Herein, high-performance O-terminated M3C2 MXene catalysts were screened for the synthesis of zingerone using vanillin and acetone. The electrochemical and electronic properties of O-terminated ordered MXenes in the form of M3C2O2(H) [M = Ti, V, and Cr (3d); Zr, Nb, and Mo (4d); and Hf, Ta, and W (5d)] were investigated using first principle density functional theory (DFT) calculations. These calculations revealed 37 stable candidates based on their negative binding energy values of ΔG*H and three O-terminated M3C2 MXene candidates with superior zingerone synthesis activity than pure precious metal (platinum), a UL > −0.4 V can guarantee high activity and low energy consumption during zingerone synthesis. Ti3C2O (FCC)), Hf3C2O2 (HCPFCC), and Nb3C2O2 (HCPHCP) exhibited higher catalytic activity than other candidates, and their performances were competitive for zingerone synthesis, with low limiting potentials of −0.37, −0.27, and −0.35 V, respectively. Zingerone synthesis via the protolysis reaction between vanillin and acetone includes two paths, i.e., induced protolysis and direct protolysis via the aldol condensation reaction. Multiple descriptors were used to evaluate and screen promising candidates for the synthesis of zingerone. For example, ΔG(*vanillin*acetone), and Bader charge, and d-band center analyses revealed the origin of zingerone synthesis activity based on binding energy and electronic structure. Importantly, binding energy and electronic structure have a strong intrinsic linear scaling relationship that can be used to screen for the optimal catalyst by controlling the scaling relationship between the intermediate binding energy and electronic properties. Indicating a scaling relationship and volcano plot were established based on ΔG(*vanillin+*acetone) and ΔG[*zingiberone] depending on Limiting potential (UL). Finally, we proposed a method for directly inducing protolysis during the aldol condensation reaction, which may be widely applicable to different biomass-derived carbonyl compounds, yielding chemicals and medicinal compounds through biomass valorization.