The presence of a bottom water (BW) layer in heavy oil reservoirs can present substantial problems for efficient oil recovery for all recovery techniques. Hence, it is necessary to know how particular production processes are affected by different BW layer thicknesses, and how standard production procedures can be adapted to handle such reservoirs. Toe-to-heel air injection (THAI) is a thermally efficient process, generating in situ energy in the reservoir by burning a fraction of the oil-in-place as coke and has the potential to economically and environmentally friendly work in reservoirs with BW layer. However, to ascertain that, studies are needed first. These are conducted via numerical simulations using commercial reservoir thermal simulator, CMG STARS. This work has shown that the shape of the combustion zone in THAI remains forward-leaning even in the presence of a BW layer, indicating that the process is stable, and that there is no oxygen bypassing of the combustion front. However, the oil recovery rate is highly negatively affected by how large the thickness of the BW zone is, and the severity of such effect is determined to be proportional to the thickness of the BW layer. This study also shows that there is a period of low oil production rate which corresponds to mobilised oil displacement into the BW zone which in turn causes a surge in water production rate. The practical implication of this is that prolonged period of low oil production rates will expose companies and/or investors to higher risk due to the oil market volatility. In this study, it is also revealed that the height of the mobilised oil that is displaced into the BW zone equates to that of the displaced and replaced water thereby implying that when the BW layer thickness is 50% that of the oil layer (OL), less than 50% of the mobilised oil will be recovered when the entire reservoir is swept by the combustion front. Therefore, conclusively, applying the THAI process in its conventional form in reservoirs containing bottom water is not recommended, and as a result, a new strategy is needed to enhance process economics by improving the oil production and hence recovery rates.
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