Cardiovascular (CV) disease is the leading cause of death among patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). This study aimed to compare the performance of QRESEARCH-risk estimator version 3 (QRISK3) and the Systematic Coronary Risk Evaluation-2 (SCORE2) scores to identify SLE patients at high risk of CV events, as indicated by the presence of carotid plaques. Subclinical atherosclerosis was evaluated using carotid ultrasound in 365 SLE patients. QRISK3 and SCORE2 were calculated. The relationship between these scores and the presence of carotid plaques was analyzed by treating the scores as continuous and categorical variables, and separately and in combination. Logistic regression and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) analyses were used to assess their predictive accuracy. The discriminatory capacity of QRISK3, with an AUC of 0.770 (95%CI : 0.720, 0.821), and SCORE2, with an AUC of 0.800 (95%CI : 0.753, 0.843), for carotid plaque was similar, with no statistically significant difference (p= 0.070). However, when examining the association of both calculators considered continuously and together with their interaction, the discriminatory capacity of this combination was significantly greater than that of QRISK3 alone (p= 0.034) but did not differ from SCORE2 (p= 0.71). QRISK3 and SCORE2 are equally reliable predictors of carotid plaques in SLE patients. The combination of both calculators offers significantly better discrimination than QRISK3 alone but shows no significant difference when compared with SCORE2 alone. Therefore, SCORE2 alone, without the need for additional tools, can be used to identify patients with SLE who are at high risk of CV events.
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