Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis Research Articles

Prediction performance of scoring systems after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest: A systematic review and meta-analysis.

Ongoing changes in post resuscitation medicine and society create a range of ethical challenges for clinicians. Withdrawal of life-sustaining treatment is a very sensitive, complex decision to be made by the treatment team and the relatives together. According to the guidelines, prognostication after cardiopulmonary resuscitation should be based on a combination of clinical examination, biomarkers, imaging, and electrophysiological testing. Several prognostic scores exist to predict neurological and mortality outcome in post-cardiac arrest patients. We aimed to perform a meta-analysis and systematic review of current scoring systems used after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA). Our systematic search was conducted in four databases: Medline, Embase, Central and Scopus on 24th April 2023. The patient population consisted of successfully resuscitated adult patients after OHCA. We included all prognostic scoring systems in our analysis suitable to estimate neurologic function as the primary outcome and mortality as the secondary outcome. For each score and outcome, we collected the AUC (area under curve) values and their CIs (confidence iterval) and performed a random-effects meta-analysis to obtain pooled AUC estimates with 95% CI. To visualize the trade-off between sensitivity and specificity achieved using different thresholds, we created the Summary Receiver Operating Characteristic (SROC) curves. 24,479 records were identified, 51 of which met the selection criteria and were included in the qualitative analysis. Of these, 24 studies were included in the quantitative synthesis. The performance of CAHP (Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis) (0.876 [0.853-0.898]) and OHCA (0.840 [0.824-0.856]) was good to predict neurological outcome at hospital discharge, and TTM (Targeted Temperature Management) (0.880 [0.844-0.916]), CAHP (0.843 [0.771-0.915]) and OHCA (0.811 [0.759-0.863]) scores predicted good the 6-month neurological outcome. We were able to confirm the superiority of the CAHP score especially in the high specificity range based on our sensitivity and specificity analysis. Based on our results CAHP is the most accurate scoring system for predicting the neurological outcome at hospital discharge and is a bit less accurate than TTM score for the 6-month outcome. We recommend the use of the CAHP scoring system in everyday clinical practice not only because of its accuracy and the best performance concerning specificity but also because of the rapid and easy availability of the necessary clinical data for the calculation.

Neurological outcome following out of hospital cardiac arrest: Evaluation of performance of existing risk prediction models in a UK cohort.

Out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) is a common problem. Rates of survival are low and a proportion of survivors are left with an unfavourable neurological outcome. Four models have been developed to predict risk of unfavourable outcome at the time of critical care admission - the Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP), MIRACLE2, Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA), and Targeted Temperature Management (TTM) models. This evaluation evaluates the performance of these four models in a United Kingdom population and provides comparison to performance of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE-II) score. A retrospective evaluation of the performance of the models was conducted over a 43-month period in 414 adult, non-pregnant patients presenting consecutively following non-traumatic OHCA to the five units in our regional critical care network. Scores were generated for each model for where patients had complete data (CAHP = 347, MIRACLE2 = 375, OHCA = 356, TTM = 385). Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) outcome was calculated for each patient at last documented follow up and an unfavourable outcome defined as CPC ⩾ 3. Performance for discrimination of unfavourable outcome was tested by generating receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for each model and comparing the area under the curve (AUC). Best performance for discrimination of unfavourable outcome was demonstrated by the high risk group of the CAHP score with an AUC of 0.87 [95% CI 0.83-0.91], specificity of 97.1% [95% CI 93.8-100] and positive predictive value (PPV) of 96.3% [95% CI 92.2-100]. The high risk group of the MIRACLE2 model, which is significantly easier to calculate, had an AUC of 0.81 [95% CI 0.76-0.86], specificity of 92.3% [95% CI 87.2-97.4] and PPV of 95.2% [95% CI 91.9-98.4]. The CAHP, MIRACLE2, OHCA and TTM scores all perform comparably in a UK population to the original development and validation cohorts. All four scores outperform APACHE-II in a population of patients resuscitated from OHCA. CAHP and TTM perform best but are more complex to calculate than MIRACLE2, which displays inferior performance.

Hypothermia vs Normothermia in Patients With Cardiac Arrest and Nonshockable Rhythm

International guidelines recommend body temperature control below 37.8 °C in unconscious patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA); however, a target temperature of 33 °C might lead to better outcomes when the initial rhythm is nonshockable. To assess whether hypothermia at 33 °C increases survival and improves function when compared with controlled normothermia in unconscious adults resuscitated from OHCA with initial nonshockable rhythm. Individual patient data meta-analysis of 2 multicenter, randomized clinical trials (Targeted Normothermia after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest [TTM2; NCT02908308] and HYPERION [NCT01994772]) with blinded outcome assessors. Unconscious patients with OHCA and an initial nonshockable rhythm were eligible for the final analysis. The study cohorts had similar inclusion and exclusion criteria. Patients were randomized to hypothermia (target temperature 33 °C) or normothermia (target temperature 36.5 to 37.7 °C), according to different study protocols, for at least 24 hours. Additional analyses of mortality and unfavorable functional outcome were performed according to age, sex, initial rhythm, presence or absence of shock on admission, time to return of spontaneous circulation, lactate levels on admission, and the cardiac arrest hospital prognosis score. Only patients who experienced OHCA and had a nonshockable rhythm with all causes of cardiac arrest were included. Variables from the 2 studies were available from the original data sets and pooled into a unique database and analyzed. Clinical outcomes were harmonized into a single file, which was checked for accuracy of numbers, distributions, and categories. The last day of follow-up from arrest was recorded for each patient. Adjustment for primary outcome and functional outcome was performed using age, gender, time to return of spontaneous circulation, and bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation. The primary outcome was mortality at 3 months; secondary outcomes included unfavorable functional outcome at 3 to 6 months, defined as a Cerebral Performance Category score of 3 to 5. A total of 912 patients were included, 490 from the TTM2 trial and 422 from the HYPERION trial. Of those, 442 had been assigned to hypothermia (48.4%; mean age, 65.5 years; 287 males [64.9%]) and 470 to normothermia (51.6%; mean age, 65.6 years; 327 males [69.6%]); 571 patients had a first monitored rhythm of asystole (62.6%) and 503 a presumed noncardiac cause of arrest (55.2%). At 3 months, 354 of 442 patients in the hypothermia group (80.1%) and 386 of 470 patients in the normothermia group (82.1%) had died (relative risk [RR] with hypothermia, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.89-1.20; P = .63). On the last day of follow-up, 386 of 429 in the hypothermia group (90.0%) and 413 of 463 in the normothermia group (89.2%) had an unfavorable functional outcome (RR with hypothermia, 0.99; 95% CI, 0.87-1.15; P = .97). The association of hypothermia with death and functional outcome was consistent across the prespecified subgroups. In this individual patient data meta-analysis, including unconscious survivors from OHCA with an initial nonshockable rhythm, hypothermia at 33 °C did not significantly improve survival or functional outcome.

Dysnatremia at ICU admission and functional outcome of cardiac arrest: insights from four randomised controlled trials

PurposeTo evaluate the potential association between early dysnatremia and 6-month functional outcome after cardiac arrest.MethodsWe pooled data from four randomised clinical trials in post-cardiac-arrest patients admitted to the ICU with coma after stable return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC). Admission natremia was categorised as normal (135–145 mmol/L), low, or high. We analysed associations between natremia category and Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) 1 or 2 at 6 months, with and without adjustment on the modified Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis Score (mCAHP).ResultsWe included 1163 patients (581 from HYPERION, 352 from TTH48, 120 from COMACARE, and 110 from Xe-HYPOTHECA) with a mean age of 63 ± 13 years and a predominance of males (72.5%). A cardiac cause was identified in 63.6% of cases. Median time from collapse to ROSC was 20 [15–29] minutes. Overall, mean natremia on ICU admission was 137.5 ± 4.7 mmol/L; 211 (18.6%) and 31 (2.7%) patients had hyponatremia and hypernatremia, respectively. By univariate analysis, CPC 1 or 2 at 6 months was significantly less common in the group with hyponatremia (50/211 [24%] vs. 363/893 [41%]; P = 0.001); the mCAHP-adjusted odds ratio was 0.45 (95%CI 0.26–0.79, p = 0.005). The number of patients with hypernatremia was too small for a meaningful multivariable analysis.ConclusionsEarly hyponatremia was common in patients with ROSC after cardiac arrest and was associated with a poorer 6-month functional outcome. The mechanisms underlying this association remain to be elucidated in order to determine whether interventions targeting hyponatremia are worth investigating.Registration ClinicalTrial.gov, NCT01994772, November 2013, 21.

Comparison of four clinical risk scores in comatose patients after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest

Background and aimsSeveral different scoring systems for early risk stratification after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest have been developed, but few have been validated in large datasets. The aim of the present study was to compare the well-validated Out-of-hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) and Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP)-scores to the less complex MIRACLE2- and Target Temperature Management (TTM)-scores. MethodsThis was a post-hoc analysis of the Targeted Hypothermia versus Targeted Normothermia after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (TTM2) trial. Missing data were handled by multiple imputation. The primary outcome was discriminatory performance assessed as the area under the receiver operating characteristics-curve (AUROC), with the outcome of interest being poor functional outcome or death (modified Rankin Scale 4–6) at 6 months after OHCA. ResultsData on functional outcome at 6 months were available for 1829 cases, which constituted the study population. The pooled AUROC for the MIRACLE2-score was 0.810 (95% CI 0.790–0.828), 0.835 (95% CI 0.816–0.852) for the TTM-score, 0.820 (95% CI 0.800–0.839) for the CAHP-score and 0.770 (95% CI 0.748–0.791) for the OHCA-score. At the cut-offs needed to achieve specificities >95%, sensitivities were <40% for all four scoring systems. ConclusionsThe TTM-, MIRACLE2- and CAHP-scores are all capable of providing objective risk estimates accurate enough to be used as part of a holistic patient assessment after OHCA of a suspected cardiac origin. Due to its simplicity, the MIRACLE2-score could be a practical solution for both clinical application and risk stratification within trials.

Association between the Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) score and reason for death after successfully resuscitated cardiac arrest

Individualize treatment after cardiac arrest could potentiate future clinical trials selecting patients most likely to benefit from interventions. We assessed the Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) score for predicting reason for death to improve patient selection. Consecutive patients in two cardiac arrest databases were studied between 2007 and 2017. Reasons for death were categorised as refractory post-resuscitation shock (RPRS), hypoxic-ischaemic brain injury (HIBI) and other. We computed the CAHP score, which relies on age, location at OHCA, initial cardiac rhythm, no-flow and low-flow times, arterial pH, and epinephrine dose. We performed survival analyses using the Kaplan–Meier failure function and competing-risks regression. Of 1543 included patients, 987 (64%) died in the ICU, 447 (45%) from HIBI, 291 (30%) from RPRS, and 247 (25%) from other reasons. The proportion of deaths from RPRS increased with CAHP score deciles; the sub-hazard ratio for the tenth decile was 30.8 (9.8–96.5; p < 0.0001). The sub-hazard ratio of the CAHP score for predicting death from HIBI was below 5. Higher CAHP score values were associated with a higher proportion of deaths due to RPRS. This score may help to constitute uniform patient populations likely to benefit from interventions assessed in future randomised controlled trials.

External validation of the PROLOGUE score to predict neurological outcome in adult patients after cardiac arrest: a prospective cohort study

BackgroundThe PROLOGUE score (PROgnostication using LOGistic regression model for Unselected adult cardiac arrest patients in the Early stages) is a novel prognostic model for the prediction of neurological outcome after cardiac arrest, which showed exceptional performance in the internal validation. The aim of this study is to validate the PROLOGUE score in an independent cohort of unselected adult cardiac arrest patients and to compare it to the thoroughly validated Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) and Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) scores.MethodsThis study included consecutive adult cardiac arrest patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) of a Swiss tertiary teaching hospital between October 2012 and July 2022. The primary endpoint was poor neurological outcome at hospital discharge, defined as a Cerebral Performance Category (CPC) score of 3 to 5 including death.ResultsOf 687 patients included in the analysis, 321 (46.7%) survived to hospital discharge with good neurological outcome, 68 (9.9%) survived with poor neurological outcome and 298 (43.4%) died. The PROLOGUE score showed an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.83 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.86) and good calibration for the prediction of the primary outcome. The OHCA and CAHP score showed similar performance (AUROC 0.83 and 0.84 respectively), the differences between the three scores were not significant (p = 0.495). In a subgroup analysis, the PROLOGUE score performed equally in out-of-hospital and in-hospital cardiac arrest patients whereas the OHCA and CAHP score performed significantly better in OHCA patients.ConclusionThe PROLOGUE score showed good prognostic accuracy for the early prediction of neurological outcome in adult cardiac arrest survivors in our cohort and might support early goals-of-care discussions in the ICU.Trial registration Not applicable.

Combination of Cerebral Computed Tomography and Simplified Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (sCAHP) Score for Predicting Neurological Recovery in Cardiac Arrest Survivors

Background: Cerebral computed tomography (CT) and various severity scoring systems have been developed for the early prediction of the neurological outcomes of cardiac arrest survivors. However, few studies have combined these approaches. Therefore, we evaluated the value of the combination of cerebral CT and severity score for neuroprognostication. Methods: This single-center, retrospective observational study included consecutive patients surviving nontraumatic cardiac arrest (January 2016 and December 2020). Gray-to-white ratio (GWR), third and fourth ventricle characteristics, and medial temporal lobe atrophy scores were evaluated on noncontrast cerebral CT. Simplified cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (sCAHP) score was calculated for severity assessment. The associations between the CT characteristics, sCAHP score and neurological outcomes were analyzed. Results: This study enrolled 559 patients. Of them, 194 (34.7%) were discharged with favorable neurological outcomes. Patients with favorable neurological outcome had a higher GWR (1.37 vs 1.25, p &lt; 0.001), area of fourth ventricle (461 vs 413 mm2, p &lt; 0.001), anteroposterior diameter of fourth ventricle (0.95 vs 0.86 cm , p &lt; 0.001) and a lower sCAHP score (146 vs 190, p &lt; 0.001) than those with poor recovery. Patients with higher sCAHP score had lower GWR (p trend &lt; 0.001), area of fourth ventricle (p trend = 0.019) and anteroposterior diameter of fourth ventricle (p trend = 0.014). The predictive ability by using area under receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for the combination of sCAHP score and GWR was significantly higher than that calculated for sCAHP (0.86 vs 0.76, p &lt; 0.001) or GWR (0.86 vs 0.81, p = 0.001) alone. Conclusions: The combination of GWR and sCAHP score can be used to effectively predict the neurological outcomes of cardiac arrest survivors and thus ensure timely intervention for those at high risk of poor recovery.

Predicting neurological outcome in adult patients with cardiac arrest: systematic review and meta-analysis of prediction model performance

This work aims to assess the performance of two post-arrest (out-of-hospital cardiac arrest, OHCA, and cardiac arrest hospital prognosis, CAHP) and one pre-arrest (good outcome following attempted resuscitation, GO-FAR) prediction model for the prognostication of neurological outcome after cardiac arrest in a systematic review and meta-analysis. A systematic search was conducted in Embase, Medline, and Web of Science Core Collection from November 2006 to December 2021, and by forward citation tracking of key score publications. The search identified 1′021 records, of which 25 studies with a total of 124′168 patients were included in the review. A random-effects meta-analysis of C-statistics and overall calibration (total observed vs. expected [O:E] ratio) was conducted. Discriminatory performance was good for the OHCA (summary C-statistic: 0.83 [95% CI 0.81–0.85], 16 cohorts) and CAHP score (summary C-statistic: 0.84 [95% CI 0.82–0.87], 14 cohorts) and acceptable for the GO-FAR score (summary C-statistic: 0.78 [95% CI 0.72–0.84], five cohorts). Overall calibration was good for the OHCA (total O:E ratio: 0.78 [95% CI 0.67–0.92], nine cohorts) and the CAHP score (total O:E ratio: 0.78 [95% CI 0.72–0.84], nine cohorts) with an overestimation of poor outcome. Overall calibration of the GO-FAR score was poor with an underestimation of good outcome (total O:E ratio: 1.62 [95% CI 1.28–2.04], five cohorts). Two post-arrest scores showed good prognostic accuracy for predicting neurological outcome after cardiac arrest and may support early discussions about goals-of-care and therapeutic planning on the intensive care unit. A pre-arrest score showed acceptable prognostic accuracy and may support code status discussions.Graphical

Differential Effect of Targeted Temperature Management Between 32 °C and 36 °C Following Cardiac Arrest According to Initial Severity of Illness: Insights From Two International Data Sets

Recent guidelines have emphasized actively avoiding fever to improve outcomes in patients who are comatose following resuscitation from cardiac arrest (ie, out-of-hospital cardiac arrest). However, whether targeted temperature management between 32 °C and 36 °C (TTM32-36) can improve neurologic outcome in some patients remains debated. Is there an association between the use of TTM32-36 and outcome according to severity assessed at ICU admission using a previously derived risk score? Data prospectively collected in the Sudden Death Expertise Center (SDEC) registry (France) between May 2011 and December 2017 and in the Resuscitation Outcomes Consortium Continuous Chest Compressions (ROC-CCC) trial (United States and Canada) between June 2011 and May 2015 were used for this study. Severity at ICU admission was assessed through a modified version of the Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (mCAHP) score, divided into tertiles of severity. The study explored associations between TTM32-36 and favorable neurologic status at hospital discharge by using multiple logistic regression as well as in tertiles of severity for each data set. A total of 2,723 patients were analyzed in the SDEC data set and 4,202 patients in the ROC-CCC data set. A favorable neurologic status at hospital discharge occurred in 728 (27%) patients in the French data set and in 1,239 (29%) patients in the North American data set. Among the French data set, TTM32-36 was independently associated with better neurologic outcome in the tertile of patients with low (adjusted OR, 1.63; 95%CI, 1.15-2.30; P= .006) and high (adjusted OR, 1.94; 95%CI, 1.06-3.54; P= .030) severity according to mCAHP at ICU admission. Similar results were observed in the North American data set (adjusted ORs of 1.36 [95%CI, 1.05-1.75; P= .020] and 2.42 [95%CI, 1.38-4.24; P= .002], respectively). No association was observed between TTM32-36 and outcome in the moderate groups of the two data sets. TTM32-36 was significantly associated with a better outcome in patients with low and high severity at ICU admission assessed according to the mCAHP score. Further studies are needed to evaluate individualized temperature control following out-of-hospital cardiac arrest.

Ion Shift Index at the Immediate Post-Cardiac Arrest Period as an Early Prognostic Marker in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors.

The ion shift index (ISI) is a suggested marker to reflect the magnitude of ischemic damage. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the ISI for predicting poor neurological outcomes at 6 months in comatose out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) survivors by comparing it with the OHCA and Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) scores. This observational registry-based cohort study included adult comatose OHCA survivors admitted to a tertiary care hospital in Korea between 2015 and 2021. The ISI was calculated using the serum electrolyte levels obtained within one hour of resuscitation. The primary outcome was poor neurological function (Cerebral Performance Category score of 3–5) at 6 months. Of the 250 OHCA survivors, 164 (65.6%) had poor neurological outcomes. These patients had a higher median ISI than those with good neurological outcomes (4.95 vs. 3.26, p < 0.001). ISI (adjusted odds ratio, 2.107; 95% confidence interval, 1.350–3.288, p = 0.001) was associated with poor neurological outcomes. The prognostic performance of ISI (area under the curve [AUC], 0.859) was similar to that of the OHCA score (AUC, 0.858; p = 0.968) and the CAHP score (AUC, 0.894; p = 0.183). ISI would be a prognostic biomarker for comatose OHCA survivors that is available during the immediate post-cardiac arrest period.

Comparison of different clinical risk scores to predict long-term survival and neurological outcome in adults after cardiac arrest: results from a prospective cohort study

BackgroundSeveral scoring systems have been used to predict short-term outcome in patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA), including the disease-specific OHCA and CAHP (Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis) scores, as well as the general severity-of-illness scores Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) and Simplified Acute Physiology Score II (SAPS II). This study aimed to assess the prognostic performance of these four scores to predict long-term outcomes (≥ 2 years) in adult cardiac arrest patients.MethodsThis is a prospective single-centre cohort study including consecutive cardiac arrest patients admitted to intensive care in a Swiss tertiary academic medical centre. The primary endpoint was 2-year mortality. Secondary endpoints were neurological outcome at 2 years post-arrest assessed by Cerebral Performance Category with CPC 1–2 defined as good and CPC 3–5 as poor neurological outcome, and 6-year mortality.ResultsIn 415 patients admitted to intensive care, the 2-year mortality was 58.1%, with 96.7% of survivors showing good neurological outcome. The 6-year mortality was 82.5%. All four scores showed good discriminatory performance for 2-year mortality, with areas under the receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) of 0.82, 0.87, 0.83 and 0.81 for the OHCA, CAHP, APACHE II and SAPS II scores. The results were similar for poor neurological outcome at 2 years and 6-year mortality.ConclusionThis study suggests that two established cardiac arrest-specific scores and two severity-of-illness scores provide good prognostic value to predict long-term outcome after cardiac arrest and thus may help in early goals-of-care discussions.

External validation of cardiac arrest-specific prognostication scores developed for early prognosis estimation after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest in a Korean multicenter cohort

We evaluated the performance of cardiac arrest-specific prognostication scores developed for outcome prediction in the early hours after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) in predicting long-term outcomes using independent data. The following scores were calculated for 1,163 OHCA patients who were treated with targeted temperature management (TTM) at 21 hospitals in South Korea: OHCA, cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP), C-GRApH (named on the basis of its variables), TTM risk, 5-R, NULL-PLEASE (named on the basis of its variables), Serbian quality of life long-term (SR-QOLl), cardiac arrest survival, revised post-cardiac arrest syndrome for therapeutic hypothermia (rCAST), Polish hypothermia registry (PHR) risk, and PROgnostication using LOGistic regression model for Unselected adult cardiac arrest patients in the Early stages (PROLOGUE) scores and prediction score by Aschauer et al. Their accuracies in predicting poor outcome at 6 months after OHCA were determined using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration belt. In the complete-case analyses, the PROLOGUE score showed the highest AUC (0.923; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.904-0.941), whereas the SR-QOLl score had the lowest AUC (0.749; 95% CI, 0.711-0.786). The discrimination performances were similar in the analyses after multiple imputation. The PROLOGUE, TTM risk, CAHP, NULL-PLEASE, 5-R, and cardiac arrest survival scores were well calibrated. The rCAST and PHR risk scores showed acceptable overall calibration, although they showed miscalibration under the 80% CI level at extreme prediction values. The OHCA score, C-GRApH score, prediction score by Aschauer et al., and SR-QOLl score showed significant miscalibration in both complete-case (P = 0.026, 0.013, 0.005, and < 0.001, respectively) and multiple-imputation analyses (P = 0.007, 0.018, < 0.001, and < 0.001, respectively). In conclusion, the discrimination performances of the prognostication scores were all acceptable, but some showed significant miscalibration.

Clinical Validation of Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) Score and MIRACLE2 Score to Predict Neurologic Outcomes after Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest.

Background. Out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) remains a challenge for emergency physicians, given the poor prognosis. In 2020, MIRACLE2, a new and easier to apply score, was established to predict the neurological outcome of OHCA. Objective. The aim of this study is to compare the discrimination of MIRACLE2 score with cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP) score for OHCA neurologic outcomes. Methods. This retrospective cohort study was conducted between January 2015 and December 2019. Adult patients (>17 years) with cardiac arrest who were brought to the hospital by an emergency medical service crew were included. Deaths due to trauma, burn, drowning, resuscitation not initiated due to pre-ordered “do not resuscitate” orders, and patients who did not achieve return of spontaneous circulation were excluded. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis with Youden Index was performed to calculate optimal cut-off values for both scores. Results. Overall, 200 adult OHCA cases were analyzed. The threshold of the MIRACLE2 score for favorable neurologic outcomes was 5.5, with an area under the curve (AUC) value of 0.70 (0.61–0.80, p < 0.001); the threshold of the CAHP score was 223.4, with an AUC of 0.77 (0.68–0.86, p < 0.001). On setting the MIRACLE2 score cut-off value, we documented 64.7% sensitivity (95% confidence interval [CI], 56.9–71.9%), 66.7.0% specificity (95% CI, 48.2–82.0%), 90.8% positive predictive value (PPV; 95% CI, 85.6–94.2%), and 27.2% negative predictive value (NPV; 95% CI, 21.4–33.9%). On establishing a CAHP cut-off value, we observed 68.2% sensitivity (95% CI, 60.2–75.5%), 80.6% specificity (95% CI, 62.5–92.6%), 94.6% PPV (95% CI, 88.6%–98.0%), and 33.8% NPV (95% CI, 23.2–45.7%) for unfavorable neurologic outcomes. Conclusions. The CAHP score demonstrated better discrimination than the MIRACLE2 score, affording superior sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV; however, the CAHP score remains relatively difficult to apply. Further studies are warranted to establish scores with better discrimination and ease of application.

Targeted Temperature Management After In-Hospital Cardiac Arrest: An Ancillary Analysis of Targeted Temperature Management for Cardiac Arrest With Nonshockable Rhythm Trial Data

Targeted temperature management (TTM) currently is the only treatment with demonstrated efficacy in attenuating the harmful effects on the brain of ischemia-reperfusion injury after cardiac arrest. However, whether TTM is beneficial in the subset of patients with in-hospital cardiac arrest (IHCA) remains unclear. Is TTM at 33 °C associated with better neurological outcomes after IHCA in a nonshockable rhythm compared with targeted normothermia (TN; 37 °C)? We performed a post hoc analysis of data from the published Targeted Temperature Management for Cardiac Arrest with Nonshockable Rhythm randomized controlled trial in 584 patients. We included the 159 patients with IHCA; 73 were randomized to 33 °C treatment and 86 were randomized to 37 °C treatment. The primary outcome was survival with a good neurologic outcome (cerebral performance category [CPC] score of 1 or 2) on day 90. Mixed multivariate adjusted logistic regression analysis was performed to determine whether survival with CPC score of 1 or 2 on day 90 was associated with type of temperature management after adjustment on baseline characteristics not balanced by randomization. Compared with TN for 48 h, hypothermia at 33 °C for 24h was associated with a higher percentage of patients who were alive with good neurologic outcomes on day 90 (16.4%vs5.8%; P= .03). Day 90 mortality was not significantly different between the two groups (68.5%vs76.7%; P= .24). By mixed multivariate analysis adjusted by Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis score and circulatory shock status, hypothermia was associated significantly with good day 90 neurologic outcomes (OR, 2.40 [95%CI, 1.17-13.03]; P= .03). Hypothermia at 33 °C was associated with better day 90 neurologic outcomes after IHCA in a nonshockable rhythm compared with TN. However, the limited sample size resulted in wide CIs. Further studies of patients after cardiac arrest resulting from any cause, including IHCA, are needed.

Simultaneous external validation of various cardiac arrest prognostic scores: a single-center retrospective study

BackgroundThis study aimed to compare and validate the out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA); cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP); non-shockable rhythm, unwitnessed arrest, long no-flow or long low-flow period, blood pH < 7.2, lactate > 7.0 mmol/L, end-stage chronic kidney disease, age ≥ 85 years, still resuscitation, and extracardiac cause (NULL-PLEASE) clinical; post-cardiac arrest syndrome for therapeutic hypothermia (CAST); and revised CAST (rCAST) scores in OHCA patients treated with recent cardiopulmonary resuscitation strategies.MethodsWe retrospectively collected data on adult OHCA patients admitted to our emergency department between February 2015 and July 2018. OHCA, CAHP, NULL-PLEASE clinical, CAST, and rCAST scores were calculated based on the data collected. The predictive abilities of each score were tested using the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.ResultsWe identified 236 OHCA patients from computer-based medical records and analyzed 189 without missing data. In OHCA patients without bystander witnesses, CAHP and OHCA scores were not calculated. Although the predictive abilities of the scores were not significantly different, the NULL-PLEASE score had a large AUC of ROC curve in various OHCA patients. Furthermore, in patients with bystander-witnessed OHCA, the NULL-PLEASE score had large partial AUCs of ROC from sensitivity 0.8–1.0 and specificity 0.8–1.0.ConclusionsThe NULL-PLEASE score had a high, comprehensive predictive ability in various OHCA patients. Furthermore, the NULL-PLEASE score had a high predictive ability for good and poor neurological outcomes in patients with bystander-witnessed OHCA.

Outcomes With Early Cardiac Catheterization in Out of Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors and Utility of a Prognostic Scoring System.

ObjectivesA retrospective study in patients presenting out of hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) to assess the impact of early cardiac catheterization on survival and cerebral performance category (CPC) on discharge.BackgroundThe role of early coronary angiography in OHCA patients remains controversial. The cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP) scoring system has not been validated in the US population.MethodsInclusion criteria were OHCA patients with a sustained return of spontaneous circulation (ROSC), presumed cardiac cause of arrest, and elements to calculate CAHP score. We compared in-hospital mortality rates and final inpatient CPC in patients who underwent early cardiac catheterization to those with delayed or no cardiac catheterization. We assessed the performance of the CAHP score in the entire OHCA population using receiver-operator curve (ROC) analysis.ResultsA hundred and fifty-eight patients were included, of which 39 underwent early cardiac catheterization. The mortality rate of the early catheterization group was lower than the delayed or no catheterization group (41% vs 61.3%, p=0.02); the Early cardiac catheterization group had more favorable final hospital CPC scores overall (53.8% vs 24.3%, p<0.001). However, when risk-adjusted, there was no benefit in early catheterization for mortality or CPC level in any of the CAHP score subgroups. CAHP scores showed good discrimination with c-statistics of 0.85 for mortality and 0.90 for the CPC category.ConclusionEarly use of cardiac catheterization in OHCA patients with sustained ROSC was not associated with lower mortality rates or higher rates of favorable neurologic recovery when adjusted for baseline risk factors in each of the different CAHP score-based sub-groups. This was despite a higher proportion of patients with STEMI in the early catheterization group. We demonstrated a good fit between observed outcomes and outcomes predicted by the CAHP scoring system.

External validation of simplified out-of-hospital cardiac arrest and cardiac arrest hospital prognosis scores in a Japanese population: a multicentre retrospective cohort study

BackgroundThe novel simplified out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (sOHCA) and simplified cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (sCAHP) scores used for prognostication of hospitalised patients have not been externally validated. Therefore, this study aimed...

Effects of Propofol on Hemodynamic Profile in Adults Receiving Targeted Temperature Management.

Background: Propofol is a key component for the management of sedation and shivering during targeted temperature management (TTM) following cardiac arrest. The cardiac depressant effects of propofol have not been described during TTM and may be especially relevant given the stress to the myocardium following cardiac arrest. The purpose of this study is to describe hemodynamic changes associated with propofol administration during TTM. Methods: This single center, retrospective cohort study evaluated adult patients who received a propofol infusion for at least 30 minutes during TTM. The primary outcome was the change in cardiovascular Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (cvSOFA) score 30 minutes after propofol initiation. Secondary outcomes included change in systolic blood pressure (SBP), mean arterial pressure (MAP), heart rate (HR), and vasopressor requirements (VR) expressed as norepinephrine equivalents at 30, 60, 120, 180, and 240 minutes after propofol initiation. A multivariate regression was performed to assess the influence of propofol and body temperature on MAP, while controlling for vasopressor dose and cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP) score. Results: The cohort included 40 patients with a median CAHP score of 197. The goal temperature of 33°C was achieved for all patients. The median cvSOFA score was 1 at baseline and 0.5 at 30 minutes, with a non-significant change after propofol initiation (P = .96). SBP and MAP reductions were the greatest at 60 minutes (17 and 8 mmHg; P < .05 for both). The median change in HR at 120 minutes was -9 beats/minute from baseline. This reduction was sustained through 240 minutes (P < .05). No change in VR were seen at any time point. In multivariate regression, body temperature was the only characteristic independently associated with changes in MAP (coefficient 4.95, 95% CI 1.6-8.3). Conclusion: Administration of propofol during TTM did not affect cvSOFA score. The reductions in SBP, MAP, and HR did not have a corresponding change in vasopressor requirements and are likely not clinically meaningful. Propofol appears to be a safe choice for sedation in patients receiving targeted temperature management after cardiac arrest.

Using Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest (OHCA) and Cardiac Arrest Hospital Prognosis (CAHP) Scores with Modified Objective Data to Improve Neurological Prognostic Performance for Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest Survivors.

This study aimed to determine whether accuracy and sensitivity concerning neurological prognostic performance increased for survivors of out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) treated with targeted temperature management (TTM), using OHCA and cardiac arrest hospital prognosis (CAHP) scores and modified objective variables. We retrospectively analyzed non-traumatic OHCA survivors treated with TTM. The primary outcome was poor neurological outcome at 3 months after return of spontaneous circulation (cerebral performance category, 3–5). We compared neurological prognostic performance using existing models after adding objective data obtained before TTM from computed tomography (CT), magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), and biomarkers to replace the no-flow time component of the OHCA and CAHP models. Among 106 patients, 61 (57.5%) had poor neurologic outcomes. The area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve for the OHCA and CAHP models was 0.89 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.81–0.94) and 0.90 (95% CI 0.82–0.95), respectively. The prediction of poor neurological outcome improved after replacing no-flow time with a grey/white matter ratio measured using CT, high-signal intensity (HSI) on diffusion-weighted MRI (DWI), percentage of voxel using apparent diffusion coefficient value, and serum neuron-specific enolase levels. When replaced with HSI on DWI, the AUROC and sensitivity of the OHCA and CAHP models were 0.96 and 74.5% and 0.97 and 83.8%, respectively (100% specificity). Prognoses concerning neurologic outcomes improved compared with existing OHCA and CAHP models by adding new objective variables to replace no-flow time. External validation is required to generalize these results in various contexts.