Carbon Sequestration Services Research Articles

Spatial-temporal Change and Driving Force of Carbon Storage in Three-River-Source National Park Based on PLUS-InVEST-Geodector Model

Exploring the spatial-temporal changes, driving forces, and future development tendency of the carbon sequestration service function of the Three-River-Source National Park ecosystem has great significance for regional ecological protection and sustainable development. Historical land-use data of Three-River-Source National Park from 1990 to 2020 were selected at five-year intervals, and based on the PLUS-InVEST-Geodector model, the spatial-temporal changes of historical carbon storage were analyzed, and the driving forces of spatial-temporal variation were explored combined with multiple factors. The carbon storage of Three-River-Source National Park in 2030 was predicted under the scenarios of natural development and ecological protection. The results showed that： ① The carbon storage of Three-River-Source National Park showed a fluctuating characteristic of increase-decrease-increase-decrease from 1990 to 2020, the carbon storage was increased by 41.85×106 t overall, and the grassland took the largest contribution. ② The spatial distribution characteristics of carbon storage in Three-River-Source National Park had little change between 1990 to 2020, and the evolution of the spatial distribution was relatively stable. The contribution ratio of the Yangtze River source park, Lancang River source park, and Yellow River source park was 7∶1∶2, which was roughly equivalent to the park area. ③ The major driving factors of the spatial-temporal variation of carbon storage in Three-River-Source National Park from 1990 to 2020 were： FVC, soil type, and annual precipitation. The interactive detection of each driving factor showed dual-factor enhancement and nonlinear enhancement. ④ The carbon storage of Three-River-Source National Park was predicted to decrease by 4.87% and 3.98% from 2020 to 2030 under the scenarios of natural development and ecological protection, respectively, and the carbon storage reduction under the ecological protection scenario had a significant inhibitory effect. The findings can provide data support for national spatial planning of Three-River-Source National Park and the enhancement of terrestrial ecosystem carbon storage.

Incorporating embodied carbon transfer and sequestration service flows into regional carbon neutrality assessment in China

Reliable and effective carbon neutrality assessments are crucial prerequisites for implementing various low-carbon policies and achieving carbon neutrality goals. Although the impact of embodied carbon transfer and carbon sequestration service flows on regional carbon neutrality is becoming increasingly significant, these factors are not effectively incorporated into current carbon neutrality assessments. Based on a thorough review of the literature and theoretical analysis, this study attempts to construct a regional carbon neutrality assessment framework that incorporates embodied carbon transfer and carbon sequestration service flows. This framework is then applied to assess carbon neutrality and its influencing factors in China's provinces. Our findings reveal that carbon emissions and sequestration capacities have increased across Chinese provinces, with the highest emissions in North and East China, and the highest sequestration in Southwest China. Economically developed provinces like Beijing, Zhejiang, and Jiangsu transfer substantial embodied carbon to provinces such as Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, and Hebei, while Guangxi, Sichuan, Yunnan, and Qinghai are major providers of carbon sequestration services. Carbon neutrality levels in Chinese provinces show a ring-shaped distribution, increasing from the inner to outer rings. Higher levels are found in Southwest and Northwest provinces (e.g., Yunnan, Qinghai, Guangxi), and lower levels in North and East provinces (e.g., Shanxi, Beijing, Zhejiang). Factors like urbanization rate, population density, per capita GDP, and energy consumption structure negatively impact carbon neutrality levels, whereas ecological land area and annual precipitation have positive impacts. In summary, incorporating embodied carbon transfer and carbon sequestration service flows into the regional carbon neutrality assessment framework facilitates a more comprehensive analysis of regional carbon neutrality levels and their influencing factors. This approach broadens the theoretical and methodological scope of regional carbon neutrality assessments and provides scientific references for the implementation of low-carbon policies and the advancement of carbon neutrality goals.

Unraveling the complex interconnections between food-energy-water nexus sustainability and the supply-demand of related ecosystem services

Matching the supply and demand of related ecosystem services can be an effective way to realize long-term sustainable management of the food-energy-water nexus (FEW Nexus) in drylands. However, few studies have focused on the matching of supply and demand for ecosystem services associated with advancing the sustainability of FEW-Nexus, there is limited research in this domain, which lacks systematic and quantitative analysis of the relationship between them and FEW Nexus sustainability. Here, this research takes the West Liaohe River Basin in the arid region of China as a case study. Based on a localized FEW Nexus sustainability evaluation index system, the FEW Nexus sustainability and the supply-demand matching characteristics of the corresponding ecosystem services in the West Liaohe River Basin from 2005 to 2015 were assessed. The relationship between them was analyzed quantitatively through the methods of coupling coordination degree and geographical detector. The results showed a synergistic improvement in both FEW Nexus sustainability and the supply-demand situation of combined ecosystem services. The supply of food production and water yield were able to meet their demands adequately from 2005 to 2015, with a strengthening surplus, leading to an overall surplus and gradual improvement in the integrated ecosystem services. This surplus synergistically promoted the process of FEW Nexus sustainability. The results of the geographical detector indicate that the supply-demand ratio of carbon sequestration was the main factor influencing FEW Nexus sustainability. Areas with higher FEW Nexus sustainability tended to have larger deficits in carbon sequestration, which was more evident in areas with high levels of urbanization. Therefore, the key to enhancing FEW Nexus sustainability in the basin is to balance the supply of and demand for carbon sequestration services. Overall, the present study not only provides a basis for strengthening the management of the supply-demand of ecosystem services associated with FEW to achieve regional sustainable development, but also offers insights into how the growing demand for the FEW Nexus is exerting pressure on the balance between supply and demand of related ecosystem services.

Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Ecosystem Services and Driving Factors in Northeast China

Northeast China is an important ecological barrier in China, and an in-depth understanding of the spatial distribution in ecosystem services （ESs）, and the driving factors is crucial for realizing the subsequent management and protection of ESs. In the study, we quantitatively assessed the characteristics of spatial distribution in ESs in Northeastern China using the InVEST, RWEQ, and RUSLE models and identified the driving factors of ESs spatial distribution in conjunction with the geodetector based on meteorological data, remote sensing data, and socio-economic data. The results showed that the spatial distribution of ESs in Northeast China had obvious spatial heterogeneity. The high values of habitat quality （HQ）, carbon sequestration （CS） services, and soil conservation （SC） services were mainly distributed in the northern part of the four eastern leagues of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region, the northern part of Heilongjiang Province, and the eastern part of Northeast China, which were high in fraction vegetation cover, and low values were mainly found in southwestern and eastern Heilongjiang Province, western Jilin Province, and western Liaoning Province. The high values of the water yield （WY） service and wind prevention and sand fixation （WPSF） service were distributed in the east of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region and the east of Liaoning Province. The high values of WY services and WPSF services were distributed in the eastern part of Northeast China and the four eastern provinces of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region. According to the geodetector results, slope had the strongest explanatory power for the spatial distribution of SC services with a q-value of 0.31, land use/cover change had the strongest explanatory power for the spatial distribution of HQ and CS services with q-values of 0.64 and 0.52, respectively, and fraction vegetation coverage and annual precipitation had the strongest explanatory power for the spatial distribution of WPSF and WY services with q-values of 0.24 and 0.64, respectively, and there were interactions among all the driving factors. The spatial distribution of ESs in Northeast China was mainly influenced by natural factors. The results will provide a scientific basis for subsequent management and enhancement of ESs in Northeast China.

Simulation of Urban Carbon Sequestration Service Flows and the Sustainability of Service Supply and Demand

Simulating ecosystem carbon sequestration service (ECSS) flows is crucial for optimizing the carbon cycle in ecosystems and achieving sustainable balance between the supply and demand of the ECSS. This study integrates least-cost path analysis with Kriging interpolation to simulate the dominant wind direction and corrects the interpolated wind speeds to account for terrain and surface conditions. Carbon emissions are spatially distributed using points of interest and road network data. Ultimately, by traversing the carbon emission rate grids along wind directions, the ECSS flows are simulated. The results reveal that the study area has a small carbon sink area but a high total carbon emission, leading to a situation where the supply of ECSS is insufficient to meet demand. The ECSS flows, based on the simulated wind field, demonstrate high spatial resolution and highlight the service flow corridors with distinct spatial heterogeneity. The study area has a significant carbon surplus, requiring a forest area ten times larger than the study area itself to fully sequester this carbon. These findings provide valuable insights for urban sustainable development and carbon emission reduction strategies.

Value assessment of carbon sequestration in generalized black soil distribution area of Amur River Basin, China

ABSTRACT In recent years, the understanding and resolution of imbalances in ecosystem carbon sequestration services (ECSS) have increasingly relied on robust data quantification and value-accounting mechanisms. Based on the interpretation of primary data, including surface vegetation, 30 cm soil cover, and hydrological information of the Amur River Basin, a carbon sequestration evaluation framework centered on the black soil belt of the river basin (BSBB) was constructed. The results showed that: (1) The annual average carbon sequestration of the BSBB from 2000 to 2019 is estimated to be 12.41 Gt C, with an expected economic value of approximately 607.61 billion yuan (China Yuan, CNY); (2) Daxinganling (DXAL, 3.26 Gt), Heihe (HH, 2.72 Gt) and Mudanjiang (MDJ, 1.81 Gt) were the three sub-regions with the highest annual carbon sequestration service, respectively, and the overall carbon density center has shifted from the south to the north within a decade; (3) The results from the geographic detector and partial correlation analysis showed that the forest area (q = 0.97, r = 0.4) and non-cultivated black soil area (q = 0.96, r = 0.97) were both clear driving factors and strong driving relationships. An increase in the forest area of the BSBB is conducive to upgrading the ECSS. This study helps promote the implementation of a carbon sink balance strategy on a global scale, provides theoretical support for future black soil resource management based on trade-offs and synergies, and provides a dual perspective for balancing ecological environmental protection with social and economic development.

Anthropogenic activities have accelerated the restoration of carbon sequestration services in the upper Yellow River

Carbon sequestration services stemming from ecosystems facilitate the absorption of CO2 and mitigation of greenhouse effects. Thus, investigating the spatiotemporal changes of carbon sequestration services and their response patterns to human activities is essential in relation to achieving the strategic carbon peak and carbon neutrality (“double carbon”) goal in a region. In this study, the spatiotemporal carbon sequestration patterns in the upper reaches of the Yellow River from 1985 to 2020 were assessed based on measured sample points and spatial modeling combined with multi-source remote sensing data. Specifically, the impacts of human activities on the carbon sequestration services in the area were quantitatively analyzed. The results showed that, for the past 35 years, carbon sequestration in the upper reaches of the Yellow River ranged from 80.09 Tg to 98.48 Tg, with lower levels in the northeast and southwest, and higher ones in the northwest and southeast. From 1985 to 1998, carbon sequestration in the upper reaches of the Yellow River was mainly affected by the natural climate and showed a fluctuating upward trend. From 1998 to 2001, carbon sequestration declined sharply due to the influence of human activities and the natural climate, whereas it showed a significant increasing trend from 2001 to 2020, affected by the combined effects of ecological engineering and climate change. In 1998–2001, the degree of human influence was −5.92% to approximately −11.68%, and from 2001 to 2020, it was approximately 2.32% to 6.78%. This study shows that while human social development can negatively affect the carbon sequestration services of ecosystems, ecological engineering can accelerate its recovery, recovery trends and recovery endpoints are constrained by natural factors.

Role of Mangroves as Fishery Resource: A Systematic Review

Mangroves are valuable for their fishery resources, coastline stabilization abilities, water quality and clarity benefits, provision of habitat to economically profitable and ecologically important species, carbon sequestration services, and climate regulation capabilities. For centuries, mangroves have contributed significantly to the socioeconomic lives of coastal dwellers; especially in coastal fishery by providing nursery grounds for finfishes. Fishery resource services provided by mangrove ecosystem play an important role as the habitat, nursery ground, feeding ground, and spawning ground for various marine fish species. Despite their enormous socio-economic value and ecological significance, mangrove ecosystems are under severe threat such as large scale clearing, small scale harvesting and grazing, and industrial threats. The productivity of mangrove ecosystems has been linked to the well-being of valuable fisheries because of the role mangroves play as nursery habitat for a variety of marine and estuarine species. Many species of mangrove-related fish and crab have served the coastal communities as a natural, cheap and balanced nutritional source. Mangroves provide vital ecosystem services to coastal fishing communities through the enhancement of fisheries production. Due to their economic and ecologic significance, it is important to look to the future of these systems in the face of ‘fishery resource’ so that policy makers may act quickly to preserve and protect these ecosystems. Present review provides recent information on role of mangroves as fishery resource by studying the updated published literature and the threats faced by the mangroves. It is suggested that strategies should be prepared and rigorously implemented for the conservation and restoration of mangrove ecosystem.

Quantitative identification on spatial mismatch characteristics between supply and demand of carbon sequestration services

Exploring the mismatch between supply and demand (SD) for carbon sequestration services (CSS) is essential for achieving the "double carbon" goal. However, more studies are needed on the traits of the spatial mismatch between SD in mountainous cities. We used the CASA model and the IPCC emission factor approach to address this issue and quantify the SD of CSS in Chongqing. Second, we established a matching relationship model for the SD of CSS in Chongqing. Finally, we applied the Structural Equation Model with the Partial Dependence Plots model to reveal the influencing factors and internal mechanisms of spatial mismatch between the SD of CSS in Chongqing. The outcomes confirmed a decrease in fashion in the total supply of CSS in Chongqing and growth in fashion in general demand from 2000 to 2020. The SD mismatch was mainly concentrated inside the central city and other built-up areas. The SD mismatch area had increased by 390%, indicating a continuous upward trend. In exploring the factors influencing the mismatch between the SD of CSS in Chongqing, supply is mainly positively influenced by NDVI, and demand and supply-demand relationships are influenced by population density and LUCC. We proposed policy suggestions to alleviate the spatial mismatch and practical significance for achieving the "double carbon" goal and promoting sustainable development.

Land consolidation of dryland-to-paddy conversion in China: Analysis of spatial patterns, impacts on cropland ecosystem services, and adaptive management strategies

Irrigation agriculture has become integral to global food production because it drastically improves productivity. Land use pattern conversion significantly influences cropland water use, the soil environment, management practices, and ecosystem services (ESs). Studies on adaptive management strategies of land consolidation of dryland-to-paddy conversion (LC-DtPC) and their effects on ESs are scarce. Therefore, this study analyzed the evolutionary spatial pattern characteristics of LC-DtPC in China over the past 20 years, assessed the overall ESs gains or losses in the LC-DtPC areas, simulated the spatial patterns of LC-DtPC under different scenarios, and explored the adaptive management strategies of LC-DtPC. The results revealed that in the past 20 years, the LC-DtPC area reached 129,700 km2, accounting for 7.31% of the cultivated land area in 2020, was concentrated in China's southern and eastern regions, especially the Northeast Plain, Sichuan Basin, and surrounding areas. In the LC-DtPC zones, there were significant tradeoffs and synergistic relationships between the ESs. The food supply, water yield, and soil conservation services were promoted, while the carbon sequestration services were inhibited. Specifically, the former increased by 3787.55 × 104 t, 1329.55 × 104 m3, and 141.69 × 104 t respectively, while the latter decreased by 814.39 × 104 t. While the simulated spatial patterns of LC-DtPC varied under different scenarios, they were always concentrated in China's northeastern and southern regions. The balanced development scenario of agricultural production and ecological protection has the best long-term ecological effect, with differentiated adaptive management strategies for LC-DtPC (planning, implementing, monitoring, and evaluating). This study will fill a gap in ecosystem services of LC-DtPC, the results are instrumental in the sustainable utilization of cropland resources and regional sustainable development.

Coupling management ecosystem service supply-supply trade-offs and supply–demand trade-offs: Framework and practice

Ecosystem services (ESs) are the bridge between ecosystem and social system, and how to effectively manage different types of ES trade-offs is the key barrier to ensure that ecosystems provide sustainable benefits for human beings. The objective of this study is to propose a theoretical and methodological framework for the coupled management of ES supply-supply trade-offs and demand-demand trade-offs and to propose an ES trade-offs management scheme for the study area (Jiangxi Province) according to this framework. In this study, we evaluated the provision of ES and the intensity of two types of ES trade-offs in the study area through InVest model, and explored the driving mechanism of the two types of ES trade-offs through redundancy analysis. Finally, we proposed a land use structure in the study area that alleviates the intensity of both types of ES trade-offs through multi-objective nonlinear programming. The results showed that: (1) the water yield service supply in Jiangxi Province showed a pattern of high in the north and low in the south, and the carbon sequestration service supply showed a pattern of high in the south and low in the north. (2) The supply-supply trade-off intensity of two ES is generally low in the north and high in the south, and the supply–demand trade-off intensity of water yield service and carbon sequestration service is basically high in the densely populated area in the north of Jiangxi. (3) Forestland area, farmland area and water area are the supply–demand trade-off driving forces of water yield service and carbon sequestration service, grassland area is an independent driving force of carbon sequestration service, and farmland area and cultivated land area are the supply-supply trade-off driving forces. The study shows that in order to achieve the lowest supply-supply trade-off intensity and supply–demand trade-off intensity in Jiangxi Province at the same time, the forestland should reach at least 104470 km2, the water area should reach 12,900.7 km2, the farmland area should reach 281333.3 km2, and the grassland area should increase to 15,457.9 km2. The results are expected to provide a new perspective for ecosystem management research.

Exploring an assessment framework for the supply–demand balance of carbon sequestration services under land use change: Towards carbon strategy

The key challenge created by global climate change is to implement effective carbon–neutral programs. The carbon sequestration service (CSS) establishes spatial and temporal connections between carbon sequestration supply and demand, so accurate scientific quantification of the CSS supply–demand balance is essential. However, a standard assessment framework for quantifying CSS supply–demand is currently lacking. In this study, we developed a spatio-temporal assessment framework for quantifying CSS supply–demand balance under land use change, based on the SPANs model. We followed the flow of CSS from supply to demand areas through spatial visualization based on the main wind direction and defined the transport path and quantity of CSS flow, taking Lancang Mekong River Basin (LMRB) as a case. The results showed that: (1) The total supply of CSS decreased by 1.14 million tons from 2000 to 2020, and total demand for CSS increased by 8.1 million tons. (2) CSS surplus areas were mainly concentrated in forested regions, with a maximum surplus of 4.31 t/ha. Deficit areas were dominated by cultivated land and artificial surfaces, with a maximum deficit of −1101.21 t/ha. There was spatial heterogeneity in CSS distribution and a clear imbalance between supply and demand. (3) Three out of six countries in the basin showed significant changes in CSS flow, with a decrease in demand area observed in Thailand and an increase in demand area observed in Cambodia and Vietnam. (4) CSS flow was mainly from north to south, with higher CSS in Thailand and lower flow in China. Thus the analysis revealed supply–demand imbalances in CSS and provided an objective understanding of the spatial flow of CSS. This scientific and intuitive theoretical basis and data support can be used for regional carbon management in LMRB and global carbon balance control.

Construction of carbon sequestration ecological network in Linyi City based on supply and demand of ecosystem service.

The increasing carbon emissions is one of the important reasons for global warming. As a key area of carbon emissions, carbon sequestration capacity of cities is urgently needed to be improved. Carbon sequestration ser-vices can be transferred between supply and demand areas due to the circulation of atmosphere. With Linyi City as an example, we used the minimum cumulative resistance model to extract the matching path of supply and demand, and constructed a carbon sequestration ecological network. The results showed that the regions with high supply of carbon sequestration services were located in the north and south of the study area, and that current total supply could solve about 60% of the total demand. Although the spatial distribution of supply and demand was uneven, 54% of the areas that could meet the surrounding carbon sequestration demand were still idle. The optimized supply-demand matching paths could maintain good transmission efficiency of material and energy, with lower costs. Paths with strong potential carbon sequestration capacity were located in the central and northwest part of the research area. In the construction of carbon sequestration ecological network, it is necessary to strengthen the protection and restoration of the supply side of carbon sequestration services, realize carbon reduction and strengthen carbon sequestration on the demand side, and optimize the matching path of supply and demand. This method provided services to the demand areas through the oversupply of ecosystem services, optimized the overall resource allocation, which could advance regional carbon sequestration capacity.

Multilevel ecological compensation policy design based on ecosystem service flow: A case study of carbon sequestration services in the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau

Ecological compensation is an effective means to reconcile the imbalance of eco-social development between regions and promote enthusiasm for ecological environmental protection. There is some conformity between the theory of ecosystem service flow and ecological compensation, which provides new technical support for the formulation of ecological compensation policy. This study took the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau as the research area, adopted the breaking point model to obtain the spatial characteristics of carbon sequestration flow, and formulated a multilevel ecological compensation policy with Tibet as the design object. The results showed that most of the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau has a carbon sequestration surplus; the central and eastern Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, western Sichuan are successively carbon sequestration supply areas; the Chengdu Plain and Xinjiang were listed as carbon sequestration benefit areas; and the carbon sequestration tended to flow more closely between supply and benefit areas in proximity to each other. Nyingchi, Chamdo, Naqu and Shannan in Tibet need to receive a total ecological compensation of 393.21 million USD, of which 93.71 % is from the national level, 6.02 % is from carbon sequestration benefit areas in other provinces; furthermore, Lhasa and Shigatse in Tibet need to provide the remaining ecological compensation. This study offers innovations for the formulation of ecological compensation policies and provide a new theory for ecological environment management.

Enabling coastal blue carbon in Aotearoa New Zealand: opportunities and challenges

Blue carbon is the carbon sequestered by coastal and marine habitats such as mangroves, saltmarsh, and seagrasses. The carbon sequestration service provided by these habitats could help to mitigate climate change by reducing greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, as well as providing other important ecosystem services. Restoration of coastal habitats for the purpose of sequestering blue carbon can generate carbon credits, potentially offsetting the costs of restoration and any lost revenue for landowners. Coastal blue carbon projects have been successfully implemented overseas, but a blue carbon market has not yet been established in Aotearoa New Zealand (ANZ). Here we identify key data gaps that will be necessary to fill to develop a blue carbon market in ANZ. Calculation of carbon abatement through development of a standardised method is the first step and will allow economic assessment of potential restoration sites. Economic assessment will determine if the carbon credits generated will cover restoration costs and lost revenue from restored lands. Once economically feasible potential restoration sites have been identified, prioritisation of sites could be determined by the value of co-benefits produced (i.e., biodiversity). There are also legal uncertainties in ANZ and ownership of the foreshore has been a contentious topic. Current legislation provides that neither the Crown nor any other person owns or can own the common marine and coastal area, although Māori may apply for recognition of customary rights, interests, and title in the area. The legal status of property rights will have significant implications for privately owned land, as it is unclear whether land will be considered foreshore when inundated in future with sea level rise. Here, we discuss further policy enablers including the role of government and the insurance industry that could encourage uptake of carbon projects by private landowners. Filling these gaps in market assessments and recognising the key role of Indigenous owners and customary rights holders to coastal land can facilitate operationalising of coastal blue carbon opportunities in Aotearoa New Zealand.

Exploring the complex trade-offs and synergies of global ecosystem services

The trade-off and synergy relationship of ecosystem services is an important topic in the current assessment. The value of each service provided by the ecosystem is substantially affected by human activities, and conversely, its changes will also affect the relevant human decisions. Due to varying trade-offs among ecosystem services and synergies between them that can either increase or decrease, it is difficult to optimize multiple ecosystem services simultaneously, making it a huge challenge for ecosystem management. This study firstly develops a global Gross Ecosystem Product (GEP) accounting framework. It uses remote sensing data with a spatial resolution of 1 km to estimate the ecosystem services of forests, wetlands, grasslands, deserts, and farmlands in 179 major countries in 2018. The results show that the range of global GEP values is USD 112–197 trillion, with an average value of USD 155 trillion (the constant price), and the ratio of GEP to gross domestic product (GDP) is 1.85. The trade-offs and the synergies among different ecosystem services in each continent and income group have been further explored. We found a correspondence between the income levels and the synergy among ecosystem services within each nation. Among specific ecosystem services, there are strong synergies between oxygen release, climate regulation, and carbon sequestration services. A trade-off relationship has been observed between flood regulation and other services, such as water conservation and soil retention services in low-income countries. The results will help clarify the roles and the feedback mechanisms between different stakeholders and provide a scientific basis for optimizing ecosystem management and implementing ecological compensation schemes to enhance human well-being.

Exploring the optimization of spatial patterns for carbon sequestration services based on multi-scenario land use/cover changes in the changchun-Jilin-Tumen region, China

Optimizing the spatial pattern of carbon sequestration services is essential for enhancing regional ecosystem carbon sink capacity and promoting carbon budget equilibrium. This study leveraged land use/cover changes (LUCC), meteorological, ecological, and socio-economic data, integrating the InVEST and PLUS models to quantitatively evaluate changes in carbon sequestration services within three 2035 scenarios: economic development (ED), ecological protection (EP), and natural development (ND). Furthermore, it incorporated a Bayesian belief network (BBN) with decision-making optimization capabilities to pinpoint areas necessitating the optimization of spatial patterns for carbon sequestration services. The research findings reveal: (1) Substantial impacts of land use/cover changes on carbon sequestration services, with the spatial distribution of carbon sequestration capacity closely linked to land use patterns. (2) Considerable variation in carbon storage levels across different Changchun-Jilin-Tumen scenarios, while their spatial distribution patterns remain generally consistent. Over time, a notable declining trend in carbon storage levels by 2035 compared to previous years is observed. Spatially, the eastern and central regions of the study area emerge as high-value carbon storage zones, with the northwestern region exhibiting lower carbon storage values. (3) The three scenarios categorize CSS into ecological conservation zones, ecological buffer zones, construction development zones, and arable land protection areas. Notably, the construction development zones in the western and northwestern parts of the study area urgently require optimization management. Undertaking spatial pattern optimization studies based on the current state of CSS will sustain their sustainable development and assist in future spatial planning, carbon neutrality goals, and ecological restoration in the Changchun-Jilin-Tumen region.

How does urbanization impact the supply–demand relationship of agroecosystem services? Insights from farmland loss in the Huaihe River Basin, China

China’s urbanization has gradually become the dominant factor in farmland loss, but it remains unclear how urbanization impacts the supply–demand relationship of agroecosystem services at different rates of farmland loss, which in turn poses new challenges to the ecological security of farmland. Taking the Huaihe River Basin as a case, this paper analyzes farmland loss from 2000 to 2020, as well as changes in the supply–demand relationship of four types of agroecosystem services: food production, socio-economic security, carbon sequestration, and soil conservation, revealing the driving mechanisms of urbanization on the supply–demand relationship of agroecosystem services in sub-regions with different rates of farmland loss. The results show that: (1) A total of 13588.11 km2 of farmland was converted to construction land from 2000 to 2020, accounting for 75.62 % of the total amount of farmland converted to different land types, and 95.57 % of the total amount of farmland converted to construction land. (2) There was a surplus supply of grain production services and socio-economic security services, while there was a deficit in the supply of carbon sequestration services, and a balance in the supply–demand of soil conservation services. (3) The matching degree of supply–demand for agroecosystem services was lower in the Rapid Loss Area compared to the Medium Loss Area and Slow Loss Area. (4) Urbanization was divided into population, economic, and spatial urbanization. The supply–demand relationships of agroecosystem services were impacted greatly by spatial urbanization in the Rapid Loss Area and by economic urbanization in the Medium Loss Area and Slow Loss Area.

Supply-demand bundles and ecological function management of urban ecosystem services: Taking central urban area of Qiqihar as an example

The comprehensive management of multiple ecosystem services is the focus of current research in the field of ecosystem service. The ecological space in the central urban area is scarce, but ecological needs are diverse. How to scientifically use urban land while considering various ecological functions has gradually become an academic hotspot. Taking the central urban area of Qiqihar as an example, we applied the ecosystem service bundle theory to analyze the supply and demand relationship of five ecosystem services in the study area, including flood regulation, air purification, carbon storage and sequestration, biodiversity conservation, and cultural recreation. Based on the supply-demand ratio, we identified the supply-demand bundles of ecosystem services in the study area, completed the division of ecological functional areas, and proposed corresponding spatial control strategies. The results showed that the supply of those five services presented a spatial pattern of low in the city center and south side, while high in the northwest and southeast side, and that the demand for those five services presented a spatial pattern of high in the city center and low around the city. Air purification, biodiversity conservation, and cultural recreation ser-vices were in short supply, with a supply-demand ratio of -0.160, -0.071, and -0.008, respectively. The supply to demand ratios of flood regulation and carbon storage and sequestration services were in excess, with a supply to demand ratio of 0.089 and 0.008, respectively. The spatial imbalance between supply and demand of various services was significant. The research area could be divided into six types of ecosystem service bundles. After comprehensive analysis, the research area would be further divided into four types of zones: urban ecological restoration zone, urban ecological strengthening zone, urban development transition zone, and urban ecological conservation zone. We proposed targeted functional optimization strategies based on the spatial relationship, ecological background characteristics, and supply and demand ratios of various services within the zone.

Identification of ecological functional zoning and its influencing factors in the Sihu Lake Basin, China

Rational delineation of ecological functional areas and clarification of their driving factors are of significance for maintaining regional ecosystem stability. We assessed six ecosystem services of Sihu Lake Basin located in Jianghan Plain using InVEST and RUSLE models and recreational scoring methods. By using K-means clustering, we identified the ecosystem service bundles, and delineated the ecological functional areas in combination with ecological sensitivity and ecosystem service bundles. The dominant driving factors of different ecological functional areas were analyzed by Geodetector. The results showed that the spatial distributions of habitat quality and carbon sequestration services were similar, with high values being mainly concentrated in Changhu Lake Basin and Honghu Lake Basin. However, the spatial distributions of crop production and soil conservation services were different, with high-value areas concentrated in the northwest area with mountains. The high values of water production service were mainly concentrated in the eastern part of Honghu Lake Basin, while the high-value areas of ecological recreation service were mainly concentrated in the northwest area and the southern part of Honghu Lake Basin. The Sihu Lake Basin could be classified into crop production bundle, habitat quality bundle, and urban living bundle according to cluster analysis. The low ecological sensitivity areas accounted for 59.0% of the Sihu Lake Basin. We classified the study area into ecological restoration areas, ecological conservation areas, ecological transition areas, ecological development areas, and comprehensive use areas by combination of ecological sensitivity and ecosystem service bundles. The geodetector results indicated that the driving factors of each ecological function zone were significantly different. The natural factors significantly influenced the ecological restoration zone, while the normalized vegetation index and population density were the main influencing factors in the ecological conservation zone and the ecological development zone, respectively. Land use type was the main influencing factor in the ecological transition zone and the comprehensive use zone. The results could provide important support for coordinated regional social development and environmental protection.