Behavioral Simulation Method Research Articles

Online Social Network Information Dissemination Integrating Overconfidence and Evolutionary Game Theory

Public opinion inversion and other nonlinear phenomena often occur during online social network information dissemination (OSNID) in modern society. To explore the influence of overconfidence on OSNID, we develop a multi-agent simulation model integrating overconfidence and evolutionary games, as previous research has scarcely paid any attention to irrational behavior in information dissemination. This integrated paradigm provides an effective tool for managers to control the spread of OSNID and reduce the harm caused by rumors. The theoretical model is constructed from the perspective of an evolutionary game and, combined with overconfidence theory, three overconfidence scenarios are designed: benefit overconfidence, cost overconfidence, and both benefit and cost overconfidence. Then, a multi-agent simulation model of OSNID under different overconfidence scenarios is realized. The proposed simulation model exhibited better performance (e.g., faster diffusion speed) than the traditional Bass model; its performance was also validated by comparison with real-world cases. The results demonstrate that (1) with increasing benefit overconfidence, the convergence speed of OSNID will be accelerated, and the user group will reach stability at a faster speed. (2) With increasing cost overconfidence, the user's decision will change from adopting dominant to tit-for-tat, and the adoption ratio will gradually decrease. (3) Compared with overconfidence in earnings, overconfidence in costs is more conducive to improving stability. This study attempts to provide new ideas for OSNID and attempts to propose an integration framework for behavioral theory and simulation methods.

3D visual simulation of individual and crowd behavior in earthquake evacuation

Simulation of behaviors in emergencies is an interesting subject that helps to understand evacuation processes and to give out warnings for contingency plans. Individual and crowd behaviors in the earthquake are different from those under normal circumstances. Panic will spread in the crowd and cause chaos. Without considering emotion, most existing behavioral simulation methods analyze the movement of people from the point of view of mechanics. After summarizing existing studies, a new simulation method is discussed in this paper. First, 3D virtual scenes are constructed with the proposed platform. Second, an individual cognitive architecture, which integrates perception, motivation, behavior, emotion, and personality, is proposed. Typical behaviors are analyzed and individual evacuation animations are realized with data captured by motion capture devices. Quantitative descriptions are presented to describe emotional changes in individual evacuation. Facial expression animation is used to represent individuals’ emotions. Finally, a crowd behavior model is designed on the basis of a social force model. Experiments are carried out to validate the proposed method. Results showed that individuals’ behavior, emotional changes, and crowd aggregation can be well simulated. Users can learn evacuation processes from many angles. The method can be an intuitional approach to safety education and crowd management.

A Precision and High-Speed Behavioral Simulation Method for Transient Response and Frequency Characteristics of Switching Converters

We propose a fast and precise transient response and frequency characteristics simulation method for switching converters. This method uses a behavioral simulation tool without using a SPICE-like analog simulator. The nonlinear operation of the circuit is considered, and the nonlinear function is realized by defining the nonlinear formula based on the circuit operation and by applying feedback. To assess the accuracy and simulation time of the proposed simulation method, we designed current-mode buck and boost converters and fabricated them using a 0.18-µm high-voltage CMOS process. The comparison in the transient response and frequency characteristics among SPICE, the proposed program on a behavioral simulation tool which we named NSTVR (New Simulation Tool for Voltage Regulators) and experiments of fabricated IC chips showed good agreement, while NSTVR was more than 22 times faster in transient response and 85 times faster in frequency characteristics than SPICE in CPU time in a boost converter simulation.

Compiled code simulation of analog and mixed-signal systems using piecewise linear modeling of nonlinear parameters: A case study for [formula omitted] modulator simulation

This paper presents a methodology for fast time-domain simulation of analog systems with nonlinear parameters. Specifically, the paper focuses on Δ Σ analog-to-digital converters (ADC). The method creates compiled-code simulators based on symbolic analysis. Code is optimized using loop invariant elimination and constant folding, well-known compiler optimization methods. Circuits are described as structural macromodels. Nonlinear parameters are expressed using piecewise linear (PWL) models. The paper presents a technique for automatically creating PWL models through model extraction from trained neural networks. As compared to existing behavioral simulation methods for Δ Σ ADC, this technique is more systematic and accurate. In our experiments, compiled-code simulation was significantly faster than numerical simulation. Hence, the methodology is very useful in analog and mixed-signal system synthesis, which is known to require a large number of simulation steps.

Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis

These thirteen papers and accompanying commentaries are the first fruits of an ongoing research project that has concentrated on developing simulation models that incorporate the behavioral responses of individuals and businesses to alternative tax rules and rates and on expanding computational general equilibrium models that analyze the long-run effects of changes on the economy as a whole. The principal focus of the project has been on the microsimulation of individual behavior. Thus, this volume includes studies of individual responses to an over reduction in tax rates and to changes in the highest tax rates; a study of alternative tax treatments of the family; and studies of such specific aspects of household behavior as tax treatment of home ownership, charitable contributions, and individual saving behavior. Microsimulation techniques are also used to estimate the effects of alternative policies on the long-run financial status of the social security program and to examine the effects of alternative tax rules on corporate investment and of foreign-source income on overseas investment. The papers devoted to the development of general equilibrium simulation models to include an examination of the implications of international trade and capital flows, a study of the effects of capital taxation that uses a closed economy equilibrium model, and an examination of the effect of switching to an inflation-indexed tax system. In the volume's final paper, a life-cycle model in which individuals maximize lifetime utility subject to a lifetime budget constraint is used to simulate the effects of tax rules on personal savings.

Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis

Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy Analysis

Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy

Behavioral Simulation Methods in Tax Policy