Burden Of Esophageal Cancer Research Articles

Esophageal cancer global burden profiles, trends, and contributors.

This study aimed to provide a comprehensive overview of the global burden of esophageal cancer (EC) and determine the temporal trends and factors influencing changes in the global burden. The latest incidence and mortality data for EC worldwide were obtained from GLOBALCAN 2022. The mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates for EC from 1990-2019 were sourced from the 2019 Global Burden of Diseases. Trends in EC mortality and DALYs attributable to 11 risk factors or clusters of risk were analyzed using the joinpoint regression model. The trends in age-related EC burden were assessed using a decomposition approach. An estimated 511,054 new cases of EC were diagnosed in 2022 with 445,391 deaths worldwide. Approximately 75% of cases and deaths occurred in Asia. Nearly 50% of global EC deaths and DALYs were attributed to tobacco use in men in 2019, while 20% were attributed to high body mass index (BMI) in women. From 1990-2019, EC deaths and DALYs attributable to almost all risk factors had declining trends, while EC deaths and DALYs attributed to high BMI in men had upward trends. The age-related EC burden exhibited an upward trend driven by population growth and aging, which contributed to 307.4 thousand deaths and 7.2 million DALYs due to EC. The EC burden remains substantial worldwide. Effective tobacco and obesity control measures are critical for addressing the risk-attributable burden of EC. Population growth and aging pose challenges for EC prevention and control efforts.

Spatial and temporal distribution characteristics research of esophageal cancer in China

Objectives: To explore the spatial distribution characteristics, trend changes, and spatial clustering of esophageal cancer among residents in China at the county (city, district) scale, a spatial epidemiological approach was used, with the aim of providing localized evidence for the prevention and treatment of esophageal cancer in China. Methods: The data source was the incidence (crude rate) and mortality (crude rate) of esophageal cancer from 2005 to 2016 in the 2008-2019 edition of China Cancer Registration Annual Report published by the National Cancer Center. The Joinpoint model was used for time trend analysis. The tumor registration area in 2016 was selected as the study area for spatial feature analysis, with a total of 487 counties (cities and districts), covering 27.6% of the national population. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was performed to reveal spatial distribution characteristics by using Arcgis 10.6 software, and spatial scanning statistics was used to analyze spatial clustering characteristics by using SaTScan 9.5 software. The log-likelihood ratio (LLR) and relative risk (RR) were calculated in different windows, and the region with the largest LLR value represented the most likely cluster. Results: From 2005 to 2016, the incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer in China showed a trend of increasing at first and then decreasing. The incidence and mortality rate of esophageal cancer in 2016 were characterized by spatial positive correlation. High incidence and high mortality were mainly concentrated in the areas through which the Huaihe River flowed. The primary clusters (taking high incidence rate as an example LLR=6 374.41, RR=2.37, P＜0.001) were mainly distributed in Jiangsu, Anhui and Shandong in eastern China and eastern Henan and southern Hebei in central China, and secondary clusters (taking high incidence rate as an example LLR=1 971.19, RR=1.91, P＜0.001) in Gansu, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Shaanxi, Sichuan and other central and western regions. Conclusions: The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer in China have decreased since 2010. The disease burden of esophageal cancer has obvious spatial differences, and measures should be taken according to local conditions in high-risk cluster areas such as the Huaihe River basin.

Hot beverage consumption in the African Esophageal Cancer Corridor: A community-based thermal exposure measurement study across the lifespan

“Very hot beverage” (>65°C) consumption is an IARC probable carcinogen and may contribute to the African esophageal cancer burden. We conducted community cross-sectional exposure studies of hot beverage consumption in Kenya and Malawi during 2018–2019, aiming to: (i) implement a detailed measurement protocol incorporating three measurements of sip temperature and volume so as to predict each sip’s intra-esophageal liquid temperature (IELT); (ii) examine variations by seasonality, drinking venue and age, including children. 246 participants were included, of whom 236 had drink measurements (52 children and 183 adults). Among adults, mean (SD) temperatures at first sip were 67 (9) and 68 (7) °C in Kenya and Malawi respectively, i.e. 58 and almost 70 % of first sips were > 65 °C. In both countries, adults exhibited a protective habit of smaller sips at higher temperatures (mean 11 mL at first sip), whereas the larger middle sip (20 mL) had the highest IELT (45 °C). The highest temperatures were observed in men and for drinks taken in social settings, whereas we did not detect seasonality or associations with other esophageal cancer risk factors. Measurements were difficult to make for 20 % (8/43) of Kenyan children whose drink was cooled by pouring between cups (‘poesha’). Where poesha was not practiced, IELTs were lower in children (especially < 10 years) than in adults, owing to a mean of 8 °C cooler first sip temperature, however 20 % of first sips were > 65 °C. If very hot beverage consumption is an esophageal carcinogen, lowering sip temperatures and volumes in East Africa would form important prevention avenues.

Global trends and projections of colorectal, esophageal and stomach cancer burden among youth associated with diet: A analysis of 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 and until 2040

BackgroundUnhealthy diets significantly contribute to stomach, colorectal and esophageal cancer burden globally. Western diets high in processed and red meats promote carcinogenesis in these gastrointestinal cancers. However, adolescent and young adult (AYA) patients' unique needs regarding these cancers have been neglected. MethodsData from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study was used to quantify stomach, colorectal and esophageal cancer burden among AYAs from 1990 to 2040 across 204 countries. Correlations between the burden of these cancers and the Socio-demographic Index were examined. ResultsHigh SDI locations experienced the largest reduction in cancer DALY rate change from 1990 to 2019 (-22% [-12 to -33]), compared to a small increase in low-middle SDI regions. Middle SDI areas saw the largest reduction in DALY rate change from 1990 to 2019 (-62% [-32 to -75]), compared to a small decrease in low-middle SDI locations (-9% [-27 to 10]) in esophageal cancer. From 1990–2019, stomach cancer deaths and DALYs declined across all SDI regions, with the largest reductions in high SDI locations (-61% [-57 to -69]) and smallest in low-middle SDI areas (-25% [-13 to -34]). Colorectal cancer deaths and DALYs rose across all SDI regions except high SDI locations, which showed a slight decrease. ConclusionThis study demonstrates the evolving global burden of stomach, colorectal and esophageal cancers among AYAs. The highest burden was in high-middle and high SDI regions, underscoring the need to prioritize initiatives targeting these gastrointestinal malignancies in youth.

HIV infection and esophageal cancer in Sub-Saharan Africa: a comprehensive meta-analysis.

Africa hosts the highest burden of esophageal cancer (49%) and HIV (60%) worldwide. It is imperative to investigate the synergistic impact of these two diseases on African populations. This study conducted an exhaustive computerized search of databases, including Medline/PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Scopus, Cochrane library, and African Journals Online, to identify eligible studies up to October 2023. HIV infection was the exposure, esophageal cancer risk was the outcome, and healthy subjects with no cancer history served as comparators. Study quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa scale, and potential publication bias was evaluated through funnel plots and the Egger test. Meta-analyses were conducted using Stata 17.0 software and involved a thorough examination of 98,397 studies. Out of these, eight studies originating from Eastern and Southern Africa, recognized as esophageal cancer hotspots on the continent, met the eligibility criteria. The analysis revealed a non-significant association between HIV infection and esophageal cancer risk (odds ratio = 1.34 [95% confidence interval, 0.85-2.12]; with 0.26 as p-value of overall effects). The Egger test yielded a p-value of 0.2413, suggesting the absence of publication bias. In summary, this systematic review and meta-analysis indicate that there is no established causal link between HIV infection and esophageal cancer risk. However, further research is essential to delve into the potential mechanisms underlying this relationship.

Contribution of High Body Mass Index to the Global Burden of Esophageal Cancer: A Population-Based Study from 1990 to 2019.

The changing patterns of obesity have had a significant impact on the epidemiology of esophageal cancer (EC). This study aimed to investigate the specific burden of EC associated with high body mass index (BMI) across different geographical and Sociodemographic Index (SDI) regions, using data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. Mortality, age-standardized death rates (ASDR), and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed for 204 countries and territories. Decomposition analysis, frontier and health inequality analyses, and age-period-cohort models were employed to examine the factors driving disease burden and to predict future trends. High BMI contributed to 89,903.9 [95% uncertainty interval (UI): 27,878.9-171,254.6] EC-related deaths, an ASDR of 1.1 (95% UI 0.3-2.1) per 100,000 population, and 2,202,314.1 (681,901.4-4,173,080.3) DALYs in 2019. There was an increasing trend in these figures over the 29-year period. The middle SDI region (31,023.8, 95% UI 9,180.4-62,631.5) and East Asia (36,939.9, 95% UI 9,620.5-81,495) carried the highest burden of EC-related deaths. Disease burden increased across all age groups and genders globally. Population growth was a major factor driving EC deaths across all SDI quintiles. Disparities in disease burden were observed across countries at all development levels. Predictive models indicated a continued increase in EC-related deaths in the next decade. The study provided a comprehensive understanding of the global burden of EC associated with high BMI over the past decades. Opportunities exist to reduce this burden at all SDI levels through targeted interventions and policies.

Age-period-cohort analysis of incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years of esophageal cancer in global, regional and national regions from 1990 to 2019

ObjectiveIn view of the high incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer, the latest statistical data on the disease burden of esophageal cancer can provide strategies for cancer screening, early detection and treatment, and help to rationally allocate health resources. This study provides an analysis of the global disease burden and risk factors of esophageal cancer from 1990 to 2019.MethodsUsing the 2019 Global Burden of Disease, Injury and Risk Factor (GBD) data, we present the incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) of esophageal cancer in 21 regions and 204 countries and different sociodemographic index (SDI) regions from 1990 to 2019. The age-period-cohort model was used to estimate the age, period, and cohort trend of esophageal cancer in different SDI regions. The estimated proportion of DALY attributable to each risk factor from 1990 to 2019.ResultsFrom 1990 to 2019, the number of new cases of esophageal cancer, the number of deaths and DALY increased by 67.07%, 55.97% and 42.13%, respectively, but age standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age standardized mortality rate (ASMR) and age standardized DALY rate (ASDR) decreased by 19.28%, 25.32% and 88.22%, respectively. Overall, the results of the age-period-cohort model showed that the incidence, mortality, and DALY rates in countries and regions with higher SDI levels showed a downward trend over time and with the passage of time. Conversely, there were no significant changes in incidence and mortality in countries and regions with low SDI levels. In the past 30 years, the incidence and death of esophageal cancer in the world has gradually changed to people over 80 years old, but the population aged 60–79 still accounts for the largest proportion. The global DALY in esophageal cancer is mainly attributable to smoking, followed by alcohol consumption and occupational exposure.ConclusionsAlthough ASIR, ASMR and ASDR have decreased significantly, esophageal cancer is still the main factor causing the disease burden worldwide. Public health administrators in low SDI and low-middle SDI countries are high-risk areas for esophageal cancer, and preventive control measures should be implemented to raise awareness, screening, and treatment of esophageal cancer in these areas. Tobacco and alcohol control and reduction of occupational hazards are key steps in reducing the burden of esophageal cancer.

Disease burden and related risk factors of esophageal cancer in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, with forecast to 2035: An analysis and comparison.

In this study we estimate the burden of esophageal cancer (EC) in China and globally from 1990 to 2021, with a forecast to 2035, using Global Burden of Disease (GBD) data. We also analyze the related risk factors to investigate burden trends. Mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), crude rates, and age-standardized rates of EC were analyzed in China and globally from 1990 to 2035, utilizing GBD open data as a secondary dataset analysis of GBD data. Temporal change trends of EC risk factors were analyzed from 1990 to 2021. Joinpoint regression determined average annual percentage change (AAPC) of age-standardized rates. Descriptive analysis compared mortality and DALYs by age groups. Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) predicted age-standardized mortality and DALYs rates for the next 14 years. The ASMR and ASDR fluctuations in EC were significant in China, showing an overall downward trend. Globally, although there was also a downward trend, the fluctuations were relatively mild. The number of deaths and DALYs related to EC in China and globally showed a significant upward trend. Age-specific burden trends in China for EC indicated that the age group with the peak number of EC deaths shifted to the 70-74 years age group in 2021, while DALYs peaked in the 65-69 years age group. The crude mortality rate (CMR) peaked consistently in 1990 and 2021, both within the 90-94 years age range, while the crude DALY rate (CDR) shifted to the 85-89 years age group. Overall, the burden of EC deaths and DALYs in the population aged <40 years was relatively low, increasing rapidly after the age of 40 years, reaching a peak and gradually declining, and reaching a lower level after the age of 85 years. The predictive results of the BAPC model indicated that over the next 14 years, both ASMR and ASDR for EC in China and globally would show a slight overall increase. The GBD 2021 study identified smoking, high alcohol use, chewing tobacco, and diet low in vegetables as the main risk factors affecting EC mortality rate and DALYs. Among these, smoking and alcohol use were the most significant risk factors, with a higher impact on EC in China compared to the global level. From 1990 to 2021, the overall changes in ASMR and ASDR indicate a decreasing trend in the impact of these four risk factors on EC mortality rate and DALYs. The burden of EC is expected to steadily increase in China and globally until 2035, posing a significant challenge. Targeted prevention and control policies, such as calling on people to quit smoking and reduce alcohol use, may help curb this upward trend.

Disease burden of esophageal cancer attributable to low fruit intake in China and globally from 1990 to 2019.

To understand the disease burden of esophageal cancer (EC) attributable to inadequate fruit intake in China and global from 1990 to 2019 stratified by age and sex. Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD 2019) were pooled to calculate the number of deaths, standardized mortality rate, disability-adjusted life years (DALY) and DALY rate of EC attributed to low fruit intake in China and globally by age and sex from 1990 to 2019. The population attributable fractions (PAF) were applied to estimate the proportion of EC caused by low fruit intake. Joinpoint was used to estimate average annual percentage of change (AAPC) to reflect the time change trend of the EC burden attributable to inadequate fruit intake in China and globally. In the Chinese population in 2019, the attributable DALY of EC in males was 356,000 person-years, while it was 80,600 person-years in females. The attributable standardized mortality and DALY rates for different age groups in China increased with age, peaking in the group aged 70 years and above. From 1990 to 2019 in China, the number of deaths, standardized mortality rates, DALY and standardized DALY rates of EC attributable to inadequate fruit intake showed a decreasing trend (AAPCs: -1.62%, -4.54%, -2.10% and -4.88%, respectively), with statistical significance (P<0.001). The overall burden of EC attributed to inadequate fruit intake in China has demonstrated a downward trend. However, due to the aging population, the disease burden in China remains higher than the global average. Hence, prevention and health education efforts should focus on the population with low fruit intake.

A latent class analysis of resilience and its association with patient-reported symptoms in patients with esophageal cancer after esophagectomy.

To identify the latent classes of resilience in patients with esophageal cancer after esophagectomy and develop a deeper understanding of the association between these classes and patient-reported symptoms. China accounts for more than half of the global burden of esophageal cancer, and patients with esophageal cancer experience numerous symptoms that affect their quality of life and prognosis. Given that resilience is a key element that alleviates the progression of symptoms, it may represent a potential means of to enhancing cancer patients' physical and psychological well-being. The study was implemented in the thoracic surgery departments of three tertiary hospitals in eastern China. The participants were patients who were still hospitalized after esophagectomy. Data were gathered by self-report questionnaires, and a latent class analysis was utilized to identify different categories of resilience among the patients. A total of 226 patients were recruited. The three classes of resilience identified included high strength and striving (53.5%), medium resilience but weak self-recovery (35.9%), and minimal tenacity and external support (10.6%). Patients with low income (OR = 12.540, p = 0.004) were more likely to be in the minimal tenacity and external support class. Patients without comorbidities (OR = 2.413, p = 0.013) and aged 66-70 years (OR = 4.272, p < 0.001) were more likely to be in the high strength and striving class. The patient-reported symptoms and symptom-related interference of patients after esophagectomy varied considerably among the three categories of resilience. Accurate interventions should be devised and executed according to the features of each type of resilience in patients after esophagectomy to maximize intervention efficacy. These findings highlight the important role of precision nursing.

Spatiotemporal Patterns of Esophageal Cancer Burden Attributable to Behavioral, Metabolic, and Dietary Risk Factors From 1990 to 2019: Longitudinal Observational Study.

Esophageal cancer (EC) is the sixth leading cause of cancer-related burden with distinct regional variations globally. Although the burden of EC has decreased, the specific reasons for this decline are still unclear. This study aims to uncover the spatiotemporal patterns of EC risk-attributable burden in 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2019 so that prevention and control strategies of EC can be prioritized worldwide. We extracted EC risk-attributable deaths, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), age-standardized mortality rates (ASMRs), and age-standardized DALY rates (ASDRs) from the global burden of disease (GBD) study from 1990 to 2019, in terms of behavioral, metabolic, and dietary factors by age, sex, and geographical location. Average annual percentage change (AAPC) was used to assess the long-term trends in the ASMRs and ASDRs of EC due to specific risk factors. Between 1990 and 2019, the greatest decrease in EC burden was attributed to low intake of fruits and vegetables. An AAPC of -2.96 (95% CI -3.28 to -2.63) and -3.12 (95% CI -3.44 to -2.79) in ASMR and ASDR was attributable to a low-fruit diet, while an AAPC of -3.60 (95% CI -3.84 to -3.36) and -3.64 (95% CI -3.92 to -3.35) in ASMR and ASDR was attributed to a low-vegetable diet. However, the trends in ASMRs and ASDRs due to high BMI showed significant increases with an AAPC of 0.52 (95% CI 0.29-0.75) in ASMR and 0.42 (95% CI 0.18-0.66) in ASDR from 1990 to 2019 compared to significant decreases in other attributable risks with AAPC<0 (P<.05). East Asia had the largest decrease in EC burden due to low-vegetable diets, with an AAPC of -11.00 (95% CI -11.32 to -10.67) in ASMR and -11.81 (95% CI -12.21 to -11.41) in ASDR, followed by Central Asia, whereas Western Sub-Saharan Africa had the largest increase in ASMR and ASDR due to high BMI, with an AAPC of 3.28 (95% CI 3.14-3.42) and 3.09 (95% CI 2.96-3.22), respectively. China had the highest EC burden attributed to smoking, alcohol use, high BMI, and low-fruit diets. Between 1990 and 2019, there was a significant decrease in EC burden attributable to smoking, alcohol use, chewing tobacco, low-fruit diets, and low-vegetable diets in most countries, wherein a significant increase in the EC burden was due to high BMI. Our study shows that smoking and alcohol consumption are still the leading risk factors of EC burden and that EC burden attributable to low intake of fruits and vegetables has shown the largest decline recently. The risks of ASMRs and ASDRs of EC showed distinct spatiotemporal patterns, and future studies should focus on the upward trend in the EC burden attributed to high BMI.

Global burden of esophageal cancer attributable to smoking: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Epidemiological trends of esophageal cancer attributable to smoking remain unclear. This study aimed to estimate the spatiotemporal trends of the esophageal cancer burden attributable to smoking to assist in global esophageal cancer prevention and smoking cessation. Data on esophageal cancer attributable to smoking were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The number and age-standardized rates of esophageal cancer mortality (ASMR) and disability-adjusted life years (ASDR) were analyzed by age, sex, and location. Joinpoint regression analysis was used to analyze the temporal trends of esophageal cancer burden attributable to smoking over 30 years. In 2019, the number of global esophageal cancer deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) attributable to smoking was approximately 203,000 and 475 million, respectively. The global esophageal cancer deaths and DALYs due to smoking were approximately 1.5-fold increased from 1990 to 2019, but the corresponding ASMR and ASDR had decreased. The heaviest burden occurred in East Asia, Mongolia, and the middle socio-demographic index (SDI) region. The male-to-female ratio was approximately 12.7 in the esophageal cancer deaths and DALYs and was approximately 14.3 in the ASMR and ASDR. The heaviest burden appeared in the 60-74 years age group. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in ASMR was highly negatively associated with ASMR in 1990 (ρ = -0.41, p < 0.001) and SDI in 2019 (ρ = -0.29, p < 0.001). Despite reductions in ASMR and ASDR, the esophageal cancer burden attributable to smoking remains heavy, especially in middle SDI regions. Active tobacco control can reduce esophageal cancer burden.

Burden of esophageal cancer between 2010 and 2019 in Asian countries by geographical region and sociodemographic index: A comparison with global data.

The aim of this study was to describe the trends in incidence, mortality, and burden of esophageal cancer (EC) in Asia from 2010 through 2019 and compare with other global continental data. We collected EC data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study from 2010 to 2019 in 49 countries and territories in Asia based on the sociodemographic index (SDI). For all locations, annual case data and age-standardized rates (ASRs) were extracted to investigate the EC incidence, prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs). The ASR relative difference (%) between years and the male/female (M/F) ratio were calculated. Data are reported in values and 95% uncertainty interval (UI). In 2019, more than 70% of EC new cases, deaths, prevalence, and DALYs occurred in Asian countries. From 2010 to 2019, incidences, deaths, prevalence cases, and DALY number of EC increased over 1.10-, 1.07-, 1.14-, and 1.03-fold, in Asia. During this period, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR), age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR), and age-standardized DALYs rate (DALYs ASR) of EC decreased by 18, 21, 14, and 22%, respectively. The rate of decline in Asia is higher than in the world and other continents. In 2019, age-specific incidence, death, prevalence, and DALY cases of EC cancer peaked at 65-74, 70-74, 65-69, and 65-69 years, respectively. In 2019, the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALYs ASR of EC were observed in East Asian countries, while having the highest decreasing trend. In 2019, among high SDI Asian countries, Taiwan had the highest ASIR, ASPR, and DALYs ASR, and the United Arab Emirates had the highest ASDR. Among high-middle SDIs, Kazakhstan had the highest ASIR, ASPR, ASDR, and DALYs ASR; among middle SDIs, China had the highest ASIR, ASDR, and ASPR, and Viet Nam had the highest DALYs ASR; among low-middle SDIs, Mongolia had the highest ASIR, ASDR, ASPR, and DALY ASR of EC cancer. Among low SDI Asian countries, Pakistan had the highest ASIR and ASPR, and DALY ASR for EC cancer. For four indicators, in most countries, the ratio of men was higher than women, and in some countries, this ratio reached more than 10 times. Although the rate of decline in incidence, death, prevalence and burden of EC in Asia was higher than in other areas in the last 10 years, more than 70% of these amounts occur in Asia. Therefore, it appears that adopting appropriate strategies in the field of identifying and controlling modifiable risk factors for EC, implementing screening programs, and timely diagnosis and treatment will help in reducing the burden of this disease in Asian countries.

Current status and temporal trend in incidence, death, and burden of esophageal cancer from 1990-2019.

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the world's most unknown and deadly cancers. This study aimed to provide updated epidemiological indicators and the recent trend of EC by age group, gender, and geographical region in the world. Annual case data and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of epidemiological indicators of EC were collected from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study from 1990 to 2019 in 204 countries and territories based on the sociodemographic index (SDI). Relative difference (%), average annual percentage change (AAPC), and the male/female ratio were calculated. Data are reported in values and 95% confidence interval (CI). EC age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR) decreased by 19%, age-standardized death rates (ASDR) decreased by 25%, and disability-adjusted life-years ASR (DALYs ASR) decreased by 30% from 1990 to 2019. The higher number of EC cases was in men aged 50 to 69 years and in women aged over 70. From 1990 to 2019, Middle SDI countries experienced a decline in the ASIR and ASDR of EC. The High SDI countries had an increasing ASDR trend. In World Bank High-Income countries, the ASIR of EC has remained unchanged and decreased in other regions. The Asia continent has the highest rate of incidence, mortality, and burden of EC and the highest rate of reduction. East Asia, Southern Sub-Saharan Africa, and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa respectively have the highest ASIR of EC. Central Asia has experienced the greatest decrease in the ASIR and ASDR of EC, the countries of Central Europe had a steady ASIR and High-Income North America had an increasing trend in ASIR and ASDR. The burden of EC shows a decreasing trend worldwide. Central and East Asia regions have the highest rate and the highest increase in the burden of EC. Based on great variation in the geographical distribution of epidemiological indicators of EC, investigating the reasons for this diversity requires more studies to be conducted in the field of prevention, distribution of risk factors, and implementation of screening methods with high cost-effectiveness, and access to treatment methods. The provision of regional solutions may be more effective than global strategies.

Global incidence, mortality, and burden of esophageal cancer, and its correlation with SDI, metabolic risks, fasting plasma glucose, LDL cholesterol, and body mass index: An ecological study.

Esophageal cancer (EC) is one of the most common gastrointestinal malignancies. The geographical variation shows the influence of genetic factors, ethnicity, and distribution of various risk factors. Accurate knowledge of EC epidemiology at the global level will help to develop management strategies. Therefore, the present study was conducted to investigate the global and regional disease burden of EC, including the incidence, mortality, and burden of this cancer in 2019. Incidence, mortality, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and age-standardized rates (ASRs) associated with EC in 204 countries in different classifications were extracted from the global burden of disease study. After collecting information on metabolic risks, fasting plasma glucose (FPG), low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, and body mass index (body mass index), the relationship between age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), mortality rate, and DALYs with these variables was determined. In 2019, 534,563 new cases of EC were reported worldwide. The highest ASIR is related to regions with medium sociodemographic index (SDI), and high middle income according to the World Bank, the Asian continent, and the western Pacific region. In 2019, a total of 498,067 deaths from EC were recorded. The highest mortality rate due to ASR is in countries with medium SDI and countries with upper middle income of the World Bank. In 2019, 1,166,017 DALYs were reported due to EC. The ASIR, ASDR, and DALYS ASR of EC showed a significant negative linear correlation with SDI, metabolic risks, high FPG, high LDL cholesterol, and high BMI (p < 0.05). The results of this study showed significant gender and geographic variation in the incidence, mortality, and burden of EC. It is recommended to design and implement preventive approaches based on known risk factors and improve quality and access to efficient and appropriate treatments.

Familial aggregation of esophageal cancer.

Familial aggregation of esophageal cancer.

Electronic Health Record-Based Absolute Risk Prediction Model for Esophageal Cancer in the Chinese Population: Model Development and External Validation.

China has the largest burden of esophageal cancer (EC). Prediction models can be used to identify high-risk individuals for intensive lifestyle interventions and endoscopy screening. However, the current prediction models are limited by small sample size and a lack of external validation, and none of them can be embedded into the booming electronic health records (EHRs) in China. This study aims to develop and validate absolute risk prediction models for EC in the Chinese population. In particular, we assessed whether models that contain only EHR-available predictors performed well. A prospective cohort recruiting 510,145 participants free of cancer from both high EC-risk and low EC-risk areas in China was used to develop EC models. Another prospective cohort of 18,441 participants was used for validation. A flexible parametric model was used to develop a 10-year absolute risk model by considering the competing risks (full model). The full model was then abbreviated by keeping only EHR-available predictors. We internally and externally validated the models by using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and calibration plots and compared them based on classification measures. During a median of 11.1 years of follow-up, we observed 2550 EC incident cases. The models consisted of age, sex, regional EC-risk level (high-risk areas: 2 study regions; low-risk areas: 8 regions), education, family history of cancer (simple model), smoking, alcohol use, BMI (intermediate model), physical activity, hot tea consumption, and fresh fruit consumption (full model). The performance was only slightly compromised after the abbreviation. The simple and intermediate models showed good calibration and excellent discriminating ability with AUCs (95% CIs) of 0.822 (0.783-0.861) and 0.830 (0.792-0.867) in the external validation and 0.871 (0.858-0.884) and 0.879 (0.867-0.892) in the internal validation, respectively. Three nested 10-year EC absolute risk prediction models for Chinese adults aged 30-79 years were developed and validated, which may be particularly useful for populations in low EC-risk areas. Even the simple model with only 5 predictors available from EHRs had excellent discrimination and good calibration, indicating its potential for broader use in tailored EC prevention. The simple and intermediate models have the potential to be widely used for both primary and secondary prevention of EC.

Global trends in the burden of esophageal cancer, 1990-2019: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019.

Esophageal cancer is one of the leading causes of cancer death worldwide. A deeper understanding of the trends in annual incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of esophageal cancer is critical for management and prevention. In this study, we report on the disease burden of esophageal cancer in 204 countries and territories between 1990 and 2019 by age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI). Data on incidence, mortality, and DALYs were extracted from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2019. The estimated numbers and age-standardized rates for esophageal cancer in 2019 are presented in this paper, as well as trends from 1990 to 2019. All estimates are presented as counts and age-standardized rates per 100,000 population, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for each estimate. In 2019, nearly 535,000 (95% UI: 467,000-595,000) new cases of esophageal cancer occurred globally. Esophageal cancer was responsible for more than 498,000 (95% UI: 438,000-551,000) deaths and 11.7 million (95% UI: 10.4-12.9 million) DALYs. Worldwide age-standardized rates of esophageal cancer, including incidence, deaths, and DALYs, have declined since 1990. However, the trends differ across countries and territories. Notably, there was a nonlinear but generally inverse correlation between age-standardized DALY rates and SDI. Higher age-standardized incidence and death rates were observed in males compared to females, and both increased with age. Regarding risk factors, smoking, alcohol use, and high body-mass index were 3 predominant contributors to esophageal cancer DALYs in 2019 for both sexes worldwide. This study found a global reduction in the esophageal cancer burden, but substantial heterogeneity remains across regions and countries. Hence, the identification of high-risk groups and the exploration of specific local strategies and primary prevention efforts are required.

Patterns and trends in esophageal cancer incidence and mortality in China: An analysis based on cancer registry data

BackgroundEsophageal cancer poses a significant global burden, while its patterns and trends remain to be clarified. The aim of this study is to provide an update on the incidence and mortality rates of esophageal cancer and their trends in China based on data from the National Cancer Registry. MethodsWe extracted data from the National Central Cancer Registry (NCCR) of China from 2000 to 2016 and performed comprehensive quality control. We calculated age-standardized rates of China (ASR China) and world (ASR world) using the Chinese population in 2000 and the Segi's world standard population, and performed a joinpoint regression analysis to examine the trend in incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer. The annual percent change (APC) and weighted average APC (AAPC) over the entire study period were estimated to measure the changing trend. Subgroup analyses were conducted by sex, region and pathological type. ResultsA total of 487 eligible cancer registries were included in the data analysis and 22 registries with uninterrupted registration data were used for trend analysis. In 2016, there were an estimated of 184,500 incident cases of esophageal cancer and 142,300 deaths in China. The crude incidence, ASR China and ASR world were 25.25/100,000, 11.00/100,000 and 11.13/100,000, respectively. And the crude mortality, ASR China and ASR world were 19.38/100,000, 8.25/100,000 and 8.28/100,000, respectively. Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) was the most common histological type, accounting for 85.79% of all cases, followed by esophageal adenocarcinoma (EAC) (11.00%) and others (3.21%). There was a decreasing trend of ASR world in incidence and mortality during 2000–2016 with the AAPC of -4.6% (95% CI: -5.7%, -3.4%) and -4.6% (95% CI: -5.2%, -3.9%). The pattern and trend of esophageal cancer differ in sex, region and pathological type. ConclusionsThe burden of esophageal cancer in China remains high with sex, regional and subtype differences. The incidence and mortality of esophageal cancer have continued to decline over the past decade, which was due in part to the reductions in risk factor exposure and the implementation of screening.

Epidemiology of esophageal cancer in 2020 and projections to 2030 and 2040.

Esophageal cancer is a familiar malignancy with high incidence and mortality, and the overall prognosis is poor. The numbers of cases of and deaths from esophageal cancer have risen rapidly in recent decades. It is one of the most malignant cancers, with more than 0.6million new cases and 0.54million deaths worldwide in 2020. Here, we present the global epidemiology of esophageal cancer in 2020 and projections to 2030 and 2040 at different geographical levels of continents, regions and countries, and analyze them by gender, race, geographic region and human development index. We summarize the prospects for the esophageal cancer burden and risk factors in different areas, which will be useful for global esophageal cancer clinical therapy and cancer control planning.