Carbon Dioxide Drawdown Research Articles

Environmental control and metabolic strategies of organic-matter-responsive bacterioplankton in the Weddell Sea (Antarctica).

Heterotrophic microbial communities play a significant role in driving carbon fluxes in marine ecosystems. Despite their importance, these communities remain understudied in remote polar oceans, which are known for their substantial contribution to the biological drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Our research focused on understanding the environmental factors and genetic makeup of key bacterial players involved in carbon remineralization in the Weddell Sea, including its coastal polynyas. Our experiments demonstrated that the combination of labile organic matter supply and temperature increase synergistically boosted bacterial growth. This suggests that, besides low seawater temperature, carbon limitation also hinders heterotrophic bacterial activity. Through the analysis of metagenome-assembled genomes, we discovered distinct genomic adaptation strategies in Bacteroidia and Gammaproteobacteria, both of which respond to organic matter. Both natural phytoplankton blooms and experimental addition of organic matter favoured Bacteroidia, which possess a large number of gene copies and a wide range of functional membrane transporters, glycoside hydrolases, and aminopeptidases. In contrast, the genomes of organic-matter-responsive Gammaproteobacteria were characterized by high densities of transcriptional regulators and transporters. Our findings suggest that bacterioplankton in the Weddell Sea, which respond to organic matter, employ metabolic strategies similar to those of their counterparts in temperate oceans. These strategies enable efficient growth at extremely low seawater temperatures, provided that organic carbon limitation is alleviated.

Scenarios for combating global warming: China's critical role as a leader in the energy transition

<p>China is now the world leader with green capital actually creating renewable energy technologies. We address the possibility of whether China can emerge a new ecological civilization, as well as become the global leader to reach climate security. In particular, China has the potential to implement a solar energy infrastructure in the deserts of the Middle East as part of the Belt and Road Initiative, mainly in the form of concentrated solar power. The creation of this renewable energy capacity could supply electricity to much of the world, as well as power the direct air capture (DAC) of carbon dioxide with a permanent burial in the crust, in particular, using the ultramafic deposits in Oman. This realization would increase the chances of not breaching the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) warming target of 1.5 ℃, of course only if coupled with the termination of utilizing fossil fuels as early as possible and their replacement with renewable energy supplies globally. In this context, our pioneering model establishes that coupling a DAC-driven drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide with a rapid increase in the renewable energy capacity is more than capable of producing enough clean energy to eliminate energy insecurity globally (to all 8–10 billion humans) and to provide energy for the drawdown for the rest of the 21st century, thereby reducing atmospheric carbon dioxide to safe levels. This contingency will likely only be realized with a shift to demilitarization of the global economy. Likewise, this potential emergence of China as the global leader for climate security would likely inspire the push for a global Green New Deal to make this goal possible.</p>

CO2 Release Driven by the Combination of Sulfide Oxidation and Carbonate Dissolution in the Upper Changjiang River: Effect of Erosion and Lithology on Chemical Weathering

AbstractThe positive link between weathering and orogeny suggests that the drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) over the Cenozoic should be closely related to the enhanced silicate weathering caused by Cenozoic orogeny, especially the uplift of the Tibetan plateau. However, the uplift of orogens could also exhume carbonate and sulfide minerals, the coupling weathering of which can act as a source for atmospheric CO2 at the long‐term timescale and counteract the CO2 consumption by silicate weathering. In this study, the solute concentrations and isotopic ratios in the upper Changjiang River are determined to investigate the co‐weathering of silicate, carbonate, and sulfide minerals and its impact on the long‐term carbon cycle. An inverse mixing model incorporating elemental and isotopic ratios is established to quantitatively identify the sources of cations and weathering acids. The inversion of our samples reveals that carbonate weathering dominates the chemical composition of river water, even with the presence of secondary calcite precipitation. The sulfide oxidation widely occurs in the study area and the bulk of generated sulfuric acid is buffered by carbonate minerals. The erosion is decoupled from sulfide oxidation and chemical weathering, likely due to lithology and secondary calcite precipitation. Overall, we find that the CO2 release from sulfide oxidation coupled with carbonate dissolution exceeds the CO2 drawdown from silicate weathering in the Changjiang River basin, indicating the weathering will act as a source for atmospheric CO2 at the timescale between marine carbonate compensation (105 years) and sulfate reduction (<10 Ma).

Projected increase in carbon dioxide drawdown and acidification in large estuaries under climate change

Most estuaries are substantial sources of carbon dioxide (CO2) to the atmosphere. The estimated estuarine CO2 degassing is about 17% of the total oceanic uptake, but the effect of rising atmospheric CO2 on estuarine carbon balance remains unclear. Here we use 3D hydrodynamic-biogeochemical models of a large eutrophic estuary and a box model of two generic, but contrasting estuaries to generalize how climate change affects estuarine carbonate chemistry and CO2 fluxes. We found that small estuaries with short flushing times remain a CO2 source to the atmosphere, but large estuaries with long flushing times may become a greater carbon sink and acidify. In particular, climate downscaling projections for Chesapeake Bay in the mid-21st century showed a near-doubling of CO2 uptake, a pH decline of 0.1–0.3, and >90% expansion of the acidic volume. Our findings suggest that large eutrophic estuaries will become carbon sinks and suffer from accelerated acidification in a changing climate.

The biogeochemistry of zinc and cadmium in the Amundsen Sea, coastal Antarctica

The trace metals zinc (Zn) and cadmium (Cd) are both involved in the metabolic processes of marine phytoplankton, and as such, both metals play important roles in ocean biogeochemical cycles. In Antarctica, the Amundsen Sea (AS) experiences rapid ice shelf melting, and the Amundsen Sea polynya (ASP) hosts seasonal phytoplankton blooms in austral summer, with important implications for atmospheric carbon dioxide drawdown. However, the effects of ice melting and phytoplankton blooms on the biogeochemistry and distributions of Zn and Cd in the ASP remain poorly studied. Here, we present the first combined dataset of dissolved and particulate Zn and Cd in the AS (including the inflow and outflow to and from the Dotson and Getz ice shelves) collected as part of the GEOTRACES process study GPpr12. We use this dataset to assess the sources of both elements to the AS region and characterize the particle composition in the ASP. We find that the main source of both dissolved Zn and Cd in the AS is Circumpolar Deep Water (CDW), with an additional small flux of both metals from shelf sediments. By contrast, aerosol deposition, ice shelf melt, and sea ice melt are all deemed insignificant sources for either Zn or Cd in the AS. Labile particulate Zn and Cd dominate the total particulate pool in the surface layer, indicating that biological uptake is a predominant process for the cycling of both metals in the ASP, whereas sediment resuspension and ice shelf melt do not supply a significant amount of either particulate Zn or Cd. Additionally, we use two commonly used approaches to estimate biogenic and lithogenic particulate concentrations. We find high biogenic particulate concentrations at the surface, decreasing with depth, indicating remineralization plays an important role in the cycling of particulate metals. In contrast, lithogenic particulate metal concentrations remain low throughout the water column. We also show that the estimated uptake ratios of Zn and Cd relative to phosphate in the surface layer are lower than reported for the open Southern Ocean, likely related to the spatial and temporal variability of Fe in the AS. Overall, these new observations provide insight into the biogeochemistry of both Zn and Cd in the AS, a region that is subject to the influence of rapid climate change, which may have implications for the larger-scale cycling of trace metals in the Southern Ocean. Specifically, the amount of Zn and Cd supplied to the surface ASP will increase, given that the volume of CDW that flows towards the Dotson Ice Shelf is predicted to increase.

Detection and quantification of low levels of carbonate mineral species using thermogravimetric-mass spectrometry to validate CO2 drawdown via enhanced rock weathering

Enhanced rock weathering (ERW) is a promising technology being actively investigated to ameliorate anthropogenic climate change. ERW accelerates atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) drawdown in agricultural soils following the addition of crushed, silicate rocks. The application of basalt, an abundant silicate rock, has widely been proposed for ERW. In order to measure and model the efficacy of ERW, it is critical to fully characterise the mineralogical composition of the basaltic materials being deployed in laboratory to catchment scale experiments.As previously demonstrated on analogous basaltic rock and soil materials on Mars, thermal analytical methods such as coupled thermogravimetric analysis-mass spectrometry (TGA-MS), provide a potentially rapid, effective technique to identify and also quantify the carbonate mineral species present in ERW basalts and their weathering products.Our study of six different basaltic materials used in ERW experiments, from widely different geological and geographical settings, suggests that TGA weight losses can provide useful information on the low-levels of carbonate minerals present. Furthermore, carbonate mineral identification and quantification derived from the accompanying MS-detected CO2 evolution and corroborated by SEM-EDS mapping, is capable of detecting even lower concentrations with detection limits below 100 ppm for calcite. TGA-MS therefore offers significant advantages over the traditionally-applied inorganic carbon analyses.Carbonate mineral weight losses encountered during TGA and their accompanying CO2-evolutions have previously been ascribed to relatively small, defined temperature ranges. However, crucially, this study has revealed the concentration-dependent, large-scale variation in the mass spectrometric peak CO2-evolution for a range of carbonate minerals. A knowledge of such parameters is imperative for the accurate interpretation of basalt TGA-MS output, the characterisation of these materials and assessment of ERW technologies.

Everything Stays the Same while Everything Changes

Everything Stays the Same while Everything Changes

Carbon Removal Using Coastal Blue Carbon Ecosystems Is Uncertain and Unreliable, With Questionable Climatic Cost-Effectiveness

Mangrove forests, seagrass meadows and tidal saltmarshes are vegetated coastal ecosystems that accumulate and store large quantities of carbon in their sediments. Many recent studies and reviews have favorably identified the potential for such coastal “blue carbon” ecosystems to provide a natural climate solution in two ways: by conservation, reducing the greenhouse gas emissions arising from the loss and degradation of such habitats, and by restoration, to increase carbon dioxide drawdown and its long-term storage. The focus here is on the latter, assessing the feasibility of achieving quantified and secure carbon removal (negative emissions) through the restoration of coastal vegetation. Seven issues that affect the reliability of carbon accounting for this approach are considered: high variability in carbon burial rates; errors in determining carbon burial rates; lateral carbon transport; fluxes of methane and nitrous oxide; carbonate formation and dissolution; vulnerability to future climate change; and vulnerability to non-climatic factors. Information on restoration costs is also reviewed, with the conclusion that costs are highly uncertain, with lower-range estimates unrealistic for wider application. CO2 removal using coastal blue carbon restoration therefore has questionable cost-effectiveness when considered only as a climate mitigation action, either for carbon-offsetting or for inclusion in Nationally Determined Contributions. Many important issues relating to the measurement of carbon fluxes and storage have yet to be resolved, affecting certification and resulting in potential over-crediting. The restoration of coastal blue carbon ecosystems is nevertheless highly advantageous for climate adaptation, coastal protection, food provision and biodiversity conservation. Such action can therefore be societally justified in very many circumstances, based on the multiple benefits that such habitats provide at the local scale.

Enhanced precipitation in the Gulf of Mexico during the Eocene–Oligocene transition driven by interhemispherical temperature asymmetry

Abstract Studies reveal that the sea-surface temperature (SST) of the Northern Hemisphere decreased at a smaller amplitude than that of the Southern Hemisphere during the Eocene–Oligocene transition (EOT). This interhemispheric temperature asymmetry has been associated with intensified Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) that may have driven enhanced precipitation and weathering in low latitudes and the subsequent drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide. However, no quantitative constraints on paleo-precipitation have been reported in low latitudes to characterize the AMOC effect across the EOT. Here, we present the results of high-resolution (ca. 6 k.y. per sample) isotopic and biomarker records from the Gulf of Mexico. Reconstructed precipitation using leaf wax carbon isotopes shows an increase of 44% across the EOT (34.1–33.6 Ma), which is accompanied by a secular increase in SST of ~2 °C during the latest Eocene. We attribute the enhanced precipitation in the Gulf of Mexico to the northward shift of the Intertropical Convergence Zone that was driven by an enlarged polar-tropic temperature gradient in the Southern Hemisphere and an invigorated AMOC. Our findings link changes in meridional temperature gradient and large-scale oceanic circulation to the lowlatitude terrestrial hydroclimate and provide paleohydrological evidence that supports CO2-weathering feedback during the EOT “greenhouse” to “icehouse” transition.

Phytoprevention of Heavy Metal Contamination From Terrestrial Enhanced Weathering: Can Plants Save the Day?

Enhanced weathering is a promising approach to remove carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. However, it may also pose environmental risks through the release of heavy metals, in particular nickel and chromium. In this perspective article I explore the potential role of plants in modulating these heavy metal fluxes. Agricultural basaltic soils may be valuable study sites in this context. However, the effect of biomass harvesting on the accumulation of heavy metals is currently not well studied. Mostly caused by different parent rock concentrations, there is a large variability of heavy metal concentrations in basaltic and ultramafic soils. Hence, to minimize environmental risks of enhanced weathering, basalts with low heavy metal concentrations should be favored. Existing phytoremediation strategies may be used to “phytoprevent” the accumulation of nickel and chromium released from enhanced weathering in soils. As a result, elevated nickel and chromium concentrations in rocks must not preclude enhanced weathering in all settings. In particular, hyperaccumulating plants could be used as part of a crop rotation to periodically remove heavy metals from soils. Enhanced weathering could also be employed on fields or forests of (non-hyper) accumulating plants that have a high primary production of biomass. Both approaches may have additional synergies with phytomining or bioenergy carbon capture and storage, increasing the total amount of carbon dioxide drawdown and at the same time preventing heavy metal accumulation in soils.

Reverse weathering may amplify post-Snowball atmospheric carbon dioxide levels

Snowball Earth glaciations are the most extreme climate perturbations recorded in Earth’s history. It has been argued that the termination of these events was characterized by a single rapid transition from near-global ice coverage to an ice-free greenhouse climate state. Notably, this deviates with more extended transition periods of ice sheet waxing and waning typical of Phanerozoic glaciations. Using a coupled mineralogical and Mg and Li isotopic approach, we explore the role that authigenic clay formation within the seafloor may have played on Earth’s climate during deglaciation of the Marinoan Snowball Earth event. Marine authigenic clay formation—a process referred to as reverse weathering—recycles carbon within the ocean–atmosphere system and acts to elevate atmospheric CO2 levels. The results indicate a shift towards more extensive reverse weathering within the uppermost portion of the glaciogenic Nantuo Formation in South China. Carbon cycle modeling indicates that widespread reverse weathering could have driven a protracted (millions of years) carbon dioxide drawdown following high carbon dioxide levels expected during deglaciation.

Global chemical weathering dominated by continental arcs since the mid-Palaeozoic

Earth’s plate-tectonic activity regulates the carbon cycle and, hence, climate, via volcanic outgassing and silicate-rock weathering. Mountain building, arc–continent collisions and clustering of continents in the tropics have all been invoked as controlling the weathering flux, with arcs also acting as a major contributor of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. However, these processes have largely been considered in isolation when in reality they are all tightly coupled. To properly account for interactions among these processes, and the inherent multi-million-year time lags at play in the Earth system, we need to characterize their complex interdependencies. Here we analyse these interdependencies over the past 400 million years using a Bayesian network to identify primary relationships, time lags and drivers of the global chemical weathering signal. We find that the length of continental volcanic arcs—the fastest-eroding surface features on Earth—exerts the strongest control on global chemical weathering fluxes. We propose that the rapid drawdown of carbon dioxide tied to arc weathering stabilizes surface temperatures over geological time, contrary to the widely held view that this stability is achieved mainly by a delicate balance between weathering of the seafloor and the continental interiors.

Seasonal variability in silicate weathering signatures recorded by Li isotopes in cave drip-waters

Silicate weathering is a critical process in Earth’s carbon cycle, but the fundamental controls on weathering are poorly understood and its response to future climate change is uncertain. In particular, the potential for changes in seasonality or extreme weather events to control silicate weathering rates or mechanisms has been little studied. Here, we use lithium (Li) isotope measurements in bimonthly sampled drip-waters from two caves in the Yorkshire Dales (U.K.) to assess the response of silicate weathering processes to changes in temperature and hydrology over seasonal timescales. While the caves are contained in limestone bedrock, the drip-water Li isotope signal predominantly reflects silicate weathering of the overlying soils that are dominated by glacial till.Drip-water Li isotope compositions record spatial and temporal variability ranging from δ7Li values of +1 to +17‰, with a mean of +11‰. These values are significantly higher than local lithogenic inputs (δ7Li = −1 ± 1‰), consistent with isotope fractionation during secondary mineral formation. Comparison to temperature, precipitation, drip rates, and drip-water chemistry enables the controls on the Li isotope weathering signatures to be explored, revealing possible roles for both temperature and fluid residence time in setting the balance between primary rock dissolution and secondary mineral formation. Specifically, our Li isotope data are consistent with a scenario in which cooler temperatures and/or longer fluid residence times lead to enhanced secondary mineral formation relative to silicate dissolution.Overall, our results indicate the potential for Li isotope variability over short temporal and spatial scales, which is important to consider when interpreting past changes in weathering processes or fluxes from paleo-records. In addition, the seasonal changes in Li isotopes suggest that weathering processes may be sensitive to seasonality or to extreme weather events, rather than responding only to the mean climate state. With warmer temperatures and more intense rainfall events expected in future, both increased primary rock dissolution and enhanced weathering efficiency (due to reduced secondary mineral formation) could potentially contribute to increased carbon dioxide drawdown by silicate weathering.

How Robust Is the Apparent Break‐Down of Northern High‐Latitude Temperature Control on Spring Carbon Uptake?

AbstractVegetation growth in northern high‐latitudes during springtime is strongly temperature limited, and thus anomalously warm springs are expected to result in an increased drawdown of carbon dioxide (CO2). However, a recent analysis of the relationship between spring temperature anomalies and atmospheric CO2 anomalies at Point Barrow, Alaska, suggests that the link between spring carbon uptake by northern ecosystems and temperature anomalies has been weakening over recent decades due to a diminishing control of temperature on plant productivity. Upon further analysis, covering the 1982–2015 period, we found no significant change in the relationship between spring vegetation productivity derived from remote sensing data and air temperature. We showed that a reduction in spatial coherence of temperature anomalies, alongside a significant sensitivity to atmospheric transport, is likely responsible for the apparent weakening. Our results, therefore, suggest that spring temperature remains as an important control of northern high‐latitude CO2 uptake.

Sulfate sulfur isotopes and major ion chemistry reveal that pyrite oxidation counteracts CO2 drawdown from silicate weathering in the Langtang-Trisuli-Narayani River system, Nepal Himalaya

Drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2) due to silicate weathering in the Himalaya has previously been implicated in Cenozoic cooling. However, over timescales shorter than that of the removal of marine sulfate (SO42−), the oxidation of pyrite (FeS2) in weathering systems can counteract the alkalinity flux of silicate weathering and modulate pCO2. Here we present evidence from 34S/32S isotope ratios in dissolved SO42− (δ34SSO4), together with dissolved major ion concentrations, that reveals FeS2 oxidation throughout the Langtang-Trisuli-Narayani River system of the Nepal Himalaya. River water samples were collected monthly to bimonthly throughout 2011 from 16 sites ranging from the Lirung Glacier catchment through the Narayani River floodplain. This sampling transect begins in the High Himalayan Crystalline (HHC) formation and passes through the Lesser Himalayan (LH) formation with upstream influences from the Tethyn Sedimentary Series (TSS). Average δ34SSO4 in the Lirung Glacier outlet is 3.6‰, increases downstream to 6.3‰ near the confluence with the Bhote Kosi, and finally declines to −2.6‰ in the lower elevation sites. Using new measurements of major ion concentrations, inversion shows 62–101% of river SO42− is derived from the oxidation of sulfide minerals and/or organic sulfur, with the former process likely dominant. The fraction of H2SO4-driven weathering is seasonally variable and lower during the monsoon season, attributable to seasonal changes in the relative influence of shallow and deep flow paths with distinct residence times. Inversion results indicate that the primary control on δ34SSO4 is lithologically variable isotope composition, with the expressed δ34S value for the LH and TSS formations (median values −7.0–0.0‰ in 80% of samples) lower than that in the HHC (median values 1.7–6.2‰ in 80% of samples). Overall, our analysis indicates that FeS2 oxidation counteracts much of the alkalinity flux from silicate weathering throughout the Narayani River system such that weathering along the sampled transect exerts minimal impact on pCO2 over timescales >5–10 kyr and <10 Myr. Moreover, reanalysis of prior datasets suggests that our findings are applicable more widely across several of the frontal Himalayan drainages.

Persistence of soil organic carbon caused by functional complexity

Soil organic carbon management has the potential to aid climate change mitigation through drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide. To be effective, such management must account for processes influencing carbon storage and re-emission at different space and time scales. Achieving this requires a conceptual advance in our understanding to link carbon dynamics from the scales at which processes occur to the scales at which decisions are made. Here, we propose that soil carbon persistence can be understood through the lens of decomposers as a result of functional complexity derived from the interplay between spatial and temporal variation of molecular diversity and composition. For example, co-location alone can determine whether a molecule is decomposed, with rapid changes in moisture leading to transport of organic matter and constraining the fitness of the microbial community, while greater molecular diversity may increase the metabolic demand of, and thus potentially limit, decomposition. This conceptual shift accounts for emergent behaviour of the microbial community and would enable soil carbon changes to be predicted without invoking recalcitrant carbon forms that have not been observed experimentally. Functional complexity as a driver of soil carbon persistence suggests soil management should be based on constant care rather than one-time action to lock away carbon in soils.

Climate change via CO2 drawdown from astrophysically initiated atmospheric ionization?

AbstractMotivated by the occurrence of a moderately nearby supernova near the beginning of the Pleistocene, possibly as part of a long-term series beginning in the Miocene, we investigated whether nitrate rainout resulting from the atmospheric ionization of enhanced cosmic ray flux could have, through its fertilizer effect, initiated carbon dioxide drawdown. Such a drawdown could possibly reduce the greenhouse effect and induce the climate change that led to the Pleistocene glaciations. We estimate that the nitrogen flux enhancement onto the surface from an event at 50 pc would be of order 10%, probably too small for dramatic changes. We estimate deposition of iron (another potential fertilizer) and find it is also too small to be significant. There are also competing effects of opposite sign, including muon irradiation and reduction in photosynthetic yield caused by UV increase from stratospheric ozone layer depletion, leading to an ambiguous result. However, if the atmospheric ionization induces a large increase in the frequency of lightning, as argued elsewhere, the amount of nitrate synthesis should be much larger, dominate over the other effects and induce the climate change. More work needs to be done to clarify the effects on lightning frequency.

Some Illustrations of Large Tectonically Driven Climate Changes in Earth History

AbstractA century ago, the pioneering book published in 1924 Die Klimate der geologischen Vorzeit explained by plate motion the evolution of vegetation revealed in sedimentary records. Nevertheless, they did not invoke climate changes. In the second part of the 20th century, the intricate relationship between tectonics, long‐term carbon cycle, and climate was depicted by Walker (1981). Since these major steps, climate modeling of the Earth system kept on improving and including more and more components and processes to enable the investigation of deep time periods using general circulation model that can account for atmosphere and ocean dynamics. Here we illustrate long but drastic climate changes clearly related with tectonics, through three different examples: (1) the crucial role of paleogeography (continental distribution) to explain the drawdown of atmospheric carbon dioxide and the huge glaciation associated that occurred during the Neoproterozoic period; (2) the shrinkage of large epicontinental Paratethys that covered a large part of Eastern Europe and Western Asia and its impact on both monsoonal systems (African and Asian) since 40 Ma; and (3) the large impact of mountain range uplifts since Eocene both in Asia (Tibetan Plateau and Himalaya) and in Africa (buildup of the rift), on atmosphere and ocean dynamics. These studies not only allow for testing the ability of Earth system models to capture long‐term changes of Earth climate, but they also pinpoint the pivotal role tectonics played in shaping the long‐term evolution of atmospheric CO2 and monsoon patterns.

Southern Ocean Iron Fertilization: An Argument Against Commercialization but for Continued Research Amidst Lingering Uncertainty

In light of the challenges impeding substantive global action on climate change mitigation, some have begun to look at geoengineering as a possible alternative. Ocean Iron Fertilization (OIF) is one such strategy that seeks to increase oceanic drawdown of carbon dioxide by stimulating marine phytoplankton growth in large iron-limited swaths of the Southern Ocean. Unfortunately, there remains lingering scientific uncertainty regarding the viability of a sustainable, global scale, iron-induced sequestration pathway. While reduced uncertainty could one day reveal a reasonable, measured approach to leverage OIF under unilateral authority and dynamic management, I argue against attempting to commercialize OIF under any emerging market framework. Current standards for globally recognized compliance offset markets require that a recognized activity is permanent, additional, free of leakage, and absent of adverse side effects. At present, there is not adequate scientific evidence that OIF is any. Worse, measurement challenges, unreliable auditing, ambiguous baselines compromised by high-frequency variability, and uncertain externalities could combine to cripple a market-based approach. Fortunately, the UN London Protocol has banned nonscientific iron fertilization, precluding the adoption of OIF into any international, compliance offset markets. However, voluntary offset markets, or those in which offsets are bought and sold without any federally mandated obligation, are not subject to any legitimate regulatory or enforcement mechanisms. I make that case that absent the appropriate oversight OIF activity on voluntary offset markets motivated by a reasonable market opportunity, the relative ease of deployment, and the perception of an ethical imperative, can, and will continue to, emerge. In turn, I argue that continued research is necessary to help constrain the public perception that voluntary markets depend on by further clarifying the risks, elaborating the challenges, and delegitimizing the promise of an iron bullet.

Investigation of subglacial weathering under the Greenland Ice Sheet using silicon isotopes

Subglacial chemical weathering plays a key role in global silicate weathering budgets, contributing to the cycling of silicon (Si) in terrestrial and marine systems and the potential drawdown of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere. Here, we use data from two Greenland Ice Sheet (GrIS) catchments to demonstrate how Si isotopes from dissolved and amorphous particulate fractions (δ30DSi and δ30ASi respectively) can be used together with major ion data to assess the degree of secondary silicate weathering product formation and redissolution in subglacial environments. We compare a time-series of summer melt seasons from the two study sites, which differ in catchment size (∼600 km2 for Leverett Glacier (LG) and ∼36 km2 for Kiattuut Sermiat (KS)). Subglacial waters from LG have elevated Na+ and K+ ions in relation to Ca2+ and Mg2+ ions, indicating a predominance of silicate weathering, whilst meltwaters from KS are characterised by carbonate weathering (hydrolysis and carbonation) throughout the melt season. Both catchments have mean δ30DSi values substantially lower than average riverine values (KS 0.41‰, LG −0.25‰, versus a global riverine mean of 1.25‰) and display a seasonal decline, which is more pronounced at LG. The δ30ASi values (discharge weighted mean values KS −0.44‰, LG −0.22‰) are lighter than the bedrock (mean values KS −0.18 ± 0.12‰, LG 0.00 ± 0.07‰) in both catchments, indicating a secondary weathering product origin or leaching of lighter isotopes during initial weathering of crushed rock. When used in combination, the major ion and silicon isotope data reveal that the extent of silicate weathering and secondary phase redissolution are more pronounced at LG compared to KS. Contrasting weathering regimes and subglacial hydrology between catchments need to be considered when estimating the δ30Si composition of silica exported into polar oceans from the GrIS, with larger catchments likely to produce fluxes of lighter δ30Si. As larger catchments dominate freshwater export to the ocean, GrIS meltwater is likely to be very light in isotopic composition, and the flux is likely to increase with ice melt as the climate warms.