Breton Sound Research Articles

LONG TERM MORPHOLOGIC MODELLING OF DELTA DEVELOPMENT IN BRETON SOUND RESULTING FROM A PROPOSED DIVERSION STRUCTURE

Sediment deprivation, hydrologic alteration, subsidence, sea level rise, and saltwater intrusion have been causing significant land loss in coastal Louisiana. Breton Sound combined with the nearby Barataria Bay, and Mississippi River Delta have lost approximately 1800 square kilometers (or 447,000 acres) of land, representing one of the highest land loss rates in the world since the 1930s when the Mississippi River was leveed. To address this problem, the Coastal Protection and Restoration Authority (CPRA) initiated several sediment diversion projects in the Lower Mississippi River (LMR). The Mid- Breton Sediment Diversion (MBrSD) project is one of the costal restoration projects proposed to restore natural processes in Breton Sound, which can strategically reestablish hydrologic flows, carry land-building sediments, nourish marshes and sustain land.

The Impact of Levee Openings on Storm Surge: A Numerical Analysis in Coastal Louisiana

The existence of the Mississippi River (MR) and Tributaries’ levees in coastal Louisiana could block storm surge and cause surge setup in adjacent basins. In order to reduce storm surge amplification caused by these barriers, one possible solution is to build “floodways” through the mainstem MR levees to allow surge during tropical events to cross. The primary purpose of this study is to examine if these floodways/openings can help reduce storm surge in adjacent basins. Using Hurricane Isaac (2012) as an example, a pre-validated Delft3D-based hydrodynamic model was applied to study the effect of levee openings on storm surge. Model results and flux analysis show that these levee openings were not effective in reducing storm surge in Barataria Basin and Breton Sound due to the complex interaction between the cross flow from the surge and the MR flow. During Isaac, the MR water could be diverted to Barataria and/or Breton, which resulted in an increase in storm surge, essentially defeating the primary objective of the levee openings. Overall, the impact of levee openings at the selected locations on storm surge reduction in adjacent basins of coastal Louisiana was minor and very limited.

Phytoplankton dynamics in Louisiana estuaries: Building a baseline to understand current and future change

Louisiana estuaries are important habitats in the northern Gulf of Mexico, a region undergoing significant and sustained human- and climate-driven changes. This paper synthesizes data collected over multiple years from four Louisiana estuaries – Breton Sound, Terrebonne Bay, the Atchafalaya River Delta Estuary, and Vermilion Bay – to characterize trends in phytoplankton biomass, community composition, and the environmental factors influencing them. Results highlight similarities in timing and composition of maximum chlorophyll, with salinity variability often explaining biomass trends. Distinct drivers for biomass versus community structure were observed in all four estuarine systems. Systems shared a lack of significant correlation between river discharge and overall phytoplankton biomass, while discharge was important for understanding community composition. Temperature was a significant explanatory variable for both biomass and community composition in only one system. These results provide a regional view of phytoplankton dynamics in Louisiana estuaries critical to understanding and predicting the effects of ongoing change.

Benthic Nutrient Fluxes across Subtidal and Intertidal Habitats in Breton Sound in Response to River-Pulses of a Diversion in Mississippi River Delta

We measured benthic fluxes of dissolved nutrients in subtidal sediments and intertidal soils associated with river-pulse events from Mississippi River via the operation of a river diversion structure at Caernarvon, LA. Experiments measuring benthic fluxes in subtidal habitats were conducted during the early spring flood pulse (February and March) each year from 2002 to 2004, compared to benthic fluxes of intertidal habitats measured in February and March 2004. Nitrate (NO3−) uptake rates for subtidal sediments and intertidal soils depended on overlying water NO3− concentrations at near-, mid-, and far-field locations during river-pulse experiments when water temperatures were >13 °C (NO3− removal was limited below this temperature threshold). NO3− loading to upper Breton Sound was estimated for nine river-pulse events (January, February, and March in 2002, 2003, and 2004) and compared to NO3− removal estimated by the subtidal and intertidal habitats based on connectivity, area, and flux rates as a function of NO3− concentration and water temperature. Most NO3− removal was accomplished by intertidal habitats compared to subtidal habitats with the total NO3− reduction ranging from 8% to 31%, depending on water temperature and diversion discharge rates. River diversion operations have important ecosystem design considerations to reduce the negative effects of eutrophication in downstream coastal waters.

The resilience of coastal marshes to hurricanes: The potential impact of excess nutrients

Hurricanes pose an increasing threat to coastal environments as the intensity and severity of hurricanes are predicted to increase under the changing climate. Coastal wetlands are effective nature-based defenses of coastal cities against storms. However, the ecosystems themselves are also susceptible to the impacts of hurricanes, which are highly complex and not fully understood. Here we utilize multi-decadal satellite data archives (Landsat 1984–2014 and MODIS 2005–2015) and long-term coast-wide field-based environmental data (1978–2018) to investigate the impacts of hurricanes Katrina (2005), Gustav (2008), and Isaac (2012) on the coastal marshes in Louisiana, USA, where the hurricanes made landfall. While the hurricanes had immediate impacts on the marshes’ biomass and area at an ecosystem scale, general recovery was observed in the next one and two years. We also found that the most severe damage always occurred in the intermediate and brackish marshes of the Breton Sound basin, where the nitrogen concentration in the water was significantly higher compared to areas with less damage (P < 0.01). Because excess nutrient can reduce the marshes' root growth and degrade their root mat, we posit that the long-term nutrient enrichment in the area, which resulted from the diverted Mississippi River water, has increased the marshes’ susceptibility to hurricanes. The results highlight the resilience of coastal marsh ecosystems against hurricanes, but also underline the profound synergistic effects of climatic and anthropogenic factors on the sustainability of coastal ecosystems, which have important implications for coastal management under the current climate trend.

Mapping 30 Years of Change in the Marshlands of Breton Sound Basin (Southeastern Louisiana, U.S.A.): Coastal Land Area and Vegetation Green Cover

Potter, C. and Amer, R., 2020. Mapping 30 years of change in the marshlands of Breton Sound basin (southeastern Louisiana, U.S.A.): Coastal land area and vegetation green cover. Journal of Coastal Research, 36(3), 437–450. Coconut Creek (Florida), ISSN 0749-0208.This study analyzes the 30-year record of Landsat satellite imagery to better understand the patterns and processes of land loss/gain and recent changes in marshland vegetation green cover in coastal wetlands of Breton Sound basin of southeastern Louisiana. Impacted by both Hurricane Katrina in 2005 and Hurricane Gustav in 2008, this vast estuary area just south of New Orleans was mapped at 30 m resolution in 5-year intervals from 1985 to 2017 using the Landsat Normalized Difference Water Index (NDWI) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). Results revealed an entirely new picture of marshland change prior to Hurricanes Katrina and Gustav in the Breton Sound basin. Following decades of extensive wetland loss resulting largely from gas and oil well drilling and canal construction, this analysis estimated gains in land area between 1985 and 2005 (pre-Katrina) of 247 km2 across all subbasins of Breton Sound. The largest proportional increases in marshland areas were mapped from dNDWI analysis in the subbasins of Bayou la Loutre, Bayou Pointe-en-Pointe, and Bayou Terre Aux Boeufs, all surrounding the outer Mississippi River Gulf Outlet Canal. Brackish salinity areas were among the first of Louisiana's coastal wetlands to succumb to the hurricane storm surges of 2005 and 2008, as Landsat dNDWI analysis estimated that about 245 km2 of wetlands in the Breton Sound basin were lost to open water from the impacts of Hurricanes Katrina and Gustav. However, combined dNDWI and dNDVI analysis indicated that gains in marshland area and green vegetation cover have occurred at a yearly rate of increase after 2008 comparable to the period between 1985 and 2005. Specific areas of rapid land gain were detected in River aux Chenes and Bayou Bienvenue subbasins, and Bayou Plaquemines and Bayou la Loutre in brackish to saltwater marshland types on the outer margins of Breton Sound basin.

Restored freshwater flow and estuarine benthic communities in the northern Gulf of Mexico: research trends and future needs.

Restoring river connectivity to rebuild and sustain land is a promising restoration strategy in coastal areas experiencing rapid land loss, such as the Mississippi river delta. Results of these large-scale hydrologic changes are preliminary, and there exists limited empirical evidence regarding how benthic communities will respond, specifically in Barataria Bay and Breton Sound in southeast Louisiana. In this review, the body of existing research in this geographic region pertaining to the drivers of benthic community response that are related to restored freshwater flow and sediment deposition is examined. Overall trends include (1) potential displacement of some species down-estuary due to reduced salinities; (2) temporary lower diversity in areas closest to the inflow; (3) increased benthic production along the marsh edge, and in tidal bayous, as a result of nutrient loading; (4) more habitat coverage in the form of submerged aquatic vegetation; and (5) reduced predation pressure from large and/or salinity-restricted predators. These trends highlight opportunities for future research that should be conducted before large-scale hydrologic changes take place.

Engaging coastal community members about natural and nature-based solutions to assess their ecosystem function

Hazards in coastal ecosystems, such as flooding and land loss, demand natural and nature-based solutions from local communities due to the protective and non-protective services they provide when compared with traditionally engineered approaches. In this context, natural solutions are those that consider conserving existing habitats whereas nature-based solutions are those created by humans. These solutions support important coastal ecosystem functions, such as nutrient uptake, fisheries habitat, soil carbon storage, and surge attenuation. Our main research questions were: (1) Based on community engagement, what are the possible natural and nature-based solutions to address coastal hazards in Breton Sound Estuary, Louisiana? and (2) How do these community co-designed nature-based solutions support various ecosystem functions? To help answer these questions, we leveraged the competency group methodology to incorporate the local needs and traditional ecological knowledge of community stakeholders into collaborative ecosystem modelling. In total, fifteen members regularly met five times over an eight-month period to design nature-based solutions to address coastal hazards. Two nature-based solutions, created marshes and restored ridges, were identified most frequently by the competency group (>75% occurrence) in a final survey. Associated ecosystem functions of the identified solutions were assessed with simulation models to determine future ecosystem functions of nutrient uptake, fisheries habitat, soil carbon storage, and surge attenuation after 20 years. By adding created marshes to an ecosystem, our model results indicate slight increases in nutrient uptake, likely increases to fisheries habitat and soil carbon storage capacity, as well as storm surge attenuation in some areas following ridge restoration. Quantifying these ecosystem functions with management actions has been limited and is needed to assess how natural and nature-based solutions impact local communities and resource users. This novel approach to modeling ecosystem-based solutions through a collaborative modeling process with researchers and residents can be applied elsewhere to assess the viability of natural and nature-based solutions.

Elevating local knowledge through participatory modeling: active community engagement in restoration planning in coastal Louisiana

Numerical modeling efforts in support of restoration and protection activities in coastal Louisiana have traditionally been conducted externally to any stakeholder engagement processes. This separation has resulted in planning- and project-level models built solely on technical observation and analysis of natural processes. Despite its scientific rigor, this process often fails to account for the knowledge, values, and experiences of local stakeholders that often contextualizes a modeled system. To bridge this gap, a team of natural and social scientists worked directly with local residents and resource users to develop a participatory modeling approach to collect and utilize local knowledge about the Breton Sound Estuary in southeast Louisiana, USA. Knowledge capture was facilitated through application of a local knowledge mapping methodology designed to catalog local understanding of current and historical conditions within the estuary and identify desired ecological and hydrologic end states. The results of the mapping endeavor informed modeling activities designed to assess the applicability of the identified restoration solutions. This effort was aimed at increasing stakeholder buy-in surrounding the utility of numerical models for planning and designing coastal protection and restoration projects and included an ancillary outcome aimed at elevating stakeholder empowerment regarding the design of nature-based restoration solutions and modeling scenarios. This intersection of traditional science and modeling activities with the collection and analysis of traditional ecological knowledge proved useful in elevating the confidence that community members had in modeled restoration outcomes.

Degradation of the plaquemines sub-delta and relative sea-level in eastern Mississippi deltaic coast during late holocene

The stratigraphic architecture of Plaquemines sub-delta lobe is identified from sedimentary cores and sub-bottom seismic data collected at Lower Breton Sound, Louisiana, USA. Four lithofacies were identified in cores from bottom to top: (1) organic-poor mud; (2) organic-poor silty sand; (3) massive mud; (4) organic-rich peat and root-rich soft mud. Overall, the lithofacies displays a typical progradational deltaic deposit at bottom with upward-coarsening feature, and then an upward-fining deposit overlying on top. Stratigraphic position of the organic-rich peat facies indicates that it is formed after the fluvial sediment source moves away from this region, and it is recognized as a termination of progradation of the Plaquemines sub-delta. Dated peat samples show that sub-delta progradation stops between 876 and 1384 yr AD, during which a 20–70 cm relative sea-level rise is detected. The geological framework reported in this study provides critical information for future modeling on river diversions. The stratigraphic architecture underlying Lower Breton Sound implicates that top three facies of root-rich soft mud, organic-rich peat and massive mud are likely to be eroded away before the development of new crevasse-splay or sub-delta, when sediment diversion is in operation. The deeper organic-poor silty sand lithofacies, however, can serve as a firm foundation to build new land.

Modeling sediment texture of river-deltaic wetlands in the Lower Barataria Bay and Lower Breton Sound, Louisiana, USA

Wetlands in the Mississippi River Delta Plain (MRDP) have been suffering from a high rate of land loss. Sediment cores have been drilled into the wetlands to understand their growth and degradation and to provide subsurface information for the coastal protection and restoration projects. However, few three-dimensional (3D) stratigraphy models have been developed for the wetlands on a regional scale, due to difficulties in correlating large amount of spatial scattered subsurface data and integrated visualization of stratigraphic features and topobathymetric features. In this study, a 3D model was constructed in the Lower Barataria Bay (LBB) and the Lower Breton Sound (LBS), covering an area of 190 km2 and extending from 0.5 to − 4 m in elevation. Sediment composition (sand%, silt%, and clay%) was spatially interpolated, using a compositional kriging method, extended from ordinary kriging by a log-ratio transformation. Instead of visualizing three composition components independently, sediment composition was translated into sediment texture to be visualized as sediment types. Modeling results intuitively show spatial distribution of stratigraphic features and their spatial relationships with topobathymetric features such as marsh surface, river channel, and dredging channels. Results show a silty depositional package, which consists of crevasse splays and periodic overbank flooding deposits, made up the largest portion of the wetlands. A clayey blanket is observed to cover most part of the LBB and landward side of the LBS. A large area of clayey blanket in the seaward part of the LBS has apparently been eroded away, which is likely caused by coastal reworking processes.

Deltaic morphodynamics and stratigraphic evolution of Middle Barataria Bay and Middle Breton Sound regions, Louisiana, USA: Implications for river-sediment diversions

River-sediment diversions have been recognized as a key strategy for offsetting land loss in coastal Louisiana. Recently, much attention has been focused on sediment capture from the main stem river and conveyance of that material through diversion outflows. Yet, the performance and long-term feasibility of diversions as land-building agents also hinges upon the subsurface stratigraphic architecture of receiving basins, a concept that has largely been unexplored. A major core collection and analysis program was undertaken to study the geological properties of substrates in the Middle Barataria Bay and Middle Breton Sound diversion receiving basins, Louisiana, USA. Over a region of ∼200 square kilometers in both basins, 50 vibracores up to 5.5 m in length were collected in spring and summer of 2015. Cores were logged for bulk density and imaged with a Geotek Multi Sensor Core Logger. Split cores were then subsampled for granulometry, organic content, and 14C dating. Both receiving basins are characterized by 1–2 m of organic-rich surficial strata, underlain by > 2 m of mineral-rich sand and silt beds that display a greater bulk density. Additionally, some cores contain deeper peaty strata intercalated within muds and sands. 14C dates of these buried peats range between 1910 and 3203 calendar years before present demonstrating that relatively old deltaic strata exist at shallow depths. Age comparisons of stratigraphically-similar peat beds from this study and previous delta-lobe chronological models indicate that the St. Bernard lobe prograded eastward at a time-averaged rate of 75 m/yr. From a geotechnical standpoint, the surficial, uncompacted (<2 m depth, average 1.15 g/cc bulk density) peaty strata in both basins are likely to erode and/or compact under the influence of diversion flows, but deeper consolidated mineral-rich strata (average 1.85 g/cc bulk density) are likely to be more resistant. Hydrodynamic models that predict the erosion associated with river-sediment diversion outflows in this region would benefit from incorporating a two-layer subsurface configuration, with a weaker, peat-like layer overlying a stronger, mineral-rich layer. The results of our study suggest that regions with an abundance of clastic strata at depth should be sought out when planning coastal restoration methods such as river-sediment diversions.

Differential Effects of Temperature and Salinity on Growth and Mortality of Oysters (Crassostrea virginica) in Barataria Bay and Breton Sound, Louisiana

Temperature and salinity and their interaction exert a major control on the life cycle of the eastern oyster (Crassostrea virginica), affecting reproduction, development, growth, and mortality. Quantifying specific temperature and salinity relationships on oyster growth and mortality has, however, proven difficult, with data suggesting potentially region-specific responses. Legacy and recent data from field tray studies from public oyster grounds in Barataria Bay (BA) and Breton Sound (BS) were used to estimate growth and mortality rates as a function of temperature and salinity. Previous studies conducted in BA and BS reported differences in growth and mortality between the basins. In the present study, environmental conditions were synchronized to compare growth and mortality between basins at similar combinations of temperature and salinity. Results indicate that when temperature and salinity are the same (synchronized), seasonal oyster growth and mortality rates still differ between BA and BS. Given the same salinity and temperature conditions, differences in growth and mortality rates between estuaries may persist because of differences in other environmental conditions (i.e., food quality and composition, hydrology, site history, and salinity variation) or localized genetic adaptations to environmental conditions.

Can denitrification explain coastal wetland loss: A review of case studies in the Mississippi Delta and New England

There has been considerable discussion over the past several years about the potential negative effects of nutrient loading on coastal wetland stability. In particular, there have been concerns that high nitrate concentrations can fuel denitrification that can lead to soil organic matter loss and wetland deterioration. Here we review these issues for three case studies where there have been elevated levels of dissolved inorganic nitrogen, especially nitrate, coincident with wetland deterioration. These case studies include the Breton Sound estuary that receives diverted Mississippi River water at Caernarvon LA, a freshwater assimilation wetland that receives treated municipal effluent from a wastewater treatment plant at Hammond, LA, and a tidal creek in the Plum Island Sound estuary of northeastern Massachusetts where nitrate was introduced on each flood tide during the growing season for nearly ten years. We review the physical setting, ecology and biogeochemistry of these sites and use stoichiometric calculations to estimate how much soil organic matter decomposition could be accounted for by denitrification. Results of these calculations show that denitrification rates could not have caused the observed marsh deterioration at the two LA marshes. Denitrification may play a significant role in marsh loss at the MA site, however due to the unique hydrology of this site, denitrification rates induced by very high nitrogen loading rates in concert with the hydrology of the site may play a more significant role in marsh deterioration.

The tensile root strength of five emergent coastal macrophytes

The root biomass of emergent macrophytes in coastal wetlands is essential for anchorage and erosion protection. The tensile root strength of these plants is an important component in determining the strength of coastal wetland soils. We made 1449 tensile strength measurements of roots <1.5 mm in diameter for five species of emergent wetland macrophytes (Spartina alterniflora, S.patens, Panicum hemitomon, Schoenoplectus americanus, and Sagittaria lancifolia) collected from six sites in three coastal estuaries. An analysis of variance revealed that the tensile root strength of dead and live roots for all species decreased with depth and that dead roots were stronger than live roots of the same diameter (p < 0.05). There was low variation in the mean tensile root strength among all sites. The S. alterniflora dead roots from the Barataria Basin site, however, were stronger than those from the Lake Pontchartrain site and the S. patens live and dead roots collected from Breton Sound were stronger than those from a nearby site in the same watershed. Wetland root samples exposed to partially-treated sewage effluent were considerably smaller than roots collected from the nearby reference wetland. Further investigation is warranted to ascertain the nature of the factors that causing these variations in tensile root strength with depth, between live and dead roots and with nutrient exposure

Predicting landscape effects of Mississippi River diversions on soil organic carbon sequestration

AbstractLarge Mississippi River (MR) diversions (peak water flow &gt;1416 m3/s and sediment loads &gt;165 kg/s) have been proposed as part of a suite of coastal restoration projects and are expected to rehabilitate and rebuild wetlands to alleviate the significant historic wetland loss in coastal Louisiana. These coastal wetlands are undergoing increasing eustatic sea‐level rise, land subsidence, climate change, and anthropogenic disturbances. However, the effect of MR diversions on wetland soil organic carbon (SOC) sequestration in receiving basins remains unknown. The rate of SOC sequestration or carbon burial in wetlands is one of the variables used to assess the role of wetland soils in carbon cycling and also to construct wetland carbon budgets. In this study, we examined the effects of MR water and sediment diversions on landscape‐scale SOC sequestration rates that were estimated from vertical accretion for the next 50 yr (2010–2060) under two environmental (moderate and less optimistic) scenarios. Our analyses were based on model simulations taken from the Wetland Morphology model developed for Louisiana's 2012 Coastal Master Plan. The master plan modeled a “future‐without‐action” scenario as well as eight individual MR diversion projects in two of the hydrologic basins (Barataria and Breton Sound). We examined the effects that discharge rates (peak flow) and locations of these individual diversion projects had on SOC sequestration rates. Modeling results indicate that large river diversions are capable of improving basin‐wide SOC sequestration capacity (162–222 g C·m−2·yr−1) by up to 14% (30 g C·m−2·yr−1) in Louisiana deltaic wetlands compared to the future‐without‐action scenario, especially under the less optimistic scenario. When large river diversions are placed in the upper receiving basin, SOC sequestration rates are 3.7–10.5% higher (6–24 g C·m−2·yr−1) than when these structures are placed in the lower receiving basin. Modeling results also indicate that both diversion discharge and location have large effects on SOC sequestration in low‐salinity (freshwater and intermediate marshes) as compared to high‐salinity marshes (brackish and saline marshes).

Potential environmental drivers of a regional blue mussel mass mortality event (winter of 2014, Breton Sound, France)

In the context of global change, increasing mariculture production has raised particular concerns regarding its environmental impact and sustainability. Molluscs and particularly blue mussel account for a significant part of this total production. Although blue mussels are considered to be pretty resilient to environmental disturbances, we report in this study an unprecedented mussel mortality event that occurred during the winter of 2014 in the Breton Sound. 9000metrictonnes of mussels were lost and mortality rates up to 100% were recorded at some farming areas. Through a coupling approach, the present work aims to better understand the potential environmental drivers associated with those mortalities. Firstly, we analysed long-term in situ and satellite data from environmental monitoring networks (available since 1998) to characterize the variability of seawater masses of the sound during the winter of 2014. Secondly, we used modelling simulations to study the possible relationship between seawater hydrodynamics and observed spatio-temporal patterns of mussel mortalities. From January to April 2014 at the long-line culture site where mortalities started, seawater temperatures ranged from 8.3 to 13.3°C (10.2±0.8°C). Salinity and turbidity values showed successive and short drops (below 16; 29.3±2.3) and numerous peaks (above 70 NTU; 17.4±13.4 NTU) respectively. Winter conditions of 2014 were encountered along the entire French Atlantic coastline and linked to the sixth highest positive North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO+) index recorded since 1865. These particular environmental variations characterized the winter of 2014 but also others whereas no comparable mussel mortality rates were reported. Exact causes of the 2014 mortality event are still unknown but we showed these environmental variations could not alone be responsible. These have likely affected the sensitivity of the blue mussel populations that were already weakened by early spawning. Meanwhile, these may have facilitated the apparition of a pathogenic strain of Vibrio splendidus isolated on moribund mussels at that time. Our modelling simulations suggested that this pathogenic strain could spread through hydrodynamic patterns and drive the observed mussel mortalities. If this pathogenic strain recurs in future years, particularly with the added stress associated with climate change, mussel mass mortality events may exceed the resilience of this species.

Predicting the impacts of Mississippi River diversions and sea-level rise on spatial patterns of eastern oyster growth rate and production

There remains much debate regarding the perceived tradeoffs of using freshwater and sediment diversions for coastal restoration in terms of balancing the need for wetland restoration versus preserving eastern oyster (Crassostrea virginica) production. Further complicating the issue, climate change-induced sea-level rise (SLR) and land subsidence are also expected to affect estuarine water quality. In this study, we developed a process-based numerical modeling system that couples hydrodynamic, water quality, and oyster population dynamics. We selected Breton Sound Estuary (BSE) (∼2740km2) in the eastern Mississippi River Deltaic Plain since it is home to several of the largest public oyster seed grounds and private leases for the Gulf coast. The coupled oyster population model was calibrated and validated against field observed oyster growth data. We predicted the responses of oyster population in BSE to small- (142m3s−1) and large-scale (7080m3s−1) river diversions at the Caernarvon Freshwater Diversion structure planned in the 2012 Coastal Master Plan (Louisiana) under low (0.38m) and high (1.44m) relative sea-level rise (RSLR=eustatic SLR+subsidence) compared to a baseline condition (Year 2009). Model results showed that the large-scale diversion had a stronger negative impact on oyster population dynamics via freshening of the entire estuary, resulting in reduced oyster growth rate and production than RSLR. Under the large-scale diversion, areas with optimal oyster growth rates (>15mg ash-free dry weight (AFDW) oyster−1wk−1) and production (>500g AFDWm−2yr−1) would shift seaward to the southeastern edge of the estuary, turning the estuary into a very low oyster production system. RSLR however played a greater role than the small-scale diversion on the magnitude and spatial pattern of oyster growth rate and production. RSLR would result in an overall estuary-wide decrease in oyster growth rate and production as a consequence of decreased salinities in the middle and lower estuary because rising sea level likely causes increased stage and overbank flow downstream along the lower Mississippi River.

Challenges in Collaborative Governance for Coastal Restoration: Lessons from the Caernarvon River Diversion in Louisiana

ABSTRACTIn an effort to restore deteriorating coastal wetlands in Breton Sound, Louisiana, a diversion of Mississippi River water into the estuarine ecosystem has been operated at Caernarvon, Louisiana, since 1991. The diversion was implemented after a relatively long collaborative planning process beginning in the 1950s. The Caernarvon Interagency Advisory Committee, an official panel of stakeholders, considers scientific aspects of the freshwater inflow and stakeholder inputs in developing an operational plan, which internalizes stakeholder conflicts, while accomplishing goals of restoring the coastal ecosystem. Even though fishery representatives are committee members, local oyster fishers filed lawsuits in federal and state courts from 1994 through 2005, claiming damages to their oyster beds. These lawsuits were initially successful in state courts but were reversed by the Louisiana Supreme Court. The federal suits were unsuccessful. Following these lawsuits, voters in Louisiana in 2000 amended the State Constitution to protect coastal restoration projects against lawsuits reflecting increase in overall statewide support. Increasing scientific knowledge has contributed significantly to diversion operation. For better collaborative governance, efforts to increase common understanding among stakeholders will be needed, and a process to compensate interests of stakeholders suffering from impacts of restoration projects at an earlier stage should be institutionalized.

A Modeling Study of the Impacts of Mississippi River Diversion and Sea-Level Rise on Water Quality of a Deltaic Estuary

Freshwater and sediment management in estuaries affects water quality, particularly in deltaic estuaries. Furthermore, climate change-induced sea-level rise (SLR) and land subsidence also affect estuarine water quality by changing salinity, circulation, stratification, sedimentation, erosion, residence time, and other physical and ecological processes. However, little is known about how the magnitudes and spatial and temporal patterns in estuarine water quality variables will change in response to freshwater and sediment management in the context of future SLR. In this study, we applied the Delft3D model that couples hydrodynamics and water quality processes to examine the spatial and temporal variations of salinity, total suspended solids, and chlorophyll-α concentration in response to small (142 m3 s−1) and large (7080 m3 s−1) Mississippi River (MR) diversions under low (0.38 m) and high (1.44 m) relative SLR (RSLR = eustatic SLR + subsidence) scenarios in the Breton Sound Estuary, Louisiana, USA. The hydrodynamics and water quality model were calibrated and validated via field observations at multiple stations across the estuary. Model results indicate that the large MR diversion would significantly affect the magnitude and spatial and temporal patterns of the studied water quality variables across the entire estuary, whereas the small diversion tends to influence water quality only in small areas near the diversion. RSLR would also play a significant role on the spatial heterogeneity in estuary water quality by acting as an opposite force to river diversions; however, RSLR plays a greater role than the small-scale diversion on the magnitude and spatial pattern of the water quality parameters in this deltaic estuary.