, and treatments targeting these factors.

Trends Over Time in Stroke Incidence by Race in the Greater Cincinnati Northern Kentucky Stroke Study.

Understanding the current status of and temporal trends of stroke epidemiology by age, race, and stroke subtype is critical to evaluate past prevention efforts and to plan future interventions to eliminate existing inequities. We investigated trends in stroke incidence and case fatality over a 22-year time period. In this population-based stroke surveillance study, all cases of stroke in acute care hospitals within a 5-county population of southern Ohio/northern Kentucky in adults aged ≥20 years were ascertained during a full year every 5 years from 1993 to 2015. Temporal trends in stroke epidemiology were evaluated by age, race (Black or White), and subtype (ischemic stroke [IS], intracranial hemorrhage [ICH], or subarachnoid hemorrhage [SAH]). Stroke incidence rates per 100,000 individuals from 1993 to 2015 were calculated using US Census data and age-standardized, race-standardized, and sex-standardized as appropriate. Thirty-day case fatality rates were also reported. Incidence rates for stroke of any type and IS decreased in the combined population and among White individuals (any type, per 100,000, 215 [95% CI 204-226] in 1993/4 to 170 [95% CI 161-179] in 2015, p = 0.015). Among Black individuals, incidence rates for stroke of any type decreased over the study period (per 100,000, 349 [95% CI 311-386] in 1993/4 to 311 [95% CI 282-340] in 2015, p = 0.015). Incidence of ICH was stable over time in the combined population and in race-specific subgroups, and SAH decreased in the combined groups and in White adults. Incidence rates among Black adults were higher than those of White adults in all time periods, and Black:White risk ratios were highest in adults in young and middle age groups. Case fatality rates were similar by race and by time period with the exception of SAH in which 30-day case fatality rates decreased in the combined population and White adults over time. Stroke incidence is decreasing over time in both Black and White adults, an encouraging trend in the burden of cerebrovascular disease in the US population. Unfortunately, however, Black:White disparities have not decreased over a 22-year period, especially among younger and middle-aged adults, suggesting the need for more effective interventions to eliminate inequities by race.

Trends and patterns in stroke incidence, mortality, DALYs and case-fatality by sociodemographic index worldwide: an age-period-cohort analysis using the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study

ObjectivesStroke is a significant public health burden worldwide. This study aimed to explore the trends and patterns of stroke incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and case-fatality percent (CFP) worldwide from 1990 to 2019. Study designAge-period-cohort analysis. MethodsTrends in stroke burden worldwide were evaluated using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2019 study. In addition, the relationship between the burden of stroke and sociodemographic index (SDI) was examined by quantile regression. Age, period and cohort patterns in stroke burden across different SDI groups were estimated using age-period-cohort analysis. ResultsBetween 1990 and 2019, the age-standardised rates (ASRs) of stroke incidence, mortality and DALYs declined significantly worldwide, with decreases of −16.89% (95% uncertainty interval [UI]: −18.41 to −15.29), −36.43% (95% UI: −41.65 to −31.20) and −35.23% (95% UI: −40.49 to −30.49), respectively. Regions with ASRs in the 75th percentile and below experienced significant decreases in ASRs with increasing SDI. After 2014, there was a stable or slightly increased period effect for stroke incidence in all groups, while mortality, DALYs and CFP increased only in the high SDI group. The cohort effect of stroke incidence remained constant in the high SDI group from the 1960–1964 cohort onwards. ConclusionsAlthough high SDI regions had a lower stroke burden and a faster overall decline in burden, the recent relative risk data suggest a potential deceleration in the progress of reducing stroke burden in these areas. There is a need for more active measures to reduce the stroke burden in areas with the highest incidence, mortality and DALYs, as increasing SDI alone cannot lower the burden in these regions.

In-Hospital Acute Ischemic Stroke Case Fatality: Experience from a University Hospital in Bogota, Colombia (2018-2019).

Introduction Until 2020, stroke was the second cause of death in Colombia and worldwide. In-hospital case fatality accounts for the majority of deaths. Multiple risk factors for in-hospital mortality have been described in the stroke population and their recognition could reduce stroke-related death. Aims To describe a single center experience of in-hospital acute ischemic stroke case fatality and its risk factors. Methodology Single center, retrospective, cross-sectional study between august 2018 and august 2019. Admitted consecutive patients with acute ischemic stroke brain infarct type were included. Admission sociodemographic, clinical, laboratory and imaging studies variables were drawn out. Quantitative variables were summarized as means, medians and interquartile ranges. Bivariate analysis was used to evaluate associations of in-hospital stroke case fatality and imputed variables. Results 402 stroke brain infarct type patients were included, mean age 73,28 years (SD±14,53), 50,4% men. Prevalent vascular risks factors were hypertension (70,90%), diabetes mellitus type 2 (24,13%) and previous stroke (20,90%). There were 13 (3,2%) in-hospital case fatalities. Mean time from admission to death was 11.38 days (SD±10,8). Lower hemoglobin levels (p=0.002), lower total, LDL and HDL serum cholesterol levels (p=0.02), internal carotid artery stenosis &gt;50% by duplex ultrasound (p=0.01) and stroke severity as measured by NIHSS score (p&lt;0,0001) showed association with in-hospital stroke case fatality. Conclusions NIHSS score, hemoglobin level, and cholesterol (total, LDL, HDL) levels upon admission may be used by clinicians to make the appropriate early transfer decisions to facilities with the capacity to offer advance in-hospital stroke care. The cholesterol paradox in acute stroke fatality warrants further studies.

Incidence and case-fatality rate of stroke in General Villegas, Buenos Aires, Argentina. The EstEPA population study

ObjectivesStroke epidemiology varies among different populations. The burden of stroke is high in low- and middle-income countries. Reliable population data is needed to assess the impact of stroke and to develop policies aimed to improve stroke care in our region. EstEPA is a population-based project assessing prevalence, incidence, mortality and burden of stroke in General Villegas Department, Buenos Aires, Argentina (pop=30,864 inhabitants). We determined incidence of stroke (first-ever and recurrent stroke) and stroke case-fatality rate from 2017 to 2020. MethodsFirst-ever strokes, recurrent strokes and transient ischemic attacks were ascertained and case-fatality rate was obtained. Diagnoses were based on standard AHA/WHO definitions. Study population included all persons residing in General Villegas during the three-year period. Hospitals, households, nursing homes, death certificates and several overlapping sources were surveyed. ResultsWe assessed 92,592 person-years. There were 155 cerebrovascular events aged 70 years (SD ± 13 years), of which 115 were first-ever strokes (74%), 21 recurrent strokes (13.5%) and 19 transient ischemic attacks (12.5%). The crude overall incidence rate of first-ever strokes was 124.2 per 100,000 population (86.9 per 100,000 [95% CI 58.5-115.2] when standardized by WHO World population and 109.7 per 100,000 [95% CI 89.7-129.8] when standardized by Argentine population) and 317.0 per 100,000 population in subjects older than 40 years. Case fatality rate at 30 days of first-ever strokes was 27%. ConclusionIn this population-based comprehensive stroke epidemiological study in Argentina, first-ever stroke incidence in an urban population was 124.2 per 100,000 population (86.9 per 100,000 adjusted by the WHO World population). This is lower than the incidence in other countries in the region and similar to a recent incidence study in Argentina. It is also comparable to reported incidence in most middle- and high-income countries. Stroke case-fatality rate was comparable to other population-based Latin-American studies.

Abstract TP195: Risk Factors And Outcome Of Cerebrovascular Complications In Transplant Recipients

Introduction: Post Transplant patients experience a great variety of cerebrovascular (CV) complications including ischemic stroke (IS), TIA, SAH, ICH, and posterior reversible encephalopathy syndrome (PRES). These increase mortality &amp; morbidity in an already susceptible population but the incidence of these complications, risk factors, and outcomes in transplant recipients have not been examined in detail. Methods: Design: A retrospective observational study. Population: Patients &gt;18 years of age who underwent solid organ transplantation since 2012 at a tertiary care center. Patients were divided into 2 groups, with CV complications and without. Outcomes of interest were the proportion of CV complications, length of stay (LOS), discharge disposition, functional outcomes (defined by a mRS), and survival time post-transplant. Results: A total of 94 patients met the inclusion criteria (31% (n=29) with CV complications vs 69% (n=65) patients without). The median age was 57.5 years (51.41 vs 45.75 p&gt;0.05). IS was the most prevalent CV complication (n=13, 44%, most common etiology was cryptogenic 76.9% (n=11)) followed but ICH (n=6, 20%), and most of CV complications occurred within 1 year post-transplant (n=17, 58.6%). Patients with past history of TIA or stroke were more likely to have a CV complication post-transplant (OR 0.66 vs 4.89, p=0.05) but there was no significance for the other cardiovascular risk factors when compared to transplant recipients with no complications. Patients with complications were more likely to have lung transplants (p&lt;0.05) and to be discharged to hospice or dead than those without complications, who were more likely to have kidney transplants (p&lt;0.05) and to be discharged home (p&lt;0.001). There was no difference for the other outcomes of interest (p&gt;0.05). Conclusions: Post-transplant patients, especially lung transplants, have a high incidence of CV complications including stroke and higher case fatality. There was an association between a history of TIA or IS and subsequent CV events in our patient population. We did not demonstrate any difference in LOS, demographical characteristics, use of antithrombotic, or length of survival post-transplant in both the groups.

Abstract 71: Temporal Trends In 30-day And 5-year Stroke Case Fatality Rates

Background: Previous studies spanning the 1990s-2010s have inconsistently identified a decline in 30-day stroke case-fatality rate (CFR), and little is known about trends in longer term stroke CFR over that period. We studied temporal trends in 30-day and 5-year CFRs in the well-defined Greater Cincinnati/Norther Kentucky (GCNK) stroke population. Methods: The NIH-funded GCNK Stroke Study is a population-based study conducted in a 5-county region that is representative of the USA in terms of Black race, income, and education. The study ascertained all strokes in 1993/4, 1999, 2005, 2010, and 2015 using well-validated methods. All stroke subtypes were included: ischemic strokes (IS), intracerebral hemorrhages (ICH), and subarachnoid hemorrhages (SAHs). Deaths were identified via the National Death Index. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess all-cause fatality, by subtype, to examine temporal trends adjusting for age, sex, and race. Results: A total of 10372 stroke cases were ascertained over the five study periods (8428 IS, 443 SAH, and 1501 ICH). IS patients did not demonstrate a decline in 30-day CFRs over time, but did show a nonsignificant decrease in 5-year CFR. Among IS patients, female sex was associated with a lower 5-year CFR, whereas Black individuals had a lower 30-day CFR but a higher 5-year CFR. For ICH, there was a small increase in both 30-day and 5-year CFR in later study periods, although this did not reach significance in all years. SAH showed a lower 30-day CFR over time but no change in 5-year CFR. Older age was associated with a higher 30-day and 5-year CFR in all subtypes. Discussion: Despite widespread advances in post-stroke care, adjusted 5-year CFR has not clearly improved for any stroke subtype and may have slightly worsened for ICH. 30-day CFR has shown a modest improvement among SAH patients. Future studies should investigate why Black individuals with IS experience lower early CFR but a higher late CFR.

Increasing burden of stroke in China: A systematic review and meta-analysis of prevalence, incidence, mortality, and case fatality.

The epidemiology of stroke is evolving in China as the population undergoes demographic, lifestyle, and economic transitions. An updated review is pertinent to providing feedback on current, and in planning future, prevention and management strategies. To identify high-quality epidemiological studies for quantifying the prevalence, incidence, mortality, and case fatality for stroke in China. A search was undertaken across a range of bibliographic databases on 30 November 2021 without time limitation. Assessments were made of the risk of bias of the included studies. The outcomes were synthesized using a random-effects model. Subgroup analysis and meta-regression models were used to define the source of heterogeneity. Of 9407 identified records, 26 population-based studies were included. Due to significant heterogeneity across the studies, the original range for crude rates of indices was wide. The pooled annual prevalence was 1329.5/100,000 (95% confidence interval (CI) 713.6-2131.9, p < 0.001), incidence 442.1/100,000 (327.6-573.8, p < 0.001), mortality 154.1/100,000 (52.6-308.8, I2 = 100%, p < 0.001), and case fatality 35.8% (26.1% to 46.1%, I2 = 97%, p < 0.001). The prevalence and incidence of stroke have increased, but stroke-related case fatality has declined in China over recent decades. There are significant regional and rural-urban differences in incidence rates. Despite improved public health policies and healthcare delivery, the burden of stroke remains high in China. Further coordinated efforts are required in prevention and community care to offset the likelihood of further expansion in the absolute number of stroke cases in this large population.

Abstract 10248: Incidence and Case-Fatality Rate of Stroke in Argentina: The EstEPA Population Study

Introduction: Stroke epidemiology varies among different populations. The burden of stroke is high in low- and middle-income countries. Reliable population data is needed to assess the impact of stroke and to develop policies aimed to improve stroke care in our region. Objectives: EstEPA is a population-based project assessing prevalence, incidence, mortality and burden of stroke in General Villegas, Buenos Aires, Argentina (pop=30,864 inhabitants). We determined incidence of stroke (first-ever and recurrent stroke) and stroke case-fatality rate from 2017 to 2020. Methods: First-ever strokes, recurrent strokes and transient ischemic attacks were ascertained and case-fatality rate was obtained. Diagnoses were based on standard AHA/WHO definitions. Study population included all persons residing in General Villegas in the three-year period. Hospitals, households, nursing homes, death certificates and several overlapping sources were surveyed. Results: We assessed 92,592 person-years. There were 155 cerebrovascular events, of which 115 were first-ever strokes (74%), 21 recurrent strokes (13·5%) and 19 transient ischemic attacks (12·5%). The annual crude incidence rate of first-ever strokes was 124·2 per 100,000 person-years, while it was 109·7 per 100,000 (95% CI 89·7-129·8), 72·4 per 100,000 (95% CI 47·8-97·0) and 86·9 per 100,000 (95% CI 58·5-115·2) when standardized by the Argentine population, Segi's World population and WHO World population, respectively. The crude incidence rate according to the different subtypes of stroke was 93·4 per 100,000 person-years for ischemic stroke, 18·4 per 100,000 person-years for hemorrhagic stroke and 10·8 per 100,000 person-years for subarachnoid hemorrhage. Incidence increased after age 70. Case fatality rate at 30 days of first-ever strokes was 19·4%. Conclusions: In this first population-based comprehensive stroke epidemiological study in Argentina, first-ever stroke incidence in an urban population was 124·2 per 100,000 person-years. This is lower than the incidence in other countries in the region. It is similar to reported incidence in Western developed countries. Stroke case-fatality rate was comparable to other population-based Latin-American studies and most developed countries.

Trends of stroke hospitalisation and fatality rates in young vs. elderly people in Poland during 2010-2019 decade.

Since the turn of the century, epidemiological studies have shown an increase in stroke hospitalisation rates among young adults in contrast to a decline in rates seen among the older population. The aim of the present study was to investigate the trends of stroke hospitalisation rates and case fatality ratios (CFR) over the decade starting in 2010 in different age groups of the Polish population. The patients were identified on the basis of the Polish National Health Fund that gathers all the data of the Hospital Discharge Registry as well as the National Cause of Death Registry of patients with stroke who were hospitalised between 2010 and 2019 and who were diagnosed according to the International Classification of Diseases - Tenth Revision (ICD-10) with haemorrhagic stroke (HS; codes I61* and I62*) and ischaemic stroke (IS; codes I63*). From a total nationwide cohort of 799,132 stroke patients (86.2% with IS and 13.8% with HS) treated between 2010 and 2019, a group of 22,329 patients (2.79%) aged 18-44 years was selected, among whom 69.6% had IS and 30.4% had HS. We documented a statistically significant increase in the IS hospitalisation rate in young adults alongside a decrease of this rate in those aged > 64. Among young adults with IS, the highest increase (p = 0.001) was observed for those aged 35-44 in 2019 (up to 39.2), and was significant each year starting from 2017 (2017-2019: p < 0.01). In the case of HS, the annual number of patients did not change significantly. In 2019 (compared to 2010), a decrease in 30-day, 90-day and 1-year CFR was noted in all age groups of patients with IS and HS. Stroke aetiology of IS was diagnosed in 60% of patients. More than 40% of patients with IS were discharged with the diagnosis of stroke of unspecified cause. In the case of IS, opposite trends of hospitalisation rates in younger and older age groups were documented, with the highest increase of IS in patients aged 35-44. A decline in CFR was observed for both IS and HS in all age groups.

Global stroke statistics 2022.

Contemporary data on stroke epidemiology and the availability of national stroke clinical registries are important for providing evidence to improve practice and support policy decisions. To update the most current incidence, case-fatality, and mortality rates on stroke and identify national stroke clinical registries worldwide. We searched multiple databases (based on our existing search strategy) to identify new original papers, published between 1 November 2018 and 15 December 2021, that met ideal criteria for data on stroke incidence and case-fatality, and added these to the studies reported in our last review. To identify national stroke clinical registries, we updated our last search, using PubMed, from 6 February 2015 until 6 January 2022. We also screened reference lists of review papers, citation history of papers, and the gray literature. Mortality codes for International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-9 and ICD-10 were extracted from the World Health Organization (WHO) for each country providing these data. Population denominators were obtained from the United Nations (UN) or WHO (when data were unavailable in the UN database). Crude and adjusted stroke mortality rates were calculated using country-specific population denominators, and the most recent years of mortality data available for each country. Since our last report in 2020, there were two countries (Chile and France) with new incidence studies meeting criteria for ideal population-based studies. New data on case-fatality were found for Chile and Kenya. The most current mortality data were available for the year 2014 (1 country), 2015 (2 countries), 2016 (11 countries), 2017 (10 countries), 2018 (19 countries), 2019 (36 countries), and 2020 (29 countries). Four countries (Libya, Solomon Islands, United Arab Emirates, and Lebanon) reported mortality data for the first time. Since our last report on registries in 2017, we identified seven more national stroke clinical registries, predominantly in high-income countries. These newly identified registries yielded limited information. Up-to-date data on stroke incidence, case-fatality, and mortality continue to provide evidence of disparities and the scale of burden in low- and middle-income countries. Although more national stroke clinical registries were identified, information from these newly identified registries was limited. Highlighting data scarcity or even where a country is ranked might help facilitate more research or greater policy attention in this field.

Incidence, early case fatality and determinants of stroke in Iran: Golestan Cohort Study

Objectives: While few studies investigated the incidence of stroke in Iran, no Iranian cohort has estimated the standardized-incidence rate and early fatality of first-ever-stroke subtypes along with associated factors. Methods: Golestan Cohort Study is a prospective study launched in northeastern Iran in 2004, including 50,045 individuals aged 40-75 at baseline. Age-standardized incidence rate of first-ever-stroke was calculated per 100,000 person-years, according to World Standard Population. The 28-day case fatality was calculated by dividing the number of fatal first-ever-stroke during the first 28 days by total events. Cox proportional hazard models were conducted to assess incidence and fatality risk factors. We used Population Attributable Fractions to estimate the incidence and early fatality proportions reduced by ideal risk factor control. Results: 1,135 first-ever-strokes were observed during 8.6 (median) years follow-up. First-ever-stroke standardized incidence rate was estimated 185.2 (95% CI: 173.2-197.2) per 100,000 person-years. The 28-day case fatality was 44.1% (95% CI: 40.4-48.2). Hypertension and pre-stroke physical activity were the strongest risk factors associated with first-ever-stroke incidence (Hazard ratio: 2.83; 2.47-3.23) and 28-day case fatality (Hazard ratio: 0.59; 0.44-0.78), respectively. Remarkably, opium consumption was strongly associated with hemorrhagic stroke incidence (Hazard ratio: 1.52; 1.04-2.23) and ischemic stroke fatality (Hazard ratio: 1.44; 1.01-2.09). Overall, modifiable risk factors contributed to 83% and 61% of first-ever-stroke incidence and early fatality, respectively. Conclusion: Efficient risk factor control can considerably reduce stroke occurrence and fatality in our study. Establishing awareness campaigns and 24-hour stroke units seem necessary for improving the stroke management in this area.

Pooled incidence and case-fatality of acute stroke in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macao: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Stroke incidence and case-fatality in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macao vary by geographic region and rates often differ across and within regions. This systematic review and meta-analysis (SR) estimated the pooled incidence and short-term case-fatality of acute first ever stroke in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macao. Longitudinal studies published in English or Chinese after 1990 were searched in PubMed/Medline, EMBASE, CINAHL, Web of Science, SinoMed and CQVIP. The incidence was expressed as Poisson means estimated as the number of events divided by time at risk. Random effect models calculated the pooled incidence and pooled case-fatality. Chi-squared trend tests evaluated change in the estimates over time. When possible, age standardised rates were calculated. Percent of variation across studies that was due to heterogeneity rather than chance was tested using the I2 statistic.The effect of covariates on heterogeneity was investigated using meta-regressions. Publication bias was tested using funnel plots and Egger's tests. Overall, 72 studies were included. The pooled incidences of total stroke (TS), ischaemic stroke (IS) and haemorrhagic stroke (HS) were 468.9 (95% confidence interval (CI): 163.33-1346.11), 366.79 (95% CI: 129.66-1037.64) and 106.67 (95% CI: 55.96-203.33) per 100,000 person-years, respectively, varied according to the four economic regions (East Coast, Central China, Northeast and Western China) with the lowest rates detected in the East Coast. Increased trends over time in the incidence of TS and IS were observed (p<0.001 in both). One-month and three-to-twelve-month case-fatalities were 0.11 (95% CI: 0.04-0.18) and 0.15 (95% CI: 0.12-0.17), respectively for IS; and 0.36 (95% CI: 0.26-0.45) and 0.25 (95% CI: 0.18-0.32), respectively for HS. One-month case-fatality of IS and HS decreased over time for both (p<0.001). Three-to-twelve-month fatalities following IS increased over time (p<0.001). Publication bias was not found. Regional differences in stroke incidence were observed with the highest rates detected in less developed regions. Although 1-month fatality following IS is decreasing, the increased trends in 3-12-month fatality may suggest an inappropriate long-term management following index hospital discharge. Registration-URL: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/prospero/; Reference code: CRD42020170724.

Impact of COVID-19 pandemic on acute stroke admissions and case-fatality rate in lower-income and middle-income countries: a protocol for systematic review and meta-analysis

IntroductionThe current review primarily aims to ascertain the impact of COVID-19 on stroke admission as well as stroke case fatality in Low-income and Middle-Income Countries (LMICs).Methods and analysisFour international databases...

Transition in Incidence Rate of Hospitalised Stroke and Case Fatality Rate in the Hunter Region, Australia, 2001-2019: A Prospective Hospital-Based Study

Introduction: Continuous surveillance of stroke admissions has been conducted in the Hunter region, Australia, over the past two decades. We aimed to describe the trends in incidence rates of hospitalised stroke and case-fatality rates in this region, 2001-2019. Methods: From a hospital-based stroke registry, data for admitted adult stroke patients residing in the Hunter region were collected using ICD-10 codes for ischemic and haemorrhagic stroke. Negative binomial regression and logistic regression analysis were used to analyse trends for age-standardised and age-specific incidence rates of hospitalised stroke and 28-day case-fatality rates. Results: A total of 14,662 hospitalisations for stroke in 13,242 individuals were registered. The age-standardised incidence rate declined from 123 per 100,000 population in the 2001-2005 epoch to 96 in the 2016-2019 epoch (mean annual change -2.0%, incidence rate ratio (IRR) = 0.980 [95%CI: 0.976-0.984]). Age-specific analyses identified significant reduction in the group aged 75-84 (1039 per 100,000 population in 2001-2005 to 633 in 2016-2019, annual change -3.5%, IRR= 0.965 [95%CI: 0.960-0.970]). The 28-day case-fatality rates fluctuated over time (18.5% in 2001-2005, 20.8% in 2010-2015, and 17.8% in 2016-2019). Projected population aging suggests annual volume of patients with new stroke will increase by 77% by 2041 if incidence rates remain unchanged at the 2016-2019 level. Conclusion: Although age-standardised hospitalised stroke incidence rates have declined in the Hunter region, the health system will face an increase in stroke hospitalisations related to the aging population.

Abstract WMP54: Stroke Secondary Prevention Care In Persons With Schizophrenia

Introduction: Schizophrenia is associated with stroke incidence and case-fatality but the causes of this are not well-understood. We evaluated the association between comorbid schizophrenia and the quality of secondary prevention care after ischemic stroke. Methods: We used linked health administrative data to identify adults discharged alive from acute care hospitals in Ontario, Canada between 2004 and 2017 following an incident ischemic stroke and identified those with a history of schizophrenia using a validated algorithm. Outcomes were screening, treatment among those with the risk factor, control of vascular risk factors, and receipt of outpatient physician services. We used modified Poisson regression to model the relative risk of each indicator outcome among persons with and without schizophrenia who were alive one year after discharge, adjusting for age, sex, income, comorbidity and rural residence. Results: Among 85,046 persons with ischemic stroke, 886 (1.04%) had a diagnosis of schizophrenia. Those with schizophrenia were younger (median age 64 vs 72), more likely to be female (50.1% vs 44.6%), live in the lowest neighbourhood income quintile (41.1% vs 23.0%) and have diabetes (42.8% vs 32.3%). Of those alive 1 year after stroke, those with schizophrenia were less likely to be screened for hyperlipidemia (adjusted relative risk (aRR) 0.89; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.84 to 0.94) or diabetes (aRR 0.93; 95% CI 0.89 to 0.97), be prescribed antihypertensive agents (aRR 0.96; 95% CI 0.93 to 0.99), or achieve target lipid levels (LDL &lt; 2 mml/L) (aRR 0.87; 95% CI 0.78 to 0.96). There were no differences in prescription of antilipemic (aRR 0.96; 95% CI 0.91 to 1.01) or antiglycemic (aRR 0.95; 95% CI 0.87 to 1.03) agents or in achievement of target HbA1c ≤ 7% (aRR 0.89; 95% CI 0.78 to 1.02). Outpatient stroke specialist care in the 3 months after discharge was less likely among those with schizophrenia (aRR 0.72; 95% CI 0.65 to 0.78) as were visits to primary care physicians (aRR 0.93; 95% CI 0.91 to 0.96). Conclusions: People with schizophrenia and stroke are less likely to receive secondary preventive care across many indicators measured. This information may be useful for targeted interventions to improve post-stroke care in those with schizophrenia.